WEBVTT

NOTE
This file was generated by Descript 

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Lawrence: Welcome to The FED Weekly
for 6-12 July 2025, your essential

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weekly briefing on the policies
and proposals shaping your career,

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your benefits, and your retirement.

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Whether youâre a current federal employee
navigating changes in the civil service,

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or a retiree keeping a close watch on your
hard-earned pension and healthcare, this

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is your source for the latest news from
Capitol Hill and the executive branch.

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Each week, we cut through the noise to
bring you the critical updates on budget

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negotiations, pay raises, workforce
policies, and the legislative battles that

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directly impact the federal community.

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Let's get you up to speed on
what happened this past week.

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The second week of July 2025 marked
a period of seismic shifts for the

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United States federal workforce,
delivering a series of transformative

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events that will reverberate
through every agency and impact the

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careers and retirements of millions.

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Within a few short days, the Supreme
Court unleashed the potential for mass

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layoffs, a new director was confirmed to
lead the Office of Personnel Management

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(OPM) with a mandate for change, and
the passage of a major budget bill

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solidified both new benefit rules and the
high probability of a 2026 pay freeze.

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These developments, occurring nearly
in unison, represent more than a

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collection of disparate news items;
they signal a coordinated and pivotal

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moment in a multi-front effort
to fundamentally reshape the U.S.

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civil service, altering the landscape
of federal employment for both

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current and retired personnel.

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Section 1: Issues That Affect
Current and Retired Federal Workers

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This section analyzes developments
impacting the entire federal

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community, from financial benefits
and healthcare costs to the leadership

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and data infrastructure of the
Office of Personnel Management.

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The "One Big Beautiful Bill
Act" (OBBB) Signed into Law:

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A Mixed Bag of Benefit Changes

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On July 4, 2025, President Trump
signed the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act"

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(OBBB) into law, concluding a period of
intense anxiety for federal employees

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and retirees who had been bracing
for severe cuts to their benefits.

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While earlier versions of the legislation
contained proposals that would have

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dramatically altered the federal
retirement system, the final version

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that passed the House and Senate was
stripped of these most controversial

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provisions, largely due to procedural
challenges under the Senate's Byrd

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Rule, which limits what can be included
in a budget reconciliation bill.

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Instead of cuts, the final law
delivered several benefit enhancements,

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primarily focused on expanding the
use and availability of tax-advantaged

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health and savings accounts.

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Key provisions include:

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Health Savings Account (HSA)
Expansions: The OBBB makes three

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significant changes to HSAs.

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First, it permanently allows
high-deductible health plans (HDHPs)

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to cover telehealth services before
the plan's deductible is met, a popular

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provision from the pandemic era.

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Second, it expands HSA eligibility
by automatically treating all

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Bronze and Catastrophic health
plans available on the individual

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market exchange as qualified HDHPs.

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Third, starting in 2026, it clarifies
that participation in a Direct

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Primary Care (DPC) arrangement does
not disqualify an individual from

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contributing to an HSA, and it makes
DPC fees a qualified medical expense.

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Dependent Care FSA Increase: Beginning
in 2026, the annual contribution

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limit for Dependent Care Flexible
Spending Accounts (FSAs) will

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increase from $5,000 to $7,500.

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This is the first permanent
increase to the limit since

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it was established in 1986.

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Permanent Student Loan Repayment
Assistance: The law makes permanent

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a provision allowing employers to
provide up to $5,250 annually in

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tax-free student loan repayment
assistance to employees under a section

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127 educational assistance program.

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The $5,250 limit will also be indexed
for inflation starting in 2026.

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The relief for many in the federal
community comes from the provisions that

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were ultimately excluded from the bill:
Increase required contributions from 0.8%

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of salary to 4.4%

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for most FERS employees, Eliminate the
SRS for most new retirees, affecting

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those who retire before age 62, and Change
the basis of the annuity calculation

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from an employee's highest three
years of salary to their highest five.

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While employees dodged these cuts,
the legislative process itself

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reveals a clear strategic direction.

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The administration was able to achieve
a legislative victory with benefit

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enhancements while simultaneously
pursuing its workforce reduction goals

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through other, more powerful channels.

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Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) Updates:
Fund Changes and Future Features

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The Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) implemented
several key changes at the end of June and

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provided updates on future developments.

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Effective June 30, 2025, the TSP
introduced the new L 2075 Fund,

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designed for participants who plan
to begin withdrawing from their

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accounts around the year 2075.

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On the same date, the L 2025 Fund reached
its target date and was consequently

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retired, with all assets automatically
rolled into the L Income Fund, which

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is designed for capital preservation
for those already in retirement.

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Looking ahead, the TSP is
preparing to launch a significant

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new feature in January 2026: an
in-plan Roth conversion option.

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This will allow participants to
convert their traditional, pre-tax

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TSP funds into the Roth TSP without
having to transfer the money out of

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the plan, offering greater flexibility
for tax planning in retirement.

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The TSP also reminded participants
of changes for the 2025 tax year

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stemming from the SECURE 2.0

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Act.

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A new, higher catch-up contribution
limit is now available for participants

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who are aged 60, 61, 62, and 63.

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Administratively, participants can
expect their second quarter 2025

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statements, covering account activity
from April 1 through June 30, to be

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available online by the end of July 2025.

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Federal Employees Health Benefits
(FEHB) Program: Navigating Steep

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Premium Hikes and New Coverage

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Current and retired federal employees
enrolled in the Federal Employees

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Health Benefits (FEHB) program are
facing the largest premium increase

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in nearly two decades for 2025.

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Premiums are set to rise
by an average of 13.5%,

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which translates to an additional $26.10

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per biweekly paycheck for the average
non-postal employee or annuitant.

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OPM has attributed the steep hike to
several factors, including higher prices

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charged by healthcare providers, increased
utilization of certain prescription

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drugs, and a rise in spending on
outpatient services and behavioral health.

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Despite the cost increase,
OPM has mandated expanded

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coverage in key areas for 2025.

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All FEHB enrollees will now have
access to multiple nationwide plans

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that offer comprehensive coverage
for in vitro fertilization (IVF).

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Additionally, all health carriers will be
required to cover at least one GLP-1 class

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anti-obesity drug, such as Wegovy, as well
as other oral anti-obesity medications.

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For federal annuitants, OPM is
continuing to strongly encourage the

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integration of Medicare Advantage
(MA) plans within the FEHB program.

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These plans, known as Employer Group
Waiver Plans (EGWPs), are designed

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specifically for federal retirees
and can significantly reduce or

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even eliminate out-of-pocket costs
for hospital and medical services.

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Many of these plans also reimburse
enrollees for their Medicare Part

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B premiums, a feature that has
fundamentally changed the financial

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calculation for retirees deciding
whether to enroll in Part B at age 65.

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New Leadership and Data Transparency at
the Office of Personnel Management (OPM)

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The week saw significant developments
at the federal government's

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central human resources agency.

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On July 9, 2025, the Senate confirmed
Scott Kupor, a longtime venture capital

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executive, as the new Director of OPM.

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The confirmation vote was a near
party-line 49-46, signaling the

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contentious nature of his nomination and
the central role OPM is expected to play

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in the administration's workforce agenda.

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Earlier in the month, on July 1, OPM
announced a major overhaul of its

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FedScope data platform, a key public
resource for federal workforce statistics.

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As part of the announcement, OPM released
updated data through March 31, 2025,

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providing the first official snapshot
of the administration's efforts to

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"right-size" the federal bureaucracy.

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The data showed a net reduction of over
23,000 federal civilian employees between

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September 30, 2024, and March 31, 2025.

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This move toward greater data transparency
is positioned as a way to track

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progress on streamlining government,
but it also provides the statistical

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foundation for the administration's
ongoing workforce reduction initiatives.

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Section 2: Issues That Affect
Retired Federal Workers

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2026 Cost-of-Living Adjustment
(COLA) Forecast: A Widening Gap

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Federal retirees are closely watching
the forecast for the 2026 cost-of-living

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adjustment (COLA), which dictates the
annual increase in their annuity payments.

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As of June 2025, the projection
for the 2026 COLA stands at 2.5%.

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This figure is based on year-over-year
inflation as measured by the Consumer

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Price Index for Urban Wage Earners
and Clerical Workers (CPI-W).

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The final COLA will be determined by
the average CPI-W from the third quarter

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(July, August, and September) of 2025.

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However, not all federal retirees
will receive the same adjustment.

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A structural difference between the
two main retirement systems creates

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a significant disparity, particularly
in times of moderate inflation.

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This is often referred to as the
"FERS COLA penalty" or "diet COLA".

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This formula means that
if the current 2.5%

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forecast for 2026 holds, CSRS
retirees will receive a 2.5%

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increase, while eligible FERS
retirees will receive only 2%.

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This continues a trend
from 2025, when the 2.5%

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COLA also resulted in a 2%
adjustment for the FERS population.

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Over time, this compounding difference
erodes the purchasing power of FERS

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annuities compared to their CSRS
counterparts and Social Security

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benefits, which receive the full COLA.

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Legislative Watch: The Equal COLA Act

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In an effort to address this
disparity, the Equal COLA Act was

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introduced in Congress by the late
Representative Gerry Connolly.

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The bill's sole purpose is to eliminate
the FERS COLA penalty and ensure that

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FERS retirees receive the same full
cost-of-living adjustment as CSRS retirees

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and Social Security beneficiaries.

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While endorsed by federal employee
unions, the bill remains in committee

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and its prospects for passage are
uncertain, leaving FERS retirees

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subject to the current tiered formula.

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The Paradox of Retirement Processing:
Modernization Meets Gridlock

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Even as OPM moves to modernize
its systems, new retirees are

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facing significant delays.

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OPM has mandated a full transition to
a digital retirement system, and as

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of July 15, 2025, it will no longer
accept paper retirement applications.

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All agencies must now submit
retirement cases electronically

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through OPM's online portal.

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This initiative is designed to streamline
a notoriously slow and paper-based process

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that has been plagued by delays for years.

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Ironically, this push for
efficiency is occurring at a time of

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unprecedented strain on the system.

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OPM's retirement claims backlog surged
by 22% in June 2025, reaching its

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highest mid-year level in six years.

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This is being driven by a significant
increase in retirements; over 33,500

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federal employees retired in the
first quarter of 2025 alone, a 12%

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increase from the previous year, as
many choose to leave amid the uncertain

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political and professional environment.

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The result is a "double bind" for new
annuitants: they are exiting federal

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service into a retirement system where
their future annuity payments are

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structurally designed to lag inflation,
and their entry into that system is

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likely to be met with processing delays
that can leave them waiting up to 64

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days for their first pension payment.

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Section 3: Issues That Affect
Current Federal Workers

00:13:19.315 --> 00:13:22.625
The Dam Breaks: Supreme Court
Greenlights Mass Layoffs (RIFs)

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On July 8, 2025, the Supreme Court
delivered a landmark decision that cleared

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the way for the Trump administration to
resume large-scale agency reorganizations

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and Reductions-in-Force (RIFs).

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The ruling reversed a lower court
injunction that had barred these mass

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layoff actions, meaning that dozens
of RIFs that had been put on hold

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across the government can now proceed.

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The decision was met with immediate
alarm from federal employee advocates

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and some members of Congress.

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On July 11, Representative Don Beyer
led a group of 74 House members in

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sending a letter to the administration,
urging it to halt any planned firings.

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The lawmakers argued that the
Supreme Court's decision was based on

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procedural grounds and did not rule
on the underlying legality of the

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RIF plans themselves, which are still
being challenged in lower courts.

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They warned that proceeding with
firings would be premature and

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could create chaos if the plans
are later found to be unlawful.

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While the ruling applies government-wide,
agencies that had previously announced

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or prepared for major cuts are now
expected to move forward, including

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the Social Security Administration,
Department of Defense, IRS, and

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Department of Veterans Affairs.

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The Big Chill: A 2026 Federal Pay
Freeze Appears All But Certain

00:14:47.403 --> 00:14:51.133
The financial outlook for current
federal employees grew colder this

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week, as a pay freeze for 2026 now
appears to be a near certainty.

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The OBBB, the major budget package
signed into law, passed without any

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provision for a 2026 civilian pay raise.

00:15:05.023 --> 00:15:09.454
This omission, combined with President
Trump's fiscal year 2026 budget

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proposal that explicitly called for
a pay freeze for civilian employees,

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has created a clear path toward a zero
percent across-the-board increase.

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This stands in stark contrast to the
Federal Adjustment of Income Rates (FAIR)

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Act, a bill introduced by congressional
Democrats that proposed an average 4.3%

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pay raise for 2026.

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However, the FAIR Act has never been
enacted into law and is not expected

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to advance in the current Congress.

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There may be a small silver
lining for some employees.

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Even with a 0% across-the-board
freeze, there will likely be a minor

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average pay increase of around 0.5%

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due to annual adjustments in locality pay
rates, which are calculated separately.

00:15:53.790 --> 00:15:57.879
OPM's Performance Management
Revolution: A New Era of Accountability

00:15:58.466 --> 00:16:02.265
Concurrent with the threat of layoffs,
the administration is moving to make

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it easier to discipline and remove
employees for performance reasons.

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A sweeping memorandum issued by OPM
on June 17, 2025, completely overhauls

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the performance management system
for all non-senior federal employees.

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The stated goal is to create a
"high-performance culture," but the

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practical effect is to weaken job
protections and expedite removals.

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Key mandates from the memo include:

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Quicker Firings: The memo encourages
agencies to shorten the duration of

00:16:33.756 --> 00:16:39.855
Performance Improvement Plans (PIPs) to
just 30 days and to use Chapter 75 adverse

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action procedures, which do not require
a PIP, to address performance issues.

00:16:45.095 --> 00:16:50.476
Stricter Standards: It directs agencies
to end "performance rating inflation" by

00:16:50.476 --> 00:16:54.985
making it harder to achieve "Outstanding"
ratings and potentially implementing

00:16:54.985 --> 00:16:57.025
a forced distribution of ratings.

00:16:57.709 --> 00:17:02.719
"Schedule Policy/Career": The memo
highlights a new category of excepted

00:17:02.719 --> 00:17:07.270
service positions for employees in
confidential or policy-making roles.

00:17:07.890 --> 00:17:11.749
This schedule allows for their
"expeditious removal" and is widely

00:17:11.749 --> 00:17:15.919
viewed as a revival of the controversial
"Schedule F" plan, which would have

00:17:15.919 --> 00:17:20.749
converted tens of thousands of career
civil servants into political appointees.

00:17:21.423 --> 00:17:24.364
Federal unions have fiercely
opposed these changes.

00:17:24.723 --> 00:17:29.124
The American Federation of Government
Employees (AFGE) called the memo

00:17:29.124 --> 00:17:33.103
an illegal attack on the civil
service, arguing that it unilaterally

00:17:33.103 --> 00:17:37.683
violates existing labor contracts
that stipulate how employees are

00:17:37.683 --> 00:17:39.624
to be evaluated and disciplined.

00:17:40.215 --> 00:17:43.245
The End of an Era: The
Mandated Return to the Office

00:17:43.846 --> 00:17:48.346
The administration is also moving to
end the era of expanded telework that

00:17:48.346 --> 00:17:50.875
began during the COVID-19 pandemic.

00:17:51.625 --> 00:17:55.516
A government-wide executive order
requires a full return to in-person

00:17:55.516 --> 00:17:59.886
work, with agencies terminating most
telework and remote work agreements.

00:18:00.355 --> 00:18:05.066
The Department of Veterans Affairs,
for example, has set a July 28, 2025,

00:18:05.115 --> 00:18:09.875
deadline for many of its remote employees
to return to a physical worksite.

00:18:10.602 --> 00:18:14.711
This policy is supported by
legislation like the SHOW UP Act (H.R.

00:18:14.711 --> 00:18:18.892
473), which was reintroduced
by Representative James Comer.

00:18:19.451 --> 00:18:24.201
This bill would legally mandate that
agencies revert to their pre-pandemic

00:18:24.201 --> 00:18:28.371
2019 telework levels within 30
days and require them to complete a

00:18:28.371 --> 00:18:33.021
rigorous justification process for
any future expansion of telework.

00:18:34.361 --> 00:18:38.582
This push comes despite a June 2025
report from the Government Accountability

00:18:38.582 --> 00:18:43.151
Office (GAO) which found that remote
work had actually helped agencies meet

00:18:43.151 --> 00:18:45.921
hiring goals for mission-critical jobs.

00:18:46.601 --> 00:18:48.871
Legislative Watch: A Summary of Key Bills

00:18:49.477 --> 00:18:52.848
Several pieces of legislation
currently in Congress could have

00:18:52.848 --> 00:18:55.578
profound impacts on federal employees.

00:18:56.169 --> 00:18:59.540
The FAIR Act  proposes an average 4.3%

00:18:59.610 --> 00:19:03.710
pay raise for 2026 and this
applies to current Employees.

00:19:04.060 --> 00:19:06.560
Status is that it has been
introduced in Committee.

00:19:07.119 --> 00:19:11.190
The Equal COLA Act eliminates
the FERS "diet COLA" to give FERS

00:19:11.190 --> 00:19:15.300
retirees the full COLA, and this
applies to retired employees (FERS).

00:19:16.159 --> 00:19:18.500
Status is that it has been
introduced in Committee

00:19:19.211 --> 00:19:20.622
The SHOW UP Act (H.R.

00:19:20.622 --> 00:19:25.552
473) mandates a return to 2019
telework levels and restricts

00:19:25.552 --> 00:19:29.102
future telework expansion, and
applies to current employees.

00:19:29.491 --> 00:19:30.961
It has been Introduced in Committee.

00:19:31.677 --> 00:19:35.148
The Federal Employee Performance
and Accountability Act (H.R.

00:19:35.148 --> 00:19:39.658
201) establishes a 5-year pilot
program for pay-for-performance,

00:19:39.948 --> 00:19:44.557
including a potential 10% pay cut for
underperformance and it applies to

00:19:44.557 --> 00:19:47.918
current employees (GS-11 to GS-15).

00:19:48.467 --> 00:19:50.008
It has been introduced in Committee.

00:19:50.691 --> 00:19:54.612
Together, these legislative and
administrative actions represent

00:19:54.612 --> 00:19:58.191
a comprehensive effort to
reshape the federal workforce.

00:19:58.881 --> 00:20:03.341
The combination of a pay freeze, the
threat of RIFs, a more aggressive

00:20:03.341 --> 00:20:07.391
performance management system, and
a mandatory return to the office

00:20:07.492 --> 00:20:11.551
creates a high-pressure environment
designed to fundamentally alter the

00:20:11.551 --> 00:20:16.201
nature of federal employment, moving
it away from a stable, career-based

00:20:16.201 --> 00:20:20.541
system toward one that is more
precarious and politically responsive.

00:20:21.119 --> 00:20:24.389
And thatâs a wrap on this weekâs
Federal Workforce Roundup.

00:20:24.929 --> 00:20:29.229
The landscape for federal employees
and retirees is constantly shifting,

00:20:29.510 --> 00:20:34.109
with major decisions being made about
everything from pay and job security

00:20:34.319 --> 00:20:38.190
to retirement benefits and the very
structure of the civil service.

00:20:38.739 --> 00:20:40.789
Staying informed is your best tool.

00:20:41.219 --> 00:20:45.659
Be sure to subscribe wherever you get your
podcasts, so you never miss an update.

00:20:46.490 --> 00:20:47.599
Thanks for tuning in.

00:20:47.650 --> 00:20:50.350
Weâll be back next week to
track the latest developments

00:20:50.610 --> 00:20:52.079
and what they mean for you.

00:20:52.610 --> 00:20:55.409
Until then, stay engaged and be well.