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Consumer confidence collapsed in March, at the same time data on services industries showed much the same. This dramatic loss of momentum is coming up seemingly everywhere, to the point it has Wall Street taking the R-word more seriously than at any time since 2020. Not for nothing, that's what some of these datapoints are looking like.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Conference Board Consmer Confidence March 2025
https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
Philly Fed March 2025 Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey
https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/nbos-2025-03
New York Fed Business Leaders Survey https://www.newyorkfed.org/survey/business_leaders/bls_overview.html
Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions (CFSEC)
https://www.chicagofed.org/research/data/cfsec/current-data
Richmond Fed Fifth District Survey of Service Sector Activity
https://www.richmondfed.org/region_communities/regional_data_analysis/surveys/service_sector
CNBC DoubleLine’s Gundlach sees more risk coming along with greater chance of recession
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/20/doublelines-gundlach-sees-more-risk-coming-and-greater-chance-of-recession-.html?qsearchterm=gundlach
CNBC The probability of a recession is approaching 50%, Deutsche markets survey finds
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/24/the-probability-of-a-recession-is-approaching-50percent-deutsche-markets-survey-finds.html
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Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
What is Eurodollar University?
Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.