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Ukraine and Russian agree to a ceasefire in the Black Sea

Ukraine and Russian agree to a ceasefire in the Black SeaUkraine and Russian agree to a ceasefire in the Black Sea

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Join us for the March 26, 2025 edition of the Geopolitical Report Daily Podcast. On Tuesday, we mapped 59 events, including a truce between Ukraine and Russia in the Black Sea.

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Cedric: Welcome to the Geopolitical
Report Daily for March 26, 2025.

Complete reports with casualty
information, interactive web maps, and

our IntelHub dashboard are available with
a Geopolitical Report Pro subscription.

Tuesday, we collected 59 events,
including Ukraine and Russia

reaching a truce on the Black Sea,
so let's go ahead and get started.

"Ukraine

Russia and Ukraine have agreed to
halt military strikes in the Black

Sea, a tentative step towards peace.

The agreement was reached after US
negotiators met with delegations

from Kyiv and Russia in Saudi Arabia.

The US has committed to ensuring
safe navigation in the Black Sea

and preventing the use of commercial
vessels for military purposes.

As an incentive, the US has
offered to help restore access

to the world market for Russian
agricultural and fertilizer exports."

"India

On Monday, Indian Intelligence agencies
put West Bengal's Murshidabad district

on high alert following reports
of attempts by Bangladesh-based

underground outfits Jamaat-ul-Mujahideen
Bangladesh (JMB) and Hizb-ut-Tahrir

(HUT) to infiltrate the area.

Intelligence agencies suspect the
militants also intend to scout

for recruits for sleeper cells."

"Philippines

On Monday, Philippine Defense Secretary
Gilberto Teodoro called China's expansive

claims in the South China Sea ""the
biggest fiction and lie"" that no

Southeast Asian country would accept.

Chinese forces reportedly
installed a new floating barrier

to prevent Filipino fishermen from
entering the Scarborough Shoal.

Furthermore, a Chinese military
helicopter appeared to have tailed a

Philippine light aircraft undertaking a
routine patrol Monday over Scarborough."

"Sudan

A senior Sudanese military commander,
Yasir Al-Atta, has warned that airports

in Chad could be considered legitimate
military targets amid accusations of the

UAE's interference in Sudan's civil war.

Al-Atta stated that the Sudanese
Armed Forces will retaliate against

the UAE and its allies, including
Chad, for supporting the rival

paramilitary Rapid Support Forces."

"Syria

The IDF has conducted several raids
in southern Syria over the past few

weeks, targeting weapons storage sites.

The troops seized and destroyed
various military equipment, including

explosive devices and ammunition.

The IDF has described its presence in
the area as temporary and defensive,

but Defense Minister Israel Katz
has announced that troops will

remain deployed indefinitely."

"Afghanistan

Saturday night, former Ministry of
Interior officer Hasan Jabar Khel

was shot and killed by unknown gunmen
in the Shakardara district of Kabul.

The gunmen abducted the
individual from his home."

"Cameroon

On Tuesday, a Nigerian army official
reported that a Boko Haram attack

in Cameroon's Far North Region
resulted in the deaths of over 10

soldiers and injuries to 20 others.

The attack occurred overnight
into Tuesday at the Wulgo military

camp located in The Far North
Region on the border with Nigeria.

Local officials suspect the
death toll may be higher."

"India

Security forces are continuing their
search operation in the Dolka forest

in the Hiranagar sector of Kathua,
Jammu, and Kashmir to eliminate

four to five Jaish terrorists.

Three suspects have been detained by the
police, who are believed to have provided

logistical support to the terrorists.

The army has recovered two China-made
grenades, three loaded magazines of M4

carbine, four IEDs, and other materials
from the area since Monday evening."

"Indonesia

On Monday, police stated that Catholic
teacher Rosalia Rerek Sogen was

killed and seven others injured in
a National Liberation Army of the

Free Papua Organization (TPN-OPM)
separatist attack on a school by

separatists in the Anggruk district
in the Yahukimo Regency in Indonesia's

Papua Highlands province on March 21.

A joint police and military team
entered Anggruk on March 23 to recover

the body and rescue the injured."

"Iraq

According to a source, Iraqi
security forces in Baghdad arrested

four Syrians for promoting and
glorifying extremist armed groups,

including the Jabha al-Nusra."

"Nigeria

Boko Haram terrorists have
launched a series of attacks in

Borno State, Nigeria, targeting
military formations and civilians.

The attacks include a raid on the
Wajirko army formation, a landmine

explosion along the Maiduguri-Damboa-Biu
road that killed at least two soldiers

and injured the Brigade Commander,
and simultaneous ambushes on the

Wajirko and Wulgo Army formations.

The attacks have caused widespread
destruction, looting, and displacement

of communities in Southern Borno, with
Senator Mohammed Ali Ndume calling on the

federal government to deploy sophisticated
technological warfare and to train,

equip, and motivate the military and other
security agencies to combat terrorism."

"Nigeria

On Sunday evening, Fulani militia
gunmen ambushed and killed three

residents in the village of Dundu,
Bassa Local Government Area, as

they were returning from an outing."

"Nigeria

On Monday, gunmen attacked the Awgu
Divisional Police Headquarters in

Enugu State, killing at least one
police operative, Emmanuel Akpa.

The attackers broke into a
cell, freeing inmates and

stealing rifles and ammunition.

A second attack on the Inyi Divisional
Police Headquarters was repelled by police

operatives, with no reported casualties."

"Pakistan

The Counter-Terrorism Department
(CTD) has arrested four suspected

facilitators of the March 11 terrorist
attack on the Jaffar Express in

Balochistan's Bolan district.

Investigations into the attack
are ongoing, with the CTD working

to identify those involved.

Recovered weapons and communication
devices are being analyzed

to aid in the investigation."

"Pakistan

Unknown assailants attacked a house
with a hand grenade near the Kharan area

of Balochistan, injuring two laborers.

A search for the assailants was underway."

"Philippines

Government forces arrested an alleged
NPA rebel during an operation in the

village of Mantalongon, Dalaguete
town, last Saturday, March 22."

"Philippines

Government forces killed three alleged
members of the New People's Army (NPA)

during a clash in Samar province.

Troops also rescued two 14-year-old girls
who were allegedly taken by the rebels.

Troops also seized high-powered
firearms and other weapons

from the dead militants."

"Somalia

On Monday, an attack by ISIS
militants in the Xabley area of Ufayn

district, Bari region, resulted in
the death of one Puntland soldier

and injuries to nine others.

Puntland forces reportedly
repelled the assault, killing an

unknown number of ISIS militants.

The clashes lasted until dawn on Tuesday.

The attack is part of ongoing operations
against ISIS-affiliated fighters

in the mountainous Bari region."

"Somalia

A mortar attack occurred on
several areas in Afgooye district,

Lower Shabelle region, on Monday,
resulting in the deaths of several

people, including a police officer.

The attack also struck an army base,
with reports indicating that the

commander of the Banadir regional
police unit and other officers were

visiting the district at the time."

"Syria

Engineering teams have safely dismantled
a suspicious device in the Deir Ezzor

region after receiving a report.

Security forces have imposed a
cordon to protect civilians, but the

identity of those responsible for the
attempted bombing remains unknown.

The incident is believed to be linked to
potential ISIS sleeper cell activity."

"Syria

Israeli troops were fired upon by armed
men in Kuya village, southern Syria.

In response, the IDF returned fire
and carried out a drone strike,

reportedly hitting the targets.

At least five people were killed in the
incident, according to Syrian officials."

"Syria

In Zaiban Town, eastern Deir Ezzor,
two ISIS gunmen on a motorbike

attacked two houses, allegedly for
non-payment of zakat (Islamic charity).

However, no casualties were
reported in either incident."

"Syria

Two separate incidents occurred in
Idlib and Al-Mayadeen, involving

unidentified gunmen on motorbikes.

In the first incident, two
members of the General Security

were killed in southern Idlib.

In the second incident, a member of
the General Security was shot dead in

Al-Mayadeen City near a police station."

"West Bank

Police shot a Palestinian man
after attempting to ram his car

into an officer near the West
Bank Settlement of Ma'ale Adumim.

The man tried to flee in his vehicle
but was shot at a nearby roadblock.

The police officers involved
were not injured, but the man's

condition is currently unknown."

"West Bank

A confrontation broke out near the
village of Susya in the southern West

Bank, with Palestinians and Israelis
throwing stones at each other.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF)
arrived to disperse the conflict,

arresting three Palestinians, including
Oscar-winning activist Hamdan Ballal

and an Israeli citizen suspected
of participating in the violence.

One Israeli was wounded and
taken for medical treatment."

"Gaza Strip

The IDF has confirmed that Hossam
Shabat, an Al Jazeera reporter,

was killed in an airstrike.

The military claims that Shabat was
an active member of Hamas and had

participated in terrorist activities
against Israeli forces and citizens.

The IDF says this is evidence of Hamas's
use of journalists as terrorists."

"India

On Tuesday, security forces in Jammu and
Kashmir's Kathua district intensified

their search for terrorists hiding
in the forested area, recovering

weapons, grenades, and supplies.

The operation, launched on Sunday evening,
has been ongoing for three days with

joint army units, including commandos
and drones, searching for the terrorists.

Intelligence suggested that two
separate terrorist groups, each

comprising at least five terrorists,
infiltrated the area on Saturday."

"Lebanon

An Israeli drone strike in the village
of Qaaqaaiyet el-Jisr, southern

Lebanon, has killed one person.

The target of the strike is unclear,
but it is the latest in a series

of drone strikes by Israel against
Hezbollah targets in the region."

"Lebanon

The Israeli military has confirmed
that a drone strike in southern

Lebanon's Nabatieh killed Hassan
Kamal Halawi, a Hezbollah commander

and chief of the group's anti-tank
missile unit in the region.

The IDF targeted Halawi due to his
history of terrorist activity against

Israel, including facilitating
attacks against civilians."

"Myanmar

Authorities urged residents of
Lashio Township in northern Shan

State to remain on high alert
for potential junta airstrikes.

This comes after the reported collapse
of three-day peace talks between the

regime and the powerful ethnic Kokang
rebel army, the Myanmar National

Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA), which
had previously liberated the city."

"Myanmar

Last Friday, March 21, a Buddhist
monastery in Khaywe village, Theinzayat

Township, was struck by a mortar
shell fired by the military junta,

resulting in the death of a 50-year-old
monk and injuries to two others."

"Nigeria

Over the weekend, Nigeria
conducted airstrikes on a notorious

terrorist hideout north of Chiralia
village, Ajiginin Borno State.

The airstrike resulted in the death
of multiple terrorists and the

destruction of three gun trucks."

"Russia

The Ukrainian Air Force successfully
destroyed a Russian troop concentration

area in Kondratyevka, Kursk region,
killing up to 30 Russian soldiers.

This attack reduces Russia's
ability to conduct combat operations

in the Sumy and Kursk regions."

"Sudan

On Tuesday, a Sudanese rights group
accused the army of launching an airstrike

on a market in Darfur's Tora market,
resulting in hundreds of casualties.

The town is under paramilitary
Rapid Support Forces (RSF) control."

"Syria

A former Iranian-backed militiaman
and a general security official in

Deir Ezzor have been killed in clashes
between Internal Security Forces and

regime affiliates in Al-Bokamal city."

"Syria

Two Turkish drones were shot down over
eastern Aleppo, near the Teshreen Dam.

Fortunately, there were no
reported civilian casualties

despite the drones' remains and
shrapnel falling to the ground."

"Syria

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has
carried out airstrikes on the Palmyra

and T-4 airbases in Syria, targeting
""remaining military capabilities.""

This is the second time the IDF has
struck these airfields, with the aim of

removing any threat to Israeli citizens."

"Taiwan

Taiwan tracked 21 Chinese military
aircraft, six naval vessels,

and two official ships around
its country between 6 a.m.

on Monday and 6 a.m.

on Tuesday.

20 aircraft crossed the Taiwan
Strait median line in the country’s

northern, southwestern, and southeastern
Air Defense Identification Zone."

"Ukraine

On March 24, Russian Shaheds launched
a massive attack on Izium, causing

significant damage to the city.

A bakery was completely
destroyed, resulting in a fire of

approximately 9,000 square meters.

The State Emergency Service units
have since extinguished the fire

and are clearing the rubble."

"Ukraine

On the night of March 24-25,
Ukrainian forces successfully

defended against a large-scale
Russian attack involving 139 drones

and an Iskander-M ballistic missile.

According to reports, 78 Shahed
attack drones and other UAVs were

downed, while 34 decoy drones went
off the radar without causing harm.

The attack affected multiple regions
in Ukraine but was repelled by a

combination of Ukrainian aircraft,
anti-aircraft missile forces,

and electronic warfare units."

"Ukraine

In the Myrhorod district, a UAV wreckage
fell, causing damage to a hangar and

a fire that was quickly extinguished.

Two people were injured, with one being
hospitalized for suspected barotrauma.

This incident occurred during a
night attack by Russian troops using

Shaheds, which led to air alerts in
several regions, including Kyiv."

"Ukraine

A 55-year-old cyclist in Kherson
was attacked by a Russian military

drone, resulting in explosive
injuries, contusions, and shrapnel

wounds to his shoulder and leg.

The victim was taken to the hospital.

Additionally, Russian troops fired
artillery at residential areas in

Kherson, causing harm to civilians."

"Ukraine

On March 23, the Russian Defense Ministry
reported that Ukrainian drones allegedly

attempted to attack the Glebovskoye gas
condensate field in occupied Crimea.

According to Russian sources, four
drones were shot down by air defense

systems starting at 21:00 local time.

However, there is no official
confirmation from Ukraine's military

command regarding the incident."

"Ukraine

Ukrainian forces claimed to have
killed or wounded 1,180 Russian

soldiers over the past day.

Over 300 pieces of military equipment
were destroyed in the fighting."

"Ukraine

A 58-year-old woman and a 30-year-old man
were injured in a Russian attack on the

Zaporizhzhia district, reportedly carried
out by Russian forces using ""Shaheds.""

The victims, who received medical
assistance, refused hospitalization."

"West Bank

Israeli forces raided the city of
Qalqilya in the West Bank, killing a

wanted terrorist who was planning an
imminent attack and two other operatives.

The suspect opened fire on troops,
who responded with live fire and

other measures, resulting in the
deaths of the three individuals.

No Israeli forces were injured."

"Belgium

A distributed denial-of-service (DDoS)
attack was launched by the Russian

hacker group NoName against several
Belgian government websites on March 24.

The attack targeted sites such as MyGov.be

and the Walloon Parliament
website, allegedly in retaliation

for Belgium's aid to Ukraine.

The attack did not pose a serious
threat, and countermeasures were in

place to resume normal operations."

"Malaysia

Malaysian Prime Minister Datuk Seri
Anwar Ibrahim has revealed that the

country was targeted by a cyberattack
on the digital system of Malaysia

Airports Holdings Berhad (MAHB).

The attackers demanded a ransom of US$10
million, but Anwar firmly rejected the

demand, stating that the government
would never give in to such demands."

"South Africa

Astral Foods, South Africa's
largest chicken producer, suffered

a cyberattack on March 16, resulting
in delivery delays and lost revenue

of approximately $1 million.

The company implemented disaster
recovery protocols and confirmed that

no sensitive data was compromised.

The incident may lead to a decrease
in earnings per share for the

current six-month financial period."

"Sri Lanka

Cargills Bank in Sri Lanka
has successfully countered a

cybersecurity event involving
unauthorized access to a peripheral

system within its infrastructure.

The bank acted quickly to fortify
its systems, isolate affected

components, and engage cybersecurity
experts to mitigate potential impact

and protect customer interests.

Fortunately, there have been no
disruptions to banking operations."

"Hungary

Thousands of people protested in
Budapest against a new law that bans

the annual Pride march, citing concerns
about its potential harm to children.

The law, proposed by the ruling
Fidesz party, also allows the use

of facial recognition software to
identify organizers and attendees.

Protesters argue that the law is
an attempt to suppress any form

of protest and curtail freedom of
assembly, and many are planning to

hold the event despite the ban."

"Israel

Protests are currently taking
place in three areas near the

government compound in Jerusalem.

The protests involve several hundred
anti-government demonstrators, hostage

family members, and their supporters.

The protesters are demanding
action from the government, with

some yelling into bullhorns and
others sitting in silent protest.

The demonstrations are planned to
continue into the evening, with a focus

on the issue of hostages held in Gaza."

"Israel

Police arrested six protesters during
an anti-government demonstration near

the Knesset building in Jerusalem.

The protesters are objecting to the
2025 state budget and calling for

the release of hostages from Gaza.

The police used force to remove
demonstrators blocking roads

and towing vehicles, leading to
accusations of excessive force

from the protesters' lawyers."

"Pakistan

Protests have been ongoing in
Balochistan's Panjgur district for the

third consecutive day, with police using
tear gas to disperse demonstrators.

The Baloch Yakjehti Committee (BYC)
called for the demonstrations in response

to the arrest of its leadership and
a crackdown on its sit-in in Quetta.

The arrests came a day after the
BYC claimed that three protesters

had died due to police action.

The BYC is demanding an end to state
repression, enforced disappearances, and

the targeting of peaceful protesters."

"Turkey

On Monday, tens of thousands of opposition
protesters in Istanbul continued to

demonstrate for a sixth night against
the arrest of Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, a key

rival to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

The demonstrations, which have spread
to over 55 provinces in Turkey, have

sparked clashes with riot police and
drawn international condemnation.

Police have arrested at least
1,130 people in the past six

days, including 43 Monday night."

"Syria

Two civilians were killed in separate
incidents due to the explosion of old

landmines in the Deir Ezzor desert.

The victims were volunteering to
dismantle mines in areas controlled

by the Damascus government."

"United States

On Sunday, a small plane crashed
near the east side of Tustumena

Lake on Alaska's Kenai Peninsula,
injuring the pilot and two children.

Rescuers found the crashed
aircraft on Monday."

"United States

On Monday, several Union Pacific
train shipping containers toppled off

their car frames north of Rock River.

No one was injured in the incident.

An investigation was underway."

"France

Two French Air Force jets collided
mid-air during a training drill

near Saint-Dizier, eastern France.

The two planes were destroyed in the
crash, but all three occupants (two pilots

and a passenger) were able to eject safely
and are receiving medical attention.

Two individuals are in a state of
'relative emergency' and have been taken

to the hospital, while a third is being
treated for multi-trauma injuries."

Thanks for joining us for the March
26, 2025 Geopolitical Report Daily.

As a reminder, complete reports with
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