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This file was generated by Descript 

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A key component of the modern
world economy, the chemical

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industry delivers products and
innovations to enhance everyday life.

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It is also an industry in transformation
where chemical executives and

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workers are delivering growth and
industry changing advancements while

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responding to pressures from investors,
regulators, and public opinion.

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Discover how leading companies
are approaching these challenges

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here on the chemical show.

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Join Victoria Meyer, president
of Progressio Global and

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host of the chemical show.

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As she speaks with executives across the
industry and learns how they are leading

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their companies to grow, transform, and
push industry boundaries on all frontiers.

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Here's your host, Victoria Meyer.

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Victoria: Hi, this is Victoria Meyer.

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Welcome back to The Chemical Show
where chemicals means business.

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Today I am speaking with Kevin Yttre,
who is the President and Managing

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Director at Grace Matthews, which is
an investment bank serving companies in

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the chemicals and materials value chain.

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So we're going to be wrapping up 2024
with a view on M&A markets and activity

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for chemicals, and materials companies.

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You may recall that Kevin was a guest
on episode one of six in June of 2023.

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We are going to be
linking to that episode.

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so you can hear what was going
on in markets at that time

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versus where we are today.

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And I know that Kevin's also going to
be referencing Grace Matthews, most

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recent newsletter, and I'll include
the link to that in show notes.

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Cause that has some great insights
about, How you might be thinking

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about the world of M&A and how,
and strategies for M&A success.

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So we'll be linking to that.

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Kevin, welcome to The Chemical Show.

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Kevin: Thank you very much, Victoria.

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Grateful to be here.

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Victoria: Thank you for
joining me once again.

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as we get started, can you just
give us a brief introduction

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to you and to Grace Matthews?

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Kevin: Yeah, first, can I
just say this in that intro?

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I didn't actually go back and listen
to the June podcast from 2023,

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so I'm a bit nervous right now.

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Victoria: I didn't.

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How about this?

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I did not either, but knowing
you, Kevin, I know it's

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Kevin: I'm

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hoping there's consistency.

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I'm hoping there's consistency.

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How's that?

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Victoria, I have spent my entire
professional career in and around

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the chemical industry, and first
that was in more operating roles and

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then transitioning into financial
services about 17 years ago.

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So I've been doing all M&A
work And, material science and

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chemicals for that time period.

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And we as an organization, everything
we do, as you mentioned in the

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intro is really in this value chain.

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And just to give you some metrics on
us, we have 20 people here in Milwaukee,

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Wisconsin, and 2024, for example, we
were fortunate to have advised on 11

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closings, a 12th that had a
signed purchase agreement on.

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we closed 10, 10 deals.

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so feel, very positive
momentum going into 2025.

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And, most of our work is on the sell side.

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And when you look at that, it's a
pretty uniform mix of private companies,

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corporate carve outs and also working
with private equity funds when they're

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ready to realize an exit and, and the
balance of our work, which is a smaller

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portion of our practices on the buy side.

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I think you've heard me say this
before, but the vast majority of what

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we work on are transactions that are
below 500 million in enterprise value.

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Some people call that lower middle
market or middle market, but that's

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really where we spend all of our time.

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Victoria: Yeah.

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And that makes sense.

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And when I think about the industry
most broadly on a 80 20 basis,

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probably 80 percent of the industry
is in that, valuation zone.

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Kevin: Yep.

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I think that's right.

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I think that's right.

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Victoria: Awesome.

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So as we're wrapping up the
year, what are your observations

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or assessments on chemicals and
materials M&A activity in 24?

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Kevin: Yeah.

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I think, so first let me just say this.

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I think forward looking, I think there's
a lot of optimism going into 2025, just in

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terms of M&A activity in the value chain.

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if you take a step back for a
second, and this is where I was

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joking about the 2023 podcast.

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I hope this is what I
was saying at that time.

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But, if you recall me all the
dynamics that led to, to supply

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chain challenges and issues in the
22, 23 timeframe, 21 timeframe,

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you saw a lot of companies have.

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Have record years in 2022 and, that
destocking element of things started

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to seem to hit people in Q4 of 2022.

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And depending on where you were in
the value chain, it rippled through

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all of 2023 and hit different
organizations at different times.

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And I think what that did, was
very much create a situation where.

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Forecasting or projecting a
business became really challenging.

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And we, had instances, and I'm sure
you've had people, on your podcast,

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Victoria, that would say they
have a customer telling us they're

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taking four tank wagons this month.

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And then they call us the
next day and say, it's one.

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And they call us the next day
and say, actually, we need three.

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and I think, it's just like the industry
standard in transcactions to talk

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in terms of EBITDA multiples, but.

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When you think of it this way, and I know
we'll talk about valuation of it, but a

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buyer is always buying the future, right?

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And, when you talk in terms of a
multiple, typically when you think of

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that, it's you're taking the enterprise
value compared to the most recent 12

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months of the company's performance.

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that 12 months is usually the
best indicator of the future.

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And that's what started to decouple
is if you go back and you look at all,

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all kinds of articles that we would
have been a part of, or presentations

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we gave, it was all about run rate
sustainability or sustainability and

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preparing, if you're going to go to
market to be able to articulate why

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your run rate was going to hold.

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And I think what's changed in 2024 is you
have seen companies, be able to better

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predict how they're going to perform.

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And that was a challenge in 23.

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And I think as a result, you've
seen deal activity really pick

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up in the back half of this year.

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So you look at deal counts and I know you
referenced our newsletter, but if you go

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look, we have a chart in there that, that
shows kind of deal counts, not overall

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enterprise value, just number of deals.

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And you saw a step back in 23,
and really stepped back up in 24.

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And a lot of that step up in my view
is really linked to that dynamic of

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better predictability of earnings.

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And it puts that buyer and
seller in the safe spot.

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and I know, the funny part about
that is we'd have people in 23 go, I

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bet this means valuations are down.

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And we respond going, you like,
rationally, you'd think that a lot

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of those deals just didn't happen.

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And so if companies that performed
really well in 2023, the resiliency

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that they would have shown, we
actually saw values probably higher,

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that whole flight to quality concept.

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I think the whole like multiples
equation that I'm sure we'll talk

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about, I think is also improved here,
but really I think that's the dynamic.

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If you were to say status of
today versus, versus 2023.

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Victoria: Yeah.

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And that makes sense.

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Cause from a business value perspective,
just on a holistic basic and I'll let you

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get into some of that, but, steady state,
is always easier to understand, interpret

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and apply value to, and easier to buy.

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Because you, as a company that is
potentially buying another company

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or a business, it's easier to know
what you're getting, and surprises

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don't make anyone happy usually.

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Kevin: Yeah.

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We, have a saying in our office that
surprises are only fun on your birthday.

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So you don't, you don't want
that in an M&A discussion.

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But no, I think you're exactly right.

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Having the ability to predict more
of a steady state performance is,

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really key to success in a deal.

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Victoria: Yeah.

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Awesome.

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So let's talk about valuation.

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Yeah.

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What are the current, where are we at?

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How about that?

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I'll just leave that more broadly is
what's the current status evaluations?

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Because to your point everybody wants to
know, you know How do I value my business?

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What markers can I use?

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What are you seeing in the
world evaluations today?

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Kevin: Yeah, and so first and I know
I've said this to you privately before,

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we get really sensitive using multiples
because they're so easy to manipulate.

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And you really got to get very granular
and specific to a particular company

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situation to really assess that.

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But I think, and this is in our
newsletter as well, if you look at, yeah.

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We track an index of 100 public,
materials and chemicals companies, and

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it's a very diverse mix of companies.

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This is like Ecolab and Dow
and Sherwin Williams and PPG.

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it's very, diverse and you look at,
where their public trading multiple

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is over a 10 year time period.

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That is, is right around 11.3 times.

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So over the past 10 years, this index
has been, has traded at 11.3 times, which

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basically means you can buy that index.

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If you could sell it tomorrow,
right now in December of 2024.

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The average for that index is almost
identical to the 10 year average.

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And so in, in my view, I would take
that to read a, that means it's a

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pretty healthy market right now.

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And, I think that's where some of that
optimism is that I was talking about

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is, I don't think people always want
to believe they can time the market

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and go, should I sell when multiples
are really high or when they're like,

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I don't think that's clearly possible,
but I think it's a pretty healthy time.

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Now, I think.

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The, real area of how you drive
higher multiples for a company.

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And this is in that category.

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If, you rewind the clock to almost
a year ago today, I think you would

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have heard people say, I can't
wait until 2023 is over and 2024

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is going to be so much better.

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And.

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I think 24 was probably
okay for a lot of companies.

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More predictable, but just okay.

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And I think everyone wanted to believe
it was going to be a really good

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year and I think it was just okay.

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People are saying the same
things right now about 2025, and

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it's probably a little bit more
believable than it was a year ago.

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And, I think the key to really
having that valuation driver

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be there is volume growth.

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That's an area where, you know, again,
I think go back to all that supply

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chain stuff and margins moving all
over the place, we've definitely seen.

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Very well run companies do very well
from a profitability standpoint.

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And that, that, in my view,
should command value alone.

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But showing the ability to organically
grow volumes has been a little bit

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hard in the past 18 months, two years.

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And showing that is really, in
my view, where you're going to

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start seeing values move back up.

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So healthy market, I think really
to command a bit more of a premium,

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it's getting volume growth going.

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Victoria: Yeah.

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And that's a good perspective.

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And I think you're right.

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People would say 2024 was Okay.

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depending on where you sit in the market.

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second half was not as good as people
would have wanted it to be, but it all,

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it's very market specific and use market
specific and geography specific, right?

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which probably is of no surprise to you.

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Kevin: Yep.

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No, I think that's right.

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I think that's right.

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Victoria: Yeah.

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Awesome.

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And so when we think about, Maybe
just the competitive landscape.

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Are you seeing more or less activity,
whether it be from private equity, we

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talked prior to the call about, private
equity, there had been quite a discussion

00:11:43.403 --> 00:11:45.753
about having a lot of dry powder, right?

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Is that the phrase?

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and capital ready to deploy.

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Are you still seeing that?

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Is there a lot of capital to deploy?

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Does that generate more activity?

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How does that translate?

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Yeah.

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Kevin: Yeah, I saw.

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let me maybe just say a few things and if
I can start with just this time of year.

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So if you think December and January,
it's not uncommon that we will have phone

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calls with different organizations just
to kind Hey, how's the year going for you?

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And what are you looking at?

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How's your M&A priorities?

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And the same in January when you start
a new year, it's, hey, let's talk

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about what your goals are for the year.

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And so this isn't a private
equity centric comment.

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It's more a, in 2024, we had,
I think it's six or seven

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international companies come, to us.

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And instead of just give us an update
on this is where we want to deploy

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resources from an M&A standpoint,
literally walk us through almost

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like a two hour presentation of,
Here is our whole M&A strategy.

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And we're very keen on building a
stronger presence in North America.

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And some even came to Milwaukee
to visit us and walk through

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Victoria: Wow.

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Kevin: And so when that competitive
landscape question you ask, I go, I

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think you can read economists suggest
that there's a lot of desire to

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deploy resources in North America.

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I feel like we're feeling that a bit.

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So I, think you do have a little
bit more of an international poll

00:13:10.770 --> 00:13:13.160
to try and deploy resources  here.

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So that is one element of a competitive
dynamic of, I just think there's more

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buyers in that bucket, I think from
private equity, we have a chart that

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we used in a presentation that shows
the number of equity funds has more

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than doubled in the past 10 years.

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And that's just, a generic, the number of
funds have doubled in the past 10 years.

00:13:33.595 --> 00:13:37.685
I think those interested in the
chemical industry have probably tripled

00:13:37.685 --> 00:13:39.715
or quadrupled in the past 10 years.

00:13:39.765 --> 00:13:43.235
And that doesn't necessarily
mean heavy reactive chemistries.

00:13:43.265 --> 00:13:48.285
It may be things like service oriented
water treatment or distribution

00:13:48.305 --> 00:13:53.174
type businesses, or things like food
ingredients or flavor that there's no,

00:13:54.098 --> 00:13:54.658
Victoria: Yeah.

00:13:54.728 --> 00:13:54.978
Why,

00:13:55.380 --> 00:13:55.590
Kevin: And

00:13:55.688 --> 00:13:57.238
Victoria: do you think that is?

00:13:57.508 --> 00:13:59.918
Why is there a bigger interest potentially

00:14:00.698 --> 00:14:01.498
in chemicals?

00:14:01.510 --> 00:14:03.450
Kevin: I think it's a
really good question.

00:14:03.610 --> 00:14:07.200
And I think there's probably
multiple answers to it.

00:14:07.280 --> 00:14:11.250
One of those, I think, is truly
because people have seen other

00:14:11.250 --> 00:14:13.370
funds have success in the sector.

00:14:13.920 --> 00:14:17.830
and, there's a lot of smart people
that work in private equity.

00:14:17.970 --> 00:14:22.915
And when you see someone have success
Deploying resources and building, building

00:14:22.915 --> 00:14:25.565
a business and a successful exit with it.

00:14:25.955 --> 00:14:29.145
I think you get people who
follow suit and I think that

00:14:29.145 --> 00:14:30.505
is, really driving some of it.

00:14:30.565 --> 00:14:36.855
And, and I think, over time, I think it
used to be really hard a long time ago to

00:14:36.865 --> 00:14:41.215
get your head around and, Environmental
dynamics, union exposure, commodity

00:14:41.215 --> 00:14:44.275
risk, and I think you've just gotten
people who have gotten far, better on

00:14:44.275 --> 00:14:46.145
how to manage that in a transaction.

00:14:46.145 --> 00:14:49.495
And so that just, again, has led to
successful investments, which other

00:14:49.495 --> 00:14:51.435
people see and they try to replicate.

00:14:51.435 --> 00:14:55.445
But truly though, if you go back to
your original question, Victoria, you're

00:14:55.455 --> 00:14:59.715
seeing a lot more activity from private
equity interest in the space and that

00:14:59.715 --> 00:15:03.315
does not mean a hundred percent of their
resources are going to be invested here.

00:15:03.315 --> 00:15:04.805
It's probably a portion of their capital.

00:15:05.530 --> 00:15:12.090
And I think some estimates right
now are maybe 100 or 150 businesses

00:15:12.090 --> 00:15:14.510
are owned by private equity funds.

00:15:14.510 --> 00:15:16.810
And a lot of those have buy
and build strategies with them.

00:15:16.820 --> 00:15:21.540
So I think that competitive landscape
question of you have international buyers

00:15:21.540 --> 00:15:24.990
who have an interest here, you're seeing
more and more private equity funds who

00:15:25.000 --> 00:15:26.710
have an interest to invest capital.

00:15:26.710 --> 00:15:30.920
You see The platform portfolio
companies try and buy and build.

00:15:31.340 --> 00:15:34.050
That's not even talking about
like the traditional strategic.

00:15:34.530 --> 00:15:37.950
And so I think it is a far
more competitive environment

00:15:38.810 --> 00:15:40.150
than you've seen in the past.

00:15:41.051 --> 00:15:44.091
You would intuitively you think,
that should make it a little

00:15:44.091 --> 00:15:46.051
bit easier to sell a company.

00:15:46.306 --> 00:15:49.216
I don't necessarily think
that is accurate as well.

00:15:49.296 --> 00:15:52.136
I think buyers clearly
recognize how competitive it is.

00:15:52.476 --> 00:15:56.786
and I think if they don't have a
strong angle, they don't lean in hard.

00:15:56.786 --> 00:16:01.605
And so I think we have seen on deals that
we've worked on where 10 years ago we

00:16:01.605 --> 00:16:04.226
might have gotten 30 bids for a company.

00:16:04.621 --> 00:16:07.331
The number of bids come down,
but the quality of those

00:16:07.391 --> 00:16:08.861
bids, I think, tends to go up.

00:16:08.948 --> 00:16:09.318
Victoria: Yeah.

00:16:09.539 --> 00:16:11.059
So I want to come back on that point.

00:16:11.118 --> 00:16:16.058
But the point that strikes me is that
if there are more companies interested

00:16:16.068 --> 00:16:18.178
in doing deals in North America.

00:16:19.139 --> 00:16:22.619
That to me says the price,
the prices would go up.

00:16:23.679 --> 00:16:25.839
Is that a fair assessment to you?

00:16:26.339 --> 00:16:29.529
And yet your multiples you're
saying are comparable to where

00:16:29.529 --> 00:16:31.248
they were from a 10 year average.

00:16:31.248 --> 00:16:33.449
So that doesn't necessarily jive for me.

00:16:34.051 --> 00:16:34.271
Kevin: yeah.

00:16:34.271 --> 00:16:39.311
I think, again, that multiples over a
10 year period is pretty diversified.

00:16:39.311 --> 00:16:42.790
So you're including a whole mix
of different commodity companies

00:16:42.820 --> 00:16:44.421
and highly formulated things.

00:16:44.421 --> 00:16:47.371
And so I, I think that
index to me is more just.

00:16:47.826 --> 00:16:52.716
The health of where things are let alone
like a specific multiple I think if you

00:16:52.716 --> 00:16:57.086
do look over time You will definitely see
multiples just moving up and that whole

00:16:57.116 --> 00:17:02.315
asset inflation dynamic that's happened in
every type of industry It has definitely

00:17:02.315 --> 00:17:07.515
shown itself But I think if you go look
in and again, I don't want to continue

00:17:07.515 --> 00:17:11.400
to plug our newsletter But if you go look
at the deal counts that I was talking

00:17:11.400 --> 00:17:16.160
about before, it's not like there's
that many more deals that are happening.

00:17:16.160 --> 00:17:19.660
So 2024 there, it was a very
good year in the number of deals.

00:17:20.390 --> 00:17:23.050
It's about the same as
what it was in 2021.

00:17:23.050 --> 00:17:25.980
And what everyone thinks was a
crazy M&A environment, which was

00:17:25.980 --> 00:17:29.635
about the same as, 2018 and 2019.

00:17:29.655 --> 00:17:33.065
So there's really not that many
more deals and there's more and

00:17:33.065 --> 00:17:34.285
more people who are interested.

00:17:34.285 --> 00:17:38.345
So I think it does create a
dynamic of it's probably a

00:17:38.345 --> 00:17:41.115
healthier valuation environment.

00:17:41.155 --> 00:17:46.591
But again, I, think, go back to
my statement about the, It doesn't

00:17:46.621 --> 00:17:49.361
necessarily mean that it's easier
to get through a deal, right?

00:17:49.711 --> 00:17:52.591
And I know some of the questions
you wanted to go through are what

00:17:52.591 --> 00:17:53.971
advice you're giving clients today.

00:17:54.661 --> 00:17:58.071
every year since I have been doing this
and I wouldn't say it's like a magical

00:17:58.430 --> 00:18:03.830
January one thing, like diligence,
scrutiny just seems to get harder

00:18:03.831 --> 00:18:08.911
and harder and harder and so I think
we're a broken record all the time of

00:18:08.941 --> 00:18:12.121
you need to be prepared, you need to
be prepared, you need to be prepared.

00:18:12.716 --> 00:18:14.856
I think take how competitive that is.

00:18:14.856 --> 00:18:18.846
If someone does get pushed to the edge
of what they can pay for something

00:18:18.846 --> 00:18:25.135
to be successful in a competitive M&A
process, they don't want to be exposed

00:18:25.136 --> 00:18:26.466
to any risks they don't know about.

00:18:26.466 --> 00:18:29.435
And that just leads to
incredible diligence scrutiny.

00:18:29.435 --> 00:18:32.536
And that is, again, I don't think
it's ever going the other direction.

00:18:32.536 --> 00:18:36.616
I think diligence is going to continue
to ramp up and, it's crippling at

00:18:36.616 --> 00:18:36.916
Victoria: times.

00:18:36.916 --> 00:18:39.879
Yeah, well, and I think it's a
function of where we are from a

00:18:39.879 --> 00:18:42.089
risk and sophistication perspective,

00:18:42.089 --> 00:18:42.319
right?

00:18:42.329 --> 00:18:47.219
So I, look at it even from my experience
working at Shell and clearance and stuff.

00:18:47.229 --> 00:18:50.599
And I remember at one point having
conversations of, when we started

00:18:50.599 --> 00:18:56.339
up some of these plants that were
brand new in the, 60s, 70s, 80s,

00:18:57.009 --> 00:18:58.349
we were comfortable with learning.

00:18:58.899 --> 00:19:03.579
and yet today in a more sophisticated
Environment you want to start up and

00:19:03.579 --> 00:19:08.389
you want to start up and have 95 percent
operating rates and know exactly what

00:19:08.389 --> 00:19:10.569
you're doing So I think these parallels

00:19:10.596 --> 00:19:11.876
Kevin: And that's never
going to happen, by the way,

00:19:11.944 --> 00:19:12.704
Victoria: that's never gonna happen.

00:19:12.924 --> 00:19:13.544
No, But

00:19:13.816 --> 00:19:14.636
Kevin: it's what you want.

00:19:14.764 --> 00:19:16.564
Victoria: yeah, they
translate everywhere though.

00:19:16.574 --> 00:19:18.564
Everybody's a little
bit more sophisticated.

00:19:18.914 --> 00:19:22.664
They want more certainty and that
certainty leads to more diligence.

00:19:23.404 --> 00:19:29.449
So you started talking about the fact
that there's actually fewer bids per

00:19:29.449 --> 00:19:33.959
deal, which maybe is contrary to the
idea that there's a lot more people

00:19:33.969 --> 00:19:37.549
looking to, to enter the market to
make deals in the North America.

00:19:38.589 --> 00:19:41.509
and yet it probably balances with
these diligence requirements.

00:19:41.509 --> 00:19:42.609
Can you touch on that?

00:19:42.996 --> 00:19:48.326
Kevin: Yeah, I don't think the fewer
is more the again, I'm going to use

00:19:48.386 --> 00:19:50.236
our terms and this is internal data.

00:19:50.246 --> 00:19:53.466
So I'm sure you could talk to someone else
and they give you a different perspective

00:19:53.466 --> 00:19:54.876
and they go, No, we're getting more bids.

00:19:55.306 --> 00:19:59.401
I just think it felt like 10 years
ago, if we were going to market with a

00:19:59.401 --> 00:20:02.921
company, you receive a fair number of
bids that were, I'm going to put in the

00:20:02.921 --> 00:20:05.631
category of kick the tires type of thing.

00:20:05.631 --> 00:20:08.381
And let's see if we throw something
out there and we'll stick.

00:20:08.931 --> 00:20:11.741
I just think buyers are
smart enough now to go.

00:20:11.771 --> 00:20:15.141
It is that competitive of an
environment that trying to do

00:20:15.141 --> 00:20:16.741
that is not a good use of time.

00:20:16.741 --> 00:20:20.651
And I think really it comes
down to, do I have an angle?

00:20:20.806 --> 00:20:24.516
Do I really believe I'm the
best owner of this company?

00:20:24.516 --> 00:20:26.496
And if I am, I'm going to lean in.

00:20:26.496 --> 00:20:29.296
I wouldn't quantify exactly
how many are in the fewer.

00:20:29.296 --> 00:20:32.566
I just think you're starting to
see dynamics where, at least on our

00:20:32.566 --> 00:20:35.906
projects, where when we do receive
bids, they're, one more thought out.

00:20:36.444 --> 00:20:39.984
Victoria: and then does that imply that
these are, these buyers tend to be far

00:20:39.984 --> 00:20:47.314
more strategic versus I, I guess I, my
naive view of the world says, I think

00:20:47.314 --> 00:20:51.534
of PE perhaps as being less strategic,
although I know that they would argue that

00:20:51.534 --> 00:20:55.884
they're very strategic and I, get all that
versus somebody that says, Oh no, I want

00:20:55.884 --> 00:21:00.164
to go and get that asset because it's a
perfect fit for the rest of my portfolio.

00:21:00.504 --> 00:21:01.874
How do you see that playing?

00:21:02.856 --> 00:21:04.866
Kevin: I think, so let me just say this.

00:21:04.916 --> 00:21:08.831
You had a question before about,
What is the cash on the sideline?

00:21:08.831 --> 00:21:10.201
Or what are the war chests at Brendan?

00:21:10.871 --> 00:21:12.911
I think you can see some estimates.

00:21:12.931 --> 00:21:16.891
That's like a trillion dollars, and
it's very hard to categorize a trillion

00:21:16.891 --> 00:21:18.491
dollars in one simple statement.

00:21:18.861 --> 00:21:23.671
What I would say is this, that when
you think of a private equity fund

00:21:23.671 --> 00:21:27.791
who's interested in deploying capital
in And material science or chemicals.

00:21:28.691 --> 00:21:32.341
Typically, they have been evaluating
opportunities and interacting with

00:21:32.341 --> 00:21:35.051
executives and consultants for years.

00:21:35.111 --> 00:21:39.371
And so a lot of times when they see
an opportunity, when you hear someone

00:21:39.371 --> 00:21:43.761
say, they are strategic in a sense, I
think they can look at things and go,

00:21:44.346 --> 00:21:47.786
I've seen this, and this, and I could
see an ability to put this together

00:21:47.786 --> 00:21:51.196
with that company, or I see that
they have a hole and need to have an

00:21:51.196 --> 00:21:53.876
operation in this part of the country.

00:21:53.876 --> 00:21:59.156
And I think, I just think that type of
mindset is, it's not just as simple as I

00:21:59.256 --> 00:22:01.276
look at EBITDA and I put a multiple on it.

00:22:01.296 --> 00:22:06.046
I think when I say they, they really,
you're going to see a mindset that's more

00:22:06.046 --> 00:22:12.156
of, do we have an angle where we think we
can add value beyond just, Just, dollars.

00:22:12.176 --> 00:22:15.286
I think that is what is changing.

00:22:15.634 --> 00:22:16.054
Victoria: Yeah.

00:22:16.436 --> 00:22:20.056
Kevin: and so I would not, take it
as a it's more strategic in nature.

00:22:20.056 --> 00:22:22.116
I'd say it's it continues to be mixed.

00:22:22.794 --> 00:22:23.124
Victoria: Okay.

00:22:23.374 --> 00:22:23.804
Fair enough.

00:22:24.734 --> 00:22:25.634
So then, what do you

00:22:27.684 --> 00:22:30.074
I guess maybe what are the
factors that you see in critical?

00:22:30.949 --> 00:22:35.269
when we're talking about M&A for, let's
just take it 2025 and going forward,

00:22:35.626 --> 00:22:37.276
Kevin: Yeah, yeah,

00:22:37.409 --> 00:22:38.269
Victoria: can only go so

00:22:38.436 --> 00:22:41.566
Kevin: Yeah, I was gonna say,
I can't go past Q1 of 25.

00:22:41.596 --> 00:22:44.426
So I'm going any further
than that would hurt.

00:22:44.456 --> 00:22:50.306
But I feel like the number of one once in
a lifetime events that have happened over

00:22:50.306 --> 00:22:55.736
the past four or five years is pretty,
pretty hard to get your head around.

00:22:56.166 --> 00:23:01.076
from COVID to Texas freezes
to hurricanes to wars.

00:23:02.186 --> 00:23:06.726
it's, really hard to envision a scenario
where you go like every six months,

00:23:06.726 --> 00:23:10.036
we're going to have to deal with an
industry dynamic that, that gets,

00:23:10.266 --> 00:23:11.616
that causes things to get flipped on

00:23:11.689 --> 00:23:14.329
Victoria: And by the way, we've
got a potential port strike coming

00:23:14.329 --> 00:23:16.059
up in mid January as well, right?

00:23:16.089 --> 00:23:20.799
Again, another rare occurrence
that doesn't feel so rare anymore.

00:23:21.171 --> 00:23:22.191
Kevin: And that's the stuff.

00:23:22.191 --> 00:23:26.051
So I always go to the
what can you control?

00:23:26.141 --> 00:23:30.011
And when we ever sit down and talk
to a seller, we always take a step

00:23:30.011 --> 00:23:33.701
back and go, how is the market
and how is your business doing?

00:23:34.431 --> 00:23:38.811
and I think what hopefully I just
mentioned for the last whatever 10

00:23:38.831 --> 00:23:45.111
minutes is, the market seems to be in
a spot where it's pretty, pretty solid.

00:23:45.111 --> 00:23:46.491
And there's optimism there.

00:23:46.861 --> 00:23:50.521
I think the critical factors then
really come down to drilling and

00:23:50.521 --> 00:23:54.221
specifics on your own business
and where the business is at.

00:23:54.321 --> 00:24:00.051
And that to me is really the Key of
does your business where it sits today?

00:24:00.051 --> 00:24:04.421
Dynamics going on within it get you to
a spot where you would be happy with

00:24:04.431 --> 00:24:05.961
the transaction if you're a seller.

00:24:05.961 --> 00:24:10.391
And if the answer to that is yes, I
think you have again a good market

00:24:10.431 --> 00:24:12.671
and a good, company situation.

00:24:13.291 --> 00:24:16.641
If you don't have both of those in
the equation, I think it's a hard

00:24:16.641 --> 00:24:18.911
thing to look someone in the face
and tell them that it's a good

00:24:18.911 --> 00:24:20.841
idea to entertain going to market.

00:24:20.851 --> 00:24:23.931
And I say that from a sense,
Victoria, and this is where I go

00:24:23.931 --> 00:24:27.521
back to the, I'm worried about
what I said in the 2023 podcast is

00:24:27.804 --> 00:24:29.184
Victoria: I'm sure you're consistent,

00:24:29.481 --> 00:24:29.931
Kevin: good.

00:24:30.664 --> 00:24:31.364
Victoria: I probably

00:24:31.511 --> 00:24:31.661
Kevin: know,

00:24:32.321 --> 00:24:37.391
but I do think there, in that timeframe,
we were giving a fair number of people

00:24:37.391 --> 00:24:41.771
guidance of if you don't need to go
to market, or if there is not some

00:24:41.771 --> 00:24:46.251
factor that is, forcing you to sell
a company right now, you're better

00:24:46.261 --> 00:24:50.271
suited to just hold off and let
some of this stuff play itself out.

00:24:50.681 --> 00:24:52.295
At that time, I'm sure we would have.

00:24:52.446 --> 00:24:55.166
Put some comment out there that
goes the first question about your

00:24:55.176 --> 00:24:56.636
company when you go to market it.

00:24:56.636 --> 00:24:59.346
You don't want it to be Why
are you doing this right now?

00:24:59.636 --> 00:25:04.406
And so so I think that Again, it's
not really a critical thing I think

00:25:04.406 --> 00:25:08.766
it's more the you need to dig into
specifics within a business and if

00:25:08.766 --> 00:25:12.996
they support You're going to get to an
outcome that you feel is appropriate.

00:25:13.556 --> 00:25:13.986
it's a good time

00:25:14.324 --> 00:25:15.134
Victoria: Yeah, absolutely.

00:25:15.134 --> 00:25:19.424
And I think there's a lot of
uncertainties, in the market still, right?

00:25:19.424 --> 00:25:22.554
So the chemical industry seems
to be a bit more steady state.

00:25:22.634 --> 00:25:23.454
That is true.

00:25:24.444 --> 00:25:27.434
we know that there's a lot of strategic
actions taking place with some of

00:25:27.434 --> 00:25:32.214
the biggies that have announced,
some strategic changes in, their

00:25:32.214 --> 00:25:35.884
European portfolios in particular,
and then how it plays out globally.

00:25:36.244 --> 00:25:40.174
We've got the new administration coming
in, in January, which is going to.

00:25:40.774 --> 00:25:45.434
It's already, introducing some
different variables into the equation.

00:25:45.434 --> 00:25:48.864
It's going to continue to do
particularly, probably for at

00:25:48.864 --> 00:25:51.844
least for the first six months
of the year, I would assume.

00:25:52.554 --> 00:25:59.124
and so would you offer the same
advice of, think twice before you

00:25:59.124 --> 00:26:02.124
decide you're going to sell or just
at least know what your story is?

00:26:03.046 --> 00:26:08.086
Kevin: yeah, I don't think it's
like the again, I So let me

00:26:08.086 --> 00:26:09.126
just maybe share this insight.

00:26:09.446 --> 00:26:14.436
It's not uncommon when we are brought
in to talk to a private company, a

00:26:14.436 --> 00:26:17.366
more of a private, privately held
business, whether that's a family, a

00:26:17.366 --> 00:26:19.156
few shareholders, but truly private.

00:26:19.776 --> 00:26:23.306
A lot of time before, before I asked
for guidance, it usually starts

00:26:23.306 --> 00:26:25.106
with, what do you think we should do?

00:26:25.156 --> 00:26:28.106
Which is very different than
I'm ready to sell my company.

00:26:28.126 --> 00:26:29.136
Tell me how to do it.

00:26:29.836 --> 00:26:32.276
And, I think the, what do you think
we should do has some elements

00:26:32.286 --> 00:26:34.606
in it of, is now a good time.

00:26:34.606 --> 00:26:37.086
And when you look at our business,
are there some things that we

00:26:37.086 --> 00:26:39.916
should address before we entertain
going to market with the company?

00:26:40.496 --> 00:26:43.366
and that goes back to my
comment a few seconds ago.

00:26:43.976 --> 00:26:50.776
I think if you look at where optimism is
at, and you look at that current market

00:26:51.026 --> 00:26:57.626
fundamentals, I think those things support
there is, An active buyer pool out there.

00:26:58.236 --> 00:27:02.006
you really need to drill into specifics
on a company to go is should you

00:27:02.006 --> 00:27:03.676
wait six months or three months?

00:27:04.266 --> 00:27:08.666
Some of that comes back to candidly,
the volume thing is that I was talking

00:27:08.666 --> 00:27:13.226
about before of showing a little
bit more traction on volume growth.

00:27:13.426 --> 00:27:17.556
If 25 ends up being a better year, I think
unlocks so much more value for someone.

00:27:18.046 --> 00:27:20.806
and so I think those are the types
of things of what opportunities

00:27:20.806 --> 00:27:23.046
are staring you in the face
and how near term are they?

00:27:23.516 --> 00:27:26.946
But I will also take a step back and
all of a sudden you can never thread

00:27:26.946 --> 00:27:29.295
a needle perfectly on these things.

00:27:29.296 --> 00:27:33.526
So thinking you can do that is going
to just lead to a poor outcome.

00:27:33.626 --> 00:27:35.476
I think you can always
then find a reason to go.

00:27:35.626 --> 00:27:36.666
i'll just wait six more months.

00:27:36.666 --> 00:27:37.966
I'll just wait six more months

00:27:38.066 --> 00:27:38.336
Victoria: Yeah.

00:27:38.926 --> 00:27:43.311
in, in what I think has been interesting
in, I've worked with a number of

00:27:43.351 --> 00:27:46.601
private companies, and work with
different leaders in different places.

00:27:46.621 --> 00:27:51.811
And there's a different lens often in
terms of how they make decisions, right?

00:27:51.821 --> 00:27:57.461
They make a decision that they, it's
probably a longer term view also often,

00:27:58.291 --> 00:28:01.051
and they make a decision, they figure
out how to make it work and they just,

00:28:01.051 --> 00:28:04.581
you Do it because they're not beholden
to shareholders every quarter in the

00:28:04.581 --> 00:28:08.531
same way that a public company is so I
think that does drive some different,

00:28:08.931 --> 00:28:14.531
decision making and timing because
the lens of judgment is different

00:28:15.833 --> 00:28:16.223
Kevin: I think that's right

00:28:16.991 --> 00:28:19.961
Victoria: So kevin, let's let's
turn a little bit to leadership.

00:28:20.551 --> 00:28:25.211
because I like to always ask this question
of folks What advice do you have for

00:28:25.211 --> 00:28:27.321
somebody who's early or mid career?

00:28:27.941 --> 00:28:31.941
that would like to keep Get into
investment banking and deal making and

00:28:31.951 --> 00:28:33.361
do a little bit of what you're doing.

00:28:33.361 --> 00:28:38.446
Yeah.

00:28:38.588 --> 00:28:38.998
Kevin: career,

00:28:42.308 --> 00:28:46.668
but, at some point in time, you
are, you're seems like you're

00:28:46.668 --> 00:28:47.968
like, I'm the old person.

00:28:47.968 --> 00:28:50.238
Now I'm supposed to have
some advice to give people.

00:28:51.418 --> 00:28:56.238
anyways, I think  getting into investment
banking, I think that is so much

00:28:56.288 --> 00:28:58.168
easier to do early in your career.

00:28:58.458 --> 00:29:01.278
It's tricky to do when you're
further along in your career.

00:29:01.278 --> 00:29:05.498
And I think that is really just comes
down to the basics of deal execution

00:29:05.498 --> 00:29:07.388
and understanding all of that.

00:29:08.108 --> 00:29:13.658
having a foundation when you're
younger is really, much, easier to do.

00:29:13.968 --> 00:29:19.198
I think what has changed is there is so
much of a fight for talent these days

00:29:19.238 --> 00:29:23.048
that it used to be like to become an
associate in an investment bank, you need

00:29:23.048 --> 00:29:24.968
to have an MBA and do all these things.

00:29:25.038 --> 00:29:29.028
I think that has changed  and I can't
speak to how large bulge bracket

00:29:29.048 --> 00:29:32.378
banks do all their recruiting stuff,
but I think the rules have very much

00:29:32.378 --> 00:29:34.418
changed over the past several years.

00:29:34.458 --> 00:29:39.038
And so I go to the if you want to get
an investment banking starting early

00:29:39.038 --> 00:29:41.228
in your careers is a bit easier to do.

00:29:41.228 --> 00:29:45.908
I think if you want to be in deal
making and you want to be maybe not

00:29:46.008 --> 00:29:50.018
on the advisory side, but active
within an operating company, for

00:29:50.018 --> 00:29:53.898
instance, I think it's trying to
find a way to navigate in this.

00:29:53.958 --> 00:29:57.408
We get this question quite frequently
from different professionals where

00:29:57.408 --> 00:29:59.878
they go, I was, I work in this company.

00:29:59.878 --> 00:30:03.118
I'm a marketing manager for insert
the blank, and I was pulled in on

00:30:03.128 --> 00:30:06.388
diligence for a deal that we are
working on, and I'd really like to know

00:30:06.388 --> 00:30:07.948
how I could get more active and deal.

00:30:07.958 --> 00:30:12.788
So I think trying to get into your
corporate development group is really

00:30:12.818 --> 00:30:14.908
another path to, get into deal making.

00:30:15.543 --> 00:30:19.663
The challenge there can be some
companies have a corporate development

00:30:19.663 --> 00:30:21.773
group and they don't do a lot of M&A.

00:30:22.133 --> 00:30:24.853
And so you'll find some frustration
to go I'm in this group.

00:30:24.853 --> 00:30:27.593
We evaluate our opportunities
and we just don't do a lot.

00:30:28.153 --> 00:30:30.923
I think if you're really wanting to
be in dealmaking, you got to find

00:30:30.923 --> 00:30:34.663
yourself in an organization that
views M&A as a core pillar as part of

00:30:34.663 --> 00:30:39.803
their strategy, and then, you're in
a spot where you will be, a bit more

00:30:39.803 --> 00:30:41.543
active in terms of true dealmaking.

00:30:41.663 --> 00:30:41.903
Victoria: Yeah,

00:30:41.903 --> 00:30:45.653
So in, so you have an MBA,
as I recall, am I right?

00:30:45.903 --> 00:30:48.013
and that's actually the
pivot point for you.

00:30:48.285 --> 00:30:49.055
Kevin: that was Correct.

00:30:49.233 --> 00:30:49.613
Victoria: Yeah.

00:30:50.013 --> 00:30:53.203
So, do you still see it as
a viable pivot point for

00:30:53.203 --> 00:30:56.813
people coming out of maybe what's
considered operating roles and then

00:30:56.813 --> 00:30:58.273
moving into investment banking?

00:30:58.273 --> 00:30:59.583
Is that still legit?

00:30:59.815 --> 00:31:06.755
Kevin: I think that is still very much the
case I think if you do recall Victoria,

00:31:06.755 --> 00:31:11.075
like I still even had a backdoor way
into this I wasn't intending to get

00:31:11.075 --> 00:31:15.245
into financial services I met our two co
founders and more wanted to meet their

00:31:15.245 --> 00:31:19.715
clients that I did want to work and
transactional work I think that still was

00:31:19.715 --> 00:31:25.425
very much a common path investment banking
is going to business school and using

00:31:25.435 --> 00:31:28.025
that as a launching pad to make a change

00:31:29.153 --> 00:31:29.453
Victoria: Awesome.

00:31:29.853 --> 00:31:30.673
Kevin, thank you.

00:31:30.743 --> 00:31:32.763
Thanks for taking time
to talk with us today.

00:31:32.763 --> 00:31:34.053
I really appreciate your insights.

00:31:34.405 --> 00:31:34.915
Kevin: Yeah, thank you.

00:31:35.015 --> 00:31:35.275
Victoria.

00:31:35.275 --> 00:31:36.055
It's good to see you

00:31:36.173 --> 00:31:36.623
Victoria: Absolutely.

00:31:36.623 --> 00:31:38.003
And thank you everyone for joining us.

00:31:38.003 --> 00:31:40.363
Keep listening, keep following,
keep sharing, and we will

00:31:40.363 --> 00:31:41.893
talk with you again soon.