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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to get your Gameweek thirty-eight squad locked in before Sunday's deadline at one thirty in the afternoon. It's the final gameweek of the season, every rank point matters, so let's get into it.
Right, rapid-fire news now. First up, Aston Villa are expected to rotate massively for Gameweek thirty-eight. They've just won the Europa League and face Man City away, so expect a heavily changed side. Avoid Villa assets unless you have solid confirmation they're starting. Second, Arsenal face Crystal Palace away and there are rotation concerns around their squad too, with the manager reportedly considering resting key players. Third, Brighton have injury concerns heading into their home clash with Man Utd, with Wieffer, Mitoma and Webster all carrying knocks, so check those team news updates before the deadline. Fourth, big news from Man United, Michael Carrick has been confirmed as permanent manager, so there could be a feel-good factor for their players heading into Brighton away. And fifth, João Pedro from Chelsea is doubtful with a knock, with only a seventy-five percent chance of playing against Sunderland. Over two hundred thousand managers are already transferring him out this week, so that tells you everything you need to know.
Now let's talk transfers in. First up, Anderson from Nott'm Forest at five point seven million pounds, owned by just eight point six percent. What a Gameweek thirty-seven he had. He bagged two assists and three bonus points for a total of twelve points against Man Utd. His form rating is eight point five, the highest in our data today, and he's picked up one hundred and seventy-eight total points this season. Forest host Bournemouth at home in Gameweek thirty-eight, which is a decent final-day fixture. With over one hundred and fifty thousand transfers in this week already, managers are waking up fast. We recommended him two days ago and he delivered. Verdict: Essential if you can get him in.
Second transfer in, Osula from Newcastle at five point five million pounds, owned by just one point seven percent. This lad exploded in Gameweek thirty-seven, scoring two goals, earning three bonus points and racking up thirteen points in eighty-four minutes against West Ham. He's only scored seven goals all season but that brace shows the ceiling. Newcastle travel to Fulham in Gameweek thirty-eight, which is a neutral fixture on paper. With over eighty-three thousand transfers in already, the secret is out. If you need a budget forward punt for the finale, Osula is your man. Verdict: Good differential, worth the gamble on the final day.
Third transfer in, Truffert from Bournemouth at four point eight million pounds, owned by five percent. He picked up an assist in Gameweek thirty-seven against Man City and has six point seven expected points for Gameweek thirty-eight when Bournemouth visit Nott'm Forest. He has eleven clean sheets and five assists this season, making him exceptional value at that price point. Nearly fifty-three thousand transfers in this week show the momentum behind him. Verdict: Good, especially as a budget enabler who actually contributes.
Now transfers out. Starting with João Pedro from Chelsea at seven point four million pounds, owned by thirty-six point five percent. He's doubtful with a knock and only has a seventy-five percent chance of playing against Sunderland in Gameweek thirty-eight. His expected points for next gameweek drop to just two point five, which is alarming for a near seven point five million pounds asset. His form has dropped to three point three and he scored zero points in Gameweek thirty-seven. With over two hundred thousand managers selling, the template move is clear. Verdict: Sell, do not risk him in the final gameweek.
Second out, Bowen from West Ham at seven point eight million pounds, owned by fourteen point two percent. We flagged him as a potential buy two days ago, but Gameweek thirty-seven was a flat zero points in ninety minutes. West Ham host Leeds in Gameweek thirty-eight, which looks winnable on paper, but his form has slumped to four point zero and his expected points next week are only four. With eight goals and twelve assists this season he has been a solid contributor, but the final day is about ceiling, not sentiment. Verdict: Sell if you need the funds for someone like Anderson or Osula.
Third sell consideration, Hill from Bournemouth at four point two million pounds, owned by seven point three percent. He blanked with just one point in Gameweek thirty-seven despite playing the full ninety minutes against Man City. His expected points for Gameweek thirty-eight are five point seven but with Truffert now the standout Bournemouth defensive pick, Hill feels like the weaker option. If you're holding both, Hill is the one to move on. Verdict: Sell if you need a slot, hold if you don't.
Now for differentials, all under ten percent ownership. Three quick punts for the final day. Bijol from Leeds at three point nine million pounds, owned by just one point two percent. He played ninety minutes and kept a clean sheet in Gameweek thirty-seven, picking up eight points. Leeds travel to West Ham in Gameweek thirty-eight and with West Ham potentially distracted by relegation concerns, there's a clean sheet opportunity there. Budget gem. At three point nine million pounds he's almost free in your squad.
Next up, Gibbs-White from Nott'm Forest at seven point five million pounds, owned by eight point one percent. He scored in Gameweek thirty-seven against Man Utd, finishing with seven points. Fourteen goals and four assists this season, and Forest are at home to Bournemouth in the finale. We've recommended him as essential this week, he delivered, and the home fixture gives him a real chance to sign off the season with a bang.
And finally, Gabriel from Arsenal at seven point three million pounds, owned by forty-five point nine percent. Okay, not a true differential at that ownership, but his expected points of eight point eight for Gameweek thirty-eight are the highest of any defender in our data today. Eighteen clean sheets this season. Arsenal face Crystal Palace away and despite rotation concerns, Gabriel is nailed at the back. If you don't own him, it's something to consider for a strong finish.
Captaincy pick for Gameweek thirty-eight, the last captain decision of the season. Anderson from Nott'm Forest. Form of eight point five, twelve points last week, and a home fixture against Bournemouth. He's the in-form midfielder right now at a cut-price five point seven million pounds. If you own him, he's your armband. Key tip: lock your squad before Sunday's one thirty deadline, there are no more gameweeks to recover from a mistake.
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That's your final day briefing sorted. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com and good luck for Gameweek thirty-eight, everyone!