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COVID, wars, inflation, and ETFs changed the headlines. Bitcoin’s bull-market geometry remained surprisingly similar.
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This study compares Bitcoin’s 2020–2021 and 2022–2025 bull markets and finds a surprisingly similar geometric structure between them. After normalizing both cycles, their paths produced a correlation of approximately 0.92. Recurrence analysis and phase-space reconstruction suggest Bitcoin may revisit similar market states despite radically different macroeconomic environment