{ "version": "1.0.0", "segments": [ { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "0.39999998", "endTime": "19.845", "body": "Ladies and gentlemen, welcome in to this two seven twenty six edition of the Hedging the Bet podcast, the most important episode of the year, the most content rich episode of the year you could argue. As always, I'm your host Gabe Souza, and we have a new face on the podcast today. My good pal, Champ, Zach. Hey, Zach. How are you doing on this lovely Saturday?" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "19.845", "endTime": "21.765", "body": "I'm I'm great. Don't call me Champ." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "21.765", "endTime": "32.079998", "body": "Okay. My fault. Of course, I'm referring to him as Champ because we were the champions of the twenty twenty five Twin Lakes employee scramble. So it was an endearment, of course, in the nicest way possible." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "32.079998", "endTime": "33.12", "body": "You know what? I'll accept it." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "33.12", "endTime": "39.44", "body": "You'll accept it. You'll let it slide. You'll it slide. Of course, with Grayson and you know? Oh, Grayson Duncanson is his last name and Clark Susan, my brother." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "39.44", "endTime": "42.484997", "body": "Clark moved out to Pennsylvania. So What? We had to oh, you didn't" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "42.484997", "endTime": "43.844997", "body": "even know that. You didn't" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "43.844997", "endTime": "48.085", "body": "say scoops. This is yeah. He moved, like, twenty minutes outside of Philly. So Oh. Yeah." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "48.085", "endTime": "54.725", "body": "So, Zach, you are the replacement. Of course, Zach graduated from college, and I think in 2011. So he's No. No." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "54.725", "endTime": "55.765", "body": "It was just last spring." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "55.765", "endTime": "60.800003", "body": "But Okay. Oh, my fault. That's besides the point. Big big misunderstanding. We're gonna talk about the Super Bowl today." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "60.800003", "endTime": "73.615", "body": "Of course, this is this is the most content rich episode of the year as we alluded to. A lot of stuff to talk about here. It's the bettor's dream. Dream game to bet on. So much stuff that you can spend your money on." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "73.615", "endTime": "81.935", "body": "As the sports books might put it, waste your money on. But Yep. We're smart. And if you listen to this podcast, you're gonna be betting on the right things and winning a lot of money this weekend." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "81.935", "endTime": "85.82", "body": "Oh, I don't know about that, but, you know, there's a possibility, of course." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "85.82", "endTime": "92.22", "body": "Alright. Yeah. And You know? Yeah. And I would like to reassure the listeners that that we give good betting advice as a puzzle." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "92.22", "endTime": "94.78", "body": "We do. We do. We do. Of course. Of course." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "94.78", "endTime": "114.11", "body": "But Let's start off by setting the scene for this game we played in San Francisco. Outdoor game for the first time in a little bit, it feels like. Spread going into this game, Seahawks minus four and a half, the over under set at 45 and a half. Most important decision of the game, of course, comes before the coin toss. Gonna get into this real quick." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "114.509995", "endTime": "118.99", "body": "I will let Zach Hay make his pick first, but for me, it's pretty obvious. Go ahead, Zach Hay." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "118.99", "endTime": "121.47", "body": "So we're talking like fate of the universe on the line?" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "121.47", "endTime": "124.03", "body": "Yeah. You have to you have to get this coin toss. Right?" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "124.35", "endTime": "127.07", "body": "Who's winning the coin or what what's the coin toss?" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "127.07", "endTime": "128.565", "body": "What's the coin toss gonna Okay." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "128.565", "endTime": "134.565", "body": "Okay. So I got I got it at heads. Okay. I think that everybody says tails never fails." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "134.565", "endTime": "134.88501", "body": "Sure." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "134.88501", "endTime": "136.725", "body": "It it sure does." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "136.725", "endTime": "137.60501", "body": "Yeah. Yeah." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "137.60501", "endTime": "138.005", "body": "And it will" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "138.005", "endTime": "138.80501", "body": "fail this Sunday." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "138.80501", "endTime": "140.48502", "body": "50% of the time. Oh, yeah." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "140.565", "endTime": "160.09502", "body": "Yeah. Well and a quick stat for that, the last 10 coin flips, heads is only one four of the time. So if you're going based off of probability and long long term statistics term statistics, I should say, heads is the leading favorite right now. Seems like it's a popular pick as well. Heads is our selection going into this game, and it will happen this Sunday." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "160.335", "endTime": "170.57501", "body": "Moving on, we're gonna talk about the beginning of the game here. Some team has to score a touchdown at some point. We're gonna try and select who's gonna be the first player to do so. Zach, hey. Your pick for the first touchdown score of this game." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "171.11", "endTime": "178.55", "body": "So I went a little off the board here. I got I got Cooper Kupp. You know? He's a trusty vet. Moment's not too big for him." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "178.55", "endTime": "194.455", "body": "He's been there before. You know, I I don't think that he's gonna be faced by the pressure. He he's just sitting at plus 1,400 for the first TD scorer. So I think that this is a great value pick based on, you know, the experience on this on on the Seahawk squad." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "194.455", "endTime": "213.935", "body": "Yeah. But I also went for Cooper Kupp as my first touchdown pick, funny enough. And and I'll let the listener know that that we do not coordinate these beforehand. We didn't know what we picked. But but, yeah, in a world full of, like, alluded to talented players, I met, like JSN and, like, younger players who have been shining this year." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "213.935", "endTime": "217.53499", "body": "Yes. That's what I meant by proven ones. Yes. Yes. Yes." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "217.53499", "endTime": "225.86", "body": "I you know, you have like you mentioned, he's a trusted red zone target. He's been really reliable, and it feels like the patriots are gonna have to commit to Kenneth Walker on the ground or" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "225.93999", "endTime": "226.09999", "body": "Yeah." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "226.18", "endTime": "238.73999", "body": "JSN, obviously, great talent throughout the air. And, you know, he's played in big games before. He won the triple crown in the 2122 season, and he won Super Bowl MVP. He's a Super Bowl champion. He's performed well in the biggest game on the biggest stage." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "238.73999", "endTime": "251.45999", "body": "I like Cooper Kupp. He's at plus 1,400 odds right now on DraftKings Sportsbook. Of course, this is being recorded on the Thursday before two 05:26. So things are subject or odds odds are subject to change. Yep." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "251.45999", "endTime": "260.1", "body": "And moving on, we're gonna talk about our anytime touchdown score lock. I actually went with Cooper Kupp for both of these. Okay. So I I didn't know if you had any diversity there if you wanna" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "260.1", "endTime": "261.38", "body": "jump on that. JSN." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "261.38", "endTime": "261.62", "body": "Okay." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "261.62", "endTime": "269.79498", "body": "He's at minus one ten. Yeah. I think he'll get in the end zone. Sure. He's you know, the one thing about JSN is he performs in big games." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "269.79498", "endTime": "273.555", "body": "Yeah. Right? Think about the I can't remember what year it was, but the the Rose Bowl." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "273.555", "endTime": "275.79498", "body": "Yeah. Yeah. Against Utah. Against Utah." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "275.79498", "endTime": "278.83", "body": "Yeah. 300 and something yards, I think three touchdowns." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "278.83", "endTime": "281.07", "body": "And he's still doing it today throughout this playoffs. And" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "281.15", "endTime": "283.63", "body": "Yep. Yep. He he performs in big time moments." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "284.03", "endTime": "290.66998", "body": "So, yeah, even though he's such a young player and he's he he, you know, he's really burst on the scene, offensive player of the year favorite right now." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "290.66998", "endTime": "290.99", "body": "Mhmm." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "290.99", "endTime": "294.605", "body": "I love that pick. That was at minus you said minus one ten for his final. And that's" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "294.685", "endTime": "295.80502", "body": "That's on DraftKings." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "295.80502", "endTime": "307.41", "body": "Man, that's gotta be a great feeling if you're heading into a Super Bowl and you look at sports book, and I'm sure these NFL guys are not looking at the sports book going into it. Mhmm. But maybe seeing your name with minus odds to score a touchdown, that's gotta be a great feeling going into the biggest game of the year." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "307.41", "endTime": "308.05", "body": "No doubt." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "308.05", "endTime": "321.145", "body": "Of course, I have Cooper Kupp for the same reasons I had for first town first touchdown score, and it seems a little bit cheesy because if he's the first touchdown score, he's gonna be the end anytime. But he's plus two sixty odds. I just thought that value was too good. Yeah. Like I mentioned, he's a veteran." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "321.145", "endTime": "332.185", "body": "He's crafty. He's gonna get into the end zone in big moments. He's already done in 2022, and I think he's gonna do it again this year despite not being the top receiving threat. Moving on. We're gonna talk about some novelty props." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "332.185", "endTime": "352.905", "body": "These are some of the these are some of things that you wouldn't get in a normal game betting on that, you know, the sports books provide us with the fun opportunity to bet on these going into the big game as it's called by by because you know the Super Bowl, like, you're not allowed to say the Super Bowl. If you watch any commercial this year that's not like NFL sanctioned, they'll say the big game. They'll say the big game. Yeah. You're not allowed." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "352.905", "endTime": "356.185", "body": "The Super Bowl is like coined or trademarked or whatever the legal term is." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "356.185", "endTime": "356.505", "body": "So Okay." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "356.505", "endTime": "368.68002", "body": "Yeah. So listen for the big game this year. You'll hear it more often than think. So we're gonna talk about the rushing leader of this game. To odds on favorite to lead the game in rushing yards is Kenneth Walker." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "368.68002", "endTime": "372.36002", "body": "Zach, did you choose K nine going into this contest to lead the game in rushing yards?" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "372.485", "endTime": "373.445", "body": "I did not." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "373.445", "endTime": "373.76498", "body": "Really?" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "373.76498", "endTime": "376.085", "body": "Okay. I did not. I picked Trayvon Henderson." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "376.085", "endTime": "376.64502", "body": "Okay." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "377.525", "endTime": "383.925", "body": "You know, I gotta ride with my dog. He he kinda carried me through the fantasy season. Sure. He's at plus 2,000 for this." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "383.925", "endTime": "384.485", "body": "Yeah. You know?" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "384.485", "endTime": "388.22", "body": "Yeah. It's a little bit of a long shot, but I like him. I like him" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "388.22", "endTime": "415.78", "body": "a lot. Feels like it feels like Kenneth Walker is such a heavy favorite that that putting some coin on a value pick like that really could benefit you be just because in the off chance that he gets it, it's the value gap between Kenneth Walker who is at minus one seventy five, almost minus 200 odds to the rushing leader. Yeah. Unfortunately, I was not as bold. I did take Kenneth Walker to lead the game in rushing yards with Jack Zach Chardonnay being down and the Patriots having a split backfield with Trayvon Henderson and Ramadi Stevenson." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "415.78", "endTime": "430.12503", "body": "It seemed like a safe conservative bet. Of course, that was what I like doing. I think I think if anything, if someone's gonna lead the Patriot in rushing yards, I would choose Drake May at plus 500. We've seen in big moments, especially throughout this playoffs that he's taken off and run. He's not afraid to do that." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "430.36502", "endTime": "454.075", "body": "So but I went with the conservative bet, Spartan Dog, Kenneth Walker at minus one seventy five to lead the game in rushing yards. Moving on to receiving yards, I don't think that there's much of a debate here unless if you went with okay. You're shaking your head over there. JSN at minus 170 odds right now. I said if you wanna get cute with Rashid Shaheed, similar to the Trevya Henderson, kinda like he's at Shaheed's at plus 2,200." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "454.075", "endTime": "477.53003", "body": "We saw last game as well. He had that deep ball. It's a possibility if the Patriots really eliminate JSN and, you know, commit double him the entire game, and he's just not open, which I don't even know that's enough to be honest with you. Yeah. It's a possibility that Shahid will be open down the field, and maybe maybe he'll walk away with, you know, a 100 yards and have a deep completion or two and lead the game." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "477.69", "endTime": "501.03", "body": "And so that's why plus 2,200 isn't terrible odds. But if you look at the 16 games that JSN's played this season in the entirety, 12 of them. 12 of the 16 games he's led the entire game in receiving yards. If you want a conservative bet that's not too, I guess, short of odds, It's JSN minus one seventy to lead this game in receiving yards. Now going on to the really fun and sorry." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "501.03", "endTime": "503.19", "body": "You were JSN as well. Right? I was JSN. Okay. Alright." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "503.19", "endTime": "512.045", "body": "Any other thing to add besides that? I mean No. No. You talked about how he shows up in big moments, whether it be the Rose Bowl from three years ago or playoff games last week. Right?" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "512.045", "endTime": "523.805", "body": "So moving on to the more fun props, we'll say. The novelty props. The novelty. Those were technically novelty props, but they're still sports sports related. These are these are fun ones that you really don't see." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "524.66003", "endTime": "534.98004", "body": "Zach, if you you know what? I'll we'll go we'll go one one one one. Okay. My first prop here was a doink at plus 600. I've so I've bet on this the past two years in a row." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "535.14", "endTime": "545.825", "body": "It's one for two. And listen, this isn't one of those things where you're betting on it to win money. Right? If you're betting on a field goal doink and the in interest and you do research and like, you look at, oh, it's in Levi's Stadium. It's outdoors." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "545.825", "endTime": "557.01996", "body": "There's gonna be, you know, 13 mile per hour winds and he's you know? This is one of those things you bet on for fun. It makes the game more interesting. Right? Don't don't bet your, you know, your kid's college tuition fund whatever on a field goal doink, please." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "557.01996", "endTime": "566.77997", "body": "This is that is not betting advice. Mhmm. But plus 600 odds, I'd love to see a ball drift and hit one of those up posts. Of course, that applies to a field goal attempt or an extra point attempt. Biggest game of the year." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "566.77997", "endTime": "575.34503", "body": "Kickers could be a little shaky. Outdoor stadium as well. You never know we're gonna get that doink. And let me tell you what, when you see that ball drifting, you hear that Mhmm. Is the best feeling in the world." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "575.34503", "endTime": "577.425", "body": "Zach, go into your first pick for your novelty prop." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "577.425", "endTime": "578.22504", "body": "No. I have a question on" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "578.22504", "endTime": "578.865", "body": "that bet. Sure." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "578.865", "endTime": "583.71", "body": "So do you lose if if it doinks and goes in, do you lose? No. It's just gotta hit the upright." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "583.87", "endTime": "588.51", "body": "Just gotta hit the upright. Alright. Alright. But not not I I would have to check. I don't think crossbar counts." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "588.51", "endTime": "590.03", "body": "I think it has to be upright. Yep." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "590.03", "endTime": "590.27", "body": "Okay." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "590.27", "endTime": "592.51", "body": "Yep. So anyway, go into your first novelty prop here." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "592.51", "endTime": "600.855", "body": "Okay. I really like this one. Sure. Kind of a shot at Pete Carroll here by the sports books. Seahawks to attempt to pass from on or inside the Patriots" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "600.855", "endTime": "602.695", "body": "100 I've seen this one." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "603.575", "endTime": "607.175", "body": "I I said yes. The the odds are plus five fifty on that." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "608.935", "endTime": "611.015", "body": "It's with sorry. It's within the five or the one yard line?" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "611.015", "endTime": "611.415", "body": "The one." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "611.415", "endTime": "632.935", "body": "One. Okay. So I think the trickiest part about that would be actually getting to the one yard line and, you know, because sometimes you'll you know, you the team has to get down to the one yard Right. What's what to support your your theory here, I don't if you saw the clip of Sam Darnold, but someone brought up the hypothetical situation in media. And he said he said, you know, game on the line." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "632.935", "endTime": "643.24", "body": "He brought up the same situation as Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch the year prior or not year prior, in the previous Super Bowl in this situation. And he said he said, I'm gonna pass the ball. I have confidence in my team." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "643.24", "endTime": "643.48", "body": "Wow." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "643.48", "endTime": "645.8", "body": "So Wow. And that's that's kind of a PR answer." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "645.8", "endTime": "646.27997", "body": "Yeah. But you" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "646.27997", "endTime": "661.825", "body": "can't say you're afraid to throw the ball. Right? So in in actuality, I think that they would be likely to run the ball, but they have no Zach Charbonnet. We've no Zach Charbonnet comes in and snakes touchdowns away from Kenneth Walker. So so if you take Sam Donald's word for it, your bet should happen." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "661.825", "endTime": "664.22504", "body": "So I love that bet. Anything else to add or do you want me to go into my" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "664.145", "endTime": "665.185", "body": "No. Next Go ahead. Ahead." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "665.61", "endTime": "678.41", "body": "Here we go. The sports book called this one fifty shades of May. Oh. Interesting. Little little weird there, but it's Drake made to have a 50 plus rushing yard or passing play or passing completion for 50 plus yards." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "678.84503", "endTime": "703.43", "body": "I think that and this is at plus one fifteen odds. Now I was doing some research, and for where the odds are at, he's only I believe to my knowledge, he's only really done this four times this year, but I think the the sportsbooks know that this is a big moment, and Drake May has shown up in big moments. And people might be afraid to take this bet because he's kinda farmed what's the nicest way to put this? Subpar teams throughout the course of this year. They call him Drake the schedule." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "703.43", "endTime": "710.195", "body": "May is his nickname that I've seen. But I like Drake May. He's been going for that deep ball with Kaeshawn Booty. Booty? Booty." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "710.195", "endTime": "721.92", "body": "Booty. Booty. And we've also seen that he's a threat on the ground on his feet. One of the flyest white boys in the league right now, whether it be through on the ground or through the air. And so I like Drake May to have a 50 plus rushing yard." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "721.92", "endTime": "732.56", "body": "And honestly, if this is gonna be done, it's probably gonna be 50 yards through the air. It's it's highly unlikely he gets 50 yards on the ground. But if he does, it'll be electric, and I'll win some dough. Zach, on to you for your final novelty prop." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "732.56", "endTime": "741.84503", "body": "Okay. So I got total number of songs in Bad Bunny's performance over 11 and a half. Wow. Yeah. You know, I think it's gonna be a real kinda chaotic Yeah." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "741.84503", "endTime": "748.22", "body": "Halftime performance. I don't think it's gonna be bad, but I think that, you know, I think that some people are gonna be a little confused. You know?" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "748.22", "endTime": "754.69995", "body": "Yeah. Yeah. The and the performance is gonna be iced out, I'm sure as well. Of course, to the jewelry. Jewelry that he'll be wearing." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "754.69995", "endTime": "754.86", "body": "Yeah." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "754.86", "endTime": "755.1", "body": "I'm sure." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "755.1", "endTime": "763.5", "body": "Yeah. But I like I think I think Bad Bunny is a high intensity, high speed artist. Right? I like that he's gonna be switching back. It was similar to like when pop artists get on." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "763.795", "endTime": "775.395", "body": "Like, let's say Rihanna, you know, she was just song after song after song. Kendrick Lamar, hip hop, a little bit slower. It wasn't as fast, so maybe an uptick in songs this year. I really like that. Where'd you find what'd you what'd you find that on?" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "775.395", "endTime": "777.47504", "body": "This was on DraftKings. Okay. Okay." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "777.85", "endTime": "781.53", "body": "The the over the over and the under were set at minus one ten. Gotcha." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "781.53", "endTime": "791.85", "body": "Gotcha. Okay. I like that. So I have a Doinka plus 600, and then Drake Mays had a 50 plus rushing or passing play. You have them to pass to attempt to is it just attempt to pass?" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "791.93", "endTime": "792.72504", "body": "To attempt pass." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "792.72504", "endTime": "800.72504", "body": "Yep. Attempt to pass at the one yard line. Right? And then and that's funny that the sports book do that, honestly. And then Bad Bunny over 11 and a half songs." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "800.72504", "endTime": "807.12", "body": "Mhmm. And you expect him to bring on some different artists as well. Maybe they'll they'll boost that number up. We'll see." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "807.12", "endTime": "807.44", "body": "Yeah." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "807.44", "endTime": "817.28", "body": "Right. Who was I think Shakira brought out Bad Bunny a couple years ago. I had to someone brought out Bad Bunny a couple years ago, so maybe they'll kinda return the favor. Yeah. So I like that pick." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "817.28", "endTime": "826.35504", "body": "Moving on. We're gonna talk about our Super Bowl Super Bowl champion and then Super Bowl MVP right after as well. Zacchae, I'll let you start this off, but I'm assuming we're picking the same team here." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "826.515", "endTime": "828.35504", "body": "I hit we're doing money line?" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "828.35504", "endTime": "829.075", "body": "Yeah. Money line." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "829.075", "endTime": "835.875", "body": "I I have the Seahawks at minus two forty. Yep. I think that they'll end up just being too much for the Patriots." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "835.875", "endTime": "852.22003", "body": "Yeah. So you look at you look at the Patriots going into this game, and they've had the easy schedule going up. And, you know, you can't you can't blame the you know, the Patriots are just stepping in and winning the games. But Right. You look at the offensive production in the past three playoff games, albeit they've been against top five defenses in the NFL." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "852.80505", "endTime": "886.36505", "body": "But they've really, the Patriots I I don't have the numbers in front me, but the Patriots have only scored they've scored less than 30 points, I believe, going into this going into this Super Bowl And when you're, you know, you you play Jared Stidham and, you know, and and I don't wanna discredit Jared Stidham, especially and you're in a snow game where your defensive backs are invisible because they're blending in the snow. Right? So they've been, I don't wanna say fraudulent, but they've had a bit of a fraudulent run going up. And I don't wanna discredit Robert Kraft with organization because Patriots are obviously amazing. But and they're a fun team to watch for sure." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "886.36505", "endTime": "897.72003", "body": "But the Seahawks let's talk about the Seahawks squad. I mean, they have been unstoppable. No one, and I mean, no one can stop Jackson Smith and Jigba. Cooper Kupp, crafty veteran, of course. He has experience in these championship games." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "897.72003", "endTime": "915.135", "body": "The best experience in all sports is championship experience. And you haven't even have guys like AJ Barner, know, tight end who's really shown out this year. Your offensive line is playing incredible. Even with Zach Charbonnet going down, Kenneth Walker has stepped up in a big way throughout these playoffs. And your defense, Devon Witherspoon, all these guys are stepping up and playing incredible." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "915.21497", "endTime": "934.065", "body": "And the NFC side of the ball, let's face it, has faced better offensive offenses throughout the playoffs. You look at the Patriots, and they've gone against the chargers. And we know Justin Herbert has a terrible offensive line of struggles in the playoffs. Then you have the Texans, and CJ Stroud has played terribly in the playoffs, and the Texans arguably shouldn't have been in the playoffs. They're in a weak AFC South division." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "934.065", "endTime": "943.825", "body": "Mhmm. And then you look at the Broncos, and they have Jared Sinema at the helm. Right? And the Seahawks have been through a gauntlet. I mean, the Rams, how great were the Rams games as your Rams, Seahawks games?" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "943.825", "endTime": "956.39", "body": "Absolute cinema. And, you know, you look at just even the Panthers. Right? The Panthers snuck their way in the playoffs, and they put 30 on the Rams. So so the Seahawks have been more battle tested, which is why I like them going into this game more." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "956.55", "endTime": "974.22504", "body": "And then, of course, they have three Spartan dogs on their team right now, so, course, I had to pull for the Seahawks. And my Super Bowl MVP, it seems like by default, it's gonna be Sam Darnold. Unless if JSN surmounts a 100 yards, I could see it. If JSN has a 100 yards and a touchdown, that's how he gets it. But Yeah." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "974.22504", "endTime": "994.03503", "body": "Sam Darnold, the story is too good for him, a guy, you know, third overall pick, kind of been a journeyman quarterback. Been through the ringer, been through the ups and downs. He has a clip of him saying that he's seeing ghosts out there, you thought that that was gonna be the kind of the end of Sam Darnold on the jet squad. But he comes back, he's gonna lead his team to a Super Bowl. And so I like him as Super Bowl MVP." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "994.03503", "endTime": "995.795", "body": "Do you challenge that at all?" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "995.795", "endTime": "996.91504", "body": "I I have JSN." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "996.91504", "endTime": "998.435", "body": "Okay. And I I agree with that." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "998.435", "endTime": "1010.51996", "body": "Yeah. I I think, like we said, you know, he shows up in big moments. I think he I think he's bound to have a big game. He is the primary target. His odds are at plus five fifty." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1010.51996", "endTime": "1021.96497", "body": "Think that's a good value. It's just because it's just because you have to put Drake May in front of him because Drake May is a quarterback. And to the Patriots from the Super Bowl, I don't see a world as not Drake Bay as Super Bowl MVP. Yeah. Absolutely." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1021.96497", "endTime": "1033.085", "body": "Just because the wide receiver room, no discredit to them, that they don't have like that star that JSN is. And then the running back room is a split committee right now, of course. Yep. Okay. So that's gonna do it for that's all we have right now." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1033.085", "endTime": "1050.4651", "body": "We're gonna run through our picks again as we always recap. Just a quick reminder, Seahawks are the well, not heavy favorites, but in terms of Super Bowl, four and a half points is nothing to bat an eye at, we'll say here. Yeah. Over under a set of 45 and a half. We took heads as our coin toss bet lock." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1050.4651", "endTime": "1053.025", "body": "Not bet. It's not a bet because we know we're gonna be right. It's a lock." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "1053.025", "endTime": "1053.985", "body": "It's gonna be heads." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1053.985", "endTime": "1074.2001", "body": "It's gonna be heads. First touchdown score, we have Cooper Kupp plus 1,400 odds right now. Anytime touchdown score, Zach Hay had Jackson Smith and Jigboye minus one ten if I'm not wrong about that. Cooper Kupp for me at plus two sixty novelty props. I have Kenneth Walker at minus one seventy five to lead the game rushing yards." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1074.2001", "endTime": "1077.125", "body": "Zach Hay with Trevon Harrison at 2,000" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "1077.125", "endTime": "1078.165", "body": "plus 2,000. Yep." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1078.165", "endTime": "1084.005", "body": "Yep. Plus 2,000 odds. Maybe shot in the dark. I I will say about Drake May. He's plus 500 odds." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1084.005", "endTime": "1092.2299", "body": "If he was plus a thousand, I might look at it just because he's a threat on the ground. Mhmm. And maybe they're gonna bottle up Kenneth Walker. You never know. But plus 500, I don't think the value is there to take him." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1092.5499", "endTime": "1110.2451", "body": "Leave the game in receiving yards. We both have Jackson Smith and Jigba at minus one seventy. He's just a heavy favorite right now, and I think that's the most conservative bet you can take throughout the Super Bowl for decent odds at that. Shahid deep ball maybe at plus 2,200 odds we discussed. Novelty props." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1110.2451", "endTime": "1133.26", "body": "I have a doink at plus 600 odds. We're hoping that the kickers are, you know, they're not built for the moment and they're gonna shank one into the post plus 600 odds, like I said. And then 50 shades of matric made to have 50 plus rushing yards or 50 plus passing play. That's at plus one fifteen odds. Not great value there, but I do believe it'll happen if the patriots want to stay in or even win this game." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1133.6849", "endTime": "1136.1649", "body": "Zach Hay, I'm blanking out. What was your first prop?" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "1136.1649", "endTime": "1137.5249", "body": "The seahawks to attempt to pass." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1137.5249", "endTime": "1140.8849", "body": "Right. Attempt to pass. The one yard line. And what was the what was it was plus 500." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "1140.8849", "endTime": "1141.845", "body": "Plus five fifty." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1141.845", "endTime": "1142.325", "body": "Plus five fifty." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "1142.325", "endTime": "1147.365", "body": "And then total number of songs in Bad Bunny's performance over 11 and a half minus one ten." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1147.365", "endTime": "1164.2001", "body": "And it gives you a reason to, watch the halftime show and stay stay locked in an intent on that, of course. Mhmm. Mhmm. Super Bowl champion, we both took the seahawks at minus two thirty. Although the public is on the patriots right now, 54% have taken the patriots, but I expect that as bets fly in over the weekend that that will shift." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1164.335", "endTime": "1171.295", "body": "Mhmm. Super Bowl MVP, I have Sam Darnold, plus one fifteen. You have Jackson Smith and Jigba at plus 500, something around there." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "1171.295", "endTime": "1172.415", "body": "Yeah. Plus five fifty." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1172.415", "endTime": "1181.39", "body": "Plus five fifty. And that's gonna round out our bets for the Super Bowl this year. Zach, hey. I'd like to appreciate or thank you for coming on this episode. You made the long drive." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1181.39", "endTime": "1184.11", "body": "Were you coming from Rochester? Yeah. Lake Orion. Lake Orion. That's right." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "1184.11", "endTime": "1186.4299", "body": "We're in twenty minutes. Yeah. Was it was a bit of a trek, but" }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1186.59", "endTime": "1195.505", "body": "Yeah. And and that's a commitment we like to see out of people. And and think about it. You drove, you know, all that way just to give factual information and make people win money. And that's" }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "1195.505", "endTime": "1196.145", "body": "just Yeah." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1196.225", "endTime": "1201.985", "body": "I mean, you you could get a medal for that. A pretty substantial medal of honor for Yeah. Your That's right. Yeah. Okay." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1202.145", "endTime": "1207.06", "body": "So this is the first of two episodes we're gonna be recording with Zach today, and he has no idea what's going on in the second one." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "1207.2201", "endTime": "1208.26", "body": "No. This should be fun." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1208.26", "endTime": "1214.8201", "body": "Should be should be fun. I like to thank, of course, Impact eighty nine eighty eight point nine FM Studios for letting us use this gorgeous Yes." }, { "speaker": "Zach", "startTime": "1214.8201", "endTime": "1215.06", "body": "Thank you." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1215.14", "endTime": "1221.795", "body": "Podcast room. And it's not the outro is my segment just for just for clear on that. It's not time for you to talk. Oh. Oh, alright." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1221.795", "endTime": "1237.6958", "body": "Alright. WDBM for letting us use this gorgeous sports studio here on the equipment that obviously makes us sound pretty even though our voices are very annoying to listen to. And I'd like to thank you listeners for tuning into this episode. Hopefully, we can win you some money on this Super Bowl weekend. With that being said, stay sharp." }, { "speaker": "Gabe", "startTime": "1237.6958", "endTime": "1238.6558", "body": "Keep hedging your bets." } ] }