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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Welcome to Who Got The Points? I'm Archer, and in the next seven minutes, you need to know exactly who to buy, who to sell, and who to captain for Gameweek Eighteen. The Boxing Day fixtures are here, and we've got rapid-fire insights to save your season.
First, the news bulletin. Big injury concern at Manchester United as Bruno Fernandes came off against Aston Villa. Ruben Amorim provided an update, but managers need to monitor his fitness before Friday's deadline. At Brentford, Lewis-Potter has been playing out of position with attacking returns, making him an interesting differential at his price point. Newcastle's four point four million pound midfielder Miley was superb against Chelsea, showing why budget enablers can unlock premium forwards. Brighton's Welbeck picked up a knock, so check team news before trusting Seagulls assets. Finally, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is described as red-hot after scoring against Arsenal, making Everton attackers watchable despite their struggles.
Top three transfers in, starting with Erling Haaland at fifteen million pounds and seventy-four percent ownership. He delivered sixteen points in Gameweek Seventeen with two goals, one assist, and maximum bonus against West Ham. That's nineteen goals in seventeen games now. With eight point seven expected points against Nottingham Forest on Boxing Day, followed by fixtures against Brighton and West Ham, this is prime Haaland territory. Over twenty-six thousand transfers in this week. Verdict: Essential. If you don't own him and can afford the upgrade, do it now.
Next, Nick Woltemade at seven point three million pounds and seventeen point nine percent ownership. The Newcastle forward bagged thirteen points in Gameweek Seventeen with a brace against Chelsea, taking his tally to seven goals this season. That's one hundred and thirty-two thousand transfers in as managers scramble to get him. He faces Manchester United on Boxing Day, then Burnley at home. At that price point with Newcastle's fixtures turning, he's the premium forward alternative if you can't stretch to Haaland. Verdict: Good option. He's in form and Eddie Howe's side are creating chances.
Third, Marc Guéhi at five point three million pounds and forty-one percent ownership. The Crystal Palace defender has ninety-three points already with six clean sheets, two goals, and four assists. That's exceptional output from a budget defender. However, Leeds thumped Palace four-one in Gameweek Seventeen, exposing defensive frailties. With Tottenham next on Sunday, then Fulham and Aston Villa, the fixtures aren't ideal. But at that price with his attacking threat from set pieces, he remains a solid hold. Verdict: Hold if you own him, but wait if you're buying.
Top three transfers out. Jarrod Bowen at seven point six million pounds and seven percent ownership managed just one point against Manchester City. That's seventy-five points total but his form has dipped to four point eight. West Ham face Fulham on Boxing Day, which looks decent, but they've conceded thirty-five goals this season. Over forty-four thousand transfers in this week suggests some managers still believe, but twenty thousand are getting out. With better forward options available at similar prices, he's a luxury pick rather than essential. Verdict: Sell if you need funds elsewhere.
Second, Ollie Watkins at eight point five million pounds and seven point five percent ownership. Five points against Manchester United with an assist sounds okay, but that's just fifty-five points total from seventeen games. Three goals all season is dire for an eight point five million pound striker. Twenty-two thousand transfers out this week reflects growing frustration. Aston Villa face Chelsea on Boxing Day, then Arsenal and Nottingham Forest. Those fixtures don't scream goals for a striker who's misfiring. Verdict: Sell. Upgrade to Haaland or downgrade to Woltemade.
Third, Evanilson at seven million pounds and two percent ownership. The Bournemouth forward has forty-six points, just two goals, and managed only two points in the draw with Burnley. He's not a popular pick with only three thousand transfers in, but eleven thousand are bailing out. With Brentford, Chelsea, and Arsenal coming up, and Bournemouth's fixtures getting tougher, there's no reason to own him. At seven million pounds, you're paying for potential that hasn't materialized. Verdict: Sell immediately.
Differential picks under ten percent ownership. First, Richarlison at six point four million pounds and seven point nine percent owned. He scored off the bench against Liverpool, taking his tally to seven goals. Tottenham face Crystal Palace on Sunday, and at that price, he's a punt if you're chasing in mini-leagues. Second, Igor Jesus at five point eight million pounds and one point two percent owned. The Nottingham Forest forward hasn't played yet this week with their fixture against Fulham on Monday night, but at budget price with attacking potential, he's a deep differential for Gameweek Eighteen against Manchester City.
Captaincy pick: Erling Haaland against Nottingham Forest on Boxing Day. He's the obvious choice with eight point seven expected points, seventy-four percent ownership, and nineteen goals in seventeen games. Forest have shipped goals, and Pep Guardiola's Manchester City need to respond after recent wobbles.
One key tip for Gameweek Eighteen: Don't ignore budget defenders. Trevoh Chalobah at five point five million pounds and nineteen percent ownership has ninety-four points with eight clean sheets. Chelsea face Aston Villa on Boxing Day, and while it's a tough fixture, Enzo Maresca's defensive structure has been solid. Pair him with Jurrien Timber at six point five million pounds who kept a clean sheet against Everton for six points. Arsenal's defence is back on track.
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That's your Gameweek Eighteen prep done. Haaland captain, Woltemade as your mid-price forward, and shift those underperforming assets like Watkins before Boxing Day. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com for daily updates, and we'll see you after the matches.