{"type":"rich","version":"1.0","provider_name":"Transistor","provider_url":"https://transistor.fm","author_name":"80,000 Hours Podcast","title":"#96 – Nina Schick on disinformation and the rise of synthetic media","html":"<iframe width=\"100%\" height=\"180\" frameborder=\"no\" scrolling=\"no\" seamless src=\"https://share.transistor.fm/e/fb838703\"></iframe>","width":"100%","height":180,"duration":7204,"description":"You might have heard fears like this in the last few years: What if Donald Trump was woken up in the middle of the night and shown a fake video —  indistinguishable from a real one — in which Kim Jong Un announced an imminent nuclear strike on the U.S.? \r\n\r\nToday’s guest Nina Schick, author of Deepfakes: The Coming Infocalypse, thinks these concerns were the result of hysterical reporting, and that the barriers to entry in terms of making a very sophisticated ‘deepfake’ video today are a lot higher than people think. \r\n\r\nBut she also says that by the end of the decade, YouTubers will be able to produce the kind of content that's currently only accessible to Hollywood studios. So is it just a matter of time until we’ll be right to be terrified of this stuff? \r\n\r\nLinks to learn more, summary and full transcript.\r\n\r\nNina thinks the problem of misinformation and disinformation might be roughly as important as climate change, because as she says: “Everything exists within this information ecosystem, it encompasses everything.” We haven’t done enough research to properly weigh in on that ourselves, but Rob did present Nina with some early objections, such as:  \r\n\r\n• Won’t people quickly learn that audio and video can be faked, and so will only take them seriously if they come from a trusted source?  \r\n• If photoshop didn’t lead to total chaos, why should this be any different?  \r\n\r\nBut the grim reality is that if you wrote “I believe that the world will end on April 6, 2022” and pasted it next to a photo of Albert Einstein — a lot of people would believe it was a genuine quote. And Nina thinks that flawless synthetic videos will represent a significant jump in our ability to deceive. \r\n\r\nShe also points out that the direct impact of fake videos is just one side of the issue. In a world where all media can be faked, everything can be denied. \r\n\r\nConsider Trump’s infamous Access Hollywood tape. If that happened in 2020 instead of 2016, he would have almost certainly...","thumbnail_url":"https://img.transistorcdn.com/VO1STE7hN95RRg9QdLo4soV2VhhbR9PF5ZZlRhDYcwE/rs:fill:0:0:1/w:400/h:400/q:60/mb:500000/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbWct/dXBsb2FkLXByb2R1/Y3Rpb24udHJhbnNp/c3Rvci5mbS9zaG93/LzQxNDAyLzE2ODM1/NDQ1NDAtYXJ0d29y/ay5qcGc.webp","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_height":300}