Storage Report Day

Thursday, May 14, 2026. EIA Natural Gas Storage Report released 10:30 AM ET (week ending May 8). Henry Hub $2.74 (up from $2.66). Consensus forecast +86 Bcf injection, projected inventory ~2,291 Bcf. Latest (week ending May 1): 2,205 Bcf (+63 Bcf), +75 Bcf YoY, +139 Bcf vs. 5-yr avg. Storage in surplus, injection season ongoing, ample inventories pressuring prices. Demand strong, refinery utilization high, LNG exports running. WTI $101.56-$101.68, Strong Buy across MAs (11 Buy signals), RSI 52.67 (neutral), MACD -0.01 (slight bearish divergence), STOCH 57.5 (bullish). Pivot 101.47, support 101.37/101.26/101.16, resistance 101.58/101.68/101.79. Geopolitical: Negotiations stalled, Iran rejected US proposal as "totally unacceptable," Trump considering reviving Project Freedom as part of broader operation, security team met to discuss options (Project Freedom escorts, airstrikes on 25% remaining Iranian targets, Israeli uranium raid), US Treasury sanctioned 3 individuals and 9 entities linked to Iran, Netanyahu held security cabinet, Israel ready to resume attacks anytime. Ceasefire on life support, diplomacy faltering. Escalation scenario: crude $120-150, gas $4.50+. Deal scenario: crude $70-80, gas $2.50-2.75. Capital preservation first.

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