Right on Rangers LIVE!

Milwaukee enters the weekend with baseball’s best record while sitting at the bottom of MLB in home-run production, and the Brewers’ style creates an uncomfortable mirror for Texas. Austin digs into the Rangers’ drop from a 46% extra-base-taken rate in 2025 to 34% this year, why Milwaukee has more than twice as many steals, and what happened to the aggressive baserunning Texas talked about all spring. He also gets into another favorable rotation break with Jacob Misiorowski missing the series, the Ohtani/Skenes/Skubal pattern, Cody Bradford and the weekend pitching matchups, and why two of three still has to be the target in Milwaukee.

Chapters / Timestamps

  • (00:00) - Milwaukee Is the Margin Test
  • (02:22) - Brewers Challenge the Power-Only Argument
  • (06:00) - Where Did Texas’ Baserunning Aggression Go?
  • (10:28) - Rangers Keep Missing Elite Aces
  • (13:04) - What Counts as a Good Weekend?
  • (20:43) - Winning the Margins and the Bigger Rangers Picture

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Milwaukee might actually be the worst possible kind

of opponent for this version of the Rangers

to face.

And it's not because the Brewers bludgeon you

with homers, by the way.

Actually, quite the opposite.

It's because they keep finding ways to take

the extra 90 feet.

Sound familiar?

This weekend is a margins test.

And this is Right on Rangers.

And we thank you for choosing Right on

Rangers for all of your Texas Rangers content.

Look, a little off-day pod.

I know most of you guys are gonna

be listening to this on Friday morning or

Friday afternoon.

But at the end of the Chicago series,

we got into the Brewers series just a

bit.

We talked about the pitching matchups mainly.

If you're curious, it's going to end up

being Bradford, Rocker, Quantrill.

I think Quantrill is actually two, Rocker three.

And we'll get into the Brewers starting pitchers

a little bit later into the show as

well.

But really wanted to get into what Texas

is up against this weekend.

Some of us may follow a lot of

teams around Major League Baseball.

Admittedly, I'm not one of them.

I pretty much am Texas, AL West, some

American League opponents, National League teams here and

there.

But I don't have time to be a

baseball savant of every single team.

And so it's been interesting even for me

to do some of the research, previewing this

series, learning more about Milwaukee and how they

have accrued an 83-51 record this year.

32 games over 500.

What is that like?

Feel like the Rangers have been below flirting

with at or slightly above 500 all season

long.

But look, here's kind of weird thing about

Milwaukee, which actually was a joy for me

to hear for a reason that will become

very obvious shortly.

Every Major League Baseball team coming into Wednesday,

coming into today or yesterday had more homers

than Milwaukee.

That's right.

No other team has hit fewer home runs

this season than the Milwaukee Brewers.

But here's the wild part.

Only four teams have scored more runs than

them.

Look, I feel like the Alejandro Osuna debate

might be pretty relevant in this discussion because

I was told all season long that if

you can't slug, you can't win.

I feel like the Brewers are doing a

number on that argument.

You don't have to hit the ball out

of the ballpark to be a winning baseball

team.

Don't get me wrong.

The Brewers do a lot right.

You look at their advanced stats, they're hitting

the ball hard.

They walk a lot.

They put a lot of pressure on pitchers.

There's a lot of ways that you can

win a baseball game, and it doesn't always

have to involve a ball being 10 rows

deep in the bleachers.

The weird part about this immediately raises the

question, how are they producing this much offense

without living on the homer?

And look, this isn't just going to be

a Brewers preview.

I actually think that their style gives us

a really interesting mirror for Texas, and that's

how we're going to tie all this together.

Milwaukee's record no doubt makes this series difficult

from the outside looking in, but the style

of play I think is what is really

going to be the most revealing thing.

Milwaukee is extremely selective up at the dish,

as I was saying.

Historically low swing rate, and they have one

of the best walk rates, as I was

saying just a few moments ago.

They also use the entire field different than

pretty much everybody else.

They let the ball travel.

They have an opposite field attack.

It is pretty crazy to see how this

team, in an age of a lot, a

ton of pull, this team loves pushing the

ball the other direction.

Once runners reach, that is when the pressure

starts.

131 steals, 41 extra base taken rate.

We talked about that earlier in the opener.

33% of base runner scoring.

I don't even want to know what the

Rangers percentage is in that department.

Let's be real here.

This isn't really traditional small ball when

we're talking about the Brewers.

Hit the ball hard.

The offense is patience plus contact.

They've got speed.

They add in some pressure, and you've got

a pretty good formula there.

I'd love to see the Rangers offense take

on more of this approach.

It's going to take some movement in the

off season, and that is for another show.

Right now, the Rangers, I think after 134

games you're seeing, you might not have the

personnel to really accomplish, for example, what the

Brewers are accomplishing.

The Brewers also have a knack this year

of surviving when things go awry, when the

plans change.

Wednesday, for example, Dustin May exited after one

pitch, one pitch, and Milwaukee still ended up

cruising to an 8-1 victory.

They don't need any specific type of game

to beat you.

I know I was talking a couple of

nights ago about how Texas, the most consistent

thing they do is win and lose games

in different ways.

The Brewers, I think that same thing can

apply minus the lose part.

This team consistently wins many different types of

ball games, and that's why they have the

most wins and the best record in Major

League Baseball.

So let's get back to Texas here.

Do a little diagnostic.

Where did the aggression go?

46% extra base taken rate in 2025

under Bochy.

That drops to 34%.

Last year they had 134 steals.

This year they are at 63 steals through

134 games.

Isn't that wild?

134 steals last year for Texas.

Only 63 and you've got 28 games left

in 2025.

One of the big things that Rangers fans

got sold on with Skip was the ability

that he had did it with the Marlins

in 2023 to squeeze as much as possible

out of the roster.

Get as much as you possibly can out

of guys that maybe are not super well

known around the league, maybe would be considered,

you know, replacement level type players.

Yeah, get the most out of them, get

the most out of the team, win type

ball games and the rest is history.

Skip did that quite a bit in Miami.

It is weird though for how much we

talked about Skip's philosophy and how he would

bring a different approach.

You're kind of sitting here in 2026 thinking

to yourself, kind of missed the approach we

had with Bochy.

And I know there were some people that

were ready for Bruce Bochy to go.

I said, keep Bochy as long as he

wants to be in Arlington.

And I think it became obvious there at

the end that Bochy wanted to move forward

and God bless him.

He brought the Rangers their first world series

championship.

I surely ain't mad at him, but I

think a lot of the people that were

clamoring for a change when you're looking at

this offense, you're looking at some of these

stats and I'm seeing some of these for

the first time and I'm kind of saying

to myself, really?

The big sell for Skip was we were

going to do all these things better.

We were going to take extra bases more.

We were going to be moving on the

base paths more.

We were going to be manufacturing runs at

a better clip.

Look, both teams going back to the Milwaukee

series in the comparison here, Milwaukee has 131

steals.

Again, over double what Texas has.

I mean, Texas, to be fair, has not

been caught at any kind of alarming rate.

Both the Brewers and the Rangers have about

a 75% success rate in terms of

steals.

So the Rangers are actually pretty good with

that percentage.

So why not steal more?

The question isn't like, why is Texas getting

thrown out so much?

They really aren't.

Why are the opportunities and attempts so different?

That's the true question.

It's hard to claim one thing, one cause

from the stats, but Milwaukee, I think shows

what intelligent base running pressure looks like when

it becomes part of a team identity.

And so I'd like to see in this

series and the rest of the way, I

think it is a key to the Rangers

turning things around here and getting on a

consistent run.

Can we get a little bit more aggressive

on the base paths?

Can we get Evan Carter in motion more?

Evan Carter has attempted 16 steals this year.

And Evan was talking about 30 steals coming

into this year.

He's attempted 16.

Blame the bad average, blame the lack of

offense.

He's been on base a number of times.

I'm not sure what the number is.

I think I actually looked it up the

other night.

This is like a week and a half,

two weeks ago.

Like he's hit a number of singles.

He walks all the time.

He's had opportunities at first base.

It is odd why Texas isn't getting in

motion a little bit more.

They've got some fast players.

Ezequiel Duran is fast.

Wyatt Langford's got speed.

Evan Carter's got speed.

They've got speed on this team.

I'd love for Texas down the stretch here

to take a page out of the Brewer's

book.

Get moving on the base paths, man.

Put pressure on that defense.

And then maybe, yeah, get that spark to

go on a little run here as September

approaches and as October approaches.

Now, as I was looking at the pitching

matchups, I think the first thing you notice

is you do not have to face the

Miz in this series.

Misiorowski pitched yesterday.

So Texas gets to avoid the 13 and

five record, the 168 ERA and the 216

Ks.

I actually saw a couple of people joking

like, and how many people would the Miz

strike out against the Rangers?

And I don't want to know.

The Miz might be flirting with that Carrie

Wood 20 strikeout game or whatever it was,

20 or 21.

Miz might be flirting with that if he

goes up against this Rangers team.

And I know maybe that sounds a little

respectful, but I think in your heart of

hearts, you know that there's some truth to

what I just said.

This does feel like it kind of keeps

happening, though.

I don't know if you felt the same,

but I remember when Ohtani was still pitching

and he was dominating, right?

Ohtani was very good pitching at the beginning

of the year.

The Rangers missed out on Shohei Ohtani when

they went to L.A. They missed out

on Paul Skenes in May when the Pirates

came to town.

They missed out on Skubal twice, right, in

both the series that the Rangers faced the

Tigers.

They did not have to pitch or they

did not have to bat against, you know,

Tarik Skubal, one of the best arms in

the game.

And now the Miz as well avoids the

Rangers.

Maybe it should be the other way around.

Anyways, they've caught some genuinely favorable rotation breaks

against some elite arms this season.

Unfortunately, I don't know that they've taken the

best advantage of those scenarios.

You know, they went one and two against

the Dodgers.

They went two and one against Pittsburgh.

Respectable.

They won that series, but, you know, they

lost the series against Detroit.

It's been up and down.

They have not always taken advantage of missing

the elite starting pitching.

Texas just has to start cashing.

We talked about this pretty much.

I feel like we talk about this every

day.

They've got to start cashing opportunities, whether it's,

you know, the 18 base runners and eight

walks they got from the starting pitcher for

the White Sox a couple of nights ago.

Missing Misiorowski is not going to instantly make

this series easy by any means.

It definitely removes a massive obstacle, but the

Rangers have to take advantage of it ultimately.

I think the biggest thing I want to

come back to is this weekend and really

contextualizing it properly, really offering up the best

perspective here.

So what counts as a good weekend?

First of all, let's talk Houston.

Houston enters Friday 67 and 67.

They won last night against the Yankees.

They are now a game clear of the

Rangers, 28 to play, and with the tiebreaker

in hand, you can essentially say, you know,

the Rangers trail by two games.

Texas cannot just tie and win the division,

right?

They would lose the division on a tiebreaker,

and you don't know what the wild card

is going to be doing.

A ton of teams that are vying for

the wild card spot.

But nevertheless, a two game deficit, if you

will, with 28 games to play, that is

nothing insurmountable.

It really isn't.

I think losing two of three in Milwaukee

is understandable.

I don't want to set the bar low

for this team, but I don't think anyone

is going to be shocked, outraged, surprised if

this team drops two of three in Milwaukee.

And at that point, you kind of have

to do the scoreboard watching thing.

You know, if the Astros sweep their series

this weekend and then you drop two of

three or three of three, yeah, that changes

things.

That is the game that Texas has played

for the last month, right?

They've had some brutal stretches, but fortunately they've

caught other teams in the division at similar

times, losing games, and that's how the Rangers

have been able to hang around.

I just think it's important to point out,

like, understandable and useful aren't necessarily the same

thing here.

I think the target should be two out

of three, but I do think that the

Rangers are going to have an uphill battle

against a team like Milwaukee.

And when you look at the pitching matchups,

there are some question marks.

Friday, you have Bradford versus Henderson, and let's

talk a little bit about Cody Bradford.

Cody is a great success story.

He's been an incredible comeback story this year,

and his numbers so far look good.

Cody is sitting just north of a three

ERA, I believe at this point, 305, 0

-2 with 13 strikeouts, 0-2 record, because

of course, the Rangers in 2026.

Am I right?

Okay.

But Cody, look, has thrown the ball well.

I do think, and I know this is

going to sound like knocking him down a

couple of pegs, but I do think he

considered the opponents that he's faced.

Giants.

You have also the Angels twice and the

A's once.

He has not faced a good team.

He's not even faced really a mediocre team.

He's pretty much faced nothing but bad teams

at this point.

And so, I do think this is Cody

Bradford's first real test, and I'm curious to

see how he does.

It is going to be a tough ask

for Cody to give you some kind of

real elite performance against a lineup like this

that puts the ball in play a lot.

And Cody, I mean, look, he's not a

guy that gets crazy swing and miss, but

I wouldn't say it's at any kind of

crazy clip.

Cody is going to be challenged by this

lineup.

This, I think, is the real litmus test

for him.

If he comes out and shoves against the

Brewers, best team in baseball record-wise, really

good team at home as well, that's going

to give you a ton of confidence going

the rest of the way in Cody Bradford

and what he can bring to the table

and what he might be able to bring

for you in October.

Saturday, Cal Q going against Drohan.

Hopefully, I'm not butchering that name, but Quantrill

has been the model of consistency for Texas.

I think you really circle that Saturday game

as an opportunity for the Rangers.

You've got the pitching matchup, you've got the

pitching advantage there, and you've got a guy

that has been very consistent.

You're talking five or six innings, one to

zero, zero to one earned runs every time

out.

This has been a guy that has well

overperformed what the Rangers thought that he would

be.

Looking at the matchup with Drohan on the

other side, you've got a lefty and he

is 384 with the ERA this year, 104

strikeouts and 105 innings pitched.

Texas is going to have some games this

weekend without Joc Pederson.

I think that's something that caught my eye

as well.

On Saturday, you're facing a lefty and then

I believe you're facing a lefty on Sunday

too, if I'm not mistaken.

Sunday, let's see, you are throwing against, it's

to be determined, but I thought I had

read that they might end up throwing a

lefty on Sunday too.

Teams would be wise to try and eliminate

Joc Pederson from the lineup.

The Rangers, I think a little unfortunately, have

been very outward showing their cards on how

they plan to employ Joc Pederson.

I don't know if it's a massive secret,

he's not super comfortable against lefties.

You have the elimination of Joc when you

throw a lefty starter, Evan Carter gets taken

out of the lineup.

Now, maybe that's not the biggest loss.

Evan has not had a great 2026.

The defense has definitely taken a little bit

of a hit, but you know, Zeke Duran,

I think has been very positive out in

the outfield.

I think he has been serviceable for sure.

Maybe that's not the loss that you think

it is or that you thought it was

maybe even two or three weeks ago, but

I still say Texas, they've got to figure

out a way to continue to be more

and more dangerous against lefties.

You've got Joc Pederson out, getting Josh Jung

back whenever that may be is going to

be huge, but at this point, if Milwaukee

can eliminate Joc Pederson at the top of

the order, I do feel like that is

always going to be advantage on their team.

Now, yes, Brandon Nimmo hits lefties well, Jake

Burger is hitting lefties really, really well right

now, but Joc Pederson is a big loss.

He take a bat of that level of

that caliber out of the lineup and it

is going to affect the offense.

And so I do think the pitching matchups

for the brewers, especially what they do on

Sunday, going to be interesting to watch rocker

going on Sunday.

I never really know what to feel going

into a Kumar rocker start.

I used to feel bad on the road,

good at home, but he kind of flipped

that on its head this year.

I just don't feel like you ever know

what you're getting out of a Kumar rocker

start.

I really don't.

Your guess is as good as mine.

Honestly, Kumar rocker has had some good games

where he's really missed a lot of bats

and really kept a lot of good hitters

in check.

And then he just has games where you're

not seeing the command he's getting hit around

a little bit.

That was happening in the game against Chicago.

Fortunately, Brandon Nimmo made an outstanding play and

Rocker was able to settle in the fourth

inning, fifth inning and into the sixth inning

as well.

Not sure what you're going to get from

rock.

I'd love to see the Rangers do their

damage early in this series.

So maybe Sunday you're up two games to

none and you're playing with some house money.

I am clearly going very glass-half-full tonight

very much.

So I'm going to be watching the margins.

We talked about margins at the beginning of

the show a lot, you know, extra bases,

the running game, right?

Cheap outs, converting traffic.

I am going to be looking to see

if Texas can create the same kind of

pressure that Milwaukee likes to create.

I think Texas has to match the energy

in that regard, but at the end of

the day, and I said this at the

end of my last podcast, you've got to

value the outcome over the process, right?

Wins are going to trump any diagnostic we

can do.

Of course, I think, and I stand behind

some of the various points that I've made

about how this offense might be able to

become even an average offense, right?

Let's get emotion a little bit more.

Let's put more pressure on defenses.

It's easier said than done, but I do

believe if Texas gets outplayed around the margins

this weekend in this series and somehow they

can win a couple of games, you take

those two games and you run.

It'll be a bonus if Texas actually is

controlling the margins and has this resounding series,

which I mean, I think a lot of

people might be surprised at, but then when

you really consider what this team has been

like in 2026, did you really be surprised

if Texas goes in and does a good

job against Milwaukee, figures out a way to

get a couple of wins?

This kind of feels like what they've done

all year long, if I'm being totally, totally

honest.

So look, as we wrap up the show,

a little bit shorter on and off day,

right?

Texas doesn't have to become Milwaukee this weekend.

I don't think that that is possible with

the snap of the fingers, right?

That's roster construction.

That's development.

There's a lot to that.

You can't just randomly decide we're going to

be just like the Brewers, have the same

success.

Wish it was that easy.

I really do.

Really do.

But to beat Milwaukee, we're going to need

a more complete version of Texas than what

we've been getting.

I think two out of three is your

target.

That is where you need to be setting

your sights.

If the Rangers are to drop this series,

try not falling.

If the Astros sweep and you get swept,

that's not good.

But I'm not putting all of my eggs

into the have to win the Brewers series

basket.

I just don't see it that way.

At this point, you're scoreboard watching.

If the Rangers drop some games and they

manage to stick right around where they're at

because Houston and Seattle and maybe some of

the other teams in the wildcard race are

not able to take advantage.

So be it.

I just am not a fan any longer

of really having the over-the-top reactions

on a game-by-game basis.

In terms of the greater season picture, I

know a bunch of y'all were probably,

wait, what?

Dude, you overreact all the time.

Look, in the moment, watching these games, you're

right, I do.

And I would submit, if you're a true

diehard fan that bleeds Ranger red, white, and

blue, it's hard not to get over-emotional

during some of these games.

What I've really tried not to do is

come on every single live show, every pod,

and say things like, season over.

They're done.

They can't do it.

I've really tried to stay away from that.

I have said, I really question, and I

don't believe as currently constructed, this is a

World Series winning team.

I hope that they proved me wrong.

I think they needed to go get help

at the deadline.

They didn't.

They stood pat.

They didn't sell anybody.

I don't think that that was awesome.

Maybe there's room for them to still improve

in other ways here and there, but I

think that the Rangers as currently constructed can

get in the playoffs, maybe make a little

bit of noise, but I would really be

surprised if they found a way to hoist

that trophy again at the end of the

2026 season.

And that's going to be tough.

Roster construction is where you get to be

more like Milwaukee, and that happens in the

offseason.

That happens in spring training.

That happens with development, the minor leagues, and

the players that you draft.

It is a conscious decision, and I'd like

to see Texas next year, I've talked about

this, get a little bit more athletic.

Get a little bit better at some of

the components of the game that aren't necessarily

given as much airtime as others.

We shall see how Texas fares.

We will be back doing our live shows

this weekend.

I know we've gone more to a podcast

format, and it's just kind of worked out

better that way.

Had a pretty busy week this week.

I know I talked to you guys a

little bit about that.

We'll definitely finish strong with some of the

live shows, but here and there we'll mix

in a podcast as well.

It's kind of been a fresh thing for

me.

I've really, really enjoyed it, so I'm going

to continue to do this when maybe I'm

not able to get on a live because

of work or if there's an off day

or something of that nature.

So that's the plan.

We're sticking to it.

So tomorrow, eighth or ninth inning, I am

predicting.

I think that will probably be when we

try to hop on the live.

Hopefully we're talking about the Rangers ahead, trying

to win their first game of the series.

That would be phenomenal.

I just want to say a special thank

you as well to everyone that has taken

the time to follow the podcast on whatever

podcast app you prefer, whether it's Spotify, Apple

Music, iHeartRadio.

It has meant a lot to me.

I don't take any of your support of

the show for granted.

By the way, we do have a couple

of other things that I got started really

last year as a way for people to

support the show in extra ways.

Look, if you love the content, if you've

enjoyed some of the different things that I've

been putting out over the course of this

Ranger season, I want to show your support

in even a little bit of a greater

way.

We do have a $2.99 per month

subscription.

It gets you into our exclusive Right on

Rangers Discord, where we talk Rangers, baseball, other

Texas sports pretty much around the clock.

It's awesome.

It's a great group, a great community of

people, and it's really the one thing that

I monetized on the show.

So if that's something you're interested in, send

me a direct message, please, or you can

email me at Austin at RightOnRangers.com.

Austin at RightOnRangers.com.

And I can get you in to the

Discord.

Just have to sign up for a monthly

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And if you need help with that, please

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Not needed, not obviously said with any pressure,

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of that community and supporting the show in

a little bit of an additional way, thanks

for considering it.

And if it's not for you, no hard

feelings.

Keep doing what you're doing to support the

show.

You guys are the reason this continues to

get bigger and bigger, and I so much

appreciate that.

All right, y'all.

We'll see you tomorrow or later tonight, I

guess might be a better way to put

it.

Hopefully, we can get off to a good

start in this Brewers series and win our

first road series in seven tries.

This is try number seven.

Rangers have lost six road series in a

row.

Seventh time is a charm, as they say.

Maybe.

All right.

I am taking off for the night.

It is past midnight here, and I got

to go get some sleep.

Hope you guys have a great Friday.

If I don't see you, hopefully maybe sometime

this weekend or next week.

Just know our podcasts are always on all

major apps and also always on YouTube and

Facebook.

Posted video after the fact, so you can

always catch us on the replay.

And as I always say to end every

show, God bless, and go Rangers.