Good morning.
The Daily Trend Report. Every weekday morning, giovanni gallucci and a rotating cohost (Chloe Dawn on clean label food and beverage, plus Rachel Donovan or Alexis Parker on social media) synthesize the day's cross-LLM trend reports into three operator stories: social media, clean label food and beverage, and content, social, and AI. Tight, specific, no filler. For owners, founders, marketing leads, and operators in clean-label CPG.
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giovanni gallucci: Good morning. This is giovanni gallucci, joined by Chloe Dawn and Rachel Donovan, and this is the Daily Trend Report.
rachel donovan: Morning. Ninety miles of US-90 before sunup. Worth it.
chloe dawn: She says that every week. I was up at one building a Pinterest board of county fair signage. Neither of us is well.
giovanni gallucci: Three things. A shapewear brand is headed for ten million on TikTok and its best creators are over thirty-five. Kraft is taking macaroni into ramen eighteen months early. And a shoe company made a ten-minute movie the week an agency proved we dodge ads for sport.
rachel donovan: Eddie put a Modern Retail piece in front of me and I read the headline twice. Shapermint is on track for ten million dollars in TikTok Shop sales this year. Sixty percent of its top performing affiliate creators are over thirty-five.
giovanni gallucci: Over thirty-five. On TikTok.
rachel donovan: Over thirty-five. Their customer is a woman between thirty-five and sixty-five, and they went and found creators who look like her.
chloe dawn: That's the part that gets me. Everybody I know treats that platform like it has a cover charge and you have to be twenty-four to get in.
giovanni gallucci: Right, and here's the number underneath it. More than five thousand active creators posted over five thousand videos in the last thirty days. One of them has cleared thirty-one thousand nine hundred dollars. Growth peaked at five hundred fifteen percent month over month.
rachel donovan: So the obvious read is go start an affiliate program.
giovanni gallucci: The obvious read is wrong, and it's the dumbest framing on this story. The program is not the lesson. The casting is.
rachel donovan: Say more about that.
giovanni gallucci: Every brand I talk to recruits the creators the platform surfaces. The clean cuts, the ring light, the trending audio. Shapermint recruited the people its buyer already trusts, and that turned out to be women her own age running errands.
chloe dawn: Audience match over platform fluency.
giovanni gallucci: Audience match over platform fluency, and it is not close. A twenty-two-year-old with beautiful edits selling shapewear to a forty-eight-year-old is a stranger holding a tripod. Another forty-eight-year-old is a neighbor.
rachel donovan: Why does the older creator convert better, though. Is it trust, or is it just recognition?
giovanni gallucci: It's recognition first. Trust shows up second, after recognition buys you the three seconds. And there's a mechanical piece here that matters more than either one. The brief never changed.
chloe dawn: Never changed how?
giovanni gallucci: One sentence, five thousand times. A woman doing something ordinary while the product stays put. That is it. And they run that brief in a group chat every week instead of a deck every quarter.
chloe dawn: Give me the one sentence for a food brand.
giovanni gallucci: Something close to this. Film yourself eating it somewhere you would actually be eating it, and don't clean up first. That is the whole brief. No talking points, no three key benefits. If a creator needs a phone call to understand it, the brief is too long.
rachel donovan: A weekly group chat beating a quarterly PDF. I believe that in my bones.
giovanni gallucci: It wins because it's current and because nobody has to schedule a meeting to read it. A deck is a document. A group chat is a conversation, and creators answer conversations.
rachel donovan: There's a sampling piece in that story too. The creators who post fast get the next product first.
giovanni gallucci: Which is the entire incentive, and it costs nothing. You're not paying for speed, you're ranking for it. The creator who turned a box around in four days knows she is getting the next one. Nobody has to send a reminder email. The shipping schedule does the managing.
chloe dawn: I want to push on the volume, though. Five thousand videos in thirty days is not a thing a four-person brand can do.
giovanni gallucci: No, and I hate it when a case study gets handed to a small operator with the scale left in. You don't need five thousand creators. You need twenty-five customers.
rachel donovan: Twenty-five.
giovanni gallucci: Twenty-five. Open your own purchase history, not a creator marketplace. Pull everybody who has bought three or more times. Put the ones over forty at the top, because those are the people nobody else is calling. Then send them the same one sentence you'd send a roster of five thousand.
chloe dawn: And pay them how?
giovanni gallucci: Flat fee plus commission. The flat fee buys the first video. The commission keeps them honest about the second one. And you require exactly one thing to happen on camera. Not a script. One thing. The product does the thing, in a real place, in real light, with an actual errand going on around it.
rachel donovan: No studio.
giovanni gallucci: No studio, no logo card at the end, no thirty seconds of brand film bolted on the front. Ten people post, three of them land, and those three cost you less than one agency storyboard.
chloe dawn: And the seven that miss?
giovanni gallucci: The seven that miss are the price of admission, and you knew that walking in. Out here a rancher doesn't plant one row and call it a season.
giovanni gallucci: Three quick ones, then we keep going.
giovanni gallucci: One. Open your purchase list this morning and pull every customer who has bought three or more times. Sort the ones over forty to the top.
chloe dawn: Two. Write one sentence of brief, send that same sentence to twenty-five of them, and leave it alone for a month. The repetition is the asset.
rachel donovan: Three. Flat fee plus commission, and require one thing to happen on camera in a real errand. No studio, no script, no logo card.
chloe dawn: Jayme flagged this out of Food Dive and I have been chewing on it since yesterday. Kraft Mac and Cheese is going into ramen. Two ninety-nine a bowl, nine grams of protein, no artificial dyes.
giovanni gallucci: When does it hit shelves?
chloe dawn: April of twenty twenty-seven.
giovanni gallucci: April of twenty twenty-seven.
chloe dawn: Six months out, and the entire trade press wrote it up this week.
rachel donovan: For a bowl nobody can buy.
chloe dawn: For a bowl nobody can buy. It sits under a seven hundred million dollar push, and the headline claim is no artificial dyes. In twenty twenty-six. On a product that has existed since nineteen thirty-seven.
giovanni gallucci: Say the quiet part.
chloe dawn: That's not innovation. That is catching up, and it got covered like news because the logo is big enough to turn catching up into a press release.
rachel donovan: And nobody wrote that up when the small brands did it.
chloe dawn: Nobody wrote it up at all. A dozen independent noodle and mac brands pulled synthetic color years ago and got no headline for it, because a small brand removing a dye is not news. That's just Tuesday.
giovanni gallucci: I'll go further. The dumbest framing on this story is the one every operator reaches for, which is that Big Food is innovating faster than we are. They're not innovating. They bolted a protein number onto a nineteen thirty-seven format and moved the dye out. Any independent in this category did both of those things in twenty twenty-two.
rachel donovan: So what are they actually better at?
giovanni gallucci: The runway. That's the whole answer. They gave themselves six months of story before the thing exists, and we give ourselves about four hours.
chloe dawn: Four hours.
giovanni gallucci: You ship on a Tuesday. You post once. You tag the retailer. By Thursday you're wondering why nobody noticed. Meanwhile a macaroni company got a six-month press cycle out of a bowl that's still a spreadsheet.
rachel donovan: And a small brand can just copy that.
giovanni gallucci: You can copy exactly that, and it costs nothing, because you're not changing the launch. You're changing when you start talking about it.
chloe dawn: Walk through it.
giovanni gallucci: Pick the week your next thing lands. Say that date out loud this morning, publicly, on your own account. Then publish one piece a week between now and then, and pull every one of those pieces out of work you are already doing.
rachel donovan: Meaning what, exactly.
giovanni gallucci: The batch that came back wrong. The co-packer sample that tasted like a candle. The label proof you rejected, and why you rejected it. The flavor you're not naming yet. The morning the equipment quit on you. You're already living all of that and you throw the footage away, because it doesn't look finished.
rachel donovan: Where does the weekly piece go?
giovanni gallucci: Wherever you already have people, and the same place every week, so it reads as a standing appointment instead of a mood. Forty seconds is plenty. Vertical, one idea, shot on the phone in your pocket. The point is the count, not the craft. Twenty-four weeks of forty seconds is sixteen minutes of somebody watching you make a thing, and nobody buys sixteen minutes of attention for what that costs.
chloe dawn: Unfinished is the part I actually want to watch.
giovanni gallucci: Unfinished is the only part with suspense in it. A finished product is an announcement. A half-finished product is a story somebody checks back on.
rachel donovan: Is there a risk in announcing early, though. You're telling a bigger company what you're about to do.
giovanni gallucci: They already have your category on a whiteboard in a conference room and they already have more money than you. What they can't buy is six months of your audience watching you make it. By the time they show up, the people who watched you build it have already picked a side.
chloe dawn: And this is not a founder video.
giovanni gallucci: It is not a founder video, and I want that clear. The subject is the work, not your face. Nobody is tuning in for you. They're tuning in for the thing in your hands.
chloe dawn: What happens when the date slips? Because it always slips.
giovanni gallucci: Then you say it slipped, and you say why, and that is the best post in the whole run. A brand that admits a four-week delay out loud has just told everybody the dates are real. The ones who quietly move the date and say nothing are teaching people the dates were never real in the first place.
rachel donovan: The giants add claims to old formats.
giovanni gallucci: And the independents quietly remove ingredients, then let the giants announce it louder. Pick a week and quit doing that.
giovanni gallucci: Three moves, then we go.
chloe dawn: One. Pick the week your next thing lands and say that date out loud today, on your own account, before you're ready.
rachel donovan: Two. Publish one piece a week between now and then, every one of them pulled from work you already do. The rejected label proof counts.
giovanni gallucci: Three. Name what is not finished yet, by name, on camera. The unfinished part is what people come back for.
giovanni gallucci: Two things landed in the same week and almost nobody connected them. Travis brought me the first one. ASICS put out a ten-minute film, narrated by Sigourney Weaver, shot like a nature documentary, and the animals are office workers.
rachel donovan: Scrollers and bingers in their natural habitat.
giovanni gallucci: Cubicle rats in their natural habitat, tracked with a completely straight face. Built on their own survey. Thirty-four thousand people across thirty-one countries, eighty-six percent of waking hours spent sitting down.
chloe dawn: Ten minutes is a long time in twenty twenty-six.
giovanni gallucci: It is, and here's the second thing from the same seven days. Travis also had the Omnicom study out of Digiday. Eleven hundred thirty-six American adults surveyed, plus eye tracking on twelve hundred more. Sixty-five percent actively avoid advertising. Twenty-five percent are very or extremely aggressive about it. Forty-one percent pay money to not see it.
rachel donovan: They pay to skip you.
giovanni gallucci: They pay cash to skip you, and in that same week a shoe company put out ten minutes and people sat through it on purpose. Those are the same story.
chloe dawn: Because the long one got chosen.
giovanni gallucci: Because the long one got chosen. The length is not the point. The permission is. Nobody skips something they picked.
rachel donovan: I'm going to be the person who says long-form is back.
giovanni gallucci: And I'm going to be the person who says nothing is back. Nothing is ever back. Eighteen months ago the same rooms told you nine seconds or nothing. The number was never the strategy.
chloe dawn: The other objection is the easy one. We cannot afford Sigourney Weaver.
giovanni gallucci: Correct. You cannot, I cannot, and that's not the transferable part anyway. Three things in that film transfer, and the celebrity is none of them.
rachel donovan: Go.
giovanni gallucci: One. A premise with a joke in it. The joke is treating a guy at a desk like a wildlife subject. That cost them nothing. It came out of a room where somebody said the dumbest true thing about the category out loud.
chloe dawn: What is the dumbest true thing in food and beverage?
giovanni gallucci: That half the shelf gets sold on the back of the package and photographed from the front. Somebody should make ten minutes out of that.
rachel donovan: Two.
giovanni gallucci: Two. One number you went and got yourself. ASICS surveyed thirty-four thousand people. You are not doing that. You can email four hundred of your own customers one question and have three hundred answers by Friday, and that number belongs to you. Nobody else can cite it, and it becomes the spine of the whole thing.
chloe dawn: Three.
giovanni gallucci: Three. A length that reads as a choice instead of an ambush. Six minutes on YouTube is normal. Six minutes in a feed is a hostage situation. Put it where length is not a penalty.
rachel donovan: And ten minutes gives you clips for a month.
giovanni gallucci: It does, and that's the part the budget argument always leaves out.
rachel donovan: And the counterexample from this same week is sitting right there.
chloe dawn: Poppi. Eight fashion week collaborations in September, Cowboys cheerleaders using the cans as hair curlers, and their head of culture says out loud that data and performance numbers are not in the brief.
giovanni gallucci: And retail volume in the first half of this year went down three and a half percent.
rachel donovan: After PepsiCo paid nearly two billion for them.
giovanni gallucci: After nearly two billion. And look, I like taste as a tiebreaker. I really do. But all of that is still interruption wearing a nicer jacket. A cheerleader with a can in her hair is something that happened at you. Ten minutes you chose is something you agreed to.
chloe dawn: So one of those scales down and one of them does not.
giovanni gallucci: One scales down to a brand with eleven hundred followers and a phone. The other one requires a cap table. And we are going to spend the next year watching small brands copy the expensive one.
rachel donovan: Instead of the cheap one that works.
giovanni gallucci: Instead of the cheap one that works. Make one thing a year that is long enough to be a choice. One premise, one number you own, one format where length is normal. Not a series, because a series is twelve promises you have to keep. One thing.
chloe dawn: One thing somebody turns the sound on for.
giovanni gallucci: That's the only test that matters. Out here you can watch a storm coming an hour before it gets to you, and you stand there and watch the whole thing anyway, because you decided to.
giovanni gallucci: Three to finish, then we are out of your hair.
giovanni gallucci: One. Write one premise today. One sentence, with a joke in it, about the dumbest true thing in your category.
rachel donovan: Two. Email four hundred of your own customers one question this week and keep the number. That number is your spine.
chloe dawn: Three. Make six minutes, once, and put it on YouTube where length is not a penalty. One thing, not a series.
giovanni gallucci: If your feed isn't moving, that's usually not a calendar problem. Nobody ever decided what the account is for, so every post argues with the one before it. That's the work I do. Organic social strategy for food and beverage brands, over fifteen years of it, and when we're done you own the plan. If that sounds like your account, I'm at gallucci dot net, or DM at gallucciNET on Instagram or LinkedIn. Tomorrow in this same feed, Social Media Train Wrecks. Go get your morning back.