WEBVTT

NOTE
This file was generated by Descript 

00:00:01.610 --> 00:00:05.820
Nabeel Hyatt (2): I feel like in a
world where most of us are trying to

00:00:05.820 --> 00:00:11.549
process the entry of this new alien
species, this new thing, this LLM and

00:00:11.549 --> 00:00:15.120
how it's going to work in our life,
I think we've mostly processed it in

00:00:15.120 --> 00:00:17.060
very, very short go to market spurts.

00:00:17.739 --> 00:00:17.959
Right?

00:00:17.960 --> 00:00:22.300
the world is filled with incubators that
are asking you, you know, in three months,

00:00:22.300 --> 00:00:25.220
make sure you launch the product and get
some traction to show up for demo day.

00:00:25.500 --> 00:00:26.180
Or.

00:00:26.335 --> 00:00:27.195
It's a hackathon.

00:00:27.205 --> 00:00:29.575
Let's see what we can make
in two days over the weekend.

00:00:29.715 --> 00:00:33.304
But My personal feeling was
like, no, also like we should get

00:00:33.304 --> 00:00:35.315
weirder before it gets better.

00:00:35.364 --> 00:00:38.755
Fraser Kelton: I think that we have
undoubtedly seen in the market that if

00:00:38.755 --> 00:00:41.055
you go try to get like your merry men of.

00:00:41.260 --> 00:00:46.009
Researchers together to go like
gallivant around and start a company.

00:00:46.510 --> 00:00:48.140
I don't think that usually works out well.

00:00:48.240 --> 00:00:51.410
Nabeel Hyatt (2): and then inevitably,
in the kind of rollercoaster of things,

00:00:51.410 --> 00:00:56.255
you're going to wake up one day,
And, you know, there's some headline

00:00:56.255 --> 00:01:00.045
of somebody who's raised a billion
dollars at, you know, whatever it

00:01:00.045 --> 00:01:02.025
is, it's 10x more than you've got.

00:01:02.225 --> 00:01:03.105
That's for sure.

00:01:05.065 --> 00:01:06.485
Fraser Kelton: Hey
everybody, welcome back.

00:01:06.705 --> 00:01:07.575
This time for real.

00:01:08.565 --> 00:01:09.265
I'm Fraser.

00:01:09.295 --> 00:01:09.855
Nabeel Hyatt (2): I'm Nabeel.

00:01:09.855 --> 00:01:10.665
Welcome to Hallway Chat.

00:01:10.965 --> 00:01:12.085
Fraser Kelton: Welcome to Hallway Chat.

00:01:12.330 --> 00:01:14.050
You have a product for us, Nabeel.

00:01:14.070 --> 00:01:18.680
You came metaphorically running
into the Slack channel where we talk

00:01:18.690 --> 00:01:21.890
about products and you dump something
in, and it was the first time in a

00:01:21.890 --> 00:01:25.780
while where I've seen a lot of us
jump on it almost instantaneously.

00:01:25.780 --> 00:01:28.870
Tell us, tell us what
it is and let's jump in.

00:01:28.890 --> 00:01:30.950
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Well, yeah, I
think we should talk about granola.

00:01:31.390 --> 00:01:32.100
this week.

00:01:32.160 --> 00:01:33.820
I've used this product a couple times.

00:01:33.860 --> 00:01:35.680
Uh, Chris Pedregal is the CEO.

00:01:35.720 --> 00:01:39.090
He's actually previously founded
Socratic, which was a Spark portfolio

00:01:39.090 --> 00:01:42.110
company back in the day, doing
a whole nother product category.

00:01:42.110 --> 00:01:46.340
We could talk about another time, which
is, uh, Socratic was  the early, take a

00:01:46.340 --> 00:01:51.329
photo of your homework and use AI to solve
it, which there's a whole category of  20,

00:01:51.329 --> 00:01:53.459
000 of them in the app store right now.

00:01:53.489 --> 00:01:54.569
But that's not what we're talking about.

00:01:54.619 --> 00:01:59.769
He's doing a new company called Granola
just launched this week, And, you know, it

00:01:59.779 --> 00:02:03.659
fits loosely into the AI note taking app.

00:02:04.439 --> 00:02:06.389
Everyone jumps on it in Slack
because we all like to use

00:02:06.389 --> 00:02:07.719
products, but let's be real.

00:02:07.849 --> 00:02:11.059
We also do a lot of meetings and this
is an AI note taking app for meetings.

00:02:11.219 --> 00:02:15.289
So it's also a little bit of like
customer fit as well for the team.

00:02:15.290 --> 00:02:18.759
And, um, and some of us really
already know and respect Chris.

00:02:19.179 --> 00:02:24.239
The product really simply is you jump into
a Zoom with somebody, There's a little

00:02:24.239 --> 00:02:28.339
tag on the right hand side, the little
G for granola that says join now and

00:02:28.339 --> 00:02:31.839
it pulls up a blank sheet of paper for
taking notes the same way you would have

00:02:31.859 --> 00:02:33.559
brought up Apple Notes or something else.

00:02:34.089 --> 00:02:39.949
I think there are a lot of very
interesting product decisions that Chris,

00:02:40.279 --> 00:02:45.514
he's just a product person, did that are
counter to the, 30 other products that

00:02:45.514 --> 00:02:47.574
have tried some version of AI note taking.

00:02:47.574 --> 00:02:52.414
And I'm thinking about everything from
stuff like Otter and Notta and Fireflies,

00:02:52.734 --> 00:02:57.444
uh, to whole screen recording, companies
like Limitless, to a product that we

00:02:57.444 --> 00:03:01.114
talked about, I think, in maybe six
or seven or eight weeks ago,  called

00:03:01.114 --> 00:03:04.504
SuperPowered, which is the previous AI
note taking product I had been using.

00:03:05.064 --> 00:03:06.174
And so I think we should just get into it.

00:03:06.194 --> 00:03:09.228
I think there's some interesting
product decisions here with

00:03:09.228 --> 00:03:10.780
lessons for  other AI products.

00:03:10.870 --> 00:03:14.030
Fraser Kelton: Before we jump in, let's
set up the discussion by talking around

00:03:14.030 --> 00:03:16.860
the high level value proposition,
because I think that's why we were

00:03:16.870 --> 00:03:21.440
all, uh, drawn to it initially, is
when he shared the announcement,

00:03:21.440 --> 00:03:24.254
he said,  if a bot is writing notes
for you, it's thinking for you.

00:03:24.254 --> 00:03:27.308
And instead, Granola starts with
your notes and makes them better.

00:03:27.708 --> 00:03:31.888
You know, we've talked a lot about whether
or not there's an agent or an assistant

00:03:32.128 --> 00:03:35.148
that,  is taking control of tasks for you.

00:03:35.533 --> 00:03:40.993
Uh, and we've also then spoken about
co pilots, or  paired programmer like

00:03:41.023 --> 00:03:45.473
experiences that are collaboratively
building, your work product.

00:03:45.863 --> 00:03:48.333
And this is the first note taking
app, at least that I've used,

00:03:48.353 --> 00:03:49.603
that's in that second camp.

00:03:49.653 --> 00:03:54.193
The other ones seem to basically want to
take full control and put on autopilot

00:03:54.193 --> 00:03:57.708
the notes, whereas this one you have
I don't know, for lack of a better

00:03:57.708 --> 00:04:01.618
word, editorial control over what it
is that it's going to like key in on

00:04:01.628 --> 00:04:05.868
based on the notes that you're taking
while the, the conversation unfolds.

00:04:06.328 --> 00:04:08.078
Nabeel Hyatt (2): The experience
for those who haven't tried it yet

00:04:08.328 --> 00:04:12.228
is you're just writing into a blank
notepad that way you normally would.

00:04:12.258 --> 00:04:16.828
And then at the end, it goes through a
transcription and note taking step where

00:04:17.108 --> 00:04:20.808
it then does the thing that say Otter
or Nada would do, which is to give you

00:04:20.808 --> 00:04:26.952
a structured, summary of your overall
conversation, but it then integrates and

00:04:26.952 --> 00:04:28.905
is influenced by the notes that you took

00:04:28.935 --> 00:04:33.985
.
So if you had, say, written down a basic
outline as you were going through things

00:04:33.985 --> 00:04:37.875
or a couple of key insights that you
really captured or a quote that you really

00:04:37.875 --> 00:04:42.385
loved, it'll fit into the hierarchy of
the way it then does summary controls,

00:04:42.395 --> 00:04:44.385
kind of merging the two things together.

00:04:45.025 --> 00:04:48.470
In practice, it feels almost like
You wrote down the things that

00:04:48.470 --> 00:04:52.880
super mattered, and you had an
intern  fill out all the rest.

00:04:52.970 --> 00:04:54.490
And, and I really like that.

00:04:54.650 --> 00:04:57.930
I think, you know, we've had lots
of conversations about agents.

00:04:57.930 --> 00:05:00.590
We had a long conversation about
Devin and Cognition and Coding Agents.

00:05:00.850 --> 00:05:04.840
These things that might try and go away
for a little while and go do a thing.

00:05:05.380 --> 00:05:10.860
None of these things at this stage
of AI are really perfect or great.

00:05:11.260 --> 00:05:14.350
I remember when Anthropic came in,
they, they gave the analogy of, We're

00:05:14.350 --> 00:05:17.860
going to start with an AI that's good
enough to be a kind of okay intern,

00:05:17.890 --> 00:05:21.480
and then slowly move your way up
the stack in terms of capabilities.

00:05:21.870 --> 00:05:25.180
And so another way of kind of like
inverting that and thinking about a UI

00:05:25.180 --> 00:05:30.040
cycle is, What are the types of tasks
in the world, not that can be done

00:05:30.040 --> 00:05:33.150
entirely by somebody else, like that
I would outsource to India to go do,

00:05:33.150 --> 00:05:36.290
which is like customer service, use
cases and so forth, but what are the

00:05:36.290 --> 00:05:40.360
kinds of tasks that normally somebody
is already looking over your shoulder?

00:05:41.270 --> 00:05:44.120
to help with that your manager
is already kind of heavily

00:05:44.120 --> 00:05:45.220
involved with and looking at.

00:05:45.450 --> 00:05:49.780
Those are probably really prime
examples of situations where an AI

00:05:49.830 --> 00:05:51.770
can be the co pilot, the assistant.

00:05:52.300 --> 00:05:55.350
Uh, and it's funny, we've had co
pilot around for a couple of years now

00:05:55.350 --> 00:05:58.340
and like everyone tried to move past
it really quickly without, I think

00:05:58.350 --> 00:06:01.380
Grinnell is a very good example of  Oh,
there's a lot still to mine there.

00:06:01.620 --> 00:06:06.550
Um, somehow we jumped out of that when we
did AI note taking and we went straight

00:06:06.560 --> 00:06:09.930
to, Nope, this whole thing is totally
filled out instead of thinking of it.

00:06:10.540 --> 00:06:11.610
You know, it's pair programming.

00:06:11.800 --> 00:06:15.610
This is like pair programming applied
to pair note taking, which is, I

00:06:15.620 --> 00:06:16.950
think, a really interesting metaphor.

00:06:17.000 --> 00:06:17.410
Fraser Kelton: Yep.

00:06:17.800 --> 00:06:18.620
I think so.

00:06:18.620 --> 00:06:20.700
I think the other thing that this
highlights at a very high level

00:06:20.730 --> 00:06:24.050
is the importance of product
taste and product decisions.

00:06:24.050 --> 00:06:28.090
Like the product is super immature
and young still, so it has, you

00:06:28.090 --> 00:06:29.500
know, limitations and rough edges.

00:06:29.500 --> 00:06:31.930
And we can talk about those if it's
interesting, but it is pretty clear

00:06:31.940 --> 00:06:33.280
those are going to be on the roadmap.

00:06:33.630 --> 00:06:37.960
But what they shipped is so
opinionated versus what is in the

00:06:37.960 --> 00:06:39.660
market today for note taking apps.

00:06:40.005 --> 00:06:41.505
And,  thoughtfully done.

00:06:41.535 --> 00:06:44.855
One of the themes that we've talked
about for a handful of weeks has been

00:06:44.855 --> 00:06:48.585
the idea that these models aren't
great and you need to fail gracefully

00:06:48.585 --> 00:06:52.685
across different use cases and find
ways to do that to engender trust.

00:06:53.105 --> 00:06:55.985
I'll tell you, there was a
meeting where I was using it.

00:06:55.985 --> 00:06:58.195
I carefully took a note that
was actually pretty important.

00:06:58.235 --> 00:07:01.435
And then the auto summarize, uh, I don't
know what you would call it, like the,

00:07:01.455 --> 00:07:06.235
the co pilot piece filled in the blanks
and gave me a nice robust note at the end

00:07:06.235 --> 00:07:10.635
of it, but it had dropped that one piece
that I had taken as critical information

00:07:11.345 --> 00:07:13.475
and I, I, I was like really angry, right?

00:07:13.475 --> 00:07:14.435
I'm like, how dare you?

00:07:14.435 --> 00:07:16.735
If I write it down  don't, don't do that.

00:07:16.735 --> 00:07:16.815
Yeah.

00:07:16.815 --> 00:07:17.845
You're yelling at the intern.

00:07:17.915 --> 00:07:18.145
Yeah.

00:07:18.485 --> 00:07:18.795
Yeah.

00:07:21.190 --> 00:07:22.860
Um, constructive feedback.

00:07:22.860 --> 00:07:24.700
I was giving the constructive feedback.

00:07:25.090 --> 00:07:28.320
Um, but there's a toggle at the bottom
where you can actually just go back to

00:07:28.330 --> 00:07:30.530
the entirety of just your notes, right?

00:07:30.600 --> 00:07:33.680
And so you can basically turn
off any of the, like the intern

00:07:33.690 --> 00:07:36.830
scribbles around the margins and
get back to where you want to be.

00:07:37.030 --> 00:07:41.210
And the other place where they do that,
is the entire transcript is there.

00:07:41.220 --> 00:07:41.410
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Right.

00:07:41.430 --> 00:07:43.040
You can, you can drill down
to the transcript, right?

00:07:43.040 --> 00:07:44.740
Fraser Kelton: Yeah, you can
drill down to the transcript.

00:07:45.000 --> 00:07:46.070
Um, and then

00:07:46.150 --> 00:07:47.350
Nabeel Hyatt (2): I'm not
sure if I agree with that one.

00:07:47.350 --> 00:07:48.980
I don't know if I like that choice.

00:07:49.020 --> 00:07:53.890
I can understand why they did it for
exposure, but you know, there's something

00:07:53.900 --> 00:07:57.350
about staring at a transcript of all
the uhs and ums and all the terrible

00:07:57.360 --> 00:08:01.800
things that feels, boasts like a little
bit more of an invasion of privacy.

00:08:02.055 --> 00:08:04.995
a little bit more cringy, which is
hilarious, of course, because you know

00:08:04.995 --> 00:08:09.425
it's recording, but staring at all of the
words feels quite different to me than

00:08:09.735 --> 00:08:11.195
you're only allowed to get a summary.

00:08:11.195 --> 00:08:12.315
So I'll disagree with you there.

00:08:12.355 --> 00:08:13.855
I probably would have
hidden the transcript.

00:08:13.875 --> 00:08:16.755
I'm sure, I'm sure Chris and the team
have lots of good reasons why they did it.

00:08:17.025 --> 00:08:20.805
Fraser Kelton: Here's where I
think it bubbles up in useful ways.

00:08:20.895 --> 00:08:25.695
The intern's notes are referenced
or deep linked to the relevant

00:08:25.705 --> 00:08:26.725
part of the transcript.

00:08:26.735 --> 00:08:27.995
So, uh, yeah, that's right.

00:08:28.150 --> 00:08:28.400
Right.

00:08:28.420 --> 00:08:32.430
If it, if it shows you a bullet point
that it's written, you can say, I don't

00:08:32.430 --> 00:08:34.010
know, what, what was the context of that?

00:08:34.010 --> 00:08:38.170
You click into it, a little overlay
appears, and then you see the transcript,

00:08:38.220 --> 00:08:39.880
just the snippet, the relevant snippet.

00:08:39.920 --> 00:08:40.620
Nabeel Hyatt (2): I agree with you.

00:08:40.660 --> 00:08:42.920
Okay, so that, that part I agree
with you, that, that's brilliant.

00:08:42.940 --> 00:08:44.020
Like the, the, yeah.

00:08:44.320 --> 00:08:49.310
You see a note that says, you know,
we discussed, you know, AI eye

00:08:49.310 --> 00:08:52.790
contacts, and then I click a little
button on it, the plus to it, and it

00:08:52.890 --> 00:08:56.400
actually shows me this short bit of
transcript, a quote, basically the

00:08:56.400 --> 00:08:57.880
inline quote that referenced that.

00:08:57.930 --> 00:08:58.720
That's brilliant.

00:08:59.590 --> 00:09:01.325
You could do that without
having to show me anything.

00:09:01.715 --> 00:09:04.465
All of the horrific things I
said for an hour and a half as I

00:09:04.465 --> 00:09:06.185
was rambling off the top of it.

00:09:06.185 --> 00:09:06.715
For sure.

00:09:06.985 --> 00:09:08.795
Fraser Kelton: But I'll,
I'll like, I agree.

00:09:08.795 --> 00:09:09.915
I agree with, with that.

00:09:09.965 --> 00:09:11.855
Um, here's a, here's one
that will make you laugh.

00:09:11.865 --> 00:09:15.215
Cause I'm just looking at the notes from,
uh, our call before we jumped on here.

00:09:15.215 --> 00:09:18.105
And there's a bullet point that
just simply says Mike Kelly

00:09:18.155 --> 00:09:20.645
as a follow up and Mike Kelly.

00:09:20.905 --> 00:09:24.665
Um, you can imagine that when you click
in that Mike Kelly is, uh, something

00:09:24.855 --> 00:09:27.145
very different than, than the name mike.

00:09:27.280 --> 00:09:27.690
Kelly.

00:09:27.720 --> 00:09:29.030
Nabeel Hyatt (2): I
think it's Kevin Kelly.

00:09:29.060 --> 00:09:29.870
That's a mess up.

00:09:29.870 --> 00:09:31.210
We'll get to Kevin Kelly in a second.

00:09:31.450 --> 00:09:35.470
Oh, um, here's, you want to, you
want a really awesome granola thing?

00:09:35.730 --> 00:09:37.250
So take that Mike Kelly.

00:09:37.400 --> 00:09:37.830
Yeah.

00:09:37.950 --> 00:09:39.700
Change it to Kevin.

00:09:39.760 --> 00:09:40.050
Yeah.

00:09:40.450 --> 00:09:46.810
And now if you click open the transcript
quote, it has taken your correction and it

00:09:46.810 --> 00:09:49.250
has also corrected it in the transcript.

00:09:49.620 --> 00:09:50.170
Fraser Kelton: Okay.

00:09:50.620 --> 00:09:51.290
That's pretty good.

00:09:51.740 --> 00:09:52.800
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Isn't that beautiful?

00:09:52.860 --> 00:09:53.660
Fraser Kelton: That is beautiful.

00:09:54.230 --> 00:09:59.280
I think the other, theme that is really
well done on this product is that

00:09:59.280 --> 00:10:04.730
they've reduced the friction across
the, uh, the product in dramatic ways.

00:10:04.850 --> 00:10:08.090
And a couple of examples,
it offs into your calendar.

00:10:08.510 --> 00:10:13.400
And so when you have a meeting coming
up, it's the product that basically

00:10:13.400 --> 00:10:16.590
gives you the notification that a meeting
is coming up and there's a one click,

00:10:17.000 --> 00:10:19.330
uh, way to launch into the video call,

00:10:21.555 --> 00:10:22.035
I don't know.

00:10:22.485 --> 00:10:23.365
Uninteresting?

00:10:23.415 --> 00:10:23.655
Sure.

00:10:23.695 --> 00:10:28.975
But what it does is it like also then
drops you into the note taking experience,

00:10:29.025 --> 00:10:31.035
perfectly positioned on the screen.

00:10:31.035 --> 00:10:34.315
You have your video on one side,
the note taking app on the other.

00:10:34.675 --> 00:10:37.395
The title is already
filled in for the meeting.

00:10:37.395 --> 00:10:40.755
Cursor's already live where
you can just start typing.

00:10:41.085 --> 00:10:45.115
Somebody has cared enough
about the product experience

00:10:45.115 --> 00:10:47.215
to craft all of those details.

00:10:47.475 --> 00:10:48.115
That's one.

00:10:48.165 --> 00:10:51.735
And then the second one is, is what
you pointed out, and that is, it

00:10:51.735 --> 00:10:53.855
takes over the system settings.

00:10:53.925 --> 00:10:57.525
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Look, I think
metaphorically, if we think about this,

00:10:57.675 --> 00:11:01.715
how would I want a note taking AI to
insert my note taking, you can think of

00:11:01.715 --> 00:11:03.815
these things as three different buckets.

00:11:04.055 --> 00:11:09.635
And the first one is things like Mem
or Notion, which is you're taking notes

00:11:09.635 --> 00:11:14.450
exactly the way you always took them,
And then we're going to layer a ChatGPT

00:11:14.460 --> 00:11:16.090
like experience on top of it, right?

00:11:16.110 --> 00:11:16.380
Right?

00:11:16.430 --> 00:11:18.630
I can right click on
it and say, Summarize.

00:11:18.910 --> 00:11:21.600
I can right click on it and say, Expand.

00:11:21.600 --> 00:11:23.620
I can give you an outline
and say, Flesh it out.

00:11:23.940 --> 00:11:27.855
That's kind of like, Yeah,
it's a ChatGPT for my notes.

00:11:28.165 --> 00:11:32.585
Um, with notes, the way you previously
used it being the primary affordance.

00:11:33.165 --> 00:11:36.025
The second is the inverse of that.

00:11:36.245 --> 00:11:37.935
Um, it's not a note taking app.

00:11:37.995 --> 00:11:40.985
It's a, the AI is the thing that
takes the notes, and then you can

00:11:40.985 --> 00:11:42.115
do something with them differently.

00:11:42.115 --> 00:11:45.715
And that's the Otter, the Nada,
and the Fireflies of the world.

00:11:46.180 --> 00:11:47.480
which drive me crazy.

00:11:47.760 --> 00:11:48.820
I've used all of them.

00:11:48.820 --> 00:11:50.040
I've tried all of them.

00:11:50.280 --> 00:11:55.940
They are okay for some specific use
cases, but especially the ones that don't

00:11:55.940 --> 00:11:57.370
let you edit the prompts themselves.

00:11:57.370 --> 00:12:01.080
So it's some sales template thing,
uh, that somebody at one of these

00:12:01.080 --> 00:12:03.950
companies decided is the only way you're
supposed to get your summarized meeting.

00:12:04.180 --> 00:12:05.860
It's just, just not interesting.

00:12:06.010 --> 00:12:09.590
The one I do use constantly is called
SuperPowered, which is quite useful.

00:12:09.865 --> 00:12:13.285
I record lots of, you know, meetings
when I need to, and they have a

00:12:13.295 --> 00:12:16.055
custom prompt framework so I can have
it output the outputs that I really

00:12:16.055 --> 00:12:17.185
want and summarize it the way I want.

00:12:17.215 --> 00:12:18.325
It's great, actually.

00:12:18.325 --> 00:12:19.025
I really like it.

00:12:19.385 --> 00:12:21.055
Um, that's why we talked about it before.

00:12:21.525 --> 00:12:24.765
But this is the, this is something
different, which is just  it's not that

00:12:24.765 --> 00:12:30.210
the AI is the first, input, and it's not
that my old view of the world, the way I

00:12:30.210 --> 00:12:33.850
would think of Notion as the old input,
it's this, again, it's this kind of co

00:12:33.860 --> 00:12:39.390
pilot view that I, I now, I immediately
came away from Granola trying to think

00:12:39.400 --> 00:12:42.880
about lots of other consumer categories
and enterprise categories and saying  Oh,

00:12:43.060 --> 00:12:45.060
well, What would you do if it was that?

00:12:45.380 --> 00:12:50.540
And so I love it when a product is so
inventive in its product surface area

00:12:50.540 --> 00:12:53.870
that it makes you kind of reevaluate,
um, what, and I won't list all the

00:12:53.870 --> 00:12:56.100
other categories or anything like
that because we'll have time to go

00:12:56.100 --> 00:12:56.960
find those founders or whatever,

00:12:59.020 --> 00:13:02.340
but it certainly made me think
about what are the implications,

00:13:02.400 --> 00:13:03.310
um, for other things.

00:13:03.320 --> 00:13:04.620
And normally, I mean, It.

00:13:04.620 --> 00:13:11.060
The last thing I'll say is it just also
reminded me how much we have not really

00:13:11.060 --> 00:13:12.680
been experimenting with interfaces.

00:13:12.740 --> 00:13:12.860
Fraser Kelton: Mm-Hmm.

00:13:13.160 --> 00:13:15.080
, 
Nabeel Hyatt (2): you know,
we're, we're a little ways into

00:13:15.080 --> 00:13:20.730
chatt pt and there is just not
enough people trying weird things.

00:13:20.760 --> 00:13:21.120
Right.

00:13:21.330 --> 00:13:24.450
Uh, with how AI is supposed
to surface in our life.

00:13:24.890 --> 00:13:28.150
I was at a dinner last night with a
bunch of people talking about agents

00:13:28.155 --> 00:13:31.930
and ai and, and, and, you know, UIs
came up and somebody brought up.

00:13:32.400 --> 00:13:35.590
The mother of all demos, which
if you don't know what it is,

00:13:35.600 --> 00:13:36.640
we'll drop it in the show notes.

00:13:37.180 --> 00:13:45.320
You know, it was a presentation in, I
think it was like early 1969, late 1968,

00:13:45.400 --> 00:13:49.110
it was a presentation from Engelbart
at the Augmented Research Center,

00:13:49.150 --> 00:13:56.425
ARC, where he basically laid out the
next 40 years of computing interfaces.

00:13:56.465 --> 00:14:03.105
Like he had a device connected
between Palo Alto at SRC up to,

00:14:03.105 --> 00:14:04.645
I think it was San Francisco.

00:14:04.955 --> 00:14:09.515
Um, Alan Kay is in there, like Bob
Sproul's in the audience, like it's

00:14:09.515 --> 00:14:12.015
a, you know, hall of fame group.

00:14:12.065 --> 00:14:16.145
Thankfully, thankfully  I think it
was like, uh, Stuart Brand happened

00:14:16.145 --> 00:14:17.565
to be in the audience with a camera.

00:14:17.565 --> 00:14:18.595
And so he was recording it.

00:14:18.605 --> 00:14:19.355
It's like insane.

00:14:19.675 --> 00:14:23.045
And he's  you know, it's  let's
show you what a mouse might be like.

00:14:23.175 --> 00:14:25.945
Let's show you these dual screens
and how you might communicate,

00:14:26.035 --> 00:14:28.205
communicate over a computer.

00:14:28.715 --> 00:14:31.305
Like stuff, frankly, that's in there
that we still haven't gotten to.

00:14:31.625 --> 00:14:40.145
And I feel like in a world where most
of us are trying to process the entry of

00:14:40.145 --> 00:14:43.825
this new alien species, this new thing,
this LLM and how it's going to work in our

00:14:43.825 --> 00:14:45.915
life, I think we've mostly processed it.

00:14:46.325 --> 00:14:49.385
in very, very short go
to market spurts, right?

00:14:49.385 --> 00:14:53.995
We are now, you know, 50, 60, 70
years later, um, the world is filled

00:14:53.995 --> 00:14:57.785
with incubators that are asking you,
you know, in three months, make sure

00:14:57.785 --> 00:15:01.305
you launch the product and get some
traction to show up for demo day, or

00:15:01.475 --> 00:15:04.795
it's a hackathon, let's see what we
can make in two days over the weekend.

00:15:05.175 --> 00:15:08.565
And, you know, it was kind of counter to
the conversation we had at dinner, to be

00:15:08.565 --> 00:15:11.665
honest, because a lot of the conversation
with dinner was like, wow, a lot of these

00:15:11.885 --> 00:15:16.055
agentic companies are producing demos
that kind of like 80 percent work or

00:15:16.055 --> 00:15:19.315
70 percent work, but they don't really
work enough to deploy into production.

00:15:19.665 --> 00:15:21.405
And that is also true.

00:15:21.995 --> 00:15:25.595
But my personal feeling was
like, no, also  we should get

00:15:25.595 --> 00:15:26.895
weirder before it gets there.

00:15:26.915 --> 00:15:33.025
I don't mean hackathon weird, I mean
like, deeply ambitious alien weird.

00:15:33.195 --> 00:15:38.395
We need to explore the design space
a lot more to kind of figure out,

00:15:38.885 --> 00:15:41.795
what is the GUI of this world?

00:15:42.615 --> 00:15:45.855
We're sitting, staring at MS DOS
prompts, and no one's made Windows yet.

00:15:45.925 --> 00:15:49.755
And, and I'm not, and I  I think,
you know, I don't even know what

00:15:49.755 --> 00:15:53.545
the Xerox PARC or the MIT Media
Lab should be for this era.

00:15:53.555 --> 00:15:57.165
It probably, it's not going
to be, you know, Google R& D.

00:15:57.415 --> 00:16:00.245
All the incentives nowadays
are very differently aligned.

00:16:00.295 --> 00:16:01.975
And so I don't think that's
going to happen there.

00:16:02.195 --> 00:16:04.445
It's, it's probably not
going to be the Media Lab.

00:16:04.820 --> 00:16:07.420
So I actually don't know where those
experiments are going to come from.

00:16:07.420 --> 00:16:10.140
They probably have to come from
founders, right, doing the work.

00:16:10.390 --> 00:16:11.070
Fraser Kelton: I would think so.

00:16:11.070 --> 00:16:13.200
But it's interesting
to frame it like that.

00:16:13.500 --> 00:16:16.580
When you told me this
initially, my response was, this

00:16:16.580 --> 00:16:18.370
happened in the labs, right?

00:16:19.120 --> 00:16:24.595
You come in and Aditya shows you a, uh,
Tennis ball thing that's  pixelated and

00:16:24.605 --> 00:16:26.445
you know, what's going on with this?

00:16:26.475 --> 00:16:30.065
But if you squint, you're like,
okay, we're, we're a couple of cranks

00:16:30.385 --> 00:16:33.765
away from having, uh, Dolly, right?

00:16:33.885 --> 00:16:40.415
And there's so many weird, lovely
things that are, percolating there.

00:16:40.415 --> 00:16:41.725
We just haven't seen it yet.

00:16:41.745 --> 00:16:45.855
We see it after it scales up and,
and they've polished it or, or

00:16:45.855 --> 00:16:48.785
we don't, but you're saying at
a, at a level even above that.

00:16:48.995 --> 00:16:50.085
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Yeah, I
would push back at that.

00:16:50.185 --> 00:16:55.655
I, it was OpenAI, frankly, like
when you joined OpenAI, right?

00:16:55.845 --> 00:17:00.255
But, but after, after the ChatGPT and
before, right, when they're making Rubik's

00:17:00.255 --> 00:17:06.245
Cubes robots and things like that, I
think once the ChatGPT gun goes off, A

00:17:06.245 --> 00:17:09.545
lot of it is, it's not that there isn't
advanced research, and not that people

00:17:09.545 --> 00:17:13.535
aren't doing amazing, crazy, interesting
things, but it's all in service of

00:17:13.535 --> 00:17:15.235
something that's relatively deterministic.

00:17:16.075 --> 00:17:20.455
And, and the problem with the corporate
labs, the large ones like Google, is,

00:17:20.495 --> 00:17:24.325
we've had this conversation before   I'm
trying to get my paper published.

00:17:25.525 --> 00:17:28.965
And that's also a very, very
different incentive than if you

00:17:28.975 --> 00:17:32.345
think about what's going on inside
of Xerox PARC at that point in time.

00:17:32.795 --> 00:17:33.135
Fraser Kelton: Yeah.

00:17:33.315 --> 00:17:36.295
You don't think there's the
same crazy shenanigans happening

00:17:36.295 --> 00:17:37.325
and we just haven't seen it?

00:17:37.555 --> 00:17:43.225
There's not the equivalent of
Sora 3 that you can squint and

00:17:43.225 --> 00:17:46.255
see, but we're not going to see
it in the world for five years?

00:17:46.555 --> 00:17:47.655
Nabeel Hyatt (2): It's a good challenge.

00:17:47.935 --> 00:17:53.385
I would say there's probably a little bit
happening at the edges of Google R& D.

00:17:53.385 --> 00:17:53.425
Yeah.

00:17:53.810 --> 00:17:55.000
at least a year ago.

00:17:55.840 --> 00:18:00.830
I'm often giving Google a hard time for
maybe even being the Xerox PARC of this

00:18:00.840 --> 00:18:04.450
era in that they like invented all this
technology and then we'll see if they ever

00:18:04.470 --> 00:18:06.340
effectively bring any of it to market.

00:18:06.660 --> 00:18:11.220
But, look, in the world of consolidation,
where everything's moving together at

00:18:11.220 --> 00:18:14.700
Google  I kind of want them to consolidate
so that they can hopefully execute

00:18:14.720 --> 00:18:18.380
really well so that we can actually see
Google as a good citizen in this time.

00:18:18.550 --> 00:18:22.070
set of product surface areas and,
and  invent the future of AI with

00:18:22.070 --> 00:18:26.590
everybody else instead of just kind
of right, um, making demos, but the

00:18:26.650 --> 00:18:30.270
downside of that is, and we've kind
of had this experience, we interview

00:18:30.270 --> 00:18:33.240
people that are coming out of Google,
what kind of research did you do there?

00:18:33.250 --> 00:18:39.650
Since you're joining XYZ new startup,
it is thinning in its aperture.

00:18:39.955 --> 00:18:41.085
not widening, right?

00:18:41.085 --> 00:18:41.295
Right.

00:18:41.325 --> 00:18:43.025
It's narrowing in its aperture, right?

00:18:43.025 --> 00:18:47.065
It's not widening that Google has
targets now that they're going after.

00:18:47.255 --> 00:18:49.735
And so they're going to do
less of that work over time.

00:18:49.925 --> 00:18:51.905
And so this is me just kind of
like raising a hand and being

00:18:51.905 --> 00:18:55.295
like, I understand granola is
not like the most mind blowing,

00:18:55.325 --> 00:18:58.265
crazy, you know, it's not Sora.

00:18:58.715 --> 00:19:00.115
But that's kind of my point.

00:19:00.125 --> 00:19:03.385
I think there's still a crazy amount
of innovation to happen even just

00:19:03.385 --> 00:19:08.175
at the UI and UX and product layer,
not at the deep research algo layer.

00:19:09.135 --> 00:19:12.945
There's nothing crazy technical
about inventing the GUI, the

00:19:12.945 --> 00:19:14.115
graphical user interface.

00:19:14.205 --> 00:19:16.965
The first time you ever saw a window
you could move around with a mouse.

00:19:17.545 --> 00:19:19.685
There's actually nothing crazy
technical about the mouse

00:19:19.705 --> 00:19:20.715
when it was first invented.

00:19:21.325 --> 00:19:26.280
It is thinking about the product
experience and then developing technology

00:19:26.280 --> 00:19:29.320
that maps to the product experience that
we think we want to have with this new

00:19:29.350 --> 00:19:30.710
technology that's entered our lives.

00:19:30.950 --> 00:19:33.840
I think we're going to do
great at new fancy algorithms.

00:19:33.950 --> 00:19:34.260
Fraser Kelton: Yeah.

00:19:34.390 --> 00:19:36.740
Nabeel Hyatt (2): I'm less
certain that we have the right

00:19:36.740 --> 00:19:39.150
pockets in technology right now.

00:19:39.885 --> 00:19:43.845
Innovate on new product experiences
because everybody's chasing growth

00:19:44.135 --> 00:19:47.075
and we have been organized to
think about customer development

00:19:47.215 --> 00:19:49.435
and MVPs and up into the right.

00:19:49.435 --> 00:19:49.665
Yep.

00:19:49.665 --> 00:19:52.115
So I can raise my billion dollar round
tomorrow and all the rest of that stuff.

00:19:52.125 --> 00:19:52.355
Yep.

00:19:52.355 --> 00:19:52.575
Yep.

00:19:52.575 --> 00:19:52.725
Yep.

00:19:52.745 --> 00:19:54.145
And I'm not that I'm not against growth.

00:19:54.155 --> 00:19:57.225
Like eventually we're in the venture scale
business, but it's, we're just early.

00:19:57.265 --> 00:20:01.365
And we like  it's just, there's the
room for weirdness is important.

00:20:01.515 --> 00:20:02.445
Fraser Kelton: I get all of that.

00:20:02.475 --> 00:20:04.735
I was just sitting with the
founder that I work with.

00:20:06.050 --> 00:20:12.080
And he's exceptionally early in a market
that's early and he's iterating, you know,

00:20:12.460 --> 00:20:13.990
uh, toward a product that's resonating.

00:20:14.010 --> 00:20:18.550
And my feedback to him was like, that
sounds good, but, At this moment in time,

00:20:18.590 --> 00:20:22.390
I would make sure that you're taking
large swings adjacent to where you're

00:20:22.390 --> 00:20:25.840
currently going to make sure that you're
not marching up a local maxima, right?

00:20:25.900 --> 00:20:26.260
I agree.

00:20:26.450 --> 00:20:28.000
There's so much stuff going on.

00:20:28.090 --> 00:20:28.470
I don't know.

00:20:28.470 --> 00:20:32.350
I feel like we have to give
permission to be creative at times.

00:20:32.900 --> 00:20:34.780
We as in  the tech industry.

00:20:34.800 --> 00:20:35.040
Yeah.

00:20:35.260 --> 00:20:36.220
And we have to be patient.

00:20:36.430 --> 00:20:41.090
I think that's a big thing though
is if you were to see a demo of

00:20:41.210 --> 00:20:44.480
that type of stuff now, think
about the world's response.

00:20:44.480 --> 00:20:44.540
Yeah.

00:20:44.725 --> 00:20:47.485
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Yeah, well there's,
there's a world where some of those people

00:20:47.485 --> 00:20:51.385
are trying to do some of those demos and
maybe the world just says this is fake.

00:20:51.740 --> 00:20:57.590
Maybe the world says this isn't shippable
and, you know, this founder is full of it.

00:20:58.330 --> 00:21:02.340
Fraser Kelton: Yeah  listen, we've seen
that exceptionally loudly on Twitter.

00:21:02.710 --> 00:21:06.890
You shipped a waitlist, you shipped
a demo, you shipped  there's a

00:21:06.950 --> 00:21:11.035
cacophony of voices screaming at
you, and you have to be patient.

00:21:11.345 --> 00:21:12.915
Twitter's not, one,

00:21:12.915 --> 00:21:16.965
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Twitter's not reality,
uh, two, all we, all you really ask when

00:21:16.965 --> 00:21:20.825
you're shipping a demo or talking about
a concept is that you be transparent.

00:21:20.825 --> 00:21:21.535
It's a concept.

00:21:22.285 --> 00:21:25.465
There's nothing wrong with
talking about a crazy idea.

00:21:25.905 --> 00:21:28.575
The problem with talking about
a crazy idea is presenting

00:21:28.575 --> 00:21:30.165
it as shipping in 30 days.

00:21:30.385 --> 00:21:31.745
Just give me your a hundred dollars.

00:21:31.795 --> 00:21:32.315
Right.

00:21:32.425 --> 00:21:33.135
And it's ready.

00:21:33.175 --> 00:21:34.185
Right, right.

00:21:34.405 --> 00:21:35.265
That's the problem.

00:21:35.670 --> 00:21:39.570
There's nothing wrong with making
claims and being highfalutin and, and

00:21:39.580 --> 00:21:41.900
being, you know, you can be Walt Disney.

00:21:41.910 --> 00:21:44.620
Just make sure you  everybody
understands that you're

00:21:44.620 --> 00:21:46.480
dreaming at this moment, right?

00:21:47.220 --> 00:21:48.080
Um, yep.

00:21:48.180 --> 00:21:51.010
I do think it is really hard to be
patient though, Fraser  I agree.

00:21:51.140 --> 00:21:55.340
It's very hard to keep iterating on
a thing to really get to new things,

00:21:55.360 --> 00:22:01.210
especially When all of your competitors
are probably chasing a little bit of

00:22:01.210 --> 00:22:06.110
traction and are probably raising a bunch
of money And so  you know, you're trying

00:22:06.110 --> 00:22:09.960
to iterate on refining the product and
getting it perfect and you're rethinking

00:22:09.960 --> 00:22:14.080
You're like throwing out the UX for
the third time to really make it work

00:22:14.210 --> 00:22:17.120
And then you wake up one morning and
you open up TechCrunch and somebody

00:22:17.120 --> 00:22:19.620
else is doing something orthogonal It's
raised just raised a hundred and fifty

00:22:19.620 --> 00:22:23.560
million dollars or whatever the number is
like, you know, this is we as a venture

00:22:23.560 --> 00:22:28.190
community are part and parcel of in trying
to solve our own problems on a monthly

00:22:28.190 --> 00:22:29.670
basis and get our, you know, whoever.

00:22:30.485 --> 00:22:32.225
principle at some firm is
trying to get a promotion.

00:22:32.225 --> 00:22:36.395
So he's trying to jump on the hot
thing that week is is certainly makes

00:22:36.395 --> 00:22:39.175
it harder to build really good product
and make really good decisions.

00:22:39.175 --> 00:22:39.935
No question, right?

00:22:40.895 --> 00:22:44.465
Fraser Kelton: I also think that
personal incentives are incredibly

00:22:44.465 --> 00:22:47.435
important in everything like full stop.

00:22:47.605 --> 00:22:51.955
And I think the structure of
performance reviews and yearly perf

00:22:52.005 --> 00:22:55.555
packages that people pull together,
I think it'd be almost impossible

00:22:55.555 --> 00:22:59.655
in that framework to find the
structure that rewards that level of.

00:23:00.330 --> 00:23:02.260
Exploration, right?

00:23:02.260 --> 00:23:06.160
Like it's, it's probably, probably
doable, but it would take even at

00:23:06.160 --> 00:23:11.050
the org level, some real careful
consideration and sculpting.

00:23:11.290 --> 00:23:11.590
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Yeah.

00:23:11.590 --> 00:23:14.690
The, the, the old adage from Charlie
Munger, show me the incentive

00:23:14.690 --> 00:23:15.680
and I'll show you the outcome.

00:23:15.850 --> 00:23:16.260
Fraser Kelton: Oh, for sure.

00:23:16.260 --> 00:23:17.390
A hundred percent, right?

00:23:17.420 --> 00:23:18.290
Yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:23:18.290 --> 00:23:22.190
You know, talking about, um,
waking up and seeing the headline

00:23:22.190 --> 00:23:25.360
that, that your competitors raised
hundreds of millions of dollars.

00:23:25.750 --> 00:23:31.760
That is a topic that has been on
my mind for a while now, um, and

00:23:31.760 --> 00:23:32.960
I'm sure it's been on yours, too.

00:23:33.140 --> 00:23:36.360
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Yeah, it's impossible
to not be operating in the AI market

00:23:36.430 --> 00:23:39.470
and trying to be either an employee
in a startup, a CEO of a startup, an

00:23:39.470 --> 00:23:41.630
investor in a startup, and not wake up.

00:23:41.780 --> 00:23:44.970
On both sides of this equation, at
some point in your life, you're going

00:23:44.970 --> 00:23:48.810
to wake up, and you're going to feel
great about having raised a bunch more

00:23:48.810 --> 00:23:51.040
money than somebody else, and you're
trying to figure out how to use it,

00:23:51.070 --> 00:23:54.720
and we certainly have those companies,
and then inevitably, in the kind of

00:23:54.720 --> 00:23:59.680
rollercoaster of things, you're going
to wake up one day, And there's some

00:24:00.090 --> 00:24:04.800
headline of somebody who's raised a
billion dollars at, at 10 billion or 100

00:24:04.800 --> 00:24:06.960
billion at, at, you know, whatever it is.

00:24:06.980 --> 00:24:09.750
It's 10x more than you've
got, that's for sure.

00:24:10.140 --> 00:24:12.650
And then they call you,
Fraser, I know you've had this

00:24:12.650 --> 00:24:13.630
happen, I've had this happen.

00:24:13.690 --> 00:24:17.520
What do you say to somebody who calls
and says, man, they just raised that

00:24:17.520 --> 00:24:21.465
much money off in the, Is  they're
the same size as us or even smaller,

00:24:21.465 --> 00:24:22.915
or like, how did that happen?

00:24:23.225 --> 00:24:26.785
What do you say to a founder and how
do you think a team, not even just a

00:24:26.785 --> 00:24:30.195
founder, how do you think a team should
internalize when there's money flung

00:24:30.195 --> 00:24:33.715
around in that kind of like haphazard
way that that may or may not feel

00:24:33.715 --> 00:24:34.925
like it just took you out that day?

00:24:35.140 --> 00:24:40.020
Fraser Kelton: I think  any good piece of
discussion around startups, uh, there's

00:24:40.030 --> 00:24:44.400
way too much nuance for us to have  a
tight, solid piece of wisdom here.

00:24:44.400 --> 00:24:45.220
Nabeel Hyatt (2): It's
not three headlines.

00:24:45.240 --> 00:24:46.830
It's not the three steps to the epiphany.

00:24:48.600 --> 00:24:51.070
Fraser Kelton: It, uh, because
listen, we went through an era where

00:24:51.070 --> 00:24:53.925
software was like, Bank thought
that they could overcapitalize every

00:24:53.925 --> 00:24:56.475
company and crown the market winner.

00:24:56.535 --> 00:24:59.355
And I think that we've seen that
that experiment didn't work out.

00:24:59.745 --> 00:25:02.865
Nabeel Hyatt (2): You know  like all
things, it didn't work in 20 places

00:25:02.865 --> 00:25:03.885
except for the place where it worked.

00:25:03.890 --> 00:25:05.415
Like it really worked for DoorDash.

00:25:05.445 --> 00:25:05.805
Right.

00:25:05.985 --> 00:25:07.725
Like that it absolutely worked.

00:25:07.785 --> 00:25:09.135
And then there was like, right.

00:25:09.135 --> 00:25:11.805
You know, a MA and probably maybe
one other place, but the, yeah.

00:25:11.835 --> 00:25:14.565
Capital creates the winner
was a graveyard otherwise.

00:25:14.565 --> 00:25:14.835
Right,

00:25:14.840 --> 00:25:15.180
Fraser Kelton: right.

00:25:15.755 --> 00:25:16.045
Right.

00:25:16.065 --> 00:25:19.415
It just incinerated a bunch of
capital and an awful lot of startups.

00:25:19.465 --> 00:25:19.665
Yeah.

00:25:19.765 --> 00:25:24.495
And I feel that in my bones, like one
thing that I think is, is like the

00:25:24.525 --> 00:25:29.315
cardinal sin of a founder, and I felt it
when I was a founder, was overcapitalizing

00:25:29.325 --> 00:25:33.515
and celebrating the amount that
you raised or your, your valuation.

00:25:33.925 --> 00:25:37.785
Because I think that, I don't know,
it's probably not causation, but it's

00:25:37.785 --> 00:25:42.755
pretty darn close, um, to that, right,
is, is, it feels, I can't think of

00:25:42.755 --> 00:25:44.935
one example where that's the case.

00:25:45.215 --> 00:25:49.295
You have on one end of the, the, the
ledger, uh, a situation where over

00:25:49.295 --> 00:25:55.215
capitalization kills companies, the
idea that capital can crown the king

00:25:55.285 --> 00:26:01.015
also really didn't work out, and yet
I feel like in many markets right now,

00:26:01.670 --> 00:26:06.780
Uh, you will lose your edge if you're
not at least in the same ballpark.

00:26:07.110 --> 00:26:11.250
If you're a company that's raised 20
million and you have competitors that

00:26:11.250 --> 00:26:18.150
have raised 150, 250, 400 million, if
you're trying to compete for the same

00:26:18.570 --> 00:26:23.100
large enterprise customer, if you're
trying to compete for the same researcher

00:26:23.100 --> 00:26:28.430
who's been at DeepMind for five, six
years, I do think that you're going to be

00:26:28.430 --> 00:26:30.470
perceived very differently in the market.

00:26:30.850 --> 00:26:32.530
Um, with that type of a split.

00:26:32.590 --> 00:26:36.740
And then I think that over time, uh,
it's going to have a real effect, a

00:26:36.740 --> 00:26:38.520
negative effect on, on the company.

00:26:38.770 --> 00:26:40.070
Nabeel Hyatt (2): I think
that's somewhat true.

00:26:40.090 --> 00:26:42.860
I think it's worth digging in and
giving a little bit of nuance back to

00:26:42.860 --> 00:26:44.400
a team that's trying to process this.

00:26:44.460 --> 00:26:47.620
Like, when you're thinking about larger
competitors, I just think it's important

00:26:47.630 --> 00:26:50.560
to keep your customer in mind, and
it all roots back to your customer.

00:26:50.580 --> 00:26:52.585
Your customer is going to
make your success, not you.

00:26:53.145 --> 00:26:54.735
Not a VC and not your bank account.

00:26:55.125 --> 00:26:58.305
And so sometimes the money matters
because your customer matters.

00:26:59.065 --> 00:27:02.185
Sometimes the money matters because
it matters to your customer.

00:27:02.225 --> 00:27:02.255
Fraser Kelton: Not,

00:27:03.415 --> 00:27:05.355
Nabeel Hyatt (2): it's
often that not because.

00:27:06.635 --> 00:27:11.635
It is a situation where it made the
next engineering hire happen or not.

00:27:12.015 --> 00:27:15.725
I started a company a long
time ago called Conduit Labs.

00:27:15.905 --> 00:27:19.205
About nine months into its life, it
pivoted into Facebook games as the

00:27:19.205 --> 00:27:22.275
Facebook app platform opened up, and
that led to the acquisition by Zynga.

00:27:22.585 --> 00:27:25.035
But early on, we were building
virtual worlds in this kind

00:27:25.035 --> 00:27:26.475
of  post second life world.

00:27:26.935 --> 00:27:34.055
And I just remember the product
we were working on, MTV funded and

00:27:34.065 --> 00:27:36.475
built a competitor to that product.

00:27:36.975 --> 00:27:39.315
And I was freaking out.

00:27:39.645 --> 00:27:43.345
And I remember talking to Alex Rogopoulos,
who's the CEO of Harmonix, guys who made

00:27:43.345 --> 00:27:45.165
guitar here in rock band at the time.

00:27:45.665 --> 00:27:49.585
And I just remember the advice he
was giving me, which is just  right

00:27:49.585 --> 00:27:51.265
now you are all default debt.

00:27:51.345 --> 00:27:53.265
I don't really care how
much money comes in.

00:27:53.545 --> 00:27:58.305
The default process is that whatever they
just come up with is just not good enough.

00:27:59.085 --> 00:28:05.335
And so don't stare at them with
their money and be covetous  stare

00:28:05.335 --> 00:28:08.315
at their product and be covetous if
they've come up with the right thing.

00:28:08.935 --> 00:28:13.525
And, uh, you know, the similar
thing happened, Ambient Devices, a

00:28:13.555 --> 00:28:16.455
previous company I started that was
a spin out from the MIT Media Lab.

00:28:16.855 --> 00:28:17.305
I remember LG.

00:28:18.575 --> 00:28:21.935
After we'd had extensive conversations
about licensing agreements, a couple  six

00:28:21.935 --> 00:28:26.385
months later, they started, they launched
their Andean Computing Initiative at LG.

00:28:26.615 --> 00:28:28.905
And we were like, oh man, big guy.

00:28:29.235 --> 00:28:31.395
You know, it just turned out the
whole category wasn't a category.

00:28:31.395 --> 00:28:32.345
It wasn't a massive category.

00:28:32.925 --> 00:28:34.285
So  it's fine.

00:28:34.900 --> 00:28:40.060
You know, I think Cruise is another
great example where, man, you

00:28:40.060 --> 00:28:43.300
know, that was a, a capital war.

00:28:43.580 --> 00:28:49.400
You had Google, uh, with Waymo
budgets, after Cruise raised,

00:28:49.430 --> 00:28:53.470
not long later, Aurora raised,
Chris Armisen, um, became the CEO.

00:28:53.770 --> 00:28:56.980
You know, he had, he headed the self
driving, uh, car team at Alphabet

00:28:56.980 --> 00:29:01.535
for seven years    and then it
turned out, by the way, that  I don't

00:29:01.535 --> 00:29:03.065
know, Cruz was the first to market.

00:29:03.065 --> 00:29:04.945
We'll see what GM does with it now.

00:29:05.325 --> 00:29:07.315
Waymo is another viable player.

00:29:07.625 --> 00:29:11.935
Aurora, we'll see what happens, but
certainly even with the war chest that

00:29:11.935 --> 00:29:16.445
they built, didn't immediately make them
winners in the market, that's for sure.

00:29:16.935 --> 00:29:21.065
So, I don't know, I think
Capital, I think of it three ways.

00:29:21.705 --> 00:29:27.795
One is, if it's day zero and you're an
overfunded pre product market company,

00:29:28.545 --> 00:29:32.905
capital is, is oxygen, and you could
absolutely die by oxygenization.

00:29:34.785 --> 00:29:35.185
Fraser Kelton: Right.

00:29:35.205 --> 00:29:35.725
Yes.

00:29:36.115 --> 00:29:36.405
Good.

00:29:36.775 --> 00:29:39.405
Nabeel Hyatt (2): And I remember when
Thalmic Labs raised a hundred million

00:29:39.405 --> 00:29:42.985
dollar round, uh, years ago, they're an
early frontier tech startup we backed.

00:29:42.985 --> 00:29:47.395
You know, I remember showing at that
point in time, the list of other hundred

00:29:47.395 --> 00:29:51.425
million dollar pre launch companies
That it existed, like literally every

00:29:51.425 --> 00:29:58.625
single one that it existed, and it was
a unbelievable quibby like graveyard

00:29:58.965 --> 00:30:01.325
of companies that did not work out.

00:30:01.775 --> 00:30:04.965
There's a bunch of reasons we need to go
into now about why I believe that is true,

00:30:05.255 --> 00:30:08.245
but it's not categorically true, right?

00:30:08.305 --> 00:30:09.435
But it's pretty rare.

00:30:09.820 --> 00:30:13.740
And hard to raise that kind of capital
and still keep a disciplined, fast

00:30:13.740 --> 00:30:15.710
moving, execution oriented startup.

00:30:15.710 --> 00:30:16.380
A hundred percent.

00:30:16.590 --> 00:30:18.080
Yeah, and keep up with everybody else.

00:30:18.090 --> 00:30:21.660
So sometimes a bunch of money
into somebody else can be a gift.

00:30:22.210 --> 00:30:24.840
The second bit, which you were
getting to, I'd say on a large, on

00:30:24.840 --> 00:30:27.930
a large raise, or somebody who's
doing it is, is who is your customer?

00:30:28.270 --> 00:30:33.135
If your customer is a consumer  I don't
know, a hundred million dollars, five

00:30:33.135 --> 00:30:35.685
hundred million dollars in the bank, like
it doesn't change your retention curves.

00:30:35.715 --> 00:30:36.445
Nobody cares.

00:30:36.495 --> 00:30:36.965
At all.

00:30:37.045 --> 00:30:37.255
That's right.

00:30:37.255 --> 00:30:39.125
Your customers barely pay attention.

00:30:39.145 --> 00:30:40.065
They don't really know.

00:30:40.285 --> 00:30:41.655
I wouldn't worry too much about it.

00:30:41.985 --> 00:30:44.695
If anything, again, it
might handicap other people.

00:30:45.035 --> 00:30:53.635
If your customer is  I don't know,
some old money water company in France

00:30:53.815 --> 00:30:59.255
that wants to buy the safest thing
in the planet, Then you should worry.

00:30:59.315 --> 00:30:59.655
Fraser Kelton: Yeah.

00:30:59.775 --> 00:31:00.045
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Right?

00:31:00.075 --> 00:31:04.975
If your, if your customer is very
safety oriented, late adopter type,

00:31:05.275 --> 00:31:08.800
who just wants safety, then them
looking at a startup that has a

00:31:08.800 --> 00:31:12.110
10 times higher bank account than
you, it will affect your business.

00:31:12.310 --> 00:31:14.670
And you better find a way
to fight the capital game.

00:31:14.860 --> 00:31:19.040
Or at least, as you said earlier, at
least  be within an order of magnitude.

00:31:19.310 --> 00:31:19.660
Right?

00:31:19.690 --> 00:31:20.200
Right.

00:31:20.610 --> 00:31:21.640
Yeah, same universe.

00:31:21.650 --> 00:31:22.970
In the same universe.

00:31:22.970 --> 00:31:24.570
You don't have to play a capital war.

00:31:24.590 --> 00:31:24.880
That's it.

00:31:24.880 --> 00:31:28.440
But you better have the same number
of zeros as the other person.

00:31:28.720 --> 00:31:31.530
Or else, again, it's, it's,
but again, that's not really

00:31:31.530 --> 00:31:32.500
about the money in the bank.

00:31:32.720 --> 00:31:36.830
That is about the amount
of capital you have is.

00:31:37.775 --> 00:31:42.715
a feature of your company when you're
trying to sell to a large organization.

00:31:42.725 --> 00:31:43.065
Fraser Kelton: For sure.

00:31:43.095 --> 00:31:45.335
Nabeel Hyatt (2): It's a part of
your product, strangely enough.

00:31:45.345 --> 00:31:45.785
Fraser Kelton: For sure.

00:31:45.875 --> 00:31:47.365
Nabeel Hyatt (2): But that's
very, that's very rare.

00:31:47.365 --> 00:31:52.205
Most of the times, most AI companies,
are not trying to sell to late

00:31:52.205 --> 00:31:55.395
adopters kind of by necessity.

00:31:56.015 --> 00:32:00.185
If you're selling to a fear induced
late adopter, first of all, thank you.

00:32:00.205 --> 00:32:02.875
Elephant hunting, whale
hunting startup, it's hard.

00:32:02.875 --> 00:32:03.185
Right.

00:32:03.225 --> 00:32:03.745
Impossible.

00:32:03.775 --> 00:32:06.335
And it's going to be slow
and it's going to be painful.

00:32:06.555 --> 00:32:09.085
You should probably see if you have
early adopters you can sell to first.

00:32:09.225 --> 00:32:10.095
That's the nature of things.

00:32:10.105 --> 00:32:10.445
Right.

00:32:10.505 --> 00:32:13.815
But yeah, and then there will be the few
situations just like there's no playbook,

00:32:13.975 --> 00:32:16.695
there's no three headlines to get you
through, but there will be some situations

00:32:16.695 --> 00:32:18.950
where You know, you are in a capital war.

00:32:19.250 --> 00:32:20.130
That's just the bottom line.

00:32:21.330 --> 00:32:23.490
Fraser Kelton: The other thing
that we've heard from, from very

00:32:23.490 --> 00:32:25.610
capable founders who tell us.

00:32:26.090 --> 00:32:31.180
that they know better, is that the
types of talent that can make a

00:32:31.180 --> 00:32:37.020
company in this moment, and I'm talking
about applied researchers or product

00:32:37.020 --> 00:32:44.760
focused researchers, are valuing
total comp in the moment rather than

00:32:45.110 --> 00:32:47.240
the opportunity for appreciation.

00:32:47.980 --> 00:32:49.945
And we've met a couple
of really great people.

00:32:50.405 --> 00:32:54.735
Really strong founders that I respect who
then say, listen, I know, I know, I know,

00:32:55.335 --> 00:32:59.015
but to hire the three types of people
that I need to hire over the next 18

00:32:59.015 --> 00:33:04.125
months, uh, to make the company, they're
going to evaluate it on that vector.

00:33:04.155 --> 00:33:08.765
And so it's important that I'm
again in the universe of valuation.

00:33:08.935 --> 00:33:13.595
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Yeah, there was
a tweet a couple of weeks ago that

00:33:13.595 --> 00:33:21.280
was like, If you're interviewing at
OpenAI and you're interviewing at a

00:33:21.280 --> 00:33:25.870
startup, then the startup should just
stop interviewing you immediately

00:33:25.870 --> 00:33:26.780
or something along those lines.

00:33:27.130 --> 00:33:29.610
Fraser Kelton: It was, if you're
a startup and you're interviewing

00:33:29.610 --> 00:33:32.580
somebody who's also interviewing
at big tech, you should just stop.

00:33:33.535 --> 00:33:33.975
Nabeel Hyatt (2): That's right.

00:33:34.005 --> 00:33:36.655
Fraser Kelton: They're like a tourist
who's going on a little side journey

00:33:36.655 --> 00:33:40.485
to understand, uh, how interesting
it might be in a startup, but

00:33:40.485 --> 00:33:41.545
they're never going to come to you.

00:33:41.595 --> 00:33:44.075
Nabeel Hyatt (2): I will push back
slightly on that, and I did in that

00:33:44.075 --> 00:33:47.535
conversation, which is that there
are some people who actually don't

00:33:47.545 --> 00:33:53.945
really know the difference between
joining OpenAI or joining Google and

00:33:53.945 --> 00:33:56.885
joining a startup, like there are some
people that are just earlier in their

00:33:56.885 --> 00:34:00.995
educational journey about what that
choice really means and the pluses and

00:34:00.995 --> 00:34:04.615
minuses of the choices of being a big
tech or being in a startup environment.

00:34:04.965 --> 00:34:07.755
And so sometimes it's worth
explaining to people if you

00:34:07.755 --> 00:34:10.495
haven't explained to people the.

00:34:10.905 --> 00:34:16.665
Appreciation of stock and the amount
of change and responsibility and

00:34:16.665 --> 00:34:21.905
excitement and agency that comes with
being in a startup versus working in a

00:34:21.905 --> 00:34:26.705
lab at Google, then  shame on you as a
founder, and there are plenty of people,

00:34:26.705 --> 00:34:28.005
especially if you haven't grown up.

00:34:28.330 --> 00:34:31.620
in Silicon Valley, there's still plenty
of people on the planet, even those

00:34:31.620 --> 00:34:34.770
who've been working for many years, who
don't really understand startup culture.

00:34:34.770 --> 00:34:36.890
They understand technology
culture, but they don't really

00:34:36.890 --> 00:34:37.830
understand startup culture.

00:34:37.940 --> 00:34:41.410
So I think you have to explain to them
what it means to join a startup, and what

00:34:41.410 --> 00:34:44.120
that means from a compensation standpoint,
and also that, frankly, what it means from

00:34:44.120 --> 00:34:45.950
a working and responsibility standpoint.

00:34:46.390 --> 00:34:51.050
And then, yeah, if at this point,
you're haggling over those kinds of

00:34:51.050 --> 00:34:56.160
choices between OpenAI or a startup
they should probably just first pick

00:34:56.375 --> 00:35:00.025
big company or startup right before
they even get to the name of the thing

00:35:00.085 --> 00:35:03.275
right because they're just wildly
different paths like it's You know,

00:35:03.295 --> 00:35:05.335
it is like different careers in a way.

00:35:05.525 --> 00:35:07.075
Fraser Kelton: Listen, I get all of that.

00:35:07.195 --> 00:35:09.325
The market's telling us
something different right now.

00:35:09.375 --> 00:35:12.005
The market might be
irrational in the moment.

00:35:12.005 --> 00:35:12.535
We've seen that.

00:35:12.535 --> 00:35:16.205
But these are, these are like
seasoned, capable founders who are

00:35:16.205 --> 00:35:19.745
telling us that they need to play
that game to make the couple of hires

00:35:19.745 --> 00:35:20.785
that are going to make the company.

00:35:20.795 --> 00:35:21.965
Nabeel Hyatt (2): No, I just disagree.

00:35:22.005 --> 00:35:23.195
I like, I just disagree.

00:35:23.365 --> 00:35:27.145
Like you, that person, because the
problem is that person is coin operated.

00:35:27.405 --> 00:35:30.145
That person wants whatever the
highest comp package for that year is.

00:35:30.525 --> 00:35:33.325
And what that means is that they are
going to join you and you're going

00:35:33.325 --> 00:35:36.235
to go through all this integration
and they're going to get work done.

00:35:36.265 --> 00:35:39.195
And then six months later, somebody's
going to give them a signing bonus

00:35:39.205 --> 00:35:40.475
and they're going to be gone anyway.

00:35:40.585 --> 00:35:42.845
Everything in my bones
tells me you're right.

00:35:44.265 --> 00:35:44.555
Fraser Kelton: Yeah.

00:35:44.785 --> 00:35:45.145
Right?

00:35:45.335 --> 00:35:46.725
Everything in my bones
tells me you're right.

00:35:46.725 --> 00:35:46.965
Yeah.

00:35:47.085 --> 00:35:50.425
No, I think that the challenge that I'm
wrestling with is  I've seen firsthand

00:35:50.425 --> 00:35:55.040
how one person One person can breathe
life into something in this moment.

00:35:55.070 --> 00:35:58.270
That is, that is, uh, ethereal.

00:35:58.280 --> 00:36:01.160
Like it's, it's not like you're
hiring a 10 X engineer who's going

00:36:01.160 --> 00:36:05.180
to come in and you're fighting
for that type of incremental, like

00:36:05.190 --> 00:36:07.100
efficiency on your engineering team.

00:36:07.100 --> 00:36:10.370
And you're going to ship your like backend
data pipelines a little bit faster.

00:36:10.390 --> 00:36:10.650
Yeah.

00:36:10.720 --> 00:36:13.060
I think we're sitting in a
moment where there, there are,

00:36:13.100 --> 00:36:15.140
Nabeel Hyatt (2): it's like signs
of life is what your point is.

00:36:15.160 --> 00:36:15.590
Like it's

00:36:15.780 --> 00:36:17.270
Fraser Kelton: signs of life from.

00:36:17.270 --> 00:36:17.495
Yeah.

00:36:17.875 --> 00:36:22.795
Uh, a very scarce number of people who
can control the, the, the magic, um,

00:36:22.815 --> 00:36:25.435
and, and, and grant it to your company.

00:36:25.775 --> 00:36:30.445
If, if you are really going to push
the frontier of AI research in a

00:36:30.445 --> 00:36:32.995
domain and in an applied setting.

00:36:33.595 --> 00:36:37.095
With that research, I don't know,
like I've seen Alec Radford,

00:36:37.295 --> 00:36:39.305
like this guy is amazing.

00:36:39.615 --> 00:36:42.645
You probably should, you know, put
yourself in a position where you can get

00:36:42.645 --> 00:36:45.265
the N of 4 in the world into your company.

00:36:45.545 --> 00:36:48.625
I think the challenge then is if that's
true, people misconstrue that and do

00:36:48.625 --> 00:36:52.085
that same playbook for the backend
engineer where it really is immaterial.

00:36:52.385 --> 00:36:54.685
Nabeel Hyatt (2): The trend I have
felt in the last three or four

00:36:54.685 --> 00:36:58.525
or five months by folks who've
been in AI for a long time is.

00:36:59.180 --> 00:37:04.020
I only want one of those deep
researchers at most and, and

00:37:04.020 --> 00:37:05.870
me as the founder or the CTO.

00:37:06.365 --> 00:37:07.285
is that one.

00:37:07.835 --> 00:37:13.395
And I thought I needed 10, and the truth
is  I, I, now, now, I'm just gonna train

00:37:13.395 --> 00:37:16.565
some really good ML people internally,
and I will get 99 percent of the way

00:37:16.565 --> 00:37:20.745
there on every single thing I want to
do, uh, and frankly, they'll be more

00:37:20.745 --> 00:37:24.965
product oriented, more consumer oriented
you know, uh, uh, uh, two years ago

00:37:24.965 --> 00:37:29.655
and a year ago, the kind of prevailing
thought process was, I want a really

00:37:29.665 --> 00:37:35.750
hardcore  world class research team on
top of a world class engine product team.

00:37:35.990 --> 00:37:38.940
And I need to build both of those
and keep those dualities together.

00:37:39.280 --> 00:37:42.940
And I, and we've both seen that
the trend for the best performing

00:37:42.940 --> 00:37:48.700
companies now has been incredibly
slim to almost no research team.

00:37:49.250 --> 00:37:52.310
Maybe, again, one to two
people, often the founders.

00:37:52.370 --> 00:37:52.740
Right.

00:37:52.890 --> 00:37:56.505
And so, You know, again,
unless you're Anthropic.

00:37:56.565 --> 00:38:00.835
Anthropic has a reason to have a massive
research team to be in, you know, a

00:38:00.835 --> 00:38:02.465
state of the art large language model.

00:38:02.845 --> 00:38:05.385
Fraser Kelton: Yeah, this is, this
is where so much nuance matters on

00:38:05.385 --> 00:38:07.155
the decision because I know, man.

00:38:07.165 --> 00:38:07.765
Yeah, I know.

00:38:07.875 --> 00:38:10.915
I think I agree with you for
when you're starting out.

00:38:10.965 --> 00:38:15.060
I think that we have undoubtedly seen
in the market that if you go try to

00:38:15.060 --> 00:38:19.350
get like your merry men of researchers
together to go like gallivant

00:38:19.350 --> 00:38:23.910
around and start a company, I don't
think that usually works out well.

00:38:23.950 --> 00:38:29.660
You have a researcher, usually
the founder, founding CTO, who's,

00:38:29.670 --> 00:38:33.620
who's pushing forward with a lot
of product motivation behind it.

00:38:34.360 --> 00:38:39.665
There is a time though, when that
company is No longer three people

00:38:39.665 --> 00:38:42.525
and just founding, they have a
product and market, or they have

00:38:42.565 --> 00:38:46.755
the scaffolding of an organization
around them, and they've started to

00:38:46.755 --> 00:38:50.115
scale a team, you can basically, I
don't know, is like the equivalent

00:38:50.115 --> 00:38:55.835
of a two pizza team again, you can
replicate that playbook multiple times.

00:38:56.250 --> 00:38:59.140
Depending on where you are in the arc of
your company, I would take multiple people

00:38:59.140 --> 00:39:03.090
like that and build a team around them
and, and let them, let them run rampant.

00:39:03.150 --> 00:39:03.360
Yeah.

00:39:03.370 --> 00:39:06.160
Like it, it is, I think, I think there's
a moment in time where that can happen.

00:39:06.880 --> 00:39:10.530
So let's, let's bring it back is,
uh, a founder comes, they've raised,

00:39:10.580 --> 00:39:12.650
let's keep it at tens of millions.

00:39:12.940 --> 00:39:17.820
They say, Hey, listen, this company
just raised a billion dollars.

00:39:18.855 --> 00:39:20.945
They just launched the company.

00:39:20.965 --> 00:39:22.005
They haven't even launched the product.

00:39:22.005 --> 00:39:22.205
Right.

00:39:22.205 --> 00:39:24.135
They've introduced the company
with the billion dollar round.

00:39:24.495 --> 00:39:28.955
And actually all the people on the
team are not the founder ethos.

00:39:28.975 --> 00:39:32.305
They're, you know, gray haired,
grizzled industry veterans.

00:39:32.865 --> 00:39:33.985
100 percent of that case.

00:39:33.985 --> 00:39:35.895
I'm like, you should just ignore it.

00:39:35.925 --> 00:39:37.925
Like you don't even pay any mind share.

00:39:37.925 --> 00:39:40.525
They've just killed the company
and they don't even appreciate it.

00:39:40.845 --> 00:39:44.525
Um, I think the thing to be worried
about is the company or at least

00:39:45.350 --> 00:39:49.790
inquisitive about is the company
that's in your market in a market

00:39:49.800 --> 00:39:52.500
where your customers care about things.

00:39:52.830 --> 00:39:56.050
And, or there's a small number of
people who can wield this magic

00:39:56.050 --> 00:40:01.130
today, um, and care about outsized
comp rather than appreciation and

00:40:01.130 --> 00:40:03.420
have raised many multiples of you.

00:40:03.870 --> 00:40:06.630
Because I think that your,
uh, you said product earlier.

00:40:06.630 --> 00:40:09.760
I think that's your, I think that's a
reflection of your brand in the market.

00:40:09.760 --> 00:40:11.940
And I, I think that people.

00:40:12.425 --> 00:40:15.215
A lot of markets buy on brand.

00:40:15.355 --> 00:40:16.045
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Yeah, that's right.

00:40:16.295 --> 00:40:17.635
I think they do buy on brand.

00:40:17.645 --> 00:40:19.395
I don't think consumers buy on brand.

00:40:19.455 --> 00:40:19.825
No.

00:40:19.905 --> 00:40:22.995
I think even mid market to small
business, if you're, don't buy,

00:40:23.135 --> 00:40:27.080
the people who buy on brand and
safety are middle to late adopter.

00:40:27.130 --> 00:40:27.500
Yeah.

00:40:27.580 --> 00:40:31.210
Large, large elephant hunting enterprise
customers, which is actually a

00:40:31.210 --> 00:40:34.800
vanishingly small number of startups
actually have that customer base.

00:40:34.830 --> 00:40:35.320
Fraser Kelton: That's right.

00:40:36.350 --> 00:40:38.720
Nabeel Hyatt (2): And for
everybody else, like we're

00:40:38.880 --> 00:40:39.990
glossing over a bunch of things.

00:40:39.990 --> 00:40:45.120
Of course, money matters, but there
are a million different things that

00:40:45.120 --> 00:40:46.570
are going to kill you as a startup.

00:40:46.630 --> 00:40:50.390
And frankly, Most startups are going
to die by suicide, not homicide.

00:40:50.390 --> 00:40:51.297
Fraser Kelton: And

00:40:51.297 --> 00:40:55.580
Nabeel Hyatt (2): so  the staring out
your window at everything else is just

00:40:55.590 --> 00:41:00.060
distracting you from the fact that it is
get your culture right, get your product

00:41:00.060 --> 00:41:03.720
shipping right, make product market fit
right, take some weirder choices on,

00:41:04.080 --> 00:41:10.220
on UI until you find the right things,
push your engineering and your, Research

00:41:10.220 --> 00:41:14.550
teams to see around the next corner, like
all of those things are going to matter

00:41:14.550 --> 00:41:16.520
a lot more than capital, to be honest.

00:41:16.560 --> 00:41:19.070
And the interesting thing, of
course, is that those sets of

00:41:19.070 --> 00:41:20.870
things do tend to beget capital.

00:41:21.320 --> 00:41:25.010
And I wish we had some charts or graphs
of the number of times that  over the

00:41:25.010 --> 00:41:29.540
years where  you know, some of this is
just  once you've lived through it, like

00:41:29.550 --> 00:41:34.160
five or six or seven or eight times as a
founder, And then as a, as a vc, you just,

00:41:35.040 --> 00:41:38.100
it's that like old Chinese proverb of the
guy with the horse where you're like, you

00:41:38.100 --> 00:41:39.720
know, the thing that looks like a gift.

00:41:39.750 --> 00:41:42.510
You're not sure if it's actually
a gift and  we'll just turn

00:41:42.510 --> 00:41:43.950
another page and I don't know.

00:41:44.010 --> 00:41:48.700
And a number of times that the, the
most well-funded player has won.

00:41:48.760 --> 00:41:49.120
Yeah.

00:41:49.150 --> 00:41:50.650
I don't even know if it's correlated.

00:41:50.710 --> 00:41:51.070
No.

00:41:51.160 --> 00:41:54.550
Uh, at least in the early days at
some point, like IPO and beyond, like

00:41:54.550 --> 00:41:55.810
it's a different world, but Sure.

00:41:55.810 --> 00:41:57.280
But in these early.

00:41:57.870 --> 00:41:59.890
You know, startup malleable.

00:41:59.900 --> 00:42:01.180
We'll see who wins.

00:42:01.500 --> 00:42:04.900
Um, person who did well this
week, person who won the month,

00:42:04.950 --> 00:42:06.160
person who won the quarter.

00:42:06.440 --> 00:42:07.190
It's a long game.

00:42:07.370 --> 00:42:10.970
Fraser Kelton: I think you can overstuff
a duck and end up with foie gras.

00:42:11.040 --> 00:42:13.380
I think you can, you do that
with a startup and you kill it.

00:42:13.640 --> 00:42:16.290
The way that you framed it to a
founder once that I think has really

00:42:16.290 --> 00:42:19.670
resonated with me is, if you know
what you want to do with the capital,

00:42:20.190 --> 00:42:22.130
All of that capital, go and do it.

00:42:22.890 --> 00:42:25.290
Uh, and if you don't know what you're
going to do with the capital, uh,

00:42:25.290 --> 00:42:29.190
it is, just think of it as going
to be a negative for your company.

00:42:29.740 --> 00:42:30.500
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Yeah, that's right.

00:42:30.550 --> 00:42:31.560
Is it fuel?

00:42:31.920 --> 00:42:34.030
Uh, and, and I mean fuel in the real way.

00:42:34.030 --> 00:42:36.084
You know what to do with
it, not just more runway.

00:42:36.924 --> 00:42:39.513
If so, it's possible
it'll help you get ahead.

00:42:39.803 --> 00:42:40.143
Right.

00:42:40.273 --> 00:42:40.693
That's right.

00:42:41.873 --> 00:42:43.603
Let's be done for this week, man.

00:42:43.633 --> 00:42:45.303
It's great chatting with you, again.

00:42:45.473 --> 00:42:49.813
As always, I'll leave with one,
Little thing, which is, at a dinner

00:42:49.813 --> 00:42:56.173
last night, my friend Michael Galpert
said is, is WebSims, the GeoCities.

00:42:56.528 --> 00:42:57.728
Of the LLM era.

00:42:57.768 --> 00:43:00.108
And so if you haven't tried Web
Sims, we're not going to talk

00:43:00.118 --> 00:43:03.458
about it here, but I would, I would
suggest going and playing with it.

00:43:03.538 --> 00:43:05.648
It is a crazy fun little demo.

00:43:05.648 --> 00:43:08.308
And as long as we're talking
about new UIs and crazy things, I

00:43:08.308 --> 00:43:09.058
think you should go take a look.

00:43:09.108 --> 00:43:09.608
Okay.

00:43:09.688 --> 00:43:10.288
I got to do it.

00:43:10.298 --> 00:43:12.958
Didn't you have a product you were going
to roll out with me or talk about as well?

00:43:13.808 --> 00:43:15.518
Fraser Kelton: I'm just going to
drop it and then we'll hang up.

00:43:15.828 --> 00:43:19.528
I tried this new, amazing
product called  Superhuman.

00:43:20.223 --> 00:43:20.613
Nabeel Hyatt (2): Finally

00:43:21.092 --> 00:43:21.922
Fraser Kelton: I love Gmail.

00:43:22.032 --> 00:43:24.832
Yeah, I have lived in
Gmail for now 20 years.

00:43:24.922 --> 00:43:29.962
I don't want to adopt a new workflow
when I download a new email client.

00:43:30.312 --> 00:43:31.612
I just want to do email.

00:43:32.232 --> 00:43:37.342
And Superhuman has made the decision that
you can just do email in a beautifully

00:43:37.342 --> 00:43:39.732
designed UI if you want to do it.

00:43:40.282 --> 00:43:42.522
They've introduced a
handful of AI features.

00:43:42.552 --> 00:43:46.972
And I think the thing that I take away
from that is that they're feathered in.

00:43:47.042 --> 00:43:48.502
That's the way that I would describe it.

00:43:48.502 --> 00:43:49.892
It's not ham fisted.

00:43:50.012 --> 00:43:53.372
Um, it's not trying to turn it into
a marketing event where it's like,

00:43:53.372 --> 00:43:58.032
Hey, here's this new AI feature
that we're going to cram down you.

00:43:58.172 --> 00:44:01.482
The summarization of
threads is really nice.

00:44:01.592 --> 00:44:04.882
Um, and then you can actually like
click and it expands to show you

00:44:04.912 --> 00:44:09.392
a, a different like depth of the
summary, which is really nice.

00:44:09.442 --> 00:44:09.752
Right.

00:44:09.912 --> 00:44:13.822
They have instant replies that are nice.

00:44:14.747 --> 00:44:16.987
And then again, like thoughtfully
done where they're there if you

00:44:16.987 --> 00:44:18.417
want it and not if you don't.

00:44:19.717 --> 00:44:22.967
Nabeel Hyatt (2): I will say
though,  I have so indoctrinated

00:44:22.967 --> 00:44:26.105
into the superhuman workflows, but
it's interesting to ask,  What's the

00:44:26.105 --> 00:44:29.455
Granola co pilot version of SuperHuman?

00:44:29.995 --> 00:44:36.815
And for me, I would want to log in
in the morning and have the most

00:44:36.835 --> 00:44:44.065
common emails I would reply to have
drafts of the replies already there.

00:44:44.775 --> 00:44:46.545
That would be the Granola
way of doing this.

00:44:46.995 --> 00:44:48.095
And I think that would be awesome.

00:44:48.095 --> 00:44:50.425
And I could delete them, I could
say, No, I didn't want to say that.

00:44:50.735 --> 00:44:56.845
But right now, it's a very notion
view of how to influence AI, right?

00:44:56.845 --> 00:45:00.265
It is a little command key
that I can type in, finish this

00:45:00.265 --> 00:45:01.725
email, or so on and so forth.

00:45:02.075 --> 00:45:05.509
And I'd love something a little
bit more copilot y but assertive.

00:45:05.509 --> 00:45:09.380
But before that works , I think
there's probably a hurdle on the

00:45:09.380 --> 00:45:12.193
writing style getting better as
well, but it's a thought to end on.

00:45:13.181 --> 00:45:13.365
Cool.

00:45:13.695 --> 00:45:14.315
See you later, Fraser.

00:45:14.495 --> 00:45:15.479
Fraser Kelton: See ya.