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Lawrence: Welcome to The FED Weekly
for 17 - 23 August 2025, your essential

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weekly briefing on the policies
and proposals shaping your career,

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your benefits, and your retirement.

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Whether youâre a current federal employee
navigating changes in the civil service,

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or a retiree keeping a close watch on your
hard-earned pension and healthcare, this

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is your source for the latest news from
Capitol Hill and the executive branch.

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Each week, we cut through the noise to
bring you the critical updates on budget

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negotiations, pay raises, workforce
policies, and the legislative battles that

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directly impact the federal community.

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Let's get you up to speed on
what happened this past week.

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Section 1: Issues That Affect
Current and Retired Federal Workers

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The Looming 2026 Pay Freeze
and Eroding Compensation

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The financial outlook for federal
employees has become starkly

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clear this week, as all signs now
point to a pay freeze for 2026.

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President Trump has until August 31
to issue an alternative pay plan, a

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formal step required to prevent large,
automatic locality pay increases

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mandated under the 1990 Federal
Employees Pay Comparability Act.

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While this is an annual procedural
deadline, this year it serves as

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the final confirmation of a policy
that has been signaled for months.

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The administrationâs intentions
were first revealed in April through

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Office of Management and Budget
"passback" documents, which instructed

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agencies to plan for a pay freeze.

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This was later formalized
in the President's budget

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proposal for Fiscal Year 2026.

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With congressional appropriators declining
to include a pay raise in their funding

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bills, the Presidentâs forthcoming
alternative pay plan is expected

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to be the final word on the matter.

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This stands in sharp contrast to
proposals from federal employee advocates.

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The Federal Adjustment of Income Rates, or
FAIR Act, had called for an average 4.3%

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raise, while the Federal Salary
Council, a body that advises the

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White House on pay, recommended a 3.3%

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increase based on economic data.

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For context, the pay
raise for 2025 was a 2.0%

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average increase.

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However, viewing the pay freeze as an
isolated event misses the larger picture.

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It is the primary component of a
financial perfect storm bearing down

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on the entire federal community.

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A current employeeâs gross
income is now set to stagnate.

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At the same time, their single
largest benefit costâhealth

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insuranceâis about to increase
dramatically, as we will discuss next.

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The combination of frozen income and
sharply rising mandatory costs results in

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a guaranteed reduction in take-home pay.

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This is not merely a freeze; for many,
it will feel like a functional pay cut.

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The situation is parallel for retirees.

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The modest cost-of-living adjustment
projected for next year will be largely,

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if not entirely, consumed by the same
health premium hike and other rising

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costs, such as for Medicare Part B.

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These concurrent policy decisions
on pay and benefits are creating a

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multi-pronged financial squeeze that will
undoubtedly impact morale, recruitment,

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and retention across the government.

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A Major Overhaul of
Federal Health Benefits

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This week also brought two shocking
developments for the Federal Employees

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Health Benefits, or FEHB, program: a
politically charged reduction in coverage

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and a historically large premium increase.

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On August 20, 2025, the Office
of Personnel Management formally

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notified insurance carriers that
coverage for gender-affirming care

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will be eliminated from all FEHB
plans starting in plan year 2026.

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The directive states that "chemical and
surgical modification of an individualâs

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sex traits through medical interventions"
will no longer be a covered benefit.

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This policy change is a direct result
of two executive orders issued by

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President Trump: âDefending Women
from Gender Ideology Extremism and

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Restoring Biological Truth to the Federal
Governmentâ and âProtecting Children

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from Chemical and Surgical Mutilationâ.

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While the ban is sweeping, OPM has
outlined several key exceptions.

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Coverage will remain for mental
health counseling for individuals

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with gender dysphoria, for patients
who are already undergoing a

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course of surgical or hormonal
treatment, and for hormone therapies

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prescribed for non-gender-related
medical conditions, such as cancer.

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The advocacy group Lambda Legal
immediately condemned the move as illegal,

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arguing it violates Title VII of the
Civil Rights Act and the Affordable

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Care Act, and announced it is exploring
legal action to challenge the policy.

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This development creates an
environment of extreme uncertainty.

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Earlier this year, OPM had issued
guidance that eliminated this care

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for minors but explicitly preserved
the option for insurance carriers

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to continue offering it to adults.

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This weekâs announcement is a
complete reversal, removing all

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carrier discretion and banning
coverage for enrollees of any age.

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This kind of rapid, ideologically driven
reversal of benefits policy creates

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chaos for both consumers and providers.

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It signals that benefits once considered
stable can be eliminated with little

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warning, undermining the perceived
value of the federal benefits package.

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This reduction in coverage comes just
as federal employees and retirees

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are being asked to pay significantly
more for their health insurance.

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OPM has confirmed that FEHB premiums
will rise by an average of 13.5%

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for the 2025 plan year, the largest
such increase in nearly two decades.

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This sharp hike follows
substantial increases of 7.7%

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in 2024 and 8.7%

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in 2023.

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OPM attributes the increase to several
market-wide factors, including price

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increases by healthcare providers,
higher utilization of expensive

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specialty prescription drugs, and
increased spending on outpatient

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services and behavioral health care.

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A significant new cost driver is the
mandated coverage of GLP-1 anti-obesity

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drugs like Ozempic and Wegovy.

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While the government's share of the
premium will also rise, by 10.01%,

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employees and retirees will
be left to cover the remainder

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of this steep increase.

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Tax Changes from the "One,
Big, Beautiful Bill Act"

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Amid these financial pressures,
some modest relief is coming

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in the form of tax changes.

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Public Law 119-21, the "One, Big,
Beautiful Bill Act," which was signed

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into law on July 4, 2025, introduced
several new tax deductions that will

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take effect for the 2025 tax year.

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For current federal workers, the law
creates a new deduction for qualified

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overtime compensation, allowing
them to deduct up to $12,500 of pay

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that exceeds their regular rate.

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It also provides a deduction of
up to $25,000 for qualified tips

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reported on a W-2 or 1099 form.

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For retirees, the law introduces a
new, additional deduction of $6,000

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for individuals aged 65 and older.

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This is a significant benefit, as it
can be claimed on top of the existing

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additional standard deduction for seniors.

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It is important to note, however, that
these are deductions that reduce taxable

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income, not dollar-for-dollar tax credits.

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While helpful, their actual value
will not be enough to fully offset

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the impacts of a pay freeze or a
double-digit health premium increase.

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OPM Cancels the 2025 Federal
Employee Viewpoint Survey

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In a move that has drawn sharp criticism
from good government groups, the Office

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of Personnel Management officially
announced on August 20, 2025, that

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it is canceling the Federal Employee
Viewpoint Survey, or FEVS, for 2025.

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The survey, which is considered the
flagship measure of job satisfaction

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and morale across the federal
workforce, is expected to return

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in 2026 with retooled questions.

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In a statement, OPM Director
Scott Kupor explained that the

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agency is "revising FEVS to remove
questions added by the Biden-Harris

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administration and to refocus on core
administration priorities: to restore

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a high-performance, high-efficiency,
and merit-based civil service".

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The move is seen as part of an effort
to "recalibrate" the survey to align

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with the administration's objectives,
particularly by removing questions related

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to Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion.

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This decision is highly controversial
because federal law requires agencies

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to conduct an annual employee survey.

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The FEVS is the primary instrument
used to fulfill this mandate, providing

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critical data to agency leaders,
Congress, and watchdog groups.

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The timing of the cancellation
is particularly notable.

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The administration is currently
implementing a series of sweeping and

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disruptive workforce policies, including
the pay freeze, benefit cuts, and a

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government-wide push to reduce staff.

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The FEVS is the only standardized
mechanism for measuring the impact of

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these policies on the federal workforce.

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By canceling the survey at this critical
juncture, the administration effectively

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prevents the collection of data
during the most intense period of its

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"realignment of the federal workforce".

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Critics argue this is a strategic move to
create an information vacuum, allowing the

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administration to control the narrative
about its policies' effects without

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being contradicted by its own data.

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Section 2: Issues That Affect
Current Federal Workers

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The IRS Reversal: From Mass
Layoffs to Emergency Rehiring

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The biggest workforce story of
the week is a dramatic reversal

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at the Internal Revenue Service.

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The agency announced on August
22, 2025, that it is canceling all

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planned layoffs and is now actively
working to rehire staff to fill what

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it calls "mission-critical" gaps.

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This stunning turnaround comes
after the agency shed approximately

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a quarter of its workforceâover
26,000 employeesâsince the start of

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the year through buyouts, firings,
and voluntary separation programs.

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The reversal appears to be a direct
response to warnings from the National

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Taxpayer Advocate and others that the
deep staffing cuts could jeopardize

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the upcoming 2026 tax filing season.

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The agency is now using every tool at
its disposal to plug the holes, including

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internal reassignments and rescinding
deferred resignation offers made to

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employees who had agreed to leave.

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Already, about 50 employees in the
now-shuttered Taxpayer Experience

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Office who had received layoff
notices have been told their jobs are

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safe, and they are being reassigned
to other roles within the agency.

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This situation is a case study in the
consequences of non-strategic, politically

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motivated workforce reductions.

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The administration's "Department
of Government Efficiency," or DOGE,

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initiative drove a top-down mandate to
slash staff across the federal government,

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with the IRS being a prime target.

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However, it appears the operational
reality on the ground has collided

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with these ideological directives.

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Agency leaders have now been forced to
acknowledge that the cuts went too far,

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too fast, creating critical knowledge
and capacity gaps that threaten the IRS's

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ability to perform its most fundamental
mission: collecting the nation's taxes.

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This emergency course correction at
the IRS may serve as a cautionary

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tale for other agencies facing
similar reduction mandates.

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Probationary Periods Strengthened,
Legal Challenges Falter

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The administrationâs power to more easily
remove new employees was solidified

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this week through actions by both OPM
and the Merit Systems Protection Board.

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On August 18, 2025, OPM issued
expanded guidance on the

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executive order strengthening
probationary periods for new hires.

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The guidance reinforces the policy
that these periods are to be used as an

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"extension of the hiring process," during
which the employee bears the burden

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of demonstrating that their continued
employment is in the public interest.

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Just days later, on August 21, a key
legal challenge to this policy faltered.

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An MSPB hearing officer ruled that
the board lacks jurisdiction to

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hear appeals from fired probationary
employees who argue their terminations

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were "constructive" reductions in
force, or RIFs, that should have

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followed stricter RIF procedures.

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Together, the OPM guidance and the
MSPB ruling give agencies a clearer

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framework for termination while closing
a potential avenue for legal appeal,

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leaving terminated probationary employees
with fewer options for recourse.

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The Future Workforce: AI,
Design, and Legislative Battles

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Finally, this week provided a glimpse
into the administration's vision for the

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future federal workforceâone that relies
more on technology and is governed by

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fundamentally different employment rules.

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On August 19, the Federal Chief
Information Officer stated that the

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administration is "100%" looking
to Artificial Intelligence to

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mitigate the impact of staffing
losses across government.

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This push for technological solutions was
coupled with the launch of a new "America

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by Design" initiative, established
by an executive order on August 21.

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The initiative aims to improve the
design and usability of government

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websites and services and includes
a new recruiting push for top design

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talent from the private sector.

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This move follows a pattern of
dismantling existing government innovation

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hubs, like GSA's 18F and the U.S.

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Digital Service, and then launching a
new, similarly-focused initiative under

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the administration's own branding.

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This allows the administration to claim
credit for modernizing government while

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simultaneously purging institutions
associated with previous administrations.

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Meanwhile, several pieces of legislation
that would fundamentally alter the federal

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workplace remain pending in Congress.

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These include:

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H.R.

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201, the Federal Employee Performance and
Accountability Act, which would create a

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pilot program for performance-based pay
that could result in a 10% pay cut for

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employees rated "below expectations".

00:14:45.411 --> 00:14:45.821
H.R.

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236, the Federal Employee Return to
Work Act, which would make federal

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employees who telework ineligible
for annual or locality pay raises.

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And S.

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1006, the Federal Workforce Freedom Act,
which aims to prohibit federal employees

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from participating in labor unions for
the purpose of collective bargaining.

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Section 3: Issues That Affect
Retired Federal Workers

00:15:10.366 --> 00:15:13.415
2026 Cost-of-Living Adjustment Projections

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The latest projections for the 2026
Cost-of-Living Adjustment, or COLA, for

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Social Security and federal retirement
annuities are now converging around 2.7%.

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This forecast, from groups like the
Senior Citizens League, is based

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on inflation data through July.

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The final, official figure will be
determined by third-quarter inflation

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data and announced by the Social
Security Administration in October.

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This modest COLA will have different
impacts on federal retirees

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depending on their retirement system.

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Annuitants under the older Civil
Service Retirement System, or CSRS,

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are set to receive the full adjustment.

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However, retirees under the Federal
Employees Retirement System, or FERS,

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will receive a reduced, or "diet," COLA.

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The FERS formula stipulates that when the
official COLA is between 2% and 3%, FERS

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annuitants receive a flat 2% increase.

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This means a FERS retiree will see
their annuity grow by only 2%, falling

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behind both the projected rate of
inflation and their CSRS counterparts.

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This is a critical point of financial
divergence between the two retirement

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systems that becomes more pronounced
in years with moderate inflation.

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Financial Planning Advice
for Senior Annuitants

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In a piece of practical advice for
older annuitants, federal benefits

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expert Tammy Flanagan highlighted
a potentially costly oversight in

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an article published on August 21.

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The advice is simple but crucial:
federal retirees over the age of 70

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should double-check to ensure they have
filed for Social Security benefits.

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Flanagan warns that some retirees may
be "leaving thousands on the table" by

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forgetting to claim benefits to which
they or their spouse are entitled.

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This can happen when retirees are focused
on managing their federal annuity and

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Thrift Savings Plan, sometimes overlooking
separate Social Security entitlements.

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And thatâs a wrap on this weekâs
Federal Workforce Roundup.

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The landscape for federal employees
and retirees is constantly shifting,

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with major decisions being made about
everything from pay and job security

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to retirement benefits and the very
structure of the civil service.

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Staying informed is your best tool.

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Be sure to subscribe wherever you get your
podcasts, so you never miss an update.

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Thanks for tuning in.

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Weâll be back next week to
track the latest developments

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and what they mean for you.

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Until then, stay engaged and be well.