Exploring the frontiers of Technology and AI
Josh:
We had a pretty big and exciting week in the world of AI and frontier technology.
Josh:
Lots of things happening. New AI hardware devices unveiled, rocket ships exploding.
Josh:
I want to start with the Microsoft event. Microsoft held their build event.
Josh:
Microsoft notoriously has been in the AI race only via companionship to OpenAI.
Josh:
They are the largest investor, largest owner of OpenAI.
Josh:
And that has been the connection. This week, they severed even more ties with
Josh:
OpenAI as they decided to build their own new hardware.
Josh:
Now, they released seven new AI models. they released two new AI devices and
Josh:
to hear that Microsoft is building an AI hardware device was a little shocking.
Josh:
So I went on this kind of like race to try to figure out more information to
Josh:
understand how it worked and what I found is these two devices that we're seeing
Josh:
on screen. We have a desktop device that looks kind of like an Amazon Echo Home
Josh:
Hub and apparently it's very smart.
Josh:
You can converse with it. It works with their new AI models and the second device
Josh:
is this small looking key card that's something you wear around your neck.
Josh:
It's very smart. It has a display built into it. And it's used for a lot of
Josh:
kind of practical in the job type use cases.
Josh:
What I found out that disappointed me is that all of this was a concept.
Josh:
They marketed this as this amazing product that everyone was going to be able
Josh:
to use showcasing all of the use cases.
Josh:
But the reality is, is that they're never actually going to ship these.
Josh:
In fact, this is just a concept for other companies to go off and get inspired
Josh:
to then build their own versions of.
Josh:
So here I was thinking, oh my god wait microsoft is making a comeback they have
Josh:
seven new models they're releasing new hardware and i think the reality is is
Josh:
that microsoft still kind of feels like they're in the same place they were
Josh:
prior to this build event
Ejaaz:
Yeah i've watched this video twice now and
Ejaaz:
i still don't know what these devices do um i feel like i've been transported
Ejaaz:
back a decade ago and amazon's just announced the echo again also why are we
Ejaaz:
wearing lanyards as like futuristic ai tech now i got hopeful when i saw this
Ejaaz:
announcement josh but i almost immediately killed that hope for one specific reason.
Ejaaz:
I don't know anyone that is conceivably using Microsoft's AI products to a larger extent, right?
Ejaaz:
So Copilot is like their flagship AI assistant, and they've admitted that their
Ejaaz:
Copilot product is way behind the likes of ChatGPT and Claude itself.
Ejaaz:
So if I already know that people aren't really using the Microsoft AI ecosystem
Ejaaz:
at the software level, why on earth would they use it at the hardware level?
Ejaaz:
Now, I dug in to a little bit about what this thing is supposedly meant to do.
Ejaaz:
And it's supposedly meant to be like an AI agent kind of like physical surface area.
Ejaaz:
So what I mean by that is it's meant to listen to the things that you do.
Ejaaz:
It's meant to see the things that you write or speak about and then it's meant
Ejaaz:
to kind of like ingest this data and improve your own personal agent,
Ejaaz:
your own personal model. There's one issue though.
Ejaaz:
Microsoft doesn't even have a functioning V1 of an AI agent that can do all of this for you.
Ejaaz:
They kind of brand it as Copilot but it's really ChatGPT and it's an older model
Ejaaz:
of ChatGPT and it's less effective than ChatGPT. So why wouldn't I just use ChatGPT?
Ejaaz:
Now, understandably, Microsoft recently has been trying to move away from their
Ejaaz:
partnership with OpenAI.
Ejaaz:
There was a bit of tension between Sam Altman and Satni and Odella.
Ejaaz:
And they're trying to kind of like sever that partnership and start becoming
Ejaaz:
a more multimodal operation. They've started using Claude for a lot of their
Ejaaz:
products and other types of models.
Ejaaz:
This is a step into the device side of things.
Ejaaz:
This wasn't exciting to me. And it maddens me so much that this is just a concept
Ejaaz:
that apparently they don't plan to build at all.
Ejaaz:
What did excite me was something that we covered earlier on in an earlier episode this week,
Ejaaz:
which was their new Microsoft Surface AI engineered laptop, which is meant to
Ejaaz:
run like one of Nvidia's latest chips, which allows you to kind of like run models locally.
Ejaaz:
But this doesn't really inspire me.
Josh:
Well, something that might inspire some people if the hardware isn't doing it
Josh:
is the software because Microsoft isn't just sitting there being dormant.
Josh:
They are working on their own AI models. They're working on large language models
Josh:
that I have to assume are somewhat derived from ChatGPT models because they
Josh:
have that proprietary license. They must be leaning on it to some extent.
Josh:
And what we have here is seven new models that they're working on in parallel.
Josh:
And initially I was a little frustrated by this too. I'm like,
Josh:
why the hell are they working on seven models at once? But in the context of
Josh:
this image that we're seeing on screen, it makes a lot of sense.
Josh:
The models are supposed to be working on specific modalities all together.
Josh:
So we have an image model. We have a large one and a flash one for smaller.
Josh:
We have a transcription model. We have a reasoning model. We have two voice
Josh:
models and a coding model. So they're building all of these in parallel.
Josh:
I have to imagine they're going to be building the orchestrator or at least
Josh:
using Copilot as the kind of orchestration harness engine for these models,
Josh:
knowing what to serve them.
Josh:
And I think it's at least a start.
Josh:
Microsoft has done pretty much nothing in the world of AI.
Josh:
I'm not sure anybody uses Copilot who isn't forced to buy their business.
Josh:
And I'm hopeful that these modalities, these models that they're working on
Josh:
will actually yield some sort of impressive results from Microsoft.
Josh:
Otherwise, I'm getting close to putting Microsoft in the Apple category of just like did not finish.
Josh:
Like they just like we're not able to actually execute able to deliver anything
Josh:
valuable in this ai model race maybe this changes things who knows but
Josh:
After watching this, I kind of didn't feel that way.
Josh:
It was like, okay, the hardware that you designed that was really cool looking,
Josh:
it's just a concept. The software, well, it's great on paper.
Josh:
These haven't been built. These haven't been deployed. It would have been awesome
Josh:
if we could actually play with them today.
Josh:
That is not the case. So there's still a lot of work that needs to happen for
Josh:
Microsoft, but that was the build event.
Ejaaz:
Yeah, I mean, the best thing that Microsoft has done in the entire AI race was
Ejaaz:
invest in their biggest competitor, OpenAI. When it comes to actually building
Ejaaz:
models, it's not exactly their specialty, but I applaud them for giving it a go.
Ejaaz:
Now, one might think that they're using OpenAI's IP. They have OpenAI's IP for
Ejaaz:
ChatGPT because they're one of the largest investors in that until I think it's
Ejaaz:
2030 or 2032. So they can technically use this IP to create their own models.
Ejaaz:
But for one of these models specifically, which is the one I'm circling right
Ejaaz:
now, MAI Thinking 1, that is their main reasoning model.
Ejaaz:
It's their main orchestrator model that orchestrates all these other transcription,
Ejaaz:
image, video, and audio models.
Ejaaz:
And it hasn't been distilled or using OpenAI IP at all.
Ejaaz:
It's been built from the ground up, which is pretty ambitious for Microsoft.
Ejaaz:
Now, you might be wondering, okay, what are some of the advantages that it's unlocked?
Ejaaz:
Well, collectively, across all of these different models, it uses 60% fewer
Ejaaz:
tokens than your Frontier models.
Ejaaz:
But the models that it can kind of compare with and that it's on par with are
Ejaaz:
like three generations behind the frontier models that we're seeing from Anthropic and OpenAI right now.
Ejaaz:
So it's a good attempt, but it's got me thinking like,
Ejaaz:
I don't know why Microsoft is focused on this specifically when they should
Ejaaz:
be kind of like doubling down on like the AI agent harness and trying to build
Ejaaz:
a better AI experience across the humongous distribution that they have.
Ejaaz:
They have like hundreds of millions of co-pilot users across the world.
Ejaaz:
Like they should be able to kind of like monetize that somehow.
Ejaaz:
And I think they're kind of wasting that time here.
Ejaaz:
There was a bunch of Microsoft announcements, and one of them was announced
Ejaaz:
in partnership with NVIDIA, and it was with their Surface laptop.
Ejaaz:
And NVIDIA has been kind of like on a streak this week. So there's this conference
Ejaaz:
that's taking place in Taiwan right now called Computex.
Ejaaz:
And I'm kind of calling it NVIDIA GTC, which is their main conference 2.0.
Ejaaz:
It's basically Jensen's show, and he's taken the stage. Everyone's kind of like
Ejaaz:
crowded out the entire rooms and he's made a bunch of big announcements for NVIDIA.
Ejaaz:
One of the main ones is Vera Rubin NVL72, which is the kind of like it's the
Ejaaz:
next hottest generation that has actually been built for GPUs.
Ejaaz:
Is finally coming online. And there's a few partners that are bringing it online.
Ejaaz:
You've got Dell that we mentioned earlier this week, we put out an episode,
Ejaaz:
definitely go check that out, because Dell's actually a sleeper hit for AI investing.
Ejaaz:
CoreWeave and a number of other providers have helped stand up the very first Vero Rubin stack.
Ejaaz:
It looks incredibly complex and quite impressive from an engineering feat.
Ejaaz:
I don't know if you've seen a picture of this, Josh, but like there are pipes
Ejaaz:
and wires teeming out of this thing.
Ejaaz:
And it's actually bigger than me, if I sit on, I'm around like 6.3.
Ejaaz:
It's like a humongous type thing, incredibly impressive feat of networking architecture.
Ejaaz:
That is one of like the major announcements, like Jensen's kind of like leaning
Ejaaz:
into a lot of new hardware stacks.
Ejaaz:
Now, if you've watched an episode that we put out about a month ago,
Ejaaz:
we described why Jensen's kind of going all in on chips, if you didn't think
Ejaaz:
he already was doing this, by recreating
Ejaaz:
15 of the core components that is required to build the best GPU.
Ejaaz:
Now, typically, GPU providers aren't recommended to do that because if something
Ejaaz:
goes wrong, you end up needing to delay the launch of your next model.
Ejaaz:
Not only did Jensen go for it, but he pulled it off. And so now we see these new GPUs come to life.
Ejaaz:
He's also entering a new market, which is the CPU market.
Ejaaz:
Typically, Jensen likes to play in his lane. He kind of like sits at his own level of the stack.
Ejaaz:
He owns the picks and shovels and he doesn't want to get involved in anything else.
Ejaaz:
But he's peeked over at Intel and AMD and he's like, damn, these guys are making
Ejaaz:
a bunch of money from CPUs.
Ejaaz:
And in a future world where AI agents are everywhere, we're going to need CPUs
Ejaaz:
to orchestrate these guys.
Ejaaz:
And so he announced the launch of NVIDIA CPUs, which currently is on track for
Ejaaz:
a $20 billion revenue run rate this year. It's pretty insane.
Josh:
This is the first time I've ever heard of Computex as an event.
Josh:
I didn't really even know that this existed, but it's basically the CES version in Taiwan.
Josh:
Like the consumer electronic show it happens every january in the united states
Josh:
it's where all of the cool new technology and hardware gets
Josh:
Announced with computex it felt like
Josh:
the gaming version almost of this and it's weird to
Josh:
say that because sure a lot of this is ai focused but a
Josh:
lot of the offerings a lot of the hardware was based on it's
Josh:
funny there's there's a lot of crossover it turns out between ai local
Josh:
inference running and gaming and that crossover is the
Josh:
gpu and famously nvidia stopped producing the
Josh:
higher end gpus that everyone was using in their computers to
Josh:
run local inference but also to run video games
Josh:
at very high fidelity what's happening here is through
Josh:
the release of the rtx spark which is pretty much the flagship announcement
Josh:
from this event that's the new super computer laptop macbook competitor it's
Josh:
now bringing the power back to the consumer not only for gaming but also for
Josh:
that edge ai compute and we have pricing for it which i thought was pretty interesting
Josh:
and competitive the n1 systems featuring this rtx spark they are going to cost $1,800.
Josh:
And that is for a very high end GPU that you can run locally on your machine
Josh:
to run edge inference if you want to try small models or to actually run very
Josh:
high fidelity video games.
Josh:
The higher end of the system starts at $2,900. That includes the N1X system.
Josh:
And that can run like pretty beefy language models locally on your machine.
Josh:
It has 128 gigabytes of memory. It has, I think, 6,144 CUDA cores,
Josh:
which for those who are unfamiliar with CUDA cores, it's a lot.
Josh:
You can just do a lot of AI stuff on them.
Josh:
And it's really impressive. The other announcement that I really loved is this
Josh:
thing called a NUC, an N-U-K.
Josh:
It's like they create these small computers. If you've ever ran an Ethereum
Josh:
validator or a crypto validator, odds are it was run locally on a little device
Josh:
called a NUC. They've built these...
Josh:
Single purpose machines now with these new graphical
Josh:
cards built into it so now you could have a desktop machine that isn't
Josh:
really a laptop per se but it's meant specifically for
Josh:
one purpose and that purpose is running local edge inference on your device
Josh:
running video games the highest fidelity these are really powerful machines
Josh:
and i have to imagine this is beginning to or i guess this is a continuation
Josh:
of the trend that we've been seeing of companies pushing these consumers There's
Josh:
two edge devices for this type of compute. It was very cool to see.
Ejaaz:
Yeah, and it wouldn't be a Jensen Huang conference if he didn't bless one of
Ejaaz:
the next companies that are going to be potentially a trillion dollar in valuation.
Ejaaz:
And he said it very explicitly on stage.
Ejaaz:
The next trillion dollar company is Marvel.
Ejaaz:
Now, I got to pull up the ticker. Yeah, yeah, please.
Ejaaz:
MRVL and please limit it to the last five days of price action because after
Ejaaz:
he said those words, the next day the stock boomed up. I think it was like 100
Ejaaz:
to 150 percent, something obscene like that.
Ejaaz:
And if you're wondering why Jensen brought the CEO and founder of Marvel,
Ejaaz:
if you're wondering what the hell is Marvel doing, I must say it has got nothing
Ejaaz:
to do with Iron Man or any of the cinematography around that.
Ejaaz:
It is a much more boring kind of company, which is focused on networking architecture
Ejaaz:
for all these GPUs and data centers.
Ejaaz:
So a problem that a lot of AI labs have is when they're scaling their data centers.
Ejaaz:
They get all these brand new expensive GPUs, but you need to be able to connect
Ejaaz:
these GPUs together and get them to communicate with them at lightning speed as quick as they can.
Ejaaz:
Sometimes these GPUs overheat, so you need to make sure you manage the electricity
Ejaaz:
and make sure that the data is transferred at the right amounts of times and
Ejaaz:
the right quantities overnight versus day.
Ejaaz:
There's a ton of complex networking architecture that is required.
Ejaaz:
There's wiring, pipelines, all this kind of stuff, Marvel as a company,
Ejaaz:
as one of the leaders that specialize in this.
Ejaaz:
And Jensen Huang placed a $2 billion check via NVIDIA into them. I think it was about,
Ejaaz:
in March, potentially. And then he made this announcement basically saying like,
Ejaaz:
you know, Marvel is the ones that are going to basically allow NVIDIA to kind
Ejaaz:
of like build out its moat as a data center kind of like expert.
Ejaaz:
And their stock went up a massive amount of time. And like he's pointing at
Ejaaz:
one very important thing, which I want to mention.
Ejaaz:
The next bottleneck constraint. So we've spoken about GPUs, compute.
Ejaaz:
We've spoken about memory and architecture for memory a lot here.
Ejaaz:
And those stocks have gone up. he's saying the next bottleneck is going to be
Ejaaz:
on power networking specifically and that's what Marvel specializes in they
Ejaaz:
specialize in like optical fiber networks and a ton of other stuff there so
Ejaaz:
that's going to be an interesting one to view but moving on,
Ejaaz:
there's been a massive explosion. I saw this all over my feed, Josh, over the weekend.
Ejaaz:
And it's actually pretty intimidating to an extent, but this is Blue Origin's
Ejaaz:
New Glenn rocket, which was being tested at Cape Canaveral and unfortunately exploded massively.
Ejaaz:
What is going on here? Why did this happen?
Josh:
Yeah, it's pretty intense. I actually had a post about this.
Josh:
This is one of my largest ever 5 million people saw.
Josh:
And it was because the comparison to this explosion is that it is roughly 20%
Josh:
of the energy of the Hiroshima atomic bomb that was released on the launch pad of Blue Origin.
Josh:
It is a horribly tragic happening for the space program, for the space program
Josh:
as a whole, but also Blue Origin as a company.
Josh:
The pad, unfortunately, is the only pad that is capable of launching the New
Josh:
Glenn rockets to Earth, and now it's gone.
Josh:
It cost them over a billion dollars to make, and SpaceX needed well over seven
Josh:
months to rebuild theirs after they had a similar issue.
Josh:
So this is a pretty large setback and it comes back against the problem that
Josh:
Amazon needs, I think, the number of 1,618 satellites up in orbit by July 30th
Josh:
to maintain its license with the FCC.
Josh:
It currently has about 300. So the rocket that was supposed to really help with
Josh:
this contract is now gone and the pad that was supposed to be launching it from is gone with it.
Josh:
Now, they did have a response that I saw that seemed somewhat reassuring.
Josh:
It was from someone within the company. I think he's the, oh,
Josh:
actually the CEO of Blue Origin. It's funny.
Ejaaz:
I think Jeff Bezos is the CEO.
Josh:
Turns out it's this other guy named Dave Limp. And Dave Limp said that now that
Josh:
we've had access to the pad and integration facility, we could share a good bit of news.
Josh:
The propellant farm, oxygen, liquid hydrogen, and LNG tanks,
Josh:
liquid natural gas, are all in good shape.
Josh:
This is good because those are very long lead times. So it seems like a lot
Josh:
of the core components that were going to be causing a longer delay
Josh:
aren't actually affected too badly there was a
Josh:
support tower that if you watch the video that thing got destroyed
Josh:
that's the strong arm that holds the rocket up totally got wiped
Josh:
out he said well good news we were planning to get rid of that anyway so they're
Josh:
very much making light of the situation they're trying to work their hardest
Josh:
i just wanted to share this because it was one unbelievable explosion great
Josh:
content to watch if you are seeing the video version of this episode but also
Josh:
that it may not be the worst setback in the world and in terms of getting these
Josh:
Blue Origin satellites into space.
Josh:
Thankfully, they still do have SpaceX with the Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy,
Josh:
and soon-to-be Starship. So a bit of a setback in the space race.
Josh:
It's unfortunate. SpaceX really could benefit from some competition.
Josh:
We don't want them going into their IPO as a complete and total monopoly.
Josh:
But here we are. They're the only ones that can figure it out.
Josh:
And it's funny, we took space for granted because SpaceX has just been landing
Josh:
boosters back on barges in the middle of the ocean for like five plus years now.
Josh:
And it turns Turns out space and rocket science really are like pretty difficult categories.
Josh:
So wishing the team all the best. A bummer, but.
Josh:
Alas, we will carry on.
Ejaaz:
It's probably like the best timing for Elon Musk. He probably saw that and he
Ejaaz:
was like, this is upsetting for the industry as a whole, but perfect for my
Ejaaz:
IPO that's happening in probably next week.
Ejaaz:
Moving on, there was this interesting stat that we pulled from Cloudflare,
Ejaaz:
which basically said that agentic traffic is growing so fast that it now has
Ejaaz:
surpassed human traffic.
Ejaaz:
It is over 50% of internet traffic online.
Ejaaz:
Now, I can't say that this surprises me, as much.
Ejaaz:
I think the adoption and growth of people using AI LLMs and setting up their
Ejaaz:
own agents, vibe coding, different kinds of things that kind of like run autonomously
Ejaaz:
24-7 has increased exponentially at this point.
Ejaaz:
And I think this is only going to get more aggressive.
Ejaaz:
We were having a discussion prior to starting this recording,
Ejaaz:
and I was like pondering about a world where like, you know,
Ejaaz:
future kids or generations of kids are largely going to
Ejaaz:
interact with entities or beings online
Ejaaz:
that don't have a physical body or if they do it
Ejaaz:
might be robotic and we got into like a debate
Ejaaz:
around like what that might potentially mean like from an educational stance
Ejaaz:
right if you had a tutor that can kind of like personally tailor its lessons
Ejaaz:
to you for this particular child that might be end that might end up being useful
Ejaaz:
but for someone who is like engaging in entertainment or leisure with a type
Ejaaz:
of ai personality it gets a little blurry as to whether this is good or not.
Ejaaz:
And I guess some versions of this already do exist.
Ejaaz:
Like I watch a lot of YouTube, I kind of follow my favorite creators online.
Ejaaz:
I don't really know them. I
Ejaaz:
just know them through the screen and through the content that I consume.
Ejaaz:
So what if it means that it's AI generated completely?
Ejaaz:
Anyway, I think we're going to see a lot of this going forwards.
Ejaaz:
I think we're going to interact with a lot of businesses that are completely
Ejaaz:
autonomously run by agents, but we would never know because we interact with
Ejaaz:
them via text or they generate their own physical, sorry,
Ejaaz:
digital AI avatars, but just an interesting stat and one that has gone under the radar, I think.
Josh:
Yeah, well, there's been this concept of the dead internet theory for a very
Josh:
long time, which basically says that a lot of the internet has ceased to be
Josh:
human-centric and is now mostly composed of bot activity. And we've seen this before.
Josh:
We've seen this through mostly an election cycle.
Josh:
So you remember back in 2016, a lot of the propaganda that we were seeing on
Josh:
social media aggregator sites that were being published to the people,
Josh:
a lot of it was bot activity.
Josh:
So we've had at least the appearance of bot activity, particularly on curated
Josh:
algorithmic feeds for a very long time.
Josh:
Well, Cloudflare sharing is basically the idea that not only is it greater than
Josh:
50% of the content that you see, but genuinely now 57% as of recording this
Josh:
based on their charts is bot activity, provably bot activity.
Josh:
So we've officially crossed the chasm. It's no longer a dead internet theory.
Josh:
It is a dead internet and we are living in a bot driven world. the
Josh:
downstream implications of this are going to be interesting
Josh:
to think about to discuss i'm sure this is a very
Josh:
long conversation we're going to be having for many many years
Josh:
going forward but it's official the flipping has happened as
Josh:
confirmed by cloudflare one of the largest internet providers i
Josh:
think the largest internet provider in the world so it's
Josh:
funny too they were guiding they say in the post for the end of 2027 and then
Josh:
they bumped their timeline up to early 2027 and now we're in mid-2026 and that
Josh:
flip has happened so things are clearly accelerating faster than i think anyone
Josh:
expected and what that means for the internet as a whole for the people the
Josh:
human users of it is to be determined
Ejaaz:
Now, one thing that we've spoken a lot about on this show is the idea of scaling laws.
Ejaaz:
So that follows the rule where if you want to create a better AI model,
Ejaaz:
if you want to train a better AI model, if you want to inference a better AI model,
Ejaaz:
you need a lot more compute that comes in the form of GPUs, it comes in the
Ejaaz:
form of energy or electricity to power these GPUs and to train these different models.
Ejaaz:
Sarah Fryer, the CFO of OpenAI, is one of the few people probably in the industry
Ejaaz:
that knows to the bones how true this statement is or how true this scaling law actually is upheld.
Ejaaz:
And she had a very clear statement on her appearance on the All In conference
Ejaaz:
where she said, compute through 2027 is completely sold out.
Ejaaz:
And that is the clearest statement ever that the scaling laws are still kind of holding.
Ejaaz:
We're still in the early parts of 2026. We've heard similar trends for AI memory
Ejaaz:
being sold out through the end of 2027, but not really on compute.
Ejaaz:
And we also know that compute data centers specifically is the current focus
Ejaaz:
of every major AI CEO in terms of scaling. They're trying to like...
Ejaaz:
Boots on the ground and build these things, hire all the technical employees
Ejaaz:
that are required to set these things up.
Ejaaz:
It is the most aggressive expenditure. Google just raised $85 billion.
Ejaaz:
All these IPOs that we're talking about, Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX is all
Ejaaz:
to get more money to invest in AI CapEx. It's the number one focus.
Ejaaz:
It's Krishna Rao, CFO of Anthropic, number one focus.
Ejaaz:
So for Sarah Fry to also confirm this and say that she feels like,
Ejaaz:
compute is going to be short for a long period of time through 2030 and 2032,
Ejaaz:
is the clearest statement ever that OpenAI, Anthropic,
Ejaaz:
and the likes of other top major AI labs aren't going to go away when it comes to AI capex.
Ejaaz:
Now, one thing that this forces me to think is, or like challenge myself is,
Ejaaz:
it probably means then that we are not limited by capital.
Ejaaz:
We're not limited by kind of this AI bubble that is being inflated.
Ejaaz:
We're being limited by physical atoms itself.
Ejaaz:
Like we don't have enough, no matter how much money you have,
Ejaaz:
we don't have enough human capital to actually build these things.
Ejaaz:
And so we're constrained by that.
Ejaaz:
The regulations determining what land to build on it takes a lot of time.
Ejaaz:
And that backlog, in my opinion, is probably going to go on for a lot more.
Ejaaz:
So we're probably going to see a lot more investments of this trend.
Josh:
Sarah Fryer is incredible. I would encourage everyone to go and watch this. There's
Josh:
a strong case to me that she should be running the company because man she
Josh:
is incredibly well spoken and thoughtful and revealed a lot
Josh:
of things that weren't obviously apparent to me one of them talking about the
Josh:
time frames in which she deals on like i'm very much under the impression that
Josh:
these ai labs are thinking maybe 12 to 24 months out because further than that
Josh:
the supply chains are nearly impossible predict she was sharing that they think
Josh:
like up to six years out and she's placing guidance for 2032,
Josh:
which to me feels like this impossibly complicated task. So maybe she's crazy.
Josh:
Maybe there's some kind of merit to these ideas, but it was a really fascinating
Josh:
episode from the all-in guys just to understand
Josh:
Kind of where OPAIs see themselves and how they plan to navigate through this
Josh:
next five to six year period in the sense that, like you're saying,
Josh:
EJS, there's just not enough compute.
Josh:
So therefore, they're not worried about any slowing demand because the demand
Josh:
is going to continue to outpace that compute over the next six years.
Josh:
And so long as that demand outpaces the expense, these companies are going to become profitable.
Josh:
They're going to continue to go up. And I mean, obviously, she's guiding for
Josh:
this positive future, but it seems like they have the numbers to back it up.
Josh:
A second thing she mentioned that I found very, very exciting was she talked
Josh:
about my favorite, our favorite hardware device, the Johnny Ive design device.
Josh:
She actually referenced it by name.
Josh:
Johnny Ive was mentioned and I think it was earbud that was mentioned or earpiece.
Josh:
She said Johnny would kill her if she called it an earpiece,
Josh:
kind of acknowledging the fact that this is actually something that goes in your ears.
Josh:
The things that we have been seeing are somewhat real.
Josh:
Jason, one of the people who hosts the show, he referenced the puck,
Josh:
the earpiece. She did not
Josh:
Rebuke she kind of was just like yep it's it's happening
Josh:
it's amazing she's used it yes like
Josh:
people internally have been using it it seems like this incredible device
Josh:
and she confirmed that it will be announced before the
Josh:
end of this year so we have confirmation at least on timelines happening
Josh:
sometime i would assume around q4 where we'll get more information and
Josh:
that is the holy grail of hardware i cannot wait to get those to try it out
Josh:
just to see what it looks like so that was really exciting uh open ai also they
Josh:
launched sites which is a cool new feature back to like practical ai use cases
Josh:
that you can actually use um tell us about sites ejaz i know you've been looking
Josh:
through how these kind of work so
Ejaaz:
I'm a very visual learner and one thing that i interact a lot with when i'm
Ejaaz:
creating kind of like research and agendas with claude is like can you create
Ejaaz:
me like a visual artifact um this is basically open ai's attempt to kind of
Ejaaz:
like not only compete, but excel for that product.
Ejaaz:
So in their own words, with sites, Codex can turn your work,
Ejaaz:
ideas and plans into an interactive website or app your team can explore, use and share with a URL.
Ejaaz:
Now, why I enjoy this the most is typically when you create a visual artifact,
Ejaaz:
it's static, it's like an image, it kind of you can kind of tell that it's created
Ejaaz:
by an AI, because it uses the same font, it's structured in a very particular way.
Ejaaz:
And what I typically do with that is I take that I take it to code code and
Ejaaz:
I say, Hey, can you create an HTML version of this and enhance it in a B and C types of ways?
Ejaaz:
This is a one button, one plugin, one feature fix that OpenAI is doing via codex.
Ejaaz:
So it's, you know, they're creating this like super app and this is kind of
Ejaaz:
like a step towards that direction.
Ejaaz:
Well, when you ask for a visual artifact, it will now do this.
Ejaaz:
And what I like about this is it's easily shareable.
Ejaaz:
So like you can create your own webpage, you can share it with someone and it
Ejaaz:
introduces just a new medium and way to kind of read and learn about something.
Ejaaz:
Like I would love to scroll a custom website with graphics, infographics that
Ejaaz:
are kind of like responsive to the way that I move my cursor,
Ejaaz:
that kind of explains concepts very clearly to me, I would learn much faster
Ejaaz:
that way versus just reading a block of text or looking at a static image.
Ejaaz:
And I just think it's a really neat feature and I want to see more companies
Ejaaz:
rolling out features like this.
Josh:
Yeah, it seems like it's going out to business and enterprise price plans currently.
Josh:
So if you have one of those, congratulations, you can go and try it out.
Josh:
I assume all the other plans will be following shortly after. I'm excited for this.
Josh:
So many people want to have their own websites. They've dreamed of making websites.
Josh:
They've paid tens to hundreds of thousands of dollars to have other people build websites.
Josh:
And now it's a matter of clicking a button and getting something that looks
Josh:
really lovely and that is functional and that accomplishes all of your goals.
Josh:
So I think in terms of people, just the average person, this is such a powerful
Josh:
tool and use case to empower them to build these websites. So that's great.
Josh:
We have two more topics quickly that we could probably breeze through.
Josh:
The first is Grok launching with Composer 2.5.
Josh:
I'm just reading the headline here, making it competitive product to Cloud Code.
Josh:
When I think of Cloud Code, I think of, oh my gosh, this model is unbelievable.
Josh:
People are actually doing real work.
Josh:
Awesome. When I think of Grok, I think of, oh yeah, that's right.
Josh:
That's the thing I used like six months ago and haven't touched since.
Josh:
So what's changed over those six months?
Ejaaz:
Yeah. So it's this one layer that sits on top of the model called the agent harness.
Ejaaz:
Now, a few weeks ago, we covered XAI or SpaceX AI forming a large partnership
Ejaaz:
with this company called Cursor.
Ejaaz:
Cursor doesn't actually create their own AI model, but they have specialized
Ejaaz:
remote known as the agent harness, which basically sits on top of any frontier
Ejaaz:
AI model and tells it, you know, kind of how to work, where to direct prompts.
Ejaaz:
It kind of like fine tunes it in a very specific way that actually includes
Ejaaz:
a lot of information that is very valuable if you're able to own it as a company.
Ejaaz:
Cursor has been able to do that.
Ejaaz:
Now, in this partnership, Elon has basically been able to acquire the right
Ejaaz:
to buy Cursor within 30 days of their IPO.
Ejaaz:
And as part of this agreement, that means he can take Cursor's very valuable
Ejaaz:
moat, their harness, slap it on Grok 4.3, which is the latest model that he's
Ejaaz:
training right now that is, I believe, publicly available now as of this week.
Ejaaz:
And hey, presto, you have a frontier coding model.
Ejaaz:
That's how powerful the harness layer is over the model. It's not just how good
Ejaaz:
your model is, it's how good your harness is as well.
Ejaaz:
Like Dario and Sam have both confirmed this.
Ejaaz:
And actually, if you slap Curse's harness right now on top of Claude Opus 4.8
Ejaaz:
or GPT 5.5 high, you end up having a better coding model than those models stand on their own.
Ejaaz:
So Elon has been able to buy his way to the frontier top.
Ejaaz:
Composer 2.5 on its own, which is Cursor's own model that they wrapped a harness
Ejaaz:
over, is comparable and on par with 4.8 and 5.5.
Ejaaz:
So if you wrap it around Grok 4.3, I can imagine the same is the case.
Josh:
That's pretty amazing. They have made some unbelievable progress.
Josh:
And I think, again, it's a testament to never count Elon out.
Josh:
They are making incredible progress.
Josh:
And as we know, they have the training models. They have the hardware.
Josh:
They've currently given it out to Anthropic. Elon restated publicly this week that
Josh:
It is more of a shorter term deal is kind of the idea that they both have the
Josh:
option to opt out at an inhuman moment.
Josh:
And I think the terms were 90 days that he said or something like that.
Josh:
But it is cool to see another competitor in the race. It's great to see another
Josh:
harness that people are excited about. I mentioned there was two topics.
Josh:
The last one is actually Google's $80 billion race that we covered yesterday in the episode.
Josh:
So unless there's net new information, I think I'm going to tease it a little bit.
Josh:
And then if you want to see the full thing, we could go back to our episode from yesterday. Yeah.
Josh:
Yeah.
Ejaaz:
And the only quick.
Josh:
Oh, yeah, what do you have? Do you have any updates?
Ejaaz:
Well, yeah, the only quick update is they doubled down and raised it to $85 billion.
Ejaaz:
So there's an extra $5 billion that they raised at the last minute.
Ejaaz:
And I just wanted to spend like 10 seconds saying a lot of people's takes on
Ejaaz:
this raise is it's bearish that Google selling stock, they're not confident
Ejaaz:
in the future of CapEx. I actually think it's the opposite.
Ejaaz:
I think Google has $126 billion on their balance sheet, and they can use that
Ejaaz:
to raise higher debt in the future. So they're being strategic.
Ejaaz:
This is financial bookkeeping, creative financial bookkeeping to make sure that
Ejaaz:
they have a healthy balance sheet in the future for when they need to raise even more money.
Ejaaz:
So selling a bit of stocks now won't get punished if their stock value ends
Ejaaz:
up going up more for the fewer shares that they end up having.
Ejaaz:
So I think this is ultimately a good move. And I just want to go on record saying
Ejaaz:
that for when it eventually is proven.
Josh:
And there you have it so if you have made it to this part of
Josh:
the episode congrats you're totally caught up on the week you can go touch
Josh:
grass go enjoy your weekend you have been exposed and up
Josh:
to date on everything as for the next few weeks buckle up
Josh:
it's going to get exciting next week we have wwdc from
Josh:
apple early in the week which is huge this is make or break for them if they
Josh:
cannot deliver again apple we're gonna have to write them off to zero we need
Josh:
the following week is seeming like it's going to be spacex ipo week that's going
Josh:
to be huge biggest ipo in history and i'm sure along the way,
Josh:
there will be many other releases.
Josh:
So buckle up. Very excited. Ejaz, any final parting thoughts before we head into our weekend?
Ejaaz:
No, that's it. I'm curious if any of you were out at any of the major Microsoft
Ejaaz:
Build or Computex events.
Ejaaz:
Let us know if there are any different takes that we missed.
Ejaaz:
But aside from that, wherever you listen to us on YouTube, Spotify,
Ejaaz:
Apple Music, please subscribe if you haven't.
Ejaaz:
Please give us a rating if you haven't. Please leave us a comment if you haven't.
Ejaaz:
All of these are incredibly valuable in helping us grow our channel.
Ejaaz:
And we have grown massively.
Ejaaz:
I think it's like 12,000 people over the last month, which is just absolutely
Ejaaz:
insane. It's lovely to meet you guys.
Ejaaz:
And yeah, we will see you on the next one next week.
Josh:
Thanks so much.
Ejaaz:
See you guys.