The Seed

In this conversation, Dan and Mads discuss various topics including the SuperSaaS event, the Council of Europe's convention on AI, the central bank digital currency, founder mode, and immigration and the future of AI. They highlight key takeaways such as the importance of relationships in dealing with big corporates, the progress made in living standards over the years, the implications of the AI regulation treaty, the characteristics of successful CEOs in founder mode, and the impact of immigration on economic growth and productivity.

Takeaways
  • Building relationships is crucial when dealing with big corporates.
  • There has been significant progress in living standards over the years.
  • The AI regulation treaty has implications for human rights and democratic values.
  • Successful CEOs in founder mode focus on the most important tasks, embrace bad news, and are mission-driven.
  • Immigration plays a vital role in economic growth and productivity.
  • Productivity-enhancing technology investment will be crucial in the coming decade.

Sound Bites
  • "Dealing with big enterprise is always the machine, but actually these guys and girls really value relationships and building relationships."
  • "We made incredible progress in living standards, especially since the 50s."
  • "The US, EU, and UK have signed the Council of Europe's Convention on AI."

Chapters
00:00 SuperSaaS and Building Relationships with Big Corporates
04:08 The Progress in Living Standards
08:20 Implications of the AI Regulation Treaty
22:21 Characteristics of Successful CEOs in Founder Mode
30:51 The Role of Immigration in Economic Growth
33:18 The Importance of Productivity-Enhancing Technology

Keywords
SuperSaaS, Council of Europe, AI regulation, central bank digital currency, founder mode, immigration, future of AI, relationships, living standards, progress, CEO characteristics, economic growth, productivity

What is The Seed?

The week's happenings in Euro startup and investing land. Getting deep underneath VC, sharing the backstories that affect us all, with a focus on how to best support our European startup eco-system.

Every week we will have various guests from the industry discussing what's been on our minds.

From the team behind SuperSeed who invest in technical teams solving difficult business problems.

The network is run on LinkedIn so join me there - https://www.linkedin.com/in/danbowyer/

With full interview audio and video uploaded to all major pod/video outlets.

Love to hear from you - dan@superseed.com

Speaker 1:

Well, delicious, delightful. What is happening? European adventure this week. Mads, what's on your mind? We've got, we got a full docket.

Speaker 1:

We I wanna talk about SuperSaaS in an event that we ran, through SuperSeed this week. The world is not turning to expletive, so there's lots of good news in the world. The US, EU, and UK have signed the, Council of Europe's Convention on AI. This feels like a bit of a step change and quite interesting. The the central bank digital currency, I know that's something that's on your mind.

Speaker 1:

That looks quite interesting, the CBDC. The NVIDIA acquisition of Run AI has has caused a bit of consternation in the states. Understand what's happening with with, with purchases or acquisitions at NVIDIA. Founder mode, who's not talking about founder mode? Immigration and, the future of AI.

Speaker 1:

So OpenAI, is it under threat? So full, full, full. Docket. Mads, where should we start?

Speaker 2:

Start from the top.

Speaker 1:

Let's do it. So a quick review of SuperSaaS. So for those that haven't seen SuperSaaS, we've been fairly noisy about it, but I'm sure many haven't seen it. It's an event that we run for founders to connect them with corporates to understand how to raise venture. So building, selling, raising is the condensed accelerator in one day.

Speaker 1:

And I wanted to just talk about ultimately getting to, how do we improve it? What do founders want? But some key takeaways for me were Matt and Nobadon from System talking about their very sensible, smart way of working at how you position your start up. So looking at your home page, asking yourself now you can, the first words that fall out of your mouth should be the lead line on your website. So that was one of the key takeaways for me.

Speaker 1:

We did a panel with some, some corporate some guys from procurement, from Mars, and from BMW, and there was other big corporates there at the event. And one of the key learnings I took away was how much they value relationships. And to me, dealing with big enterprise is always the machine, but actually these guys and girls really value relationships and building relationships. And then something from Andrew from our team. He was listening to Stuart Bewley.

Speaker 1:

Now Stuart is a great communicator and is an ex actor and teaches people how to present their stories really, really well. And he shared the fact that, it's only 7% of what you say the content of what you say creates the impact. 38% is the tonality, and 55% is is your body language, how how you present. So they were my key takeaways. But, Mads, what was, what were your key takeaways, or how did you find the day?

Speaker 2:

I thought it was a great day. I think for me, the key takeaway is that we have some incredible sophisticated corporates in all over the world and also in Europe. And sometimes they can come across as bureaucratic and slow moving, but they're very powerful. They have amazing distribution. They have so much muscle behind them, and they are looking for innovation.

Speaker 2:

They want the next big thing, and they're just looking for smart ways to buy it and integrate it into their operations in a way that scales. And so they value these opportunities to meet the young innovators, to meet the young companies, and figure out, you know, what is it that's moving, what's shaking, and what can we really pick up and adopt and use and leverage in a meaningful way? And so for me, just the fact that it is there, it's real, and that the corporate's valued so much. That's always reaffirming for me to

Speaker 1:

see. Yeah. I think there's something very special in events. And and founders watching, if you haven't joined in and you're doing something in b to b that couldn't be sold into the into these big corporates, please have a look at it and see if it's something that that would that would fit. We're running our next one in December.

Speaker 1:

And it's all like I said, it's all about this, how to build, how to raise, how to sell. And we bring in some some brilliant people and and connect you with potential customers. And they tell you how to how to sell to them. Next on the docket is the world is not turning to shit. Alex Stapp posted on x, and I I love this.

Speaker 1:

I don't know if you wanted to kick this one off, man.

Speaker 2:

Yeah. No. Look. I we talked a little bit about it last week, how there is it's easy to get this sense when you open the news, whether it's your favorite mainstream or whether it's x, that everything is terrible. And, yes, there are challenges in the world.

Speaker 2:

No doubt. But if you look on a grand scale over the last 100 years, there's just been such an incredible progress in living standards, whether we look at poverty, education, literacy, democracy, vaccination rates, or child mortality. So sort of all these big things we we look at society, this kinda lens as we look at society through to work out, are we actually making progress? And the truth is we've made incredible progress. So if you go back to the, 18 twenties, you had 79 out of a 100 people on the planet were living in extreme poverty.

Speaker 2:

Right? That's extreme poverty. So nearly 80%. Today, that's down to less than 10%. Is that still too many?

Speaker 2:

Yes. But we made incredibly incredible progress, especially since the fifties. Similar for education, if you go back to the 18 twenties, 17 out of a 100 had sort of some basic education. Today, that's up to 86%. Literacy, 12% were able to read 150 to 200 years ago.

Speaker 2:

Today, that's up to nearly 90%. So there's progress on so many dimensions, and it's just important to remember how much progress we're making as a species of this planet.

Speaker 1:

Yeah. The news obviously likes the if it leads if it bleeds, it leads kinda mantra. And, with all the political turmoil and every time you open x or every time you open up the BBC News app, it is doom and gloom and disaster. But it's also out of context. I think it's a really interesting interesting reminder.

Speaker 1:

So that there was the our world in data stats that kind of just reminded us of that. It's been around it's been around on the social web for a while. The one thing I wanted to just kind of raise, maybe maybe there's some reflections on this, is technology has had a massive play in all of these poverty, education, literacy, child mortality, vaccination. The only place that that technology hasn't really hit and the only place where it hasn't really had that much change or that much impact is in democracy. So roughly half the world is living in authoritarian regimes and half the world is in a democracy.

Speaker 1:

And it's the one area I would argue where technology hasn't touched. And I wonder if that's correlation, causation, or if there's any reality in that. What's your what's your reflection?

Speaker 2:

Well, that's a good question. I mean, if you look at the stats going back 70, 80 years to, the, you know, time around that, you know, the forties, the 2nd World War, you know, very, very few countries were living. Very, very few people were living in democracies. And today, it's about 50% of the planet. So there has been some progress, but there are also cultural differences.

Speaker 2:

You know, maybe democracy isn't for everyone. I think we kinda there was this western experiment of trying to impose democracy in some countries in the Middle East, you know, 20 years ago, 15 years ago. Right? And that was disastrous. Invasion of Iraq did not turn out very well at all.

Speaker 2:

I think we've had a tips at, you know, implementing, imposing something that looks like democracy in various African countries for a long time. And in many places, it's not just not going very well. Is that because democracy is a flawed concept? Is that because it's not for everybody? Is that because of other underlying factors?

Speaker 2:

I mean, there are many theories around it. I do think there has been progress, but it's certainly not self evident that democracy will be something that, you know, is implemented everywhere and for everybody. Maybe the same way we're thinking about some of these other things like illiteracy and education and etcetera.

Speaker 1:

Yes. Democracy is problematic, I guess, is the is the short answer. Moving on. So the US, EU, and UK have signed the Council of Europe's Convention on AI. If you haven't come across this new AI regulation, I'll just give you some of the top lines.

Speaker 1:

So the US, EU, and UK have signed, it's a legally binding international treaty focused on AI regulation. It's mostly focused from what I can see on human rights and democratic values. The treaty requires signatories to ensure there is legal recourse for victims of AI related rights violations. It took 2 years and was agreed by more than 50 countries. Critics have have poked it a little bit and said it doesn't have enough teeth.

Speaker 1:

There are a lack of sanctions based in the regulation as it stands. It very much aligns with Europe's AI act, the g 7 deal, the Bletchley declaration. So there's there's an alignment with other other regulatory pieces. And Vera Girova, the European Commission's vice president, stated that the framework strengthens trust in AI and aligns global efforts. So 50 countries took 2 years to put together, and it's the starting point.

Speaker 1:

What do you think? What's missing? What's working? Will it work? What do you reckon?

Speaker 2:

Look. If you believe, as I do, as we do that, AI is important. It probably follows that we need some kind of regulation.

Speaker 1:

We need guardrails.

Speaker 2:

Right? There are so many considerations. I think the question is, and you've picked up on this question around teeth, does it have teeth? It does have in the sense that it sort of obligates the treaty signatories, which is kind of the main ones right now, US, UK, and EU. It obligates them to put national regulatory frameworks in place that puts some burden on themselves and on companies operating in those countries.

Speaker 2:

But let's pick up on a few things like data privacy. Data privacy is one of the important things that is pulled out in the treaty, but I can't see any chance that data privacy will be respected. We all already have massive data direct nets, and AI makes it much easier to troll those for governments. And I think governments will do this no matter what they say. I think privacy is essentially dead as a concept.

Speaker 2:

Now we can discuss whether that's desirable or not, but I don't think we can discuss the direction of travel. And so to some extent, I don't know whether a treaty like this is sort of just almost pretending that you know, you're pretending you're doing one you're saying you're doing one thing and pretending, but the reality is probably gonna be different. The second vector second thought I have is around the competitive posture, because it is unlikely that Russia or China will sign this. And even if they did, they'd ignore it for sure. So as with everything we do, we should ask ourselves if we put rules upon ourselves that slows down the development of AI, and if our competition are not bound by the same rules, and if this means that they will end up with more powerful AI than we have, what will that do for our freedom and our human rights in the long term?

Speaker 2:

It's all very well to say that our national government should inspire us, but if that means that we just have, you know, foreign adversaries spying on us and taking our data, stealing our trade secrets, are we really that much better off? I think there's no simple answer yet to how we should regulate AI. I think it's probably helpful that this work has started. I question kind of the medium term efficacy of this. I I think this is something that will have to play out over some years as we get smarter, and we certainly must consider the trade offs at every step.

Speaker 1:

My sense is that this is a a kind of helpful guardrail prelim to Gen AI. So I get you. I there is no way to I mean, the the genie probably has been out of the bottle for some time, and AI is just an accelerant. I don't believe privacy has been around for for for a while. I mean, you could argue since the advent of the Internet or social media, but it feels like we need we need a starting point.

Speaker 1:

So I'm warned that this that the US, the UK, and the EU are are conjoined in this effort. I I welcome the guardrail starting point. And I also get this kind of prelim to potential. You know, we don't know how far away Gen AI is, but it might be it might be sensible to have these conversations. But let's see let's see how it unravels.

Speaker 1:

Leaning on from

Speaker 2:

that I I think it's important. I know I think it's important. I think having some level of national responsibility for oversight awareness is important. Yeah. I mean, effectively, we have just some incredibly powerful models being developed, and there has to be some checks and balances.

Speaker 2:

It's it's unfathomable that this will just be self regulation. I just I can't I can't see how anybody who believes that AI is powerful believes that you can just leave people to regulate themselves. We wouldn't do that in any other sphere. I mean, imagine, you know, chemicals or foods or, you know, energy. We we have regulation when things are powerful, and this is so powerful.

Speaker 2:

So there has to be something, but I it's certainly an open question mark as to exactly where we where we draw the line.

Speaker 1:

I just think that people over egg the power of LLMs. I think we I think it just feels like we've got this really powerful autocomplete, these chat gbt, these LLMs. And I get it. There's there's so much to be done, and there's, like, high expectations, But there's an off switch. You could pull the plug.

Speaker 1:

This is not I don't believe there's as much power yet. How far away is that power to be discussed? But I just can't I don't buy that there is that much death and disease and destruction to be created by these by these toolkits as they stand.

Speaker 2:

As as with everything, overestimate in the short term and might underestimate in the long term. I mean, it's only a week ago we were talking about autonomous bots here in this podcast. One of the things we've seen is that the microservices architecture has proliferated in medium and large size enterprises over the last decade. These are incredibly complex architectures. If you look at companies like Netflix or Spotify, they might have tens of thousands of microservices that they use to run their infrastructures.

Speaker 2:

Now imagine that we turn all of those into autonomous agents. It's kind of the clue is in the name. You you've got agents that can do something and act in a way that's not prescribed. Now, you know, where will that go? We don't know, and it's logical that the vast majority of things we see are gonna be completely harmless, but we are just developing something that's very powerful, and we're seeing a trajectory towards allowing more of this technology to operate independently of constant human supervision and and guidance.

Speaker 2:

And so where could that lead? A medium term, probably, nowhere very dangerous. Longer term, who knows? We are we are still in the infancy of how powerful these models will become. If we look at the amount of training data that the most sophisticated LLMs have been trained on today, it's in the order of, you know, maybe a a 10,000 of a 20,000 of what it will be once we unleash the total training data set we have.

Speaker 2:

The the older YouTube data has barely been scratched in terms of of of using that to to train LLMs. So there's so much further we can go. These models can become so much more powerful. So I'd say, yep, probably overestimate in the short term. Medium term to long term, I think this is gonna become a really big thing.

Speaker 1:

Yeah. And I'm always intrigued by the amount of energy required to create or to power these models. We're gonna we're gonna have to have an energy revolution as well to power all these chips. Well, the great

Speaker 2:

news is we we have had we have had a very energy revolution. Right? If you look at the cost of solar, the the the learning curve, the efficiency gain is massive. Yep. Batteries, we're seeing constant improvements.

Speaker 2:

There's so much happening. Now we happen to live in kind of the cold north where solar might never become kind of the predominant energy source, and we have other things. We have wind, and we're probably gonna have to put some nuclear into the mix. But in our lifetime, we're gonna see, essentially, net zero energy paradigms. And then, possibly, the only thing we won't be able to use electricity for is is is maybe, you know, space launches.

Speaker 2:

But everything else with the battery technology and with the advances in PV and other renewables, I I I think we we are gonna see a a dramatic improvement in energy productions. Yes. You're right. Again, shorter term, we're a little bit stiff. The again, the Chinese, they've stolen their march on us.

Speaker 2:

300 nuclear power plants under construction. They're gonna have a massive competitive advantage in AI because they're gonna have the energy to fuel the data centers if they can get hold of the chips, whereas we have been way too slow with permitting and planning some of the nuclear facilities we need in the short to medium term to power this. But longer term, that's a very, very optimistic paint picture.

Speaker 1:

Yeah. It's, it's super interesting how it's gonna unfold, and it's gonna be so quick. Now next up, we've got, the digital euro. We've got the, central bank digital currency. So the idea here is that, ultimately, a digital euro will make payment services less costly for the public.

Speaker 1:

That feels like the outcome, which can only be a good thing. This is obviously not crypto. This is digital fear, not the crypto nonsense. Where were you going with this? What was on your mind?

Speaker 2:

I think it's incredibly important. It's maybe been a little bit underreported. I think some people aren't quite understanding the magnitude of what this can be and become. Let's run through maybe some of the background. So the whole idea is that the European Central Bank is planning to launch a digital euro, which is effectively a digital currency.

Speaker 2:

So it's like cash, but in a digital wallet, a little bit like cryptocurrency. And the idea is for it to complement cash rather than replace the physical cash. So physical cash will still continue to exist. But as we know, most of the money we use today is not physical cash. It's money that sits inside commercial banks.

Speaker 2:

It's it's claims we have on deposits. And when we spend money, it's effectively claim we have against one bank where we might have a deposit that then is shifted as claim to another bank. So it never really sees the real world. The digital euro would completely upend that paradigm because it's no longer a claim against your bank. It's a claim against the ECB.

Speaker 2:

So that makes it safer because there's no default risk from the commercial bank. You're effectively just transacting money that's, you know, you have a direct liability relationship with the European Central Bank for. The idea is that it will be available to everybody through these wallets that are provided by the ECB, and that means you can get access to a bank account without needing a or a a kind of this digital currency without needing a traditional bank account. So there's an accessibility issue. And then you have the whole notion of instant payments that that are not running on the traditional payment rails.

Speaker 2:

So this could have huge implications for the cost of making payments and for payment service providers. Now some considerations here, there's some privacy concerns that have been concerns that it would allow the European Central Bank to snoop on all transactions. It's still being explored how to balance privacy with the need to prevent illegal activity like money laundering. And so the the notion is it will likely offer more privacy than current electronic payments, but less than cash. And so because of that, there's been some concerns.

Speaker 2:

Of course, there are lots of folks still that like to transact directly in cash, but don't like the notion of people being able to look at what's being spent. There are also questions around the impact on banks. Today, our banking system is running on this notion of kind of fractional reserve banking. What does that mean? It means that the banks that provide all the loans to businesses and mortgages, etcetera, they're effectively lending out the money we have deposited.

Speaker 2:

So we get our salaries. We deposit them in the bank, and then the bank turns around and lends them out to somebody else, and they take a a margin, cut there. Right? They'll pay you 2%. They'll charge somebody else 5%.

Speaker 2:

And that difference, that's their profit. Now what happens when currency is issued directly by the ECB and you don't have the it's not just a claim on the bank anymore? That that could really change how banking works. So there's some concern in banks about the future of the banking system. And then there are, of course, lots of questions around the technology itself.

Speaker 2:

Will this run on blockchain? Will this be a centralized database? And some of these things are still being worked through. But I think listen. It's still relatively early days, but I think it's incredibly interesting, and this could really truly change the way money functions in Europe.

Speaker 2:

So watch this space.

Speaker 1:

Do you know where they're at? Do you know what the any release, any any status?

Speaker 2:

Yeah. So we have here in, in the Q4, we have the next major update, sort of a a go, no go picture where, effectively, there's been lots of studies and surveys being done and analysis, and they're gonna make kind of the next big decision, master decision about whether to move forward with this initiative or not or not. So this is this is upcoming in just a few months away.

Speaker 1:

I know that there was a part of the report. It was saying that, when they look back through historic data, they could they ascertain that European payment companies' stock prices would go up as American payment company stock prices would go down. So I don't know how they did that, but it's quite an interesting it's quite an interesting outcome. Next up, let's get into founder mode. Paul Graham has has, written a paper chatting with Brian Chesky, and Chesky looking at Steve Jobs, and founder mode versus manager mode, and the old paradigm of investors like us saying to founders as they raise capital and as they progress through their journey to get really strong functional people into roles and then set them free to do their thing.

Speaker 1:

And, obviously, Chesky was saying, like, 16 didn't like the business. 17, 18, 19, 20 was really struggling with placing and getting into manager mode and then took back control of the reins. And so founder mode is effectively micromanagement. It was what came to mind, but that's not the right turn of phrase. And then it made me think that Jensen Jensen Huang from from NVIDIA has got allegedly has 60 direct reports and has been living in founder mode for for possibly decades.

Speaker 1:

What's the deal here, do you think? And I wanna talk about Steve Jobs' retreats, how he how he came back to Apple and then and then effectively navelld commentary on it, and he was basically saying real founder mode is not just it's just not giving a damn, which I thought was just a really nice, simplistic overview. But where do you wanna go with this, Mads? Founder mode, over to you.

Speaker 2:

Look. We all see it every day. The founders that are the best of those that have an an awesome command of their field, that have a vision, that are strong leaders, and can drive themselves and their organizations forward. And if we look at the most successful CEOs and founders today, and if you look at Elon and Jensen Wang, you know, what makes them the best CEOs in the world? And I've seen lots of different analyses, but kind of 3 interesting things to pull out.

Speaker 2:

One thing is they always work on the most important thing in the company. Mhmm. Their maximum focus for maximum leverage. If if there are production issues at Tesla, Elon will go and and live and sleep on the manufacturing floor until that problem has been solved. Jensen Wang is famous for kind of, you know, just going and setting his desk up in whatever department that has an issue right now, and that's where he works, and that's where he focuses.

Speaker 2:

No standing meetings, no reviews, no committees, no progress reports on a kinda biweekly basis. No. Basically, he is there. But exactly. He is there at the point of of maximum, impact, and I think there's something really powerful about that.

Speaker 2:

And I'm not sure it's a new phenomenon phenomena. I think we've known it for many years. I think it's called leading from the front. It's a leader being where the action is and helping the team solve the most difficult problems by providing that leverage. So the second thing is they love hearing bad news.

Speaker 2:

They want it directly from anybody in the organization. If something is broken, if something is not working, they want whoever has spotted that to come and tell them so they can make sure it gets fixed as quickly as possible. That's very powerful. Many people, you know, as many people, we have a natural adverse reaction to bad news. We don't like it.

Speaker 2:

We wanna pretend that it doesn't happen. And what I think can happen is, especially in large organizations, is you put a lot of layers between you and the bad news. You can almost pretend it doesn't exist, but what they do so powerfully is they gravitate towards it and back to the first point, point of maximum leverage and focus, you find the bad news and you focus on it, you can solve it more quickly. And this third point is they are completely mission driven. We spoke a lot about that at SuperSaaS.

Speaker 2:

If you look at Elon, his companies are so mission driven. PayPal, make local commerce frictionless. Tesla, accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy. SpaceX, make mankind multi planetary. I mean, these are huge audacious missions, and that attracts a very special kind of a person, a very special kind of employee who's got that mission driven seal and who's willing to work, you know, do whatever it takes to make things happen.

Speaker 2:

Those three things are just incredibly powerful, and they are not for everybody, neither as employee nor as, frankly, as as founder. But I think what we've seen is the founders that build the best and strongest and most enduring companies, they all have some element of these 3 at least 3.

Speaker 1:

What do you think I mean, those 3 aside, what do you think is, like, the the key learning? Obviously, lots of founders are reading on this all over the social web. What do you think is the takeaway for an early stage founder reading about founder mode?

Speaker 2:

You gotta really want it. Jensen really, really wants it. He is he is an absolute cockroach, and he has sacrificed everything. He has taken the company needed to the brink of of of of collapse and bankruptcy multiple times, and he's always found a way, he talks about pain and suffering and whatever it takes, and that's not for everybody. Yeah.

Speaker 2:

In fact, I'd say many of the founders we need, it's pretty obvious quite quickly that they don't necessarily have that absolute seal. That doesn't mean you can't start a good company. That doesn't mean you can't build it. You know?

Speaker 1:

It's just a different company. Right?

Speaker 2:

But you'll probably never build one of the global titans if you don't have some of that seal. Sorry.

Speaker 1:

No. So I think my my key kind of key takeaway. It's a it's a nice I don't obviously, Paul Graham isn't isn't creating anything new. He's just creating a window or a lens on onto certain people's behavior. And it just it did remind me along the lines of what you were saying.

Speaker 1:

It just reminded me to remind founders to be candid about what kind of business they wanna build. So if you wanna build a venture scale, global, speed of sales, speed of scale business, this is probably the attitude you'll wanna consider. It doesn't mean you don't hire really super smart people and and and enable them, but it just means you you create these these direct report lines. And if you don't wanna do that and you don't wanna go to business company, that's okay. And it's okay to build a really substantial 10, 20, 30, £40,000,000 business.

Speaker 1:

That's that's an amazing and incredible thing.

Speaker 2:

I think I think you're absolutely right. I mean, 2 two things to pick up on there. I think if you think about founders that are incredibly focused on being in the point of most impact and really being involved, well, that means they won't be able to do some of the stuff that other managers are. All the reviews and looking at everything, that puts so much more onus on the other leaders in the business to be really good at making things run because they're not gonna be babysat in the same way. So if you're not in that part of the business that is the most strategic thing right now, you're probably gonna be left alone left alone a little bit to figure it out.

Speaker 2:

And then we should need very, very high quality of people around you to do that. That's point 1. Point 2, I would say there's the mission driven thing, which is that nobody likes to be micromanaged, but sometimes we can forgive it if we think the mission and the leadership and the progress is so great. And there's there's one thing I've always seen is almost everybody likes to win. And so if we're winning and if we're feeling that the leadership is taking us in the right direction, even if we might be annoyed by some of the habits or some of the ways it's done, we can forgive a lot if we're winning.

Speaker 2:

So some considerations there, I I think, just to throw into the mix.

Speaker 1:

Yeah. No. Totally fair. Last up, I wanted to cover with you we've talked about freedom of movement in Europe and looking at the reports on the US. Since 2020, the US has experienced its largest immigration wave in generations was the was the title in The Wall Street Journal.

Speaker 1:

Now we we've talked a lot about I mean, the the UK has just denied the EU's request to reimplement or re enable young persons' freedom of movement, so the 19 to to 25 freedom of movement. It just makes total sense, and we've talked about this before. We hope they'll reverse that decision. But immigration, as you've talked about before, is a is a great powerful force. So where were you going with this?

Speaker 1:

So I think it's a it's a massive it's a massive topic, but my lens was how how is this gonna affect Europe? So looking at the the American, situation, what lessons are there for Europe? What lessons are there for the UK?

Speaker 2:

Well, I think there's sort of an element of connecting the dots. So the US has been growing faster than Europe over the past couple of years. One of the reasons is that they have been investing a lot. They're running very large fiscal deficits, but another reason is immigration. And one of the things that's not always acknowledged is that, yes, we have had productivity issues in Europe.

Speaker 2:

Productivity has slowed down over the last decade and a half. The same has happened in the US. If you look at the period since 2010, US productivity growth has been dramatically underperforming compared to the 20 years period prior, and the main reason the economy has continued to grow as rapidly as it has is because of immigration.

Speaker 1:

Mhmm.

Speaker 2:

Now this is really interesting and not always, appreciated. In the last 3 years alone, you've had 7,000,000, illegal immigrants or immigrants coming into the US, and that helps grow the economy.

Speaker 1:

It's a good question.

Speaker 2:

Is largely a very, very good thing. It's

Speaker 1:

isn't about 10,000,000 total total immigration, of which about 7 is illegal, about 2 or 3 is legal, I think, of the other stats.

Speaker 2:

Yeah. Exactly. So you think about that. That's a massive proportion of the size of the country, and that is boosting economic growth. But 2 things to consider there is, 1, is immigration is important, so we have to find out how to make it work.

Speaker 2:

As we saw from the demonstrations and the upheaval in the UK this summer, it's clear that we haven't worked out how to do that well and do that well yet. The other thing is we have a productivity problem. We have a productivity problem because we are now at a point where we can't make our economies grow without relying on immigration, and that is not good for anybody and certainly not for all the indigenous people. Right? The people that are today the citizens of the EU, of the UK, of the US.

Speaker 2:

Mhmm. Because it means that the only way to make the economy grow is to get more folks to come in. That makes the overall pie bigger, but that doesn't make the pie bigger for the individual person. And the objective of the economy is gonna be to make everybody better off. So we gotta come back to productivity, and that is, of course, is the link back to technology.

Speaker 2:

And so, you know, for that reason alone, I think we're gonna see so much focus on productivity enhancing technology investment over the coming decade. It is inevitable.

Speaker 1:

Yeah. If and it feels like AI is gonna be a massive accelerant in that. Also, looking at the data, one thing I just wanted to I wanted to reflect on, what I didn't fully appreciate was how many 1,000,000,000 of dollars illegal immigrants put into the American economy but can't take out because they're illegal immigrants. So there is a net positive effect to the to the all the taxes, federal state taxes that that are being generated by the illegal immigrants, let alone the legal. So there's there is a massive cash influx.

Speaker 1:

It's not just, again, back to the doom and gloom. It's not just the doom and gloom on this immigration piece, but, super, super interesting. Let's call it a day there. Mads, my dear man, all of the love. Thank you, and we'll catch up next week.

Speaker 2:

Love you, brother. See you soon. Bye bye.