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Welcome back to the episode of
the Startup Therapy Podcast.

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This is Ryan Rutan
joint, as always by my

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friend, the founder,
and CEO of startups.com.

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Will, Schroeder will man, they
run on lots of different things

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and, uh, founders, founders have
to run on a lot of optimism.

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Some might say that it,
uh, it, it borders the

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line of, of delusion.

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You said something once and
it was, it was something along

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the lines of, you know, like.

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Firefighters run into
a fire that's already

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existing and, and get out.

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Founders run in, start
furnishing the lobby,

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ask if they can pay rent.

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Yeah.

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And then light the fire,
which sounds delusional,

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but it's really, probably
better looked at as optimism.

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But in your mind, like what's
the alternative, right?

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If, if, if a founder
doesn't show up.

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Full of optimism and believing
that this thing can happen,

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then what are they, what?

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What would they run on

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at that point?

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They're an employee
and that's an employee.

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As employee shows up and an
employee is like, Hey, just tell

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me what to do and I'll do it.

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We have this weird gear.

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And, and note even has
to tell us to have it.

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We just have it where we're
willing to create this fantasy,

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this delusion, and live in that
world, and not only live in that

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world ourselves, but convince
all of these other people to

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live in that world as well.

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Yeah.

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Yep.

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Employees,

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customers, partners, stat.

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All of it.

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Yeah.

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Everybody.

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Yeah.

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You know, investors
are a great one, right?

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Yeah.

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And we believe in this
delusion so greatly.

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So greatly.

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Like, like religiously.

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Even though nothing around
us whatsoever supports it.

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Right?

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Right now we're like, we're
gonna change the world and, you

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know, build Uber, we're gonna
build, you know, whatever.

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But everything around us
right now is like, dude,

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you're still living in
your parents' basement.

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Like, like, we don't have
$500 in our checking account.

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No one wants to work here.

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This idea has never been
proven, like nothing around

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us indicates that this
fantasy that we have should

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inspire any level of optimism.

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Right.

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And yet.

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Our business, our what
we do here is driven.

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Wholeheartedly by creating
this optimism out of total

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chaos in, in many cases,
like an abyss of bleakness.

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And so I thought it would
be fun to unpack that.

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Like, where the hell
does that come from?

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Why do we have it?

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Like, is it honesty?

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You know, is is, is it
honest saying I think

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something's gonna happen.

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That may never happen.

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So I think as we dig into
this today, and it's a topic

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I wanna talk about for a long
time, I really wanna talk

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about that, that source of.

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Optimism in, in
how we even get it.

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The font of optimism.

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Yeah.

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I, I think it is interesting,
you, you touched on

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something there, which
is that like they're all

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sort of chaos by nature.

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Also short, I mean, maybe not
by design, but by nature, right?

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Like if that chaos didn't exist,
if there wasn't chaos to be

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unwound, there's no opportunity.

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Yeah, that's true.

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Right?

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Like it's already solved
at that point, or it's

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not worth, worth solving.

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It's the chaos that creates it.

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I mean, I think it's important
to note like startups aren't

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set on fire by accident.

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It's kind of the, uh, we
light that match to start

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to power the vision, right?

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That's how we see where
we're going, right?

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It's the, it's the,
the flames of that fire

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run toward the chaos.

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What drive us forward.

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It reminds me of a, uh, a
commercial from like in the

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eighties or nineties, and it
was showing this like huge

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commotion in the distance.

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Like I think of almost
like, like a, a long plane.

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And, and on the, in the distance
there was like explosions and

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all this like, like chaos,
uhhuh, you saw all these

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people fleeing from it, right?

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From the explosions.

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Then you saw one guy
running toward it.

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Towards it.

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Yes.

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And it was the ad
for the Marines,

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right?

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Yeah, yeah, yeah.

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Um,

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and it said something to, to the
effect of we run toward chaos

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when everybody else runs away.

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Right?

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Yeah.

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You know, we strip out
Marines there and, and,

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and insert founders.

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Now of course, it's slightly
less physical present

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danger, uh, in our life.

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A hundred percent.

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But metaphor, but

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exactly the same concept, right?

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Yes.

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Yes.

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The people fleeing
are employees.

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Right.

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Those people are
like, this is chaos.

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This is crazy.

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I'm gonna go get another job.

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And also, they're
the rational people.

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Uh, in this commercial.

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The founder runs directly
toward that chaos.

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Kinda like you said a moment ago
with the, uh, the firefighter,

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firefighter runs into a building
with the optimism that, that

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he or she's going to get out
as soon as possible, right?

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Correct.

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A founder runs into a
burning building and like you

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said, sets up camp, right?

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Like, yep.

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Yeah.

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This is where we're

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gonna camp.

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I'll be here for
the next decade.

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It's already got a

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campfire, guys.

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Yeah, that's idea.

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The campfire is
falling down around us.

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That's okay.

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Exactly.

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And also pouring gasoline
on it while, you know,

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uh, while they're coming.

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Yeah.

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Yeah.

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So if we start there, like, like
why the hell do we even do that?

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Like, like what would possibly
take a capable, potentially

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rational person and say, I'm
gonna go do the, the least

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rational thing I possibly can
with the, the smallest chance

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of success versus all my other
options and passionately drag

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everyone I know into this
burning building because I

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think something, you know,
great's gonna come of it.

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That's kind of psychotic.

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Like if you put it in
terms like that, that way,

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yes.

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But

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it's

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kinda

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what we do, you know?

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I, I think it, a lot
of it times it does, it

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starts with the passion.

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Uh, you marry that passion up
for like, you know, wanting to

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solve that problem, wanting,
make that dent in the universe.

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You marry that up with what
at least can look like, can

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be outsized economic impact
and, and financial outcomes.

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And, uh, for most of us, some
desire to just be able to do

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things on our own terms and
do it the way we wanted to.

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And this is one of the few
places you can do that, right?

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Right.

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You can't walk into
an accounting office

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and, and start a fire.

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Well, you can, you just,
you go to jail for it.

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Um, right.

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It's, the problems
have been solved.

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Right.

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Like it's just, it,
it is what it is.

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There's no chaos to be
unwound there in most cases.

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Agreed, agreed.

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Um, you don't get to
create anything, right?

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And so I think it's this draw
towards creation, draw towards

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creation of something we want
to do and, and sort of this.

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More perfect future that
we can envision lit by the

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flames of this fire that
we started, that we are

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willing to be unreasonably
optimistic as we move

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towards trying to create it.

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Knowing, knowing in most
cases, and being willing to

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wake up every day and ignore
that fact that the odds are

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really well stacked against.

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I think once founders get into
this a little bit, like, uh,

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in when consequences start
to get created, consequence

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could be them not making
payroll, you know, things

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like that, like real issues.

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I think going into
it, it's sexy.

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It's sexy to have a big idea.

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It's fun to ideate, to
brainstorm, to throw, you

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know, ideas in the whiteboard.

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But when that changes from
the initial pixie dust, as

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we always call it, to the
actual job of what this is,

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which is every day waking up.

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Being like, oh my God,
my job today is to

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create 10 more problems
I didn't have yesterday.

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And, and if I don't do
that, I'm not doing my job.

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And when I say it in those
terms, like people think,

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I'm like overstating it.

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That is the job.

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Your job is to go find problems.

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Now it's a hard job,
don't get me wrong.

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It's a hard job, right?

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Ryan, you and I wake
up in the morning.

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You and I are very early in
the morning, and then we start

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unpacking problems immediately.

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We literally look for
stuff to go, uh, break

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or fix one of the two.

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They seem to arrive with
more frequency than the

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Amazon man at this point.

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Yeah, they do.

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They do.

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But for a lot of
people that, that don't

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understand this path, yeah.

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They look at that as, I can't
believe everything's breaking.

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What am I doing wrong?

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And it's like, yeah,
no, this is the path.

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They're actually, this is
the job isn't another path.

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Right.

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I watch it not just with
founders, but I, I think

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about different paths in our
lives, d times in our lives.

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We have kind of this, why
is everything breaking?

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It must be me.

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Both.

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Both.

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You and I have teenage daughters
and they're living in this

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for the first time where their
social circles and everything

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else like that are becoming
geometrically more complex.

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You know, people aren't asking
people to dances and things like

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that and, and they're like, oh
my God, what am I doing wrong?

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We look at that and we're like,
that's just being teenager.

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Yeah, that's, that's,
that's the case.

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All the trials and
tribulations of being a age.

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Age, yeah.

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But if you're living it, if you
haven't been through it before,

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and this is, you know, akin to
us seeing new founders that come

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to startups.com and their heads
are on fire because they're

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like, there are so many problems
that I'm dealing with right now.

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What am I doing wrong?

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My most consistent answer
is, you're exactly where

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you're supposed to be.

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Yep.

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This is exactly what you're
supposed to be doing right now.

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You are supposed to be
in the shit in all these

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problems, losing sleep.

255
00:08:09,239 --> 00:08:09,870
It's not awesome.

256
00:08:09,870 --> 00:08:12,659
It's not healthy, I'm
saying, but this is the job.

257
00:08:13,140 --> 00:08:15,030
You know, it reminds me
thinking about that the first

258
00:08:15,030 --> 00:08:17,429
time founder versus the, the,
the not first time founder.

259
00:08:17,429 --> 00:08:17,609
Right?

260
00:08:17,609 --> 00:08:18,960
People have been
through this a bit more.

261
00:08:19,325 --> 00:08:21,005
And I think we may have
referenced this on the pod

262
00:08:21,005 --> 00:08:24,544
before, but it's essentially
like that scene from insert

263
00:08:24,664 --> 00:08:27,155
World War II movie here, where
you've got like the grizzled

264
00:08:27,155 --> 00:08:29,885
sergeant walking around
and you've got both the new

265
00:08:29,885 --> 00:08:32,615
leadership in the terms of
like the commissioned officers

266
00:08:32,885 --> 00:08:35,255
and the, you know, the,
the first time, uh, grunts.

267
00:08:35,669 --> 00:08:38,280
They're all running around like
pure chaos and you know, the

268
00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:41,159
s sitting private Ryan walking
through not reacting at all.

269
00:08:41,164 --> 00:08:41,339
Right, right.

270
00:08:41,339 --> 00:08:43,289
Like light in smoke and
just walking through all

271
00:08:43,289 --> 00:08:46,140
the explosions because they
understand that that is the job.

272
00:08:46,290 --> 00:08:48,420
They know that this is
what it looks like and

273
00:08:48,420 --> 00:08:49,109
it's what it's gonna be.

274
00:08:49,109 --> 00:08:49,319
Right.

275
00:08:49,319 --> 00:08:51,780
Like, you know, the founder
job, to go back to our fire

276
00:08:51,780 --> 00:08:54,329
analogy, it's something like,
it's, you're really, you're,

277
00:08:54,329 --> 00:08:55,229
you're managing the burn.

278
00:08:55,785 --> 00:08:56,114
Right.

279
00:08:56,505 --> 00:08:59,474
You, by you, you're trying
to control the, the fuel, uh,

280
00:08:59,474 --> 00:09:01,275
which is generally kinda like
what we're focused on within

281
00:09:01,275 --> 00:09:02,175
the startup at a given point.

282
00:09:02,535 --> 00:09:05,084
The oxygen being the amount
of attention you give that,

283
00:09:05,444 --> 00:09:07,694
um, and then making sure
that there are some exits.

284
00:09:07,694 --> 00:09:09,104
IE your, your runway.

285
00:09:09,614 --> 00:09:11,925
So, so this whole thing
is survivable, right?

286
00:09:11,925 --> 00:09:13,785
Like how do we manage
towards some kind of an

287
00:09:13,785 --> 00:09:15,885
outcome in this chaos?

288
00:09:16,170 --> 00:09:18,240
I think that was the other
thing that I realized at, at

289
00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:21,270
some point, probably not nearly
early enough, um, was that

290
00:09:21,270 --> 00:09:24,570
my job wasn't to eliminate
the chaos either, right?

291
00:09:24,570 --> 00:09:26,550
I wasn't trying to do
away with the chaos.

292
00:09:26,850 --> 00:09:30,090
I was trying to leverage
some of the momentum that

293
00:09:30,090 --> 00:09:31,320
existed within the chaos.

294
00:09:32,010 --> 00:09:33,180
To move forward and that was it.

295
00:09:33,209 --> 00:09:33,449
Right?

296
00:09:33,449 --> 00:09:35,489
And then just to be okay, it's
like, oh yeah, my job isn't

297
00:09:35,489 --> 00:09:36,930
to make all of this normal.

298
00:09:37,109 --> 00:09:38,459
It's not going to be right.

299
00:09:38,459 --> 00:09:40,770
Maybe at some point in the
very, in the distant future

300
00:09:40,979 --> 00:09:43,829
when the startup achieves
everything it wants to, yes.

301
00:09:43,829 --> 00:09:46,050
Then, um, but rarely even then.

302
00:09:46,740 --> 00:09:46,950
So

303
00:09:46,950 --> 00:09:47,640
stick with that.

304
00:09:47,670 --> 00:09:48,720
There's all this chaos.

305
00:09:49,020 --> 00:09:50,940
And most founders, uh,
you know, 'cause we, we

306
00:09:50,940 --> 00:09:51,840
advise them all the time.

307
00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:54,150
They'll come to us and say like,
I am, you know, overwhelmed

308
00:09:54,150 --> 00:09:55,380
with chaos right now.

309
00:09:55,980 --> 00:09:58,260
How am I supposed to inspire?

310
00:09:58,260 --> 00:10:02,130
Like, where do I create
this optimism in the face

311
00:10:02,130 --> 00:10:03,660
of so much negativity?

312
00:10:03,690 --> 00:10:04,650
So much negativity.

313
00:10:05,005 --> 00:10:07,560
And, and I wanna talk about
that kinda where that comes

314
00:10:07,560 --> 00:10:10,170
from and, and, and you know,
how we manufacture that.

315
00:10:10,710 --> 00:10:13,200
But I think about
it in terms of, um.

316
00:10:13,795 --> 00:10:17,035
Because we are in the business
of delusion, and everybody

317
00:10:17,035 --> 00:10:19,675
hates that term because it,
it sounds like, it sounds

318
00:10:19,675 --> 00:10:21,084
negative, it sounds false.

319
00:10:21,084 --> 00:10:21,895
It's, you know,
all these things.

320
00:10:22,375 --> 00:10:23,545
I hear accurate.

321
00:10:25,135 --> 00:10:25,854
It probably is.

322
00:10:25,854 --> 00:10:26,635
It's, it is what it is.

323
00:10:26,785 --> 00:10:27,234
Yeah, man.

324
00:10:27,234 --> 00:10:29,305
So, but, but I look
at it and I say.

325
00:10:29,820 --> 00:10:33,030
As a person who has always
lived in a state of delusion,

326
00:10:33,420 --> 00:10:35,520
you know, I've just got a
wild imagination and that's

327
00:10:35,520 --> 00:10:36,630
a big part of this job.

328
00:10:36,630 --> 00:10:36,690
Yeah.

329
00:10:37,230 --> 00:10:40,950
I remember as being like a
9-year-old kid on, in the

330
00:10:40,950 --> 00:10:44,070
summer, I'd wake up and I'd
be like, I wanna build a fort.

331
00:10:44,475 --> 00:10:46,755
Where I grew up in Connecticut,
um, we had lots and lots

332
00:10:46,755 --> 00:10:48,885
of woods, so all the houses
backed up to woods, so,

333
00:10:49,815 --> 00:10:49,944
and I never, isn't it

334
00:10:49,944 --> 00:10:50,925
weird that I still
wake up like that?

335
00:10:50,925 --> 00:10:52,065
Will, I'm not even kidding.

336
00:10:52,065 --> 00:10:54,645
Jack and I saw some stuff from
like a construction project

337
00:10:54,645 --> 00:10:56,205
the other day where they're
like, gutting this building.

338
00:10:56,475 --> 00:10:58,725
We saw this stuff and we stood
there for like 10 minutes being

339
00:10:58,725 --> 00:11:00,855
like, Ooh, we could grab that
stuff, take it over to Park

340
00:11:00,855 --> 00:11:03,620
Levy there, and we could build
a fort, literally designing

341
00:11:03,885 --> 00:11:06,195
this timeless man how to, yeah,
that would've gone over well.

342
00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:06,380
So,

343
00:11:06,525 --> 00:11:09,435
so the moment I woke up
though, the delusion began.

344
00:11:09,975 --> 00:11:13,665
The delusion began, I
pictured the full fortress

345
00:11:13,785 --> 00:11:14,895
that was going to get built.

346
00:11:15,105 --> 00:11:15,375
Okay.

347
00:11:15,525 --> 00:11:16,935
I remember I'd grab graph paper.

348
00:11:16,935 --> 00:11:17,835
I loved this part, right?

349
00:11:17,835 --> 00:11:20,175
This is before SketchUp
existed, and I would sketch

350
00:11:20,175 --> 00:11:23,085
out exactly what the fort
would look like, you know,

351
00:11:23,085 --> 00:11:24,435
in, in, in its purpose.

352
00:11:24,435 --> 00:11:25,725
And, you know, its grand vision.

353
00:11:26,324 --> 00:11:29,355
And I would then go to my, my,
um, the kids in my neighborhood

354
00:11:29,595 --> 00:11:32,235
and I would recruit every
single kid that would listen

355
00:11:32,564 --> 00:11:35,145
and sell them on the idea of
what this fort was going to be.

356
00:11:35,650 --> 00:11:37,900
Where we were gonna source
materials and get them

357
00:11:37,900 --> 00:11:39,970
super pumped about what
their role in the grand

358
00:11:39,970 --> 00:11:41,350
vision would be, et cetera.

359
00:11:41,650 --> 00:11:44,590
I mean, it was
founder 1 0 1, right?

360
00:11:44,590 --> 00:11:48,010
Like, I mean, it's funny that
I was just instinctively doing

361
00:11:48,010 --> 00:11:49,689
that ever since I was a kid.

362
00:11:50,350 --> 00:11:50,470
Yeah.

363
00:11:50,470 --> 00:11:50,560
But.

364
00:11:51,120 --> 00:11:53,370
In my mind when I woke
up that morning, that

365
00:11:53,370 --> 00:11:54,330
fort was already built.

366
00:11:54,630 --> 00:11:57,390
The only difference between
where I was right now and being

367
00:11:57,390 --> 00:12:00,180
there was all the work I had to
do in between to make it happen.

368
00:12:00,210 --> 00:12:00,300
Sure.

369
00:12:00,300 --> 00:12:00,960
But in my mind,

370
00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:02,520
it was a foregone conclusion.

371
00:12:02,940 --> 00:12:04,230
Well stick on that for a second.

372
00:12:04,230 --> 00:12:06,360
'cause I think that's an
important distinction between

373
00:12:06,750 --> 00:12:08,250
founders and most people.

374
00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:12,180
I think that most people
need proof to believe.

375
00:12:12,780 --> 00:12:15,480
Founders, on the other
hand, just need belief to

376
00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:16,530
go and create some proof.

377
00:12:16,770 --> 00:12:17,880
Uh, correct.

378
00:12:17,939 --> 00:12:18,240
Yeah.

379
00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:20,430
As long as we're willing to
believe we will go, we'll,

380
00:12:20,430 --> 00:12:21,449
we'll go prove it, right?

381
00:12:21,449 --> 00:12:21,540
Yep.

382
00:12:21,540 --> 00:12:23,550
Everyone else is sitting
around going, prove this

383
00:12:23,550 --> 00:12:25,920
to me so that I can believe
it, and we're like, that's

384
00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:27,210
not the way I see the world.

385
00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:27,870
It just isn't.

386
00:12:28,140 --> 00:12:31,470
And again, for those folks
that need proof, I get it.

387
00:12:32,310 --> 00:12:33,210
Yeah, I, I get it.

388
00:12:33,540 --> 00:12:35,189
You see this in religion, right?

389
00:12:35,189 --> 00:12:37,020
And that, that is the,
the, the fundamental

390
00:12:37,020 --> 00:12:37,860
difference in religion.

391
00:12:37,860 --> 00:12:39,540
You either have faith
and you believe.

392
00:12:39,959 --> 00:12:42,449
Or you insist on proof and
you don't get it right.

393
00:12:42,449 --> 00:12:43,890
It just, it, it's
one of the two.

394
00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:48,150
And, and, and those are
very polarizing spectrums.

395
00:12:48,329 --> 00:12:48,600
Okay?

396
00:12:48,959 --> 00:12:52,800
Now, for people who believe,
they often not always don't

397
00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:54,870
need to be told to believe,
there's just something in

398
00:12:54,870 --> 00:12:57,660
them that is willing to
manufacture that belief.

399
00:12:58,020 --> 00:12:59,790
And hold onto it very
strongly and, and

400
00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:01,350
clearly around religion.

401
00:13:01,350 --> 00:13:03,750
Nothing has inspired
more humans on the planet

402
00:13:03,930 --> 00:13:05,010
than what is religion.

403
00:13:05,010 --> 00:13:07,050
A belief in something
that that might not be.

404
00:13:07,050 --> 00:13:08,969
And again, I'm not knocking
anybody's religion, I'm just

405
00:13:08,969 --> 00:13:11,640
saying everyone recognizes
that there could be a chance

406
00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:13,650
that, that it isn't what we
think it is, no matter how,

407
00:13:13,650 --> 00:13:14,400
how strong our belief is.

408
00:13:14,880 --> 00:13:16,740
And, but we're willing
to believe anyway.

409
00:13:17,189 --> 00:13:17,910
That is a founder.

410
00:13:18,209 --> 00:13:21,270
The founder says there's,
I can't prove a damn thing.

411
00:13:21,590 --> 00:13:24,620
I have no idea whether this
is gonna actually become

412
00:13:24,620 --> 00:13:27,920
this thing, but I believe so
strongly in the value of what

413
00:13:27,920 --> 00:13:31,610
it could be, that I'm gonna
manufacture all of the optimism

414
00:13:31,700 --> 00:13:35,390
that I've ever had in my
life around this single goal.

415
00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:36,980
And I'm, again, I'm expire.

416
00:13:36,980 --> 00:13:39,470
Lots of people to join,
invest, and all these things.

417
00:13:39,839 --> 00:13:42,990
But at, at some point, and this
is, this is, uh, what I want to

418
00:13:42,990 --> 00:13:45,390
kind of dial into at some point.

419
00:13:45,420 --> 00:13:47,280
Like when it's first
starting, it's just a concept.

420
00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:48,240
There's no consequence yet.

421
00:13:49,140 --> 00:13:51,750
Fast forward three years
in, I haven't gotten paid.

422
00:13:51,750 --> 00:13:53,550
I've burned through all
my personal savings.

423
00:13:53,670 --> 00:13:56,459
I've got a bunch of people
that I can barely keep paid.

424
00:13:56,610 --> 00:13:59,910
Maybe I'm, I'm swinging rope to
rope on, uh, investor checks.

425
00:14:00,300 --> 00:14:02,699
Where the hell am I supposed
to get that optimism now?

426
00:14:03,405 --> 00:14:05,325
Like what does that even
look like at this point?

427
00:14:05,385 --> 00:14:07,635
Yeah, and I think that's where
a lot of people that we talk to,

428
00:14:07,635 --> 00:14:11,715
they're in that spot and they're
like, once the pixie dust of

429
00:14:11,715 --> 00:14:14,985
the big idea ran off, now I
have the reality of what this

430
00:14:14,985 --> 00:14:18,435
thing is and how the hell am I
supposed to draw more optimism

431
00:14:18,435 --> 00:14:19,635
from the reality around me?

432
00:14:19,755 --> 00:14:19,995
You know what

433
00:14:19,995 --> 00:14:20,175
I mean?

434
00:14:20,445 --> 00:14:20,595
Yeah.

435
00:14:20,595 --> 00:14:22,545
I think the future visionally
goes so far, right?

436
00:14:22,545 --> 00:14:25,935
Like you waking up, you waking
up and seeing that for that's

437
00:14:25,935 --> 00:14:27,015
already built, that's great.

438
00:14:27,075 --> 00:14:27,315
Right?

439
00:14:27,315 --> 00:14:28,605
We seeing it as already real.

440
00:14:28,605 --> 00:14:30,495
That's, I think that's
where it, it starts.

441
00:14:31,100 --> 00:14:33,980
For me, it was then always
about kind of like this alchemy

442
00:14:33,980 --> 00:14:36,050
around, uh, minor wins, right?

443
00:14:36,050 --> 00:14:40,010
Like little outcomes that are
signals that, that can kind

444
00:14:40,010 --> 00:14:41,090
of turn into some momentum.

445
00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:44,210
Um, so maybe it's that waking
up and, and and creating the,

446
00:14:44,210 --> 00:14:45,440
the sketch on graph paper.

447
00:14:45,620 --> 00:14:46,640
And so I go like, okay, yes.

448
00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:48,350
So now I can show this to
somebody else and they'll,

449
00:14:48,530 --> 00:14:49,280
they'll be able to see it.

450
00:14:49,340 --> 00:14:51,830
It is closer to the
real that I see and then

451
00:14:51,830 --> 00:14:52,820
getting somebody to agree.

452
00:14:53,090 --> 00:14:56,345
And so it's, it's really about
that series of, of kind of

453
00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:59,655
micro wins and, and leveraging
those together so that you.

454
00:15:00,285 --> 00:15:01,515
Because that's where
it comes from, right?

455
00:15:01,515 --> 00:15:04,515
Like at some point I've met
very, very few founders.

456
00:15:04,545 --> 00:15:09,615
I've met a few who will just
continue with that sort of

457
00:15:09,615 --> 00:15:11,834
like religious level of faith.

458
00:15:12,255 --> 00:15:15,645
Where it's like, I have yet to
see any proof of this, but I

459
00:15:15,645 --> 00:15:18,314
believe in it so strongly that
I'm willing to keep doing this.

460
00:15:18,314 --> 00:15:20,954
I, I keep, I keep running into
nose and walls everywhere.

461
00:15:21,255 --> 00:15:22,035
I'm willing to keep doing it.

462
00:15:22,574 --> 00:15:23,775
Most founders have a limit.

463
00:15:23,780 --> 00:15:25,484
I, I, I would argue
probably all founders have

464
00:15:25,484 --> 00:15:26,295
a limit there somewhere.

465
00:15:26,354 --> 00:15:30,854
Um, but I think that, you know,
where most of us end up either

466
00:15:31,245 --> 00:15:34,035
moving forward, turning back
is when we either do or don't

467
00:15:34,035 --> 00:15:35,745
get those, those little wins.

468
00:15:35,745 --> 00:15:38,834
And for me, it was about
ritualizing them as,

469
00:15:38,834 --> 00:15:40,125
as, as much as I could.

470
00:15:41,010 --> 00:15:41,969
Log them.

471
00:15:42,209 --> 00:15:43,795
Make sure the team who
wins is aware of them,

472
00:15:43,795 --> 00:15:45,209
wins or wins, whoever it
is that I'm certain, right?

473
00:15:45,209 --> 00:15:47,790
So just memorialize them in
some ways and then use that

474
00:15:47,790 --> 00:15:51,630
to, to compound morale within
the team if that's necessary.

475
00:15:51,630 --> 00:15:54,599
Or just even within myself to
like go back and look at it

476
00:15:54,599 --> 00:15:57,300
and go, okay, this actually
has added up to something.

477
00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:57,630
Right?

478
00:15:57,630 --> 00:15:59,550
This isn't, it isn't a
zero yet everybody else is

479
00:15:59,550 --> 00:16:00,630
looking at it going as zero.

480
00:16:01,260 --> 00:16:03,630
I'm still seeing that
future vision, but

481
00:16:03,630 --> 00:16:04,620
there's also some there.

482
00:16:04,620 --> 00:16:05,490
There's a little bit of smoke.

483
00:16:05,490 --> 00:16:06,780
Maybe we don't have
fire yet, but there's

484
00:16:06,780 --> 00:16:08,400
at least something here.

485
00:16:08,730 --> 00:16:09,060
You know

486
00:16:09,060 --> 00:16:12,150
something that's really funny
about everything we talk about

487
00:16:12,150 --> 00:16:14,910
here is that none of it is new.

488
00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:17,730
Everything you're dealing
with right now has been done a

489
00:16:17,730 --> 00:16:21,569
thousand times before you, which
means the answer already exists.

490
00:16:21,569 --> 00:16:22,319
You may just not know it.

491
00:16:22,650 --> 00:16:23,430
But that's okay.

492
00:16:23,790 --> 00:16:25,620
That's kind of what
we're here to do.

493
00:16:25,620 --> 00:16:28,260
We talk about this stuff on
the show, but we actually

494
00:16:28,260 --> 00:16:32,250
solve these problems all
dayLong@groups.startups.com.

495
00:16:32,459 --> 00:16:35,760
So if any of this sounds
familiar, stop guessing

496
00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:38,790
about what to do, let us just
give you the answers to the

497
00:16:38,790 --> 00:16:40,170
test and be done with it.

498
00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:44,010
I remember when I was raising
VC for, for my first company,

499
00:16:44,490 --> 00:16:47,040
Uhhuh, that I would eventually
successfully raise for, we were

500
00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:50,220
on 50 investor pitches, of which
every single person said, no.

501
00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:50,370
True.

502
00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:52,319
Every single person said, no.

503
00:16:52,350 --> 00:16:55,410
Now it's never quite that
binary when you're in the

504
00:16:55,410 --> 00:16:57,540
pitches, like there, there's,
you have good pitches

505
00:16:57,540 --> 00:16:58,470
that still end up in a no.

506
00:16:58,475 --> 00:16:58,829
Yeah, yeah.

507
00:16:58,829 --> 00:17:01,650
So you, you kind of manufacture
some optimism from it.

508
00:17:01,650 --> 00:17:01,920
Sure.

509
00:17:02,220 --> 00:17:03,900
But you feel like you got
a little further, you get

510
00:17:03,900 --> 00:17:06,089
some nods on slides that
were just absolute because

511
00:17:06,089 --> 00:17:07,030
flat previously Yeah.

512
00:17:07,109 --> 00:17:07,349
Yeah.

513
00:17:07,349 --> 00:17:10,139
Maybe like, like a third of
those, you know, a, a hard

514
00:17:10,139 --> 00:17:11,129
No, from the, the get go.

515
00:17:11,129 --> 00:17:11,190
Yeah.

516
00:17:11,550 --> 00:17:14,250
A third of those you get to
know later on, and a third of

517
00:17:14,250 --> 00:17:15,629
those are all like, Hey, maybe.

518
00:17:16,514 --> 00:17:16,754
Yeah.

519
00:17:16,784 --> 00:17:16,964
Right.

520
00:17:16,964 --> 00:17:19,635
And so you're manufacturing
the optimism for, for those

521
00:17:19,635 --> 00:17:21,675
ones that, that might, uh,
close even though in, in

522
00:17:21,675 --> 00:17:22,484
the end none of them did.

523
00:17:22,905 --> 00:17:25,845
But then 50, you know, meeting
51, this person was like, this

524
00:17:25,845 --> 00:17:26,925
is the best idea I've ever seen.

525
00:17:26,954 --> 00:17:28,635
Like, uh, you know, shut
up and take my money.

526
00:17:29,205 --> 00:17:29,264
Yeah.

527
00:17:29,264 --> 00:17:29,955
And we're like, huh.

528
00:17:30,465 --> 00:17:34,095
Had we given up in meeting
10, which a rational person

529
00:17:34,215 --> 00:17:36,645
after 10 meetings with, you
know, very, uh, substantial

530
00:17:36,645 --> 00:17:38,355
investors would've been
like, you know, this

531
00:17:38,355 --> 00:17:39,225
probably isn't a great idea.

532
00:17:39,765 --> 00:17:43,365
A rational person wouldn't
have done it 40 more times.

533
00:17:43,605 --> 00:17:43,965
Right.

534
00:17:44,175 --> 00:17:45,525
But we're not rational people.

535
00:17:45,645 --> 00:17:48,585
We're not, and and I, I think
when you try to apply a rational

536
00:17:48,585 --> 00:17:51,435
filter, and, and by the way,
I'm not saying a reasonable

537
00:17:51,435 --> 00:17:54,705
filter, rational filter to, in
my mind, the distinction would

538
00:17:54,705 --> 00:17:57,585
be yes, rational says, look,
I've, I've looked at the data.

539
00:17:57,675 --> 00:17:58,935
The data says Stop doing this.

540
00:17:58,965 --> 00:17:59,145
Okay.

541
00:17:59,145 --> 00:17:59,295
Correct.

542
00:17:59,415 --> 00:18:01,635
Very rational, reasonable
person said, I've

543
00:18:01,635 --> 00:18:02,415
looked at the data too.

544
00:18:02,445 --> 00:18:05,655
It also says, uh, it may not
be probable, but it doesn't

545
00:18:05,655 --> 00:18:06,585
mean it, it can't be done.

546
00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:07,560
Correct.

547
00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:07,830
Right.

548
00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:10,290
You know, I, I reasoned, I've
looked at both and I said,

549
00:18:10,290 --> 00:18:13,800
Hey, chances are we won't
get it done, but there's 10%

550
00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:15,240
chance that we will carry on.

551
00:18:15,510 --> 00:18:15,630
Right.

552
00:18:15,630 --> 00:18:18,330
It's, we've, we've gotten
nothing but No, so far, but

553
00:18:18,330 --> 00:18:20,370
it's not definitive yet that
that's the only answer that

554
00:18:20,370 --> 00:18:21,135
could possibly come back.

555
00:18:21,205 --> 00:18:21,695
Correct.

556
00:18:22,220 --> 00:18:24,139
When I think about, you
know, where this optimism

557
00:18:24,139 --> 00:18:26,510
is coming from, when I think
about where it stems from,

558
00:18:26,780 --> 00:18:29,659
I think you touched on it,
it stems from those little,

559
00:18:29,870 --> 00:18:31,340
those little wins, right?

560
00:18:31,460 --> 00:18:33,470
That, that maybe it's not
a yes, but it's a, maybe.

561
00:18:33,470 --> 00:18:34,280
It's like, well,
shit, we haven't had

562
00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:35,629
a maybe before, right?

563
00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:37,850
When you and I are building
product together, we built

564
00:18:37,850 --> 00:18:39,649
a lot of products over
a long period of time.

565
00:18:40,100 --> 00:18:42,530
We launched a new product, a
new price point, you know, a, a

566
00:18:42,530 --> 00:18:44,990
new feature and one person buys.

567
00:18:45,230 --> 00:18:47,870
Now the weight of that one
person means nothing, you

568
00:18:47,870 --> 00:18:49,310
know, relative to our business.

569
00:18:49,580 --> 00:18:50,780
But it opens the door of hope.

570
00:18:50,845 --> 00:18:50,935
Yes.

571
00:18:51,535 --> 00:18:54,145
And, and we go, ah, if, if
it's one, it could be two.

572
00:18:54,145 --> 00:18:55,165
If it could two, it could be 20.

573
00:18:55,165 --> 00:18:55,345
Yeah.

574
00:18:55,435 --> 00:18:55,705
Right?

575
00:18:56,065 --> 00:18:56,305
Yeah.

576
00:18:56,485 --> 00:18:57,385
It's not zero anymore.

577
00:18:57,835 --> 00:18:58,345
Exactly.

578
00:18:58,345 --> 00:19:00,415
Because zero is a
very specific number.

579
00:19:01,135 --> 00:19:04,075
And I think that optimism
comes from these tiny little

580
00:19:04,075 --> 00:19:06,475
signals that breed hope.

581
00:19:07,165 --> 00:19:10,255
And I think that when, when
people look at hope, I think we

582
00:19:10,255 --> 00:19:12,925
tend to wildly undervalue hope.

583
00:19:13,255 --> 00:19:15,895
I think we look at hope
as this childlike fantasy.

584
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:20,100
And what I'm saying is that
shred of hope, that shred

585
00:19:20,100 --> 00:19:22,680
of optimism is our business.

586
00:19:22,980 --> 00:19:23,220
Right?

587
00:19:23,220 --> 00:19:25,920
That is literally what, what,
what makes great companies

588
00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:26,850
is that shred of hope.

589
00:19:26,855 --> 00:19:26,895
Yeah.

590
00:19:26,900 --> 00:19:27,960
That shred of possibility.

591
00:19:28,530 --> 00:19:30,450
And when you look back at
so many companies that have

592
00:19:30,450 --> 00:19:33,630
had that like down to the
last, you know, dollar, down

593
00:19:33,630 --> 00:19:36,840
to the, the, the last morsel
moment and they've come back,

594
00:19:37,380 --> 00:19:38,280
the difference was hope.

595
00:19:38,460 --> 00:19:40,470
Now, for every one of
those stories where the

596
00:19:40,470 --> 00:19:42,660
person came back, there's
a thousand of them where

597
00:19:42,660 --> 00:19:45,310
they fell off a cliff like,
uh, Wally Coyote, but yeah.

598
00:19:45,690 --> 00:19:47,340
That's the point,
that's the hope.

599
00:19:47,940 --> 00:19:48,480
That's what changes
it at the same time.

600
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:48,690
Right.

601
00:19:48,690 --> 00:19:49,110
That's the thing.

602
00:19:49,230 --> 00:19:50,520
You, you gotta, you
gotta play to that point.

603
00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:51,600
That's where it
becomes definitive.

604
00:19:51,625 --> 00:19:52,115
Right, right, right.

605
00:19:52,410 --> 00:19:55,320
I think that's what's, what's
so hard for people who, who

606
00:19:55,770 --> 00:19:57,930
aren't built like this, don't
have this gear, don't have this

607
00:19:57,930 --> 00:20:01,440
mentality to look at and go,
like, why would you wait until

608
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:06,120
you have absolute undeniable
proof that it won't work?

609
00:20:06,390 --> 00:20:06,600
Yeah.

610
00:20:06,660 --> 00:20:09,090
When you were willing to
continue without any kind of

611
00:20:09,090 --> 00:20:11,400
proof that it might, like,
why does it, why, why are

612
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,200
you so willing on one hand.

613
00:20:13,620 --> 00:20:17,520
To kick that decision down
the road until this, until

614
00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:19,140
you get this like you,
it has to be so highly

615
00:20:19,140 --> 00:20:20,160
specific for you to say no.

616
00:20:20,460 --> 00:20:23,670
But you'll take even, you
know, a, a a a, a little bit

617
00:20:23,670 --> 00:20:26,160
of cent on the wind that says
maybe this is still possible.

618
00:20:26,580 --> 00:20:29,340
And I think it just goes back
to, you know, being willing

619
00:20:29,340 --> 00:20:32,490
to say that like, whatever the
cost and the loss is of this

620
00:20:32,490 --> 00:20:36,330
not working means less to me
than the possibility that it,

621
00:20:36,420 --> 00:20:37,980
that it could, could be true.

622
00:20:38,534 --> 00:20:41,685
If I go back in time, I can even
think of times where like, I'm

623
00:20:41,685 --> 00:20:47,145
not gonna say I lied to myself,
but I definitely intentionally

624
00:20:47,595 --> 00:20:51,465
inflated things, right, simply
because I needed some hope.

625
00:20:52,425 --> 00:20:52,635
Right.

626
00:20:53,024 --> 00:20:53,985
You have to though.

627
00:20:53,985 --> 00:20:56,294
I mean, again, that right,
that is the business, right?

628
00:20:56,294 --> 00:20:58,725
Like there isn't another
version of this where everything

629
00:20:58,725 --> 00:21:01,395
is going so well that your
optimism just comes from

630
00:21:01,395 --> 00:21:02,595
so many high fives, right?

631
00:21:02,625 --> 00:21:02,895
Like,

632
00:21:02,955 --> 00:21:03,225
yeah.

633
00:21:03,250 --> 00:21:05,264
That, that world
literally doesn't exist.

634
00:21:05,264 --> 00:21:08,745
But I think if you've never
done this before and you, and

635
00:21:08,745 --> 00:21:11,595
you're like a, a, a, a rational
person and you, you get your

636
00:21:11,595 --> 00:21:14,415
optimism from positive signals
like that constantly happen.

637
00:21:14,895 --> 00:21:16,395
Then you look at this going.

638
00:21:16,935 --> 00:21:18,405
Why would anybody be optimistic?

639
00:21:18,405 --> 00:21:18,705
Right?

640
00:21:18,885 --> 00:21:20,625
And you see this with
employees that we're not cut

641
00:21:20,625 --> 00:21:22,155
out to be at startups, right?

642
00:21:22,395 --> 00:21:25,245
As soon as the, the funding
starts to go away, or as soon

643
00:21:25,245 --> 00:21:28,395
as the product market fit
doesn't seem certain, they

644
00:21:28,395 --> 00:21:29,145
get the hell out of there.

645
00:21:29,265 --> 00:21:31,755
Like I, I was here when it
seemed like all the signals

646
00:21:31,755 --> 00:21:34,035
were good, but as soon as
they turned negative, I'm out.

647
00:21:34,395 --> 00:21:35,955
And, and frankly, you
should Part company with

648
00:21:35,955 --> 00:21:36,735
that person is fast.

649
00:21:37,425 --> 00:21:37,815
Yes.

650
00:21:37,965 --> 00:21:38,325
Yeah.

651
00:21:38,325 --> 00:21:38,335
Yeah.

652
00:21:38,475 --> 00:21:39,870
They're, they're, they're not,
they're on the wrong boat.

653
00:21:40,100 --> 00:21:40,390
Yeah.

654
00:21:40,390 --> 00:21:40,550
Yeah.

655
00:21:41,580 --> 00:21:45,210
The next thing I would say is
when I talk to people about

656
00:21:45,659 --> 00:21:49,260
this manufacturing optimism,
I think one of the things

657
00:21:49,264 --> 00:21:52,139
that, that we get back is,
well, am I lying to people?

658
00:21:52,590 --> 00:21:53,220
Sure, sure, sure.

659
00:21:53,220 --> 00:21:53,490
Yeah.

660
00:21:53,490 --> 00:21:54,780
Are we talking about dishonesty,

661
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:57,060
you know, to Is is
my delusional lie.

662
00:21:57,355 --> 00:21:57,645
Yeah.

663
00:21:57,689 --> 00:21:57,990
Yeah.

664
00:21:57,990 --> 00:21:58,169
And,

665
00:21:58,169 --> 00:21:59,129
and here's the answer.

666
00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:02,340
It can be if you
know the answer.

667
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:06,929
Let me explain the
difference between Theranos,

668
00:22:07,409 --> 00:22:08,460
where, where the founder.

669
00:22:09,135 --> 00:22:11,475
Quite specifically
lied to people.

670
00:22:11,925 --> 00:22:15,165
It's because she knew the
answer was one thing and she

671
00:22:15,165 --> 00:22:16,335
gave them a different answer.

672
00:22:16,635 --> 00:22:17,565
That's called lying.

673
00:22:17,715 --> 00:22:17,774
Yeah.

674
00:22:17,774 --> 00:22:18,645
That's not optimism.

675
00:22:18,645 --> 00:22:18,720
That's lying.

676
00:22:18,825 --> 00:22:19,034
Right?

677
00:22:19,034 --> 00:22:19,245
Yeah.

678
00:22:19,245 --> 00:22:19,800
That's, that's different.

679
00:22:19,804 --> 00:22:20,895
That's called optimism, right?

680
00:22:21,254 --> 00:22:22,425
Or it's not a called optimism.

681
00:22:22,725 --> 00:22:25,425
Optimism is when there's a
chance that it could be true.

682
00:22:25,784 --> 00:22:26,955
Optimism is a bet that

683
00:22:26,955 --> 00:22:28,455
has some odds.

684
00:22:28,845 --> 00:22:29,745
It's not a coverup.

685
00:22:29,955 --> 00:22:30,225
Right.

686
00:22:30,225 --> 00:22:31,305
What she did was a coverup.

687
00:22:31,785 --> 00:22:32,805
Optimism is a bet.

688
00:22:32,895 --> 00:22:33,975
Uh, lying

689
00:22:33,975 --> 00:22:34,515
is a coverup.

690
00:22:34,755 --> 00:22:34,815
Yeah.

691
00:22:34,815 --> 00:22:35,985
She knew the answer was no.

692
00:22:36,075 --> 00:22:36,285
Yeah.

693
00:22:36,495 --> 00:22:36,705
Right.

694
00:22:36,705 --> 00:22:36,915
You know?

695
00:22:36,915 --> 00:22:38,145
Does this product
work currently?

696
00:22:38,205 --> 00:22:38,625
No.

697
00:22:39,195 --> 00:22:41,985
Now, to be fair, if she
had phrased it differently

698
00:22:42,405 --> 00:22:43,875
and she just said Not yet.

699
00:22:43,875 --> 00:22:43,895
Not yet.

700
00:22:44,205 --> 00:22:44,505
Right.

701
00:22:44,715 --> 00:22:45,525
That would be different.

702
00:22:45,795 --> 00:22:47,775
That would be different
There difference Not yet.

703
00:22:47,775 --> 00:22:49,695
Says the answer is no.

704
00:22:49,695 --> 00:22:51,735
It does not work, but it could.

705
00:22:52,409 --> 00:22:55,679
When you do it differently and
you say, yes, it works, and you

706
00:22:55,679 --> 00:22:59,159
knowingly know, it won't even,
even if the hope of course is,

707
00:22:59,159 --> 00:23:01,500
is that, you know, you'll get
it to a working, um, viable

708
00:23:01,500 --> 00:23:03,480
state, that's still a lie.

709
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:06,060
I think that distinction,
I'll give you a quick story.

710
00:23:06,419 --> 00:23:09,210
There's a guy, uh, that,
that gave me this great story

711
00:23:09,210 --> 00:23:11,850
back in like 2006 or seven.

712
00:23:12,179 --> 00:23:14,700
His name is Matt Coffin and
Matt has started a company

713
00:23:14,700 --> 00:23:16,200
called Lower My bills.com.

714
00:23:16,290 --> 00:23:17,160
Uhhuh like this.

715
00:23:17,430 --> 00:23:20,129
This would've been an early
two thousands kind of darling,

716
00:23:20,129 --> 00:23:22,680
and he sold that for like
three 50 million cash to the

717
00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:24,690
same company that the guy
I mentioned before, Cameron

718
00:23:24,690 --> 00:23:27,150
Porters and Johnny sold price
grabber to both to Experian.

719
00:23:27,150 --> 00:23:29,310
Around the same time I had
met Matt and he was looking to

720
00:23:29,310 --> 00:23:30,450
invest in one of my companies.

721
00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:33,930
Matt was telling me a story
about how in the early days of

722
00:23:33,930 --> 00:23:36,990
lower my bills, he was like,
basically I had to present to

723
00:23:36,990 --> 00:23:39,360
the company the whole, they had
lots of employees at the time.

724
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:41,460
He presents to the company
that, you know, things are

725
00:23:41,460 --> 00:23:43,890
gonna be awesome, you know,
we're, we're gonna be a big

726
00:23:43,890 --> 00:23:45,330
company, get acquired, whatever.

727
00:23:45,900 --> 00:23:48,270
And then he exits the
meeting, goes in the next

728
00:23:48,270 --> 00:23:50,640
room, and he's like, we
can't make payroll next week.

729
00:23:50,850 --> 00:23:51,675
Right now.

730
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,820
Now lots of founders
have been in that.

731
00:23:55,409 --> 00:23:59,399
In that moment, and it's a cool
story when you go on to sell for

732
00:23:59,399 --> 00:24:00,780
hundreds of millions of dollars.

733
00:24:01,290 --> 00:24:04,709
It's a less cool story when
that's where it ends, right?

734
00:24:04,709 --> 00:24:05,939
Where you just
don't pay everybody.

735
00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:06,360
Right?

736
00:24:06,510 --> 00:24:08,729
Uh, you know, actually a, a
good, you know, I don't want

737
00:24:08,729 --> 00:24:11,100
to get too into this, but like
s was a good example of that.

738
00:24:11,685 --> 00:24:13,725
But in this case, the founder
actually did not know that

739
00:24:13,725 --> 00:24:16,065
they weren't gonna be able
to pay everybody, but ran

740
00:24:16,065 --> 00:24:19,005
into a situation where in,
in very short order, she's

741
00:24:19,005 --> 00:24:21,465
like, I've got 450 people
that I can't pay on Monday.

742
00:24:21,555 --> 00:24:22,485
That is a big problem.

743
00:24:22,905 --> 00:24:24,615
But she also didn't tell them
that they're gonna get paid,

744
00:24:24,615 --> 00:24:25,395
so she didn't lie to them.

745
00:24:25,395 --> 00:24:28,575
She's very honest about it,
but crazy shit like this

746
00:24:28,575 --> 00:24:29,475
happens in our business.

747
00:24:29,535 --> 00:24:29,955
It does.

748
00:24:30,405 --> 00:24:32,835
But again, to your point,
you have to draw that, that

749
00:24:32,835 --> 00:24:36,030
distinction first around
uncertainty versus certainty.

750
00:24:36,885 --> 00:24:37,245
Right.

751
00:24:37,245 --> 00:24:38,445
It, it has to be right.

752
00:24:38,445 --> 00:24:40,335
Honest optimism is okay, right?

753
00:24:40,335 --> 00:24:43,095
Here's the situation, here's
the plan, here's the chance.

754
00:24:43,425 --> 00:24:44,265
Assuming there's a chance.

755
00:24:44,265 --> 00:24:45,645
I think it's when it's,
here's the situation,

756
00:24:45,645 --> 00:24:48,285
here's the plan, and, you
know, there's no chance.

757
00:24:48,315 --> 00:24:50,325
That's where this becomes
problematic, really quick.

758
00:24:50,325 --> 00:24:52,455
Uh, not, not that we get to
pick and choose these things.

759
00:24:52,515 --> 00:24:55,095
All we can do is pick and
choose how we react to 'em, and

760
00:24:55,095 --> 00:24:57,585
I think that's the, the, the
core difference then between.

761
00:24:58,155 --> 00:25:01,305
Honest optimism and
just absolutely, uh, uh,

762
00:25:01,455 --> 00:25:02,505
you know, malfeasance,

763
00:25:02,685 --> 00:25:06,345
one of my favorite lines is in
the, the most recent Deadpool

764
00:25:06,855 --> 00:25:09,705
and, uh, Wolverine finds out
that Deadpool has been lying

765
00:25:09,705 --> 00:25:11,055
to him the entire time, Uhhuh.

766
00:25:11,295 --> 00:25:12,915
And he's like, it wasn't a lie.

767
00:25:13,185 --> 00:25:14,685
It was an educated wish.

768
00:25:15,315 --> 00:25:16,995
It was an educated wish.

769
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:21,115
And I thought, I thought,

770
00:25:21,115 --> 00:25:23,455
uh, I might print that on
something and hang it somewhere

771
00:25:23,455 --> 00:25:24,925
near, I mean, how mean chef's

772
00:25:24,925 --> 00:25:25,795
kiss to that one, right?

773
00:25:25,795 --> 00:25:26,575
I mean, like Yeah.

774
00:25:26,575 --> 00:25:29,005
Whoever, whoever wrote that
line is an absolute genius.

775
00:25:29,005 --> 00:25:29,125
Yes.

776
00:25:29,185 --> 00:25:29,455
Right.

777
00:25:29,725 --> 00:25:31,285
An educated wish.

778
00:25:31,465 --> 00:25:31,675
Right?

779
00:25:31,675 --> 00:25:34,705
Which I thought an educated
wish was so incredibly well

780
00:25:34,705 --> 00:25:36,145
said and so appropriate.

781
00:25:36,450 --> 00:25:37,170
To what we're talking.

782
00:25:37,170 --> 00:25:37,260
Right.

783
00:25:37,260 --> 00:25:37,530
It fits.

784
00:25:37,530 --> 00:25:38,760
I mean, this

785
00:25:38,820 --> 00:25:39,540
is an educated witch.

786
00:25:39,540 --> 00:25:40,260
It's the new mantra.

787
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:40,650
Yeah.

788
00:25:40,650 --> 00:25:40,950
Right.

789
00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:43,530
But when I think about that,
and again, the difference

790
00:25:43,530 --> 00:25:47,940
between being like just blindly
optimistic and being dishonest.

791
00:25:47,940 --> 00:25:48,150
Right.

792
00:25:48,150 --> 00:25:51,090
Because being dishonest is,
is is very different, right?

793
00:25:51,450 --> 00:25:51,540
Yeah.

794
00:25:52,005 --> 00:25:54,645
When I look at this
optimism that that isn't

795
00:25:54,735 --> 00:25:56,265
the truth, but isn't lying.

796
00:25:56,565 --> 00:25:59,175
The difference, like I said,
is if you know the answer is

797
00:25:59,175 --> 00:26:02,235
one thing without question,
then any other answer is lying.

798
00:26:02,715 --> 00:26:04,275
But if there's a chance
that that might not be

799
00:26:04,275 --> 00:26:06,915
true, then it's usually
grounded in optimism.

800
00:26:07,215 --> 00:26:09,705
For example, every founder
that's ever gonna raise

801
00:26:09,705 --> 00:26:12,045
money has to go through
this employee comes to them.

802
00:26:12,285 --> 00:26:14,505
I heard things aren't going so
well with this funding round.

803
00:26:14,505 --> 00:26:16,425
Are we gonna be able to,
uh, you know, make payroll

804
00:26:16,425 --> 00:26:17,355
in two months, so to speak?

805
00:26:17,355 --> 00:26:19,515
How, however, they,
uh, verbalize that.

806
00:26:19,575 --> 00:26:19,875
Sure.

807
00:26:20,175 --> 00:26:21,195
And you say, yeah.

808
00:26:21,810 --> 00:26:23,310
Now, are you lying?

809
00:26:23,879 --> 00:26:24,300
Yes.

810
00:26:24,300 --> 00:26:26,129
If you know for sure
that, that you can't

811
00:26:26,129 --> 00:26:26,700
raise more money, right?

812
00:26:26,700 --> 00:26:26,760
Yeah.

813
00:26:27,270 --> 00:26:28,889
The problem is you don't
know that for sure.

814
00:26:29,129 --> 00:26:30,240
The problem is you don't, right?

815
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:31,470
You're still talking
to a few people.

816
00:26:31,470 --> 00:26:34,050
There's maybe one thing,
you've got a deal in the works,

817
00:26:34,050 --> 00:26:35,940
you've got this partnership,
you know, something like that.

818
00:26:36,540 --> 00:26:39,240
And so if you were just
say, yep, nobody's getting

819
00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:41,940
paid in two months, then at
that point you pretty much

820
00:26:41,940 --> 00:26:44,400
cancel any chance that you
would ever save this year.

821
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:44,580
Yeah.

822
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,430
And everybody goes into
this gray area somewhere

823
00:26:47,430 --> 00:26:50,850
between, Hey, I thought
this was gonna work, and.

824
00:26:51,435 --> 00:26:53,055
Even now, I don't
believe it's gonna work.

825
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:53,655
Right, right.

826
00:26:53,655 --> 00:26:55,275
But, but I'm too afraid
to, to own up to what

827
00:26:55,275 --> 00:26:56,325
I, what just happened.

828
00:26:56,330 --> 00:26:57,015
It happened the whole time.

829
00:26:57,615 --> 00:26:59,775
I think, you know, as you're
getting further into those

830
00:26:59,775 --> 00:27:03,195
murkier waters, I think there's
a point at which optimism

831
00:27:03,555 --> 00:27:04,754
starts to work against you.

832
00:27:05,270 --> 00:27:07,790
I, I think at which, yeah,
like we see it when, when we

833
00:27:07,790 --> 00:27:08,750
went out and bought companies.

834
00:27:09,495 --> 00:27:10,455
This was a great example.

835
00:27:10,545 --> 00:27:12,225
Uh, virtual was an example of
that, but, you know, there's

836
00:27:12,225 --> 00:27:14,504
many, many others that we
bought or looked at, and

837
00:27:14,504 --> 00:27:16,004
the founder was like, well,
I still think this swing's

838
00:27:16,245 --> 00:27:17,175
worth a hundred million.

839
00:27:17,190 --> 00:27:17,610
Mm-hmm.

840
00:27:17,695 --> 00:27:19,935
You did $25,000 in
revenue last year.

841
00:27:20,115 --> 00:27:20,445
Right.

842
00:27:20,504 --> 00:27:20,745
You know?

843
00:27:21,195 --> 00:27:21,524
Yes.

844
00:27:21,524 --> 00:27:22,450
But the data, yeah,

845
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:23,370
yeah.

846
00:27:24,180 --> 00:27:24,530
Right.

847
00:27:25,274 --> 00:27:25,695
Yeah, yeah.

848
00:27:25,695 --> 00:27:27,435
You sure there,
there's a chance.

849
00:27:27,795 --> 00:27:28,965
It's not a good one.

850
00:27:28,965 --> 00:27:31,215
And it's not the vast
likelihood, but yeah, there's,

851
00:27:31,215 --> 00:27:33,580
there's a really small
chance this is worth the a

852
00:27:33,580 --> 00:27:35,085
hundred million, but that's

853
00:27:35,085 --> 00:27:38,835
where, in my mind, that's
where the difference between.

854
00:27:39,190 --> 00:27:42,520
I have some basis for why
this could happen and I'm just

855
00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:43,990
making shit up at this point.

856
00:27:44,140 --> 00:27:44,350
Right.

857
00:27:44,530 --> 00:27:44,770
Yeah.

858
00:27:44,830 --> 00:27:46,930
That's as close to lying
as you can get, which is my

859
00:27:46,930 --> 00:27:49,210
point, I think, where
I start to see it.

860
00:27:49,210 --> 00:27:51,610
So when we get close to
this line between hopeful

861
00:27:51,610 --> 00:27:54,550
and harmful, I think that
there's, there's sort of.

862
00:27:55,110 --> 00:27:56,280
Three components to that.

863
00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:58,620
For me, it's like if
we've got facts sort of

864
00:27:58,620 --> 00:27:59,400
like what do we know?

865
00:27:59,670 --> 00:28:01,530
We got some faith, you
know, what are we aiming

866
00:28:01,530 --> 00:28:02,610
to accomplish here?

867
00:28:02,940 --> 00:28:04,560
And then the fight, which
is what we're willing

868
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:06,720
to do to make that true.

869
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,030
Like the, the steps that we
believe will get us there.

870
00:28:09,510 --> 00:28:12,030
I think where I start to see
it go wrong is when it falls

871
00:28:12,030 --> 00:28:13,320
back just on the first two.

872
00:28:13,350 --> 00:28:16,140
It's sort of, we know
we're outta money.

873
00:28:16,845 --> 00:28:19,995
But we believe we'll be able to
get more before that payroll's

874
00:28:19,995 --> 00:28:22,815
due in two months, but they
don't have the fight anymore.

875
00:28:22,815 --> 00:28:24,915
They don't know like
what the actual steps

876
00:28:24,915 --> 00:28:25,784
they would go and take.

877
00:28:25,965 --> 00:28:29,024
This is where we're, we're now
running into a real problem.

878
00:28:29,024 --> 00:28:29,415
For me.

879
00:28:29,475 --> 00:28:32,475
It's like if you, if you can
tell me, here's the situation,

880
00:28:32,685 --> 00:28:36,345
it's good, bad, or ugly, here's
what I believe we can go do,

881
00:28:36,705 --> 00:28:38,504
and you can tell me how you
think you're gonna go about it.

882
00:28:38,534 --> 00:28:40,695
You're still on the right
side of the equation.

883
00:28:40,695 --> 00:28:43,125
I think the minute that
last piece disappears

884
00:28:43,125 --> 00:28:47,085
and you go like, well,
I. Don't have the money.

885
00:28:47,415 --> 00:28:47,745
Yeah.

886
00:28:47,774 --> 00:28:49,544
But I really hope
that we'll get it.

887
00:28:49,875 --> 00:28:51,524
But I don't have any
idea from where, how

888
00:28:52,215 --> 00:28:53,024
you're on the wrong side.

889
00:28:53,024 --> 00:28:55,125
You're, you're moving over into
harmful territory at that point.

890
00:28:55,425 --> 00:28:55,875
I agree.

891
00:28:55,875 --> 00:28:57,794
And, and I, I think that's
what I want folks to

892
00:28:57,794 --> 00:29:00,915
understand, that there is a
threshold where the upside

893
00:29:00,915 --> 00:29:04,965
to maintaining that optimism
is actually no longer there.

894
00:29:05,595 --> 00:29:05,775
Right.

895
00:29:05,775 --> 00:29:07,905
And now you're really just
mitigating the downside,

896
00:29:07,905 --> 00:29:08,685
in which case again, yep.

897
00:29:08,775 --> 00:29:10,245
You're starting to get
into Theranos territory,

898
00:29:10,245 --> 00:29:11,655
which I think is a
dangerous spot for sure.

899
00:29:12,315 --> 00:29:15,615
When we talk to founders, and
I can tell they're at the point

900
00:29:15,615 --> 00:29:18,525
of no return, the, the advice
that I give them, and I've given

901
00:29:18,525 --> 00:29:20,415
this to many, many founders,
some of those are listeners

902
00:29:20,415 --> 00:29:23,745
of this show, I've said, look,
you're at a point now where

903
00:29:23,745 --> 00:29:25,125
you're no longer trying to win.

904
00:29:25,425 --> 00:29:27,375
Instead, you're just focused
on trying not to fail,

905
00:29:27,790 --> 00:29:31,095
and, and no one wins with
that strategy and, and it's

906
00:29:31,095 --> 00:29:32,295
time to unwind this thing.

907
00:29:32,325 --> 00:29:34,545
And I basically try to
give them permission.

908
00:29:34,889 --> 00:29:37,919
To let go because at
that point I know their

909
00:29:37,919 --> 00:29:39,750
optimism is a delusion.

910
00:29:39,750 --> 00:29:42,419
Even to them, it's, it's
no longer benefiting them.

911
00:29:42,810 --> 00:29:43,080
Right?

912
00:29:43,620 --> 00:29:44,850
But here's what's
interesting, man.

913
00:29:45,330 --> 00:29:48,060
If we don't have this
optimism, if we don't

914
00:29:48,060 --> 00:29:49,110
manufacture this optimism.

915
00:29:50,055 --> 00:29:51,195
We can't win.

916
00:29:51,495 --> 00:29:54,615
There's no version where
you do what we do based

917
00:29:54,764 --> 00:29:56,625
purely on facts, right?

918
00:29:56,625 --> 00:29:59,175
It just, if, if that's the
business you think you're in,

919
00:29:59,175 --> 00:30:00,105
you're in the wrong business.

920
00:30:00,105 --> 00:30:00,375
Man.

921
00:30:00,735 --> 00:30:03,555
I just saw a clip last
night that illustrates this.

922
00:30:03,855 --> 00:30:07,305
It was from while not sleeping
because, uh, Jack has in

923
00:30:07,335 --> 00:30:10,125
two, has had a cough for two
weeks and, and it only comes

924
00:30:10,125 --> 00:30:11,534
at night to keep us awake.

925
00:30:11,534 --> 00:30:12,945
It's as we've decided
that's what it's for.

926
00:30:13,425 --> 00:30:14,745
But I, I happen to
catch this line.

927
00:30:15,105 --> 00:30:15,885
Do you remember the show?

928
00:30:15,885 --> 00:30:16,514
Whose line is it?

929
00:30:16,514 --> 00:30:16,875
Anyways?

930
00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:19,899
Yeah, I have no idea how deeply,
uh, this thing was buried on

931
00:30:19,899 --> 00:30:21,580
the internet, but this, this
clip resurfaced last night

932
00:30:21,580 --> 00:30:26,500
for me, and the, the prompt
was worst or least inspiring

933
00:30:26,500 --> 00:30:29,110
battle cries and the least
inspiring battle cry was the

934
00:30:29,110 --> 00:30:29,554
guy runs out and he goes.

935
00:30:30,195 --> 00:30:30,765
Oh no.

936
00:30:32,685 --> 00:30:34,185
I was like, yeah, right.

937
00:30:34,305 --> 00:30:35,655
You have to have optimism.

938
00:30:35,660 --> 00:30:36,165
Right, right, right.

939
00:30:36,465 --> 00:30:38,565
You show up at the fight,
you gotta believe you have

940
00:30:38,565 --> 00:30:41,655
some chance of winning,
otherwise you definitely won't.

941
00:30:41,955 --> 00:30:44,385
My favorite example of that,
and you know your battle cry is

942
00:30:44,385 --> 00:30:48,045
perfect, is the opening scene
from Saving Private Ryan, just

943
00:30:48,045 --> 00:30:49,095
telling the kids about this.

944
00:30:49,500 --> 00:30:52,800
Yeah, definitely don't show it
to 'em, but no, exactly that.

945
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:53,070
They were like,

946
00:30:53,070 --> 00:30:53,880
can we watch it?

947
00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:54,870
I was like, absolutely

948
00:30:54,990 --> 00:30:55,080
not.

949
00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:55,530
I, right.

950
00:30:55,530 --> 00:30:58,020
I remember when I watched
that scene in the theater,

951
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:01,860
like I was almost sick to my
stomach and, and not because

952
00:31:01,860 --> 00:31:02,880
it was graphic in nature.

953
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:04,890
That was part of it is
because I, no, no feel

954
00:31:04,890 --> 00:31:05,700
people, the emotional

955
00:31:05,700 --> 00:31:06,390
realization.

956
00:31:06,635 --> 00:31:06,895
Yeah.

957
00:31:07,075 --> 00:31:09,264
Like, holy, somebody
actually did that.

958
00:31:09,264 --> 00:31:10,585
Now, now back that up.

959
00:31:11,095 --> 00:31:15,745
If I recall the scene opens up
with, um, Tom Hanks on a, uh,

960
00:31:15,774 --> 00:31:17,215
you know, one of the loading
boats that's gonna hit the

961
00:31:17,215 --> 00:31:20,004
shores, and his hand is shaking
like he's, you know, trying to

962
00:31:20,004 --> 00:31:22,314
drink or do something to, to
try to like calm his nerves.

963
00:31:22,615 --> 00:31:24,835
Every guy starts throwing up
and everything else like that.

964
00:31:25,314 --> 00:31:26,245
Now I wanna pause there.

965
00:31:26,245 --> 00:31:29,395
This isn't about, about the
movie, it's about optimism.

966
00:31:29,635 --> 00:31:30,054
Okay?

967
00:31:30,205 --> 00:31:30,264
Yeah.

968
00:31:30,564 --> 00:31:31,375
At some point.

969
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:36,320
Every single person on those
boats had to be convinced that

970
00:31:36,409 --> 00:31:37,520
they were gonna be victorious.

971
00:31:37,610 --> 00:31:38,990
Now, now stick with
that for a second.

972
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:41,210
They were going
into certain death.

973
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:43,639
Like there's, there's
absolutely, and I use this

974
00:31:43,639 --> 00:31:45,080
example because it's so stark.

975
00:31:45,379 --> 00:31:48,110
They're going into certain
death, but the only way to be

976
00:31:48,110 --> 00:31:49,850
victorious, which they were.

977
00:31:50,175 --> 00:31:53,595
Was to have a manufactured
optimism to see the world in

978
00:31:53,595 --> 00:31:56,055
a way where they didn't get
shot, to see the world in

979
00:31:56,055 --> 00:31:58,305
a way where they didn't get
butchered, but they actually

980
00:31:58,305 --> 00:32:00,345
made it past the beach and they
made it up to the church, you

981
00:32:00,345 --> 00:32:01,485
know, and, and stopped things.

982
00:32:01,485 --> 00:32:04,455
Let's say, think of
how powerful that is.

983
00:32:05,235 --> 00:32:08,535
Right in the face of
absolute certain destruction.

984
00:32:08,895 --> 00:32:11,505
Someone generals, then
commanders, et cetera,

985
00:32:11,715 --> 00:32:14,565
were willing to like to
manufacture this optimism.

986
00:32:14,565 --> 00:32:17,115
They put together a plan that
said this could work, and

987
00:32:17,115 --> 00:32:18,285
then this is the crazy part.

988
00:32:18,435 --> 00:32:21,165
Convince 156,000 troops.

989
00:32:21,675 --> 00:32:21,855
Yep.

990
00:32:21,945 --> 00:32:23,475
That they should do the same.

991
00:32:23,850 --> 00:32:24,330
Same thing.

992
00:32:24,510 --> 00:32:24,660
Yeah.

993
00:32:24,810 --> 00:32:26,910
I've had some wild
ass ideas in my day.

994
00:32:27,210 --> 00:32:28,440
None of them involved.

995
00:32:28,500 --> 00:32:30,510
And we should run
directly at machine guns.

996
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:31,320
Yeah.

997
00:32:31,410 --> 00:32:33,240
Like, yeah, I appreciate that.

998
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,430
If that ever does show up
in one of our meetings, I'm,

999
00:32:35,430 --> 00:32:36,240
I'm, I'm gonna let you know.

1000
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,639
Now I'm probably, I probably,
I, I won't say a hundred

1001
00:32:38,639 --> 00:32:40,710
percent, this is where that
optimism comes in, but I'll,

1002
00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:41,790
I'm probably gonna say no.

1003
00:32:41,970 --> 00:32:42,870
I will say this though,

1004
00:32:42,870 --> 00:32:45,060
in, uh, kind of as an aside,
because we're recording

1005
00:32:45,060 --> 00:32:47,280
this after Veteran's
Day, thank you to all the

1006
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:48,450
people that have served.

1007
00:32:48,450 --> 00:32:48,840
Yes, Ryan.

1008
00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:50,100
I know you feel the same.

1009
00:32:50,310 --> 00:32:51,150
The fact that.

1010
00:32:51,825 --> 00:32:54,495
That level of bravery
even exists in humans

1011
00:32:54,705 --> 00:32:55,784
is bananas to me.

1012
00:32:55,935 --> 00:32:56,145
Right.

1013
00:32:56,145 --> 00:32:58,815
And the fact that we work
alongside, we live alongside

1014
00:32:58,815 --> 00:33:02,145
people who have that level
of bravery is unbelievable.

1015
00:33:02,534 --> 00:33:05,175
I saw this great meme
a few years back.

1016
00:33:05,175 --> 00:33:06,735
It was just talking about
like kinda the generational

1017
00:33:06,735 --> 00:33:09,345
differences and it said
your grandparents were

1018
00:33:09,345 --> 00:33:11,565
called the war, A storm on
the beaches of Normandy.

1019
00:33:11,595 --> 00:33:12,435
This is during COVID.

1020
00:33:12,855 --> 00:33:14,475
You're being called
to sit on your couch.

1021
00:33:14,685 --> 00:33:15,375
You'll be okay.

1022
00:33:16,695 --> 00:33:19,545
I was thinking of like the
level of bravery generationally.

1023
00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:22,470
And I, I always wonder like,
you know, if we are, if we

1024
00:33:22,470 --> 00:33:25,530
had that level of call now,
does our generation have that

1025
00:33:25,530 --> 00:33:28,080
level of optimism or, you
know, patriotism or whatever

1026
00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:30,165
to kind of, to heed that
call kind of different world.

1027
00:33:30,990 --> 00:33:33,840
Big question and, and one that
I actually kind of feel a little

1028
00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:35,129
ill thinking about answering

1029
00:33:35,254 --> 00:33:37,080
and, and let's, let's
hope we'd never answer.

1030
00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:38,820
But I, I bring that
up to say two things.

1031
00:33:38,820 --> 00:33:40,860
One, thank you for all the
people that, that, uh, ensure

1032
00:33:40,860 --> 00:33:45,600
our freedom, but also think
of what optimism can do.

1033
00:33:45,660 --> 00:33:49,650
Think, think of how
powerful this tool is.

1034
00:33:49,650 --> 00:33:53,520
Like how powerful, like you
can wield this tool, wielding

1035
00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:55,260
optimism, you know, in the face.

1036
00:33:55,810 --> 00:33:57,700
Certain death in this case,
and again, I know this, you

1037
00:33:57,700 --> 00:33:59,860
know, this example is kind of
dark, but sort of the prove

1038
00:33:59,860 --> 00:34:03,370
the point to be able to create
and wield optimism to those

1039
00:34:03,370 --> 00:34:05,920
types, types of end games that
literally change the world.

1040
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:08,110
That's what we get to do.

1041
00:34:08,830 --> 00:34:08,949
Yeah.

1042
00:34:08,949 --> 00:34:10,960
Now how we wield that.

1043
00:34:11,889 --> 00:34:12,100
Yeah.

1044
00:34:12,699 --> 00:34:14,170
Slightly different
stakes in most cases.

1045
00:34:14,350 --> 00:34:14,739
Yeah.

1046
00:34:14,770 --> 00:34:17,199
But, but we're given
this tool, this, this

1047
00:34:17,199 --> 00:34:18,010
thing called optimism.

1048
00:34:18,975 --> 00:34:22,125
Ryan, I, I think that when
founders second guess the

1049
00:34:22,125 --> 00:34:25,484
value of this optimism, or, you
know, hey, everything's going

1050
00:34:25,484 --> 00:34:27,344
shitty, so, you know, why would
I feel anything but shitty?

1051
00:34:27,734 --> 00:34:29,955
I'm like, ah, that's, that's
not the way this works.

1052
00:34:30,225 --> 00:34:30,554
Right?

1053
00:34:30,554 --> 00:34:33,404
Like, your job is to
manufacture that tool, like

1054
00:34:33,404 --> 00:34:34,484
to, to wield that tool.

1055
00:34:34,484 --> 00:34:34,935
You know what I mean?

1056
00:34:35,625 --> 00:34:35,924
Yeah.

1057
00:34:35,924 --> 00:34:37,154
Let's, let's circle
back to that.

1058
00:34:37,274 --> 00:34:38,804
I'm, I'm gonna stick on
that scene for a second

1059
00:34:38,804 --> 00:34:40,935
because there's, there's
a really pivotal point

1060
00:34:40,935 --> 00:34:42,014
in that scene where.

1061
00:34:42,495 --> 00:34:45,134
There's optimism and it's,
and it's, it's optimism,

1062
00:34:45,134 --> 00:34:47,835
but it's balanced well with,
with apprehension and fear

1063
00:34:47,835 --> 00:34:48,705
and all of that, right?

1064
00:34:48,705 --> 00:34:50,534
Where they're, they're
still in the boat and it's

1065
00:34:50,534 --> 00:34:53,594
that moment where the,
the landing gate drops.

1066
00:34:53,804 --> 00:34:54,134
Right.

1067
00:34:54,464 --> 00:34:54,735
Right.

1068
00:34:54,944 --> 00:34:57,435
And I think this is an
important moment, uh, and

1069
00:34:57,435 --> 00:34:59,714
sort of an important, uh,
piece of the metaphor here.

1070
00:35:00,375 --> 00:35:04,125
Optimism didn't allow
them to win that fight.

1071
00:35:04,665 --> 00:35:08,654
It allowed them to get to
that fight so that they had a

1072
00:35:08,654 --> 00:35:09,915
chance of winning that fight.

1073
00:35:10,275 --> 00:35:10,545
Right.

1074
00:35:10,935 --> 00:35:12,585
That's what we're
doing as founders.

1075
00:35:12,585 --> 00:35:14,654
We're creating that
optimism so that we get

1076
00:35:14,654 --> 00:35:16,004
there and, and we show up.

1077
00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:18,900
So that we have that chance
to win, and there is a moment

1078
00:35:18,900 --> 00:35:21,000
where then that optimism is
no longer what you need now.

1079
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:24,120
You just have to fight and
fight and fight and try to

1080
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:26,430
get the win, whatever that is,
whatever that micro thing is,

1081
00:35:26,430 --> 00:35:28,770
when it's usually not storming
the beaches of normity, it's

1082
00:35:28,770 --> 00:35:31,290
usually shipping that feature
or getting that developer that

1083
00:35:31,290 --> 00:35:33,750
you shouldn't be able to hire to
say yes or, or bringing on that

1084
00:35:33,750 --> 00:35:36,420
investor, uh, who is skeptical,
whatever it is, whatever

1085
00:35:36,420 --> 00:35:38,160
today's battle happens to be.

1086
00:35:38,610 --> 00:35:41,130
The optimism is what gets
us to, to show up there.

1087
00:35:41,340 --> 00:35:44,160
And and believe, and man,
I, I don't know anybody.

1088
00:35:44,220 --> 00:35:46,590
No one can out believe a
founder who shows up daily.

1089
00:35:46,740 --> 00:35:48,810
And it's that optimism that
gets us to show up daily.

1090
00:35:49,110 --> 00:35:49,350
I agree.

1091
00:35:49,350 --> 00:35:50,910
And it's that belief
that actually helps us

1092
00:35:50,910 --> 00:35:51,600
to accomplish stuff.

1093
00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:54,150
It's interesting too
because it doesn't come

1094
00:35:54,150 --> 00:35:55,080
from somewhere else.

1095
00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:57,300
In other words, nobody
coaches us to be optimistic.

1096
00:35:57,300 --> 00:35:57,570
Right.

1097
00:35:57,630 --> 00:36:00,540
You either have this gear,
the world is coaching

1098
00:36:00,540 --> 00:36:01,440
us to the opposite.

1099
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:02,850
They're like, you
should give up.

1100
00:36:02,850 --> 00:36:03,480
You should quit.

1101
00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:04,290
This is idiotic.

1102
00:36:04,500 --> 00:36:04,830
Absolutely.

1103
00:36:04,830 --> 00:36:04,980
Yeah.

1104
00:36:04,980 --> 00:36:05,670
Go be safe.

1105
00:36:05,730 --> 00:36:06,000
Right?

1106
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:07,200
I mean, that makes total sense.

1107
00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:10,855
That is a rational thing to do,
but founders have this ability.

1108
00:36:11,910 --> 00:36:16,980
To manufacture optimism in
the face of absolute crazy

1109
00:36:16,980 --> 00:36:20,040
odds, but also, and this is
just as crazy to maintain it.

1110
00:36:20,490 --> 00:36:22,680
Whereas everyone else, like I
said, that commercial at the

1111
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:24,360
beginning with the Marines,
right, where everyone else

1112
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,750
is running the other way,
we're these crazy people that

1113
00:36:27,750 --> 00:36:30,570
are willing to suit up and
run straight into the chaos.

1114
00:36:30,570 --> 00:36:32,880
And no matter how chaotic it
gets in for as long as it gets,

1115
00:36:33,270 --> 00:36:34,500
we're willing to keep doing it.

1116
00:36:34,860 --> 00:36:35,520
But here's the thing.

1117
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:35,640
Yeah.

1118
00:36:36,030 --> 00:36:38,220
That's our job as founders.

1119
00:36:38,250 --> 00:36:41,580
Our job is to wake up every
day, no matter what the day

1120
00:36:41,580 --> 00:36:44,190
looks like, and says, I am
going to conquer the world.

1121
00:36:44,430 --> 00:36:45,930
It's not false confidence.

1122
00:36:46,020 --> 00:36:47,730
It's, it's the
tool that we need.

1123
00:36:48,030 --> 00:36:50,880
If we don't shape that tool, if
we don't develop that tool every

1124
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,640
day, build on that optimism
and build on that future,

1125
00:36:53,850 --> 00:36:55,050
then we don't stand a chance.

1126
00:36:55,620 --> 00:36:57,990
If we do in the face of
everything, if we wake up

1127
00:36:57,990 --> 00:37:00,510
every day and we're like, I
don't care what the day looks

1128
00:37:00,510 --> 00:37:01,800
like, I'm gonna crush it.

1129
00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:02,820
I'm gonna change the world.

1130
00:37:02,850 --> 00:37:05,820
I'm gonna shape things to the
way I want them to my mold.

1131
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:07,740
That's what a founder does.

1132
00:37:07,770 --> 00:37:09,900
That's how we make the
world what it's going to be.

1133
00:37:10,050 --> 00:37:11,760
And if we don't do it,
we don't stand a chance.

1134
00:37:11,940 --> 00:37:15,060
But if we do, we show up
with that weapon, we can

1135
00:37:15,060 --> 00:37:16,860
literally do anything.

1136
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:19,860
Overthinking your startup
because you're going it alone.

1137
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:23,190
You don't have to, and honestly,
you shouldn't because instead,

1138
00:37:23,190 --> 00:37:26,280
you can learn directly from
peers who've been in your shoes.

1139
00:37:26,340 --> 00:37:28,680
Connect with bootstrap
founders and the advisors

1140
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:31,110
helping them win in the
startups.com community.

1141
00:37:31,260 --> 00:37:35,910
Check out the startups.com
community@www.startups.com

1142
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:36,930
to see if it's for you.

1143
00:37:37,170 --> 00:37:38,220
Could be just the
thing you need.

1144
00:37:38,430 --> 00:37:39,420
I hope to see you inside.