{"type":"rich","version":"1.0","provider_name":"Transistor","provider_url":"https://transistor.fm","author_name":"Money Men","title":"US CPI Report Today: The Moment of Truth for 2026","html":"<iframe width=\"100%\" height=\"180\" frameborder=\"no\" scrolling=\"no\" seamless src=\"https://share.transistor.fm/e/3fd67270\"></iframe>","width":"100%","height":180,"duration":1456,"description":"In less than 1 hour... the most important number of 2026 drops. At 8:30 AM Eastern, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the January CPI report. Will inflation finally break below 2.5%... confirming the soft landing? Or will we get another hot surprise?Here's what most people don't know: 10 out of the last 11 January CPI reports have surprised to the UPSIDE. JPMorgan sees a 42% chance of a hot print. Barclays says there's meaningful upside risk.Today's Show:The January Curse: Why January inflation always runs hot - the annual price reset phenomenon and residual seasonalityWhat JPMorgan Is Seeing: 42.5% odds of a hotter print, but limited market reaction if it happens - the fear is priced inInside The Fed's Head: A structurally dovish Fed more likely to save the labor market than fight inflationPowell's Swan Song: April could be his last meeting - 47% chance of a final rate cutWhat To Watch: Core services, shelter costs, tariff passthrough, car insurance and healthcareThe Three Scenarios: Cool (face ripper rally), In-Line (yawn), Hot (contained damage)Key Numbers:2.5% — Consensus CPI forecast (lowest since May 2025)10 out of 11 — January CPIs that surprised hot42.5% — JPMorgan's odds of a hotter print3.5-3.75% — Current Fed funds rate60 bps — Rate cuts priced for 2026 (2-3 cuts)50% — Odds of first cut in June47% — Odds of cut at Powell's final April meetingKey Insight:POSITIONING matters more than PREDICTION. The market is already braced for bad news. A cool print could be the bigger surprise.Follow Money Men:→ Website: moneymen.fm→ X/Twitter: @moneymenpodTools We Use:→ TradingView: Get TradingView (Charts & analysis)Some links above support the show at no extra cost to you.","thumbnail_url":"https://img.transistorcdn.com/TxCFNMAGE30Dz2mAR6v2ofI6Ww-coz66Xa3aeYEy9fI/rs:fill:0:0:1/w:400/h:400/q:60/mb:500000/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbWct/dXBsb2FkLXByb2R1/Y3Rpb24udHJhbnNp/c3Rvci5mbS83OWE5/YWRkMTdhMzFiMGFj/ODVkZmY0YjU1NmI1/YmQyNi5qcGc.webp","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_height":300}