{"type":"rich","version":"1.0","provider_name":"Transistor","provider_url":"https://transistor.fm","author_name":"Resilience Talk","title":"Analyzing Economic Trends and Predictions for the 2030s","html":"<iframe width=\"100%\" height=\"180\" frameborder=\"no\" scrolling=\"no\" seamless src=\"https://share.transistor.fm/e/9bbbea55\"></iframe>","width":"100%","height":180,"duration":1728,"description":"Every October, the US fiscal year turns over, so every year I sit down with the Treasury's numbers. In this episode from October 2025, I compare fiscal 2025 with 2023 and 2019, look at why the math barely moved across two very different administrations, and walk through why forecasters like ITR Economics expect a long, deep downturn in the 2030s. I close with a short update on what's shifted since, from the Supreme Court's tariff ruling to the pace of AI.\nChapters\n(00:00) Revisiting last year's fiscal analysis\n(04:18) Different stories, same math\n(12:06) Tariffs, Congress and the two Santa Clauses\n(15:40) How countries go broke\n(17:54) Is your house in order for the 2030s?\n(21:44) Forecasting a 2030s depression\n(27:08) What's changed since last year\nConnect with Paul\nWebsite: https://www.secondnature.solutions\nSubscribe to the newsletter: https://www.secondnature.solutions/join\nLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-spencer-7252118/\n#FederalDeficit #NationalDebt #FiscalYear2025 #NetInterest #GovernmentSpending #DebtCycle #EconomicForecast #2030sDepression #FamilyBusiness #ResilienceTalk","thumbnail_url":"https://img.transistorcdn.com/xnaGj8aOPADq2dB-TGF8TCptY_1u-Yv3jNQqdHhPchk/rs:fill:0:0:1/w:400/h:400/q:60/mb:500000/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbWct/dXBsb2FkLXByb2R1/Y3Rpb24udHJhbnNp/c3Rvci5mbS80YTA5/NTZhNDA3NmFmMTVk/YmZiMjU0NTQ1NzQx/YWJkOS5qcGc.webp","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_height":300}