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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to nail Gameweek 30. Deadline is Saturday the fourteenth of March at one thirty in the afternoon, so let's get into it.
First, the rapid-fire news. Gabriel and Rice are both doubts for Arsenal, with Mikel Arteta confirming their absences after the FA Cup tie. That's a massive concern heading into Gameweek 30 where Arsenal host Everton. Keep a very close eye on team news before that deadline. On the positive side for Arsenal fans, the Gunners did progress in the FA Cup with a second-string side. Meanwhile, Haaland was absent for Man City in midweek, though the reason given was precautionary, and O'Reilly is reportedly back in contention. Man City drew two all with Nott'm Forest in Gameweek 29, which also furthers the likelihood of a blank Gameweek 31 for City assets - something to factor into your transfer planning right now. Arne Slot has also spoken about rotation at Liverpool, who lost to Wolves two one in Gameweek 29, so be wary of Liverpool assets if Slot continues to rotate ahead of a tricky home fixture against Spurs in Gameweek 30.
Now let's get into the transfers.
First transfer in - João Pedro, Chelsea, seven point seven million pounds, forty-seven point two percent ownership. What a Gameweek 29 he delivered - a hat-trick and an assist against Aston Villa, bagging nineteen points. His form rating sits at nine point two and he has fourteen goals and nine assists this season. Nine point seven expected points for Gameweek 30 against Newcastle at home under Liam Rosenior's Chelsea. At under half price of the premium forwards and with that kind of ceiling, this is an Essential buy if you don't already have him.
Second transfer in - Senesi, Bournemouth, five point zero million pounds, seventeen point three percent ownership. Recommended as a buy recently and he delivered in Gameweek 29 with eleven points including a clean sheet and three bonus points against Brentford. Eight clean sheets this season, four assists, and one hundred and twenty-six total points. For Gameweek 30, Bournemouth travel to Burnley who are struggling. Five point three expected points and priced at just five million pounds. Verdict: Good. If you don't have him, now is the time.
Third transfer in - Hill, Bournemouth, four point two million pounds, seven point three percent ownership. Another Bournemouth defender flying under the radar. Eight points in Gameweek 29 with a clean sheet against Brentford. His form is at six point four, with five clean sheets this season and three assists. Six point nine expected points for Gameweek 30 at Burnley. Only four point two million pounds and forty-eight thousand transfers in this week. This is an outstanding budget enabler. Verdict: Good. Pair him with Senesi for double Bournemouth defensive coverage.
Now the transfers out.
First transfer out - Rogers, Aston Villa, seven point five million pounds, twenty-six point three percent ownership. Villa were hammered four one by Chelsea in Gameweek 29 and Rogers returned just one point. His form has dropped to three point four and expected points for Gameweek 30 against Man Utd away are a worrying two point nine. One hundred and eighty-five thousand transfers out this week alone tells its own story. Verdict: Sell. The fixtures don't get easier and the form has fallen off a cliff.
Second transfer out - Virgil, Liverpool, six point two million pounds, thirty-two point five percent ownership. He only returned one point in Gameweek 29 as Liverpool lost two one to Wolves. No clean sheet, no goal contributions. Liverpool now host Spurs in Gameweek 30 but with Arne Slot openly discussing rotation and Liverpool's recent defensive wobble, the expected points of seven point seven might be flattering. Twenty-eight thousand transfers out this week. Verdict: Hold for now, but if you have a better defensive option, this is a reasonable swap with the Bournemouth backline in red-hot form.
Third transfer out - O'Reilly, Man City, five point one million pounds, nine point four percent ownership. He didn't feature in Gameweek 29 for Man City as they drew with Nott'm Forest. Nearly forty-eight thousand managers transferred him out this week. His form is still impressive at seven point six and he has eleven clean sheets this season with four goals and three assists. However, the Man City blank in Gameweek 31 is now highly likely following their FA Cup progression. Eight point one expected points for Gameweek 30 against West Ham at home if he's back, and reports suggest O'Reilly returns. Verdict: Hold if you have him given that expected points return, but plan your exit before Gameweek 31.
Now for the differentials - all under ten percent ownership.
Truffert, Bournemouth defender, four point six million pounds, just two point four percent ownership. Eight clean sheets this season and he scored eight points in Gameweek 29 with two bonus points. Twenty-five thousand transfers in this week. Bournemouth travel to struggling Burnley in Gameweek 30 and Truffert is the cheapest route into what is becoming one of the best defensive units in the league. An absolute gem.
Aït-Nouri, Man City, five point seven million pounds, four point five percent ownership. He started and played seventy-six minutes in Gameweek 29, grabbing an assist. Three clean sheets, two assists, and six point one expected points for Gameweek 30 against West Ham at home. With Man City favourites despite the draw with Forest, Aït-Nouri offers attacking upside from left back. Low ownership at four point five percent makes this a solid differential.
Finally, Petrović, Bournemouth goalkeeper, four point five million pounds, four point nine percent ownership. Six points in Gameweek 29 with a clean sheet. Eight clean sheets this season and eighty-eight saves. If you're looking to upgrade your budget goalkeeper, Bournemouth's form makes Petrović a compelling option with five point three expected points against Burnley.
Captaincy pick for Gameweek 30 - João Pedro. Chelsea host Newcastle at home on Saturday the fourteenth of March. He just scored a hat-trick, has nine point seven expected points, and is the highest ceiling asset in the game right now. He is your captain. One key tip - with the Man City blank in Gameweek 31 looking increasingly likely, consider getting ahead of the curve now and freeing up a transfer for that week by moving out City assets after Gameweek 30.
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That's your Gameweek 30 prep done. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com and we'll see you tomorrow.