{"type":"rich","version":"1.0","provider_name":"Transistor","provider_url":"https://transistor.fm","author_name":"In the Money with Amber Kanwar","title":"Bond Bull in a Bearish World: Why This Investor Sees Opportunity for Canada Amid Tariffs","html":"","width":"100%","height":180,"duration":2351,"description":"Earl Davis is optimistic—and that's rare for a bond investor. In this episode of In the Money with Amber Kanwar, the Head of Fixed Income at BMO Global Asset Management shares why he believes both the U.S. and Canadian economies are stronger than many think—and why fears of an imminent recession are overblown.Davis explains why inflation isn’t heading back to 2% anytime soon, and instead may stabilize at a higher range of 4–5%. He also dives into the outlook for interest rates—why the Federal Reserve might still cut this year even if it shouldn’t, and why elevated rates could be the new reality for years to come.He breaks down what’s really driving markets right now, from tariffs and deficits to Japanese bond yields and central bank policy. Most importantly, he explains how to position your portfolio in a world of sticky inflation, persistent government spending, and shifting global dynamics.Plus, Davis shares his top bond picks—including two investment-grade corporate bonds (Fairfax and Enbridge) and a high-yield name in the defense sector with a 9% coupon.If you're trying to figure out how to invest in today's bond market, make sense of the rate outlook, or understand where inflation is really headed—this is the episode for you.Timestamps00:00 Show Intro01:30 The lingering effects of the pandemic: deficits and inflation03:10 Earl’s high-level view on inflation: it’s going higher08:15 Why Earl thinks the Fed will cut at least once this year, even though he thinks they shouldn’t10:15 How to position in this type of environment11:55 Can tariffs be deflationary?14:00 What happens if there’s a new Fed president?15:45 What about the bond vigilantes?17:45 Why Earl believes the bond market is trading off of Japan20:40 What about Canada’s economy?23:15 Why growth in Canada could surprise to the upside this year26:30 Why the Fed and Bank of Canada will move their inflation targets higher27:30 Why Earl thinks the housing market is not a headwind but a tailwind for...","thumbnail_url":"https://img.transistorcdn.com/er9NR63MREFV6i2rlZX8f-yMY6gNSK83fNUOzBPoSt8/rs:fill:0:0:1/w:400/h:400/q:60/mb:500000/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbWct/dXBsb2FkLXByb2R1/Y3Rpb24udHJhbnNp/c3Rvci5mbS8zZmQy/OWMwNmEzY2Y0YTg1/NjM4MjQ3Y2NjMWYy/Zjk1My5qcGc.webp","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_height":300}