{"type":"rich","version":"1.0","provider_name":"Transistor","provider_url":"https://transistor.fm","author_name":"Retail Media Breakfast Club","title":"Predictive Commerce: Why Life-Stage Data Could Replace Retail Media’s Obsession with Transactions","html":"<iframe width=\"100%\" height=\"180\" frameborder=\"no\" scrolling=\"no\" seamless src=\"https://share.transistor.fm/e/bc2ead6b\"></iframe>","width":"100%","height":180,"duration":602,"description":"Most retail media networks are built to look backward. But what if the real opportunity is predicting what customers will do next? In this episode, a reprise of my recent article for The Drum, I dig into a fascinating new model that challenges the industry’s reliance on transaction data and closed-loop attribution.I’m unpacking my recent conversation with Marco Steinsieck, former head of Sephora’s media network and now GM of Backpack Media, an education-powered commerce media network built on Sallie’s ecosystem. I also play a snippet of Marco's recent appearance on The Middlemen podcast to explore how life-stage signals — like planning for college or making first financial decisions — might be a far more powerful indicator of future purchases than anything sitting in a transaction log. This one raises big questions about where commerce media is headed and whether the current playbook is already outdated.This episode is sponsored by Mirakl AdsTimeline[00:00] – Why most commerce media networks are stuck selling the past [00:30] – Marco Steinsieck's big idea: predicting future purchases, not past behavior [01:04] – Life-stage data vs. transaction data: why one is a leading indicator [02:00] – Inside Backpack Media and how education data powers predictive modeling [03:15] – Lessons from Sephora: building a high-performing media network without massive scale [04:00] – The privacy-first challenge of building media inside a financial institution [07:30] – Is this really “commerce media”? Rethinking the definition of the category [09:00] – Why predictive commerce is still unproven, and what needs to happen nextLinks & ResourcesMarco Steinsieck profile on The Drum: Meet the former Sephora exec betting commerce media can predict the futureMarco Steinsieck's full appearance on The Middlemen podcast: Beyond Transactions — Marco Steinsieck (Backpack Media)Subscribe to The Middlemen on YouTube and Apple PodcastsFollow Marco Steinsieck on LinkedInRead my related articles:Best...","thumbnail_url":"https://img.transistorcdn.com/leXjG3eX2Oionus255cCT4ARULtDc4JRA6cGjzbnYvM/rs:fill:0:0:1/w:400/h:400/q:60/mb:500000/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbWct/dXBsb2FkLXByb2R1/Y3Rpb24udHJhbnNp/c3Rvci5mbS9hNDU3/ODBmMzkwODY0NDEx/ZGJhNDk2NDc0MWY4/NzcwMS5qcGc.webp","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_height":300}