The Pollsters

Hard to forget a crying baby--whether you’re in a Maine diner, on a podcast, or if he’s standing next to you on the debate stage.

 

When polling is the story: The GOP debate

This week the GOP debate makes big news, especially the polling leading up to the debate.

WSJ: WSJ/NBC poll

Fox News article

Fox News Poll

Bloomberg: Trump Dominates in pre-debate poll

CBS Poll

 

And the Dems?

While not as big news as the GOP pre-debate polling, new polls confirm the primary narrows somewhat.

 

WSJ: Clinton loses ground with white women

WMUR: Granite State Poll

 

Top pollster takes Boy Scout oath

We talk to Lee Miringoff from Marist about their decision to not be part of the pre-debate polling.

Politico: Marist suspends polling

McClatchy: Marist suspends polling to avoid being part of debate

Miringoff: 10 reasons polls should not determine debate eligibility

 

Key Findings:

Polling is as much the story this week as the debate. But when pollsters find that troubling, then I think that’s a problem.

Even with all the polling, some story lines--like Trump’s bump, or Sanders vs. Clinton--end up being rorschach tests anyway.

If the polls are driving campaign news this far out, we have a long campaign ahead of us. Make sure you have subscribed!

Lastly, Maura Duggan has been the best intern ever! Thanks Maura!

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Show Notes

Hard to forget a crying baby--whether you’re in a Maine diner, on a podcast, or if he’s standing next to you on the debate stage.   When polling is the story: The GOP debate This week the GOP debate makes big news, especially the polling leading up to the debate. WSJ: WSJ/NBC poll Fox News article Fox News Poll Bloomberg: Trump Dominates in pre-debate poll CBS Poll   And the Dems? While not as big news as the GOP pre-debate polling, new polls confirm the primary narrows somewhat.   WSJ: Clinton loses ground with white women WMUR: Granite State Poll   Top pollster takes Boy Scout oath We talk to Lee Miringoff from Marist about their decision to not be part of the pre-debate polling. Politico: Marist suspends polling McClatchy: Marist suspends polling to avoid being part of debate Miringoff: 10 reasons polls should not determine debate eligibility   Key Findings: Polling is as much the story this week as the debate. But when pollsters find that troubling, then I think that’s a problem. Even with all the polling, some story lines--like Trump’s bump, or Sanders vs. Clinton--end up being rorschach tests anyway. If the polls are driving campaign news this far out, we have a long campaign ahead of us. Make sure you have subscribed! Lastly, Maura Duggan has been the best intern ever! Thanks Maura!

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Creators & Guests

Host
Kristen Soltis Anderson
Pollster/founder: @echeloninsights. On-air: @cnn. Writer: @nytopinion, The Selfie Vote. Florida woman in DC. Go Gators.
Host
Margie Omero
Margie Omero is a Principal at the Democratic polling firm GBAO with over 25 years of experience providing strategic advice and qualitative and quantitative research to candidates, organizations, and brands.

What is The Pollsters?

Politics. Policy. Polling. Pop Culture.

Explore what America's thinking with two of the country's leading pollsters-the bipartisan team of Democrat Margie Omero and Republican Kristen Soltis Anderson. In this weekly podcast we take a fresh, friendly look at the numbers driving the week's biggest stories in news, politics, tech, entertainment and pop culture. Along with the occasional interview with pollsters, journalists, and other industry leaders, we'll lift the hood on the numbers revealing the hidden secrets of the public's mind.