Beyond Markets

The Beyond Markets podcast channel is wrapping up on a high note at the end of 2025. But do not worry! The conversation continues on our podcast Moving Markets by Julius Baer, where we'll be sharing fresh insights and analysis on current market developments.

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US Treasuries and equities staged a strong comeback last week after US President Donald Trump appeared to strike a conciliatory tone on Fed Chair Jerome Powell and on the tariff deadlock with China. However, several US manufacturing activity indicators point to renewed contraction in regional manufacturing activities, and polls conducted by ABC News and The Washington Post revealed that 64% of respondents disapprove of the Trump tariffs, and 7 in 10 believe that the tariffs will lead to higher inflation.

Against this backdrop, Julius Baer now expects two 50 bps rate cuts for the US, and have raised its recession probability to 50% from 35% for the next 12 months.

This episode is presented by Magdalene Teo, Head of Fixed Income Research Asia at Julius Baer.

What is Beyond Markets?

Beyond Markets by Julius Baer will no longer be publishing new episodes.
The show continues under a new podcast, Moving Markets, where we will keep delivering timely market perspectives, expert insights, and strategic thinking on global economic and financial developments.
Subscribe to Moving Markets to stay connected with our latest views and analysis.
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2AYJMvVqqIavsPP7v4YxEs?si=89f4cbc96d574239
Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/ch/podcast/moving-markets-daily-news/id1628819647

The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.