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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Welcome to Who Got The Points? I'm Archer, and here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes. Gameweek Ten is done and dusted, and we're now laser-focused on Gameweek Eleven. The deadline is Saturday the eighth of November at eleven am, so let's get into the essential moves you need to make right now.
First, the rapid-fire news bulletin. Arsenal defender William Saliba started and played the full ninety minutes at Burnley, keeping his fifth clean sheet of the season despite some injury concerns circulating earlier. He's fit and firing. Big news from Chelsea: Enzo Maresca confirmed that Joao Pedro is dealing with some problems, though the manager was tight-lipped on specifics. Monitor that situation closely. Meanwhile, Spurs recorded their lowest expected goals of the season in the loss to Chelsea, raising serious questions about their attacking output. And finally, Viktor Gyokeres picked up an injury during Arsenal's two-nil win at Burnley. Wait for further updates on the Sporting man before making any rash decisions. That's your news bulletin, now let's talk transfers.
Top three transfers in, starting with Arsenal's Gabriel Magalhaes. At six point five million pounds, his ownership has rocketed to forty percent after another monster haul. In Gameweek Ten at Burnley, Gabriel delivered twelve points with an assist, a clean sheet, and two bonus points, playing the full ninety minutes. That's seven clean sheets in ten matches this season. Gabriel has now accumulated eighty total points, averaging eight points per game. The Arsenal defence is the tightest in the league, and with Mikel Arteta's side keeping defensive shape brilliantly, Gabriel is getting forward for set pieces too. He's scored once and assisted twice already. Verdict: Essential. If you don't own him, fix that immediately.
Next up, Declan Rice at six point seven million pounds and fifteen point two percent ownership. Rice exploded for thirteen points at Burnley with a goal, a clean sheet, and three maximum bonus points. He played the full ninety and looked absolutely dominant. Rice now has sixty-three points total this season, with two goals and four assists alongside six clean sheets. His expected points for Gameweek Eleven are nine point five. The England midfielder is on penalties, he's playing advanced under Arteta, and Arsenal's fixtures remain decent. At six point seven million, he offers genuine captaincy potential from midfield. Verdict: Good buy. He's firmly in that premium midfielder conversation now and offers something different from the usual suspects.
Third transfer in is Jean-Philippe Mateta of Crystal Palace. Priced at seven point eight million pounds with twenty-one point eight percent ownership, Mateta scored nine points in Gameweek Ten with a goal, clean sheet, and three bonus points against West Ham. He started and played eighty-nine minutes. Mateta has now scored six goals this season and kept five clean sheets from his forward position. Oliver Glasner's system suits him perfectly, and Palace's upcoming fixtures look tasty. Expected points of seven point five for Gameweek Eleven shows the algorithm rates him highly. Verdict: Good buy. He's the form forward at this price point and offers a different route into attack compared to the premium strikers.
Now the top three transfers out. First, Jurrien Timber from Arsenal at six point one million pounds and twenty-five percent ownership. Now, don't panic, Timber delivered six points in Gameweek Ten with a clean sheet. He's got sixty-six total points and has kept six clean sheets this season. So why sell? It's about opportunity cost. At six point one million, Gabriel and Rice offer far more attacking threat for similar or slightly higher prices. Timber's form score of seven point two is excellent, but he's got two goals and two assists all season. Arsenal's defensive points are better accessed through Gabriel who gets forward more. Verdict: Consider selling if you need funds for Gabriel or Rice. If you own both already, hold Timber.
Second player to move out is Marc Cucurella from Chelsea at six point one million pounds. Ownership sits at twenty-one point seven percent. Cucurella managed six points with a clean sheet against Spurs, playing the full match. He's got forty-two total points with four clean sheets, but here's the issue: zero goals and just two assists all season. Chelsea have conceded ten goals in ten matches, which isn't elite defensive numbers. At six point one million, you're paying for a defender who doesn't offer attacking returns. His expected points of five point five is decent but not spectacular. With so many better options in the six million range across various teams, Cucurella feels like dead money. Verdict: Sell. Reinvest that cash into a more explosive defender.
Third transfer out is actually a midfielder who blanked in Gameweek Ten: Bruno Guimaraes of Newcastle. He's six point six million pounds with just three point six percent ownership. Bruno didn't play a single minute in Gameweek Ten, which is concerning. He's got forty-two total points with three goals and one assist this season. Form score of six point five looks respectable on paper, but Newcastle's fixtures are about to toughen up significantly. Eddie Howe's side have been inconsistent, and Bruno at six point six million is a luxury pick who isn't delivering consistently enough. Expected points of six point five doesn't justify the price. Verdict: Sell. Too expensive for sporadic returns, and that zero-minute appearance raises rotation fears.
Differential picks now, all under ten percent ownership. First, Jan Paul van Hecke from Brighton at just four point four million pounds and only one point three percent owned. Van Hecke scored seven points in Gameweek Ten with a clean sheet and bonus point, playing ninety minutes. He's nailed in Fabian Hurzeler's back three and Brighton's defence is improving. At four point four million, he's the perfect bench enabler who can actually deliver clean sheet points. Expected points of six for Gameweek Eleven is massive at that price.
Second differential is Mats Wieffer, also Brighton, at four point nine million pounds and point one percent ownership. Wieffer delivered ten points in Gameweek Ten with an assist, clean sheet, and two bonus. He's got three assists this season already and is playing every minute. At four point nine million, he's criminally underowned and offers midfield value that frees up funds elsewhere.
Final differential: Leandro Trossard of Arsenal. Six point nine million pounds, just point five percent owned. Trossard got six points with an assist and clean sheet at Burnley, playing ninety minutes. He's got one goal and two assists this season, but here's the key: when he starts under Arteta, he's always involved. Expected points of six point five and Arsenal's upcoming fixtures make him a sneaky differential who could explode.
Captaincy pick for Gameweek Eleven: stick with Gabriel if you own him. That eleven point five expected points is elite, and Arsenal's defence is rock solid. If you want to go differential, Declan Rice at nine point five expected points offers huge upside.
One key tip: don't kneejerk out all your Chelsea defenders just because of one Pedro injury concern. Monitor the pressers mid-week before making wholesale changes. Patience pays in FPL.
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That's your lot for today. Subscribe at whogotthepoints dot com and we'll see you tomorrow with more essential FPL insights. This is Archer signing off.