{"type":"rich","version":"1.0","provider_name":"Transistor","provider_url":"https://transistor.fm","author_name":"The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics","title":"A fragile ceasefire: What next for economies and markets?","html":"<iframe width=\"100%\" height=\"180\" frameborder=\"no\" scrolling=\"no\" seamless src=\"https://share.transistor.fm/e/fca90461\"></iframe>","width":"100%","height":180,"duration":2153,"description":"The latest Weekly Briefing covers the global outlook, financial markets and energy. Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing explains what the ceasefire in the Middle East means for growth and inflation, how quickly the world economy could recover if it holds, and what happens if fighting resumes.\nJames Reilly, a Senior Economist on our Markets team, joins to run through updated forecasts for equities and bonds, why markets have held up relatively well, and why the stock market highs expected before the war now look out of reach.\nPlus, in an exclusive clip from a recent client briefing, our Climate & Commodities team explain why restoring oil supply is not as simple as flicking a switch, and the constraints on refined product output.\nRelated \nIran conflict: Global macro and market implications\nhttps://www.capitaleconomics.com/key-issues/iran-conflict\nWatch: How the Middle East conflict has changed the price outlook\nhttps://www.capitaleconomics.com/events/commodities-drop-how-middle-east-conflict-has-changed-price-outlook\nMapping the next stage of the AI rally\nhttps://www.capitaleconomics.com/publications/equities-focus/mapping-next-stage-ai-rally\nGet trial access: https://www.capitaleconomics.com/solutions/subscription-products#trial-request","thumbnail_url":"https://img.transistorcdn.com/k4wrAyzb9LdWZZe1LSeSSMxKx41PGd_uydFNbSPeNvI/rs:fill:0:0:1/w:400/h:400/q:60/mb:500000/aHR0cHM6Ly9pbWct/dXBsb2FkLXByb2R1/Y3Rpb24udHJhbnNp/c3Rvci5mbS9jYzVh/ZjA4OWMzZDgzNDVk/N2JiMzlkOGY3NzZl/OTE2Yy5wbmc.webp","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_height":300}