The Pollsters

The Pollsters Trailer Bonus Episode 28 Season 1

#48: Political ads, FiveThirtyEight, & UK/Canada updates

#48: Political ads, FiveThirtyEight, & UK/Canada updates#48: Political ads, FiveThirtyEight, & UK/Canada updates

00:00

Don’t forget your micro-assignment: Send us a polling 101 question for our explainer episode.

 

2016:

On the Democratic side, the contest continues to roil.

Straight Ace (Metrix).
Huffington Post/IA
Huffington Post/NH
Huffington Post/national
Democratic insiders in Politico.
DMR/Selzer/Bloomberg poll

 

GOP side.

Not sure the debate changed anything, polling-wise. Although maybe there’s Kasich-mentum?

Huffington Post average: IA
Huffington Post average: NH
Huffington Post: national
MassINC/WBUR
Matt MacWilliams on authoritarianism
NBC/WSJ on GOP contest
Full NBC/WSJ poll

 

We talk to Carl Bialik

You say bialy, we say burrito. And we talk about fivethirtyeight, forecasting, and polling pollsters.

FiveThirtyEight poll of pollsters

 

UK update

Tories aren’t shy, they’re busy! New reports on “what went wrong” in the UK election polling.

BPC report
The Guardian
Huffington Post

 

Elephant in the valley

A majority of women receive unwanted advances. Like a mixtape.

Elephant in the Valley
Poll your privilege (in Canada)

 

Ask a Millennial: Judge for yourself

Is Judge Judy on SCOTUS? We Ask a Millennial.

College grad study of civic engagement

 

Key Findings:

Just like wildly fluctuating snow predictions, we have wildly fluctuating IA & NH predictions. Get your snacks ready & hunker down for the long winter.
If we’re teaching our children good manners, does that mean they’re future Trump supporters? A new parenting thing to keep us all up at night.
And if my children don’t become tech zillionaires, perhaps they should move to Canada instead.
And who needs RBG when you have Judge Judy? And who does better in demo?

 

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Show Notes

Don’t forget your micro-assignment: Send us a polling 101 question for our explainer episode.   2016: On the Democratic side, the contest continues to roil. Straight Ace (Metrix). Huffington Post/IA Huffington Post/NH Huffington Post/national Democratic insiders in Politico. DMR/Selzer/Bloomberg poll   GOP side. Not sure the debate changed anything, polling-wise. Although maybe there’s Kasich-mentum? Huffington Post average: IA Huffington Post average: NH Huffington Post: national MassINC/WBUR Matt MacWilliams on authoritarianism NBC/WSJ on GOP contest Full NBC/WSJ poll   We talk to Carl Bialik You say bialy, we say burrito. And we talk about fivethirtyeight, forecasting, and polling pollsters. FiveThirtyEight poll of pollsters   UK update Tories aren’t shy, they’re busy! New reports on “what went wrong” in the UK election polling. BPC report The Guardian Huffington Post   Elephant in the valley A majority of women receive unwanted advances. Like a mixtape. Elephant in the Valley Poll your privilege (in Canada)   Ask a Millennial: Judge for yourself Is Judge Judy on SCOTUS? We Ask a Millennial. College grad study of civic engagement   Key Findings: Just like wildly fluctuating snow predictions, we have wildly fluctuating IA & NH predictions. Get your snacks ready & hunker down for the long winter. If we’re teaching our children good manners, does that mean they’re future Trump supporters? A new parenting thing to keep us all up at night. And if my children don’t become tech zillionaires, perhaps they should move to Canada instead. And who needs RBG when you have Judge Judy? And who does better in demo?  

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Creators & Guests

Host
Kristen Soltis Anderson
Pollster/founder: @echeloninsights. On-air: @cnn. Writer: @nytopinion, The Selfie Vote. Florida woman in DC. Go Gators.
Host
Margie Omero
Margie Omero is a Principal at the Democratic polling firm GBAO with over 25 years of experience providing strategic advice and qualitative and quantitative research to candidates, organizations, and brands.

What is The Pollsters?

Politics. Policy. Polling. Pop Culture.

Explore what America's thinking with two of the country's leading pollsters-the bipartisan team of Democrat Margie Omero and Republican Kristen Soltis Anderson. In this weekly podcast we take a fresh, friendly look at the numbers driving the week's biggest stories in news, politics, tech, entertainment and pop culture. Along with the occasional interview with pollsters, journalists, and other industry leaders, we'll lift the hood on the numbers revealing the hidden secrets of the public's mind.