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Lawrence: Welcome to The FED Weekly
for 31 August - 6 September 2025, your

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essential weekly briefing on the policies
and proposals shaping your career,

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your benefits, and your retirement.

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Whether youâre a current federal employee
navigating changes in the civil service,

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or a retiree keeping a close watch on your
hard-earned pension and healthcare, this

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is your source for the latest news from
Capitol Hill and the executive branch.

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Each week, we cut through the noise to
bring you the critical updates on budget

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negotiations, pay raises, workforce
policies, and the legislative battles that

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directly impact the federal community.

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Let's get you up to speed on
what happened this past week.

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Section 1: Issues That Affect
Current and Retired Federal Workers

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The Office of Personnel Management, or
OPM, announced that premiums for the

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Federal Employees Health Benefits program,
the FEHB, will rise by an average of 13.5

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percent.

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This is the largest single-year
increase in almost two decades and

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follows substantial hikes of 7.7

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percent in 2024 and 8.7

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percent in 2023.

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For the average federal
family, this translates to an

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additional cost of about $26.10

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per biweekly paycheck.

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OPM attributes this steep rise to several
industry-wide pressures, including price

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increases from healthcare providers and
suppliers, higher utilization of certain

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prescription drugs, and a notable increase
in spending on behavioral health services.

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A significant driver of this cost increase
is the mandated expansion of benefits.

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Beginning in 2025, all FEHB enrollees
will have access to nationwide plans

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that offer comprehensive coverage
for in vitro fertilization, or IVF.

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Additionally, health carriers will
now be required to cover at least one

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GLP-1 class anti-obesity drug, such
as Wegovy or Ozempic, along with two

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other oral anti-obesity medications.

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While these expanded benefits
address critical health needs, their

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high cost is being passed directly
to the entire pool of enrollees.

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When you place this 13.5

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percent premium hike alongside the
administration's proposed one percent

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pay raise for 2026 and the projected 2.6

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percent cost-of-living
adjustment for retirees, the

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financial picture becomes stark.

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The cost of a core benefit is rising
at a rate more than thirteen times

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that of the proposed pay raise.

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This effectively creates a net loss
in real income for the vast majority

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of the federal community, eroding
purchasing power and potentially

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impacting morale, recruitment, and
retention efforts across government.

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For retirees, there is a silver lining,
but one that highlights a growing divide.

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OPM is strongly encouraging FEHB plans to
offer Medicare Advantage options, which

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can significantly reduce or even eliminate
out-of-pocket costs for annuitants who

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are enrolled in Medicare Parts A and B.

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However, this benefit is only available
to that specific subset of retirees,

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leaving those without Part B to bear
the full brunt of the premium increases.

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In contrast to the major FEHB hike,
premiums for the Federal Employees

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Dental and Vision Insurance Program, or
FEDVIP, will see only modest increases.

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Dental plan premiums will
rise by an average of 2.97

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percent, while vision plans
will increase by just 0.87

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percent.

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In more positive financial news,
the Thrift Savings Plan, the

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401(k)-style retirement savings
program for federal employees, has

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reached a monumental milestone.

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As of September 7th, 2025, the TSP
officially surpassed $1 trillion

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in assets under management.

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This landmark achievement reflects years
of steady contributions from more than 7.2

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million participants, coupled
with strong market performance.

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According to the latest data from
June 2025, the average TSP balance

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across all accounts stood at $134,633.

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For participants in the Federal
Employees Retirement System, or FERS,

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that average was significantly higher
at $196,668, a figure that underscores

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the long-term power of compounding
and agency matching contributions.

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The market rally continued through
August, boosting TSP account balances.

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The stock-based C Fund gained 2.03

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percent, the S Fund rose by 4.08

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percent, and the International
I Fund was up 3.95

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percent.

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The bond-based F Fund also
posted a positive return of 1.19

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percent.

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For September, the interest rate
for the government securities

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G Fund was set at 4.250

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percent.

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While this milestone solidifies
the TSP's central role in federal

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retirement security, it also highlights
the degree to which that security

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is now tied to market performance.

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With the workforce now almost entirely
under the FERS system, a major market

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downturn would have a far more significant
impact on the financial futures of

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federal employees than it would have two
decades ago, when a larger portion of

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the workforce was covered by the more
traditional CSRS defined-benefit pension.

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Turning to legislation, a massive
reconciliation bill signed into law on

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July 4th, known as the "One Big Beautiful
Bill Act of 2025," has introduced several

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new tax provisions that will affect both
working and retired federal employees.

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Effective for the 2025 through 2028
tax years, the law creates a new

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deduction specifically for seniors.

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Individuals aged 65 and older will be
able to claim a new $6,000 deduction, or

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$12,000 for a qualifying married couple.

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This is in addition to the existing
standard deduction for seniors

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and is aimed at providing relief
to retirees on fixed incomes.

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However, this deduction does phase
out for individuals with a modified

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adjusted gross income over $75,000,
or $150,000 for joint filers.

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For current employees, the law introduces
new deductions for qualified tip

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income and, notably, for overtime pay.

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Employees can now deduct the
premium portion of their overtime

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compensationâfor example, the
"half" in "time-and-a-half" pay.

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This deduction is capped at $12,500
annually, or $25,000 for joint filers,

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and also has income-based phase-outs.

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While these provisions offer targeted
tax relief, the same bill enacts

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significant changes to the Supplemental
Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP.

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The law freezes the cost basis for
the Thrifty Food Plan, expands work

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requirements to individuals up to age
65, and tightens eligibility rules.

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These changes could negatively impact
low-income federal families who may

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rely on SNAP to supplement their
earnings, creating a situation where

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some in the federal community benefit
from tax cuts while others face a

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reduction in essential support from
the very same piece of legislation.

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Finally in this section, the
long-simmering conflict over the

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role of unions in the federal
government has erupted once again.

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On August 28th, President Trump issued
a new executive order, EO 14343,

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which bans collective bargaining
at several more federal agencies.

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The list includes NASA, the U.S.

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Patent and Trademark Office, and the
National Weather Service, among others.

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This action expands on a previous
order from March that targeted

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nearly 20 other agencies.

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The response from federal
unions was swift and forceful.

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On September 3rd, the National
Treasury Employees Union, or

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NTEU, filed a lawsuit in the D.C.

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District Court to block the order.

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The lawsuit argues that the President
has exceeded his statutory authority,

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which permits such exclusions only
when an agency's "primary function" is

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intelligence or national security work.

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The NTEU also alleges that the order
constitutes illegal retaliation

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against the union for its vocal
opposition to administration policies.

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The American Federation of Government
Employees, AFGE, labeled the order

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"immoral and abhorrent," viewing
it as part of a broader plan to

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dismantle government agencies.

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The unions are not fighting alone.

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On September 2nd, a coalition of
state attorneys general filed a legal

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brief in a related Ninth Circuit case,
supporting the unions and arguing

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that the administration's actions are
likely unconstitutional retaliation

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in violation of the First Amendment.

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These legal battles over collective
bargaining are not happening in a vacuum.

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They are intrinsically linked to the
administration's other major workforce

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initiatives, including mass layoffs and
changes to hiring and firing practices.

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By removing union protections, the
administration weakens a primary

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source of organized resistance, making
it easier to implement its broader

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agenda for reshaping the civil service.

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The lawsuits, therefore, represent more
than a fight over contracts; they are a

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fight over the fundamental structure and
independence of the federal workforce.

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Section 2: Issues That Affect
Retired Federal Workers

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First up is the closely
watched projection for the 2026

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Cost-of-Living Adjustment, or COLA.

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Based on the latest inflation data
from July, the 2026 COLA for Social

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Security benefits and Civil Service
Retirement System, or CSRS, annuities

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is projected to be around 2.5

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to 2.7

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percent.

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The final figure will be locked
in after the September inflation

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numbers are released in mid-October.

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However, for retirees under the
Federal Employees Retirement System,

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or FERS, the story is different.

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The FERS system includes what
is often called a "diet COLA."

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Under its formula, if the official COLA
falls between 2 and 3 percent, FERS

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annuitants receive a flat 2 percent.

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If the COLA is 3 percent or
higher, they receive the full

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amount minus one percentage point.

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Let's illustrate the real-world impact.

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Assuming the final COLA is 2.6

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percent, a CSRS retiree with a
$50,000 annual pension would see

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their annuity increase by $1,300.

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A FERS retiree with the identical
pension would receive only a 2

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percent increase, amounting to $1,000.

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That $300 difference may seem small, but
it compounds year after year, leading

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to a gradual but significant erosion
of purchasing power for FERS retirees

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compared to their CSRS counterparts.

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This structural inequity was designed
as a cost-saving measure, but in

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an era of persistent inflation,
it effectively shifts more of the

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inflation risk from the government
onto the individual FERS retiree.

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Next, an important update from the
Social Security Administration.

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While the agency is maintaining its
normal payment schedule for September,

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a policy change regarding overpayments
is causing significant financial

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distress for some beneficiaries.

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The SSA has begun aggressively recouping
past overpayments by withholding

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50 percent of a recipient's monthly
check until the debt is repaid.

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This is a dramatic increase
from a temporary 10 percent cap

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that was previously in place.

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For retirees living on a fixed
income, suddenly losing half of

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their monthly Social Security
benefit can be devastating.

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This policy shift suggests a change in
administrative priorities, moving from

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minimizing beneficiary hardship to a more
aggressive fiscal recoupment strategy.

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This comes as the agency announced
a new leadership team on September

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5th, which has been noted as being
"light on government experience,"

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potentially signaling further
operational changes ahead.

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Section 3: Issues That Affect
Current Federal Workers

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On August 31st, President Trump submitted
his alternative pay plan to Congress.

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It calls for a one percent
across-the-board increase to base

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pay, while freezing locality pay
rates at their current 2025 levels.

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However, the plan creates a
significant exception for certain

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law enforcement personnel.

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It directs OPM to use its special
salary rate authority to provide

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these employees with a total
pay raise of approximately 3.8

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percent, aligning their increase
with that of the military.

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OPM will now consult with the
Departments of Homeland Security,

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Justice, and the Interior to identify
the specific job categories that will

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be eligible for this higher raise, with
a focus on roles critical to border

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security and immigration enforcement.

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This two-tiered approach is more
than just a fiscal decision;

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it is a clear policy statement.

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By singling out law enforcement for
a substantial raise while offering a

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minimal one to the rest of the civil
service, the administration is using

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compensation as a tool to signal its
priorities and incentivize talent to flow

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into its preferred sectors of government.

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Federal employee unions
immediately denounced the proposal.

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NTEU President Doreen Greenwald
called the 1 percent raise "meager and

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inadequate" and demanded that the 3.8

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percent increase be extended
to all federal employees.

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The union continues to back the
FAIR Act, a bill in Congress that

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calls for an average raise of 4.3

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percent for 2026.

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It is worth noting that during the
president's first term, Congress

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overruled his proposed pay freezes
on multiple occasions, suggesting

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a potential legislative battle over
the final pay figure is likely.

00:13:56.394 --> 00:14:00.054
Meanwhile, the Office of Personnel
Management is moving forward with a

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series of reforms that are fundamentally
reshaping how the government

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hires and manages new employees.

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On September 2nd, OPM announced a
new two-page resume standard for

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all applications submitted through
the USAJOBS website, which will

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take effect on September 27th.

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This change is part of the
administration's broader "Merit

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Hiring Plan," which also updates
job announcements to include

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language seeking candidates who
are, quote, "passionate about the

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ideals of our American republic".

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In parallel, OPM has been
implementing a major change to

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probationary periods for new hires.

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Under a new executive order, a new
employee's appointment will no longer

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automatically become permanent after their
one- or two-year probationary period.

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Instead, agencies must now
affirmatively certify in writing

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that the employee's continued
service is in the public interest.

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This shifts the default from retention
to a system requiring active approval

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to keep a new employee, giving managers
and political appointees significantly

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more power over the workforce before full
civil service protections are granted.

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Combined, these policies create a
system that streamlines the hiring

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of ideologically screened candidates
and makes it easier to remove them

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before they gain career tenure.

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The subjective language in job
announcements and the requirement for an

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affirmative political sign-off at the end
of probation work together to potentially

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weaken the apolitical, merit-based
foundation of the civil service.

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These policy shifts are occurring
against a backdrop of significant

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turmoil in the federal headcount.

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The latest jobs report from the Bureau of
Labor Statistics, released on September

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5th, showed that federal government
employment fell by 15,000 in August alone.

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Since January of 2025, the federal
workforce has shrunk by 97,000 positions.

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This official data reflects
the ongoing mass layoffs

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initiated by the administration.

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The Partnership for Public Service
estimates that as of late August,

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nearly 200,000 federal workers have
already left their jobs amid plans to

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eliminate over 290,000 positions in
total, largely through the Department

00:16:21.619 --> 00:16:23.449
of Government Efficiency initiative.

00:16:24.871 --> 00:16:26.911
Yet, this decline is not uniform.

00:16:27.581 --> 00:16:30.812
At the same time these layoffs
are proceeding, the administration

00:16:30.812 --> 00:16:34.441
is planning to "surge hiring"
in the very law enforcement

00:16:34.441 --> 00:16:36.642
agencies targeted for higher pay.

00:16:37.222 --> 00:16:41.631
This reveals a strategic reallocation
of federal resourcesâa de facto

00:16:41.631 --> 00:16:45.561
reorganization of government through
attrition and replacement, shrinking

00:16:45.561 --> 00:16:49.272
regulatory and service-oriented
agencies while expanding

00:16:49.272 --> 00:16:50.942
those focused on enforcement.

00:16:51.599 --> 00:16:56.409
Finally, several bills pending in Congress
illustrate the deep, competing visions

00:16:56.699 --> 00:16:58.860
for the future of the federal workforce.

00:16:59.471 --> 00:17:03.511
On one side is the Federal Employee
Performance and Accountability Act, H.R.

00:17:03.511 --> 00:17:04.221
201.

00:17:04.732 --> 00:17:08.742
This bill would create a pilot program
where pay for senior employees is

00:17:08.742 --> 00:17:13.501
tied directly to performance ratings,
including a mandatory 10 percent pay cut

00:17:13.681 --> 00:17:16.081
for those rated "below expectations".

00:17:17.161 --> 00:17:20.831
Another bill, the Federal
Employee Return to Work Act, H.R.

00:17:20.831 --> 00:17:26.811
236, would make any employee who teleworks
even one day a week ineligible for annual

00:17:26.811 --> 00:17:29.222
pay raises and locality pay adjustments.

00:17:29.827 --> 00:17:33.987
On the other side stands the FAIR
Act, which advocates for a 4.3

00:17:33.987 --> 00:17:38.157
percent pay raise for all employees,
and the Equal COLA Act, which would

00:17:38.157 --> 00:17:42.758
ensure FERS retirees receive the
same full cost-of-living adjustment

00:17:42.758 --> 00:17:44.718
as their CSRS counterparts.

00:17:45.338 --> 00:17:49.947
These bills represent a legislative
battle over the core principles of federal

00:17:49.947 --> 00:17:55.227
employmentâpitting a vision of control,
punishment, and austerity against one of

00:17:55.227 --> 00:17:57.537
competitive compensation and fairness.

00:17:58.317 --> 00:18:01.777
The path these bills take will
say a great deal about the future

00:18:01.777 --> 00:18:03.857
culture of the federal workplace.

00:18:04.475 --> 00:18:07.785
And thatâs a wrap on this weekâs
Federal Workforce Roundup.

00:18:08.506 --> 00:18:12.526
The landscape for federal employees
and retirees is constantly shifting,

00:18:12.746 --> 00:18:16.875
with major decisions being made about
everything from pay and job security

00:18:17.236 --> 00:18:21.056
to retirement benefits and the very
structure of the civil service.

00:18:21.595 --> 00:18:23.915
Staying informed is your best tool.

00:18:24.386 --> 00:18:29.155
Be sure to subscribe wherever you get your
podcasts, so you never miss an update.

00:18:29.733 --> 00:18:30.824
Thanks for tuning in.

00:18:30.963 --> 00:18:34.084
Weâll be back next week to
track the latest developments

00:18:34.084 --> 00:18:35.464
and what they mean for you.

00:18:35.883 --> 00:18:38.594
Until then, stay engaged and be well.