The Week In Markets - Inflation less housing is exactly where the Fed would like it to be

Last week, oil and gold saw their largest gains in half a year. The conflict in Israel is the reason, but history shows trade and finance adapt quickly to challenging circumstances. 70% of the rise in September CPI inflation came from “shelter” (residential property). Excluding shelter, CPI inflation would be 1.9%, exactly where the Fed wants it to be. Of the 32 S&P 500 companies that have reported Q3 results so far, 84% reported a positive earnings surprise, above the 5 year average of 77%. All 32 have beaten consensus estimates by 10.1%, above the 5 year average of 8.5%.

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“Beyond Markets” by Julius Baer is a series featuring conversations with experts to share recent market developments, key insights, and strategic inputs from around the globe. In each episode, we cut through the noise to offer practical advice and macro research on today’s shifting economic and market landscape.
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