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This file was generated by Descript 

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Nabeel Hyatt: Do we know what this
thing is gonna be called, Fraser?

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Fraser Kelton: No, but we decided that the
world definitely needs another podcast.

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That is exactly what,
exactly what's required.

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ChatGPT came up with some names.

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They were all pretty bad puns playing on
podcasts, AI and startups,  none of which

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had any taste . I forget what they were.

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Nabeel Hyatt: If you can pull them
up at some point, maybe towards the

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end of the segment, it'll be great.

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So, I am Nabeel Hyatt.

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Fraser Kelton: I'm Fraser Kelton.

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Nabeel Hyatt: We are doing a thing that
is at least spiritually connected to

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a podcast that I used to do with my
old friend and partner, Bijan, when

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I basically first got into venture.

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We started a thing called Hallway
Chat and the goal was not to be,

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I mean, very clearly, not to be
the most well structured, highest

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production value place on the block.

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The goal was really just to lead with
authenticity about them really crazy time.

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At the beginning of the mobile
revolution, where it felt like everything

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was changing every single week.

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And.

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of course, now we have.

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a new time.

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in AI.

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That.

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feels an awful lot like that.

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And I've got a new partner in Frazier.

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Who's uh, now the new VC, who's a former.

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Founder and an operator , actually Fraser.

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Do you want to talk about yourself at all?

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Fraser Kelton: No, I do.

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Nobody wants to hear us talk
about ourselves on this.

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I don't think.

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You say this to founders all the time?

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There's nothing worse than VCs bloviating
about themselves and their ideas.

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And so we have to keep
the second part of this.

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Otherwise we don't have a podcast,
but we can save people from the first.

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Nabeel Hyatt: There's these things
called, search engines, although we will

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discuss the potential disruption and
those such things where you can look

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up our bios and figure out who we are

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And if tradition holds and every
week, we're going to focus on our new

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AI product that we're actually using
and trying to wrestle with and any of

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the insights that come out of that.

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Uh, just crying, frankly, stay curious
as we try to navigate all this new space.

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And of course.

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Frazier we'll navigate the
new venture landscape..

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together.

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Uh, you can try and keep the
one venture question per week.

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Fraser Kelton: Okay.

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Yeah.

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Yeah.

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try my best to limit it to one.

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This is a weird world.

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So you, you told me the other
week that you use perplexity

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for basically everything that
you used to use Google for.

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Nabeel Hyatt: Yeah, we did
have this conversation.

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I, I don't use Google anymore
really as a search engine.

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I, I find it's just not good enough.

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That doesn't mean I don't use Google
because it turns out there's a lot of

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things Google's done over the years that
are not about search engines per se.

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But pretty much all of my searches
have gone to perplexity and then

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some percentage of what you would
loosely categorize as search.

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Now goes to Claude or ChatGPT.

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And yeah, I, I think perplexity
I think there's rumors about IVP

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having invested, that we're having
the information this week, some

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large round and so on and so forth.

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And, on the surface it feels
insane to to be investing and

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looking at something that's trying
to compete directly with Google.

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But at the same time, how many amazing AI
products have you actually used and stuck

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in the last nine months since ChatGPT?

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And, and the obvious one that people talk
about is probably CodeComplete, right?

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But, but

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Fraser Kelton: massive numbers,
user numbers this week.

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So I think it's it's GitHub copilot.

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It's chat GPT.

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There's a lot of interest early on around
RAG like systems for chatting with your

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docs chatting with enterprise content.

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Nabeel Hyatt: talk to my PDFs.

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Fraser Kelton: I think so.

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I want my PDFs to talk back to me though.

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That's what I want.

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I want the synthesized voice of
Sky to come back and tell me that.

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That I'm writing this memo wrong.

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But, talk a little bit about perplexity
and the product experience and the

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user like value that you get from
it versus chat GPT versus Google.

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Like it's interesting to hear that
you go there all of the time for what

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used to be, quote unquote search.

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Nabeel Hyatt: I think it's a great
example of sometimes little things matter.

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I think Arvind and that team have
done a lot of subtle things that

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make that product really work
that are worth chatting about.

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First of all, the, the like six
months ago when agents were suddenly

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all the thing for a minute they
launched a little, a little agent

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which takes your search engine query.

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and then tries to ask follow up
clarifying questions in order to narrow

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down and make your search better.

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And it's a great example of
does it work all the time?

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No.

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When it works, it's absolutely magical.

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And so, you're searching for something
and then it actually, in dynamic

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real time, builds a little UI of,
say, checkboxes or radio buttons that

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say, oh, did you mean this or this?

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Now, obviously, in the world of agents,
everybody's figuring out exactly, it's

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almost like agents are like self driving
cars you can demo them, 80 percent in

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a wonderful demo in two months, but
actually getting them to be really

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performant and reliable is a, is a
Herculean task, as I think all our builder

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friends are, are figuring out right now.

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But, but I think it actually works
very well in Perplexity's case.

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And not least of which is a good
example is Have you used Google's new

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generative engine that they launched?

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The conversational

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they're basically their
competitor to Perplexity.

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Fraser Kelton: yeah.

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SGE Search Generative Experience.

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I will tell you, it was the
first time that I really had

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to reckon with two things.

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Number one how painful it is
when you have to ship your org

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chart in your business model.

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Because, yeah, you can now,
you can now use it to do your

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first draft, they call it.

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So you go to the search engine that
you've used for 25 years and you

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can write write me a poem about...

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Tulips.

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And it will write the poem about tulips,
and then you have your search results

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for, for poems about tulips at the bottom.

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Like it just makes

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Nabeel Hyatt: Oh, wait, just they still
put in the Google searches, right?

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With the Google ads and
things, it makes no sense,

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Fraser Kelton: it makes
no sense, no sense at all.

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And the, the other thing that I
realized was They're vulnerable and

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they realize that they're vulnerable.

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If they're willing to ship this type of
janky experience into their core product

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they, they don't know what to do because
they have a business model, which is,

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maybe the best business model of all,
of all time, that's at real risk here.

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And their solution is to allow
you to do your first draft within

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the search results below it.

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I think maybe the
optimistic story on this is.

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They're shipping early, they're going
to learn, they're going to iterate

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and they're going to, to figure it
out because it's so economically

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important for them to do it.

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But I think that this is the first
time in the past 11 months where I

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thought, Oh Oh, this is going to be
a really interesting couple of years.

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I mean, and that's the optimistic
story for, for Arvind, right?

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And perplexity.

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Nabeel Hyatt: Yeah, I think it is.

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In general with AI products, I've
just tried to take the idea of slowing

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down all of my computer use, right?

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That's how I've thought about the
next two years, which is just if I'm

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gonna go do a search, then one out
of every three times, take the time.

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Do the search on three or
four different engines.

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Try weird stuff.

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And yes, that slows down everything,
but you have to test your defaults.

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If you're gonna, if you're gonna be on
the edge, if you're gonna really feel

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how all these things are really working,
and you'll take the time to do that, and

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have to fit into your day to day life.

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Otherwise, it's some random thing
for a half an hour on a Thursday

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afternoon, you're like, I'm
supposed to try this product now.

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What's my search?

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And that just doesn't

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Fraser Kelton: Right.

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Nabeel Hyatt: I, I, so I've tried,
I've probably done dozens of, of...

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of searches on Bing, the new
Google ish thing and Perplexity.

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I had a weird one where, I
wear a beanie all the time.

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I saw Brad Pitt wearing a beanie.

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I was like, where does he get
his, where does he get his beanie?

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And if you just think about
the old world of Google, where

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would that content come from?

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That content would come from
some content farm somewhere.

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Someone at BuzzFeed wrote a listicle

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Fraser Kelton: Mm hmm.

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Mm

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Nabeel Hyatt: about, about Brad Pitt's
beanies or, or celebrity beanies,

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and then, and then Google scrapes
that, and the economic bundle is

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obviously that I hopefully click
on it sometimes, and then, and then

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BuzzFeed or whoever else gets a penny.

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This whole model , is going to completely
break down because, one, Google, those

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searches were way worse on, on their
website it was slow, it gave back only

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one answer, not all the answers, and
Perplexity just did a very, very good

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job of I don't know what they're doing
under the hood, but very, very good job

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of, I think, just doing rag across a deep
corpus set of search results retrieving

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out the right things and then actually
presenting them in a good format.

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Now, if I have to fast forward a couple
of years, I don't think it'll even

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look like a search engine page, right?

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It should.

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Eventually look almost like that BuzzFeed
page, just dynamically generated,?

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It will, it will be nicely laid out.

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The photos of the
beanies will be on there.

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I'm using a really bad example, but
these are the kinds of  ridiculous

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things that people search for
randomly on a Friday afternoon.

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Fraser Kelton: yeah,

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Nabeel Hyatt: And  and I also
like, one thing we talked about as

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well, I want to come back to is not
all my searches go to Perplexity.

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And I think a partner, Yaz, brought
up, and we were talking about the

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hallway, is there really going to
be one search engine in the future?

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So do you differentiate what
you go to chat GPT for right

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now, as an example, versus what
you go to Google for right now?

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Fraser Kelton: yeah, when I want to
learn something I go to ChatGPT, right?

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So a lot of our job is, is being
curious and trying to understand things.

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I no longer go because Google makes you
do both a lot of work to pull out the

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information as well as like people have
spent, I don't know, two decades now

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trying to game the Google search results.

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So that has become, I don't know, this
adversarial thing where you're trying

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to put in the work to learn how to.

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To get to the answers that you
want, and there's a whole other

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side of the equation fighting to
give you the junk on the SEO side.

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I used to have some hacks,
everybody does, who's an early

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adopter of a pen site reddit.

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com, if you want to find out
what the, the best thing is.

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And you can now ask ChatGPT
and it gives it to you.

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Oh yeah probably the people that I have
the most respect for as early adopters

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in terms of taste and product sense and
like discerning  input on these types

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of things have basically said the same
thing as you about Perplexity , which,

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which really caught me off guard.

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For me, it's a creature of habit
and then  the power of defaults

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and distribution where I have

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Nabeel Hyatt: Of course.

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Fraser Kelton: actively fight that.

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And so I'm still finding myself going to.

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to Google.

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And then when it's an important enough
search, this is, I mean, maybe the

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optimistic story, when it's an important
enough search that Google lets me down,

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I find myself then going to perplexity.

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And how many times am I going to
do that before I just go right to

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perplexity or something similar to that?

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To your question of when I go to Google,
it's if I want to know how late the

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restaurant is open down the street, or
I want to it's, it's all the stuff that

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you've mentioned earlier that are, are.

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Appendages to the original type of
reasons that we went to Google, right?

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Is the one box type of stuff,

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Nabeel Hyatt: It is one box.

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I think Google as an internet
search engine is terrible,  it's

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not just because of AI and being
able to ask questions of things.

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It's also just the degradation of
content on the internet, which of course,

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when there's a bunch of AI generated
content, will only degrade faster.

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I think I encapsulate that there's
basically three searches, and maybe

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they end up being one product that
rules them all eventually, but it's also

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possible sometimes there's bifurcation,
and we see this happen in industries.

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And so maybe these end up being
three different companies.

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The first one is, I want one box results.

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I know it's a one shot answer.

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It's probably eight words.

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You probably know it.

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I know you know it.

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Just, just tell me.

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And, and Google has done a very good job
of largely ripping a bunch of Yelp and

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other people's content off turning it
into beautiful little one box results.

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I still go to Google
for that all the time.

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Second is inquiry, which
you use the word learning.

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When I know that the first answer is
probably wrong, or I will be confused

00:11:26.509 --> 00:11:30.889
by it, and I want to ask follow
ups, then I go to GPT or Claude.

00:11:31.169 --> 00:11:35.549
And then the third is research, which
is close to learn but different,

00:11:35.789 --> 00:11:39.089
where I just want an answer, but
it's a big multivariate answer.

00:11:39.389 --> 00:11:42.699
That is, the research questions,
which is obviously the, actually,

00:11:43.049 --> 00:11:47.119
Perplexity does an amazing job
on, on the Reddit style questions.

00:11:47.259 --> 00:11:49.409
And, frankly, academic
scholarly publications as well,

00:11:49.469 --> 00:11:50.339
it does a really good job.

00:11:51.339 --> 00:11:54.329
So for me research goes to
Perplexity, OneBox goes to Google

00:11:54.669 --> 00:11:57.199
and, and inquiry goes to ChatGPT.

00:11:57.489 --> 00:11:58.049
But this is...

00:11:58.524 --> 00:12:01.624
This is early in the kind of muck of
everybody messing around with this stuff,

00:12:02.004 --> 00:12:04.724
so I'm curious to see how it goes in a

00:12:04.934 --> 00:12:05.204
Fraser Kelton: Yeah.

00:12:05.204 --> 00:12:08.554
Somebody was telling me that the, the
the pessimistic story for all of this

00:12:08.564 --> 00:12:14.024
is that Google and now OpenAI have so
many resources and, and some semblance

00:12:14.024 --> 00:12:18.944
of either distribution or brand that
they may not innovate on the right

00:12:18.944 --> 00:12:22.704
product experience, but they can just
rip it off once somebody delivers

00:12:22.704 --> 00:12:25.394
something that's like clearly resonating.

00:12:25.724 --> 00:12:26.374
And we'll see.

00:12:26.544 --> 00:12:30.004
I think that that's what makes this
time so fascinating to me is in

00:12:31.138 --> 00:12:35.048
2008, 2009, I think you and I would
have had very similar views on how

00:12:35.408 --> 00:12:40.178
the mobile landscape was going to
play out between Android and iOS.

00:12:40.398 --> 00:12:42.668
Maybe we'd get the relative
share a little bit wrong.

00:12:43.008 --> 00:12:47.248
I think in this case, nobody knows
anything and there's a lot of big Big

00:12:47.588 --> 00:12:50.848
markets and products that are up for
grabs for the first time in a long time.

00:12:51.848 --> 00:12:56.048
Nabeel Hyatt: I mean, this is true,
despite what Sam Lessin says, that I

00:12:56.058 --> 00:12:57.708
think there actually will be an AI market.

00:12:58.268 --> 00:12:59.598
Fraser Kelton: You told
me you were worked up.

00:12:59.598 --> 00:13:02.898
I haven't, I haven't read
anything that it has to say.

00:13:02.898 --> 00:13:07.298
There's some semblance of 37 signals
content marketing going on here that

00:13:07.298 --> 00:13:10.008
I just can kind of like push a little
bit into the corner, but what's up?

00:13:10.883 --> 00:13:13.173
Nabeel Hyatt: no, I like, he's, he's,
okay, yes, of course, he's a little

00:13:13.173 --> 00:13:16.513
provocative, but I think these are
long held beliefs not just hot takes.

00:13:16.783 --> 00:13:21.023
Sam has a podcast with three other people,
which is actually, I think, the best new

00:13:21.033 --> 00:13:23.533
podcast of the last year focused on tech.

00:13:23.793 --> 00:13:28.023
Less is more, because specifically,  it's
four humans that actually like each

00:13:28.023 --> 00:13:29.243
other and actually know each other.

00:13:29.243 --> 00:13:31.483
And so there's real authenticity
discussion as they talk about a bunch of

00:13:31.483 --> 00:13:32.803
things, which is not most shows, right?

00:13:33.313 --> 00:13:34.823
Most shows are canned content marketing.

00:13:34.923 --> 00:13:38.133
A anyway So look, there's a first
part of what Sam's rant is and he has

00:13:38.133 --> 00:13:42.543
a rant on his show and then he just
released like a 975 page, probably

00:13:42.543 --> 00:13:47.153
generated by AI, PowerPoint deck
that kind of like regales how seed is

00:13:47.153 --> 00:13:49.973
dead, AI is just a weird pipe dream.

00:13:50.283 --> 00:13:53.283
Trying to save VC, it's all going
to crap, and everyone should just

00:13:53.283 --> 00:13:54.743
start cottage software businesses.

00:13:55.013 --> 00:14:00.713
That's ostensibly the long story short of
Sam's pitch about the evolving ecosystem.

00:14:00.983 --> 00:14:05.463
I, there's a part of it that, first,
I agree with, which is that  he has a

00:14:05.623 --> 00:14:11.893
framing that the kind of industrialization
of venture capital phase is done.

00:14:12.333 --> 00:14:17.983
That, that at this point, the factory
farmed B2B SaaS company is over.

00:14:18.333 --> 00:14:21.253
And  that he sees is that
causing a bunch of late stage.

00:14:22.836 --> 00:14:27.356
Crowd into seed spray and pray, they're
not really working with those companies.

00:14:27.356 --> 00:14:29.596
Just yeah, you know that
some junior partner has been

00:14:29.596 --> 00:14:30.566
told to put money to work.

00:14:30.736 --> 00:14:34.166
So the jamming money into random seed
companies and it's messing everything up.

00:14:34.166 --> 00:14:36.781
And so if you're a seed or
series a fund oh, wow, you got

00:14:36.781 --> 00:14:37.901
a real, you got a real problem..

00:14:37.951 --> 00:14:39.511
So, I believe that.

00:14:39.611 --> 00:14:43.691
But the second bit where he gets to
AI, I think, he's just anchored in his

00:14:43.691 --> 00:14:47.771
priors before AI, where it just felt
like there was not enough innovation.

00:14:48.261 --> 00:14:52.111
So, his feeling, I could like, I hope
I don't boil it down the wrong way, is

00:14:52.111 --> 00:14:57.711
that fundamentally AI is a sustaining
innovation, not a disruptive innovation,

00:14:57.711 --> 00:15:02.531
so it'll change the world, but it'll
just be that Google adds AI, and

00:15:02.541 --> 00:15:04.491
Facebook adds AI, and it'll be fine.

00:15:04.831 --> 00:15:08.381
If you're Adobe, you win anyway, you
just add AI, and that kind of thing.

00:15:08.681 --> 00:15:12.771
And that there's no moat, because
it's all, open source anyway so

00:15:12.771 --> 00:15:14.751
what's the moat you're going to
have and there's no network effects.

00:15:15.011 --> 00:15:17.761
And that the tech is moving too
fast for, for startups to keep up.

00:15:18.181 --> 00:15:22.661
I have a couple of like pretty
basic flawed issues with this.

00:15:23.661 --> 00:15:27.741
Fraser Kelton: If the tech is moving so
fast, isn't that the opportune time for

00:15:27.971 --> 00:15:28.751
Nabeel Hyatt: There you go!

00:15:29.316 --> 00:15:32.666
Fraser Kelton: Arvind is a 25
person team, I think, and he's out

00:15:32.666 --> 00:15:35.476
executing like everybody else who has.

00:15:35.701 --> 00:15:38.851
tried to push into this space
and, and there's something

00:15:38.851 --> 00:15:40.461
remarkable about what he's doing.

00:15:40.471 --> 00:15:45.381
He, he's shipping both at the technical
level inference that is like 2.

00:15:45.381 --> 00:15:48.601
5 times faster than, than other
inference platforms that are

00:15:48.601 --> 00:15:50.141
specifically focused on that.

00:15:50.591 --> 00:15:53.651
And then his product decisions are
like tasteful and thoughtful, and

00:15:53.651 --> 00:15:58.121
he is not having to fight against
legacy business models and an entire

00:15:58.121 --> 00:16:02.316
org chart that has calcified around
an an old way of doing things.

00:16:02.316 --> 00:16:04.206
So anyway, you, you teed me up, but

00:16:04.206 --> 00:16:05.116
Nabeel Hyatt: Yeah, no, exactly.

00:16:05.856 --> 00:16:08.706
I just fundamentally disagree that
big tech is going to dominate.

00:16:08.706 --> 00:16:11.210
One of the things I love about what's
happening in AI right now is that

00:16:11.210 --> 00:16:13.639
we talk to lots of investors that
are quote unquote active in AI.

00:16:14.239 --> 00:16:17.149
And they are activating wildly
different ideas about what's

00:16:17.149 --> 00:16:18.239
going to work than we are.

00:16:18.269 --> 00:16:20.039
And Sam's going to operate
as part of the ecosystem.

00:16:20.269 --> 00:16:22.559
That is ultimately a good
thing for founders, right?

00:16:22.599 --> 00:16:25.459
We're going to get a spread
of different capital to try a

00:16:25.459 --> 00:16:26.609
bunch of different experiments.

00:16:26.819 --> 00:16:28.569
We'll let it play out over time.

00:16:28.789 --> 00:16:31.559
But I do think, yeah, there are
two flaws in Sam's argument.

00:16:31.609 --> 00:16:35.109
So one is like he overestimates the
big tech's ability to execute, right?

00:16:35.139 --> 00:16:36.359
Most large companies.

00:16:36.794 --> 00:16:38.184
A struggle to adopt new tech.

00:16:38.284 --> 00:16:41.814
And startups can find ways to
sell against Google and Microsoft.

00:16:41.814 --> 00:16:44.594
And frankly, one of my little
examples, there was a world where

00:16:44.594 --> 00:16:46.724
Microsoft dominated all of GovTech.

00:16:47.084 --> 00:16:49.034
Big, entrenched sales.

00:16:49.354 --> 00:16:55.134
And Google, when it was still a relatively
early company, actually used cloud and

00:16:55.134 --> 00:16:58.654
pushed into that, into that dominance in
a way that I think, frankly, beforehand

00:16:58.654 --> 00:16:59.694
you would have said would never work.

00:17:00.354 --> 00:17:03.024
And there's lots and lots and
lots of examples of startups

00:17:03.034 --> 00:17:07.294
using The disadvantage of a large
company to their benefit, right?

00:17:07.584 --> 00:17:12.224
The second is that I think Sam, as
a lot of that entire generation of

00:17:12.224 --> 00:17:16.344
founders, grew up in a world where
network effects were the biggest moat.

00:17:17.004 --> 00:17:20.894
And so I think there's an anchoring
idea that isn't that the moat?

00:17:21.429 --> 00:17:26.249
And, and so, if you grew up in that
world, you look at Facebook, and look,

00:17:26.439 --> 00:17:30.389
network effects are an incredible,
incredible barrier to entry, but

00:17:30.799 --> 00:17:33.693
at the same time, it's not the
only way startups build durability.

00:17:33.773 --> 00:17:36.135
There were many startups
with no network effects.

00:17:36.402 --> 00:17:39.432
Frankly, Google Search versus
Microsoft that we were talking about

00:17:39.432 --> 00:17:41.382
earlier is an exact example of this.

00:17:41.432 --> 00:17:45.562
Vertical integrations like Microsoft,
working from the OSS layer up to the

00:17:45.567 --> 00:17:49.376
office layer and launching Microsoft
Office .   Apple . Cisco . Cruise

00:17:49.476 --> 00:17:52.385
.  There's lots of other ways other
than network effects for a startup to

00:17:52.385 --> 00:17:53.945
build competitive barriers to entry.

00:17:54.135 --> 00:17:58.235
I think he's also over indexing on large
companies that are innovative in AI.

00:17:58.605 --> 00:18:01.745
And forgetting that AI is going
to transform every industry

00:18:02.095 --> 00:18:03.355
beyond big tech, right?

00:18:03.575 --> 00:18:06.915
Manufacturing and healthcare, and
it's going to be a 20 year run

00:18:06.915 --> 00:18:08.965
just like it was for the internet.

00:18:09.310 --> 00:18:11.690
It's going to go hit every
little part of the economy.

00:18:11.880 --> 00:18:14.680
Lots of those parts of the economy
are going to deeply struggle

00:18:15.000 --> 00:18:16.680
to come up with a solution.

00:18:16.920 --> 00:18:19.130
And there, there's no incumbent advantage.

00:18:19.150 --> 00:18:21.640
Yes, some big company could
build a solution for that area,

00:18:21.720 --> 00:18:22.920
but also so could a startup.

00:18:23.060 --> 00:18:25.990
And so it's all the normal things
that happen with startups, right?

00:18:26.590 --> 00:18:30.420
Fraser Kelton: Yeah, yeah, listen, I'm
a Satya Stan and, and that lovely line

00:18:30.420 --> 00:18:34.970
that he made Google Dance was, like,
so fun, but come on it wasn't Bing and

00:18:34.980 --> 00:18:39.820
Sydney that made Google Dance, I had, it's
just a really bad, crummy product, and

00:18:39.820 --> 00:18:44.100
everybody knows it's a bad, crummy product
It is open AI and, and what, what was

00:18:44.100 --> 00:18:46.380
shipped there that is making Google dance.

00:18:46.380 --> 00:18:51.290
And we just talked earlier about how like
their entire business model is going to

00:18:51.295 --> 00:18:55.880
have to be reconsidered for a world where
you can write a poem about tulips and

00:18:55.880 --> 00:18:57.800
then have search results put below it.

00:18:57.800 --> 00:19:00.500
Like they, they have real
fundamental problems that

00:19:00.500 --> 00:19:01.580
they're gonna have to navigate.

00:19:01.585 --> 00:19:04.005
Nabeel Hyatt: I think it's very
easy to underestimate how hard

00:19:04.005 --> 00:19:06.835
it is for incumbents to change
and trench workflows, right?

00:19:06.875 --> 00:19:10.515
It's, it's easier for startups
to start from scratch.

00:19:10.955 --> 00:19:14.705
And there's an inherent conflict, and you
called it out, very first thing, between

00:19:14.935 --> 00:19:17.985
these two ideas, that, that this is a...

00:19:18.500 --> 00:19:23.220
Sustaining innovation, so companies
are just going to add it, and that

00:19:23.220 --> 00:19:24.800
it's moving unbelievably fast.

00:19:25.290 --> 00:19:27.970
Because it's not just moving unbelievably
fast, and this is a thesis to how

00:19:27.970 --> 00:19:30.230
we, how we are navigating the world
right now with founders, which is,

00:19:30.510 --> 00:19:34.450
it's not just moving very fast at the
foundational level layer, the model

00:19:34.450 --> 00:19:37.690
layer, where there's new capabilities
coming out constantly, it's also moving

00:19:37.690 --> 00:19:40.870
really fast at the user expectation
layer, right, at that top layer.

00:19:41.255 --> 00:19:44.839
And so the, the, that, the last
revolution in AI 15 years ago, we

00:19:44.839 --> 00:19:47.863
actually, as a firm, we didn't go
that deep into it . We had Cruise

00:19:47.863 --> 00:19:49.383
and a couple of other investments.

00:19:49.633 --> 00:19:53.883
But part of the problem in that age
of small models is that folks with the

00:19:53.883 --> 00:19:56.183
data and the distribution win, right?

00:19:56.223 --> 00:19:58.883
If you have all the data and you're
Google and you got a distribution,

00:19:58.933 --> 00:19:59.743
you're just going to win.

00:20:00.503 --> 00:20:04.393
What feels different here is, one,
the data, everybody has access to

00:20:04.423 --> 00:20:06.877
the data, with a few  big exceptions
. So there's a data advantage.

00:20:06.997 --> 00:20:09.477
And  then the third D , if  I want
to keep this little D thing going,

00:20:09.477 --> 00:20:10.987
is is the design is changing, right?

00:20:10.997 --> 00:20:16.447
Like the, the kind of concept of a product
like Descript is that you used AI to

00:20:16.447 --> 00:20:19.957
completely change the workflow on the
front end of how somebody actually makes

00:20:19.957 --> 00:20:23.667
a podcast or edit a video in a way that
was never true for the last 20 years.

00:20:24.037 --> 00:20:25.607
When the workflow and design changes.

00:20:26.042 --> 00:20:30.262
Then the incumbents, they can't
completely change their workflows

00:20:30.282 --> 00:20:33.742
without alienating their current base,
so they have incumbency disadvantage.

00:20:34.152 --> 00:20:38.492
And you see this with Adobe, they
didn't, their, their launch of a copycat

00:20:38.492 --> 00:20:41.572
product to Descript was Adobe Podcast.

00:20:41.642 --> 00:20:45.402
Now, they didn't change a previous
product, they had to start from scratch.

00:20:45.662 --> 00:20:49.682
They built a new UI, they launched
a copy, it's pretty good, it's just

00:20:49.712 --> 00:20:51.122
getting started, we'll see what happens.

00:20:51.122 --> 00:20:54.912
They obviously have money and brand
to go push it out into the market.

00:20:54.912 --> 00:20:57.902
They're going to try bundling, all
the things that large companies do.

00:20:58.172 --> 00:21:01.222
But that's no different than how large
companies have tried to compete with

00:21:01.222 --> 00:21:03.592
startups for the last 30 years and

00:21:03.592 --> 00:21:04.072
startups have been

00:21:04.132 --> 00:21:05.372
Fraser Kelton: 30 plus years, sure.

00:21:05.852 --> 00:21:11.812
Yep, the I think if you look at the
past 12 months, you have seen incumbents

00:21:11.822 --> 00:21:13.992
move very quickly into this space.

00:21:14.042 --> 00:21:15.352
The whole world has, right?

00:21:15.382 --> 00:21:21.441
And I think part of it is, we have a short
term overestimating the impact, and then

00:21:21.441 --> 00:21:24.348
long term we underestimate, and there's
going to be a very profound change.

00:21:24.698 --> 00:21:28.898
But if you look at what the incumbents
are doing, they're layering in Cheap

00:21:28.908 --> 00:21:31.228
ways to leverage this technology, right?

00:21:31.278 --> 00:21:34.028
Hey, listen, we can now do some
sort of like really amazing

00:21:34.038 --> 00:21:36.298
summarization around unstructured data.

00:21:36.308 --> 00:21:40.238
And our app is unstructured data
because it's recording sales calls.

00:21:40.518 --> 00:21:43.808
And that is incrementally
more useful for that product.

00:21:44.168 --> 00:21:47.398
And it, it's pretty awesome that they
moved so quickly to introduce these

00:21:47.398 --> 00:21:48.868
types of features of functionality.

00:21:49.248 --> 00:21:53.188
But I think that It's an absence of
imagination to think that there's

00:21:53.188 --> 00:21:57.838
not going to be entirely new user
experiences that are delivered off of

00:21:57.838 --> 00:22:01.378
this technology, especially because
the technology is strictly only

00:22:01.378 --> 00:22:03.078
going to get better from here on out.

00:22:03.458 --> 00:22:06.388
And, you said this, I'm stealing your
line, is I don't even think we've seen

00:22:06.388 --> 00:22:09.554
from the artists and creatives how
to use this technology appropriately

00:22:09.554 --> 00:22:11.084
yet, and I think that that's fair.

00:22:11.094 --> 00:22:13.344
Nabeel Hyatt: If you think the
problem is a puzzle, then large

00:22:13.344 --> 00:22:14.784
companies have a huge advantage.

00:22:15.084 --> 00:22:17.514
Puzzles can get solved by
throwing money at the problem.

00:22:18.204 --> 00:22:20.754
But if the problem is a
mystery, Founders have a chance.

00:22:20.754 --> 00:22:23.154
to win because agility,
wins and you need judgment.

00:22:23.704 --> 00:22:24.154
Something that.

00:22:24.274 --> 00:22:25.714
Large companies have problem with.

00:22:26.279 --> 00:22:26.589
Fraser Kelton: Yep.

00:22:26.689 --> 00:22:27.659
I very much agree.

00:22:27.659 --> 00:22:31.829
Like the way that I think about the
world is there's this continuum of

00:22:31.939 --> 00:22:37.969
project to product and on the project
end is doing things right and on the

00:22:37.979 --> 00:22:41.019
product end is, Doing the right things.

00:22:41.509 --> 00:22:46.639
And I feel like the jigsaw metaphor
is like slide it all the way over to

00:22:46.639 --> 00:22:49.249
project where you're doing things right.

00:22:49.425 --> 00:22:52.216
Nabeel Hyatt: Right, so this is a
puzzles versus mystery situation, and

00:22:52.216 --> 00:22:55.786
there will be parts of the market,
absolutely, which feel like puzzles.

00:22:56.176 --> 00:22:59.576
Let me just add a chatbot client, let
me get the retrieval properly, it'll

00:22:59.576 --> 00:23:01.326
be added to my product, and we're done.

00:23:01.816 --> 00:23:05.406
And then the mystery is places
where this technology will lead

00:23:05.726 --> 00:23:09.886
to new types of interfaces, and
new types of experiences, that...

00:23:10.516 --> 00:23:15.016
Don't sit anywhere comfortably where
an incumbent has previously been.

00:23:15.266 --> 00:23:16.536
That's where startups have the advantage.

00:23:17.382 --> 00:23:17.802
Fraser Kelton: And you're right.

00:23:17.812 --> 00:23:21.765
If you just need to have
a 12 month known roadmap

00:23:21.765 --> 00:23:26.013
For shipping AI, then let's coordinate
all your cross functional stakeholders

00:23:26.013 --> 00:23:29.023
and make sure that they're bought
in and, and, you check the boxes.

00:23:29.693 --> 00:23:36.353
And if it's figuring out the, the right
thing, I think we're so early in, in

00:23:36.383 --> 00:23:40.873
understanding the types of experiences
that this technology can provide for us.

00:23:40.973 --> 00:23:43.453
And, and we're, we're
just getting started.

00:23:43.453 --> 00:23:46.686
Like I think as you said, again,
like the creatives haven't shown

00:23:46.686 --> 00:23:48.406
us what's possible just yet

00:23:48.956 --> 00:23:49.616
Nabeel Hyatt: Yeah, that's right.

00:23:49.716 --> 00:23:50.016
That's right.

00:23:50.336 --> 00:23:52.196
I'm, I'm going to throw to
you, actually, on the spot.

00:23:52.196 --> 00:23:54.526
I know you're not prepared at all for
this, but ... We just went through

00:23:54.526 --> 00:23:57.446
a process where we were talking
to a bunch of limited partners.

00:23:57.496 --> 00:24:02.026
So for those who don't know venture
capital, we actually have to raise

00:24:02.026 --> 00:24:03.536
money just like founders raise money.

00:24:03.666 --> 00:24:07.676
And largely from non profits, endowments
pension funds, places like that.

00:24:07.686 --> 00:24:10.666
So when we make money, that's
where the money goes to

00:24:10.786 --> 00:24:12.246
those kinds of organizations.

00:24:12.706 --> 00:24:15.846
Was there anything about that
process of talking to some LPs over

00:24:15.846 --> 00:24:19.326
the course of the AGM in this last
week that caught you by surprise?

00:24:19.826 --> 00:24:20.939
Fraser Kelton: It's surprising how much...

00:24:20.939 --> 00:24:25.948
Felt very similar to being a founder
raising capital from VCs and then

00:24:25.948 --> 00:24:27.988
how some of it felt so different.

00:24:28.088 --> 00:24:32.018
You and I sat through a whole host
of different meetings and there

00:24:32.018 --> 00:24:36.808
was meetings where the vibe just
was great from the hello, right?

00:24:36.933 --> 00:24:37.823
Nabeel Hyatt: Yeah, yeah.

00:24:37.848 --> 00:24:39.158
Fraser Kelton: in and it feels.

00:24:39.528 --> 00:24:40.518
It just feels great.

00:24:40.768 --> 00:24:42.458
The entire experience feels great.

00:24:42.558 --> 00:24:45.158
And then there's some where you sit
down and you're like, Well, the vibe

00:24:45.158 --> 00:24:48.248
here is not quite the same as the vibe
that just was in the other meeting.

00:24:48.258 --> 00:24:50.328
I'm not sure how this
is going to turn out.

00:24:50.848 --> 00:24:54.398
The other thing that is very similar is...

00:24:54.983 --> 00:24:59.583
You just get into a groove, but you have
to have some feeling of spontaneity in

00:24:59.583 --> 00:25:04.233
the discussions, and when, when I was
pitching VCs, you'd get to the point

00:25:04.233 --> 00:25:08.543
with the deck where you would have a
pause and you knew, you knew nine times

00:25:08.543 --> 00:25:11.523
out of ten they're going to lean in
with this question, and you didn't.

00:25:11.708 --> 00:25:14.548
You didn't, you didn't pitch it, so that
you could get ahead of the question.

00:25:14.548 --> 00:25:17.338
You pitched it so that they would ask
the question because you knew the answer

00:25:17.338 --> 00:25:19.378
to give, but it had to feel spontaneous.

00:25:19.748 --> 00:25:21.268
Nabeel Hyatt: There's a
theater to all of it, right?

00:25:21.268 --> 00:25:26.248
There's a theater to pitching, and I
do think for an engineering mindset

00:25:26.268 --> 00:25:28.928
when they're going out to raise money,
a lot of times the answer is, let me

00:25:28.928 --> 00:25:30.858
answer all the questions in the deck.

00:25:31.363 --> 00:25:33.503
And let me get it in order, and
somebody asked that question

00:25:33.503 --> 00:25:34.563
there, I got a slide for that.

00:25:34.733 --> 00:25:38.193
I used to do a thing, it's hard now
in Zoom land, but I used to do a

00:25:38.193 --> 00:25:41.313
thing when I was pitching, where I
would take one question that I knew

00:25:41.313 --> 00:25:45.913
was just an absolutely plump T up,
and and I would remove the slide,

00:25:46.303 --> 00:25:49.983
and then have them ask the question,
and I'd be like, that's interesting.

00:25:50.083 --> 00:25:51.203
Do you got a whiteboard marker?

00:25:51.593 --> 00:25:55.223
And, and the act of you just, you
get up and you walk over to the

00:25:55.223 --> 00:25:59.473
whiteboard and you're sketching
and talking in real time and man it

00:25:59.473 --> 00:26:01.063
just, it pulls the room together.

00:26:01.083 --> 00:26:03.903
Fraser Kelton: The place where it
was surprising and different, and it

00:26:04.043 --> 00:26:07.873
continues to be surprising for me  is
that we can spend our day talking to

00:26:07.903 --> 00:26:12.443
founders who are trying to create a
future that may or may not take shape

00:26:12.453 --> 00:26:14.543
in two years, three years, four years.

00:26:14.573 --> 00:26:18.063
I mean, with Cruise, it was eight
years of Kyle grinding, right?

00:26:18.123 --> 00:26:18.143
Yeah.

00:26:18.143 --> 00:26:18.473
Yeah.

00:26:18.743 --> 00:26:22.413
And then we step into a world where we
have to talk about portfolio construction

00:26:22.443 --> 00:26:27.833
and it's just very strange to think
that the entire world works because

00:26:27.833 --> 00:26:29.213
of portfolio construction, right?

00:26:29.213 --> 00:26:32.733
And the risk that you take on so that
these, these outliers can actually

00:26:32.823 --> 00:26:34.363
have oxygen and come to life.

00:26:35.363 --> 00:26:38.943
Nabeel Hyatt: Well, I mean, I do think
that for the folks who, who came into

00:26:38.943 --> 00:26:42.953
venture in the last four or five years,
they're learning a really key lesson

00:26:42.953 --> 00:26:45.923
right now, and they have learned a really
key lesson over the last year , there's

00:26:45.923 --> 00:26:48.383
a reason why it, it actually works.

00:26:48.433 --> 00:26:52.478
I'm a person who like, it's like what
Winston Churchill said about democracy.,

00:26:52.498 --> 00:26:54.098
Venture is a very flawed model.

00:26:54.128 --> 00:26:57.818
It's just that it's the best model
that we have for sustaining innovation.

00:26:57.848 --> 00:27:01.608
I mean, the other alternatives, if
you look at things like corporate R& D

00:27:01.928 --> 00:27:04.078
and how many wonderful amazing things
come out of corporate R& D, you're

00:27:04.078 --> 00:27:05.528
like, that's not the way to do it.

00:27:05.688 --> 00:27:06.578
Okay, so what else do we do?

00:27:06.658 --> 00:27:08.988
Do you want the EU to figure
out what we should build next?

00:27:08.988 --> 00:27:10.548
That's not the right way to do it.

00:27:10.748 --> 00:27:16.768
Like almost all the other models for how
We get an ecosystem to sit on the right

00:27:16.818 --> 00:27:19.938
edge of risk and innovate and create
what's going to be next in the world.

00:27:20.188 --> 00:27:24.078
I actually am a very big booster
for this particular model.

00:27:24.108 --> 00:27:27.238
Like it, it takes builders and it
takes VCs and so on and so forth.

00:27:27.518 --> 00:27:32.478
I also hate the industrialization of
venture capital because it, it feels

00:27:32.543 --> 00:27:33.223
Fraser Kelton: just different.

00:27:33.973 --> 00:27:34.503
Yep.

00:27:34.558 --> 00:27:38.238
Nabeel Hyatt: it's not just different,
, I think it ruins parts of that model.

00:27:38.258 --> 00:27:41.728
It messes with parts of that model that I
think are becoming more obvious now that

00:27:41.728 --> 00:27:44.738
we're out of the, B2B sass go go times,

00:27:45.273 --> 00:27:45.603
Fraser Kelton: Yeah.

00:27:45.603 --> 00:27:47.207
SASSification of everything.

00:27:48.057 --> 00:27:51.446
On a different topic, what, AI
product have you slowed down your

00:27:51.446 --> 00:27:53.176
life to explore this past week?

00:27:54.176 --> 00:27:54.776
It's not even

00:27:54.776 --> 00:27:55.546
Nabeel Hyatt: slowed down.

00:27:55.916 --> 00:27:58.366
I have been, so I listened
to a lot of podcasts.

00:27:58.956 --> 00:28:00.586
I basically have.

00:28:00.752 --> 00:28:04.922
The habit of anytime I have any
downtime, unless it's specifically like

00:28:04.932 --> 00:28:08.422
thinking time I I'm doing the dishes.

00:28:08.422 --> 00:28:10.382
I'm going outside to
take the dog for a walk.

00:28:10.382 --> 00:28:12.372
I have a kind of running
list of podcasts going.

00:28:12.602 --> 00:28:17.412
I've been using Marco Armitage
Overcast for many, years.

00:28:18.082 --> 00:28:20.726
One of my best go to examples
of  everything doesn't

00:28:20.726 --> 00:28:21.746
have to be venture scale.

00:28:21.956 --> 00:28:24.776
Like sometimes the most amazing product
is a one person effort and it's a

00:28:24.776 --> 00:28:27.236
beautiful thing and I love that product
and there's a lot of love in it.

00:28:28.186 --> 00:28:32.126
I certainly use it over say I don't
know, like Spotify is trying to

00:28:32.126 --> 00:28:33.986
mix in my podcast with my music.

00:28:34.286 --> 00:28:36.626
Stupidness or Apple Podcasts.

00:28:36.631 --> 00:28:39.721
For the first time, and I don't know how
long it's been, 5, 6, 7, 8 years I, don't

00:28:39.721 --> 00:28:41.521
use Overcast anymore, so I switched.

00:28:42.381 --> 00:28:44.851
To a product called Snipt, S N I P T.

00:28:45.851 --> 00:28:51.441
It is what an amazing difference
it makes  . Obviously, it's not

00:28:51.451 --> 00:28:53.211
changing how you listen to podcasts.

00:28:53.411 --> 00:28:54.851
It is still a podcast player.

00:28:55.021 --> 00:29:00.141
It's probably lower on features
than than a product like Overcast,

00:29:00.141 --> 00:29:01.371
which has had many years.

00:29:01.676 --> 00:29:04.296
But that's what you want with
technological innovation, right?

00:29:04.296 --> 00:29:08.906
Is that a startup can start not without
having even hit table stakes for the

00:29:08.906 --> 00:29:12.456
market, but there's some feature that's
so good that it drives your behavior.

00:29:12.666 --> 00:29:15.426
The thing in particular that I
always want is you're listening to

00:29:15.426 --> 00:29:18.596
a podcast, I'm in the car, somebody
says something you want to remember.

00:29:19.261 --> 00:29:24.261
And the feature I've always wanted is
like, can you just please just clip?

00:29:24.331 --> 00:29:28.131
I want my DVR TiVo feature for my podcast.

00:29:28.141 --> 00:29:31.791
Like just clip the last 30 seconds
and do something smart with it so that

00:29:31.811 --> 00:29:34.951
I don't lose these ideas as they're
coming, as I'm coming across them.

00:29:35.791 --> 00:29:38.331
I think this company has been around
for a little while now, but without

00:29:38.371 --> 00:29:39.791
all the AI features that they had.

00:29:39.791 --> 00:29:43.011
So I think it used to be a, I
can triple click my earbuds.

00:29:43.781 --> 00:29:46.621
And it will grab the last little
30 seconds or something like that.

00:29:46.621 --> 00:29:48.301
I think it was the previous
version of this product.

00:29:48.321 --> 00:29:50.981
I did, I think I tried
this a year ago or more.

00:29:51.101 --> 00:29:51.751
It's fine.

00:29:52.101 --> 00:29:53.111
It's just not good enough.

00:29:53.631 --> 00:29:57.431
Now what it's doing is a bunch
of incredibly wonderful things.

00:29:57.731 --> 00:29:59.831
First of all, as I'm scrolling through.

00:30:00.091 --> 00:30:00.621
podcast.

00:30:01.031 --> 00:30:05.121
It's using AI to do summarization
of the whole podcast.

00:30:05.431 --> 00:30:09.091
So instead of it being the thing that
you or I would write about this podcast,

00:30:09.101 --> 00:30:12.021
which may or may not be accurate, it's
actually looking at the transcript

00:30:12.021 --> 00:30:15.091
and giving me a real summarization of
the topics that are going on in there.

00:30:15.141 --> 00:30:15.841
Very interesting.

00:30:16.175 --> 00:30:19.178
It then breaks up the podcast
dynamically into chapter clips.

00:30:19.318 --> 00:30:22.068
So if I don't like a topic that we're
talking about right now, like if I

00:30:22.068 --> 00:30:22.918
don't want to hear about Snipped.

00:30:23.918 --> 00:30:26.418
I can double click on my ear
pods and it will just go to

00:30:26.418 --> 00:30:28.638
the next chapter dynamically.

00:30:28.678 --> 00:30:29.358
That's awesome.

00:30:29.408 --> 00:30:30.218
That is awesome.

00:30:31.108 --> 00:30:34.248
Which is just like, it just changes
the experience, because we all know...

00:30:34.683 --> 00:30:37.373
Frankly, including ours, all
these podcasts go a little long.

00:30:38.373 --> 00:30:42.083
And part of it is, that is the joy
of the podcast, is that it feels like

00:30:42.083 --> 00:30:44.563
you're in the room with somebody, you're
listening to them go through a topic,

00:30:44.773 --> 00:30:47.193
you can get depth, but sometimes you
just don't want to hear about something.

00:30:47.573 --> 00:30:50.683
And so the DoubleClick Next Chapter,
even if they haven't set up, and it's

00:30:50.683 --> 00:30:55.583
not, it's chapter rankings on very
finite, like two, three minute scales.

00:30:55.653 --> 00:30:58.473
It's not like 20 minute scales,
which is what some podcasts do.

00:30:58.483 --> 00:30:59.673
And I just love that.

00:31:00.083 --> 00:31:04.748
And then the last feature, AI, Native
feature, which is really wonderful,

00:31:04.748 --> 00:31:09.338
is now when you triple click, it is
smart about how much it clips, so

00:31:09.338 --> 00:31:13.118
it clips only the topic area, which
could be in the future as well.

00:31:13.618 --> 00:31:16.708
It clips the topic area that is related
to the thing that you just triple

00:31:17.088 --> 00:31:21.388
clicked on, so somewhere, between 15
seconds and like a minute and a half

00:31:21.818 --> 00:31:25.178
is what it's grabbing to try and grab
the concept, which is just brilliant.

00:31:25.628 --> 00:31:28.758
And then it transcribes it into text.

00:31:29.518 --> 00:31:33.578
So you have a transcription, and
then I have that now plugged into...

00:31:33.913 --> 00:31:37.070
It has an API call that then
plugs this into ReadWise , which

00:31:37.070 --> 00:31:41.870
is a kind of like note taking for
podcasts and Kindle reading app.

00:31:42.260 --> 00:31:46.680
And then I have that, through an
API, plugged into my note taking app.

00:31:47.180 --> 00:31:51.540
So that basically, every
single time, I triple click.

00:31:51.540 --> 00:31:53.950
And I'm not going to talk about my
note taking app, because I love my note

00:31:53.960 --> 00:31:56.800
taking app, but we gotta save that,
you can't blow it all in one week.

00:31:57.800 --> 00:31:59.290
But I, triple click.

00:31:59.615 --> 00:32:02.795
And basically it now becomes a
pipeline where that becomes a

00:32:02.835 --> 00:32:05.375
permanent note for reference later on.

00:32:05.805 --> 00:32:06.685
What the heck

00:32:06.686 --> 00:32:07.865
Fraser Kelton: do you do with that later?

00:32:08.355 --> 00:32:10.475
That's for the note
taking app conversation.

00:32:10.475 --> 00:32:13.455
But I'm going back to our
conversation last week that 99

00:32:13.455 --> 00:32:16.355
percent of our life is mundane.

00:32:16.590 --> 00:32:20.277
I used to, tag things on Delicious
religiously, and I still find myself going

00:32:20.277 --> 00:32:22.137
back to that archive every now and then.

00:32:22.137 --> 00:32:27.117
And so there is some value there, but
I haven't tagged anything in well over

00:32:27.117 --> 00:32:31.587
a decade, so I don't know what that
says about the stickiness and long term

00:32:31.587 --> 00:32:33.107
value that I actually derive from it.

00:32:33.527 --> 00:32:33.887
Nabeel Hyatt: Anyway.

00:32:34.067 --> 00:32:37.837
Well, I like, look, I like when
people say things that are insightful.

00:32:37.857 --> 00:32:42.145
Like a good example is I used to
reference  of  puzzles versus mysteries.

00:32:42.495 --> 00:32:44.805
And that has been a guiding
thing for me for a little while.

00:32:44.995 --> 00:32:46.835
I came from listening to a
podcast years ago, right?

00:32:46.835 --> 00:32:49.295
It's when you, it's when you hear
something insightful and you want to

00:32:49.295 --> 00:32:52.595
make sure you don't lose it so you
can internalize it a little bit more.

00:32:52.970 --> 00:32:56.680
What I really want now is to feed into
a spaced referential learning product.

00:32:56.680 --> 00:32:58.680
But maybe that's just a little
bit too nerdy for most people,

00:32:59.650 --> 00:33:00.610
but the pod, but snip is

00:33:00.610 --> 00:33:00.860
Fraser Kelton: great.

00:33:01.030 --> 00:33:05.980
So yeah I'm a fellow  Overcast user, and
I think that Marco's just got great taste.

00:33:05.980 --> 00:33:07.300
It's an opinionated product.

00:33:07.300 --> 00:33:10.350
There's a bunch of different
flourishes that have really

00:33:10.350 --> 00:33:11.710
resonated with me over the years.

00:33:11.920 --> 00:33:16.920
What do you miss in, in
Snipped that Overcast gave you?

00:33:17.445 --> 00:33:20.495
Nabeel Hyatt: I'm opening up Overcast in
front of me right now to look through.

00:33:20.635 --> 00:33:27.185
So he does a really good job of,
having custom clipping at the

00:33:27.185 --> 00:33:28.425
beginning and the end of podcasts.

00:33:28.995 --> 00:33:30.875
So some of these podcasts start with.

00:33:31.475 --> 00:33:34.465
A minute and a half of ads in
the beginning, or a lot of times

00:33:34.465 --> 00:33:36.985
I find like the last minute of
the outro is always useless.

00:33:37.535 --> 00:33:40.875
Like they just go bloviate for, I lose
a minute and a half of my life every

00:33:40.875 --> 00:33:42.195
time I listen to a podcast at the end.

00:33:42.555 --> 00:33:47.135
And I actually really like the simple,
clean feature of like how many seconds

00:33:47.165 --> 00:33:50.545
of the outro do you want to cut from the
end of every single podcast, which when

00:33:50.545 --> 00:33:53.305
you're listening ongoing is helpful.

00:33:53.595 --> 00:33:55.675
I also think his shortened silences.

00:33:56.675 --> 00:33:58.135
is a very nice feature.

00:33:59.135 --> 00:34:02.965
I think those two are probably the
simple ones that kind of like bug me.

00:34:02.965 --> 00:34:04.275
There's probably other stuff.

00:34:05.275 --> 00:34:05.995
Fraser Kelton: Yeah, isn't it funny?

00:34:06.025 --> 00:34:08.695
The I forget what he calls
it, but the shortened silences

00:34:08.695 --> 00:34:12.155
feature is so lovingly done.

00:34:12.175 --> 00:34:16.045
And when he's spoken about how he built
that in the past, you just realize

00:34:16.045 --> 00:34:17.835
here's somebody who loves his craft.

00:34:18.835 --> 00:34:23.375
It is so great that when I listen on
other players and I try their speed

00:34:23.375 --> 00:34:26.935
up equivalent, it's just jarring.

00:34:26.935 --> 00:34:27.645
Nabeel Hyatt: It's not as good.

00:34:27.645 --> 00:34:28.105
It's just jarring.

00:34:28.105 --> 00:34:29.475
It's not listenable.

00:34:29.725 --> 00:34:30.275
Fraser Kelton: That's right.

00:34:30.385 --> 00:34:30.845
That's right.

00:34:31.275 --> 00:34:31.635
Interesting.

00:34:31.645 --> 00:34:32.315
Oh, the last one is

00:34:32.315 --> 00:34:32.885
Nabeel Hyatt: Snipped.

00:34:33.885 --> 00:34:38.185
Very simple one also is Snipped is very
bad at downloading episodes ahead of time.

00:34:39.185 --> 00:34:42.275
So it's fine for streaming, but
like I get on a plane and the

00:34:42.275 --> 00:34:44.755
only thing it downloads is things
are already sitting in the queue.

00:34:45.125 --> 00:34:46.665
And I want it to just, it's audio, man.

00:34:46.675 --> 00:34:47.575
It doesn't take up that much space.

00:34:47.960 --> 00:34:50.800
Just, like, download hundreds of
podcasts so I can listen to what I want.

00:34:50.830 --> 00:34:51.890
It's still bad at that.

00:34:52.890 --> 00:34:52.990
Yeah.

00:34:53.200 --> 00:34:57.850
But the whole point is, like, is it
gonna, is it, in a year, is Snipp gonna

00:34:57.850 --> 00:34:59.180
be able to download more podcasts?

00:34:59.280 --> 00:35:00.260
Like, yeah, probably.

00:35:00.350 --> 00:35:05.170
But they, they created a new, for
me at least, they created a reason

00:35:05.170 --> 00:35:09.450
we're switching, and now I've got
a new default, and defaults matter.

00:35:10.360 --> 00:35:10.760
Yep,

00:35:11.030 --> 00:35:11.410
Fraser Kelton: yep.

00:35:12.030 --> 00:35:16.120
Not to get too far ahead of things,
but you can imagine that if it knows

00:35:16.690 --> 00:35:21.070
the unstructured segments of podcasts
that you actually like, and the ones

00:35:21.070 --> 00:35:26.410
that you skip, There can be an entire
discovery piece around, around segments

00:35:26.410 --> 00:35:28.480
rather than episodes or podcasts itself.

00:35:28.490 --> 00:35:34.470
Like here is some esoteric podcast
talking in, depth around a note

00:35:34.500 --> 00:35:37.160
taking app that's going to resonate
with you for these reasons.

00:35:37.180 --> 00:35:37.570
Cause

00:35:38.090 --> 00:35:39.040
Nabeel Hyatt: That's, your catnip.

00:35:39.530 --> 00:35:40.130
Oh yeah, exactly.

00:35:40.176 --> 00:35:43.136
That feels like, especially in a
world where it feels like everybody

00:35:43.406 --> 00:35:45.296
woke up a year after COVID.

00:35:46.186 --> 00:35:49.836
With a great zoom setup and some
mics and decided to start a podcast.

00:35:50.036 --> 00:35:51.686
Like we're going to have so much audio.

00:35:51.736 --> 00:35:52.736
It's hilarious.

00:35:52.746 --> 00:35:55.656
Like I know we're contributing
to the problem, but everybody

00:35:56.136 --> 00:35:58.876
with a podcast does create a new
problem, which is content discovery.

00:35:59.646 --> 00:36:02.636
And, I don't think for most
podcasts, the answer is.

00:36:02.856 --> 00:36:06.216
New things to subscribe to, to
listen to every single episode, but

00:36:06.386 --> 00:36:10.436
if Snippet works, you can also see
this cycle where you can listen to

00:36:10.486 --> 00:36:12.286
snippets that are more valuable.

00:36:12.446 --> 00:36:15.756
It was, I'm sure their original
value proposition, I know it was

00:36:15.796 --> 00:36:16.916
because I saw it a while ago.

00:36:17.296 --> 00:36:18.896
I don't think it works.

00:36:19.391 --> 00:36:21.911
You don't have enough data and
you don't have enough nuance and

00:36:21.911 --> 00:36:24.361
unstructured organization before LLMs.

00:36:24.611 --> 00:36:27.671
And now with LLMs, I actually think
there's a possibility where a kind

00:36:27.671 --> 00:36:31.201
of like okay idea for a product
might actually be a real thing.

00:36:31.381 --> 00:36:31.691
We'll see.

00:36:32.691 --> 00:36:33.321
Yeah, I

00:36:33.351 --> 00:36:35.191
Fraser Kelton: can imagine that you're
not even just getting recommended,

00:36:35.261 --> 00:36:38.611
but you're listening to a snipped
podcast that is nothing but segments

00:36:38.611 --> 00:36:43.291
that they think you're going to
like on, a topic across a plethora

00:36:43.291 --> 00:36:45.481
of different podcasts all stitched

00:36:45.481 --> 00:36:45.941
Nabeel Hyatt: together.

00:36:46.386 --> 00:36:48.556
Yeah, they have, they're already,
I think they already are in

00:36:48.576 --> 00:36:49.696
progress on something similar.

00:36:50.466 --> 00:36:50.876
I see.

00:36:50.976 --> 00:36:52.366
Well, listen, ship it, guys.

00:36:52.416 --> 00:36:53.836
Jeremy was remarking the other night.

00:36:53.846 --> 00:36:54.566
I, I do.

00:36:55.116 --> 00:36:58.610
Basically record as much of
my life as I can right now.

00:36:58.820 --> 00:37:02.282
Partially with the idea that it
will be maybe valuable later on.

00:37:02.762 --> 00:37:05.562
I don't know that I'm saying anything
insightful, but maybe something

00:37:05.622 --> 00:37:07.162
somebody else will say is insightful.

00:37:07.162 --> 00:37:09.356
Or maybe this product can do
something with that audio.

00:37:09.576 --> 00:37:11.844
There's got to be a model somewhere
that's  going to do something with it.

00:37:12.594 --> 00:37:14.904
Fraser Kelton: I think on all of that
stuff, we're going to realize that...

00:37:15.128 --> 00:37:19.008
Nothing exciting or interesting or
novel happens in 99 percent of our

00:37:19.008 --> 00:37:24.968
lives, and so you'll have terabytes of
content that will remind you of the dull

00:37:25.968 --> 00:37:26.128
Nabeel Hyatt: (Laughter).

00:37:26.673 --> 00:37:30.603
Fraser Kelton: repetitiveness of
life, by, punctuated by very brief

00:37:30.603 --> 00:37:33.503
moments of intense highs and lows.

00:37:33.938 --> 00:37:38.038
Nabeel Hyatt: So Fraser, are
you  prognosticating, that our AI

00:37:38.038 --> 00:37:42.028
summarizing our lives perfectly, will
drive a global nihilism understanding

00:37:42.068 --> 00:37:43.658
of the futility of our daily lives?

00:37:44.658 --> 00:37:46.518
Fraser Kelton: People don't
even care to that degree, right?

00:37:46.528 --> 00:37:48.918
There will be a small pocket of
people who have to confront the

00:37:48.918 --> 00:37:50.688
idea that there's nothing going

00:37:51.028 --> 00:37:52.148
Nabeel Hyatt: just not that important.

00:37:52.588 --> 00:37:52.988
Fraser Kelton: Yeah.

00:37:53.058 --> 00:37:56.568
And everybody else will be watching Sunday
night football like they always had been.

00:37:56.774 --> 00:37:58.964
Nabeel Hyatt: Emmett Shear, has this
thing about I think he talked about

00:37:58.964 --> 00:38:01.084
it at dinner the other night where
he's thinking it's yeah, it turns out.

00:38:01.434 --> 00:38:02.484
That the reason Justin.

00:38:02.754 --> 00:38:07.454
tv doesn't work is that nobody has an
interesting life on a day to day basis.

00:38:07.454 --> 00:38:10.964
And the reason that live reality
television doesn't work all the time

00:38:10.964 --> 00:38:15.704
is because even a crazy celebrity
still mostly spends their day doing

00:38:15.714 --> 00:38:17.904
mundane and stupid, stupid things.

00:38:17.964 --> 00:38:18.634
And so,

00:38:19.634 --> 00:38:20.214
Fraser Kelton: Yeah.

00:38:20.974 --> 00:38:25.233
And then you get moments like the other
night when a founder is dealing with

00:38:25.233 --> 00:38:28.333
immigration hell and you're trying to
figure out how to get this guy who's

00:38:28.403 --> 00:38:32.743
just flown into SFO and been held for
23 hours  into the country because

00:38:32.743 --> 00:38:35.803
he's legally supposed to be there, but
he didn't have the right paperwork.

00:38:36.353 --> 00:38:38.773
Nabeel Hyatt: I'm surprised that
tech industry hasn't found some way

00:38:38.953 --> 00:38:42.363
to break through with both parties
in Washington on immigration.

00:38:42.413 --> 00:38:45.193
You should not have a founder
of a venture backed startup.

00:38:45.723 --> 00:38:50.753
Having to flee the country quickly
because of visa problems when they're

00:38:50.753 --> 00:38:52.663
just trying to build a company in America.

00:38:52.663 --> 00:38:52.923
Fraser Kelton: Yeah.

00:38:52.983 --> 00:38:54.833
And, I mean, the visa's
already been approved.

00:38:54.833 --> 00:38:56.813
He just presented the
wrong piece of paper.

00:38:56.913 --> 00:38:58.283
It's just very strange.

00:38:58.443 --> 00:39:03.563
I mean, the idea that we train the
best in the world and then kick

00:39:03.563 --> 00:39:07.593
them out some number of months after
doesn't make any sense either, right?

00:39:07.593 --> 00:39:07.713
Nabeel Hyatt: Yeah.

00:39:07.713 --> 00:39:12.228
That's another thing  . This may
be counter to everybody hating on

00:39:12.228 --> 00:39:13.268
all the Ivy's and everything else.

00:39:14.268 --> 00:39:17.418
Higher education is a magnet that pulls.

00:39:17.823 --> 00:39:21.463
Immigrants to us to start with,
because frankly, there's already

00:39:21.463 --> 00:39:24.653
a Google office in Mumbai, right?

00:39:24.763 --> 00:39:27.573
And so, they're going to come
here for college, and then it's

00:39:27.583 --> 00:39:31.583
our job as an ecosystem to make
sure they stay, that the best and

00:39:31.583 --> 00:39:32.593
brightest who come here for college.

00:39:32.663 --> 00:39:36.533
I actually, I have my issues with higher
education and the way it's structured,

00:39:36.763 --> 00:39:41.283
but  it is one of the industries
of which we massively dominate.

00:39:41.303 --> 00:39:43.353
And so trying to disrupt it and kill it.

00:39:43.888 --> 00:39:46.468
Just hurts the whole
ecosystem of startups.

00:39:47.008 --> 00:39:50.378
So I fix it But  the we should just
tear it all down and colleges don't

00:39:50.378 --> 00:39:52.818
matter is ignoring what colleges mean

00:39:52.868 --> 00:39:55.878
Fraser Kelton: the idea that you
don't want to take the best electrical

00:39:55.878 --> 00:40:00.108
engineer in the world and put them
into a six year PhD in some esoteric

00:40:00.168 --> 00:40:04.338
area where they're going to go so
deep that there might just be peer

00:40:04.338 --> 00:40:06.228
basic research that comes out of it.

00:40:06.288 --> 00:40:10.453
Or it might be some, some other
benefit that gets kicked off.

00:40:10.453 --> 00:40:13.623
Like we should just be
investing and supporting that

00:40:13.623 --> 00:40:14.973
as much as we possibly can.

00:40:15.473 --> 00:40:17.914
Nabeel Hyatt: Yeah, look, Community
colleges are actually very, very

00:40:17.914 --> 00:40:20.294
beneficial to local communities.

00:40:20.294 --> 00:40:22.824
But right above that, you got a bunch
of schools that aren't doing crap for

00:40:22.824 --> 00:40:25.164
anybody except for, creating student debt.

00:40:25.194 --> 00:40:25.544
Fine.

00:40:26.024 --> 00:40:31.484
But for the top third to 40 percent
it is the beginning of the process of

00:40:31.484 --> 00:40:34.634
the engine of what makes America work.

00:40:34.694 --> 00:40:35.864
Are there problems after that?

00:40:35.884 --> 00:40:39.944
Is the idea of yet yet another
person going 12 years down PhD

00:40:39.944 --> 00:40:41.744
physics research only to...

00:40:42.019 --> 00:40:45.949
Find out that they're working in some
field so deep that they're likely to

00:40:45.949 --> 00:40:47.289
never hit a breakthrough at this point.

00:40:47.299 --> 00:40:49.669
And they're throwing their whole life away
as one of the brightest people in America.

00:40:49.719 --> 00:40:51.009
I can make that rant, too.

00:40:51.069 --> 00:40:55.639
We under indexed how much cross
disciplinary learning there

00:40:55.639 --> 00:40:58.749
is when you get to actually
coming through breakthroughs.

00:40:58.979 --> 00:41:01.599
.
But I think if you remove it,
you really do a lot of damage

00:41:01.599 --> 00:41:02.669
to the whole system, so.

00:41:03.019 --> 00:41:04.849
Fraser Kelton: But even that
I'm just looking up Dario

00:41:04.849 --> 00:41:07.099
from Anthropic's LinkedIn.

00:41:07.449 --> 00:41:09.609
He has a PhD in Biophysics, right?

00:41:09.614 --> 00:41:12.184
So he went deep in some sort
of, some sort of weird topic.

00:41:12.184 --> 00:41:13.994
I don't even know what
biophysics would be.

00:41:14.094 --> 00:41:16.044
And now he's, he's running anthropic.

00:41:16.094 --> 00:41:19.894
I think that there's certain types
of minds that, that get attracted to

00:41:19.894 --> 00:41:25.294
these deep, programs that also then
learn how to learn and, and grind and

00:41:25.304 --> 00:41:28.624
all sorts of different skills that
are quite applicable and valuable

00:41:28.634 --> 00:41:31.704
for creating pretty profound things.

00:41:32.409 --> 00:41:32.689
Nabeel Hyatt: Yeah.

00:41:33.079 --> 00:41:33.749
I think that's fair.

00:41:33.949 --> 00:41:37.989
. I think people have a hard time with the
non deterministic nature of it all too.

00:41:38.039 --> 00:41:42.869
This idea of who do we let in and what
are they going to study and  it's we

00:41:42.869 --> 00:41:47.439
as a society seem to want everything
to be rapidly deterministic, right?

00:41:47.689 --> 00:41:49.229
I come in to get the biophysics.

00:41:49.239 --> 00:41:51.199
How many biophysics jobs
are there in the world?

00:41:51.519 --> 00:41:53.159
Do we need more people in biophysics?

00:41:53.159 --> 00:41:57.659
It's just a very linear thinking
when, the nature of an economy, the

00:41:57.659 --> 00:42:00.189
nature of our, frankly, our human
lives, the nature, certainly the

00:42:00.189 --> 00:42:01.399
nature of innovation and startups.

00:42:01.694 --> 00:42:05.384
Is that a little bit of randomness and a
little bit of chaos is pretty important.

00:42:05.514 --> 00:42:09.304
And that comes to college admissions,
that comes to job admissions, that comes

00:42:09.304 --> 00:42:11.954
to what you're going to work on 10 years
from now in your life, all of that.

00:42:12.414 --> 00:42:15.294
But we live in an era of data
science, and, and numbers.

00:42:15.294 --> 00:42:18.314
So the things that seem to
belie that, that determinist

00:42:18.664 --> 00:42:20.074
nature people have trouble with,

00:42:20.124 --> 00:42:21.214
Fraser Kelton: So here are the names.

00:42:21.294 --> 00:42:28.974
Random Seeds, Latent Chat, Unsupervised
Learning, Weekly Prompts, do you think?

00:42:29.974 --> 00:42:31.424
Nabeel Hyatt: So, okay, wait,
wait, let's start over again.

00:42:31.924 --> 00:42:35.774
The potential names that, was this,
did we use ChatGPT or Claude for

00:42:35.789 --> 00:42:36.949
Fraser Kelton: We use Claude and,

00:42:37.014 --> 00:42:37.614
Nabeel Hyatt: this podcast.

00:42:37.899 --> 00:42:38.669
and ChatGPT.

00:42:38.709 --> 00:42:41.129
Okay, so using both Claude and ChatGPT.

00:42:41.639 --> 00:42:45.349
The answers, and this is the, just
so we're clear, this is a cold, this

00:42:45.349 --> 00:42:49.269
is like the top 10 percent of the
answers that GPT and Claude gave us

00:42:49.319 --> 00:42:51.089
for names for this podcast, right?

00:42:51.579 --> 00:42:52.979
Run it down again, Fraser?

00:42:53.849 --> 00:42:55.049
Fraser Kelton: Random seeds.

00:42:55.369 --> 00:42:56.449
Latent chat.

00:42:56.899 --> 00:42:59.009
I'm even editing, so I won't edit it.

00:42:59.179 --> 00:43:00.239
Tensor talk.

00:43:00.479 --> 00:43:01.429
Tensor talk.

00:43:02.429 --> 00:43:03.939
Unsupervised learnings.

00:43:04.309 --> 00:43:07.139
And, and the other one that I removed
at the start was gen talk, because

00:43:07.139 --> 00:43:10.599
anytime anybody says gen AI, I
cringe and die a little bit inside.

00:43:11.099 --> 00:43:12.619
I'm not sure that any of these are great.

00:43:13.554 --> 00:43:16.674
Nabeel Hyatt: They do have a certain dad
humor quality to them that I appreciate

00:43:17.389 --> 00:43:17.839
Fraser Kelton: Yeah.

00:43:17.899 --> 00:43:20.679
Isn't that interesting is
it just reinforces how hard

00:43:21.139 --> 00:43:23.029
humor is to capture with

00:43:23.054 --> 00:43:25.094
Nabeel Hyatt: well, it's obviously
there's just too much dad humor

00:43:25.099 --> 00:43:26.714
in the training data . That's the

00:43:26.764 --> 00:43:27.354
Fraser Kelton: well, that's what I mean.

00:43:27.354 --> 00:43:31.774
Like the funny people are funny
because that's a scarce resource.

00:43:31.774 --> 00:43:33.954
It's not like everybody's
walking around being hilarious.

00:43:34.669 --> 00:43:35.089
Nabeel Hyatt: That's right.

00:43:35.239 --> 00:43:39.049
I have no strong visceral
response to this at all.

00:43:39.209 --> 00:43:39.659
You're right.

00:43:39.659 --> 00:43:41.429
Unsupervised learning is the least cringe.

00:43:41.459 --> 00:43:42.479
I can at least say that.

00:43:42.984 --> 00:43:45.774
But if you are one of the handful of
folks that likely listen and you have

00:43:45.774 --> 00:43:48.354
a suggestion as well, let us know.

00:43:48.854 --> 00:43:50.214
And that's, let's call it for today.

00:43:51.004 --> 00:43:51.654
Fraser Kelton: Let's call it.

00:43:51.904 --> 00:43:52.364
Thanks.

00:43:53.314 --> 00:43:53.664
Nabeel Hyatt: Awesome.

00:43:54.124 --> 00:43:54.664
Talk to you later.