Gold Dragon Daily

Friday's week-end wrap covering WTI/Brent oil prices, natural gas winter outlook, industrial and multifamily cap rates, and SOFR credit positioning for 2025.

Show Notes

Welcome to Gold Dragon Daily, an AI-powered podcast by Gold Dragon Investments, helping you win the game of passive investing. For more information, visit GotTheGold.com. I'm your host, Justin 2.0.
This is Market Pulse — Friday's numbers.
Oil
  • • WTI closed at $68.30, Brent at $72.39
  • • WTI-Brent spread sits at $4.09
  • • Oil prices gained ground this week balancing geopolitical risks against demand concerns
  • • Permian Basin breakeven costs average $65 per barrel
  • • Tier 1 wells at $60, large operators achieving $58 breakevens
  • • Some existing wells operate profitably below $50
  • • OPEC+ production decisions and winter demand will drive near-term direction
Gas
  • • Henry Hub settled at $3.04 per MMBtu on December 4
  • • Trending 34.8% higher since mid-October
  • • EIA projects winter heating season averages of $2.68 per MMBtu
  • • Potentially reaching $3.10 in January 2025
  • • Above-average storage inventories provide buffer against short-term volatility
  • • Bullish sentiment persists heading into peak winter demand
Real Estate
  • • Industrial cap rates range from 5.5% to 7.0% for logistics spaces
  • • Regional variations from 5.84% in the Northeast to 6.83% in the Southwest
  • • Multifamily cap rates expanded 15 basis points on Class A and B properties to 5.05%
  • • Elevated interest rates limited transaction volume in 2024
  • • Anticipated rate cuts in 2025 could compress cap rates and boost activity
Credit
  • • SOFR at 4.53% as of December 30, 2024
  • • Fed policy remains the key driver
  • • Markets positioning for potential rate adjustments in 2025
Bottom Line
  • • Oil: Target sub-$50 breakevens, hedge floors above $75
  • • Gas: Selective exposure, winter contracts locked
  • • Real Estate: Industrial sub-5.7% caps near logistics hubs
  • • Credit: Senior secured, SOFR plus 650+, LTV under 65%
Visit GotTheGold.com. Stay sharp.

What is Gold Dragon Daily?

Gold Dragon Daily: Your Essential Private Markets Podcast

The only daily podcast delivering twice-daily insights for investors winning the game of passive investing through private markets—whether you're accredited, building toward it, or exploring your first alternative investment.

What You Get:

Market Pulse (5 AM Daily) - Data-driven updates on US private markets covering energy sector investing, commercial real estate trends, multifamily market analysis, and private credit opportunities. Real-time market updates on natural gas investments, oil and gas private equity, renewable energy infrastructure, and institutional real estate capital flows.

Game Theory (5 PM Daily) - Pure nerd entertainment meets strategic wealth building. Explore Dungeons & Dragons, Warhammer 40K, and tabletop gaming principles that teach calculated risk-taking, resource management, elite performance, and the adventurer's mindset. This isn't just gaming talk—it's how legendary campaigns reveal the psychology that separates winners from everyone else in investing and life.

Perfect For:
- Investors seeking private market opportunities (accredited or building toward it)
- Fund managers and capital raisers in energy and real estate
- Institutional investors allocating to private credit and alternative investments
- Sophisticated investors building strategic wealth through passive investing
- Entrepreneurs and business leaders exploring private market capital
- Gamers, dungeon masters, and tabletop strategists who love D&D, Warhammer 40K, and board games
- Anyone who sees the connection between gaming strategy and wealth building

Your Host: Justin 2.0, powered by Gold Dragon Investments, delivering institutional-grade market analysis and strategic mindset training twice daily, seven days a week.

Daily Dominance: While others publish weekly, Gold Dragon Daily gives you the unfair advantage of consistent, twice-daily content that compounds into total market authority. Morning: private markets data. Evening: nerd wisdom. No fluff, no hype—just pure analysis and strategic mindset training.

Subscribe now for 3-5 minute episodes that sharpen your understanding of private markets investing, commercial real estate opportunities, energy sector trends, D&D strategy, Warhammer 40K lore, tabletop gaming insights, and the winning mindset that builds generational wealth.

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