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Ejaaz:
Welcome back to This Week in AI. It's been a pretty big week for the robots taking over.

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Ejaaz:
Tesla are retiring two of their most iconic cars, the Model S and the Model

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Ejaaz:
X, to make room to scale out their new Optimus Gen 3 robot, which is targeting

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Ejaaz:
1 million units this year. Very ambitious, let's see if they make it.

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Ejaaz:
Figure, another robotic startup, also launched a new humanoid robot,

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Ejaaz:
which did something that no other robot has done before.

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Ejaaz:
Clean the dishes, which sounds like a really simple task, but actually requires

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Ejaaz:
61 very precise locomotive operations.

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Ejaaz:
But the best part is that it did it completely autonomously.

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Ejaaz:
And in final news, the Chinese and Google both released two AI models.

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Ejaaz:
One can convert video recordings into production-ready apps,

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Ejaaz:
and the other might just make the first major scientific discovery since we discovered DNA.

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Ejaaz:
Google also introduced their leading Gemini model to 3.8 billion people in the

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Ejaaz:
form of a personal AI agent in their browser. an exciting week. Let's get into it.

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Josh:
Let's start with the Tesla earnings report because that was the highlight of

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Josh:
the day for me, at least. I've been following these reports forever.

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Josh:
In fact, it's funny, six years ago, I was watching a video that popped up six

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Josh:
years ago this day talking about Tesla earnings.

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Josh:
They were a blowout quarter in terms of forward-looking guidance,

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Josh:
a little bit less so on the actual numbers. The stock's down for today,

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Josh:
but that's not the story.

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Josh:
The story is the forward-looking future of what this company looks like,

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Josh:
which is very much centered around autonomy and robots and manufacturing.

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Josh:
In fact, there's a world in which five years from now, you can't even really buy a Tesla.

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Josh:
And that's signified slightly and early from the Model S and X depreciation. But I think

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Josh:
You'll continue to see more of that as we go because Tesla is fully leaning into autonomy.

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Josh:
So much so, in fact, that they're doubling their capital expenditure this year.

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Josh:
I believe last year it was $8 billion.

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Josh:
This year they're going up to $20 billion in CapEx spend just to scale these

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Josh:
production lines for things like the CyberCav and for things like the Optimus humanoid robot.

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Josh:
Which is really exciting because I think this year, paired with the Helix News,

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Josh:
we're seeing a lot of humanoid robots, a lot of automation actually coming to the physical worlds.

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Josh:
Like entering meat space, we're going to be able to walk down a street and not

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Josh:
only have a self-driving car roll right by you, but also see a humanoid robot

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Josh:
maybe walking down the street or doing something actually useful this year.

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Josh:
And Tesla has a plan to scale these at a rate that no one else really is,

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Josh:
starting with a million units this year and then going to 10 million, 100 million.

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Josh:
And then they project up to a billion of these. The idea is that these will

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Josh:
be able to offload enough of the human capital workforce that it'll unlock significant

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Josh:
amounts of GDP for the actual country.

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Josh:
So this is a gigantic project that's getting underway.

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Josh:
And what we're seeing now is the early seeds being planted through these huge

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Josh:
capital expenditures happening across the globe at all of the gigafactories.

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Ejaaz:
This feels like a very prescient moment because Elon's clearly saying that Tesla

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Ejaaz:
in five years or 10 years is not going to be known to be a car company.

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Ejaaz:
It's going to be an autonomous robot company.

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Ejaaz:
And we've kind of seen the signs of that over the last year where Elon's kind

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Ejaaz:
of just spent all his time on full self-driving and improving that neural network

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Ejaaz:
and focusing on his kind of Cybertruck's autonomously working in SpaceX and

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Ejaaz:
then this new Optimus Gen 3 robot. that to me is like

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Ejaaz:
kind of like crazy switch, I guess, to still kind of like materialize in my head.

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Ejaaz:
And I don't think it's coincidental because this year was also,

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Ejaaz:
or rather 2025 was the first year that Tesla's annual revenue went down.

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Ejaaz:
They only put out 1.64 million cars.

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Ejaaz:
I think that's down like around 9% from the previous year.

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Ejaaz:
And the fact that he's shutting down two of his most early models,

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Ejaaz:
I think it was like back in 2012 and 2015 that he released both the S and the X.

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Ejaaz:
He's now going all in on humanoid robots. I feel like, Josh,

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Ejaaz:
that this is the same moment where Elon was like, no, FSD is going to be the

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Ejaaz:
biggest thing for Tesla cars.

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Ejaaz:
He's doing the same thing for robots now.

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Ejaaz:
So people might kind of take it as this is kind of crazy right now.

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Ejaaz:
This humanoid robot isn't really useful for me or can't automate a bunch of manual labor.

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Ejaaz:
But I think Elon sees something that we don't. Do you agree with this?

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Ejaaz:
Do you feel kind of like solemn that we're going from cars to robots now?

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Ejaaz:
Or has this always made sense to you?

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Josh:
Yeah, well, this has always made sense because they've telegraphed this years in advance.

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Josh:
Tesla famously has released these master plans, or Elon has released the master

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plan, once every three to five years for the last 15 years.

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Josh:
And it just very clearly states exactly their plan and what they're going to do.

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Josh:
And going back and looking at the old content from me, the old content from

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Josh:
the master plans, it's very clear that this has always been the plan.

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Josh:
They're just accelerating the advent of sustainable transport.

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Josh:
And now they're kind of moving to a sustainable abundance through the Optimus

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Josh:
humanoid robot. But the idea is always just to move the world towards an autonomous future.

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Josh:
And cars were the gateway drug to doing that. It started with the Roadster.

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The Roadster was the very high-priced model that wealthy people were able to

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buy to fund the production and development of the Model S and the X,

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which funded the production of the scale vehicles, which is the three and the Y,

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which is funding the production of full self-driving, as well as serving as

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Josh:
the actual network in which they could distribute the software on.

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Josh:
So it makes sense to depreciate the S and X. I'd like to take a moment of silence

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Josh:
for these unbelievable cars that changed the world.

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Josh:
I mean, I would argue the Model S is one of the most.

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Josh:
One of the most important cars that was ever built and ever shipped because

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Josh:
it came out in 2012, just five years after the iPhone.

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Josh:
And it proved that electric cars were not only possible, but they can be great

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and they can be better than gas vehicles across the board.

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And not only that, but they could be capable of autonomous transport in a world

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where all of those things were complete contradictions and believed to be impossible.

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Josh:
And the Model S did that. And it went on an amazing 15-year,

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Josh:
13-year run where they sold almost a million of these vehicles.

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Josh:
It proved that it was possible. It funded the development of where we are today.

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Josh:
And they're just unbelievable vehicles.

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Josh:
A lot of people don't understand that the Model S and the X actually only account

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Josh:
for about 3% of Tesla's vehicle sales now. It's a very niche audience.

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Josh:
They're fairly expensive.

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Josh:
They're over-engineered to hell. They have the craziest features,

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Josh:
particularly the Model X. So it is very sad to see them go, but it is very much

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Josh:
expected and very much exciting in the sense that that production line starts

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Josh:
turning out humanoid robots this year.

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Ejaaz:
Well, it's also important to remember that robots, as it were,

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Ejaaz:
isn't just going to materialize as humanoid robots.

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Ejaaz:
It's also going to look like the cars themselves, right? You mentioned like

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Ejaaz:
they only account for 3%.

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Ejaaz:
The rest of the vehicles that he's going to be producing are mainly going to

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Ejaaz:
be targeted for just completely autonomous vehicles.

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Josh:
So they won't even have a steering wheel.

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Ejaaz:
They won't have a steering wheel. Like, it's a good point, right? Which is

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Ejaaz:
these vehicles are going to become thought of

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as less of a car where you sit in the front and

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Ejaaz:
steer something to kind of like a third space to kind

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Ejaaz:
of like a living room where you can be productive or enjoy

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Ejaaz:
and consume entertainment when you get from

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Ejaaz:
as you go from point a to point b and we're seeing this with his plans to roll

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Ejaaz:
out the robotaxi service so um you know at the end of last year he was all kind

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Ejaaz:
of like there were numerous sightings of him trying robotaxi um he's going to

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Ejaaz:
be rolling out or planning to roll out the robotaxi service to nine more cities this year,

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Ejaaz:
which is super exciting to see, nine cities in total.

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Ejaaz:
And I know that there are several reports at this point where it is good enough

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Ejaaz:
to drive much better with lower incidental damage than humans.

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Ejaaz:
I don't know if you saw this, Josh, but Lemonade Insurance, which is a very

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Ejaaz:
popular insurance startup here in the US, are offering drivers 50% off their

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Ejaaz:
driver's insurance if they enable FSD on their Tesla cars.

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Ejaaz:
And I kind of thought of this like fun idea where like it would be funny if

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Ejaaz:
Elon just kind of like packages his new FSD subscription that we spoke about

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Ejaaz:
in a previous episode last week with this kind of like insurance discount

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Ejaaz:
to kind of like increase FSD subscribers and stuff like that.

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Ejaaz:
I know those are ways that you can mix and match this. I'm excited to see more

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Ejaaz:
robots roll out this year.

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Josh:
Yeah, for the people who are listening, the new cities that you will be able

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Josh:
to get a robotaxi are going to be Austin, Dallas, Houston, Phoenix,

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Josh:
Miami, Orlando, Tampa, Las Vegas.

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Josh:
If you live in any of those places by the end of this quarter,

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Josh:
you will be able to try this for yourself, which I think is so cool.

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Josh:
And as it rolls out, I would encourage everyone to try.

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Josh:
Like I mentioned last week, I was in LA and using Waymos.

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Josh:
And it's unbelievable if you've never experienced it before to see and feel

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Josh:
what it's like to have a computer driving you around.

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Josh:
So far, they have 600,000 autonomous miles driven on the robo taxi network that

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Josh:
number is going to increase it is safer than a human driver as reflected with

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Josh:
the insurance tesla actually also offers their own insurance which incentivizes

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Josh:
people to drive safely so really cool updates from tesla across the board very

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Josh:
excited about that and this isn't the only news from the elon,

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Josh:
atmosphere i guess this week uh there's also some more

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Josh:
spacex news particularly as it relates to the ipo which

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Josh:
seems as if they're going to be raising even more money

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Josh:
than previously thought 50 billion dollars which is going to be i think the

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Josh:
largest amount of capital ever raised for an ipo and the largest market cap

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Josh:
of a company to ever go public all in one this is going to be huge they're targeting

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Josh:
june as the announcement and release date for this ipo to go public for people

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Josh:
to actually invest in SpaceX.

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Josh:
And SpaceX, to me, I mean, this is a huge opportunity. This is a huge company.

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Josh:
I'm so excited for this to get into the open market and see how the public reacts.

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Ejaaz:
It's also one of the few IPOs that are raising at such a large valuation that

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Ejaaz:
I think justifies the amount that they're raising.

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Ejaaz:
We're going to talk about OpenAI raising $100 billion later on this episode.

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Ejaaz:
But I would say $50 billion is probably too low in an IPO.

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Ejaaz:
And I know he's raising other rounds, but like he probably needs more money

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Ejaaz:
to achieve his mission of getting to Mars, the moon and setting up,

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Ejaaz:
you know, these interplanetary energy factories and stuff like that that he's spoken about on X.

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Ejaaz:
So this is really cool and exciting. I think 2026 is gonna be the year of big IPOs, Josh.

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Ejaaz:
We were talking about this before we started recording. We've got what, the Anthropic IPO.

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Ejaaz:
You've got OpenAI raising an $850 billion round now and they're gonna be presumably

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Ejaaz:
IPO-ing more than that. like 1.4 is what some more before trillion dollars is

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Ejaaz:
what some of the rumors are saying um yeah this is just crazy to see

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Josh:
Yeah we might get striped this year too a lot of ipos and part of the value

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Josh:
in which enabled starlink and spacex to go public is the starlink network is

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Josh:
the internet network and as they improve this network through starship launches

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Josh:
which allows them to put their new version 3 satellites into space,

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Josh:
And for reference, those version three satellite launches are 20 to 40 times

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Josh:
more effective than the current versions that they're pushing out right now with the version two.

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Josh:
So it's a huge increase in bandwidth. And that bandwidth is going to make its

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Josh:
way into cell phones in our pockets because the direct to cell network is growing very quickly.

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Josh:
If you're a user of T-Mobile, you can try this now. But Apple is now reportedly

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Josh:
planning to integrate Starlink directly into the iPhone 18 Pro,

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Josh:
which is coming later this year in September.

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Josh:
So this is really exciting news coming from Apple. Again, outsourcing the software

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Josh:
stack to someone else who is more capable and competent in doing this.

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Josh:
In this case, it's Starlink.

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Josh:
And it solves one of the huge pain points for the perfect mobile device,

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Josh:
where my hypothetical perfect mobile device has unlimited battery,

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Josh:
unlimited connectivity, no matter where you are.

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Josh:
And now this solves the connectivity problem, where there's nowhere you can

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Josh:
go where Starlink will not be. And that's a really exciting partnership that I'm looking forward to.

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Ejaaz:
In other robotics news, I saw one of the coolest, but maybe unsexy to some,

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Ejaaz:
demo of a humanoid robot.

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Ejaaz:
What you're watching on the screen right now, and if you're listening to this,

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Ejaaz:
I'll describe it to you, is a humanoid robot, which looks very much like a human,

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Ejaaz:
I have to say, he's just missing some clothes, unloading a dishwasher,

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Ejaaz:
walking across a full-sized kitchen,

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Ejaaz:
placing all these dishes and crockery into the cabinet.

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Ejaaz:
Very delicate, precise movements are needed for this, by the way,

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Ejaaz:
walking back and refilling the dishwasher with all the dirty dishes.

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Ejaaz:
These include wine glasses, by the way. Okay. So for all of you haters out there

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Ejaaz:
that are saying they're using plastic stuff, no, he's using delicate glasses as well.

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Ejaaz:
Now, what you're looking at is the new robot from FIGURE, a very hot robotic

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Ejaaz:
startup here in the US called Helix O2.

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Ejaaz:
And this humanoid robot is different from the other humanoid robots in a few different ways.

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Ejaaz:
Number one, it is the first robot to perform a four-minute fully autonomous task of this level.

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Ejaaz:
Just get that into your head. That may not sound very impressive right now,

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Ejaaz:
but I remember a time where AI model LLMs could only work autonomously for 10

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Ejaaz:
minutes at a time. And now they're doing weeks at a time.

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Ejaaz:
This is the same kind of moment that we see for robotics.

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Ejaaz:
And I think that Helix is kind of like nailing that.

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Ejaaz:
To emphasize, it is completely autonomous. There are no humans.

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Ejaaz:
There's no teleoperation. You know who dares leverage teleoperation? 1KX.

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Ejaaz:
Also Tesla Optimus, dare I say, although the new generation should be fully

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Ejaaz:
autonomous in some way, shape, or form.

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Ejaaz:
This is a really impressive feat because the technicalities and the mechanisms

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Ejaaz:
that you need to achieve this is nothing short of just insane.

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Ejaaz:
So 61 locomotive manipulations are required for this robot to do this,

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Ejaaz:
but that's not even the most impressive part.

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Ejaaz:
Typically, these robots are pre-programmed to execute on a set number of different moves.

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Ejaaz:
So those 61 moves I just mentioned, you need to hard code it.

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Ejaaz:
And when it faces a scenario, it'll then activate that movement.

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Ejaaz:
This is completely different.

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Ejaaz:
So what Felix did was they launched something called System Zero,

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Ejaaz:
I believe, which is their new neural net, which is only 10 million parameters.

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Ejaaz:
But it basically ingests what it sees around it through its palm senses,

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Ejaaz:
through its eyes, and reacts in real time.

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Ejaaz:
This is different from how the model previously used to work, which is

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Ejaaz:
Take in some kind of input, process it through its hard code,

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Ejaaz:
and then output an action.

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Ejaaz:
And hey, presto, the kind of like trophy win here is that it's fully autonomous,

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Ejaaz:
and it's the first humanoid to be able to do this.

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Ejaaz:
Now, to remove all that code and transform it into neural net is cool enough.

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Ejaaz:
But what I also like about it is that they have this new form of tactile sensors.

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Ejaaz:
And I think we spoke about something about this on our previous run,

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Ejaaz:
or maybe it was even last week's.

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Ejaaz:
But because of its palm sensors and its new tactile sensors,

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Ejaaz:
it's able to know when to apply pressure and when to be delicate.

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Ejaaz:
For example, lifting a wine glass and placing it into a cabinet.

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Ejaaz:
So I personally like took this kind of boring task and thought,

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Ejaaz:
huh, this is actually something that I would actually have in my home because

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Ejaaz:
I can trust it. Also, look at the speed that it's moving.

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Ejaaz:
It's definitely quicker than my sister that I've seen her loading the dishwasher at home at least.

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Josh:
Do you think this is ready to be in your home? Is this something you'd be interested in buying?

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Ejaaz:
Well, I would need it to do something more than just dishwasher stuff.

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Ejaaz:
But presumably, if it can do this, it can also fold my laundry,

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Ejaaz:
Josh, and load the laundry basket as well.

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Ejaaz:
So depending on what they're charging, if it's a subscription or if I have to

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Ejaaz:
buy it outright, would influence my decision, right? If I could have a live-in housekeeper,

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Ejaaz:
sounds pretty good i'm a pretty messy guy

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Josh:
Yeah when evaluating robots i think the things

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Josh:
that are most important to look at are first the hands the dexterity the

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Josh:
the sensors within the hands how capable the hands

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Josh:
are because that's by far the most complicated thing the second thing is

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Josh:
the intelligence how general purpose is it we we've seen this example over and

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Josh:
over again of loading a dishwasher or doing simple tasks like sorting clothes

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Josh:
how complex are those tasks able to get and how quickly are they able to roll

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Josh:
that out is the second thing and then the third is how quickly and how effectively

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Josh:
are they able to actually manufacture this at scale?

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Josh:
Are they going to be able to create enough of these at a price point that makes

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Josh:
enough sense with a feature set that makes enough sense to encourage people

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Josh:
like me and you to want to buy one?

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Josh:
It seems like there is a very long and challenging path for figure to get there.

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Josh:
I'm really looking forward to Tesla's Optimus 3, which is coming this quarter

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Josh:
and will be rolling out at scale this year. And I...

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Josh:
I'm hopeful that figure can keep up because competition is good.

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Josh:
And I hope they don't turn into like the Rivian of electric cars.

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Josh:
I want them to stay on the forefront.

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Josh:
And I hope Brett and the whole figure team continue to keep their foot on the gas.

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Ejaaz:
Yeah, I mean, I think this demo is cool, right? But it's pitched towards... It's like, it's cute.

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Ejaaz:
It's cute. But I think the real application, the reality is these robots aren't

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Ejaaz:
going to be in your homes first. They're going to be in factories.

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Ejaaz:
In fact, their Helix O1 robot has been working at BMW controlling their operating

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Ejaaz:
system or one of their manufacturing plants for, what is it now? Four months now?

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Ejaaz:
24-7? There's like a live stream of this. Well, hopefully, maybe we can link

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Ejaaz:
to this and people can go watch it.

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Ejaaz:
But Brett keeps talking about it every single week.

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Ejaaz:
So I don't know. I'm bullish on it. I think Optimus is also going to be in factories

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Ejaaz:
first before people's homes.

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Ejaaz:
But we shall see.

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Ejaaz:
We have some big news from Google. Josh, you were showing me some pretty cool

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Ejaaz:
demos. What's going on here?

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Josh:
Yeah, big news. If you remember from a little while ago, we had the CEO of Perplexity

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Josh:
on the show, and he was talking about the new pivot to the AI browser.

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Josh:
Since then, OpenAI has released their own AI browser.

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Josh:
Claude has released a plugin for Chrome, but now Chrome, where everyone actually

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Josh:
uses their browsing, has rolled out their own...

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Josh:
Gemini agentic controller inside of the browser. And it's pretty incredible.

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Josh:
I mean, like you mentioned at the intro, 3.8 billion people on earth use the Chrome browser.

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Josh:
And now all those people have just been given a magical update overnight that

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Josh:
allows this agent in and allows it to actually control and do things on behalf

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Josh:
of the user within this browser.

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Josh:
So we're watching on screen a introduction demo video that shows some examples.

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Josh:
And I thought they were really amazing.

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Josh:
The first one that they did was with NanoBanana Pro, which is the image generating model.

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Josh:
And they were just looking at a home and they wanted to add furniture to it,

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Josh:
like looking at an empty apartment. And you could just ask NanoBanana to stage the apartment.

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Josh:
Yeah, here's the demo. Where it's empty, you could ask it to stage the apartment

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Josh:
and it shows you what it looks like with furniture on the fly as you're browsing.

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Josh:
The follow-up feature to this is they were looking for an apartment that accepted

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Josh:
dogs, that was in X proximity to this place, that had a whole list to parameters

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Josh:
that were pretty complicated that would have taken the average person a long time to do.

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Josh:
And they typed in that prompt and it actually clicked through the browser and

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Josh:
navigated through this for them.

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Josh:
Putting in all the filters and figuring out which results were best for them.

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Josh:
And I think this is such a great use case because it's just so prevalent in

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Josh:
what you do every day as a user of Chrome and as someone who uses a Chrome browser.

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Josh:
And I'm excited to see it integrated where people are, where you don't actually

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Josh:
need to download a separate piece of software, move everything over.

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Josh:
It's just meeting people where they are and building on top of this existing

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Josh:
knowledge base that Google has about you through your Gmail account.

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Ejaaz:
What I like about this is they're not over-promising, or they didn't over-promise

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Ejaaz:
Gemini 3 being pretty much wherever you are on the internet.

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Ejaaz:
Like, I've used Chrome browser for years now. I've used Gmail for longer.

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Ejaaz:
And the fact that, you know, these demos show kind of places that I visit every

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Ejaaz:
day, because like, let's face it, like most of my online life,

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Ejaaz:
or rather, most of my computer life doesn't live on my desktop, right?

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Ejaaz:
Which is my, which was separately my point around cloudbot i'm like it's not

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Ejaaz:
useful for me because i'm always on the internet but google is bringing gemini

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Ejaaz:
and ai cutting edge ai to me on the internet on the browser where i am every day

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Ejaaz:
I might not be someone that edits images all the time and says,

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00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:20,300
Ejaaz:
hey, show me in this outfit, but I am someone that writes a lot of emails.

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Ejaaz:
I am someone that spends a lot of time in documents.

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Ejaaz:
And in some of these demos, Josh, it doesn't just get me to prompt it.

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Ejaaz:
It prompts me and says, hey, I see that you have updated some of these goals for the next month.

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Ejaaz:
Do you want me to email so-and-so on your behalf?

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Ejaaz:
I've generated you a prescript if you want me to do that for you.

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Ejaaz:
All I need to do is look over to it on my task panel on the right, and click send.

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Ejaaz:
And that's just like such a beautiful experience.

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Ejaaz:
It sounds, again, unsexy, but I think this is going to make people way,

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Ejaaz:
way more productive and most importantly, loyal to Google.

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Ejaaz:
We mentioned their major release of personal intelligence, which is basically

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Ejaaz:
a personal AI assistant that is prevalent across every single Google product

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00:20:02,220 --> 00:20:06,400
Ejaaz:
that you use, not just on your browser, but on Google Maps, Android, wherever you are.

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Ejaaz:
This is it coming into reality just for Chrome. It's frigging awesome.

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Josh:
Yeah, really nice feature. It's just, it's, it's again, it's another muscle

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Josh:
that people are going to need to train as they get used to these new tools in

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Josh:
reaching for the agent in your browser versus trying to do it all yourself,

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Josh:
where I would encourage anyone as you're browsing and you're doing something,

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Josh:
you're trying to achieve a goal.

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Josh:
Try to click that Gemini button and see if it can achieve that goal for you.

336
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Josh:
And the process of doing that over and over kind of trains your brain to rely more on this.

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Josh:
And it just leads to a far better quality of life because it's better at doing

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Josh:
a lot of these tasks than we are.

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Josh:
The other thing that I thought was interesting to note is that they updated

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Josh:
their Gemini AI Pro plans, the Pro plan and the Ultra plan, which are either

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Josh:
$20 a month and $250 a month.

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Josh:
If you have those now, the big thing on this long list of things that they include

343
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Josh:
is Google Cloud Credits.

344
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Josh:
So now you can actually use, you could build your own environments for these AIs.

345
00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:04,660
Josh:
You could start querying more of their API to get more, I guess,

346
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Josh:
more just requests done, more intelligence.

347
00:21:06,420 --> 00:21:10,240
Josh:
They're including a lot more tools in this package for people who are interested

348
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Josh:
in just toying around with these products.

349
00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:15,660
Josh:
And for me, this is really exciting because I'm not running large scale,

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Josh:
products. I don't need a server that costs more than $10 a month.

351
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Josh:
And essentially for one membership of $20, I get all of these really cool perks.

352
00:21:22,670 --> 00:21:25,030
Josh:
You get access to the entire Google AI ecosystem.

353
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Josh:
And I just, I liked this pivot that they're moving towards kind of giving people

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Josh:
the tools to tinker at a very low price point at $20 a month.

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Ejaaz:
So in other Google news, they released what is probably the most impressive

356
00:21:38,170 --> 00:21:40,570
Ejaaz:
scientific AI breakthrough ever.

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00:21:41,050 --> 00:21:44,930
Ejaaz:
And no one kind of noticed it because it got published in Nature,

358
00:21:44,990 --> 00:21:48,290
Ejaaz:
which is a scientific journal, but it was 100% open source and super cool.

359
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Ejaaz:
So this is, the best way to think about this is this is kind of like a DNA sequencer AI.

360
00:21:54,750 --> 00:22:02,070
Ejaaz:
Now, the reason why this is cool is 98% of our DNA is actually not that important.

361
00:22:02,210 --> 00:22:04,750
Ejaaz:
It doesn't actually lead to protein production.

362
00:22:04,910 --> 00:22:07,670
Ejaaz:
The reason why protein production is important is because it influences pretty

363
00:22:07,670 --> 00:22:12,890
Ejaaz:
much how your entire body, mind, and world works, how your perception is, right?

364
00:22:13,530 --> 00:22:18,490
Ejaaz:
The issue is we don't understand the 98% of that dark matter because it controls

365
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Ejaaz:
some types of genetic expressions.

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Ejaaz:
So for decades, like humans have basically just kind of like mapped out the

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Ejaaz:
genome themselves and then like just tried a bunch of different tests to figure

368
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Ejaaz:
out what proteins or what genes are expressed in A, B or C type of condition.

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Ejaaz:
Now there's an AI model that can not just sequence a couple hundred thousand

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Ejaaz:
of these base pairs for your DNA, but up to 1 million base pairs.

371
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Ejaaz:
Now there are four main base pairs in your DNA strand. We're taking it back

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Ejaaz:
to like, you know, fifth grade biology here.

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Ejaaz:
And if you connect them together in different types of combinations,

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Ejaaz:
you can result in different types of proteins, which kind of make up your genetic makeup.

375
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Ejaaz:
Now you have an AI model that can just sequence this entirely and predict what

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00:23:01,360 --> 00:23:05,100
Ejaaz:
the expression is going to be. Now, the reason why this is super cool is you

377
00:23:05,100 --> 00:23:06,380
Ejaaz:
can apply this to so many different things.

378
00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:09,820
Ejaaz:
You could apply it to preventative medicine. You could apply it to personalized

379
00:23:09,820 --> 00:23:12,600
Ejaaz:
medicine to create personalized pharmaceuticals for yourself.

380
00:23:12,740 --> 00:23:17,520
Ejaaz:
Or you could recognize genetic disorders before it manifests,

381
00:23:17,660 --> 00:23:23,620
Ejaaz:
before it becomes an issue and kind of snip that baby out. So it is such a cool thing to see.

382
00:23:23,740 --> 00:23:26,140
Ejaaz:
It kind of harkens back to my biology degree where I'm just like,

383
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:30,080
Ejaaz:
oh my God, I can't believe that they've produced a tool that could have saved

384
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:32,400
Ejaaz:
me like months of work when I was doing that degree.

385
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,820
Ejaaz:
But I just think it is super awesome. Josh, are you impressed by something like this?

386
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:41,140
Josh:
Yeah, this to me is the coolest news of the week, actually, which is funny enough.

387
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:46,260
Josh:
The biology stuff is so unbelievably impressive. And I think it's easy to overlook

388
00:23:46,260 --> 00:23:49,760
Josh:
it because it's kind of complicated and difficult to understand for those.

389
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:53,060
Josh:
I mean, like myself, who just haven't spent much time in the world of biology.

390
00:23:53,260 --> 00:23:58,240
Josh:
But in the research and learning about this segment, I discovered that the DNA

391
00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:00,480
Josh:
sequence is 3 billion letters long.

392
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:03,240
Josh:
It's this ginormous sequence of letters.

393
00:24:03,790 --> 00:24:07,070
Josh:
It essentially acts as an instruction manual for the

394
00:24:07,070 --> 00:24:09,750
Josh:
human body for the makeup it tells you everything that's right with you but

395
00:24:09,750 --> 00:24:13,650
Josh:
also everything that's wrong with you and previous ai models before this they

396
00:24:13,650 --> 00:24:16,410
Josh:
were like it was like reading a manual with either a magnifying glass where

397
00:24:16,410 --> 00:24:20,450
Josh:
you can see tiny details but only a few segments at a time versus binoculars

398
00:24:20,450 --> 00:24:23,470
Josh:
where you could see like a lot but it's kind of blurry this is able to do both

399
00:24:23,470 --> 00:24:26,870
Josh:
simultaneously and like you mentioned it can read one million letters at once

400
00:24:26,870 --> 00:24:29,570
Josh:
with perfect clarity so while it's not the three billion.

401
00:24:29,830 --> 00:24:33,330
Josh:
It is 1 million, which is a significant improvement because when doctors find

402
00:24:33,330 --> 00:24:36,910
Josh:
a weird genetic variant and they ask, is this variant causing a problem?

403
00:24:37,370 --> 00:24:42,070
Josh:
Alpha genome has beat the previous models on 25 out of 26 of these tests,

404
00:24:42,250 --> 00:24:45,010
Josh:
which means there's a lot of fewer, we don't know the answer,

405
00:24:45,210 --> 00:24:46,790
Josh:
answers for patients with rare diseases.

406
00:24:47,050 --> 00:24:51,210
Josh:
And it's able to kind of diagnose things that previously were not possible.

407
00:24:51,330 --> 00:24:54,830
Josh:
And as we see progress through this, there's going to be a lot of unbelievable

408
00:24:54,830 --> 00:25:00,130
Josh:
examples as it relates to like cancer and splicing these DNA sequences and improving things.

409
00:25:00,250 --> 00:25:04,990
Josh:
It's just, it's a huge quality of life improvement for the people who understand

410
00:25:04,990 --> 00:25:07,270
Josh:
it and for the people who stand to benefit from this, which is,

411
00:25:07,630 --> 00:25:09,790
Josh:
I mean, in a way, everyone we mentioned on a previous episode,

412
00:25:09,870 --> 00:25:13,790
Josh:
you can upload your DNA sequence to something like Claude and you could ask it questions.

413
00:25:14,070 --> 00:25:18,090
Josh:
This is that on steroids. This is going down to the letter and diagnosing what's

414
00:25:18,090 --> 00:25:21,930
Josh:
wrong and what's right based on a single variance in a 3 billion letter data

415
00:25:21,930 --> 00:25:23,050
Josh:
set. It's really amazing.

416
00:25:23,820 --> 00:25:28,940
Ejaaz:
For those of you who haven't spent time in many of the scientific journal world,

417
00:25:29,100 --> 00:25:36,080
Ejaaz:
there are tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands of scientific papers published every single year.

418
00:25:36,540 --> 00:25:40,940
Ejaaz:
But the common pattern across all of these is that some of these conclusions

419
00:25:40,940 --> 00:25:42,440
Ejaaz:
are simply inconclusive.

420
00:25:42,660 --> 00:25:45,980
Ejaaz:
They don't have enough data or they just don't know. They haven't got enough

421
00:25:45,980 --> 00:25:48,140
Ejaaz:
tools or technology to figure it out.

422
00:25:48,140 --> 00:25:54,060
Ejaaz:
Now, a tool like this, to your point, Josh, I don't think it's going to suddenly

423
00:25:54,060 --> 00:25:57,640
Ejaaz:
have a crazy discovery this year, but you're going to see the discovery in some

424
00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:00,540
Ejaaz:
of these papers that come out from the researchers that are using it.

425
00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:03,960
Ejaaz:
In fact, we're probably going to see Alpha Genome be quoted as a main author

426
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:05,820
Ejaaz:
on some of the papers produced in 2026.

427
00:26:06,260 --> 00:26:12,540
Ejaaz:
There are already 3,000 researchers using this. I think 1 million API calls every single day.

428
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:17,180
Ejaaz:
So it's really been crushing a bunch of research across 160 countries.

429
00:26:17,180 --> 00:26:21,900
Ejaaz:
So I am curious to see what this gets involved in and what discoveries it makes.

430
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,200
Ejaaz:
To your point, maybe it's cancer or maybe it's something smaller,

431
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:28,060
Ejaaz:
but one thing's for sure, there's going to be something major this year, would be my prediction.

432
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,400
Josh:
Yeah, the velocity in progress of this has just been, it's unbelievable.

433
00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:32,340
Josh:
It's really exciting to see.

434
00:26:32,380 --> 00:26:35,400
Josh:
I'm looking forward to all the continued breakthroughs that scientists are now

435
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:38,860
Josh:
able to use because this is just open weights, open source, freely available

436
00:26:38,860 --> 00:26:41,540
Josh:
for anyone who's involved in research to actually go and use for themselves.

437
00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:45,020
Josh:
There's another interesting breakthrough, or at least released this

438
00:26:45,020 --> 00:26:48,280
Josh:
week that's slightly less eccentric this

439
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:51,080
Josh:
one's more practical and something you can use today which is Claude

440
00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:54,080
Josh:
releasing interactive tools within Claude

441
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:57,040
Josh:
itself so if you are a user of Slack or

442
00:26:57,040 --> 00:27:00,180
Josh:
Figma or Asana or any of these programs you

443
00:27:00,180 --> 00:27:04,240
Josh:
actually never need to go to those websites ever again they will be integrated

444
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:08,380
Josh:
into your Claude interface on your desktop for you to actually engage with through

445
00:27:08,380 --> 00:27:11,940
Josh:
the chat interface to do whatever you want them to do so the example we're seeing

446
00:27:11,940 --> 00:27:15,300
Josh:
on screen now is figma if you're a designer this is how you design things this

447
00:27:15,300 --> 00:27:17,500
Josh:
is how you create websites create renderings of things.

448
00:27:18,060 --> 00:27:23,100
Josh:
And built into Claude now is tooling control that allows you to type in a prompt

449
00:27:23,100 --> 00:27:27,120
Josh:
or even manually adjust things yourselves from within the interface in a way

450
00:27:27,120 --> 00:27:31,020
Josh:
that's smart, it understands the context, and it writes back to the main server.

451
00:27:31,220 --> 00:27:34,500
Josh:
So if you, like for example, we use Asana for production workflows,

452
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:35,540
Josh:
for scheduling episodes.

453
00:27:35,900 --> 00:27:40,320
Josh:
I don't need to go to asana.com anymore. I just ask Claude, when do we need to publish this by?

454
00:27:40,460 --> 00:27:43,800
Josh:
Who is responsible for publishing this? And it has all the answers built in,

455
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:47,880
Josh:
and it can write the changes to that. And this is on the back of the integrations

456
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:48,780
Josh:
that they've recently added.

457
00:27:48,940 --> 00:27:51,880
Josh:
Things like iMessage, which I think is really cool.

458
00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:55,620
Josh:
Previously, or early in this week, we released an episode on CloudBot,

459
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:59,080
Josh:
which is this whole desktop controller that allows you access to your whole

460
00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,520
Josh:
desktop, but it is a bit technical. It does cost a bit of money.

461
00:28:01,820 --> 00:28:07,080
Josh:
This is so easy. If you are a Mac user and you have Cloud downloaded on your laptop.

462
00:28:07,780 --> 00:28:12,180
Josh:
You can connect Claude to iMessage and then have it send messages on your behalf

463
00:28:12,180 --> 00:28:16,300
Josh:
or read messages on your behalf or integrate it into any of these other services.

464
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:19,780
Josh:
And what they're doing is they're just creating, I think what OpenAI was trying

465
00:28:19,780 --> 00:28:23,940
Josh:
to do, which is this full stack place in which you can go for any of your needs.

466
00:28:23,940 --> 00:28:26,940
Josh:
It's just slowly embedding itself into more and more of your day-to-day workflow.

467
00:28:27,660 --> 00:28:33,280
Ejaaz:
To me, what this announcement says is it's confirmation that we are heading

468
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:37,080
Ejaaz:
towards an AI operating system that is ephemeral.

469
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:41,140
Ejaaz:
Now, we've mentioned this many times on the show before, but I believe in the

470
00:28:41,140 --> 00:28:44,400
Ejaaz:
future, you're not going to navigate to an app or a website or scroll.

471
00:28:44,660 --> 00:28:49,820
Ejaaz:
It's just going to appear ephemerally in front of you, auto-generated by tokens

472
00:28:49,820 --> 00:28:54,720
Ejaaz:
generated by an LLM or any kind of AI model that is multimodal, right?

473
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:57,740
Ejaaz:
And the reason that description that you just gave just now,

474
00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:03,720
Ejaaz:
actually, Josh, is, you know, it all kind of converges into one synonymous experience

475
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:09,680
Ejaaz:
where you could be on different devices or you could be on your browser or you could be on a chat bot.

476
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:15,040
Ejaaz:
And somehow the same LLM or AI model follows you around and is there to be helpful

477
00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:18,840
Ejaaz:
and expressive in many different ways. This is Anthropic confirming it.

478
00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:25,340
Ejaaz:
OpenAI actually released this feature themselves in ChatGPT last year.

479
00:29:25,540 --> 00:29:28,920
Ejaaz:
Actually, I think it was mid last year. So that was super early with the exact same partners.

480
00:29:29,180 --> 00:29:33,020
Ejaaz:
That uptake didn't really take off. I'm curious whether like six months later,

481
00:29:33,180 --> 00:29:38,480
Ejaaz:
we now see a similar pattern with Anthropic or whether people enjoy it and find it more useful here.

482
00:29:39,300 --> 00:29:43,720
Ejaaz:
Another kind of subtle point that this is using underneath is something called

483
00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:47,820
Ejaaz:
MCP, Model Context Protocol, which is something that Um...

484
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:51,800
Ejaaz:
Anthropic, I believe, found it. It's an open protocol that allows you to connect

485
00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:52,800
Ejaaz:
to a bunch of different apps.

486
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:57,160
Ejaaz:
Now, the change here is that it's allowing the generative experiences to happen

487
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:01,160
Ejaaz:
within the chatbot, which is a UX decision, which I think is really cool.

488
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:06,580
Ejaaz:
Now, I think this is a very strategic move for Anthropic because they created

489
00:30:06,580 --> 00:30:07,440
Ejaaz:
the protocol themselves.

490
00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:12,280
Ejaaz:
So Google famously produced Android and open source the entire thing,

491
00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:13,780
Ejaaz:
or rather was like, hey, this is for everyone.

492
00:30:13,940 --> 00:30:16,280
Ejaaz:
But they ended up becoming the dominant company that controlled that.

493
00:30:16,380 --> 00:30:20,020
Ejaaz:
And now they manage like, you know, millions and millions and millions of devices.

494
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,580
Ejaaz:
I think this is Anthropic's attempt to do the same thing. Now they're not planning

495
00:30:23,580 --> 00:30:27,900
Ejaaz:
to release a new device, but it is yet another step for them to own the entire

496
00:30:27,900 --> 00:30:30,180
Ejaaz:
operating stack for whatever AI becomes.

497
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,560
Josh:
Yeah. You said, you said this good word. I actually looked it up because I don't

498
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:34,460
Josh:
know what it means. Ephemeral.

499
00:30:34,660 --> 00:30:38,040
Josh:
You said ephemeral operating system, which is something that lasts for a very

500
00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:41,040
Josh:
short time is fleeting or transient, often describes things that are beautiful,

501
00:30:41,180 --> 00:30:42,580
Josh:
but temporary, like a moment of feeling.

502
00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:46,400
Josh:
So I guess the idea is that this is, it's dynamically generated,

503
00:30:46,660 --> 00:30:47,960
Josh:
right? Like it's kind of built on the fly.

504
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:53,300
Josh:
It doesn't actually exist as a permanent fixture in our workspace,

505
00:30:53,300 --> 00:30:55,540
Josh:
which is super interesting. This is cool.

506
00:30:55,740 --> 00:31:00,400
Josh:
There is one use case that I particularly loved, which was the iMessage wrapped.

507
00:31:00,580 --> 00:31:04,440
Josh:
I think one of my favorite parts of the year is Spotify wrapped when we can

508
00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:06,180
Josh:
see all of the most played music.

509
00:31:06,380 --> 00:31:10,680
Josh:
Everyone talks about how they're listening age. It's very fun because it has

510
00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:13,640
Josh:
access to these more intimate personal data sets.

511
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:18,180
Josh:
It can actually use that data to generate these fun things like iMessage Wrapped,

512
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:21,920
Josh:
which is a code project that this woman did, which I thought was really fun.

513
00:31:21,980 --> 00:31:26,800
Josh:
It showed how many messages were sent throughout the year, who the top messages were with.

514
00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:33,240
Josh:
It showed heat graphs and charts of when you are most likely to send messages.

515
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:33,540
Ejaaz:
Relationships over time.

516
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:37,200
Josh:
Yeah, you could see relationships over time. When a relationship got hot,

517
00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:41,740
Josh:
you were texting a lot. When it faded away, it's this really fun, exciting thing.

518
00:31:42,420 --> 00:31:45,960
Josh:
Experiment. It shows grammar, who gets your best English, most formal versus

519
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:49,080
Josh:
most casual, your writing style over time.

520
00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:52,960
Josh:
And you can really break it down because it has this deep understanding and

521
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:57,220
Josh:
intelligence, but also because it has this connection to your personal intimate data set.

522
00:31:57,280 --> 00:32:00,500
Josh:
And I thought this was so much fun because it shows you even the heat chart

523
00:32:00,500 --> 00:32:03,140
Josh:
of when you are most likely to be sending messages. Oh, I like this.

524
00:32:03,340 --> 00:32:03,780
Josh:
Your dream dinner party.

525
00:32:03,940 --> 00:32:05,660
Ejaaz:
The dream dinner parties is good.

526
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,820
Josh:
Very cool. Who's sitting at your ideas table? Who are your ride dies.

527
00:32:08,980 --> 00:32:10,080
Josh:
Who's the industry dinner?

528
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:14,500
Josh:
It's a really fun example of a use case that I hope we see a lot more of.

529
00:32:14,860 --> 00:32:18,300
Josh:
And again, the hardest problem with these is just figuring out how to extract value from it

530
00:32:18,570 --> 00:32:20,910
Josh:
And whenever we get a cool example like this, it's awesome. It's like,

531
00:32:20,990 --> 00:32:22,470
Josh:
okay, here, it's open source of my GitHub.

532
00:32:22,610 --> 00:32:26,010
Josh:
You can go and copy it for yourself and go have fun. And this is a really awesome

533
00:32:26,010 --> 00:32:27,610
Josh:
use case that I see for Cloud in particular.

534
00:32:28,110 --> 00:32:32,630
Ejaaz:
As we're filming this episode, Josh, and we've given a bunch of tool demos and

535
00:32:32,630 --> 00:32:37,790
Ejaaz:
examples right now, I'm realizing that we have made so much progress over the

536
00:32:37,790 --> 00:32:40,190
Ejaaz:
last year when it was incredibly manual.

537
00:32:40,470 --> 00:32:44,090
Ejaaz:
And now it's much, much, much less manual. But in my opinion,

538
00:32:44,270 --> 00:32:46,050
Ejaaz:
it's still manual enough.

539
00:32:46,190 --> 00:32:49,230
Ejaaz:
Do you know what I mean? and i think there's going to be a dissection

540
00:32:49,230 --> 00:32:52,030
Ejaaz:
of audiences where you have the more kind of

541
00:32:52,030 --> 00:32:54,910
Ejaaz:
i guess you can call them semi-technical folk that will spin up

542
00:32:54,910 --> 00:32:57,890
Ejaaz:
a clawed bot or try out a new ai native thing

543
00:32:57,890 --> 00:33:00,590
Ejaaz:
and to your earlier point like you should be proactively trying to

544
00:33:00,590 --> 00:33:03,530
Ejaaz:
use these tools so you can kind of evolve your brain and thinking

545
00:33:03,530 --> 00:33:06,390
Ejaaz:
into using these tools that you're not caught off guard but i

546
00:33:06,390 --> 00:33:09,030
Ejaaz:
think eventually uh majority of people are just going

547
00:33:09,030 --> 00:33:12,150
Ejaaz:
to use some kind of package system like google is like the perfect placement

548
00:33:12,150 --> 00:33:14,870
Ejaaz:
for this right where it's like hey don't worry gemini is just going

549
00:33:14,870 --> 00:33:17,530
Ejaaz:
to come to wherever you are and we've got you we're just going to give you

550
00:33:17,530 --> 00:33:20,630
Ejaaz:
the features instead of you trying to figure out the features this is an example

551
00:33:20,630 --> 00:33:23,950
Ejaaz:
of someone figuring out the feature and i'm actually more of an advocate for

552
00:33:23,950 --> 00:33:27,050
Ejaaz:
people to go out and do that but yeah it just occurred to me that i think a

553
00:33:27,050 --> 00:33:29,570
Ejaaz:
lot of people are just going to kind of take the lazy option and just wait for

554
00:33:29,570 --> 00:33:32,950
Ejaaz:
that pre-packaging which isn't a bad thing because there's less security risk

555
00:33:32,950 --> 00:33:35,130
Ejaaz:
it's probably going to be cheaper at that point it's probably going to be a

556
00:33:35,130 --> 00:33:36,230
Ejaaz:
better user experience well

557
00:33:36,230 --> 00:33:39,130
Josh:
It's also like what is the actual delta between the time that

558
00:33:39,130 --> 00:33:42,010
Josh:
early adopters use it versus the time that the general public uses it

559
00:33:42,010 --> 00:33:46,390
Josh:
and it's becoming increasingly small it used to be months to years now it's

560
00:33:46,390 --> 00:33:50,350
Josh:
a matter of days i mean claude bot was exciting because it had access to your

561
00:33:50,350 --> 00:33:54,110
Josh:
iMessage and you could talk with it and now we have a connection and a really

562
00:33:54,110 --> 00:33:57,270
Josh:
cool use case that's built right into your claude desktop app without any of

563
00:33:57,270 --> 00:34:00,850
Josh:
the technical know-how or installation and that was a matter of days the compression

564
00:34:00,850 --> 00:34:01,930
Josh:
is happening very quickly.

565
00:34:01,930 --> 00:34:05,150
Ejaaz:
Yeah i i agree with you on the software front i

566
00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:08,940
Ejaaz:
maybe don't agree if I look at it from an investment angle.

567
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:12,680
Ejaaz:
Because to your earlier point, you knew Tesla was going to be a robot company,

568
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:16,640
Ejaaz:
a humanoid specific company six years ago with that video that you recorded, right?

569
00:34:16,780 --> 00:34:21,400
Ejaaz:
So it's crazy to see how like a lot of these timelines are like collapsing for

570
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:25,520
Ejaaz:
some things, but in other things, they're not. Or maybe it's just lagging. I don't know.

571
00:34:25,720 --> 00:34:28,840
Josh:
I think people mostly understand the trajectory. The question is whether they

572
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:32,600
Josh:
can deliver on that or not. And in the case of Tesla, they have actually delivered on it.

573
00:34:34,100 --> 00:34:37,040
Josh:
In don't have set timelines they don't have set delivery dates

574
00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:40,200
Josh:
it's kind of a fuzzy thing but everyone is generally working towards the same

575
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:43,900
Josh:
goals so what we're seeing is just incremental progress some faster than others

576
00:34:43,900 --> 00:34:47,920
Josh:
um and xai right here is another example of incremental progress that perhaps

577
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:52,260
Josh:
leaves a little bit to be desired here the uh the new grok imagine model ijaz

578
00:34:52,260 --> 00:34:54,780
Josh:
let's talk about this for a sec okay.

579
00:34:54,780 --> 00:34:59,660
Ejaaz:
I'm gonna be honest because i'm a massive elon bull that that is no secret on this show but

580
00:35:00,170 --> 00:35:04,110
Ejaaz:
And the video and image models from Grok, Grok Imagine specifically,

581
00:35:04,410 --> 00:35:06,510
Ejaaz:
have kind of been subpar.

582
00:35:06,750 --> 00:35:11,210
Ejaaz:
Like when I look at like what Mid Journey is putting out, when I look at like

583
00:35:11,210 --> 00:35:14,570
Ejaaz:
what VO3 is putting out, when I look at like what Runway is putting out,

584
00:35:14,830 --> 00:35:21,090
Ejaaz:
there's just a higher quality and definition that Grok just isn't giving me.

585
00:35:21,250 --> 00:35:25,290
Ejaaz:
And that wouldn't even matter because they are, again, like only a two and a half year old startup.

586
00:35:25,490 --> 00:35:28,490
Ejaaz:
But it's the fact that Elon keeps on shilling it like it's the next best

587
00:35:28,490 --> 00:35:31,590
Ejaaz:
thing and i'm like bro it's not right anyway the

588
00:35:31,590 --> 00:35:34,590
Ejaaz:
the news here is we have a new grok imagine

589
00:35:34,590 --> 00:35:37,890
Ejaaz:
api uh which is basically their latest um

590
00:35:37,890 --> 00:35:40,750
Ejaaz:
image or video model and as you can see it is

591
00:35:40,750 --> 00:35:43,730
Ejaaz:
actually quite impressive and i might be being a bit of a brat here because

592
00:35:43,730 --> 00:35:48,470
Ejaaz:
this is uh next level compared to like what we had last year and the cool part

593
00:35:48,470 --> 00:35:52,750
Ejaaz:
is it's cheaper it's quicker to generate um and it's just simply a better model

594
00:35:52,750 --> 00:35:58,630
Ejaaz:
that is available everywhere um whether this inspires me to use it isn't really the point.

595
00:35:58,750 --> 00:36:02,770
Ejaaz:
I'm sure there are people that are involved in video production that will find this way more useful.

596
00:36:03,410 --> 00:36:06,270
Ejaaz:
Well, actually, let me ask you, Josh, as someone that plays around with a lot

597
00:36:06,270 --> 00:36:08,410
Ejaaz:
of this stuff, is this a tool that you would use? Are you impressed by it?

598
00:36:08,830 --> 00:36:12,050
Josh:
No, they didn't need to release this. This didn't need to happen.

599
00:36:12,170 --> 00:36:15,490
Josh:
They could have just shelved this and kept going with Grok 4.2 and then working on Grok 5.

600
00:36:16,110 --> 00:36:19,230
Josh:
Had this been released a year ago, it would have been amazing. It's a great image

601
00:36:19,230 --> 00:36:22,230
Josh:
video generation model uh given today's standards

602
00:36:22,230 --> 00:36:26,270
Josh:
it's not and while it's an improvement for the xai team it is not an actual

603
00:36:26,270 --> 00:36:30,190
Josh:
improvement pushing the frontier of video or photos forward so while i look

604
00:36:30,190 --> 00:36:32,990
Josh:
forward to the next iteration of this as they work towards their game development

605
00:36:32,990 --> 00:36:36,310
Josh:
engine and building these graphics in real time this is kind of an incremental

606
00:36:36,310 --> 00:36:40,010
Josh:
progress update that really didn't need to come out i don't think many people

607
00:36:40,010 --> 00:36:41,410
Josh:
are going to be super excited about this.

608
00:36:41,410 --> 00:36:44,830
Ejaaz:
Well what if i framed it in a different way josh what if i told you that this

609
00:36:44,830 --> 00:36:46,850
Ejaaz:
was actually never meant for video production

610
00:36:47,350 --> 00:36:51,970
Ejaaz:
but rather game development. So one of our predictions at the end of last year

611
00:36:51,970 --> 00:36:55,950
Ejaaz:
was that XAI is going to release one of the best gaming AI models,

612
00:36:56,110 --> 00:36:59,950
Ejaaz:
which will allow for real-time game immersion and gameplay, which is kind of

613
00:36:59,950 --> 00:37:02,290
Ejaaz:
like some of the demos that we're seeing on this video right here.

614
00:37:02,850 --> 00:37:05,730
Ejaaz:
And I'm wondering whether that might be their angle. Maybe they're just not

615
00:37:05,730 --> 00:37:06,910
Ejaaz:
going for video production at all.

616
00:37:07,210 --> 00:37:10,950
Josh:
Yeah, and I suspect that's probably why Elon is abnormally excited about this,

617
00:37:11,030 --> 00:37:14,330
Josh:
because he understands the vision for this and he understands where

618
00:37:14,330 --> 00:37:17,390
Josh:
on the trajectory this incremental like data point falls

619
00:37:17,390 --> 00:37:20,110
Josh:
whereas we're seeing it at face value and being like

620
00:37:20,110 --> 00:37:23,130
Josh:
this isn't that impressive we've seen this before but gaming

621
00:37:23,130 --> 00:37:26,270
Josh:
is certainly where they want to go gaming and animation and graphics and

622
00:37:26,270 --> 00:37:29,310
Josh:
building real-time three-dimensional spaces which are going to compete with

623
00:37:29,310 --> 00:37:33,470
Josh:
google's genie the world building model so i'm looking forward to that war as

624
00:37:33,470 --> 00:37:37,350
Josh:
it comes along because logan kilpatrick from google is actually teasing genie

625
00:37:37,350 --> 00:37:41,010
Josh:
3 this week which hopefully we'll be getting very very soon and we'll have a

626
00:37:41,010 --> 00:37:45,030
Josh:
real comparison of a true frontier your world-building model very soon.

627
00:37:45,610 --> 00:37:50,930
Ejaaz:
Mm-hmm. In other news, we put out an episode earlier this week.

628
00:37:51,070 --> 00:37:55,830
Ejaaz:
I actually think it's our last episode on this new Chinese model, Kimi K 2.5.

629
00:37:56,270 --> 00:38:01,870
Ejaaz:
Now, we're not going to get into it on this episode, but the TLDR is it is a very impressive model.

630
00:38:02,090 --> 00:38:07,370
Ejaaz:
It's 100% free, open source. You can download it, amend the model weights, and run it locally.

631
00:38:07,390 --> 00:38:11,070
Ejaaz:
But it might cost you a few very expensive bits of hardware to be able to do that.

632
00:38:11,270 --> 00:38:14,250
Ejaaz:
But you can access it for free on their website. and the coolest part about

633
00:38:14,250 --> 00:38:18,210
Ejaaz:
it is you can kind of like convert video recordings into live production ready

634
00:38:18,210 --> 00:38:22,870
Ejaaz:
apps but there was an update that we wanted to make based off of this.

635
00:38:23,290 --> 00:38:27,690
Josh:
Yeah so we actually said that it would be immensely difficult to run this locally

636
00:38:27,690 --> 00:38:31,290
Josh:
on a machine because it would have required a tremendous amount of compute and

637
00:38:31,290 --> 00:38:34,410
Josh:
the reality is is that someone actually got this running with far less than we thought.

638
00:38:34,630 --> 00:38:38,650
Josh:
You don't need a couple GB200s or H100s or any cutting-edge NVIDIA technology.

639
00:38:38,930 --> 00:38:43,010
Josh:
This person actually did it with two Macs on his desktop.

640
00:38:43,250 --> 00:38:47,690
Josh:
So he bought two M3 Ultra Mac Studios and strung them together,

641
00:38:47,690 --> 00:38:49,970
Josh:
which costs about $20,000 USD.

642
00:38:50,210 --> 00:38:54,890
Josh:
And he was able to generate 24 tokens per second using these two computers and

643
00:38:54,890 --> 00:38:56,550
Josh:
the new Kimi K 2.5 Pro model.

644
00:38:56,690 --> 00:39:03,870
Josh:
So I think that is a testament to how accessible a model this good is and essentially making it free.

645
00:39:03,990 --> 00:39:07,550
Josh:
So now, it's funny, tying it back to the Tesla autopilot example,

646
00:39:07,730 --> 00:39:12,290
Josh:
where you can buy a license currently for $8,000 and that gives you lifetime

647
00:39:12,290 --> 00:39:16,470
Josh:
free miles, or you can do a subscription for $20,000.

648
00:39:16,470 --> 00:39:21,630
Josh:
Now you can basically get a lifetime membership to pseudo AGI to one of the

649
00:39:21,630 --> 00:39:26,790
Josh:
highest level frontier AI models. And you could run that for free through infinity

650
00:39:26,790 --> 00:39:28,670
Josh:
at the cost of these two localized models.

651
00:39:28,770 --> 00:39:31,710
Josh:
And I think that's a really impressive and fun breakthrough where, I mean,

652
00:39:31,890 --> 00:39:35,270
Josh:
assumedly the server costs to run this would be significantly lower and you

653
00:39:35,270 --> 00:39:38,190
Josh:
could just run these open source models now that are very much at the frontier

654
00:39:38,190 --> 00:39:43,270
Josh:
for a very reasonable cost relative to what some people are paying to use like

655
00:39:43,270 --> 00:39:48,110
Josh:
an API like Opus 4.5 which is charging you $25 per million tokens.

656
00:39:48,730 --> 00:39:53,690
Ejaaz:
Yeah, I mean, the funniest part about this model release has got nothing to

657
00:39:53,690 --> 00:39:58,350
Ejaaz:
do with the model, but the fact that you can never rest easy because your competition

658
00:39:58,350 --> 00:40:00,070
Ejaaz:
is always cooking up something better.

659
00:40:00,270 --> 00:40:04,290
Ejaaz:
And literally within hours after recording that episode of Kimi K2,

660
00:40:04,390 --> 00:40:09,130
Ejaaz:
Google pretty much announced an identical copy or functionality where they can

661
00:40:09,130 --> 00:40:10,990
Ejaaz:
turn, they call it agentic vision,

662
00:40:11,330 --> 00:40:15,650
Ejaaz:
but they can turn any screen recording into a production ready application.

663
00:40:15,650 --> 00:40:20,130
Ejaaz:
Now, they don't state that specifically on here, but that's technically what it should be able to do.

664
00:40:20,650 --> 00:40:26,490
Ejaaz:
And it just is a testament to how quickly and almost synchronously these AI

665
00:40:26,490 --> 00:40:27,550
Ejaaz:
labs are working together.

666
00:40:27,690 --> 00:40:32,030
Ejaaz:
Now, in my opinion, it's more impressive for the Kimi K2.5 team,

667
00:40:32,170 --> 00:40:35,230
Ejaaz:
the Moonshot Labs team, because they have less infrastructure.

668
00:40:35,410 --> 00:40:37,930
Ejaaz:
Although someone made the point in our episode in the comments,

669
00:40:38,050 --> 00:40:41,130
Ejaaz:
Josh, I don't know if you saw this, that they have a much, much cheaper energy.

670
00:40:41,250 --> 00:40:45,070
Ejaaz:
So I don't know how that translates necessarily. Maybe they just run these servers

671
00:40:45,070 --> 00:40:48,530
Ejaaz:
for way, way longer and it just costs them less. So it kind of like matches out.

672
00:40:48,650 --> 00:40:52,690
Ejaaz:
But it's interesting that the open source teams and the centralized teams are

673
00:40:52,690 --> 00:40:54,450
Ejaaz:
kind of like moving at parity right now.

674
00:40:54,570 --> 00:40:57,030
Ejaaz:
It's cool that the open source teams have even caught up. But yeah,

675
00:40:57,190 --> 00:41:01,390
Ejaaz:
Google's come up with the same thing if you want to try it and use a Western AI lab product.

676
00:41:01,750 --> 00:41:06,870
Josh:
It's amazing how quick they were to respond. And also that comment is very correct.

677
00:41:07,710 --> 00:41:10,970
Josh:
Chinese electricity costs significantly less than the US electricity does because

678
00:41:10,970 --> 00:41:15,430
Josh:
they have so much more of it. So the cost per token, the cost to train these

679
00:41:15,430 --> 00:41:19,850
Josh:
models is significantly lower because of that cost per kilowatt as it relates

680
00:41:19,850 --> 00:41:21,950
Josh:
to just generating all of this energy.

681
00:41:22,290 --> 00:41:28,090
Josh:
Yeah, yeah. But really nice reply from the commenter, but also Google in a matter of seemingly days.

682
00:41:28,230 --> 00:41:31,790
Josh:
It feels like they had this ready to go and they were like, oh,

683
00:41:31,930 --> 00:41:35,330
Josh:
all right. Well, I guess we should probably just release this now because Kimmy did something similar.

684
00:41:35,490 --> 00:41:37,910
Josh:
And now here we are. Agentic vision for all.

685
00:41:38,640 --> 00:41:45,740
Ejaaz:
Well, if Moonshot AI, KimiK 2.5, is the model example of spending your resources widely,

686
00:41:46,380 --> 00:41:51,620
Ejaaz:
OpenAI probably needs to be on the opposite end of that spectrum with the breaking

687
00:41:51,620 --> 00:41:55,920
Ejaaz:
news that they are raising a $100 billion round,

688
00:41:56,240 --> 00:42:01,600
Ejaaz:
which is just gargantuan, to value them at around $730 billion.

689
00:42:01,740 --> 00:42:03,840
Ejaaz:
I've seen $850 as well.

690
00:42:04,740 --> 00:42:09,780
Ejaaz:
I can only imagine that they are raising this amount of money to blow it all

691
00:42:09,780 --> 00:42:15,140
Ejaaz:
on training various different models, not just one model, or to kind of build

692
00:42:15,140 --> 00:42:18,400
Ejaaz:
out a new social network that we saw on the timeline.

693
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:21,300
Ejaaz:
Apparently, they're building that and their hardware device.

694
00:42:21,420 --> 00:42:24,840
Ejaaz:
And what else am I missing, Josh? We've got the Sora TikTok app competitor.

695
00:42:25,180 --> 00:42:28,680
Ejaaz:
It just seems like at this point, and I know this might be a negative take,

696
00:42:29,140 --> 00:42:33,180
Ejaaz:
they've been raising so much money and endlessly blowing it on myriad different

697
00:42:33,180 --> 00:42:34,900
Ejaaz:
things. so they're spreading themselves very thin.

698
00:42:35,240 --> 00:42:38,700
Ejaaz:
This doesn't signal confidence to me, actually. It actually signals that they

699
00:42:38,700 --> 00:42:40,920
Ejaaz:
are kind of being reckless at this point.

700
00:42:41,300 --> 00:42:44,880
Josh:
Yeah, it's probably helpful to look at past fundraising history to get a better

701
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:49,600
Josh:
perspective of how much money this actually is in a way that feels almost existential.

702
00:42:49,820 --> 00:42:52,900
Josh:
There's so many vested interests in OpenAI succeeding.

703
00:42:53,060 --> 00:42:56,760
Josh:
If they don't, what does that look like for the rest of the industry?

704
00:42:56,900 --> 00:42:59,540
Josh:
That's an important question to just kind of sit on for a little bit.

705
00:42:59,660 --> 00:43:03,940
Josh:
But if you go back to the funding rounds, even April 2023, they were raising still in the millions.

706
00:43:04,120 --> 00:43:08,320
Josh:
They raised $300 million at a $27 billion valuation. Then in October 2024,

707
00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:14,340
Josh:
they raised 20 times that, $6.6 billion at $157 billion valuation.

708
00:43:14,620 --> 00:43:21,620
Josh:
And now they're raising eight times that at $40 billion at a $300 billion post-money valuation.

709
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:24,540
Josh:
Now, this is interesting because Ejaz, earlier in the episode,

710
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:30,100
Josh:
we mentioned SpaceX was looking to raise $50 billion at about a $1.5 trillion

711
00:43:30,100 --> 00:43:34,000
Josh:
valuation. So they're raising 20% more.

712
00:43:34,500 --> 00:43:37,480
Josh:
At 500% the market cap.

713
00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:42,020
Josh:
And we're starting to see like OpenAI is giving up a lot of equity here.

714
00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:45,860
Josh:
They're really giving a lot of vested and controlled interest to a lot of companies

715
00:43:45,860 --> 00:43:47,880
Josh:
that may not want that liability.

716
00:43:48,080 --> 00:43:52,800
Josh:
And I wonder if this is a strategy in where he's trying to, Sam and the OpenAI

717
00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:56,700
Josh:
team are just trying to get as many vested interests as possible in their success

718
00:43:56,700 --> 00:43:58,900
Josh:
in a way that they become too big to fail.

719
00:43:59,060 --> 00:44:02,040
Josh:
Where so many people have so much money tied up in this thing that they own

720
00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:07,840
Josh:
a lot of, that they are forced to give whatever it takes to make this work because

721
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:11,540
Josh:
the downside effect impacts the entire industry in such a large way.

722
00:44:11,780 --> 00:44:14,620
Josh:
And I can't help but read these headlines and not think that.

723
00:44:14,940 --> 00:44:17,460
Josh:
I mean, this is just outrageous. They have a tremendous amount of debt.

724
00:44:17,580 --> 00:44:20,880
Josh:
They haven't made a single profit. They're trying all these things like ads.

725
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:22,180
Josh:
They're trying to take revenue cuts.

726
00:44:22,340 --> 00:44:25,000
Josh:
They're trying social media things, seeing what sticks.

727
00:44:25,180 --> 00:44:27,660
Josh:
And it's giving it's giving desperate vibes.

728
00:44:27,660 --> 00:44:30,780
Ejaaz:
Yeah i mean i have a simple take

729
00:44:30,780 --> 00:44:34,320
Ejaaz:
which is uh they are on track to make and

730
00:44:34,320 --> 00:44:37,440
Ejaaz:
also burn 20 billion dollars of capex

731
00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:40,480
Ejaaz:
this year i think they need someone to foot the bill uh

732
00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:44,660
Ejaaz:
to also spin up a bunch of the compute data centers 1.4 trillion dollars worth

733
00:44:44,660 --> 00:44:49,760
Ejaaz:
um over the next three years and i think they're panicking that they didn't

734
00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:53,540
Ejaaz:
spend enough time and resources on building out a better coding model to compete

735
00:44:53,540 --> 00:44:56,480
Ejaaz:
with anthropic which is kind of taking over all of enterprise and eating out

736
00:44:56,480 --> 00:44:57,480
Ejaaz:
their market share right now.

737
00:44:58,060 --> 00:45:01,400
Ejaaz:
And Neil's is spending it on other stuff like social media apps and stuff like that.

738
00:45:02,170 --> 00:45:05,610
Ejaaz:
Uh, my take is, listen, I hope they raise the round. Good for them.

739
00:45:05,870 --> 00:45:10,410
Ejaaz:
Uh, but I don't trust Sam and the team to spend it wisely for now.

740
00:45:10,490 --> 00:45:12,430
Ejaaz:
And that might be super bearish take.

741
00:45:12,590 --> 00:45:15,750
Ejaaz:
I'm willing to be proven wrong, but that's just where my head's at.

742
00:45:16,170 --> 00:45:18,730
Josh:
Well, I feel like we have to root for them because we have no choice.

743
00:45:18,890 --> 00:45:24,090
Josh:
If OpenAI goes down, so does everything with it. So we're rooting for you, Sam and the OpenAI team.

744
00:45:24,250 --> 00:45:27,410
Josh:
I hope everything works. I hope this money goes to good use.

745
00:45:27,630 --> 00:45:32,590
Josh:
And I think that probably wraps up our roundup for this week. of all the top news in AI.

746
00:45:32,870 --> 00:45:36,510
Josh:
As you enter the weekend, you can now feel properly satiated that you are fully

747
00:45:36,510 --> 00:45:40,210
Josh:
up to date and aware of all the hottest news that you needed to this week.

748
00:45:40,350 --> 00:45:43,570
Josh:
We released a few pretty great episodes. They're doing really well on Kimmy

749
00:45:43,570 --> 00:45:46,490
Josh:
K2 and Claudebot. So if you haven't had a chance to go listen to those,

750
00:45:46,850 --> 00:45:48,090
Josh:
please go and check them out.

751
00:45:48,270 --> 00:45:53,370
Josh:
The ask for you perhaps this week is to try out the Gemini Chrome extension

752
00:45:53,370 --> 00:45:56,550
Josh:
situation and use it to subscribe to our podcast.

753
00:45:56,690 --> 00:45:59,650
Josh:
That's like a fun little demo. You can say, hey, subscribe to my favorite new

754
00:45:59,650 --> 00:46:03,250
Josh:
AI in Frontier Technology podcast, and it will actually go and click the button for you.

755
00:46:03,510 --> 00:46:07,470
Josh:
And then if you go on Claude and you connect your iMessage, you could ask it,

756
00:46:07,890 --> 00:46:11,090
Josh:
send the Limitless podcast to 10 of my best friends and figure out which are

757
00:46:11,090 --> 00:46:13,930
Josh:
my 10 best friends who would be most interested and share the link with them.

758
00:46:14,050 --> 00:46:17,190
Josh:
And I think these are really great use cases that you can try. And then get it to spin.

759
00:46:17,190 --> 00:46:20,710
Ejaaz:
Up a number of other Google accounts and do the exact same thing,

760
00:46:20,830 --> 00:46:22,910
Ejaaz:
right, Josh? Let's just create an entire platform.

761
00:46:23,350 --> 00:46:26,070
Josh:
Exactly. But I mean, this is a bit of a longer episode. So if you made it this

762
00:46:26,070 --> 00:46:28,690
Josh:
long, thank you so much. These are the real ones that are still here at the end.

763
00:46:28,970 --> 00:46:31,710
Josh:
Thank you for listening. We will be back again next week with plenty of new

764
00:46:31,710 --> 00:46:35,290
Josh:
episodes, lots of new news to cover, and a lot of exciting topics that we will

765
00:46:35,290 --> 00:46:38,490
Josh:
keep on keeping you up to date with. So thank you for watching,

766
00:46:38,550 --> 00:46:39,490
Josh:
and we'll see you guys next week.

767
00:46:40,050 --> 00:46:40,610
Ejaaz:
See you guys.