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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Welcome to Who Got The Points, your daily FPL briefing. I'm Archer, and here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to navigate Gameweek seventeen successfully. We're breaking down the hottest transfers, finding differentials with genuine potential, and locking in your captaincy pick before the deadline on Saturday morning at eleven o'clock.
First, the news bulletin. Newcastle face Chelsea with a defensive crisis brewing. Eddie Howe's side are severely depleted at the back after their one-nil midweek win over Sunderland. This could make cheap Newcastle assets like four point four million midfielder Lewis Miley potential starters, but it also flags Chelsea attackers as prime targets. Brentford's Bryan Mbeumo is confirmed off to the Africa Cup of Nations, forcing thousands of managers into emergency transfers. His five point three percent ownership is actively dropping as managers scramble for replacements. Finally, Arsenal's Mikel Arteta confirmed Thursday that new signing Eze is available for selection at Everton on Saturday evening. With fifty-six minutes and one point in Gameweek sixteen, his seventeen point seven percent ownership looks vulnerable.
Now, your top three transfers in for Gameweek seventeen. First up, Bruno Fernandes at nine point three million pounds, with three hundred ninety-four thousand transfers in this week. The Manchester United captain just obliterated Bournemouth with one goal, one assist, three bonus points, and thirteen fantasy points in that wild four-four draw. He's now averaging nine point six points per game over his last five, and he's returned in seven consecutive matches. United face Aston Villa on Sunday, and Fernandes is on every set piece, every penalty, and seemingly every attacking move. At twenty-nine point four percent ownership, he's becoming essential rather than optional. Verdict: Essential. If you don't own him, you're taking a massive risk.
Second, Morgan Rogers at seven point one million pounds, with three hundred sixty-one thousand transfers in. The Aston Villa midfielder bagged two goals and fifteen points at West Ham in Gameweek sixteen. Rogers is electric right now, with eight point two expected points for Gameweek seventeen. He's got five goals and three assists this season, playing as Villa's most advanced midfielder under Unai Emery. Villa host Manchester United on Sunday evening in what should be an open, attacking fixture. At thirteen point four percent ownership, he's rapidly moving from differential to mainstream. Verdict: Good option. Excellent form and fixtures make him a smart addition.
Third, Trevoh Chalobah at five point five million pounds, with two hundred fifty-seven thousand transfers in. The Chelsea defender has become a defensive cornerstone under Enzo Maresca, playing every minute recently. Nine points in Gameweek sixteen with a clean sheet and bonus, taking him to ninety-one total points. Chelsea have kept eight clean sheets this season, the joint-most in the league, and they face a defensively fragile Newcastle side at Saint James' Park on Saturday lunchtime. At eighteen point three percent ownership and averaging seven point two expected points, he's phenomenal value for a Chelsea defender with their fixtures. Verdict: Essential. At this price with Chelsea's defense, he's a must-have.
Now, your top three transfers out. Starting with Marc Guehi at five point three million pounds, with two hundred fifty-three thousand going the other way, but crucially over nineteen thousand transferring him out. Wait, those numbers look backward. Actually, Guehi has had two hundred fifty-three thousand transfers in, showing massive faith despite Crystal Palace's three-nil hammering at Manchester City. One point in Gameweek sixteen, ninety minutes with no returns. Palace have conceded fifteen goals this season and face Leeds, then Fulham, then Spurs. While his four assists are impressive for a defender, the clean sheet potential just isn't there right now. At forty point nine percent ownership, he's in too many teams for a defender whose team struggles defensively. Verdict: Hold for now, but consider moving on soon.
Second, Eberechi Eze at seven point seven million pounds, with two hundred eighty-two thousand transfers out. After his big-money move to Arsenal, Eze managed just fifty-six minutes in Gameweek sixteen against Wolves, returning one measly point from the bench. His seventeen point seven percent ownership is plummeting fast. The concern here is that Mikel Arteta has incredible midfield depth, and Eze hasn't cemented his starting spot yet. At seven point seven million, you're paying premium money for rotation risk. Arsenal face Everton away on Saturday night, typically a difficult fixture. Verdict: Sell. Too expensive for uncertain minutes.
Third, Bruno Guimaraes at seven million pounds, with one hundred forty-four thousand transfers out. Newcastle's talisman managed just one point despite playing ninety minutes in that Sunderland defeat. More concerning is Newcastle's defensive injury crisis heading into the Chelsea fixture. One point in Gameweek sixteen takes him to eighty-two total points, but his form has dipped to six point four expected. While Newcastle have decent fixtures after Chelsea, this weekend looks brutal, and there are better seven million pound midfield options available right now. Verdict: Sell. Too many red flags this week.
Differentials time. Under ten percent ownership, these are the punts that could win you your mini-league. First, Robert Sanchez, Chelsea goalkeeper, four point nine million pounds, fourteen point nine percent ownership. Wait, that's too high. Let me focus on genuine differentials. Adam Wharton at Crystal Palace, five million pounds, zero point seven percent ownership. Four points in Gameweek sixteen playing the full ninety as Palace's deepest midfielder. Three assists this season, and Palace face Leeds at Elland Road on Saturday evening. Leeds conceded three to Liverpool recently and Wharton's set-piece delivery could unlock returns.
Second differential, Ibrahim Sangare at Nottingham Forest, four point nine million pounds, zero point one percent ownership. Absolutely exploded in Gameweek sixteen with one goal, two assists, one clean sheet, and eighteen fantasy points in that three-nil demolition of Tottenham. Currently unavailable according to the system, so check his status before deadline. But if he's fit, Forest face Fulham on Monday night, and Sangare has suddenly become a massive fixture in Ange Postecoglou's midfield setup at Forest. Two goals and two assists this season from a four point nine million midfielder who just hauled eighteen points.
Captaincy decision for Gameweek seventeen: Erling Haaland remains the obvious choice. Fifteen million pounds, seventy-three point six percent ownership, and he just bagged two goals and thirteen points at Crystal Palace. Manchester City host West Ham on Saturday afternoon, and West Ham's defense has been leaky all season. Haaland has seventeen goals in sixteen games this season, averaging eight point four points per game. It's boring, it's obvious, but it's correct. Captain Haaland.
One key tip: With Mbeumo heading to AFCON, don't panic sell Brentford assets entirely. They've got reasonable fixtures, and someone has to take his minutes and set pieces. Yoane Wissa scored in their one-all draw with Leeds and could see increased responsibility.
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That's your Gameweek seventeen brief. Make those transfers count, captain wisely, and remember the deadline is Saturday morning at eleven o'clock. Subscribe at whogotthepoints dot com, and we'll see you tomorrow with more essential FPL insights.