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Strategy can survive a Bitcoin crash but a rally might bankrupt it.
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Wall Street has MicroStrategy down ~80% and calls it the next Ponzi. But the numbers tell another story: the famous "42% discount" is just leverage, not distrust in Bitcoin — no creditor can force a margin call, and the treasury covers ~30 years of dividends. The real risk is a two-sided vise: if Bitcoin stays low the issuance engine stalls, but if it rises too fast a cash tax hits paper gains it never realized. MicroStrategy has to thread a narrow corridor of price and time. The market is pricing the fear of hitting the walls, not the odds of crossing.