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Hello and welcome to today's edition of iGaming
Daily, when for a change we'll be talking about

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some news that didn't happen, namely the much
expected rise in gambling taxes in the UK budget.

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So join me to discuss this non-event and other
matters arriving from Rachel Reeves' historic

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first budget are SBC's content director Ted
Menmure and payment expert editor Ted Orme

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Clay. Well, Ted. down in London. How are you
today? Very well, Martin. How's your break?

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Yeah, very good. Peaceful. I've had enough of
airports for one year with all the travel we

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do with work. So I sat around the house for
a week. It was extremely relaxing and quite

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pleasing. So thanks for asking. And Ted, how
are you back in Manchester after a trip to,

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I believe, Monaco last week, which is like Ashton
and Lyme where our office is. Yeah, almost

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identical in every conceivable way, actually.
Yeah. You know, the city state of Ashton was

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famous for its casinos, F1 tracks and high performance
sports cars.

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Yeah, yeah. Back in Manchester after a trip
to France and Monaco to the Sportale conference,

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which was a very, very interesting love, a lot
of good panels and speeches all about sports

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business, sports tech, broadcasting sponsorship.
Yeah, if we can just alert Rachel Reeves that

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you were taking the SPC private jet. Yeah. And
Ted, as you appear to, I'll set you up to for

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a bit of self-promotion there and you've missed
that open goal. So you can read all about some

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of those, the interesting panels from that conference
on Insider Sport. Right. Before we get into

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chatting about the budget. It seems a good time
to mention that iGaming Daily is brought to

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you in part with OptiMove, the number one CRM
solution for the iGaming industry. Okay, with

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that out of the way, let's start maybe by being
a bit more general rather than going straight

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into the bit about the gambling tax, which is
talking about something that didn't happen.

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Ted, what are the main takeaways you had from
the budget? Is it a... Labour came in with

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this big promise they were going to be the party
for growth and they're going to support business

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and so on. What do you think businesses in the
gambling industry and perhaps other sectors

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should take away from what we heard last week?
Okay, so this budget marks a shift from the

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prior government strategies. So it's moving
incentives or incentives for economic growth.

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into public investment. I think that is labor's
long-term view of how it wishes to realign

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and fix the economy. From taking an overall
view, Rachel reads one of this budget and literally

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just announced that, look, the economy needs
to fill a 40 billion pound black hole. Businesses

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will face increased taxes, notably... and national
in high-end insurance contributions. And this

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was detailed as the main kind of fiscal tool
by the Chancellor to fill the deficit. High

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interest rates also will raise kind of costs
on business. And some argue that the budget

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kind of transfers wealth from companies into
public services, which will kind of divide

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opinion on kind of labor strategy. Overall,
kind of the tax deficit. whether placed on

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business will affect consumers indirectly, directly
or indirectly. So the burden will be borne

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by the electorate. It was a budget of tough
measures and a budget of tough medicines. And

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I think one that the Labour government did not
want to announce, but it has to kind of look

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to fix the UK economy. Yeah, I think that's
right. And it's a budget that's had. we are

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at least four years away from the next election.
So we're getting the painful stuff out of the

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way now. But you did raise an interesting point
there about how they're trying to refocus the

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economy because if things go to plan, the public
sector will be the highest percentage of the

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UK economy. It's been since Jim Callaghan's
government back in 1979. So it's a... a bit

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more to this rather than just a few pence on
national insurance here and there. Some people

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pay more in inheritance tax and so on. The overall
theme of it is genuinely historic. It's the

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first time for a long time I've been able to
say that about a budget. Ted, what did you

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pick out as highlights from it? Anything much
relating to sort of payments or investment

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or any of the beat you cover on payment expert?
Yeah, it's an interesting one. I think, well,

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firstly, obviously Ted's hit the nail on the
head really with, I think what the Labour government's

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ambitions are. Obviously their focus is on stimulating
growth through investment. Part of this investment

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from some of the stuff I've read is into this
quite extensive plan for funding into more

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research. This is obviously going to be quite
varied, you know, research can cover just about

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anything. But I think from the payments and
fintech side of things, Labour have been very

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vocal over the past couple of months about they
want to see continued support for certain financial

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innovations and initiatives, certainly fintech
ones. There's been a lot of discourse around

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open banking and artificial intelligence, unsurprisingly
really given how much those are dominating

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a lot of discussion in fintech and payments
at the moment. This is also kind of a continuation

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of what the conservatives are trying to do,
particularly under Sunak, who is quite a big

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fan of the financial services sector. I think
probably given his professional background,

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obviously, Labour are trying to build on that
and put their own sort of spin on it in their

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own, in their own style, obviously being a very
different ideological party to the conservatives.

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This is, obviously, this is the, this is the
area that I think is probably for the payments

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and fintech kind of sector to keep an eye on.
where this research funding might go and how

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they can benefit from this. And then in turn,
I guess, how the gambling sector, stakeholders

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in that should probably pay attention to that
and see how they could benefit. There's obviously

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a lot of conversations around what FinTech initiatives
and payments initiatives, what potential they

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can have for the gambling sector. We saw that
discussed quite a bit at our conference in

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Lisbon a couple of months ago. And it's obviously
quite a common talking point on a lot of our

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media sites as well. Obviously, to build on
that, though, the main way that they're planning

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on funding this is through these tax raises.
I think they want to raise an additional 40

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billion in tax, a lot of it chiefly from companies.
I think that is, there's been, the kind of

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the reaction I've seen has been mixed. There's
been a lot of welcoming of the research, but

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a lot of caution around the taxation side of
things because businesses are a bit worried

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about what financial burden this could place
on them. interesting there on the one hand,

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they're doing things to encourage research,
encourage technological development. On the

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other hand, they're removing some of the rewards
for it with the capital gains tax changes.

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But ultimately, you know, something has to pay
for public services, doesn't it? And we can

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argue, I'm sure even the three of us will probably
have different opinions on what that is. And

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I'm sure there are about 20 different opinions
amongst the members of the House of Commons

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as well. So let's focus a bit on the gambling
side of things then. I mean, obviously the

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rise in employers' national insurance is going
to be a big cost for, in particular, the big

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employers in the sector, the tier one businesses
and particularly those with retail estates

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and so on. temptation that Rachel Reeves did
avoid was increasing gambling taxes despite

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some sort of pressure from people who you would
regard as natural labor supporters, I think.

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So Ted, perhaps you could tell us a bit about
what had been trailed and what the industry

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feared and then I guess some of the reaction
we've had about the fact it did not materialize

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in the end. Okay. So in the weeks leading up
to the budget, we had two think tanks present

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to the treasury, which is effectively a doubling
on remote gambling duties or high risk games

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for industry taxes. So I believe that concerns
were legitimate in general, just because I

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believe that all industries and all leaderships
should be concerned about the first budget.

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statement of a new government and one that really
has to fill a deficit of 25 billion pounds.

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Overall, the UK government escapes the doubling
in taxes proposed by these think tanks. Really,

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I don't know how seriously the treasury took
in these considerations put forward as they

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would have only raised about one billion pounds.
There is somewhat of a relief across the industry

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but overall, and I think most importantly is
that with the budget finished, And I think

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that the industry can just return back to focusing
on the finalization or concluding the gambling

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review. The Tory government can do that. So
let's hope that the Labour government can.

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Will Barron Sure. And there was very deep in
the detail of the documents that came out after

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the speech in parliament. There was a little
hint of some possible changes in the future

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or consideration of changes in the future to
the tax regime. Yes, the Labour government

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have signed that they are going to streamline
remote tax duties, especially on phone lines

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and remote gaming segments under one bracket,
which is somewhat of a positive and that they're

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not going to consider raising or reviewing tax
rates until the 2006 budget. So, there is scope

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there. Again, this returns the industry back
to needing to finalize its generational review,

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which is a positive overall. Sure. And Ted,
what sort of reaction have we seen to this

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non-announcement and non-raising of taxes? I
imagine, I'm sure Ted will be a bit more clued

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up on this than me coming from the SPC side
of things. It's been broadly welcomed, has

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it not? I think the Bettingham Gaming Council
put out a statement praising the fact that

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this wasn't in there after quite a lot of media
speculation. even some questions raised in

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parliament, if I remember rightly from a parliamentary
session I saw with, I believe it was with Lisa

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Nandy from DCMS. So yeah, I'd say the industry
is probably incredibly relieved to not have

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this additional financial pressure. I think
as Ted outlined there, it seems to be quite

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a sensible decision, I think, to let the rest
of the gambling act review adoption take its

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course so that the industry sort of respond
to that and adjust to these various regulatory

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changes that are coming in before any more taxation
is put on top of it to help with Labour's ambitions,

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if I were to discuss, to reinvest in the economy
and things like that. Ted, sorry, I can see

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you're wanting to get in on this. Yeah. I mean,
I think one of the positive things about this

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budget is that, yes, it had tough measures,
but I don't think that it was punitive on industries,

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right? So... The actual one-to-one tax increases
on individual industries, we got one on vapes,

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which Keir was very clear that he would implement,
one on private jet flights, which was somewhat

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of a surprise. And then the other kind of specific
measure, I think, was on our sugary drinks.

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So gaming wasn't kind of imposing that, wasn't
put in that bracket. I think it kind of escapes

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anything punitive and I think it returns kind
of labor to thinking like long-term on a tax-effective

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industry and how it kind of plans for that.
So it's a positive kind of first direction

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for labor and gaming. Yeah, I think so. I mean,
it would seem a fairly odd thing to do. It

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is a successful industry that does raise a reasonable
chunk of money for the public finances. I think

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it's about 0.3%. of the public budget comes
from gambling taxes. So why would you mess

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with it? But there's no sign of the pressure
groups taking this as a defeat and going back

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and thinking of something else because they've
already been outed. There's a piece unsurprisingly

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in The Guardian. in which I quoted Derek Webb,
the leading gambling reform campaigner and

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Labour's fifth biggest donor, describing this
as a missed opportunity and talking about how

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popular it would have been with the public as
a vote winner and so on. And also the Lib Dems,

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who perhaps emboldened by now being the third
biggest party in parliament and having quite

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a sizeable number of MPs in there, have spoken
out against. But again, Martin, I think in

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kind of the back, I'm sure any criticism of
that budget not adding gambling taxes is if

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you speak to any CFO or CEO, in any budget,
they're always prepared for any increase in

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taxes towards gambling. And I think kind of
leadership can kind of factor in. What they

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can't factor in is the context of what was brought
forward by those think tanks, which was an

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immediate doubling of taxes, right? And that
would have just sent shockwaves across the

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industry, but also across the industry's value
chain, i.e. for horse racing, for advertising,

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for the way it sets up its technology systems.
That would have been kind of the shock effect

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of that type of budget coming in for gambling.

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But there's just no guarantee that, you know,
come two years time, they will be tax raised

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or not. That's up to the Labour government and
that's down to how the UK economy plays out.

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Yeah, I think so. There's no doubt about it.
This budget doesn't go quite as well as they're

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expecting and, you know, in any budget there's
a range of possibilities about how successful

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it will be in achieving its aims. It's eminently
possible in two, three years time, Rachel includes

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more tax rises in different sectors. You would
like to think though that it won't be a doubling

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overnight if that is the case. Okay. Obviously,
the budget last week and the historic changes

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that have been brought in during it was the
big political story in the UK. I believe there's

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also something going on in the political world
on the other side of the Atlantic, which people

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have been following quite closely. Start with
you a bit, Ted. There's a colossal amount of

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interest from punters in the UK on the US election,
which must be an interesting spectacle if you're

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sitting in the US where you're not allowed to
bet on the election. What can you tell us about

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what's been happening on, in particular, the
exchanges and so on? Because they've been doing

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some, they've been seeing some serious action
over the last two or three days, haven't they?

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Yeah. Obviously, political betting, as you said,
political betting is not allowed in the US,

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It's a very popular market, certainly around
these big elections. And I don't think you

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get anything bigger than the US elections. They're
always far more of, I should say, spectacle,

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I think, than our counterparts in the UK because
of them being a lot more personalised. I think

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whilst in the UK, obviously things are a lot
more on a party basis. Although that has been

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changing a lot over the past couple of decades,
I think. But still in the US, it's a lot more,

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there's a lot more of a media frenzy and a big
sort of I don't know, media showdown around

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it. There's like I said, there's a lot more
of a spectacle. So it makes it a lot more engaging

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for a betting side of thing, I think. And this
election in particular, obviously we've got

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the return of Donald Trump after losing the
last one and the various fiery aftermath of

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that. And then you've got Kamala Harris on the
other hand, who has a lot of, you know, the

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potential has become the first ever woman president
of the US. So it's a very historic one. There's

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been Donald Trump is a figure that obviously
is constantly caught in controversy. There's

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been all these debates around it stirring up
interest. The US elections are always a very

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popular betting market. I think all of these
factors have just made that even more so. Then

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to top it all off on top of that, the thing
that's really interesting to follow on the

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UK is as you've mentioned with these exchanges,
Martin, UK

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quite a margin, as in like there's a lot more
UK bettors betting in favor of Trump than there

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are of Harris, which is interesting because
the polls are suggesting that the two are for

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the most part neck and neck and a lot of the
ones I've seen more often than not are putting

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Harris ahead of Trump. So there's a very interesting
disconnect between the way the betting exchanges

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are expecting it and between how the official
opinion polls are expecting it. Yeah, it's

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often said that the betting markets are a better
guide than the polls to who's going to win

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an election, but they don't appear to be reflecting
in any way what the pollsters are saying, even

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what the reports coming in from on the ground
in those US states are saying either. So it'd

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be interesting to see whether we actually follow
that perceived wisdom on the importance of

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political betting markets here. And just one
more thing while I've got you Ted. There's

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no real impact on the... likely direct impact
anyway on the gambling industry from the presidential

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election in the US. I'm sure there'll be corporate
taxes and things like that will be an issue

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down the line. But on your beat, crypto is a
big issue in this. What are you expecting to

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happen? Well, it will be either Trump or Harris,
I guess, but there will be a big story if it's

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neither of them. But yeah, what are you expecting?
They've talked both quite extensively about

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the potential offered by crypto for the US economy,
haven't they? Good news for the industry of

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Trump wins, do you think? I feel that there
are certainly a few stakeholders in the industry

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who would feel that way. This election has seen,
I think what I would call some unprecedented

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levels of activism and campaigning among the
crypto sector in the US, at least from what

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I can think of, three political action committees
that have been very active throughout all of

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this. I think obviously to our non-US audiences
and any US audiences who are listening can

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correct me if I'm wrong. via messaging on LinkedIn
or something, I don't know. A political action

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committee is an organization that's established
to effectively just sort of channel campaign

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funds towards certain candidates around who
are very active on certain issues. So from

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what I've seen for the most part, the Republican
candidates, both Donald Trump for the president

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and the various ones in the Congress who are
also standing this week. The Republicans tend

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to be more pro crypto than the Democrats. I
think

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if Harris is to be elected, we can expect a
continuation of how the Biden administration

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has been approaching cryptocurrency, which I
think would be a cautious approach. I think

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it might be an appropriate term for it. Some
in the crypto sector view it as even a confrontational

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approach and have been quite critical of the...
Securities and Exchange Commission's leadership

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under Biden, the SEC leadership is appointed
by the president, who they accuse of having

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an approach to sort of constant enforcement.
However, I think obviously on the flip side

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of that, the various Democratic politicians
probably argue they're concerned about cases

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of fraudulent activity, cases of money laundering,
cases of securities laws being broken by certain

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bad actors, I guess we could say within crypto.
And that's the reason for these enforcement

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actions. On the Republican side of it, we've
had Donald Trump, who has been extremely vocal

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about courting cryptocurrency votes. He spoke
at the Bitcoin 2024 conference earlier this

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year saying about he wants to make the US a
Bitcoin superpower. I believe it was his terminology.

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If you want to replay that in your head and
his voice, I think it would fit quite well.

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And then, well, he said he spoke at the Libertarian
National Convention earlier this year, saying

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something like, I'm going to make sure that
the government will never come after all your

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Bitcoin. You know, he's been very vocal in courting
the sector. But he also really hates central

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bank digital currencies, which is an interesting
one there, because obviously he sees that as

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being, as the term suggests, just far too centralized.
And I think, you know, it's more in favor of

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like the private market. So yeah, sorry, Martin,
I've given you an incredibly long-winded answer

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there. But yeah, if Harris gets elected, you
can expect more of the same. If Trump gets

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elected, you can expect maybe some, yeah, a
lot of easing off of regulation around private

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cryptocurrency holding, I reckon. Okay. That's
interesting. And if I had as many criminal

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cases outstanding as... former president, I
would be a bit wary about the tracking that

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comes with CBDCs as well. It's perhaps understandable.
Well, Ted, thank you for joining me today to

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discuss this. Hopefully by the time we reconvene
next week, there will be an outright winner

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in the US election. We might have some of the
problems we saw last time around. But thank

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you all for listening. join the iGamingDaily
team for another edition tomorrow. Thank you.