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Judith: Welcome to Berry's In the
Interim podcast, where we explore the

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cutting edge of innovative clinical
trial design for the pharmaceutical and

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medical industries, and so much more.

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Let's dive in.

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Scott Berry: All right.

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Welcome everybody.

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Back to, in the interim, I'm your
host, Scott Berry, and today I have

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three guests and we're gonna talk
about a new adaptive platform trial.

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And the, the trial name is Panther and
we'll get to what, what Panther is.

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But, uh, let me introduce
you to our guest today.

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First, I have Professor
Victoria Cornelius.

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She's a professor of medical statistics
and trial methodology, and the director

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of the Imperial Imperial Clinical Unit
and co-director of the NIHR Research

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Support Services, Imperial College London.

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And she has extensive experience in
designing and analyzing trials to

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evaluate drug and complex interventions.

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And uses, uh, both Bayesian and
Frequentist adaptive designs using

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innovative statistical, uh, approaches.

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And we will talk about those today.

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Uh, we also have Dr.

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Danny McCauley, who is a consultant
and professor in intensive care

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medicine at the regional intensive care
unit at the Royal Victoria Hospital

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in Queens University in Belfast.

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He is the NIHR Scientific
Director for research programs.

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He has several research interests,
including acute respiratory distress

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syndrome, which will be a topic for
today, uh, as well as recovery following

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critical illness, uh, in clinical trials.

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Danny and I have worked together, by
the way, extensively on the REMAP CAP

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trial, a different trial that, uh, uh,
isn't the main topic, uh, of today.

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And we have Professor Anthony Gordon.

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Uh, uh, professor Gordon is the head
and of the division of Anesthetics

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Pain Medicine and Intensive
Care at Imperial College London.

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He is a consultant, uh, on the
adult intensive care unit at St.

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Mary's Hospital and is an
NIHR Senior investigator.

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His research focuses on developing
precision medicine and sepsis.

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And he's been the chief investigator for
multiple clinical trials in critical care

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and he's now the director of the UK's
NIHR Health Tech Technology Assessment

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Program where he's keen to encourage
innovative and novel trial designs.

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And I think we have a pretty
innovative and novel one today.

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Uh, and Tony is also a member of the most
excellent order of the British Empire.

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Uh, and I've also worked quite
a bit, uh, uh, for a number of

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years with Tony on remap Cap.

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We've all worked together, so
welcome everybody to in the interim.

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Anthony Gordon: Thanks Scott.

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Danny McAuley: Thanks Scott.

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Scott Berry: all right, so Panther.

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Uh, Panther is a new platform trial, and
I, uh, I should say that I am a member of

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the DSMB and I'm honored to be a member
of the DSMB, but we have seen no data yet.

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So I'm not unblinded, there's
no risk that I'm going to give

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away results in the trial.

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Uh, somewhat familiar with the
trial, but, uh, uh, so this,

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that'll be a, a fun part of this.

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So the, the Panther platform trial,
uh, and it, it labels the objective of

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this is to accelerate the development
of pharmacological therapies for

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critical illness by establishing an
international phase two precision

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medicine adaptive platform trial,
uh, to test for efficacy, uh, in.

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Uh, pharmacological intervention in
critically ill patients for acute

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respiratory distress syndrome and pandemic
infection and different sub phenotypes.

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So tell me about the Panther trial.

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First of all, why, why do
we need the Panther trial?

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What is the Panther trial
trying to address and solve?

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Danny McAuley: Thanks, Scott.

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I'm happy to kick off and we'll see where,
uh, we, we land with Tony and Victoria.

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So I, I guess in terms of what we're
trying to do, uh, there are several

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challenges, um, in treating, uh, a RDS.

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Um, there's a huge amount of heterogeneity
within the, uh, overall population.

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Um, and I think.

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More recently, over the last sort of
five to 10 years, we've recognized

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that there are phenotypes that
exist within these, uh, syndromic

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definitions of, of conditions that
we deal with in intensive care.

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Like IRDS the most consistently reported,
and there are others Tony may wanna

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pick up on, um, are the inflammatory
phenotypes that are, uh, described

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originally by, uh, Carlin Calie.

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Over now, 10 years ago.

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Essentially, these now have
been replicated in multiple,

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uh, secondary analysis of RCTs,
observational cohorts, adult kids.

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So we're trying to get at that
heterogeneity by focusing on, on

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those phenotypes, and we've only
recently been able to identify.

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Those at the, the bedside,
which we can come back to.

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So that's one big, um, thing
that we're trying to deal with.

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The second, uh, big issue is that
I think traditionally in, uh,

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critical care, and particularly
ARDS we've jumped from relatively

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small promising phase 2 studies.

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into Big phase 3 Um, what we're
really trying to do with, uh, Panther

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is give confidence in the therapies
that we think might work, uh, with a

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much greater amount of, of certainty.

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So move from small phase 2 to
big phase 2 within, uh, Panther.

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And then I think that the
other issue is that, um.

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We've really struggled to get, uh,
uh, commercial partners engaged

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within, uh, the critical care
space, particularly within ARDS

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and sepsis, largely because of a.

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Con misconception, I think
that, um, uh, ARDS and critical

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illness are are a, a graveyard.

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And I think what we want to try and
do is de-risk the involvement with

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commercial partners because we have an
established ongoing platform that we can

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hopefully answer questions that, uh, help.

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Commercial companies, uh, at a
sort of, uh, lower risk, but uh,

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also more importantly and perhaps
most importantly, help patients.

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So I'll, uh, stop there and
see what others have to say.

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Anthony Gordon: Yeah,
Scott, I think obviously.

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Align with Danny's thinking.

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I think it's, we've got
critically ill patients.

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There's this unmet need
to improve their outcomes.

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So these are patients
at high risk of dying.

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provide them generally with supportive
care, but when it's come to trials

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of specific drugs that might, uh,
modulate, for instance their immune

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response to that critical illness,
promising drugs from preclinical studies

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haven't translated into that benefit.

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And I think it is because we've.

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As clinicians, we group patients
with similar signs, symptoms,

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organs that aren't working.

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So in this case, lung injury,

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given them the treatment.

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And probably some of those treatments
have had potential for benefit.

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But in the trials we've just not seen it
because there are others who don't benefit

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and probably some, uh, that are harmed.

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And as Danny said, there's been
a big emphasis in actually.

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Breaking down these clinical syndromes
into more biological sub phenotypes.

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And then it would seem that the drugs,
if you could target the biology,

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are more likely to be beneficial.

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And so with this, um, if we
do that though, it needs to

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be, uh, a joined up effort.

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International is the other aspect of this.

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If we try and do this on
our own, because we're.

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Breaking down the populations
into smaller groups.

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Um, we think the important thing is
to come together so that we can work

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internationally, get answers more quickly.

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Um, so that is the other key part
of this being an international,

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uh, platform, getting the key
investigators to work together.

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Scott Berry: Oh, okay.

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So it, it, it's an area, A RDS is an
area that not much has worked in, and

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yet it's still a clinical problem.

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It's, it's, I don't wanna
call it a, a graveyard, but

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it's been a challenging area.

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And you think to some extent, part of the
challenge is ID not all a RDS is the same.

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And so it may be some treatments,
precision medicine, treat some

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of them well, but others that
may be negative and the net.

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You run a trial, it looks like
nothing but so this trial can try to

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address heterogeneity of effect, uh,
within this, do it in a larger scale.

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An aspect of the platform, I
imagine is easier shots on goal.

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So if you've got this up and running and
you want to bring in a treatment from a

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pharmaceutical company or anything to,
to take that shot on goal, to give it

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a shot to investigate it, much cheaper,
much smaller than going out and building

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a whole new stadium to test that one.

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I imagine that's why the platform
part of this is, is interesting.

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Anthony Gordon: Yeah,
I think that's right.

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And when you put it like that,
there's maybe COVID-19 gave

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us some of that learning and
has helped to accelerate that.

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This work was going on already.

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But we saw the benefit of
platforms of bringing in drugs

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rapidly and getting answers.

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But I think also just underpins the
biological rationale behind this.

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Uh, with COVID, a new infection,
um, was essentially a RDS, um,

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but very homogeneous, particularly
at the beginning of the pandemic.

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And that homogeneity, I think, was.

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What enabled us, um, you know, multiple
groups of trials to show, uh, the

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drugs that were successful in immune
modulation, uh, drugs, particularly

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in the critically ill, uh, population.

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So that sort, I think, reassures us
that, that the biological rational is

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solid, that we can improve outcomes if
we identify the right patients with the,

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uh, right underlying biology,
uh, with these therapies.

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Scott Berry: Yep.

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Alright, so before before we move forward,
a RDS, um, we've heard the term, you

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know, what, what is a RDS and I know
you talked about the heterogeneity.

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So I mean, what is, what is a RDS.

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Danny McAuley: So, uh, essentially,
um, a RDS is severe, uh, respiratory

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failure that is, uh, not due to.

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Other recognized conditions like
heart failure or, uh, fluid overload.

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Um, and it's characterized by, you know,
x-ray changes that are sort of bilateral

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patchiness and severely impaired, um,
lung function that we, um, uh, sort of

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measured using measures of oxygenation
typically, um, tho those people are on a.

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Mechanical ventilator, although, uh,
more recently the, the sort of syndromic

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definition has been updated to include,
um, people who are receiving high flow

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nasal oxygen due to the increasing
and, and widespread use of that.

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So, so that's the syndromic definition.

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But I guess, you know, as you
might imagine, that sort of is

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underpinned by a whole raft of
different biological processes that

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we're really only now starting to.

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Get at, which is the sort
of move to precision.

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Scott Berry: Hmm.

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Hmm.

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Okay.

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And, and you could this acute failure,
so this is, uh, as opposed to as

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chronic, uh, uh, in a particular way.

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So some, some particular event has
caused this respiratory distress,

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and that could be sepsis cap and a
whole wealth of other things that

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get somebody into this acute status.

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Danny McAuley: Yeah, that's right.

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So I mean, if you get knocked
over by a bus, you break your

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leg, you have near drowning
sepsis, you have bad pancreatitis.

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So, and again, if you
imagine the heterogeneity.

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That as well, adding into the mix.

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So it, it's not at all surprising that
we, if we've treated all these patients

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the same way that we've struggled
to find a, a specific, um, therapy.

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So I, I think again, that just
emphasizes the need to, to follow the

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biology and the then the phenotypes.

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Scott Berry: Yeah.

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Okay.

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So there's this larger goal we,
we, we should say, by the way,

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so you're interested in this.

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Panther platform trial.

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And you've, you've presented
this solution to a problem and

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you have gotten this funded.

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Uh, so who is the major funder of this?

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Danny McAuley: So, um, the, the
sort of first funder was the, uh,

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national Institute for Health and
Care, uh, um, research in the uk.

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Um, I should say, uh, Tony and
I also, uh, worked for the NIHR

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as as well as, as you mentioned.

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So, uh, just to, to mention that.

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But we've now been, um.

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Really successful in getting multiple
other funders, which I think highlights

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the, the sort of recognition of
the, the importance of the unmet

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need Were funded in the US and
were by the Department of Defense.

00:14:01.018 --> 00:14:04.408
Were funded in, uh, Canada by the CIHR.

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We're funded, uh, in Australia now
by, uh, a collaborative between

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N-H-M-R-C and MRFF, and we've also
got funding in Ireland from HRB as

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well as, uh, Germany and, uh, Japan.

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I don't think I've left any out
there, but if I have, uh, but

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Tony will correct me or Victoria.

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Scott Berry: Yeah.

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Okay, so we, we kind of understand
that what, what we want this to solve.

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And now this sort of comes to the
clinical trial science part of it.

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So how do we create something that
solves some of these problems?

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So maybe we should now talk about what the
trial is, uh, the science of the trial.

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So, Victoria, this is a platform trial.

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Now, platform trials can mean lots
of different things, uh, in this.

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Uh, what, let, let's talk
about the trial design.

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What, what is the trial design now to
help create some of these solutions?

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Victoria Cornelius: Uh, yeah.

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Thank you Scott.

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It's uh, lovely to be with
you here today as well.

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Um.

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So it is interesting that you said that
platforms can be lots of different things.

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Um, uh, I think, yeah, it, it would be
good to talk about that and get your,

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your opinion on whether they, how,
how, how different those things can be.

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Ultimately, we're talking
about platform trials.

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I think we're talking about, um, one
area, one clinical area, and we're

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talking about the ability to adapt things
over time, to add in interventions and

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to drop those interventions as well.

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So that, that's how I would see it.

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So some sort of adaptive.

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Uh, trials design within, you
know, o overarching, uh, structure.

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Um, so with this, this is exciting.

00:15:43.723 --> 00:15:46.543
Pan, pan is exciting 'cause we've got
these, like I say, we're doing these,

00:15:46.663 --> 00:15:48.823
uh, interest in these two phenotypes.

00:15:48.823 --> 00:15:51.733
I dunno if we've named them
yet actually as hyper and hypo

00:15:51.733 --> 00:15:53.833
inflammatory, uh, processes.

00:15:54.133 --> 00:15:56.323
Um, and we, what?

00:15:56.863 --> 00:16:03.283
The, the overarching design actually is to
stratify by, by these two sub phenotypes.

00:16:03.523 --> 00:16:08.203
So I would call it a stratified,
uh, trial, uh, adaptive.

00:16:08.713 --> 00:16:13.963
Um, and within that, um, we are gonna
be using, we've, we've chosen to do this

00:16:13.993 --> 00:16:16.183
within a analysis framework as well.

00:16:17.368 --> 00:16:17.578
Scott Berry: Hmm.

00:16:18.418 --> 00:16:18.778
Okay.

00:16:18.778 --> 00:16:22.198
So there's, uh, by, by the way,
one of the fun challenges of these

00:16:22.198 --> 00:16:24.328
podcasts is not having slides.

00:16:24.388 --> 00:16:27.928
Uh, or you could have a slide
that shows all of these components

00:16:27.928 --> 00:16:30.478
together, but you have to sort
of describe it to the audience.

00:16:30.838 --> 00:16:34.618
So the platform part of this is you're
gonna bring in multiple therapies,

00:16:34.618 --> 00:16:37.858
and right now you have two of them
that you have brought into the

00:16:37.858 --> 00:16:41.668
trial and we can talk more about,
but Simvastatin and Baricitinib.

00:16:42.268 --> 00:16:45.868
So you have the two arms
in remap cap, for example.

00:16:46.358 --> 00:16:52.568
We might do factorial randomization, where
you could get one or the other or both.

00:16:52.928 --> 00:16:57.308
In this trial, I think at least now you've
got this setup where you have parallel

00:16:57.308 --> 00:17:00.878
arms, so you have a common control arm.

00:17:01.178 --> 00:17:05.918
You can have simvastatin and Baricitinib,
and when you add a new arm, it kind

00:17:05.918 --> 00:17:07.778
of enters in this parallel way.

00:17:08.048 --> 00:17:11.408
So a patient that comes
in is randomized among.

00:17:12.028 --> 00:17:16.198
Today, right now with the, with those
two experimental arms, randomized

00:17:16.198 --> 00:17:17.878
among those three possibilities.

00:17:18.178 --> 00:17:18.958
Is that right?

00:17:19.738 --> 00:17:20.428
Victoria Cornelius: That's right.

00:17:20.458 --> 00:17:22.138
But stratified obviously
with, because we are

00:17:22.138 --> 00:17:25.298
doing it in the hypo inflammatory
and the hyper inflammatory as well.

00:17:25.768 --> 00:17:26.038
Yeah.

00:17:26.188 --> 00:17:26.638
And we, yeah.

00:17:26.638 --> 00:17:28.528
So it's not a multifactorial.

00:17:30.958 --> 00:17:34.168
Scott Berry: Now, the, the, the
sub phenotypes that you talked

00:17:34.168 --> 00:17:35.488
about, the hypo and hyper.

00:17:36.628 --> 00:17:38.638
Uh, so a patient that comes in.

00:17:38.638 --> 00:17:40.948
So let's talk about the
perspective of a patient.

00:17:40.948 --> 00:17:45.868
A patient that comes in is
the, the, the process of this.

00:17:45.868 --> 00:17:50.128
So Tony, you see a patient,
they, they fit the a RDS.

00:17:50.128 --> 00:17:50.728
Inclusion.

00:17:50.728 --> 00:17:55.288
Exclusion are the inclusion
exclusion criteria for simvastatin

00:17:55.288 --> 00:17:57.148
and baricitinib identical.

00:17:58.258 --> 00:17:59.248
Anthony Gordon: They're very similar, so.

00:18:00.238 --> 00:18:04.618
As a platform, we have inclusion
exclusion criteria for the platform.

00:18:04.618 --> 00:18:08.578
So as you said, it's essentially
a patient with a RDS.

00:18:09.628 --> 00:18:16.018
Um, there are then they're
eligible for the, for the platform.

00:18:16.513 --> 00:18:16.843
Scott Berry: Uh huh.

00:18:17.428 --> 00:18:21.778
Anthony Gordon: Importantly it is then at
that time they have their blood samples

00:18:21.778 --> 00:18:28.288
measured and their assignment to the
hypo or hypo inflammatory sub phenotype.

00:18:28.963 --> 00:18:34.513
Done upfront before they're randomized
so that they can then be randomized

00:18:34.573 --> 00:18:36.553
essentially into the two strata.

00:18:36.643 --> 00:18:42.223
Um, according to the, the sub
phenotypes, the, the inclusion

00:18:42.223 --> 00:18:43.573
exclusion criteria for each drug.

00:18:43.603 --> 00:18:44.733
Um, as I said, I, I.

00:18:45.988 --> 00:18:49.498
Virtually the same, but there have
to be a few exceptions because

00:18:49.498 --> 00:18:50.608
the drugs work in different ways.

00:18:50.608 --> 00:18:52.948
So the obvious one is if
you're allergic to one of the

00:18:52.948 --> 00:18:54.628
medications, you can't have it.

00:18:54.958 --> 00:18:55.918
But there are some.

00:18:55.918 --> 00:18:59.998
For instance, with simvastatin, you have
to be careful with drug interactions.

00:19:00.148 --> 00:19:02.638
So if you're on another
drug, you may be excluded.

00:19:02.968 --> 00:19:07.948
There's concerns around patients with
renal failure, for instance, that

00:19:07.948 --> 00:19:09.568
would exclude you from Baricitinib.

00:19:09.568 --> 00:19:11.458
But essentially they're the same.

00:19:11.458 --> 00:19:11.878
And then.

00:19:13.483 --> 00:19:16.753
Well those eligibility, once you
know, the sub phenotype has been

00:19:16.753 --> 00:19:22.303
determined, the randomization happens
separately within each stratum, the

00:19:22.303 --> 00:19:24.193
way you, the patient is allocated.

00:19:24.463 --> 00:19:29.053
And so, as Victoria said,
it's then a stratified trial.

00:19:29.263 --> 00:19:33.643
Um, so the patients are in
either one of the sub phenotypes.

00:19:34.933 --> 00:19:38.473
Scott Berry: so as as a patient comes in,
they're classified by the sub phenotypes.

00:19:38.473 --> 00:19:41.023
Right now, I believe
Simvastatin and Baricitinib are.

00:19:42.973 --> 00:19:48.253
Uh, um, they're, they're getting patients
from either phenotype when they start.

00:19:48.463 --> 00:19:53.593
I imagine you could bring in a
third arm where you already know

00:19:53.593 --> 00:19:58.753
or think it would be, uh, uh, not
good to test them in one of them.

00:19:58.753 --> 00:20:01.183
And it could, it could, could come
in, in only one, I assume, soon.

00:20:03.483 --> 00:20:04.948
Anthony Gordon: It could in theory.

00:20:05.068 --> 00:20:08.368
Um, um, and this is an interesting point.

00:20:08.368 --> 00:20:13.918
We've had a lot of discussion around
this, uh, particularly actually around

00:20:13.918 --> 00:20:15.383
simvastatin, for instance, because.

00:20:16.888 --> 00:20:22.438
The evidence from Danny's previous
trial, maybe he should, uh, describe it.

00:20:22.618 --> 00:20:29.098
Um, or maybe I should keep it shorter,
that, uh, d Danny ran a, Danny ran a

00:20:29.098 --> 00:20:34.228
previous trial, um, of Simvastatin in
a RDS and in the overall population

00:20:35.008 --> 00:20:40.888
didn't show any, uh, statistically
significant benefit, but then.

00:20:41.308 --> 00:20:47.638
Doing the, uh, sub phenotype analysis
in a postoc way showed there was benefit

00:20:47.638 --> 00:20:50.938
in the hyper inflammatory group, but
not in the hypo inflammatory group.

00:20:51.178 --> 00:20:54.718
So Danny and I particularly had
the conversation about, well,

00:20:55.558 --> 00:20:58.408
let's just go forward in the
hyper inflammatory sub phenotype.

00:20:58.408 --> 00:21:04.468
But I think a lot of people want
to see both groups to understand

00:21:04.468 --> 00:21:05.608
if there really is a difference.

00:21:05.848 --> 00:21:09.988
And I think importantly, if you take
the wider picture drug regulators.

00:21:10.408 --> 00:21:16.888
Want to understand the effect I if in
the two sub phenotypes to understand,

00:21:16.978 --> 00:21:24.088
um, partly to know should have you
recruited the optimal population, but

00:21:24.088 --> 00:21:27.598
also what about safety, for instance,
in the other group, if, if people

00:21:27.598 --> 00:21:31.948
started using it outside of a sub
phenotype, what would the effect be?

00:21:31.948 --> 00:21:36.148
So we thought at this stage we,
it was important to include them

00:21:36.148 --> 00:21:38.788
in both, uh, sub phenotypes.

00:21:39.448 --> 00:21:41.488
Um, at, at, at initial.

00:21:41.488 --> 00:21:43.918
But whether that changes over time,
I think it will be interesting as

00:21:43.918 --> 00:21:46.348
new, um, drugs potentially come in.

00:21:46.348 --> 00:21:51.208
But at the moment, yes, we're including
them in both strata and want to analyze

00:21:51.208 --> 00:21:54.243
them separately throughout the platform.

00:21:54.943 --> 00:21:55.143
Scott Berry: Yep.

00:21:55.448 --> 00:21:58.723
Danny McAuley: And I guess just to add
a couple of bits, that the, the patients

00:21:58.723 --> 00:22:04.033
were also really pain, that we didn't
miss an effect in the other phenotype

00:22:04.123 --> 00:22:07.483
where we, even though we expected
it to work in hyper inflammatory,

00:22:07.783 --> 00:22:10.273
and, you know, I think that's one of
the things that we're, we're pain.

00:22:10.273 --> 00:22:14.563
That the, the sort of design is
underpinned by, uh, patient and,

00:22:14.563 --> 00:22:16.333
and sort of public involvement.

00:22:17.323 --> 00:22:21.823
Um, so that, that was actually a,
a, another, uh, key piece of it.

00:22:22.213 --> 00:22:22.813
Um,

00:22:23.383 --> 00:22:23.713
Yeah,

00:22:24.153 --> 00:22:26.113
Scott Berry: Yeah, so, so,
so I think that's great.

00:22:26.113 --> 00:22:30.373
And you, you said it's stratified by this,
and that's one of those words that can

00:22:30.373 --> 00:22:31.963
mean a whole bunch of different things.

00:22:32.353 --> 00:22:36.793
Um, uh, whether it's the randomization,
whether it's the analysis, but it

00:22:36.793 --> 00:22:40.333
could be during the course of the trial
and we'll get to the adaptive design.

00:22:40.688 --> 00:22:43.178
That you stop enrolling one of the drugs.

00:22:43.178 --> 00:22:47.738
So for example, suppose this bears out
that simvastatin doesn't work in hypo,

00:22:47.978 --> 00:22:52.268
and you, you could stop enrolling that
in hypo based on the empirical evidence.

00:22:52.568 --> 00:22:58.148
And then if a hypo patient comes in,
they would only be eligible for the

00:22:58.148 --> 00:23:03.878
control and baricitinib and not, uh,
randomized to simvastatin at that point.

00:23:03.878 --> 00:23:06.158
But yet, a, a hyper could be random.

00:23:07.198 --> 00:23:07.648
To that.

00:23:08.278 --> 00:23:13.138
Um, uh, so you're, you're, you're,
this, this could be enrichment.

00:23:13.468 --> 00:23:17.158
We haven't said the term enrichment,
but you know, as you go along, you're,

00:23:17.158 --> 00:23:19.383
you're learning this as well, uh, about.

00:23:20.038 --> 00:23:25.558
Benefit or not within them That the,
the, the, this is a case where you

00:23:25.558 --> 00:23:29.308
don't, what the, let's talk about the
control arm, the common control arm.

00:23:29.578 --> 00:23:33.268
You're not using placebos
here, so we're not doing double

00:23:33.268 --> 00:23:35.608
blinding or multiple blinding.

00:23:35.608 --> 00:23:39.568
So, uh, that pa you're not
blinded to what the treatments

00:23:39.568 --> 00:23:41.458
take, the patient is taking here.

00:23:41.728 --> 00:23:44.578
And so control is standard
of care, I assume.

00:23:45.868 --> 00:23:46.198
Okay.

00:23:46.558 --> 00:23:46.888
Okay.

00:23:47.638 --> 00:23:50.908
Alright, so we've got the, the this.

00:23:50.908 --> 00:23:54.538
A patient comes in, they're
classified by hyper and hypo.

00:23:54.778 --> 00:23:57.988
They are then randomized among
the arms that are enrolling, that

00:23:57.988 --> 00:24:00.118
always equal across the arms.

00:24:00.478 --> 00:24:04.558
Victoria, was there any
thought of doing response?

00:24:04.558 --> 00:24:07.858
Adaptive randomization,
uh, in those cases.

00:24:09.028 --> 00:24:12.238
Victoria Cornelius: Yeah, I mean,
we talked about this a lot, uh,

00:24:12.268 --> 00:24:17.068
during the design and in the
end we decided not to use it.

00:24:17.098 --> 00:24:17.278
So

00:24:17.278 --> 00:24:18.568
we, we, we did consider it.

00:24:18.988 --> 00:24:23.608
And it, and it's interesting actually,
it, part of it was, uh, the, the thought

00:24:23.608 --> 00:24:28.048
of around the operational side of these
things, um, as well as only having

00:24:28.048 --> 00:24:29.968
sort of the, the two active arms versus

00:24:29.968 --> 00:24:31.563
the control as well,
and not being convinced.

00:24:32.458 --> 00:24:34.558
Of, of the statistical benefits as well.

00:24:34.858 --> 00:24:39.598
So, uh, we, we chose not to
do it, uh, to implement that.

00:24:40.348 --> 00:24:42.718
Scott Berry: Yeah, no, I, I think that's,
it's a really interesting question.

00:24:42.898 --> 00:24:47.548
If you had six or seven and it was a
pandemic scenario and you wanted to

00:24:47.548 --> 00:24:52.738
accelerate drug one to the detriment of
drug two, that might be more compelling.

00:24:52.738 --> 00:24:58.618
I think here you're trying to find the
evidence for a drug and accelerating

00:24:58.618 --> 00:25:00.658
simvastatin and slowing baricitinib.

00:25:01.123 --> 00:25:04.153
Probably doesn't make sense in
what your trial is trying to do.

00:25:04.153 --> 00:25:08.023
So I, I it's, and, and you don't
want to add that complexity as you

00:25:08.023 --> 00:25:10.183
described for not much benefit.

00:25:10.183 --> 00:25:11.533
So I think that makes sense.

00:25:12.078 --> 00:25:15.948
Anthony Gordon: Yeah, Scott, just
to add, we, that's exactly it.

00:25:16.428 --> 00:25:20.778
As you said, outside of a pandemic
where there is no time urgency, um, this

00:25:20.778 --> 00:25:26.118
is about comparing each drug against
a consultant to learn whether it's.

00:25:26.548 --> 00:25:29.368
A promising therapy that we
can talk about what happens at

00:25:29.368 --> 00:25:31.078
the end of this, uh, platform.

00:25:31.078 --> 00:25:32.788
Because this is a phase two platform.

00:25:32.998 --> 00:25:37.348
It's to identify promising
drugs that would progress.

00:25:37.348 --> 00:25:41.338
It's not about comparing different
drugs, it's, it is working

00:25:41.338 --> 00:25:43.588
out the efficacy of each drug.

00:25:43.588 --> 00:25:49.768
And so therefore the efficiency of one,
essentially one to one randomization

00:25:49.768 --> 00:25:51.868
with the control is I think, um.

00:25:52.753 --> 00:25:56.593
This, me saying it to some statisticians
now, I think is the most efficient

00:25:56.743 --> 00:26:01.183
design, um, to get your, your answers
quickly for each individual drug.

00:26:01.693 --> 00:26:04.663
And so that, that's why we're
keeping it, that fixed ratio.

00:26:05.383 --> 00:26:07.993
Danny McAuley: And I think the other
thing, Scott, sorry Scott, the other

00:26:07.993 --> 00:26:09.373
thing, Victoria might wanna come in.

00:26:09.583 --> 00:26:13.123
You know, the way that we've set up the,
the triggers to stop is that, you know,

00:26:13.123 --> 00:26:18.013
you have to, you know, be convincing for
efficacy, but we don't wanna prove harm.

00:26:18.193 --> 00:26:22.303
So, you know, we stop relatively
early if the signal isn't promising.

00:26:22.633 --> 00:26:25.238
Uh, almost trying to back
the winner type approach.

00:26:27.238 --> 00:26:29.818
Scott Berry: Okay, so we've talked
about what it looks like for a patient

00:26:29.818 --> 00:26:32.008
going in now when an arm comes in.

00:26:32.008 --> 00:26:35.458
So you have, you have a master
protocol where when you bring

00:26:35.458 --> 00:26:41.188
Simvastatin or Baricitinib or arm
C in, it comes in as an appendix.

00:26:41.368 --> 00:26:45.718
Let's talk about what that looks like
from the perspective of an arm and maybe

00:26:45.718 --> 00:26:50.908
even thinking about a pharmaceutical
company that wants to put an agent in and

00:26:50.908 --> 00:26:53.338
thinking about, okay, what happens to my.

00:26:54.313 --> 00:26:57.193
My, my, my baby as it
goes into this trial.

00:26:57.193 --> 00:26:59.383
What is the, the design for that?

00:26:59.923 --> 00:27:04.963
So the, the, the arm enters in
and it wants to enroll in both,

00:27:05.623 --> 00:27:07.963
uh, phenotypes, sub phenotypes.

00:27:08.263 --> 00:27:10.663
What is the design for an arm?

00:27:10.663 --> 00:27:12.703
Victoria, what does that look like?

00:27:14.863 --> 00:27:16.093
Sample size,

00:27:16.198 --> 00:27:16.648
Victoria Cornelius: Yeah.

00:27:16.648 --> 00:27:17.068
So

00:27:17.473 --> 00:27:18.043
Scott Berry: analysis.

00:27:18.043 --> 00:27:18.133
Yep.

00:27:18.958 --> 00:27:19.228
Victoria Cornelius: yeah.

00:27:19.228 --> 00:27:22.588
So, um, this is, again, this is
something we've been, uh, obviously

00:27:22.588 --> 00:27:25.318
spending a lot of time on the
current design with the arms.

00:27:25.468 --> 00:27:29.518
And actually one thing of the things
I did want to talk about, uh, with,

00:27:29.578 --> 00:27:32.188
um, this design, because we are,
we are, we are really lucky to be

00:27:32.188 --> 00:27:33.448
doing this stratified trial, this

00:27:33.448 --> 00:27:37.438
precision medicine approach is
actually, in order to do that,

00:27:37.768 --> 00:27:39.658
we've got to have devices.

00:27:40.363 --> 00:27:44.323
And so one of the design considerations
for the whole platform was that

00:27:44.323 --> 00:27:47.143
the number of devices we can get,
because that's gonna restrict the

00:27:47.143 --> 00:27:50.653
number of centers we can include,
is gonna restrict the sample size.

00:27:50.893 --> 00:27:51.793
So that was So we've

00:27:52.018 --> 00:27:55.648
Scott Berry: So sorry, can
I, devices meaning ability

00:27:55.648 --> 00:27:56.908
to identify hypo and hyper.

00:27:58.243 --> 00:27:58.753
Victoria Cornelius: Yes.

00:27:59.113 --> 00:27:59.653
Scott Berry: Uh, okay.

00:27:59.658 --> 00:27:59.698
Okay.

00:28:00.568 --> 00:28:03.658
Victoria Cornelius: so one of the very
early design considerations is around,

00:28:04.138 --> 00:28:08.788
around, uh, getting enough evidence
for the phase two, doing that robustly,

00:28:08.788 --> 00:28:13.168
as Danny had said, but actually just
getting enough evidence such that

00:28:13.558 --> 00:28:15.148
it, it's good enough to get through.

00:28:15.148 --> 00:28:15.418
Right.

00:28:15.418 --> 00:28:17.128
Let's test this in phase three.

00:28:17.878 --> 00:28:22.018
So, So, we, so there is a sample
size consideration there, so regard

00:28:22.018 --> 00:28:24.328
to bringing in an additional arm.

00:28:24.598 --> 00:28:27.683
I think part of that will be, have
to come within the whole framework.

00:28:28.423 --> 00:28:34.183
Of, uh, how far we are along with, um,
the current two active interventions.

00:28:34.213 --> 00:28:34.423
Yeah.

00:28:35.488 --> 00:28:36.928
Scott Berry: So, uh, go ahead.

00:28:37.003 --> 00:28:37.453
Victoria Cornelius: yeah, Sorry.

00:28:37.453 --> 00:28:41.083
just to say it, so at, maybe if it
came in now at the start, it would

00:28:41.083 --> 00:28:42.643
have very similar considerations.

00:28:42.853 --> 00:28:46.543
Um, but uh, later on we would have
to redo and relook at those things.

00:28:47.413 --> 00:28:52.693
Scott Berry: Okay, so a a, the, the
design for Simvastatin, for example,

00:28:52.693 --> 00:28:57.913
is it comes in and it's analyzed
separately in hyper and hypo.

00:28:58.333 --> 00:29:02.563
Uh, and maybe we'll come back to the
question of, uh, borrowing or, or

00:29:02.563 --> 00:29:07.183
independent analysis within there, but
you've got an adaptive design that every.

00:29:07.648 --> 00:29:12.748
Every three months, you do an interim
analysis, and when a minimum sample

00:29:12.748 --> 00:29:18.508
size is reached for that particular
arm, it enters into the possibility

00:29:18.508 --> 00:29:23.998
for stopping rules where it could be
stopped for promise, or it could be

00:29:23.998 --> 00:29:29.848
stopped for lack of promise, presumably,
or it could hit a maximum sample size.

00:29:30.178 --> 00:29:32.908
So if my arm comes in,
it goes through these.

00:29:33.238 --> 00:29:38.848
Quarterly analyses and, uh, the
maximum sample size, just roughly,

00:29:39.118 --> 00:29:41.758
uh, for, for an arm is what?

00:29:42.558 --> 00:29:44.628
Victoria Cornelius: It's
around about 505, I think.

00:29:44.628 --> 00:29:45.378
5, 2 5.

00:29:45.378 --> 00:29:46.308
For each arm?

00:29:46.948 --> 00:29:48.748
Scott Berry: For, for each sub phenotype?

00:29:48.888 --> 00:29:49.933
Victoria Cornelius: Yeah, for each arm.

00:29:49.948 --> 00:29:50.278
Scott Berry: Okay.

00:29:50.428 --> 00:29:54.238
So once it reaches that max,
where, where we've got enough

00:29:54.238 --> 00:29:57.928
information, this is phase two,
but it could stop sooner than that.

00:29:57.928 --> 00:30:01.888
And it can stop at different
times within hyper and hypo.

00:30:02.248 --> 00:30:06.478
And for different reasons, it could
be promising and hyper simvastatin

00:30:06.658 --> 00:30:10.798
if, if it reproduces a previous
result and it could lack promise in

00:30:10.798 --> 00:30:13.258
hypo, uh, as a potential within that.

00:30:13.858 --> 00:30:18.778
Now, the, the analysis that done, uh, the,
there's, there's a huge amount of question

00:30:18.778 --> 00:30:20.953
in these, in intensive care type trials.

00:30:21.148 --> 00:30:22.288
There's what's the endpoint?

00:30:22.678 --> 00:30:27.748
Um, so what is the primary endpoint
that is used for the determination of

00:30:28.078 --> 00:30:30.088
promise or not promise for an agent?

00:30:31.278 --> 00:30:33.228
Victoria Cornelius: Yeah,
a, uh, a, a great question.

00:30:33.528 --> 00:30:37.878
Um, so we had, uh, again, another
thing we talked about a lot, um,

00:30:37.908 --> 00:30:41.748
obviously we are trying to, the, the
obvious one would be to use mortality.

00:30:42.018 --> 00:30:44.718
Um, but we were trying to, we were
trying to move beyond mortality

00:30:44.718 --> 00:30:45.988
in these situations because.

00:30:46.708 --> 00:30:52.048
We want something, um, partly because the
statistical considerations around using

00:30:52.048 --> 00:30:56.848
it, which we need thousands and thousands,
uh, but also trying to get an, uh, sort of

00:30:56.848 --> 00:31:00.298
capture an important part of the patient
journey as well within the outcome.

00:31:00.748 --> 00:31:03.928
So terribly inspired
by the REMAP cap trial.

00:31:04.318 --> 00:31:09.448
Um, we have got the primary
outcome of 28 days of a composite

00:31:09.718 --> 00:31:11.308
the same, but it's for 28 days.

00:31:11.713 --> 00:31:13.213
Organ free support.

00:31:13.573 --> 00:31:18.403
Um, so we've got our mortality being
our minus one score and then, and

00:31:18.403 --> 00:31:20.443
we've got it up to zero, up to 28 days.

00:31:20.443 --> 00:31:22.183
Organ free support being the best outcome.

00:31:23.668 --> 00:31:27.208
Scott Berry: Okay, so you described these
ordinal outcomes where death is the worst

00:31:27.208 --> 00:31:32.638
outcome, and then being on organ support
for 28 days is the next worst, and so on.

00:31:32.668 --> 00:31:35.968
And so you've got this ordinal
outcome which you analyze

00:31:35.968 --> 00:31:37.558
using a proportional odds.

00:31:37.558 --> 00:31:39.418
Bayesian proportional odds model.

00:31:39.988 --> 00:31:40.348
Yep.

00:31:40.603 --> 00:31:41.293
Victoria Cornelius: Yeah, that's right.

00:31:41.383 --> 00:31:41.623
Yeah.

00:31:42.403 --> 00:31:42.913
Scott Berry: Okay.

00:31:43.213 --> 00:31:48.253
And, um, I, and in a really interesting
question, and I think it almost becomes

00:31:48.253 --> 00:31:53.413
more interesting, part of what I found
intriguing about the trial is you've got

00:31:53.413 --> 00:32:02.383
an appendix for subphenotypes where the
science may evolve, where you learn that

00:32:02.413 --> 00:32:06.283
there are really important subphenotypes
and you add them to the trial.

00:32:06.433 --> 00:32:09.943
Right now you have two, and so you
have this question when you analyze.

00:32:10.363 --> 00:32:13.303
Um, uh, hyper and hypo.

00:32:13.543 --> 00:32:15.853
You run a completely separate model.

00:32:16.288 --> 00:32:19.468
Within each of these, and
so there's no borrowing.

00:32:19.468 --> 00:32:23.608
So if a drug is doing well in one
and well in the other, there's no

00:32:23.608 --> 00:32:25.318
kind of borrowing strength there.

00:32:25.678 --> 00:32:28.438
Partially you're worried about
heterogeneity, and that may

00:32:28.438 --> 00:32:29.668
have the opposite effect.

00:32:29.908 --> 00:32:34.048
This could be a bigger problem
if you add another sub phenotype

00:32:34.048 --> 00:32:36.958
to the trial that the question is
then how do we analyze across this?

00:32:37.438 --> 00:32:40.678
Was there any discussion about
potentially doing borrowing

00:32:41.403 --> 00:32:44.013
Victoria Cornelius: There, there was a
lot of discussion about doing borrowing.

00:32:44.373 --> 00:32:47.463
Um, philosophically I
have a problem with that.

00:32:47.763 --> 00:32:51.333
Like you say, we're actually out and we've
got quite strong, you know, we've got some

00:32:51.333 --> 00:32:53.073
underpinning evidence we're expecting.

00:32:53.533 --> 00:32:54.883
Differential responses here.

00:32:55.213 --> 00:32:59.353
So it feels, the premise of it doesn't
feel correct and, uh, to, to be borrowing

00:32:59.353 --> 00:33:03.403
across something where we don't, uh,
expect it, you know, and we wouldn't, we

00:33:03.403 --> 00:33:05.203
would only then borrow if it was similar.

00:33:05.203 --> 00:33:07.543
And then I actually, I, as
a statistician, I struggle.

00:33:07.858 --> 00:33:09.868
With only borrowing when
it's similar as well.

00:33:09.868 --> 00:33:14.458
So I, I do struggle a little bit with
the borrowing concept when it's not

00:33:14.698 --> 00:33:16.828
underpinned by other justifications.

00:33:16.828 --> 00:33:18.838
Yeah, so we did discuss it.

00:33:19.138 --> 00:33:23.608
I think ultimately it was because,
uh, we are expecting differential

00:33:23.608 --> 00:33:24.958
treatment effects here, so we wouldn't.

00:33:25.103 --> 00:33:25.433
Scott Berry: Yeah.

00:33:25.943 --> 00:33:26.243
Yeah.

00:33:26.963 --> 00:33:29.453
The, the problem of dimensionality could.

00:33:30.058 --> 00:33:35.668
Be an enemy to you though right now
you've got maximums of about 502 groups.

00:33:35.818 --> 00:33:39.778
Suppose you added another sub
phenotype that made it two by two.

00:33:40.258 --> 00:33:44.578
Now 504 different groups becomes 2000.

00:33:44.938 --> 00:33:47.998
If you had two by two by two,
now you've got, uh, you know,

00:33:47.998 --> 00:33:49.108
you, you're making this.

00:33:49.588 --> 00:33:51.868
8,000, you're making
this an enormous trial.

00:33:51.868 --> 00:33:55.708
4,000, an enormous trial
without some level of borrowing,

00:33:56.158 --> 00:33:57.598
but you're not there yet.

00:33:57.658 --> 00:34:01.768
You're two where, and, and borrowing
in two is always kind of a weird thing.

00:34:01.918 --> 00:34:02.728
Yes or no?

00:34:03.088 --> 00:34:08.848
Uh, I, I, I, the, the science of
this, do you expect to have more sub

00:34:09.658 --> 00:34:11.998
phenotypes in the next few years?

00:34:12.358 --> 00:34:12.838
Tony?

00:34:13.993 --> 00:34:17.383
Anthony Gordon: Yeah, it is a
really interesting point, Scott.

00:34:17.563 --> 00:34:21.883
Um, I think there is, there
is a strong possibility we

00:34:21.883 --> 00:34:25.033
might, um, Victoria might get.

00:34:25.903 --> 00:34:27.133
Try and urge just

00:34:27.388 --> 00:34:27.678
Scott Berry: Yeah.

00:34:28.153 --> 00:34:33.043
Anthony Gordon: to hold back our
enthusiasm, but as Danny alluded to right

00:34:33.043 --> 00:34:40.513
at the beginning here, the, the, there
is this, the clinical, uh, syndromes.

00:34:40.843 --> 00:34:45.433
We, we, we talked about a RDS, but there's
a massive overlap with sepsis in general.

00:34:45.703 --> 00:34:50.293
Um, you know, ar they're like
two big parts of a Venn diagram.

00:34:50.293 --> 00:34:51.343
They overlap, but actually.

00:34:52.153 --> 00:34:55.303
They're very similar,
the biological processes.

00:34:55.363 --> 00:35:00.073
And so you could imagine we might want
to include a broader population with

00:35:00.073 --> 00:35:05.233
sepsis and a RDS because the underlying
biological processes are similar.

00:35:05.863 --> 00:35:11.083
And also the, these hypo and
hyper inflammatory phenotypes are

00:35:11.083 --> 00:35:13.003
probably the most well described.

00:35:13.003 --> 00:35:14.528
But there are others
work we've been doing.

00:35:15.493 --> 00:35:20.173
Um, with colleagues in Oxford, for
instance, uh, Julian Knight, um,

00:35:20.443 --> 00:35:25.213
around gene expression profiles that
is looking really promising as well as

00:35:25.513 --> 00:35:31.663
identifying, um, sub phenotypes that
will respond to different treatments if

00:35:31.663 --> 00:35:33.073
we were then to bring them all together.

00:35:33.628 --> 00:35:34.438
Then I think you're right.

00:35:34.498 --> 00:35:38.248
Making a good point of why we might
need to consider borrowing, but

00:35:38.428 --> 00:35:41.758
I, I don't think we're there yet,
but we're always thinking big,

00:35:41.878 --> 00:35:43.978
um, and looking to the future.

00:35:43.978 --> 00:35:48.088
But I think probably that's where we need
to go to take the whole area of critical

00:35:48.088 --> 00:35:52.078
care research, um, further forward.

00:35:52.198 --> 00:35:55.978
Um, but we, we might need to
come and revisit that, um, and

00:35:55.978 --> 00:35:59.338
do some brainstorming about what
that actually would look like.

00:35:59.338 --> 00:35:59.668
I think.

00:36:00.358 --> 00:36:00.628
Scott Berry: Mm.

00:36:01.178 --> 00:36:03.673
Danny McAuley: And I guess Scott, the
other thing to say, you know, we're,

00:36:03.673 --> 00:36:08.713
we're saying we've got this heterogeneous
mass and we've divided into two, and

00:36:08.713 --> 00:36:11.623
the idea that two is the ground truth.

00:36:11.803 --> 00:36:16.213
So I think this is just the start of
the, the journey to get, you know, better

00:36:16.273 --> 00:36:18.643
definition of all of these sub phenotypes.

00:36:18.883 --> 00:36:22.543
And that's one of the really
important other design features were.

00:36:22.813 --> 00:36:26.503
Capturing biological samples
within the trial as we go along

00:36:26.743 --> 00:36:30.643
to hopefully understand the,
the, the syndromes better as well

00:36:31.318 --> 00:36:35.068
Scott Berry: So I imagine,
suppose Simvastatin enrolls 500

00:36:35.068 --> 00:36:36.778
and 500 and it gets to the end.

00:36:37.168 --> 00:36:38.068
You've got these

00:36:38.083 --> 00:36:40.543
Danny McAuley: and works and
and, obviously he's gonna work.

00:36:40.903 --> 00:36:41.173
Scott Berry: right.

00:36:41.353 --> 00:36:41.743
Yeah.

00:36:41.983 --> 00:36:42.853
Well that was clear.

00:36:43.153 --> 00:36:47.773
Um, but the, you've got the sub
phenotypes, but I imagine you're

00:36:47.773 --> 00:36:54.043
gonna do a great deal of after the
fact investigation of heterogeneity

00:36:54.133 --> 00:36:58.603
treatment effect over all kinds of
different, uh, other things when the

00:36:58.603 --> 00:37:03.493
data are finally in, uh, also creation
of new sub phenotypes based on the

00:37:03.493 --> 00:37:05.083
data that's accruing within this trial.

00:37:06.923 --> 00:37:07.213
Yeah.

00:37:07.998 --> 00:37:08.688
Anthony Gordon: Yeah.

00:37:08.808 --> 00:37:10.603
And, and Scott, I think
that's an important part.

00:37:10.813 --> 00:37:18.978
These, these phenotypes have really
emanated from postdoc analysis of a

00:37:18.978 --> 00:37:21.318
more standard traditional A versus B.

00:37:22.378 --> 00:37:22.888
Trial.

00:37:23.548 --> 00:37:27.928
And I think part of the international
collaboration here is about

00:37:27.928 --> 00:37:30.448
trying to bring those who are
interested in this field together.

00:37:31.438 --> 00:37:35.788
And this isn't just clinical trial,
this is, there's people in the

00:37:35.788 --> 00:37:40.558
international group that do much
more of the basic science and will do

00:37:40.558 --> 00:37:44.128
that biomarker work, that discovery,
and actually try and take the whole

00:37:44.728 --> 00:37:48.988
field, uh, forward, uh, together.

00:37:49.228 --> 00:37:50.128
And so, rather than.

00:37:50.623 --> 00:37:54.493
Do it on an ad hoc basis, can we sort
of plan it upfront that we are actually

00:37:54.493 --> 00:37:59.473
setting up the whole infrastructure,
randomized patients in the trial, learn

00:37:59.563 --> 00:38:04.543
about those specific questions that
are the randomized questions, and at

00:38:04.543 --> 00:38:10.783
the same time, um, build that precious
resource that, um, is exploratory but

00:38:10.783 --> 00:38:15.608
drives the next question that can come
into the platform, um, in, in the future.

00:38:16.993 --> 00:38:21.823
Scott Berry: Yeah, it makes a ton of sense
to have this central resource of data in

00:38:21.823 --> 00:38:27.673
a RDS with multiple treatments to do this
further, moving the science forward of

00:38:27.673 --> 00:38:34.063
understanding a RDS and endpoints and, uh,
uh, different phenotypes is, is amazing.

00:38:34.363 --> 00:38:36.928
Uh, where if everybody did
these trials separately.

00:38:37.273 --> 00:38:39.643
E, this is a much weaker.

00:38:40.048 --> 00:38:44.638
Global effort in a RDS, which is one of
the, the, the things that I don't think

00:38:44.638 --> 00:38:50.338
is talked about much, um, is that the,
having all this data together, so this,

00:38:50.368 --> 00:38:54.718
we, we've talked about the huge advantages
of this, this bringing all this data

00:38:54.718 --> 00:38:56.788
together, bringing the multiple arms in.

00:38:57.338 --> 00:39:01.418
Uh, what are the challenges,
uh, uh, in this moving forward?

00:39:01.418 --> 00:39:04.568
And I, I assume some of them
are operational, logistical.

00:39:04.808 --> 00:39:05.978
I, I don't know if they're funding.

00:39:05.978 --> 00:39:09.458
What are the challenges that you're
going to be facing, uh, maybe

00:39:09.458 --> 00:39:11.288
initially in running this trial?

00:39:11.288 --> 00:39:12.068
Victoria?

00:39:12.248 --> 00:39:15.818
What keeps you up at night,
other than having me on your

00:39:15.818 --> 00:39:17.428
DSMB, what keeps you up at night?

00:39:19.673 --> 00:39:22.928
Victoria Cornelius: I, I definitely wanna
bring in to Tony and DNI on this as well,

00:39:23.078 --> 00:39:26.608
but just so as you introduced me at the
start, I also direct the, the kind of.

00:39:26.838 --> 00:39:28.248
Trials unit at Imperial.

00:39:28.428 --> 00:39:31.188
And actually for us, this is a
really important, uh, platform

00:39:31.218 --> 00:39:32.598
'cause it's our first platform.

00:39:32.988 --> 00:39:36.018
And, uh, we've got, you know, we've
got a lot of trials in our books and

00:39:36.078 --> 00:39:38.538
we've got about IET at the moment,
but this is our first platform.

00:39:39.048 --> 00:39:43.068
And so we've had to learn quite a
lot, uh, uh, across the whole team.

00:39:43.073 --> 00:39:43.323
Obviously the.

00:39:44.148 --> 00:39:45.168
Statistical team.

00:39:45.588 --> 00:39:50.118
Um, uh, it is, it's, you know, the
funding for that, how to deliver and

00:39:50.118 --> 00:39:51.348
work together, all the rest of it.

00:39:51.348 --> 00:39:52.938
Our standard operating procedures.

00:39:52.938 --> 00:39:57.618
We've got our operational side and also
our, our clinical data systems as well.

00:39:57.618 --> 00:40:01.398
So it's been, it's been quite a journey
for us o on that side of things.

00:40:01.398 --> 00:40:05.293
And like I say, uh, we talked about the
funder, but actually NHR uh, funded us.

00:40:06.083 --> 00:40:08.993
For an accelerator to get ourselves ready.

00:40:09.233 --> 00:40:12.713
So we had a year, uh, of preparing,
you know, designing that trial.

00:40:13.013 --> 00:40:16.013
And then we've had a very
generous funding, uh, to get the

00:40:16.013 --> 00:40:17.393
platform up and start as well.

00:40:17.393 --> 00:40:21.743
So I think we wouldn't have been able to
do that now that we're embarking on it.

00:40:21.833 --> 00:40:25.553
Um, I'm gonna, I'll, I'll let
Danny and Tony come in to what,

00:40:25.553 --> 00:40:26.783
what may be worrying them.

00:40:29.053 --> 00:40:32.473
Danny McAuley: So I, I mean, I,
I guess this is probably a, um,

00:40:32.563 --> 00:40:34.153
a global issue to some degree.

00:40:34.153 --> 00:40:39.283
But, but, you know, clearly we want to
protect patient safety at all costs,

00:40:39.853 --> 00:40:45.913
but the actual process and governance
process of getting research established

00:40:45.943 --> 00:40:51.583
particularly, um, in our experience
in the UK is very, very difficult.

00:40:51.793 --> 00:40:55.843
So I, I think, uh, that that is
the one thing that that keeps.

00:40:56.128 --> 00:40:59.158
Well, not one, the one thing, but
one of the many things that keeps

00:40:59.158 --> 00:41:05.338
me, uh, up at night and in terms of
how we actually embed research more

00:41:05.338 --> 00:41:11.063
efficiently and, and increase, uh,
recruitment into these important trials.

00:41:11.978 --> 00:41:15.698
Under just the bureaucracy that we
face in, in getting the trials open.

00:41:15.698 --> 00:41:20.588
And it's a really important, uh,
sort of national priority, I guess.

00:41:20.588 --> 00:41:23.708
The, the, the, the one other thing
we, we work very closely and we

00:41:23.708 --> 00:41:28.598
talked about, um, the device that we,
uh, use, uh, to phenotype patients.

00:41:28.598 --> 00:41:33.398
That's on a, a collaboration with,
uh, a company called Randox and,

00:41:33.728 --> 00:41:36.128
uh, getting the, uh, sort of, um.

00:41:36.983 --> 00:41:40.193
Devices deployed at sites despite Rand's.

00:41:40.643 --> 00:41:44.093
You know, full support has
been a, a challenge as well.

00:41:44.093 --> 00:41:47.483
And, and scaling that up
internationally then, um, presents,

00:41:47.723 --> 00:41:49.643
uh, a potential, uh, challenge.

00:41:49.673 --> 00:41:52.223
I think, we'll, we'll overcome
it, but they would be the, the

00:41:52.313 --> 00:41:53.663
two that worry me the most.

00:41:53.693 --> 00:41:55.253
Uh, but let's see what Tony has to say.

00:41:56.583 --> 00:41:56.943
Anthony Gordon: Yeah.

00:41:57.003 --> 00:42:01.443
Um, well now that we are funded,
obviously that was the first issue

00:42:01.443 --> 00:42:04.743
is getting, getting the money and
also particularly getting money

00:42:04.743 --> 00:42:07.983
in more than one, uh, region, you
know, the international trials.

00:42:07.983 --> 00:42:10.233
But we, we, we are making
good progress with that.

00:42:10.323 --> 00:42:11.823
Um, I think.

00:42:12.328 --> 00:42:17.248
Obviously there's elements of this,
as alluded to, it involves both the

00:42:17.248 --> 00:42:21.238
device to measure the sub phenotype,
the, the biomarkers and the drug.

00:42:21.238 --> 00:42:25.708
So you've got, you've got both
device and drug aspects to manage.

00:42:27.238 --> 00:42:28.978
It's large and it's international.

00:42:29.248 --> 00:42:33.058
So I, I think the coordination
of that by the trial management

00:42:33.058 --> 00:42:37.918
team is so crucial and I think.

00:42:38.578 --> 00:42:41.668
Uh, it doesn't keep me up at night 'cause
I know I've got a good team that do it.

00:42:41.728 --> 00:42:45.088
But, um, I just would, I, I
think I just need to recognize,

00:42:45.178 --> 00:42:47.938
uh, those, uh, team members.

00:42:47.998 --> 00:42:52.738
Uh, so in this case our, our team leader,
Janice Best Lane, just as phenomenal.

00:42:53.008 --> 00:42:57.268
Her and colleagues have,
uh, learned through COVID.

00:42:57.268 --> 00:43:00.958
They worked, you know, on
the, um, in remap Cap and the

00:43:00.958 --> 00:43:03.058
challenges there, but how you keep.

00:43:04.123 --> 00:43:09.073
The whole, um, ship, um,
sailing, um, to manage this,

00:43:09.253 --> 00:43:10.723
you and you do need that team.

00:43:10.723 --> 00:43:14.983
And so I think, uh, sort of advice
to anybody setting out on these sort

00:43:14.983 --> 00:43:18.883
of things is you have to have that
support team there to manage all

00:43:18.883 --> 00:43:26.923
aspects of the protocol that the modular
nature of the, um, of that protocol.

00:43:27.823 --> 00:43:31.183
We are moving to try and do it all
electronically rather than on paper,

00:43:31.183 --> 00:43:36.163
for instance, that things like that
help, but then to coordinate it and

00:43:36.193 --> 00:43:41.803
keep all the sites involved around the
world, um, to coordinate when there

00:43:41.803 --> 00:43:43.003
are so many things that can change.

00:43:43.003 --> 00:43:47.323
I think running any international
trial is a challenge, but if it's a

00:43:47.323 --> 00:43:49.423
fixed protocol that doesn't change.

00:43:49.993 --> 00:43:53.023
It's still a challenge, but
if you're gonna change it over

00:43:53.023 --> 00:43:54.193
time, how you manage that.

00:43:54.193 --> 00:43:55.483
And so, um.

00:43:56.188 --> 00:43:58.528
I, I think it can be done,
but you need experience.

00:43:58.528 --> 00:43:59.638
You need an experience team.

00:44:00.028 --> 00:44:05.083
And so I just want to recognize the hard
work, uh, they put into to deliver it.

00:44:06.283 --> 00:44:07.393
Danny McAuley: I just wanna second that.

00:44:07.393 --> 00:44:11.743
I mean, Janice and, uh, the team
managing me, Tony and Victoria

00:44:11.743 --> 00:44:12.943
in itself is a challenge.

00:44:12.943 --> 00:44:16.903
Nevermind the, the, the whole trial
infrastructure, but the, the, the

00:44:16.903 --> 00:44:20.353
other thing I just wanted to pick
up on was that the funder, and it

00:44:20.353 --> 00:44:24.673
is this problem that we've had in
the past of this idea of going to

00:44:24.673 --> 00:44:26.983
multiple jurisdictions and facing.

00:44:27.973 --> 00:44:31.993
Double, triple, quadruple
jeopardy to get your trial funded.

00:44:32.233 --> 00:44:36.523
And I, I think we're starting
to see funders work together,

00:44:36.943 --> 00:44:38.173
uh, on big ticket items.

00:44:38.173 --> 00:44:41.383
So I think hopefully going
forward, uh, that might be a, a,

00:44:41.383 --> 00:44:42.973
an easier issue to get sort of,

00:44:43.903 --> 00:44:44.083
Scott Berry: Hmm.

00:44:45.253 --> 00:44:45.823
So there,

00:44:45.823 --> 00:44:49.753
there's a potential moving forward that
you could bring in a pharma sponsor,

00:44:50.053 --> 00:44:52.393
uh, that, that could bring in funding.

00:44:52.393 --> 00:44:55.063
Another, uh, a way to
bring in funding of this.

00:44:55.303 --> 00:44:57.553
What does the trial
look like going forward?

00:44:57.553 --> 00:44:59.473
You know, what does
steady state look like?

00:44:59.713 --> 00:45:02.113
What would be the optimal number of arms?

00:45:02.113 --> 00:45:05.863
And to some extent, there's a risk that
one of these two treatments say drop in

00:45:05.863 --> 00:45:10.363
hypo, the other one drops in hyper and
you're now running kind of an AB trial

00:45:10.363 --> 00:45:11.893
and each, you only have one arm in that.

00:45:12.283 --> 00:45:13.603
Would you like to have.

00:45:13.943 --> 00:45:15.893
Five arms, two arms.

00:45:15.893 --> 00:45:18.653
What is steady state and
what, what is moving forward?

00:45:18.653 --> 00:45:20.213
What would you like this to look like?

00:45:20.393 --> 00:45:20.723
Tony?

00:45:22.288 --> 00:45:26.218
Anthony Gordon: Um, so importantly we
have a pipeline, and that was something

00:45:26.218 --> 00:45:27.688
we set up right from the beginning.

00:45:27.688 --> 00:45:32.548
So there are already drugs in the,
um, in the queue waiting to come in.

00:45:32.548 --> 00:45:36.718
So if, if we are lucky
and get an early win.

00:45:37.588 --> 00:45:38.848
And that's an answer.

00:45:38.848 --> 00:45:41.788
I mean, that if, if we learn it
doesn't work, that's still a win.

00:45:41.788 --> 00:45:46.018
We, we know it doesn't go forward and
then we've got drugs ready to bring in.

00:45:46.708 --> 00:45:51.478
So, and importantly I think we have
a process by doing that as well.

00:45:51.478 --> 00:45:54.208
So, um, and part of that is internal.

00:45:54.208 --> 00:45:58.498
We've have a prioritization committee,
but we've also got an external committee

00:45:58.498 --> 00:46:05.068
to advise us, um, that includes clinical
and pharmacology expertise to guide us.

00:46:05.068 --> 00:46:05.943
And I think that's something I've learned.

00:46:06.568 --> 00:46:08.878
From platforms, how you
decide what comes in.

00:46:08.878 --> 00:46:11.098
It's good to have that
independent oversight.

00:46:11.788 --> 00:46:15.628
I think it depends how
many sites we have open.

00:46:15.688 --> 00:46:21.448
Um, and Victoria alluded to this, if
we, we were talking 70 sites initially,

00:46:21.448 --> 00:46:26.278
we think the three arms with the two
active interventions is probably the

00:46:26.278 --> 00:46:28.588
right number to get answers quickly.

00:46:29.128 --> 00:46:33.868
But if we manage to open 200
sites, um, because we are able to.

00:46:34.858 --> 00:46:40.858
Measure the biomarkers in, you know, more
laboratories, for instance, I think we

00:46:40.858 --> 00:46:45.808
could then bring in a, you know, a third
active intervention at the same time.

00:46:46.258 --> 00:46:51.118
Um, it it, so yeah, with that
extra resource, we could do

00:46:51.118 --> 00:46:54.508
more, but we, we thought sensible
to, you know, manage that.

00:46:54.568 --> 00:46:55.738
Um, at least initially.

00:46:56.443 --> 00:46:56.683
Scott Berry: Mm.

00:46:58.063 --> 00:47:00.853
So Tony, suppose you get word back.

00:47:01.093 --> 00:47:02.383
Uh, so, sorry, sorry.

00:47:02.623 --> 00:47:06.943
Uh, Danny, suppose you get word back that
Simvastatin is successful in this trial.

00:47:06.943 --> 00:47:07.813
It's promising.

00:47:08.473 --> 00:47:09.613
What happens?

00:47:09.673 --> 00:47:11.683
Uh, do you run a phase three trial?

00:47:11.683 --> 00:47:14.023
Does Panther run a phase three trial?

00:47:14.233 --> 00:47:18.553
It's, I, I think this is completely,
uh, off patent and generic.

00:47:18.553 --> 00:47:19.273
What happens?

00:47:20.893 --> 00:47:25.933
Danny McAuley: So I, I guess simvastatin
is, um, probably a wee bit different from

00:47:25.933 --> 00:47:27.883
maybe some of the other drugs coming in.

00:47:27.883 --> 00:47:30.523
And I'll maybe explain,
picking up on Tony's point.

00:47:30.913 --> 00:47:35.773
You know, there probably is a, a pretty
strong prior in the hyper inflammatory

00:47:36.103 --> 00:47:38.563
group that, uh, simvastatin might work.

00:47:38.863 --> 00:47:41.593
And if we showed in a big phase two.

00:47:42.333 --> 00:47:48.573
With, you know, good certain day of, uh,
um, positive effect that might be enough

00:47:48.573 --> 00:47:54.663
to change practice in that, I think fairly
unique situation in most situations.

00:47:54.693 --> 00:47:58.023
You know, taking, uh, baricitinib,
there is some proof of concept

00:47:58.023 --> 00:48:03.333
largely from, uh, COVID, but it's not
probably enough to change practice

00:48:03.363 --> 00:48:08.253
even in the setting of a positive
readout from the, uh, Panther trial.

00:48:08.583 --> 00:48:10.293
So to me, in that setting,

00:48:10.593 --> 00:48:11.523
that's where we would.

00:48:11.593 --> 00:48:16.183
We would feed the beast that is, uh,
remap cap, which is so well set up to

00:48:16.183 --> 00:48:18.793
answer these multifactorial questions.

00:48:19.213 --> 00:48:22.123
And that's other, that's one of the
other things that we, you know, talked

00:48:22.123 --> 00:48:24.343
about in terms of pandemic preparedness.

00:48:24.403 --> 00:48:27.973
You know, one of the nice things
about Panther and Remap Cap working

00:48:27.973 --> 00:48:31.063
closely together is that, you
know, if we did a pivot in pandemic

00:48:31.063 --> 00:48:33.013
preparedness, we would be able to.

00:48:33.213 --> 00:48:36.693
Quickly prioritize phase two
assets that then could go into

00:48:36.693 --> 00:48:40.833
the, the, the phase three that
that remap cap does, uh, very well.

00:48:40.833 --> 00:48:43.548
So that's how we sort of,
uh, imagine that would work.

00:48:44.368 --> 00:48:44.698
Scott Berry: Mm.

00:48:45.208 --> 00:48:48.958
Anthony Gordon: Scott, can I, uh,
suggest another alternative as

00:48:48.958 --> 00:48:50.433
well, and it's the sort of industry.

00:48:51.193 --> 00:48:52.393
Uh, perspective here.

00:48:52.843 --> 00:48:57.433
So I think that, you know, what we
think is that, um, pharma companies

00:48:57.433 --> 00:48:59.713
will have a number of drugs already.

00:49:00.553 --> 00:49:04.063
Maybe they're already, um, got
licenses for other respiratory

00:49:04.063 --> 00:49:05.983
or other inflammatory conditions.

00:49:07.273 --> 00:49:13.573
It's a big ask for them to, um,
maybe run their own phase 2 trial.

00:49:13.573 --> 00:49:16.873
That, you know, we, as we've talked
about, the issues with critical

00:49:16.873 --> 00:49:18.733
care trials, um, that haven't.

00:49:20.218 --> 00:49:22.768
Produced, uh, successful results.

00:49:23.008 --> 00:49:26.908
The idea would be we have a platform
already up and running their asset that

00:49:26.908 --> 00:49:32.038
they have maybe using in a chronic lung
disease, put it into the Panther platform.

00:49:32.608 --> 00:49:34.408
We've already got the
infrastructure there.

00:49:34.438 --> 00:49:35.608
We've essentially de-risked it.

00:49:35.608 --> 00:49:39.028
They learn whether the
drug is looking, promising.

00:49:39.508 --> 00:49:43.348
If it is, they get that result and
they might choose to do their own

00:49:43.348 --> 00:49:46.738
licensing trial, um, for this indication.

00:49:47.293 --> 00:49:51.193
Or they learn it wasn't effective,
and they learn that, uh, quickly

00:49:51.253 --> 00:49:53.353
and we've sort of de-risked
the whole process for them.

00:49:53.353 --> 00:49:56.383
So we think this would appeal
to them and, and gives a better

00:49:56.383 --> 00:50:01.093
chance for us to actually, uh,
bring new therapies to patients.

00:50:01.153 --> 00:50:05.953
And it's that academic industry
collaboration that, um, I

00:50:05.953 --> 00:50:07.063
think could be really helpful.

00:50:07.868 --> 00:50:08.383
Scott Berry: Uh, yeah.

00:50:08.383 --> 00:50:11.983
And the amazing thing is for, for that
pharma company to go out and run that

00:50:11.983 --> 00:50:17.533
phase 2 trial and go get 70 sites and,
uh, get devices and all that might, might

00:50:17.533 --> 00:50:21.673
cost x million dollars for you guys to do.

00:50:21.673 --> 00:50:23.743
It might be a 10th of that.

00:50:24.358 --> 00:50:28.858
Uh, and the cost, I, and I don't know
what it is, but some fraction of that

00:50:29.248 --> 00:50:34.498
to, to do this, to take this shot on
goal to, to the benefit of all, maybe

00:50:34.498 --> 00:50:36.838
you guys get 10 times as many shots.

00:50:36.838 --> 00:50:41.008
Because, because of that, it's
just such a, an awesome potential.

00:50:42.943 --> 00:50:47.443
It seems by the way, that many of
these platforms have come about by

00:50:47.443 --> 00:50:53.953
patient organizations in pancreatic
cancer, in glioblastoma, in a LS where

00:50:53.953 --> 00:50:59.203
not things don't work and companies
stop taking shots on goal because

00:50:59.203 --> 00:51:03.433
it's so challenging and many of these
platforms are developed for Exactly.

00:51:03.433 --> 00:51:06.913
Trying to solve this, the,
the, this, this dilemma.

00:51:06.913 --> 00:51:08.773
It's, it's a huge potential.

00:51:10.683 --> 00:51:12.778
Danny McAuley: Y Yeah, no,
I think that's right Scott.

00:51:12.778 --> 00:51:17.608
And, and as Tony said, the, the
idea of de-risking in a high risk.

00:51:18.253 --> 00:51:19.963
Environment that is critical care.

00:51:19.963 --> 00:51:25.603
You know, and the sort of the, the,
almost the taking smart risk, uh, is, is

00:51:25.663 --> 00:51:30.343
sort of the mantra that we're trying to
sort of get across to, uh, pharma, that

00:51:30.368 --> 00:51:35.863
that will be of benefit to, to them,
but also to, uh, patient, uh, outcomes.

00:51:36.328 --> 00:51:36.658
Scott Berry: Hmm.

00:51:37.378 --> 00:51:41.968
And, and, uh, uh, a hugely
positive thing with a successful

00:51:41.968 --> 00:51:44.083
drug in a RDS that improves.

00:51:45.148 --> 00:51:50.368
Organ support free days of the,
the, the size of the potential,

00:51:50.608 --> 00:51:52.588
uh, win and the, the benefit.

00:51:52.678 --> 00:51:56.073
Uh, so the huge potential at
the end of the day just been a,

00:51:56.078 --> 00:51:57.748
a challenging area to go into.

00:52:00.088 --> 00:52:00.958
All right.

00:52:00.988 --> 00:52:03.178
Uh, a very cool trial.

00:52:03.178 --> 00:52:08.488
I'm, I'm, I'm proud to, to watch this
go on and excited to see how this goes.

00:52:08.968 --> 00:52:15.148
Uh, and lots of times I will be in
the interim and, uh, I appreciate

00:52:15.148 --> 00:52:19.438
you all coming here in the
interim, uh, and joining us all.

00:52:19.438 --> 00:52:20.638
So thank you all.

00:52:22.353 --> 00:52:22.808
Victoria Cornelius: Thank you very

00:52:22.808 --> 00:52:23.008
much.

00:52:23.008 --> 00:52:23.408
Thanks.

00:52:23.973 --> 00:52:24.243
Anthony Gordon: Thanks.

00:52:24.243 --> 00:52:26.013
It's been brilliant to chat about it, sco.

00:52:26.013 --> 00:52:26.223
Cheers.

00:52:26.443 --> 00:52:26.713
Scott Berry: Yeah.

00:52:26.983 --> 00:52:27.553
Wonderful.

00:52:27.553 --> 00:52:28.063
Thank you.

00:52:28.063 --> 00:52:31.273
And everybody else, we will
be here in the interim.