{"type":"rich","version":"1.0","provider_name":"Transistor","provider_url":"https://transistor.fm","author_name":"In the Loop AI","title":"AI 2027 Was Too Late: The Forecasters Now Expect a Superhuman AI Researcher Next Year","html":"<iframe width=\"100%\" height=\"180\" frameborder=\"no\" scrolling=\"no\" seamless src=\"https://share.transistor.fm/e/ec5ec73c\"></iframe>","width":"100%","height":180,"duration":1183,"description":"The forecasters behind AI 2027, the most famous prediction of how AI takes over AI research, walked their dates back to the 2030s. Now a new METR report on Anthropic's internal models has pulled them forward again: they think they were five months too late. Ejaaz breaks down what the AI Futures Project now expects, an AI as good as the best AI researcher in 2027 and a 35 to 65% chance of AI that can do all white-collar work before 2028, and why the people closest to it say they're scared.\nWe also cover why the models doing this aren't the ones you can use, the labs' calls to pace the frontier, the case against (redacted evidence, chips and power, Apollo's \"zero financial payoff\"), what Fermat, Signal and new math results say about 2027, and where Ejaaz lands.\n==\nFOLLOW EJAAZ ON TWITTER:\nhttps://x.com/cryptopunk7213\n==\nTimestamps\n00:00 Superintelligence Has a Date Now\n01:09 The 1% and the 99%\n01:50 What AI 2027 Predicted\n03:04 Five Months Too Late\n03:30 The Headline Numbers\n05:28 It's Already Happening\n07:09 Pace the Frontier\n08:15 The Models You Can't Use\n09:04 Why the Labs Hold Back\n10:44 It's Not Your Fault\n11:10 The Case Against\n13:27 Can We Trust the Forecast?\n13:54 2027 in Miniature\n16:36 The Skeptic's View\n17:46 Where I Land\n#ai #ai2027 #superintelligence #anthropic #agi\n==\nAlphaSpace by Yahoo Finance: A Professional-Grade Investment Platform Built for Everyday Investors.\n👉 https://finance.yahoo.com/about/promos/gold/alphaspace/?ncid=100003571","thumbnail_url":"https://img.transistorcdn.com/eEvfDcioyXt_JP5dOd1j7wEY5UftNIM06PjgQA_TLes/rs:fill:0:0:1/w:400/h:400/q:60/mb:500000/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbWct/dXBsb2FkLXByb2R1/Y3Rpb24udHJhbnNp/c3Rvci5mbS82MmQx/ODlmNDYyMjIxZTU3/NTgwOGJjMmUzZTkz/OWE5Ny5wbmc.webp","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_height":300}