Three signals converged in the resin market this week — and they all point in the same direction for buyers.
WTI crude dropped 9%+ on the U.S.-Iran peace agreement. Polyethylene posted its biggest inventory build in 11 years. And benzene, the key feedstock for PA6, PA66, ABS, and PC, settled at a multi-year high for June — but spot has already reverted to the $3s, setting up a July inflection point.
In this live AMA session, ResinSmart's Michael Workman is joined by Directors of Procurement Tyler Wheeler (engineered resins) and Kevin Mekaru (commodity resins) for an unscripted, data-first breakdown of what moved and what to do about it.
What they covered:
- PE inventory up HUGE — the biggest 11-year build. Producer asks have no data support.
- PP: PGP softening into the mid-30s. 3-cent June ask is not legitimate.
- PS: The one commodity resin where modest increases ARE warranted. Here's the benzene math.
- PVC: 4-cent ask vs. an 8-month low in housing starts. How to use construction data in negotiations.
- Engineered resins: How to read the benzene-to-resin price lag — and when July settlement triggers the rollback conversation.
- POM/Acetal: Why this market is producer-channel-managed, and what that means for your pricing.
- Live Q&A: PA66 supply risk from Celanese capacity cuts.
Fuel surcharge timing. EPR legislation and PET. Additive market outlook.
Kevin's closing note: "The signals are on the downward side. Understand what's signal and what's noise." Tyler's closing: "Relief is on the way. If you've been keeping score, you're about to have a healthy procurement pipeline."
Topics + Timestamps
- 0:00 Intro — Welcome to the first live Resin Market Moves AMA
- 0:44 Macro: Crude oil, PE inventory build, and demand signals
- 2:37 Polyethylene: 791M lbs — the June negotiation argument
- 6:39 Polypropylene: PGP in the mid-30s, Dow PDH turnaround watch
- 8:11 Polystyrene: Why benzene actually justifies modest PS increases
- 8:47 PVC: Housing data as your pushback tool
- 9:53 PET: Seasonal balance + hurricane season coverage
- 11:14 Engineered resins: Benzene $4.91 → reversion to $3s → July trigger
- 18:00 Q&A: When do engineered resin prices actually come back down?
- 23:10 Q&A: EPR legislation — real cost impact on PET/rPET?
- 25:10 Q&A: How to time fuel surcharge rollbacks
- 26:40 Q&A: Celanese PA66 capacity — supply risk or noise?
- 28:20 Q&A: PVC, Chinese carbide exports, and domestic margin defense
- 29:50 Q&A: Additive pricing — TiO2, colorants, next month
- 31:30 Q&A: POM/Acetal — producer-managed market dynamics
- 34:00 Closing: Signal vs. noise. Relief is coming.
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