{"type":"rich","version":"1.0","provider_name":"Transistor","provider_url":"https://transistor.fm","author_name":"Indexed Podcast","title":"Who exactly is betting on prediction markets?","html":"<iframe width=\"100%\" height=\"180\" frameborder=\"no\" scrolling=\"no\" seamless src=\"https://share.transistor.fm/e/137682aa\"></iframe>","width":"100%","height":180,"duration":3197,"description":"Prediction Markets: Inside Polymarket, Kalshi, Bots & User Behaviour\nToday we're joined by James Dye, full node researcher at Surf AI, to dive deep into prediction markets and the data behind Polymarket and Kalshi.\nWe discuss:\nPolymarket vs Kalshi\nCrypto markets driving volume\nPolymarket US growth\nPrediction market turnover\nSports and crypto fee engines\nPolymarket user growth and churn\nWhich markets onboard users?\nGeopolitics and user retention\nCross-category user behaviour\nBots vs retail traders\nWho actually makes money?\nPrediction markets’ future\nAnd much more—enjoy!\n—\nTimestamps:\n(00:00) Introduction\n(00:44) James Dye and Surf AI\n(03:19) Prediction market data\n(06:07) Polymarket vs Kalshi\n(10:23) Polymarket US growth\n(12:20) Turnover and fee engines\n(19:33) User growth and churn\n(23:32) What onboards new users?\n(27:39) Retention by market\n(30:05) Cross-category user behaviour\n(33:10) Bots vs retail traders\n(43:20) Who actually makes money?\n(46:10) Prediction markets’ future\n—\nContent links:\nhttps://x.com/DaiZeshi/status/2036902219556213058?s=20\nhttps://panteraresearchlab.xyz/research/crypto-on-the-clock/\nhttps://panteraresearchlab.xyz/research/2026-h1-report-flash-boys-or-superforecasters/\n—\nFollow the guest:\nhttps://x.com/DaiZeshi\n—\nFollow the co-hosts:\nhttps://x.com/hildobby\nhttps://x.com/0xBoxer\nhttps://x.com/sui414\nFollow the Indexed Podcast:\nhttps://x.com/indexed_pod\n—\nThe Indexed Podcast discusses hot topics, trendy metrics and chart crimes in the crypto industry, with a new episode every 1st and 3rd Thursday of the month, brought to you by wizards @hildobby @0xBoxer @sui414.\nSubscribe/follow the show and leave a comment to help us grow the show!\n—\nDISCLAIMER: All information presented here should not be relied upon as legal, financial, investment, tax or even life advice. The views expressed in the podcast are not representative of hosts' employers views. We are acting independently of our respective professional roles.","thumbnail_url":"https://img.transistorcdn.com/IM1tBn8uHFRf1EX50ZrfGhDlw_1FFNNQLXKzAVO7J9A/rs:fill:0:0:1/w:400/h:400/q:60/mb:500000/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbWct/dXBsb2FkLXByb2R1/Y3Rpb24udHJhbnNp/c3Rvci5mbS8yZWI5/OGU3Y2UyZTBmYmUz/ZDM0MTA1MmNmZWEy/MDFlZi5qcGc.webp","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_height":300}