Geopolitical Report Daily

Join us for the December 25, 2024 Christmas Day edition of the Geopolitical Report Daily. We have 50 geopolitical events to cover from Tuesday, including Xi making another high profile change in the military and rebel groups consolidating in Syria.

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Cedric: Merry Christmas
and Happy Holidays.

Welcome to the Geopolitical Report
Daily for December 25, 2024.

Complete reports with casualty
information, interactive web maps, and

our IntelHub dashboard are available with
a Geopolitical Report Pro subscription.

There was no slowdown in events
on Tuesday, and we mapped 50

incidents, so let's get started.

Terrorism Events

"Afghanistan

Monday evening, a suspected
bomb blast targeted a Taliban

checkpoint in District 7 of Kabul.

There were no immediate
reports of casualties.

No group has claimed
responsibility for the incident."

"India

On Monday, National Investigation
Agency (NIA) operatives arrested a

key Khalistani terrorist, Jatinder
Singh, during an operation in Mumbai.

Singh was providing weapons to on-ground
operatives of Landa and Batala in Punjab."

"Iran

Last Friday, December 20, a landmine
blast in the Kalgan border area of

Sistan and Baluchistan Province in
eastern Iran killed two Afghan refugees

as they attempted to cross into Iran.

Iranian border forces allegedly
planted the landmine."

"Israel

The IDF successfully intercepted a
missile launched from Yemen before

it entered Israel's airspace.

Red alert sirens were triggered
in central Israel as a precaution.

No injuries or damage have been reported."

"Italy

On Tuesday, Italian police in Bologna
arrested four suspects, including

their leader, a Pakistani woman,
accused of forming a terrorist

association with Al-Qaeda and ISIS.

A fifth individual escaped before the
arrest of the other four individuals."

"Niger

On Saturday, the Islam and Muslims Support
Group, JNIM-AQMI, claimed responsibility

for bomb attacks on Niger military
forces vehicles in three different

locations in the Tillaberi Region.

The blast destroyed two military
vehicles and six motorcycles."

"Nigeria

On Sunday, gunmen ambushed an
18-passenger bus at Emure Ile,

near Emure-Owo, and abducted
passengers, including the bus driver.

The kidnappers abandoned several children
on the bus, and two passengers managed

to escape while being led into the bush
before police arrived after being alerted.

The kidnapper demanded a ransom of N30
million for the release of each hostage."

"Nigeria

Around midnight on Sunday, suspected
terrorists attacked the hamlet of Ri Do

in the Riyom Local Government Area (LGA),
killing 14 people and injuring another."

"Pakistan

On Monday evening, two unknown
assailants on motorcycles threw a

hand grenade into a barber shop in the
Sariab area of Balochistan, wounding

two people, including the barber."

"Syria

Two people were killed, and two others
were injured in a car bomb attack

in central Manbij, northern Syria.

The attack was carried out by
the PKK terrorist group's Syrian

branch, YPG, which has been trying
to expand its territory since

the fall of the Assad regime."

Military Conflict Events

"Gaza Strip

The IDF has completed a ""limited
operation"" against Hamas

at the Indonesian Hospital
in the northern Gaza Strip.

The operation resulted in the
deaths of five gunmen and the

detention of several operatives.

The IDF claims that the hospital was
used as a launching point for attacks

against troops and that explosive devices
were planted in the surrounding area.

The operation was conducted with
the aim of mitigating harm to

civilians and allowing the hospital
to continue its activities.

The Gaza health ministry reported that
Israeli troops forced the evacuation

of the hospital, relocating patients
to another facility in Gaza City."

"Gaza Strip

A Hamas rocket launcher near a UN
building in Gaza City's Shati camp

was targeted by Israeli fighter jets.

The IDF called for civilians
to evacuate before the strike.

IDF footage shows a rocket leaving
the site after the attack."

"Iraq

On Tuesday, Turkey's National Defense
Ministry announced that its forces

conducted airstrikes on PKK/YPG positions
in the Kurdish region of northern

Iraq, neutralizing two terrorists.

Turkish authorities use the
term ""neutralize"" to imply the

terrorists in question surrendered
or were killed or captured."

"Myanmar

On Monday, junta airstrikes targeted
Thandwe and a nearby village, killing

a man and wounding six others."

"Myanmar

This week, the People's Defence
Forces (PDF) advised civilians in the

Mandalay Region to minimize travel on
certain sections of the Yangon-Mandalay

highway, anticipating imminent
clashes with the Myanmar military.

The Natogyi Township PDF members—part
of the larger Myingyan District

PDF—verbally issued these warnings
while stopping and inspecting

vehicles at a resistance-controlled
checkpoint at milepost 318.

They urged commuters and visitors to
limit the use of the route, especially

at night, and to remain in nearby safe
shelters if fighting were to break out."

"Somalia

According to Somalia's Ministry of
Foreign Affairs and International

Cooperation, Ethiopian forces reportedly
launched attacks on Somali troop

positions in Doolow, Gedo Region.

The ministry claimed the attacks
resulted in an unspecified

number of deaths and injuries.

After nearly a year of heightened
tensions between Ethiopia and

Somalia, which triggered new regional
alliances, the two countries signed

the Ankara Declaration on December 11.

In this agreement, they pledged to
move past their longstanding hostility.

However, the declaration failed to take
hold, and the two nations have reverted

to a tense relationship once more."

"Sudan

On Monday, Sudanese airstrikes on the
Kutum weekly market killed at least

11 civilians and wounded 10 others."

"Sudan

On Monday, Sundanese forces made further
advancements in the Khartoum Bahri

against Rapid Support Forces (RSF).

Sudanese troops reached the northeastern
edge of Sambat, advancing from

Halfaya north of Khartoum Bahri."

"Syria

Fierce clashes broke out between
the SDF and Turkish-backed factions

in Deir Hafer and southern Aleppo.

The SDF gained control of Babiri
station, which supplies water to Aleppo

and advanced towards Al-Khafsah town.

The clashes were accompanied by artillery
and rocket fire near Teshreen Dam."

"Syria

The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic
Forces (SDF) announced on Tuesday that

they had launched a counter-offensive
against the Ankara-backed Syrian

National Army (SNA) to reclaim areas
near Syria's northern border with Turkey.

According to SDF spokesperson Farhad
Shami, on Monday, the SDF's forces were

able to push back the Turkish-backed
rebels from areas surrounding the

Tishrin Dam on the Euphrates River, a
critical source of hydroelectric power.

The SDF destroyed a tank
belonging to the rebel forces

southeast of the city of Manbij.

Additionally, the British-based war
monitor reported on Tuesday that following

overnight fighting, the Kurdish-led group
has regained control of four villages in

the areas near the strategic Tishrin Dam."

"Syria

On Tuesday, Turkey's National
Defense Ministry announced that

its forces conducted airstrikes
on PKK/YPG positions in northern

Syria, neutralizing two terrorists.

Turkish authorities use the
term ""neutralize"" to imply the

terrorists in question surrendered
or were killed or captured."

"Syria

On Monday, the United States Central
Command (CENTCOM) reported that

a targeted airstrike in Syria's
Deir Ezzor region had killed two

ISIS members and injured another.

According to CENTCOM's statement, the
militants were transporting a weapons

shipment when the strike occurred."

"Taiwan

Taiwan tracked eight Chinese military
aircraft and five naval vessels

around its country between 6 a.m.

on Monday and 6 a.m.

on Tuesday.

Six aircraft crossed the Taiwan
Strait median line in the nation’s

northern and southwestern Air
Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ)."

"Ukraine

In Kryvyi Rih, a Russian ballistic missile
struck a four-story apartment building.

Authorities are hopeful that survivors
may still be trapped under the rubble."

"Ukraine

Over the past day, Russian troops fired
20 times along the border of Chernihiv and

Sumy regions, resulting in 75 explosions.

The attacks targeted several
settlements in both regions using

various weapons, including mortars,
UAVs, MLRS, and cannon artillery.

No civilian casualties were reported,
but private houses were damaged."

"Ukraine

In Beryslav, Kherson region, two
civilians were injured when explosives

were dropped from a Russian drone.

One man, 41, suffered blast injuries,
a concussion, and a leg wound,

while a 48-year-old resident had
blast injuries, shrapnel wounds,

a broken leg, and a concussion.

They are currently receiving
medical care in the hospital."

"Ukraine

In the Khmelnytsky region, Russian
drones attacked and damaged a

house, car, and outbuilding.

The head of the Khmelnytsky Regional
Military Administration reported that air

defense forces destroyed two Russian UAVs.

The attack resulted in smashed windows,
damaged roofs, and other property.

Fortunately, there were
no injuries or deaths."

"Ukraine

Ukrainian forces claimed to have
killed or wounded 1,630 Russian

soldiers over the past day.

Over 140 pieces of military equipment
were destroyed in the fighting."

"Ukraine

In Krolivka, Sumy region, an
emergency response team was attacked

by a Russian kamikaze drone while
putting out a fire at a local farm.

The team heard the sound of an
incoming drone and retreated to a safer

distance, but the drone hit the area
near the site of the previous strike.

The fire was extinguished, but
animals at the farm were killed.

No casualties were reported.

Russian troops have carried out 20
attacks on border communities in Chernihiv

and Sumy regions in the past day."

"Ukraine

In the Mykolaiv region, a Russian
drone attacked the Kutsurubska

community, setting a car on fire.

Ochakiv firefighters extinguished
the fire caused by the Russian drone.

No one was injured, but the rescuers
had to move to a safe distance due

to repeated Russian UAV activity."

"Ukraine

As a result of a rocket attack on
Kryvyi Rih, 11 people were injured,

including a 16-year-old girl.

Three of the wounded are in
serious condition, and seven

people have been hospitalized.

The rescue operation is currently underway
following the explosion in a residential

building caused by a Russian missile."

"Ukraine

The Russian army attacked the Nikopol
district of the Dnipropetrovsk region

35 times, using artillery and drones.

Several communities were hit,
resulting in one person being

wounded and damage to buildings,
power lines, and other structures."

"West Bank

The Israel Defense Forces conducted
an anti-terror operation in Tulkarem,

killing at least one person engaged
in face-to-face battles with troops.

In Nablus, a terror suspect
was shot and neutralized while

trying to escape capture.

Additionally, 18 suspects were
arrested, and weapons were

confiscated across the West Bank."

"West Bank

The IDF conducted a drone strike
on Palestinian gunmen in the

Nur Shams Camp near Tulkarem.

The strike is part of an ongoing
IDF operation in the area.

No further details were provided."

Political Conflict Events

"China

China has appointed General
Chen Hui as the new political

commissar for its ground forces.

Chen's appointment is surprising
because he has no ground forces

experience and has only served in the
Aerospace Force for less than a year.

The departure of the previous commissar,
Qin Shutong, was not officially explained.

President Xi has been consolidating
his control over the army

through reorganization and
political work conferences."

"Israel

The Knesset has voted to extend the state
of emergency until December 16, 2025,

as recommended by the security cabinet.

Twenty-nine MKs voted in favor,
while seven voted against.

The state of emergency grants the
cabinet the power to issue regulations

superseding Knesset legislation."

"Syria

Syria's de facto leader, Ahmed
al-Sharaa, has agreed with former

rebel faction chiefs to dissolve all
groups and consolidate them under

the Defense Ministry, according to a
statement from the new administration.

The Syrian Prime Minister had previously
announced plans to restructure

the ministry using former rebel
factions and defected officers."

Civil Unrest Events

"Panama

Protesters in Panama burned an
image of Donald Trump in response

to his threat to demand control of
the country's interoceanic canal.

Demonstrators gathered outside the US
embassy, chanting against Trump while

police officers guarded the compound.

The canal was handed over to Panama
in 1999, and protesters emphasized

that it is Panamanian territory.

Trump criticized fees for US ships
passing through the canal and suggested

the possibility of reclaiming control.

However, Panama's president stated that
the status of the canal is non-negotiable.

"
"Syria

Early Tuesday, hundreds of
Christians demonstrated in the

Christian area of Damascus to
protest the burning of A Christmas

tree near Hama in central Syria."

Weapons Events

"India

On Monday, Indian forces recovered
and defused an IED near the

contentious Anglo-Kuki War Memorial
Gate in the Churachandpur district."

"India

Security forces seized a weapons cache
on Monday during a search operation in

Ngariyan hill ranges along the Maring
Sandangsengba in the Imphal East district.

The cache included a 7.62mm LMG
with a magazine, a single-barrel

gun, a 9mm pistol, two
grenades, and other cartridges."

"India

On Monday, security forces seized
a weapons cache during a search

operation in the village of
Teijang, Churachandupr district.

The cache included three country-made
rockets, a .303 rifle, four pistols,

six country-made bombs, 45 sticks of
low-grade explosives, and ammunition."

Accident Events

"Canada

A rock slide in the Fraser Canyan north
of Boston Bar Sunday evening resulted

in the derailment of 12 grain cars.

There were no injuries in the incident."

"India

The 19015 Dadar-Porbandar
Saurashtra Express train derailed

on Tuesday while departing from
the Kim station in Surat, Gujarat.

No injuries or damage to passengers
or railway employees were reported."

"Spain

On Monday, a Russian cargo ship
sank in the Mediterranean Sea

between Spain and Algeria after
an explosion in its engine room.

Two of the 24 crew members were
reported missing after the incident.

The Russian embassy in Spain was
investigating the cause of the explosion."

"Syria

A civilian and his son were injured
in a landmine explosion while riding

a motorbike in western Deir Ezzor.

In a separate incident, a young man died
in a landmine explosion in Khasham Town.

Both incidents occurred in
areas controlled by the SDF."

"Turkey

On Tuesday, an explosion at a
munitions plant located north

of Balikesir killed at least 12
employees and wounded four others.

The Turkish Interior Minister stated
the cause was not immediately known, but

authorities have ruled out sabotage."

"United States

An investigation is underway after a
Union Pacific train derailed in Carson.

Firefighters were dispatched to the scene.

Union Pacific officials stated that the
derailment damaged rail infrastructure,

and access to the ports of Los Angeles
and Long Beach is currently shut down.

No injuries or hazardous
material spills were reported."

Other Events

"Netherlands

A Dutch court has convicted five
people for participating in violence

against Israeli soccer fans.

The sentences range from six months
in prison to community service.

The attacks were condemned as
antisemitic, and Israelis had to

hide in their hotels and leave
the city under heavy protection."

"Russia

A US citizen, Eugene Spector, has
been sentenced to 15 years in jail

by a Russian court for espionage.

Spector, who was already serving a
3-1/2-year sentence for bribery, was

charged with espionage in August.

The details of the case
have not been made public.

Spector will serve a 13-year
sentence for spying, in addition

to his existing bribery sentence.

Before his arrest, Spector
was the chairman of a company

specializing in cancer-curing drugs."

Thanks for joining us for the December
25, 2024 Geopolitical Report Daily.

As a reminder, complete reports with
casualty information, interactive

web maps, and our IntelHub dashboard
are available with a Geopolitical

Report Pro subscription, which you
can try with a seven-day-free-trial

at www.geopolitical.report.

I hope you and your family have a
Merry Christmas, and don't forget to

tune in again tomorrow for the most
recent events from around the world.