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Welcome to Sideline, the podcast for the politically

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homeless.

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And for those who feel that they are

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alive.

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Around the house today.

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The torch lights and carries Trond Sørensen and

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myself, Vegard Nuttnes.

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That was a cue.

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That was a cue.

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Now you have to go out and buy

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tickets.

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Because now you will meet up and go

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by train, folks.

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Then time and place and ...

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Yes, that's more important that you have control

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over us.

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Yes, I can take it.

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Wednesday at 4.30 p.m. Then we

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meet at The Lannister.

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Then there is a torchlight train for Maria

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Corina Marchado.

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I do not know if I said it

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correctly, but I try as best I can.

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The one who won the peace prize.

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Arne, you have to come here to take

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the Spanish pronunciation.

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But anyway.

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There it is to go by train.

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Torchlight train for her.

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Because we will do that since this association,

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which one of those who have gone with

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torches, has decided that they will not participate.

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Then we do it instead.

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Right.

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She is simply on the right side, she,

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Marchado.

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Yes.

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And that's too bad.

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Then you can not be democratically established.

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No.

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Despite the fact that you are trying to

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become a dictator to introduce democracy, you are

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a coward because you want to become a

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wrong dictator.

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So we have to go by torchlight train

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then.

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Yes.

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But we look forward to that.

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So you meet at The Lannister at 4

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.30 p.m. and then you go by

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train a little later.

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But we start there so that people can

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get something to eat.

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I think at six o'clock is the

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official time.

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Yes.

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I think the official torchlight train is an

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hour's time or something.

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Yes.

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Then they will be waving at everything else

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at the hotel or the balcony or whatever.

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Yes.

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Then we will try to get hold of

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it.

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We have a torchlight train there, but feel

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free to bring it.

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Yes.

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It is sold at some type, Claes Olsson

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and so on and so on.

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So it's things that are available to get

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hold of, does not cost much.

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It's a relatively cheap thing to use.

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That's great.

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Then we have said that.

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But it's Wednesday.

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Are we going to move on to something

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else heavier internationally?

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Yes, we have turned on an international tone

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here with peace price and all.

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Yes.

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You trade locally, I think globally, yes.

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Yes.

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But there is more and more instability in

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this world we live in, Trond.

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Yes.

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New alliances emerge, old institutions disappear.

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And a resource struggle is emerging, perhaps.

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Geopolitics is a lot about access to resources

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and either people or people or minerals or

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whatever.

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And in Norway we have thought that if

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we keep our heads in the ground long

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enough, we can continue with our used guns

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and our constructive attitude towards international institutions.

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It worked so damn well in the 90s.

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Yes, it did.

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But they die in vain, and new things

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emerge.

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And one of those things is, now the

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army was out in the field, and could

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say that they have ordered four submarines, but

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there will be two more.

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And it will not be cheap.

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No.

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I understand that a submarine is something that

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becomes expensive.

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Yes.

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But we now pay the same for two

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submarines as we paid for the first four.

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And that's a little weird.

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Yes, I have to say, I think it's

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a little weird, but what do I know.

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So then they have to be able to

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pacify Russian nuclear submarines, I think.

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Yes, that's probably what they should be able

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to do.

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So that's probably the whole point of a

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submarine defense, to be able to, on the

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one hand, take out other submarines, on the

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other hand, be offensive or defensive without being

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seen.

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Yes.

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But in the defense policy, there is a

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clear movement in the direction of, shall we

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say, realism in Norwegian politics.

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Here, frigates must be bought, there must be

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strategically reasonable cooperation, when we see that the

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United States is falling out of the periphery,

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seen from our perspective.

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Submarines are bought from Germany.

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And then there has become a new defense

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agreement.

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Yes.

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With Great Britain.

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We just invited them a week or 14

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days ago, and they took it to heart

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and said, this was a good idea.

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Everyone listens to us.

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Yes.

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But it is very natural, we said it

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that time, it is very natural that they

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join this joint command, which is Norway, Sweden,

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Finland, Denmark, Iceland.

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Yes.

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And also Great Britain.

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Yes.

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And it is strictly not the same order,

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I think.

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I think this is a bilateral thing, but

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cooperation is in anyway.

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So the idea here is that British forces

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get a larger and more permanent role in

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the defense of Norway.

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And I have to say that I feel

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equal.

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I was commanded at the Bardufoss airport almost

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30 years ago.

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And one of the roles I had there

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was to be a liaison officer with British

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forces, because they had a permanent training base

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there called Clockwork.

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So I had a British corporal who was

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twice as old as me as such an

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opponent.

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And that was in itself both instructive and

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interesting.

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And I also learned that the beer the

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British forces had at the barracks was much

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stronger than what we had here.

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Better beer, simply put.

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I don't know if I thought it was

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so much better then, because I drank as

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usual, and then I got so full that

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I couldn't stand on my feet afterwards.

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That can be painful.

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Yes, it was very unpleasant.

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But step by step, European alliances are building

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up, strengthened European defense, everyone is rising up,

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spend more money, and have a clearer strategic

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view that no longer has the security net

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that the US has had mentally.

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And it's a bit like that, because Trump

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has not said that he does not want

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to be a part of NATO, but it

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has been interpreted that way.

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And then Trump has said that you have

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to start building your own defense.

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And that's what you actually do in Europe

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now.

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Yes, and to be precise, it's not just

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Trump who has said that.

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All American presidents have said that since Reagan,

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that you have to sharpen yourself.

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Yes.

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So Obama was also pretty hard on that.

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And Jens Stoltenberg, when he was NATO chief,

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was also pretty hard on that.

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And then there is the geopolitical reality, which

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makes it sink in, where Trump's re-election

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is one of the geopolitical realities, where you

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see these absurd agreement proposals in the war

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between Ukraine and Russia, which Europe and European

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powers have no influence over, because we are

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just irrelevant, because we have not done our

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job for so many years.

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And then there is no longer a reserved

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seat at the table.

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And then you actually have to start tidying

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up a bit in your own living room.

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And it looks like you do.

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And then it is interesting that this 28

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-point plan, or whatever it is, it is

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quite obvious that it will not be anything.

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And then I saw an interesting, yes, partly

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statistic, partly analysis here the other day, so

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you do surveys, such Gallup stuff in the

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US, right?

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Who do you want to win the war

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between Ukraine and Russia?

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Which side do you support?

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Should we send weapons?

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Should we uphold our NATO obligations?

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From an American perspective.

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And what comes out of that statistic is

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that it is overwhelming support.

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Both for Ukraine, for NATO, for obligations.

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And it's not nonsense either, it's like 65

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% support Ukraine and 11% support Russia.

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And then there are some uncertainties.

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But that Trump-Vance, all sides are of

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the same mind, is obviously not reflected in

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the American people.

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The support for NATO is overwhelming, and what

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can be mentioned is that there is a

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loose percentage in the local world, right?

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Because there are 35% who do not

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support Ukraine, and that sounds a bit high.

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But as long as that war has gone

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on, that number has never been lower.

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So there is the greatest support for Ukraine

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right now in the American people, according to

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these surveys, than there has been at any

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point in time before.

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And that is mildly surprising to me.

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It must be a bit surprising for peace

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prize winner, Trump, to help carry.

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Trump made me look at a drawing in

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a building sports team.

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So-called football World Cup.

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FIFA World Cup.

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That is the silliest I have ever seen.

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Yes, it is very, very, it should be

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said.

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The building original who directed it, he can

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get a picture of me.

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The FIFA president.

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And then there was someone to be the

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host, except for him.

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But now this FIFA president is not ...

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He is not the most popular person out

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there.

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Gianni Infantino is a Swiss by birth.

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But he has fled from Switzerland to Qatar.

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And that's because maybe that's where it would

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have been best to live after having given

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the football World Cup to Qatar.

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And no one really wanted them to have

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it, but he wanted it.

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And he is a corrupt devil.

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That's probably his general view, that he is

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the world's most official mafioso, corrupt, bandit thing.

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And FIFA is a shit organization.

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A shit organization that has a set of

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rules that they completely threw off the boat

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to be able to make a peace agreement

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that could be made to be able to

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give to Trump.

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That was so embarrassing.

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It was so embarrassing.

280
00:10:50,090 --> 00:10:52,930
Obama had promised to be embarrassed about getting

281
00:10:52,930 --> 00:10:55,350
the real peace agreement on a failing foundation.

282
00:10:58,390 --> 00:11:01,630
While Trump seemed like he took this peace

283
00:11:01,630 --> 00:11:02,470
agreement with a straight back.

284
00:11:02,870 --> 00:11:06,270
Yes, he has asked for this, and as

285
00:11:06,270 --> 00:11:08,430
far as I understood, this peace agreement came

286
00:11:08,430 --> 00:11:10,290
to the table as a consequence of him

287
00:11:10,290 --> 00:11:11,310
not getting the peace agreement.

288
00:11:13,450 --> 00:11:17,050
Then he apparently called Gianni and said, you

289
00:11:17,050 --> 00:11:18,330
have to make a peace agreement with me.

290
00:11:18,490 --> 00:11:22,010
And he was really careful in his faith

291
00:11:22,010 --> 00:11:25,010
in sabotaging football in the USA.

292
00:11:26,410 --> 00:11:27,330
In the meantime.

293
00:11:28,550 --> 00:11:30,470
To create an incentive structure.

294
00:11:30,650 --> 00:11:32,250
Yes, but there are some of these cities

295
00:11:32,250 --> 00:11:35,070
that we may have to declare not safe

296
00:11:35,070 --> 00:11:36,510
to arrange a football World Cup.

297
00:11:36,730 --> 00:11:38,030
So then you can't have a football World

298
00:11:38,030 --> 00:11:38,630
Cup in these cities.

299
00:11:40,450 --> 00:11:41,730
Because they are not safe.

300
00:11:43,290 --> 00:11:45,630
And then he made a peace agreement to

301
00:11:45,630 --> 00:11:46,810
him, and then he was so satisfied that

302
00:11:46,810 --> 00:11:48,250
people could play wherever they wanted.

303
00:11:51,050 --> 00:11:53,310
This is such an old man who has

304
00:11:53,310 --> 00:11:53,910
gone through childhood.

305
00:11:56,690 --> 00:11:59,270
It was really, really weird to watch.

306
00:11:59,270 --> 00:12:02,750
It looked like a meeting at a bar.

307
00:12:03,290 --> 00:12:04,390
A bar revue.

308
00:12:05,190 --> 00:12:05,350
Yes.

309
00:12:05,790 --> 00:12:07,630
Or a local Dig Dugnal was probably what

310
00:12:07,630 --> 00:12:08,030
we meant.

311
00:12:10,370 --> 00:12:13,150
How does such a person have influence over

312
00:12:13,150 --> 00:12:13,470
anything?

313
00:12:13,990 --> 00:12:15,770
And the direction of that stuff.

314
00:12:17,270 --> 00:12:19,390
I see that people who are interested in

315
00:12:19,390 --> 00:12:21,150
football also think this was totally cruel.

316
00:12:21,510 --> 00:12:21,810
Yes, yes.

317
00:12:23,350 --> 00:12:25,030
Just throwing away time, right?

318
00:12:25,030 --> 00:12:26,090
For hours.

319
00:12:26,850 --> 00:12:29,850
With nonsense and a peace price.

320
00:12:30,050 --> 00:12:33,730
And you say to me, right, that you

321
00:12:33,730 --> 00:12:34,910
have to follow this, Vegard.

322
00:12:35,190 --> 00:12:36,830
And then there is a so-called withdrawal,

323
00:12:37,010 --> 00:12:38,190
where you should withdraw something by chance, but

324
00:12:38,190 --> 00:12:39,490
everyone withdraws their own country.

325
00:12:39,770 --> 00:12:41,090
Yes, that was planned.

326
00:12:41,930 --> 00:12:43,490
Yes, no one understood that.

327
00:12:43,750 --> 00:12:45,970
The three world nations are supposed to be

328
00:12:45,970 --> 00:12:48,330
first in each group.

329
00:12:50,110 --> 00:12:51,550
So they didn't really need to withdraw.

330
00:12:51,550 --> 00:12:55,810
They just knew which group they were supposed

331
00:12:55,810 --> 00:12:56,170
to be in.

332
00:12:56,970 --> 00:13:00,350
So this is dramaturgy for an 11-year

333
00:13:00,350 --> 00:13:00,450
-old.

334
00:13:00,910 --> 00:13:01,270
Yes.

335
00:13:01,950 --> 00:13:04,790
Because everyone knows that the opening match was

336
00:13:04,790 --> 00:13:07,410
supposed to be from that group, and go

337
00:13:07,410 --> 00:13:10,770
to Mexico, and be with Mexico, right?

338
00:13:11,010 --> 00:13:12,130
So it was just fixed.

339
00:13:14,090 --> 00:13:17,570
So there were some matches that you already

340
00:13:17,570 --> 00:13:18,830
knew when to go.

341
00:13:18,830 --> 00:13:22,850
And you just had to make a lot

342
00:13:22,850 --> 00:13:23,450
of nonsense out of it.

343
00:13:23,750 --> 00:13:25,490
And this was even when Trump made a

344
00:13:25,490 --> 00:13:25,910
little mistake.

345
00:13:27,090 --> 00:13:29,590
Even he understood that this was just to

346
00:13:29,590 --> 00:13:31,150
get these people on stage again.

347
00:13:31,430 --> 00:13:34,170
Even Trump has longer social antennas than the

348
00:13:34,170 --> 00:13:34,670
original picture.

349
00:13:35,150 --> 00:13:38,110
Yes, and that's a good thing.

350
00:13:38,310 --> 00:13:39,570
And after all that was going on there,

351
00:13:39,950 --> 00:13:42,290
I realized that we got the death group.

352
00:13:42,730 --> 00:13:44,910
Yes, this is the thing.

353
00:13:45,310 --> 00:13:46,890
Sorry, France got the death group.

354
00:13:46,890 --> 00:13:51,090
Yes, because the analysis is as follows.

355
00:13:51,550 --> 00:13:53,010
The group Norway ends up in is the

356
00:13:53,010 --> 00:13:53,390
death group.

357
00:13:53,730 --> 00:13:54,970
And this is not a Norwegian analysis.

358
00:13:55,830 --> 00:13:57,230
This is how you look at it on

359
00:13:57,230 --> 00:13:57,730
a global basis.

360
00:13:58,130 --> 00:14:00,090
The group that Norway ends up in becomes

361
00:14:00,090 --> 00:14:03,070
the death group, because Norway is third, but

362
00:14:03,070 --> 00:14:06,110
everyone says that they are much, much better

363
00:14:06,110 --> 00:14:06,650
than that.

364
00:14:06,790 --> 00:14:09,790
They should probably have been second, but they

365
00:14:09,790 --> 00:14:11,750
are not, because they haven't played well long

366
00:14:11,750 --> 00:14:12,090
enough.

367
00:14:13,050 --> 00:14:14,670
And it's been a long time since we've

368
00:14:14,670 --> 00:14:15,050
had anything like this.

369
00:14:15,390 --> 00:14:17,490
That's why it's the death group anyway.

370
00:14:17,810 --> 00:14:18,830
And that was the last time we were

371
00:14:18,830 --> 00:14:19,870
in the US too.

372
00:14:20,170 --> 00:14:21,550
That was the death group.

373
00:14:21,870 --> 00:14:24,550
There you end up with 4 points and

374
00:14:24,550 --> 00:14:26,530
the same goal difference on all 4 teams.

375
00:14:27,150 --> 00:14:28,250
Yes, okay.

376
00:14:28,450 --> 00:14:28,850
I know that.

377
00:14:29,230 --> 00:14:31,110
No, but it's a very, very special thing.

378
00:14:31,430 --> 00:14:32,470
Was that when we beat Brazil?

379
00:14:33,270 --> 00:14:34,850
Yes, we beat Brazil.

380
00:14:35,670 --> 00:14:36,910
I hoped we would end up in the

381
00:14:36,910 --> 00:14:38,830
group with Brazil, because we have a bit

382
00:14:38,830 --> 00:14:39,610
of experience with that.

383
00:14:39,830 --> 00:14:41,030
Yes, so we have never lost.

384
00:14:41,790 --> 00:14:43,930
Norway has never lost a football match to

385
00:14:43,930 --> 00:14:44,250
Brazil.

386
00:14:44,970 --> 00:14:46,610
And it is the only nation in the

387
00:14:46,610 --> 00:14:48,370
world that has not lost to Brazil, that

388
00:14:48,370 --> 00:14:49,050
has played against them.

389
00:14:49,210 --> 00:14:49,950
There are a lot of things I don't

390
00:14:49,950 --> 00:14:50,370
know about here.

391
00:14:50,610 --> 00:14:52,470
Yes, we have good statistics there.

392
00:14:52,510 --> 00:14:53,670
I understand that Brazil is good.

393
00:14:53,930 --> 00:14:55,450
Yes, they have always been the world's best

394
00:14:55,450 --> 00:14:55,910
football team.

395
00:14:56,650 --> 00:14:57,050
But...

396
00:14:57,050 --> 00:14:58,050
It's a country team.

397
00:14:58,310 --> 00:14:59,030
But they are...

398
00:14:59,690 --> 00:15:00,830
Yes, so I understand now.

399
00:15:01,010 --> 00:15:04,190
It was France and Spain that you didn't

400
00:15:04,190 --> 00:15:04,630
want to have.

401
00:15:05,210 --> 00:15:06,870
And then there is Argentina and Brazil.

402
00:15:06,870 --> 00:15:10,270
Yes, and then we got Senegal from Africa,

403
00:15:10,430 --> 00:15:11,790
who are also very good.

404
00:15:12,710 --> 00:15:16,290
Yes, and they were in the second group.

405
00:15:16,870 --> 00:15:18,610
So that was the best you could get

406
00:15:18,610 --> 00:15:18,850
there.

407
00:15:19,190 --> 00:15:20,410
And then Norway was the best you could

408
00:15:20,410 --> 00:15:21,190
get in the third group.

409
00:15:21,530 --> 00:15:21,990
Yes.

410
00:15:22,750 --> 00:15:24,690
So we are at the top of each

411
00:15:24,690 --> 00:15:25,050
group.

412
00:15:25,370 --> 00:15:26,510
Yes, I think that's good.

413
00:15:26,750 --> 00:15:28,230
Then we get...

414
00:15:28,230 --> 00:15:31,710
The downside is that we got matches that

415
00:15:31,710 --> 00:15:34,030
go at a time when it is not

416
00:15:34,030 --> 00:15:35,010
allowed to serve alcohol.

417
00:15:36,870 --> 00:15:38,550
And that's actually the headline from VG.

418
00:15:39,150 --> 00:15:43,330
Yes, it is Norwegian alcohol politics that is

419
00:15:43,330 --> 00:15:43,790
challenged.

420
00:15:44,430 --> 00:15:47,010
Let's hope that can lead to a little

421
00:15:47,010 --> 00:15:48,310
adjustment in the rules and such.

422
00:15:48,810 --> 00:15:50,470
It would have been nice with a little...

423
00:15:50,470 --> 00:15:52,410
Now we have allowed serving until 5 o

424
00:15:52,410 --> 00:15:53,810
'clock in the morning, because the match actually

425
00:15:53,810 --> 00:15:54,770
ends at 3 o'clock.

426
00:15:56,530 --> 00:15:58,390
But that's not what we were supposed to

427
00:15:58,390 --> 00:15:58,750
talk about.

428
00:15:58,870 --> 00:15:59,190
Football.

429
00:16:00,090 --> 00:16:00,270
But...

430
00:16:00,270 --> 00:16:00,450
It wasn't.

431
00:16:00,870 --> 00:16:01,110
No.

432
00:16:01,350 --> 00:16:03,270
But it was at least international football.

433
00:16:03,630 --> 00:16:03,970
Yes.

434
00:16:04,770 --> 00:16:08,730
But it was a little too much fun

435
00:16:08,730 --> 00:16:13,370
to talk about Trump and Gianni and FIFA

436
00:16:13,370 --> 00:16:13,830
and such.

437
00:16:14,170 --> 00:16:14,770
Let it be.

438
00:16:15,490 --> 00:16:16,010
Yes.

439
00:16:16,770 --> 00:16:17,050
No, no.

440
00:16:17,790 --> 00:16:19,410
It will be more...

441
00:16:19,410 --> 00:16:21,110
It will be tight football coverage here on

442
00:16:21,110 --> 00:16:23,070
the sidelines, I think, when we approach the

443
00:16:23,070 --> 00:16:23,270
World Cup.

444
00:16:23,750 --> 00:16:24,270
Yes.

445
00:16:24,770 --> 00:16:26,610
I suspect that we will look at a

446
00:16:26,610 --> 00:16:27,530
lot outside of sports.

447
00:16:28,550 --> 00:16:30,270
Then of course I will watch football.

448
00:16:30,270 --> 00:16:32,670
Without being too honest, I will of course

449
00:16:32,670 --> 00:16:33,130
watch football.

450
00:16:33,470 --> 00:16:34,930
Then you can come here and tell us

451
00:16:34,930 --> 00:16:35,450
how it went.

452
00:16:35,790 --> 00:16:35,970
Yes.

453
00:16:36,470 --> 00:16:38,330
I think that if we get far enough,

454
00:16:38,390 --> 00:16:39,550
you will be at the party anyway.

455
00:16:40,030 --> 00:16:40,270
Yes.

456
00:16:40,690 --> 00:16:44,230
When Norway beat Brazil last time, whether it

457
00:16:44,230 --> 00:16:45,190
was the World Cup or what it was,

458
00:16:45,270 --> 00:16:46,090
because I don't know what it was.

459
00:16:46,330 --> 00:16:48,870
But I actually saw that match and was

460
00:16:48,870 --> 00:16:49,610
at the party afterwards.

461
00:16:49,910 --> 00:16:50,030
Yes.

462
00:16:50,250 --> 00:16:50,810
Good atmosphere.

463
00:16:51,330 --> 00:16:53,350
Yes, it was very tense.

464
00:16:53,750 --> 00:16:56,190
But I don't think the football match was

465
00:16:56,190 --> 00:16:56,310
so...

466
00:16:56,310 --> 00:16:57,710
I don't remember anything from the football match.

467
00:16:59,550 --> 00:17:00,950
I'm not going to go into details here.

468
00:17:01,490 --> 00:17:02,830
It may have something to do with the

469
00:17:02,830 --> 00:17:03,710
fact that I was not honoured when I

470
00:17:03,710 --> 00:17:04,190
saw that match.

471
00:17:04,329 --> 00:17:04,630
I remember that.

472
00:17:06,550 --> 00:17:11,510
We were in the defence agreement with Great

473
00:17:11,510 --> 00:17:11,750
Britain.

474
00:17:12,109 --> 00:17:14,050
And that is a clear shift in Norwegian

475
00:17:14,050 --> 00:17:14,670
politics, at least.

476
00:17:14,990 --> 00:17:18,190
That we look more and more to Great

477
00:17:18,190 --> 00:17:20,609
Britain to fill some of the vacuum that

478
00:17:20,609 --> 00:17:23,069
the United States leaves behind.

479
00:17:23,069 --> 00:17:27,530
The frigate purchase is a clear strategic link.

480
00:17:27,930 --> 00:17:30,690
And then there is a concrete defence agreement

481
00:17:30,690 --> 00:17:32,790
with British forces on Norwegian soil and all

482
00:17:32,790 --> 00:17:32,890
that.

483
00:17:33,370 --> 00:17:36,510
And the fact that we strengthen submarine weapons.

484
00:17:36,910 --> 00:17:38,290
Because it was...

485
00:17:38,290 --> 00:17:40,870
Ordered four, had an option of some more

486
00:17:40,870 --> 00:17:43,950
to use that option, even though it was

487
00:17:43,950 --> 00:17:44,690
damn expensive.

488
00:17:45,250 --> 00:17:47,150
It's a bit like that, that I offer

489
00:17:47,150 --> 00:17:47,550
questions.

490
00:17:47,710 --> 00:17:51,250
I suspect that the demand for submarines has

491
00:17:51,250 --> 00:17:52,090
risen quite a bit.

492
00:17:52,090 --> 00:17:53,190
But it's also the price.

493
00:17:53,570 --> 00:17:54,330
That's probably right.

494
00:17:54,690 --> 00:17:56,690
And it's not like we're living in an

495
00:17:56,690 --> 00:17:58,130
inflation-free time either.

496
00:17:58,910 --> 00:18:00,230
Of course, when there are a few years

497
00:18:00,230 --> 00:18:02,010
in between, it's been 56 years since we

498
00:18:02,010 --> 00:18:04,570
ordered the first four, so it has increased

499
00:18:04,570 --> 00:18:06,290
a bit on several fronts.

500
00:18:06,790 --> 00:18:07,770
So that's how it is.

501
00:18:08,170 --> 00:18:10,670
But it's not unfavourable for Great Britain, because

502
00:18:10,670 --> 00:18:12,670
we're going to patrol the same sea areas.

503
00:18:13,470 --> 00:18:16,870
The area between Greenland and Norway, with Iceland

504
00:18:16,870 --> 00:18:20,490
and Great Britain in it, is an essential

505
00:18:20,490 --> 00:18:21,850
strategic sea area.

506
00:18:22,490 --> 00:18:24,610
And not to mention Svalbard as well.

507
00:18:25,070 --> 00:18:27,290
I think that the most important function of

508
00:18:27,290 --> 00:18:29,170
the submarines is to be able to block

509
00:18:29,170 --> 00:18:32,350
the way in to where the Russian northern

510
00:18:32,350 --> 00:18:33,790
fleet holds when it is not on the

511
00:18:33,790 --> 00:18:33,890
sea.

512
00:18:35,250 --> 00:18:36,470
Oh yes, on the Kola Island.

513
00:18:36,710 --> 00:18:38,410
We just lie down outside and just block

514
00:18:38,410 --> 00:18:38,730
the way.

515
00:18:39,090 --> 00:18:39,250
Yes.

516
00:18:39,710 --> 00:18:40,650
That's probably popular.

517
00:18:40,970 --> 00:18:41,150
Yes.

518
00:18:42,230 --> 00:18:44,550
If necessary, we can close there.

519
00:18:45,310 --> 00:18:45,650
That would be nice.

520
00:18:45,650 --> 00:18:47,610
And they have another place a bit further

521
00:18:47,610 --> 00:18:48,910
in, in Russia, where there are a lot

522
00:18:48,910 --> 00:18:49,450
of submarines.

523
00:18:50,470 --> 00:18:54,270
It's a bit further in, and it's such

524
00:18:54,270 --> 00:18:55,910
a cramped and difficult area to get into.

525
00:18:56,130 --> 00:18:59,190
Yes, but the northern fleet is in Murmansk,

526
00:18:59,830 --> 00:19:01,950
Kola Island and this area behind it, right?

527
00:19:02,390 --> 00:19:03,830
And then you have Norway, Serbia and so

528
00:19:03,830 --> 00:19:03,930
on.

529
00:19:04,410 --> 00:19:05,170
Yes, that's what I was thinking.

530
00:19:06,970 --> 00:19:09,890
Not Kola Island, but Murmansk and that part

531
00:19:09,890 --> 00:19:11,210
there, but it's probably where the submarines are,

532
00:19:11,310 --> 00:19:11,410
isn't it?

533
00:19:12,050 --> 00:19:14,290
Yes, the entire northern fleet is stationed there.

534
00:19:14,290 --> 00:19:19,690
And then you have the Baltic Fleet or

535
00:19:19,690 --> 00:19:22,430
something like that, which is partly Kaliningrad, partly

536
00:19:22,430 --> 00:19:25,650
St. Petersburg, but there it is cramped no

537
00:19:25,650 --> 00:19:26,270
matter where they sail.

538
00:19:26,890 --> 00:19:27,990
And then you have the Black Sea Fleet,

539
00:19:28,390 --> 00:19:30,150
which is over to Brooklyn now.

540
00:19:31,050 --> 00:19:33,170
A very strong submarine fleet.

541
00:19:35,710 --> 00:19:37,310
Most of the ships are on the bottom

542
00:19:37,310 --> 00:19:37,410
of the sea.

543
00:19:37,890 --> 00:19:39,130
Yes, that's what I hear.

544
00:19:41,090 --> 00:19:43,210
And then you have the Stirling Sea Fleet,

545
00:19:43,210 --> 00:19:46,550
and it operates freely, but you can't do

546
00:19:46,550 --> 00:19:48,170
much with it, because it's a part of

547
00:19:48,170 --> 00:19:48,370
yours.

548
00:19:48,670 --> 00:19:53,130
Instead of the four base areas that Russia

549
00:19:53,130 --> 00:19:53,310
has.

550
00:19:53,950 --> 00:19:56,170
I believe that the Ukrainians can manage to

551
00:19:56,170 --> 00:19:58,070
reach out and take out some other systems

552
00:19:58,070 --> 00:19:59,010
there as well.

553
00:19:59,130 --> 00:20:00,230
They have shown themselves to be able to

554
00:20:00,230 --> 00:20:00,470
...

555
00:20:00,470 --> 00:20:04,590
Yes, it's almost continuous now, and they've been

556
00:20:04,590 --> 00:20:06,190
working on that lately, that they're starting to

557
00:20:06,190 --> 00:20:08,530
take out this shadow fleet for Russia.

558
00:20:08,530 --> 00:20:12,510
Now there is a tanker and a cargo

559
00:20:12,510 --> 00:20:15,470
ship that is smoking both here and there.

560
00:20:16,270 --> 00:20:20,050
And I understand Ukraine's angle in that.

561
00:20:20,510 --> 00:20:23,630
Russia tried to block the export from Ukraine,

562
00:20:23,830 --> 00:20:24,290
they couldn't do it.

563
00:20:24,630 --> 00:20:27,730
Ukraine exports, and now Ukraine responds with the

564
00:20:27,730 --> 00:20:31,070
same mint and destroys the shadow export industry

565
00:20:31,070 --> 00:20:34,130
to Russia, and they seem to be quite

566
00:20:34,130 --> 00:20:35,810
successful with it so far.

567
00:20:35,810 --> 00:20:38,210
We'll see how big and how much they

568
00:20:38,210 --> 00:20:40,850
get, but now they send their own cruise

569
00:20:40,850 --> 00:20:45,050
missiles against oil refineries, and I think the

570
00:20:45,050 --> 00:20:47,610
average is that a couple of missiles go

571
00:20:47,610 --> 00:20:51,530
every day, which takes out something industrial or

572
00:20:51,530 --> 00:20:52,790
productive in Russia.

573
00:20:53,150 --> 00:20:55,150
And that can be expensive for Russia's war

574
00:20:55,150 --> 00:20:55,750
economy.

575
00:20:56,730 --> 00:20:59,230
We'll see how well they succeed with it.

576
00:20:59,890 --> 00:21:02,650
I think it was a bit of ...

577
00:21:02,650 --> 00:21:04,410
Now there was something in Europe that didn't

578
00:21:04,410 --> 00:21:07,890
think this 28 pound throw Ukraine to the

579
00:21:07,890 --> 00:21:10,610
dogs plan was particularly good.

580
00:21:10,930 --> 00:21:11,710
Yes, it was in the middle of the

581
00:21:11,710 --> 00:21:11,810
tree.

582
00:21:12,270 --> 00:21:15,210
Yes, but I have the impression that just

583
00:21:15,210 --> 00:21:18,730
starting to take out that shadow fleet makes

584
00:21:18,730 --> 00:21:21,370
Ukraine come in a slightly different position when

585
00:21:21,370 --> 00:21:22,550
it comes to the front as well.

586
00:21:23,150 --> 00:21:26,670
They don't need to let themselves be overtaken

587
00:21:26,670 --> 00:21:28,430
to the same extent, because everyone understands that

588
00:21:28,430 --> 00:21:29,950
if they continue to fight, it's not over

589
00:21:29,950 --> 00:21:31,830
in three months or six months, but if

590
00:21:31,830 --> 00:21:34,870
they take out the shadow fleet, they do

591
00:21:34,870 --> 00:21:37,750
long-term damage to Russia's economy.

592
00:21:38,050 --> 00:21:41,170
If your opponent is a competition, it's not

593
00:21:41,170 --> 00:21:42,010
so easy to continue the war.

594
00:21:42,330 --> 00:21:42,870
No, and it is.

595
00:21:43,110 --> 00:21:44,730
I don't know how many ships are in

596
00:21:44,730 --> 00:21:48,190
your shadow fleet, but it's not good to

597
00:21:48,190 --> 00:21:51,570
say, because you don't know everything that is

598
00:21:51,570 --> 00:21:54,750
and isn't, and it has other nations' flags

599
00:21:54,750 --> 00:21:54,990
and such.

600
00:21:55,430 --> 00:21:58,630
It can also be mentioned, I think all

601
00:21:58,630 --> 00:22:01,130
the attacks on this shadow fleet and among

602
00:22:01,130 --> 00:22:04,290
others the Turkish ship that was attempted to

603
00:22:04,290 --> 00:22:06,150
sink, I'm not sure if it sank, but...

604
00:22:06,150 --> 00:22:07,870
No, I don't think it did.

605
00:22:08,110 --> 00:22:09,170
It was a bit low in the sea,

606
00:22:09,270 --> 00:22:09,450
at least.

607
00:22:11,090 --> 00:22:14,170
But as far as I have seen, there

608
00:22:14,170 --> 00:22:16,510
have been systematic attacks that have not gone

609
00:22:16,510 --> 00:22:17,110
beyond the crew.

610
00:22:17,530 --> 00:22:17,770
Yes.

611
00:22:18,090 --> 00:22:19,410
Beyond the fact that they had to leave

612
00:22:19,410 --> 00:22:19,750
the ship.

613
00:22:20,170 --> 00:22:24,190
So far, no deaths related to that, and

614
00:22:24,190 --> 00:22:26,850
that's probably a wise approach from Ukraine.

615
00:22:26,930 --> 00:22:27,670
I think that's very smart.

616
00:22:27,670 --> 00:22:32,070
If you start attacking Turkish ships, and the

617
00:22:32,070 --> 00:22:33,510
crew dies, it can happen that the Turks

618
00:22:33,510 --> 00:22:34,450
start to mix up.

619
00:22:34,630 --> 00:22:34,790
Yes.

620
00:22:35,310 --> 00:22:35,670
In the wrong way.

621
00:22:36,050 --> 00:22:38,610
Yes, and now it's not given that there

622
00:22:38,610 --> 00:22:39,690
is...

623
00:22:39,690 --> 00:22:41,870
The nationality of who is on board can

624
00:22:41,870 --> 00:22:45,970
be anything, but the flag was Turkish on

625
00:22:45,970 --> 00:22:46,510
one of these ships.

626
00:22:46,950 --> 00:22:48,930
But that must be a bit risky for

627
00:22:48,930 --> 00:22:52,710
the Turks too, that the ships with their

628
00:22:52,710 --> 00:22:55,210
flag are rented out to this shadow fleet.

629
00:22:55,210 --> 00:22:59,170
It may be less interesting if there is

630
00:22:59,170 --> 00:23:02,410
a risk that the ship has to dock

631
00:23:02,410 --> 00:23:04,410
to repair a hole.

632
00:23:05,610 --> 00:23:06,450
It's costly.

633
00:23:06,950 --> 00:23:08,530
Then it's not so interesting anymore.

634
00:23:08,690 --> 00:23:11,970
That's a clear strategic part of it, from

635
00:23:11,970 --> 00:23:14,050
the Ukrainian side, I would think, that you

636
00:23:14,050 --> 00:23:15,970
do it a little unattractive to contribute.

637
00:23:16,350 --> 00:23:18,470
What has also struck me is that they

638
00:23:18,470 --> 00:23:21,730
have not taken out a tanker that has

639
00:23:21,730 --> 00:23:22,430
gone up with oil.

640
00:23:22,430 --> 00:23:24,570
When they have taken out, they have taken

641
00:23:24,570 --> 00:23:26,030
out ships that go with ballast.

642
00:23:26,410 --> 00:23:28,750
That is, just fill the tanks with salt

643
00:23:28,750 --> 00:23:29,230
water and everything.

644
00:23:30,590 --> 00:23:34,670
It's almost like they've made a wooden ball

645
00:23:34,670 --> 00:23:35,470
and want them to do it.

646
00:23:36,970 --> 00:23:39,170
Where they only have bunker oil for operation,

647
00:23:39,350 --> 00:23:41,310
not full oil tanks to deliver.

648
00:23:41,950 --> 00:23:45,630
Yes, and that is probably wise again, because

649
00:23:45,630 --> 00:23:47,910
they are dependent on volunteers in the West,

650
00:23:48,150 --> 00:23:51,830
and there are enough climate and environmental fanatics

651
00:23:51,830 --> 00:23:54,390
here that they would have lowered their own

652
00:23:54,390 --> 00:23:56,930
stars if there was any seafood that got

653
00:23:56,930 --> 00:23:57,990
a black spot on it.

654
00:23:58,310 --> 00:24:03,990
Yes, really well navigated geopolitics of Ukraine, I

655
00:24:03,990 --> 00:24:04,270
would say.

656
00:24:04,590 --> 00:24:05,690
Yes, at least it looks like that.

657
00:24:06,110 --> 00:24:09,930
And then I'm going to give Russia's apologetics

658
00:24:09,930 --> 00:24:11,770
right in one thing, and that is that

659
00:24:11,770 --> 00:24:13,630
we get a rather skewed media image in

660
00:24:13,630 --> 00:24:15,930
Norway, which is very friendly to Ukraine and

661
00:24:15,930 --> 00:24:16,590
very hostile to Russia.

662
00:24:17,370 --> 00:24:17,490
Yes.

663
00:24:17,790 --> 00:24:21,150
And you can be aware of that, even

664
00:24:21,150 --> 00:24:25,410
though I experience that right and wrong are

665
00:24:25,410 --> 00:24:29,470
completely open doors, that Russia makes a mistake

666
00:24:29,470 --> 00:24:31,490
in this conflict, and Ukraine has the right

667
00:24:31,490 --> 00:24:32,130
on its side.

668
00:24:32,590 --> 00:24:36,190
But that we get a rather skewed and

669
00:24:36,190 --> 00:24:39,950
friendly image of Ukraine is relatively obvious.

670
00:24:40,270 --> 00:24:43,930
I have talked to a Ukrainian, who is

671
00:24:43,930 --> 00:24:46,790
not necessarily very political, but I was a

672
00:24:46,790 --> 00:24:51,330
little interested in this corruption scandal in Ukraine,

673
00:24:51,570 --> 00:24:53,890
where Zelenskiy's chief of staff had to leave.

674
00:24:54,210 --> 00:24:57,190
And then I ask about these things that

675
00:24:57,190 --> 00:24:57,890
...

676
00:24:57,890 --> 00:24:59,370
Yes, there has not been a choice there,

677
00:24:59,470 --> 00:24:59,570
right?

678
00:24:59,710 --> 00:25:02,790
Not that it is actually illegitimate, because it

679
00:25:02,790 --> 00:25:04,510
is a bit difficult to make a choice

680
00:25:04,510 --> 00:25:08,650
when a seventh of your population is under

681
00:25:08,650 --> 00:25:09,630
occupation and so on.

682
00:25:10,130 --> 00:25:11,410
It can be a bit demanding.

683
00:25:11,770 --> 00:25:13,250
Yes, and there are new soldiers on the

684
00:25:13,250 --> 00:25:14,850
front lines, it's not so easy to ...

685
00:25:14,850 --> 00:25:16,190
Yes, but that's the same.

686
00:25:16,790 --> 00:25:20,990
Then I ask, yes, what is the feeling

687
00:25:20,990 --> 00:25:23,270
on the ground in Ukraine?

688
00:25:23,510 --> 00:25:26,550
Do you think Zelenskiy is involved in this?

689
00:25:26,870 --> 00:25:28,590
That his personal is corrupt?

690
00:25:28,850 --> 00:25:31,010
Yes, it is quite obvious that he is.

691
00:25:31,370 --> 00:25:31,970
Of course.

692
00:25:32,330 --> 00:25:35,950
His friends, his friends, his associates, he is

693
00:25:35,950 --> 00:25:36,970
obviously corrupt.

694
00:25:37,230 --> 00:25:37,890
Everyone is corrupt.

695
00:25:38,110 --> 00:25:39,350
It is possible he is less corrupt than

696
00:25:39,350 --> 00:25:40,730
others, but of course he is corrupt.

697
00:25:40,730 --> 00:25:44,070
And then I talk about the situation in

698
00:25:44,070 --> 00:25:46,250
Norway, and that the support for Ukraine is

699
00:25:46,250 --> 00:25:47,650
still good, and then I get to Sweden,

700
00:25:47,730 --> 00:25:49,470
but that's nice to hear and so on.

701
00:25:49,510 --> 00:25:50,910
But don't send any money.

702
00:25:51,150 --> 00:25:51,490
Yes.

703
00:25:54,050 --> 00:25:55,430
Because everything is corrupt.

704
00:25:55,910 --> 00:25:57,730
Send military equipment that cannot be used for

705
00:25:57,730 --> 00:25:59,310
anything else, something that goes into the war

706
00:25:59,310 --> 00:26:02,390
effort, and number it, so that you can

707
00:26:02,390 --> 00:26:04,870
feel that every single thing is used in

708
00:26:04,870 --> 00:26:06,270
the war effort, and not to be sold

709
00:26:06,270 --> 00:26:07,310
on the black market or whatever.

710
00:26:07,310 --> 00:26:11,310
So the support for their own authorities was

711
00:26:11,310 --> 00:26:12,650
not the whole world.

712
00:26:12,990 --> 00:26:13,150
No.

713
00:26:13,610 --> 00:26:16,390
And this is just one person and one

714
00:26:16,390 --> 00:26:18,910
point of view, but I had no expectations

715
00:26:18,910 --> 00:26:21,050
that there would be a very clear, I

716
00:26:21,050 --> 00:26:24,650
apologize, a Russian-speaking Ukrainian, who is clearly

717
00:26:24,650 --> 00:26:27,050
on the Ukrainian side, no doubt about that,

718
00:26:27,750 --> 00:26:31,690
and irritated by Russia and Russia's imperialism, but

719
00:26:31,690 --> 00:26:36,330
also sufficiently committed to Ukraine's corruption and Ukraine's,

720
00:26:36,330 --> 00:26:38,590
yes, rip in the skin.

721
00:26:39,870 --> 00:26:43,650
Ukraine was an extremely corrupt country before this.

722
00:26:44,470 --> 00:26:48,430
Unfortunately, it's a bit like those people who

723
00:26:48,430 --> 00:26:51,050
were corrupt, they didn't think that maybe we

724
00:26:51,050 --> 00:26:53,410
should let that be an advantage to defend

725
00:26:53,410 --> 00:26:53,690
ourselves.

726
00:26:54,730 --> 00:26:55,090
No, that's not true.

727
00:26:55,110 --> 00:26:57,550
And then there are some, what do you

728
00:26:57,550 --> 00:26:57,650
see?

729
00:26:57,690 --> 00:26:59,950
Numbers that are completely insane, right?

730
00:27:00,170 --> 00:27:03,450
There are 100 billion dollars that have been

731
00:27:03,450 --> 00:27:05,570
lost to corruption.

732
00:27:05,910 --> 00:27:06,770
A bit insane.

733
00:27:07,310 --> 00:27:12,970
I actually have no intention or methodology to

734
00:27:12,970 --> 00:27:15,410
understand the scope, because it is so foreign

735
00:27:15,410 --> 00:27:15,810
to me.

736
00:27:16,090 --> 00:27:23,410
So this Ukrainian I'm talking to, is asked,

737
00:27:24,170 --> 00:27:26,850
yes, but in Norway, how much corruption do

738
00:27:26,850 --> 00:27:27,070
you have here?

739
00:27:27,170 --> 00:27:29,470
And then I answer, a bit Norwegian naive,

740
00:27:29,470 --> 00:27:33,830
that we don't have formal corruption, like I

741
00:27:33,830 --> 00:27:36,450
have lived here for almost 50 years, and

742
00:27:36,450 --> 00:27:38,530
I have never experienced corruption.

743
00:27:38,870 --> 00:27:41,370
Like I have never seen money in a

744
00:27:41,370 --> 00:27:43,030
envelope under the table to get a job,

745
00:27:43,410 --> 00:27:45,630
or at least not when there is something

746
00:27:45,630 --> 00:27:46,630
publicly involved.

747
00:27:47,190 --> 00:27:50,270
No, it's incredibly naive to think that there

748
00:27:50,270 --> 00:27:52,650
is corruption everywhere, was the answer from the

749
00:27:52,650 --> 00:27:52,750
Ukrainian.

750
00:27:52,870 --> 00:27:55,010
And I agree that there is a lot

751
00:27:55,010 --> 00:27:57,970
of weirdness in Norway, but the corruption, what

752
00:27:57,970 --> 00:28:01,110
I would classify as corruption, goes through Stortinget.

753
00:28:01,850 --> 00:28:05,890
Like, you have elected people from, take Einar

754
00:28:05,890 --> 00:28:08,370
Førde, who gets his own statue back.

755
00:28:08,750 --> 00:28:11,150
No, sorry, not Førde, I'm thinking of Opset.

756
00:28:12,130 --> 00:28:14,650
A minister of society who has traveled to

757
00:28:14,650 --> 00:28:17,170
Stortinget and brought home the goodies, right?

758
00:28:17,350 --> 00:28:19,530
And gets the statue rebuilt, because there have

759
00:28:19,530 --> 00:28:20,190
been so many motorways.

760
00:28:20,810 --> 00:28:22,550
And it should be like this, yes, this

761
00:28:22,550 --> 00:28:25,050
is legal corruption if you want, but it

762
00:28:25,050 --> 00:28:28,490
is a corrupt intention, or something like that,

763
00:28:28,610 --> 00:28:29,530
at least in my opinion.

764
00:28:30,430 --> 00:28:37,210
But such servants who sell themselves, I have

765
00:28:37,210 --> 00:28:39,050
to admit that I have never seen that.

766
00:28:39,370 --> 00:28:42,510
No, it is something less, there is something

767
00:28:42,510 --> 00:28:44,690
of it, I have seen some examples of

768
00:28:44,690 --> 00:28:47,390
it, on some people in the municipal office

769
00:28:47,910 --> 00:28:49,810
who have received money in order to build

770
00:28:49,810 --> 00:28:51,530
houses, there has been something of it.

771
00:28:51,530 --> 00:28:54,150
And then you had some, were there some

772
00:28:54,150 --> 00:28:55,810
who allowed themselves to be corrupted in relation

773
00:28:55,810 --> 00:28:58,170
to some purchase agreements for some buses a

774
00:28:58,170 --> 00:28:58,570
few years ago?

775
00:28:58,890 --> 00:29:01,150
That was also cash in hand in order

776
00:29:01,150 --> 00:29:03,130
to justify their death, right?

777
00:29:03,450 --> 00:29:06,950
I'm sure such things happen, but every time

778
00:29:06,950 --> 00:29:08,870
something like this is revealed, it is so

779
00:29:08,870 --> 00:29:10,190
embarrassing and career-destroying.

780
00:29:10,710 --> 00:29:10,830
Yes.

781
00:29:11,470 --> 00:29:11,650
Right?

782
00:29:11,830 --> 00:29:14,450
It was just such a trivial matter, but

783
00:29:14,450 --> 00:29:17,570
it was something about moss, or the sun,

784
00:29:17,710 --> 00:29:18,190
or something like that.

785
00:29:18,230 --> 00:29:19,370
Was there one guy who was going to

786
00:29:19,370 --> 00:29:21,150
have something, I don't know, build something, or

787
00:29:21,150 --> 00:29:22,170
something like that.

788
00:29:22,350 --> 00:29:24,130
And then there was a friend of, I

789
00:29:24,130 --> 00:29:26,070
think it was Valgjer Svarstad Haugland, or something

790
00:29:26,070 --> 00:29:28,070
like that, and then Valgjer got involved and

791
00:29:28,070 --> 00:29:30,530
called the municipality, or did something like, you

792
00:29:30,530 --> 00:29:32,490
know who I am, and then it comes

793
00:29:32,490 --> 00:29:34,510
out as a public matter, and it's like,

794
00:29:35,770 --> 00:29:37,530
you don't have many legs to stand on,

795
00:29:37,650 --> 00:29:38,590
as Valgjer did.

796
00:29:38,770 --> 00:29:39,110
No, no.

797
00:29:39,350 --> 00:29:40,530
And then the case was so small that

798
00:29:40,530 --> 00:29:41,910
I don't think you got any major consequences,

799
00:29:42,090 --> 00:29:42,910
or something like that, but it was like,

800
00:29:43,110 --> 00:29:43,750
this is...

801
00:29:43,750 --> 00:29:46,190
You get sanctioned very early in such a

802
00:29:46,190 --> 00:29:46,450
process.

803
00:29:46,730 --> 00:29:46,910
Yes.

804
00:29:46,910 --> 00:29:49,070
It has consequences, quickly.

805
00:29:50,010 --> 00:29:51,130
It does, and it should have.

806
00:29:51,530 --> 00:29:54,650
And it's like, in those areas I think

807
00:29:54,650 --> 00:29:57,650
Norway works quite well, because I think far

808
00:29:57,650 --> 00:29:59,470
more people have so little lead in their

809
00:29:59,470 --> 00:30:02,430
hands, over such power elites, that when someone

810
00:30:02,430 --> 00:30:04,130
comes and tries to deal with the moss

811
00:30:04,130 --> 00:30:06,670
like that, then it's quite a short way

812
00:30:06,670 --> 00:30:07,330
to calling the municipality.

813
00:30:07,730 --> 00:30:10,090
And then everyone is set on that if

814
00:30:10,090 --> 00:30:12,490
that actually happened, then it should be on

815
00:30:12,490 --> 00:30:12,810
the front page.

816
00:30:13,110 --> 00:30:13,270
Yes.

817
00:30:14,090 --> 00:30:17,190
Then we should, you should be allowed to

818
00:30:17,190 --> 00:30:17,730
eat that.

819
00:30:17,930 --> 00:30:19,110
You should be allowed to lie in that

820
00:30:19,110 --> 00:30:20,130
bed when you first set it up.

821
00:30:20,350 --> 00:30:24,550
Yes, and it's like, what is this former

822
00:30:24,550 --> 00:30:28,830
party leader who had some sort of outhouse

823
00:30:28,830 --> 00:30:30,590
that she hadn't built an apartment for, and

824
00:30:30,590 --> 00:30:33,330
it's like, the smallest and biggest, what is

825
00:30:33,330 --> 00:30:33,650
she now?

826
00:30:35,330 --> 00:30:37,310
She is the minister who had built the

827
00:30:37,310 --> 00:30:37,870
beach area.

828
00:30:38,190 --> 00:30:40,690
Yes, demolished an outhouse to build a cabin.

829
00:30:41,230 --> 00:30:44,350
And it's like, she got permission, while no

830
00:30:44,350 --> 00:30:45,070
one else got it, right?

831
00:30:45,770 --> 00:30:45,870
Yes.

832
00:30:45,870 --> 00:30:49,950
And that is corruption in one way or

833
00:30:49,950 --> 00:30:50,310
another indirectly.

834
00:30:50,730 --> 00:30:53,430
But then it's also criticized, it's brought up

835
00:30:53,430 --> 00:30:55,510
in the media, it's an embarrassing thing.

836
00:30:57,230 --> 00:30:58,890
You are allowed to eat it.

837
00:30:59,190 --> 00:31:02,490
Yes, and it's like, even smuggling, if it

838
00:31:02,490 --> 00:31:03,570
is revealed, it comes up.

839
00:31:04,730 --> 00:31:07,670
And I also think the risk of being

840
00:31:07,670 --> 00:31:08,890
explicitly corrupt in Norway.

841
00:31:09,670 --> 00:31:11,790
I know for myself that if I had

842
00:31:11,790 --> 00:31:13,590
been exposed to it, sent a building application

843
00:31:13,590 --> 00:31:16,430
or something, and then a bureaucrat calls back

844
00:31:16,430 --> 00:31:18,730
and says, if I get 4000 kroner on

845
00:31:18,730 --> 00:31:20,870
this account, then that building application can go

846
00:31:20,870 --> 00:31:21,110
faster.

847
00:31:21,450 --> 00:31:23,350
It's almost a bit strange that it doesn't

848
00:31:23,350 --> 00:31:26,630
happen in some way, that some bureaucrats in

849
00:31:26,630 --> 00:31:31,330
Oslo get money to actually do their job

850
00:31:31,330 --> 00:31:31,930
a little faster.

851
00:31:32,450 --> 00:31:35,270
But I just think, if I had gotten

852
00:31:35,270 --> 00:31:36,970
that offer, then I would have put on

853
00:31:36,970 --> 00:31:38,970
and not talked to this bureaucrat again, sometime,

854
00:31:39,210 --> 00:31:40,110
but I would have gone to the media

855
00:31:40,110 --> 00:31:42,110
and said that there is a corrupt bureaucrat.

856
00:31:42,570 --> 00:31:43,990
It is completely unacceptable.

857
00:31:44,730 --> 00:31:47,210
And it would have been like this, in

858
00:31:47,210 --> 00:31:51,010
my head, completely, nothing can rest before this

859
00:31:51,010 --> 00:31:51,670
four-night strike.

860
00:31:52,110 --> 00:31:53,310
And we have strict rules.

861
00:31:53,650 --> 00:31:55,130
And would it have gone the other way?

862
00:31:55,630 --> 00:31:57,430
If I had said, you can get 10

863
00:31:57,430 --> 00:31:59,570
,000 kroner in your hand to rush to

864
00:31:59,570 --> 00:32:02,810
build my application, then my expectation would have

865
00:32:02,810 --> 00:32:04,850
been that this bureaucrat would have called me.

866
00:32:05,210 --> 00:32:06,510
Yes, like that.

867
00:32:06,750 --> 00:32:08,210
And there is something about when you have

868
00:32:08,210 --> 00:32:12,750
built a social structure that is trendy there.

869
00:32:12,910 --> 00:32:14,690
And now I'm just talking from my own

870
00:32:14,690 --> 00:32:17,010
point of view, then I think there is

871
00:32:17,010 --> 00:32:17,690
little corruption.

872
00:32:20,330 --> 00:32:22,770
We have some people from Bergen municipality who

873
00:32:22,770 --> 00:32:24,030
go in there, one of these guys who

874
00:32:24,030 --> 00:32:25,390
comes in, he is a very nice guy,

875
00:32:25,650 --> 00:32:27,810
and he says, I am corrupt, because I

876
00:32:27,810 --> 00:32:28,390
want coffee.

877
00:32:29,310 --> 00:32:29,410
Yes.

878
00:32:30,890 --> 00:32:33,270
And it is trendy so far, but corruption

879
00:32:33,270 --> 00:32:33,570
is spreading.

880
00:32:34,070 --> 00:32:35,810
Yes, and according to Norwegian rules, it can

881
00:32:35,810 --> 00:32:36,770
still be corruption.

882
00:32:36,770 --> 00:32:39,070
Yes, he said, I think it's okay to

883
00:32:39,070 --> 00:32:39,930
get a cup of coffee when you come

884
00:32:39,930 --> 00:32:40,550
into the office.

885
00:32:41,470 --> 00:32:43,830
And he was a very nice guy.

886
00:32:44,210 --> 00:32:46,690
And then there was one of the guys

887
00:32:46,690 --> 00:32:49,190
who said, we're going out to eat and

888
00:32:49,190 --> 00:32:50,910
have a few beers today, are you coming?

889
00:32:51,210 --> 00:32:51,910
I can't.

890
00:32:52,210 --> 00:32:53,030
I'm not allowed to.

891
00:32:53,230 --> 00:32:54,690
There are clear rules for it.

892
00:32:54,830 --> 00:32:55,630
And it makes sense.

893
00:32:55,970 --> 00:32:57,110
Yes, it makes sense.

894
00:32:57,410 --> 00:32:58,230
So I don't think it would have had

895
00:32:58,230 --> 00:33:00,670
any special effect in that way.

896
00:33:02,050 --> 00:33:03,770
But I don't think it would have played

897
00:33:03,770 --> 00:33:06,090
any role if he got, it wouldn't have

898
00:33:06,090 --> 00:33:07,810
affected his work, but it's just like he

899
00:33:07,810 --> 00:33:09,610
has set the line so that he won't

900
00:33:09,610 --> 00:33:10,890
get the opportunity to do it.

901
00:33:11,290 --> 00:33:17,210
Yes, and perhaps the most highly profiled such

902
00:33:17,210 --> 00:33:20,570
type-related case, is perhaps the Tønne case.

903
00:33:21,150 --> 00:33:21,290
Yes.

904
00:33:21,670 --> 00:33:28,250
Which Tore Tønne, former prime minister, who took

905
00:33:28,250 --> 00:33:31,710
his own life after being dismissed or suspected

906
00:33:31,710 --> 00:33:33,230
of being corrupt.

907
00:33:33,830 --> 00:33:36,170
Because he had received a follow-up payment

908
00:33:36,170 --> 00:33:37,750
from Stortinget, which he had a claim to,

909
00:33:38,110 --> 00:33:41,330
but also received some money from some smuggling

910
00:33:41,330 --> 00:33:41,790
company.

911
00:33:42,130 --> 00:33:45,750
Via a well-known lawyer's association.

912
00:33:46,050 --> 00:33:46,970
Via Bara.

913
00:33:47,270 --> 00:33:47,470
Yes.

914
00:33:47,750 --> 00:33:52,950
And I think there is a certain degree

915
00:33:52,950 --> 00:33:54,550
of corruption on his private hands, and there

916
00:33:54,550 --> 00:33:57,250
it is he, the Bara lawyer who proposed

917
00:33:57,250 --> 00:33:58,630
this, Eriksen.

918
00:33:58,830 --> 00:33:59,550
Yes, something like that.

919
00:33:59,870 --> 00:34:00,930
Yes, or whatever his name is.

920
00:34:00,930 --> 00:34:05,090
He couldn't be a lawyer, but he could

921
00:34:05,090 --> 00:34:07,610
become a director in the Aker system in

922
00:34:07,610 --> 00:34:07,810
Røkke.

923
00:34:08,110 --> 00:34:08,670
Yes, that worked.

924
00:34:09,909 --> 00:34:10,389
So...

925
00:34:10,389 --> 00:34:12,429
The question is, was that corruption, or was

926
00:34:12,429 --> 00:34:14,850
it like, you helped me with this, and

927
00:34:14,850 --> 00:34:16,850
it cost you, so then you get...

928
00:34:16,850 --> 00:34:20,530
Then I cover your back, because you did

929
00:34:20,530 --> 00:34:21,150
the job for me.

930
00:34:22,150 --> 00:34:24,830
But as a public servant in Norway, as

931
00:34:24,830 --> 00:34:28,030
Tore Tønne was, and when those suspicions are

932
00:34:28,030 --> 00:34:30,330
cast on you, and they hit hard, then

933
00:34:30,330 --> 00:34:33,690
it's to the extent that you can't hold

934
00:34:33,690 --> 00:34:35,070
out, that you get in the car and

935
00:34:35,070 --> 00:34:35,310
take your life.

936
00:34:35,650 --> 00:34:38,150
And that led to a discussion about media

937
00:34:38,150 --> 00:34:39,810
coverage, and respect for ordinary people, and all

938
00:34:39,810 --> 00:34:43,070
that, but it also shows how strong that

939
00:34:43,070 --> 00:34:45,969
culture is, for not breaking the rules.

940
00:34:46,270 --> 00:34:51,090
I've heard some call it conspiratorial thought, just

941
00:34:51,090 --> 00:34:55,310
like Tønne, and how he got help, or

942
00:34:55,310 --> 00:34:56,830
not, to just that.

943
00:34:57,070 --> 00:34:58,910
And there are many...

944
00:34:58,910 --> 00:35:00,190
There are many who think it's very strange

945
00:35:00,190 --> 00:35:03,130
that such a guy had a gun, in

946
00:35:03,130 --> 00:35:03,530
the first place.

947
00:35:04,690 --> 00:35:05,550
Was it a gun?

948
00:35:05,730 --> 00:35:07,470
I thought it was an Exos, was it?

949
00:35:07,550 --> 00:35:09,790
No, it was a soldier, who shot himself

950
00:35:09,790 --> 00:35:11,010
in a car, in a rest area.

951
00:35:11,390 --> 00:35:11,690
Yes, okay.

952
00:35:11,990 --> 00:35:13,370
I don't think it's hard to get a

953
00:35:13,370 --> 00:35:14,550
gun, if you want one.

954
00:35:14,890 --> 00:35:15,590
No, I don't think so.

955
00:35:16,310 --> 00:35:17,330
But, okay.

956
00:35:17,670 --> 00:35:22,450
Sad thing, but it illustrates some of the

957
00:35:22,450 --> 00:35:24,990
attitudes to corruption in Norway.

958
00:35:25,190 --> 00:35:25,310
Yes.

959
00:35:25,570 --> 00:35:29,390
We talked about alliances, and it's not just

960
00:35:29,390 --> 00:35:31,450
free and democratic countries that make alliances.

961
00:35:32,210 --> 00:35:35,450
No, it happens that other countries do too,

962
00:35:35,630 --> 00:35:38,110
like Russia, North Korea, for example.

963
00:35:38,450 --> 00:35:40,410
Yes, and the eternal friendship with China.

964
00:35:40,990 --> 00:35:41,170
Yes.

965
00:35:42,190 --> 00:35:44,810
And then there is a group in West

966
00:35:44,810 --> 00:35:47,390
Africa, who have found out that they are

967
00:35:47,390 --> 00:35:51,050
going to have a so-called Sahel alliance,

968
00:35:51,650 --> 00:35:55,210
where the military junta in Mali, as well

969
00:35:55,210 --> 00:35:58,210
as in Niger and Burkina Faso, are strengthening

970
00:35:58,210 --> 00:35:58,950
their cooperation.

971
00:35:59,790 --> 00:36:02,190
Then they come up with many good ideas,

972
00:36:03,610 --> 00:36:06,250
which are actually a bit recognizable here in

973
00:36:06,250 --> 00:36:06,450
Norway.

974
00:36:06,990 --> 00:36:11,450
Biometric ID cards, common currency, and therefore, to

975
00:36:11,450 --> 00:36:14,650
cut off the bonds to colony France.

976
00:36:15,250 --> 00:36:16,950
They have colony currency.

977
00:36:17,370 --> 00:36:20,290
Yes, France is trying to boost the currency

978
00:36:20,290 --> 00:36:20,970
they can use.

979
00:36:21,230 --> 00:36:21,390
Yes.

980
00:36:21,950 --> 00:36:23,090
And I understand that they are a little

981
00:36:23,090 --> 00:36:23,530
annoyed by that.

982
00:36:23,530 --> 00:36:26,090
Yes, it is quite reasonable to do just

983
00:36:26,090 --> 00:36:26,450
that.

984
00:36:26,750 --> 00:36:27,610
There is another one who is a little

985
00:36:27,610 --> 00:36:28,090
annoyed by that.

986
00:36:29,410 --> 00:36:32,070
It is Mrs. Meloni in Italy.

987
00:36:32,530 --> 00:36:32,790
Yes.

988
00:36:33,050 --> 00:36:37,550
She is chopping pretty hard and engaged in

989
00:36:37,550 --> 00:36:40,050
Macron for his colonialism.

990
00:36:41,230 --> 00:36:41,430
Yes.

991
00:36:42,270 --> 00:36:44,290
Meloni has actually come to the conclusion that

992
00:36:44,290 --> 00:36:45,890
it is time to sell all the gold,

993
00:36:46,230 --> 00:36:49,150
or give all the gold the Italians have

994
00:36:49,150 --> 00:36:50,010
to the Italians.

995
00:36:50,370 --> 00:36:50,930
Yes, also.

996
00:36:52,550 --> 00:36:55,210
Which is, because they have a gold reserve

997
00:36:55,210 --> 00:36:55,870
for what?

998
00:36:56,350 --> 00:36:56,870
150?

999
00:36:57,410 --> 00:36:59,410
Yes, one of the world's largest, I think.

1000
00:36:59,690 --> 00:37:03,910
Yes, 150 billion euros or something like that.

1001
00:37:04,030 --> 00:37:06,790
It must be a significant gold reserve.

1002
00:37:07,130 --> 00:37:08,050
But what are they going to do with

1003
00:37:08,050 --> 00:37:09,350
it when they have run out of euros?

1004
00:37:10,070 --> 00:37:13,590
No, there is something with, they have a

1005
00:37:13,590 --> 00:37:17,610
significant state debt, which they could easily get

1006
00:37:17,610 --> 00:37:17,870
rid of.

1007
00:37:17,870 --> 00:37:21,690
I would have thought that when you get

1008
00:37:21,690 --> 00:37:23,250
rid of your state debt, you have to

1009
00:37:23,250 --> 00:37:24,670
take care of it by making a high

1010
00:37:24,670 --> 00:37:26,270
-profile promise to each other that we will

1011
00:37:26,270 --> 00:37:27,570
not enter such a state debt again.

1012
00:37:28,430 --> 00:37:30,550
So a constitutional amendment with that it is

1013
00:37:30,550 --> 00:37:31,430
actually not allowed.

1014
00:37:32,310 --> 00:37:34,470
Such early politicians cannot put us in a

1015
00:37:34,470 --> 00:37:36,970
new state debt without a clear plan of

1016
00:37:36,970 --> 00:37:40,930
payment and no reason to fund more debt

1017
00:37:40,930 --> 00:37:41,370
the next time.

1018
00:37:41,670 --> 00:37:44,070
You understand that you sometimes need credit.

1019
00:37:44,410 --> 00:37:45,290
You're going to rust up, or you're going

1020
00:37:45,290 --> 00:37:45,690
to do something.

1021
00:37:45,970 --> 00:37:48,290
But then you have to have built a

1022
00:37:48,290 --> 00:37:50,070
room to enter that credit.

1023
00:37:50,430 --> 00:37:51,390
And then you have to have some kind

1024
00:37:51,390 --> 00:37:52,730
of rule that says that when you first

1025
00:37:52,730 --> 00:37:53,890
do that, you have chosen.

1026
00:37:54,250 --> 00:37:55,950
Then you can not choose more credit for

1027
00:37:55,950 --> 00:37:57,050
new things afterwards.

1028
00:37:57,350 --> 00:37:58,350
Then you have to pay it down first

1029
00:37:58,350 --> 00:37:58,910
and so on.

1030
00:37:59,030 --> 00:38:00,330
And who knows.

1031
00:38:00,830 --> 00:38:02,830
Now it's a bit like what they have

1032
00:38:02,830 --> 00:38:04,050
in the US, where they have a VAT

1033
00:38:04,050 --> 00:38:04,430
bond.

1034
00:38:04,730 --> 00:38:06,290
It's just that they can vote for it

1035
00:38:06,290 --> 00:38:08,290
and lift that bond after a while.

1036
00:38:08,690 --> 00:38:11,010
That bond in the US is some of

1037
00:38:11,010 --> 00:38:11,630
the stupidest.

1038
00:38:11,910 --> 00:38:12,070
Yes.

1039
00:38:14,030 --> 00:38:14,470
It's...

1040
00:38:14,470 --> 00:38:16,430
Should we have a little more fire?

1041
00:38:16,530 --> 00:38:17,250
Yes, we do not have a law.

1042
00:38:17,370 --> 00:38:20,110
Yes, but we just move and change that

1043
00:38:20,110 --> 00:38:21,670
law for the last time.

1044
00:38:21,750 --> 00:38:23,590
Because we do this every year.

1045
00:38:23,950 --> 00:38:24,790
A very strange thing.

1046
00:38:25,850 --> 00:38:29,870
It is to that extent this Sahel alliance

1047
00:38:29,870 --> 00:38:31,010
gets some coverage in general.

1048
00:38:31,430 --> 00:38:33,450
Then there is coverage that says here are

1049
00:38:33,450 --> 00:38:38,070
some dictatorships that go together and form a

1050
00:38:38,070 --> 00:38:39,090
evil axis.

1051
00:38:39,430 --> 00:38:40,250
And that's fine.

1052
00:38:40,690 --> 00:38:41,190
Because it is.

1053
00:38:41,190 --> 00:38:42,430
Yes, it is.

1054
00:38:43,870 --> 00:38:46,130
It's shit whole countries, no doubt.

1055
00:38:46,490 --> 00:38:48,290
But I have to say, I hear a

1056
00:38:48,290 --> 00:38:51,690
little about French colonialism from others than Meloni.

1057
00:38:53,290 --> 00:38:55,210
It's not so much fun to talk about.

1058
00:38:55,670 --> 00:38:56,590
No, it does not seem so.

1059
00:38:57,690 --> 00:39:00,070
The thing is, what happens is that these

1060
00:39:00,070 --> 00:39:02,470
countries have a valid argument here, right?

1061
00:39:03,170 --> 00:39:05,790
They have a valid case when they say

1062
00:39:05,790 --> 00:39:07,610
that we do not want to fall under

1063
00:39:07,610 --> 00:39:10,190
French equality, we will in a way decide

1064
00:39:10,190 --> 00:39:10,490
for ourselves.

1065
00:39:11,550 --> 00:39:14,550
And that is a problem that they are

1066
00:39:14,550 --> 00:39:14,830
dictators.

1067
00:39:15,510 --> 00:39:17,710
Yes, and if I know the country in

1068
00:39:17,710 --> 00:39:20,330
that area correctly, then I do not think

1069
00:39:20,330 --> 00:39:22,750
they will do better on their own currency

1070
00:39:22,750 --> 00:39:23,750
than with the French.

1071
00:39:23,890 --> 00:39:26,350
So you can understand a French perspective in

1072
00:39:26,350 --> 00:39:28,690
that too, that the French are responsible, but

1073
00:39:28,690 --> 00:39:30,350
still better than ...

1074
00:39:30,350 --> 00:39:31,170
Irresponsible dictators.

1075
00:39:31,730 --> 00:39:31,930
Yes.

1076
00:39:32,130 --> 00:39:33,430
Yes, by all means.

1077
00:39:33,670 --> 00:39:36,030
And it's a bit ironic that you say

1078
00:39:36,030 --> 00:39:37,290
that there you want to get away from

1079
00:39:37,290 --> 00:39:40,830
the French currency, because we will decide for

1080
00:39:40,830 --> 00:39:43,390
ourselves, while in Argentina they say we would

1081
00:39:43,390 --> 00:39:44,710
very much like to be in a dollar

1082
00:39:44,710 --> 00:39:45,130
economy.

1083
00:39:47,350 --> 00:39:49,830
Because having our own currency does not seem

1084
00:39:49,830 --> 00:39:50,710
to be so good.

1085
00:39:51,050 --> 00:39:52,870
No, Argentina is a little further down the

1086
00:39:52,870 --> 00:39:54,910
street on having their own currency.

1087
00:39:55,170 --> 00:39:55,530
Yes.

1088
00:39:57,790 --> 00:39:59,010
So we'll see.

1089
00:39:59,230 --> 00:40:00,470
It does not look like there will be

1090
00:40:00,470 --> 00:40:04,590
a very immediate dollarization of Argentina yet.

1091
00:40:04,990 --> 00:40:07,030
But everyone knew that it would take some

1092
00:40:07,030 --> 00:40:08,150
time if you were to go there.

1093
00:40:08,250 --> 00:40:09,830
So we'll see what Millet gets.

1094
00:40:10,350 --> 00:40:14,470
But it is obviously an element of such

1095
00:40:14,470 --> 00:40:19,710
sovereignty in this new alliance in Africa.

1096
00:40:19,990 --> 00:40:23,110
And it is partly understandable, partly sad that

1097
00:40:23,110 --> 00:40:25,510
they are dictators, but a little difficult to

1098
00:40:25,510 --> 00:40:26,070
make a point of.

1099
00:40:26,230 --> 00:40:30,370
I have the impression that this French dominance

1100
00:40:30,370 --> 00:40:33,330
of the currency is quite lucrative for France.

1101
00:40:33,330 --> 00:40:34,990
There must be a reason why they do

1102
00:40:34,990 --> 00:40:35,090
it.

1103
00:40:37,250 --> 00:40:39,030
France must also take some money so that

1104
00:40:39,030 --> 00:40:41,930
they can make themselves more of a state.

1105
00:40:42,430 --> 00:40:42,870
Yes.

1106
00:40:43,330 --> 00:40:44,810
So we'll see.

1107
00:40:45,130 --> 00:40:47,230
But there is very little journalism on it.

1108
00:40:47,490 --> 00:40:49,870
And I could have actually thought to read

1109
00:40:49,870 --> 00:40:52,070
more about it, to understand more about it,

1110
00:40:52,130 --> 00:40:54,510
because the only place I pick up something

1111
00:40:54,510 --> 00:40:57,410
about it is in these speeches to Meloni.

1112
00:40:57,830 --> 00:41:01,650
And possibly she has cleaned Meli Bosen, but

1113
00:41:01,650 --> 00:41:05,530
they are also so rhetorically strong, i.e.

1114
00:41:06,230 --> 00:41:09,930
controversial, that they are perhaps more characterized by

1115
00:41:09,930 --> 00:41:13,430
being a rivalry with France and a criticism

1116
00:41:13,430 --> 00:41:13,810
of Macron.

1117
00:41:14,210 --> 00:41:15,810
So it can happen, there are some people

1118
00:41:15,810 --> 00:41:16,830
who are exposed here and there.

1119
00:41:16,990 --> 00:41:19,190
So I do not know what is really

1120
00:41:19,190 --> 00:41:19,750
true there.

1121
00:41:19,870 --> 00:41:20,830
I have not understood the system.

1122
00:41:21,170 --> 00:41:23,250
It may be that she just thinks that

1123
00:41:23,250 --> 00:41:26,090
the more I push for Macron, the greater

1124
00:41:26,090 --> 00:41:28,210
the chance it is that they get a

1125
00:41:28,210 --> 00:41:30,050
new election and get a new political leadership

1126
00:41:30,050 --> 00:41:30,690
or something like that.

1127
00:41:31,250 --> 00:41:33,890
And it is obviously politically favorable for Meloni,

1128
00:41:34,110 --> 00:41:36,010
so you should not take too good a

1129
00:41:36,010 --> 00:41:36,790
fish from what comes from there.

1130
00:41:37,630 --> 00:41:45,430
Or on the international arena, there is this

1131
00:41:45,430 --> 00:41:51,090
Project 2025, which was the painting for Trump's

1132
00:41:51,090 --> 00:41:54,090
second presidential term, according to some.

1133
00:41:54,530 --> 00:41:54,870
Yes.

1134
00:41:55,470 --> 00:41:58,150
It was such conservative environments that had put

1135
00:41:58,150 --> 00:42:00,330
together a plan to make it more effective

1136
00:42:00,330 --> 00:42:01,870
to get rid of what you should have

1137
00:42:01,870 --> 00:42:03,930
done in the four years you have.

1138
00:42:04,450 --> 00:42:09,630
There is an element that, yes, we can

1139
00:42:09,630 --> 00:42:11,490
read it more or less incorrectly.

1140
00:42:11,950 --> 00:42:15,270
We won't let anyone stop the US from

1141
00:42:15,270 --> 00:42:16,930
using our oil and gas.

1142
00:42:17,630 --> 00:42:19,630
And the US is now for the first

1143
00:42:19,630 --> 00:42:23,390
time energy-independent, which means that they care

1144
00:42:23,390 --> 00:42:25,570
much less about the Middle East than they

1145
00:42:25,570 --> 00:42:25,730
did.

1146
00:42:25,730 --> 00:42:28,710
And at the same time, there is a

1147
00:42:28,710 --> 00:42:31,790
pretty clear contrast to Norwegian energy policy.

1148
00:42:32,290 --> 00:42:35,870
Yes, here we have a very, very solid

1149
00:42:35,870 --> 00:42:38,110
energy-independent, and that should be completely black

1150
00:42:38,110 --> 00:42:38,330
and white.

1151
00:42:38,690 --> 00:42:38,810
Yes.

1152
00:42:40,270 --> 00:42:42,290
And there we have come a long way,

1153
00:42:42,430 --> 00:42:42,590
boy.

1154
00:42:43,050 --> 00:42:45,250
It's amazing what the politicians get when they

1155
00:42:45,250 --> 00:42:46,990
just put their minds to it.

1156
00:42:47,610 --> 00:42:51,410
Yes, or are we?

1157
00:42:52,270 --> 00:42:53,550
It's a question of who you ask.

1158
00:42:53,550 --> 00:42:54,830
If you ask anyone in MDG, they had

1159
00:42:54,830 --> 00:42:57,150
a huge victory in this state budget.

1160
00:42:57,630 --> 00:43:00,090
And if you ask the Labour Party people,

1161
00:43:00,310 --> 00:43:01,050
they say no.

1162
00:43:02,330 --> 00:43:04,450
What I know means that we will continue

1163
00:43:04,450 --> 00:43:08,570
to build out and perform for more oil

1164
00:43:08,570 --> 00:43:11,190
and gas production in Norway in the coming

1165
00:43:11,190 --> 00:43:11,390
years.

1166
00:43:12,170 --> 00:43:14,690
I suspect that the MDG line has just

1167
00:43:14,690 --> 00:43:18,910
killed itself now, because it is so unrealistic

1168
00:43:18,910 --> 00:43:22,330
and little connected to reality that there is

1169
00:43:22,330 --> 00:43:24,510
such a critical mass that does not care

1170
00:43:24,510 --> 00:43:24,830
anymore.

1171
00:43:26,430 --> 00:43:28,430
And now they are starting to get ...

1172
00:43:28,430 --> 00:43:30,510
I think that what first and foremost makes

1173
00:43:30,510 --> 00:43:32,270
this change, is that we are starting to

1174
00:43:32,270 --> 00:43:35,790
get a proper, good, professional opposition, don't you

1175
00:43:35,790 --> 00:43:35,890
think?

1176
00:43:36,170 --> 00:43:38,150
You have such sailors, and you have several

1177
00:43:38,150 --> 00:43:41,250
others who relate to the reality on the

1178
00:43:41,250 --> 00:43:42,310
ground, as we call it.

1179
00:43:42,710 --> 00:43:45,870
This is what reality is like, and then

1180
00:43:45,870 --> 00:43:48,110
you can fantasize that you have to create

1181
00:43:48,110 --> 00:43:49,950
a new reality, but it is not realistic.

1182
00:43:50,790 --> 00:43:54,310
Okay, we can make some weird statements that

1183
00:43:54,310 --> 00:43:56,110
you do not understand yourself, and other than

1184
00:43:56,110 --> 00:43:58,970
that, it will be as it will be.

1185
00:43:59,090 --> 00:44:00,490
We're going to do oil and gas, and

1186
00:44:00,490 --> 00:44:01,190
we're going to expand it.

1187
00:44:01,330 --> 00:44:01,510
Done.

1188
00:44:01,950 --> 00:44:03,830
It is quite obvious.

1189
00:44:04,110 --> 00:44:07,510
And when we talk about this geopolitical shift,

1190
00:44:08,590 --> 00:44:14,250
we are obviously entering an era of more

1191
00:44:14,250 --> 00:44:15,730
real political orientation.

1192
00:44:16,550 --> 00:44:19,390
And then there is hard power and not

1193
00:44:19,390 --> 00:44:20,070
soft power.

1194
00:44:21,270 --> 00:44:25,990
And minus nuclear bombs and military material, energy

1195
00:44:25,990 --> 00:44:28,810
is the main form of hard power, because

1196
00:44:28,810 --> 00:44:30,190
it is what you use for all kinds

1197
00:44:30,190 --> 00:44:30,390
of values.

1198
00:44:31,070 --> 00:44:33,030
I was about to say, very good climate

1199
00:44:33,030 --> 00:44:36,570
policy, would be that instead of delivering 35

1200
00:44:36,570 --> 00:44:38,110
% of the gas to Europe, Norway delivered

1201
00:44:38,110 --> 00:44:40,370
65% at the expense of Russian gas.

1202
00:44:40,650 --> 00:44:43,010
Yes, it must be relatively obvious.

1203
00:44:43,190 --> 00:44:46,550
It would have been very good climate policy,

1204
00:44:46,670 --> 00:44:48,270
because then the Russians would have lost the

1205
00:44:48,270 --> 00:44:49,030
war much faster.

1206
00:44:49,610 --> 00:44:51,550
And when they lose the war, it is

1207
00:44:51,550 --> 00:44:53,810
very bad for the climate to wage war

1208
00:44:53,810 --> 00:44:54,970
there, at least I think so.

1209
00:44:56,090 --> 00:44:57,790
They use a lot of energy to expand

1210
00:44:57,790 --> 00:44:58,330
values.

1211
00:44:58,510 --> 00:45:01,050
There has never been anything particularly good for

1212
00:45:01,050 --> 00:45:02,490
either economy or expansion.

1213
00:45:03,090 --> 00:45:04,970
No, the climate impact of the war is

1214
00:45:04,970 --> 00:45:05,510
quite significant.

1215
00:45:05,830 --> 00:45:05,930
Yes.

1216
00:45:06,950 --> 00:45:10,050
And that's what the type MDG and the

1217
00:45:10,050 --> 00:45:10,410
left have to do.

1218
00:45:11,510 --> 00:45:15,230
They have no problem looking past the climate

1219
00:45:15,230 --> 00:45:16,190
impact of the war.

1220
00:45:16,190 --> 00:45:17,890
No, they can actually do that.

1221
00:45:17,950 --> 00:45:21,170
When they are completely unambiguous in their support

1222
00:45:21,170 --> 00:45:21,750
for Ukraine.

1223
00:45:22,170 --> 00:45:23,830
And they should actually have that.

1224
00:45:24,970 --> 00:45:26,550
But at the same time, they want to

1225
00:45:26,550 --> 00:45:29,130
put in place a system where Europe is

1226
00:45:29,130 --> 00:45:31,730
more likely to be displaced by Russia than

1227
00:45:31,730 --> 00:45:33,510
by Norway on oil and gas.

1228
00:45:34,190 --> 00:45:35,410
And that is a self-evident, I think.

1229
00:45:35,730 --> 00:45:38,950
Yes, there is little connection in the halls

1230
00:45:38,950 --> 00:45:40,530
of politics there.

1231
00:45:40,950 --> 00:45:45,590
But I think the reality orientation that is

1232
00:45:45,590 --> 00:45:47,150
coming in the next few years, now that

1233
00:45:47,150 --> 00:45:48,790
you have that critical mass that is starting

1234
00:45:48,790 --> 00:45:51,930
to see, what should I say, the silver

1235
00:45:51,930 --> 00:45:55,290
lining, see symbolic politics for what it is

1236
00:45:55,290 --> 00:45:58,070
and real politics for what it is, then

1237
00:45:58,070 --> 00:46:00,730
I think you have to move very clearly

1238
00:46:00,730 --> 00:46:05,510
that we cannot risk an unstable energy network.

1239
00:46:05,750 --> 00:46:06,370
It does not work.

1240
00:46:06,730 --> 00:46:08,910
You have to have energy surplus to be

1241
00:46:08,910 --> 00:46:10,270
able to build new industries and to be

1242
00:46:10,270 --> 00:46:11,170
able to run the industry.

1243
00:46:11,490 --> 00:46:12,830
And all of it has to be competitive.

1244
00:46:13,730 --> 00:46:15,650
And Europe has to build itself up.

1245
00:46:17,390 --> 00:46:20,190
Europe has now built itself down over many

1246
00:46:20,190 --> 00:46:20,410
years.

1247
00:46:20,570 --> 00:46:21,790
You just have to turn that tree.

1248
00:46:21,930 --> 00:46:22,590
And what do you need then?

1249
00:46:22,710 --> 00:46:24,350
You need more energy so that the energy

1250
00:46:24,350 --> 00:46:25,050
becomes cheaper.

1251
00:46:25,490 --> 00:46:30,590
Yes, and you need very clear strategic autonomy.

1252
00:46:30,970 --> 00:46:32,410
And there you have to step back a

1253
00:46:32,410 --> 00:46:32,890
little from France.

1254
00:46:33,370 --> 00:46:35,730
They have always been very concerned about that.

1255
00:46:35,990 --> 00:46:39,910
So they have their, they see Rafale fighter

1256
00:46:39,910 --> 00:46:41,510
planes and their own nuclear weapons and everything.

1257
00:46:41,510 --> 00:46:44,250
Everything produced in France on the French production

1258
00:46:44,250 --> 00:46:45,830
line with French supply chains.

1259
00:46:46,970 --> 00:46:49,330
Not all the way, but as far as

1260
00:46:49,330 --> 00:46:49,930
practical, right?

1261
00:46:50,250 --> 00:46:52,290
And they build their own submarines and engage

1262
00:46:52,290 --> 00:46:52,910
in everything possible.

1263
00:46:53,190 --> 00:46:55,890
And it is not rational in the big

1264
00:46:55,890 --> 00:46:56,750
picture, because it costs.

1265
00:46:57,250 --> 00:47:00,990
But when you now build these alliances, we

1266
00:47:00,990 --> 00:47:02,450
are talking about the Nordic countries, Great Britain,

1267
00:47:02,930 --> 00:47:04,630
and certainly the Netherlands, Germany and Poland.

1268
00:47:05,010 --> 00:47:07,830
And that the supply chain is built up

1269
00:47:07,830 --> 00:47:12,190
within the alliance structures that make sense on

1270
00:47:12,190 --> 00:47:12,410
the ground.

1271
00:47:12,790 --> 00:47:18,970
So I think that energy policy issue will

1272
00:47:18,970 --> 00:47:21,370
also be brought into a clearer light pretty

1273
00:47:21,370 --> 00:47:21,710
soon.

1274
00:47:21,930 --> 00:47:24,210
Because it is so strategically important.

1275
00:47:24,690 --> 00:47:25,070
How do I see it?

1276
00:47:25,390 --> 00:47:27,830
Energy, if you have like, I think if

1277
00:47:27,830 --> 00:47:29,230
you have all the pillars for what is

1278
00:47:29,230 --> 00:47:33,870
needed for a good society, property rights, freedom

1279
00:47:33,870 --> 00:47:36,050
of expression, and so on and so on.

1280
00:47:36,310 --> 00:47:38,110
If you have a good amount of energy,

1281
00:47:38,110 --> 00:47:40,630
good energy, then you become a prosperous country.

1282
00:47:41,030 --> 00:47:44,430
Yes, and you can't wage war based on

1283
00:47:44,430 --> 00:47:44,770
windmills.

1284
00:47:45,250 --> 00:47:46,110
No, that doesn't work at all.

1285
00:47:46,590 --> 00:47:49,190
So there will probably be some nuclear power

1286
00:47:49,190 --> 00:47:49,990
in not too long.

1287
00:47:50,210 --> 00:47:51,790
There is a strong smell of nuclear power

1288
00:47:51,790 --> 00:47:52,730
in Norway in the short term.

1289
00:47:54,410 --> 00:47:56,470
I'm starting to think that we're going to

1290
00:47:56,470 --> 00:47:58,510
see spas on the ground in 2-3

1291
00:47:58,510 --> 00:47:58,910
years.

1292
00:47:59,190 --> 00:48:00,830
Yes, it almost has to be like that.

1293
00:48:01,110 --> 00:48:05,890
And then I think MDG and SV will

1294
00:48:05,890 --> 00:48:08,630
have to think about how they managed to

1295
00:48:08,630 --> 00:48:12,150
be climate-engaged for 15-20 years without

1296
00:48:12,150 --> 00:48:13,030
talking about nuclear power.

1297
00:48:13,290 --> 00:48:13,390
Yes.

1298
00:48:14,750 --> 00:48:16,570
It is so brain-dead.

1299
00:48:16,870 --> 00:48:17,010
Yes.

1300
00:48:17,450 --> 00:48:19,450
But it's about when you don't count on

1301
00:48:19,450 --> 00:48:20,690
things, the answers become weirder.

1302
00:48:21,170 --> 00:48:22,490
Yes, but you shouldn't count on it.

1303
00:48:22,690 --> 00:48:25,190
It's a penalty for coming to SV.

1304
00:48:25,430 --> 00:48:25,970
Yes.

1305
00:48:26,610 --> 00:48:30,010
But MDG should have had more control over

1306
00:48:30,010 --> 00:48:30,150
it.

1307
00:48:30,670 --> 00:48:32,210
Yes, but remember where they come from.

1308
00:48:32,510 --> 00:48:32,670
Yes.

1309
00:48:34,370 --> 00:48:37,250
It's the Germans, and this is a decision

1310
00:48:37,250 --> 00:48:39,610
by the German MDG, and it's a party

1311
00:48:39,610 --> 00:48:40,130
that in the meantime ...

1312
00:48:40,130 --> 00:48:40,910
They are fucking crazy.

1313
00:48:41,830 --> 00:48:43,890
They rose up to be against nuclear power,

1314
00:48:44,170 --> 00:48:44,390
in the meantime.

1315
00:48:45,390 --> 00:48:47,830
No, and there has been a continuous problem

1316
00:48:47,830 --> 00:48:54,250
with the climate movement, that it is built

1317
00:48:54,250 --> 00:48:56,850
on nuclear weapons.

1318
00:48:57,150 --> 00:48:57,590
Against them.

1319
00:48:57,930 --> 00:48:58,050
Yes.

1320
00:48:58,370 --> 00:49:00,190
And that has led to a lot of

1321
00:49:00,190 --> 00:49:00,370
shit.

1322
00:49:00,370 --> 00:49:01,330
But that's the way it is.

1323
00:49:01,610 --> 00:49:02,870
Maybe we'll go lighter earlier in the meeting.

1324
00:49:03,550 --> 00:49:04,130
Yes, I think so.

1325
00:49:04,390 --> 00:49:05,550
Shall we say it like that?

1326
00:49:05,830 --> 00:49:05,950
Yes.

1327
00:49:06,350 --> 00:49:06,850
Have a good time.

1328
00:49:07,170 --> 00:49:14,310
Thank you for listening to Sidelinja podcast.

1329
00:49:15,070 --> 00:49:17,250
Feel free to talk about us, like, share

1330
00:49:17,250 --> 00:49:20,310
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1331
00:49:20,310 --> 00:49:23,010
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1332
00:49:32,510 --> 00:49:36,070
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1333
00:49:36,070 --> 00:49:38,430
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1334
00:49:38,430 --> 00:49:41,930
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