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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to nail Gameweek thirty-three. Deadline is Saturday the eighteenth of April at ten in the morning, so let's get into it.
First up, the rapid-fire news bulletin. O'Reilly picked up an injury during Man City's three-nil win over Chelsea in Gameweek thirty-two — that's a major concern for City managers heading into a tricky fixture against Arsenal in Gameweek thirty-three. Keep a very close eye on his fitness status before deadline. Speaking of City, Pep Guardiola's side also have Burnley away in midweek in Gameweek thirty-three, so there's genuine double gameweek potential there. Elsewhere, there's talk of an Enzo ban latest — if that suspension comes through, it weakens Chelsea's midfield options heading into their double gameweek fixtures against Man Utd and Brighton. Konsa was benched in Gameweek thirty-two, which is a concern for Aston Villa owners, especially with Emery suggesting Martinez's injury situation is still being assessed. And finally, Thiago at Brentford is now firmly in the Golden Boot conversation with twenty-one goals this season — he grabbed another brace in Gameweek thirty-two. What a player.
Okay, let's get into transfers. Here are the top three players to bring in for Gameweek thirty-three.
Number one — Guéhi from Man City. Five point one million pounds. Thirty-three point four percent ownership. Guéhi was absolutely sensational in Gameweek thirty-two, scoring a goal, keeping a clean sheet, and picking up three bonus points for a total of fifteen points. Here's the thing — Man City have a double gameweek in Gameweek thirty-three, taking on Arsenal at home and then travelling to Burnley. The Burnley fixture is an incredible clean sheet opportunity, and Guéhi has eleven clean sheets this season. With seventeen point five expected points for Gameweek thirty-three, this is a no-brainer. Verdict: Essential. If you don't have him, get him in now.
Number two — Kroupi.Jr from Bournemouth. Four point six million pounds. Five point six percent ownership. Bournemouth beat Arsenal one-nil in Gameweek thirty-two, and Kroupi.Jr scored again — that's ten goals on the season at a budget four point six million pounds price. He's seeing massive transfer interest this week with nearly twenty-three thousand transfers in. Crucially, Bournemouth face Newcastle away in Gameweek thirty-three, which has a fixture difficulty of three, and then host Leeds in a midweek fixture. His expected points sit at eight point six for the next gameweek. At that price, the value is extraordinary. Verdict: Good. A premium budget option with real upside.
Number three — Thiago from Brentford. Seven point three million pounds. Thirty-four point two percent ownership. Twenty-one goals this season, two more in Gameweek thirty-two's two-two draw with Everton. He's been on fire and at seven point three million pounds he still represents excellent value in the forward line. Brentford host Fulham in Gameweek thirty-three — a tough-looking fixture on paper at difficulty three, but Thiago has shown he can haul against anyone. His form rating of seven point seven and seven point seven expected points back that up. Verdict: Good. If you don't have him, strongly consider him, especially with that Golden Boot momentum.
Now the top three transfers out for Gameweek thirty-three.
Number one — João Pedro from Chelsea. Seven point seven million pounds. Fifty point one percent ownership. Chelsea got hammered three-nil by Man City in Gameweek thirty-two, and João Pedro blanked again — just two points from eighty-one minutes. His form has completely fallen off a cliff, just two points this week. Yes, Chelsea have a double gameweek in Gameweek thirty-three against Man Utd and Brighton, but with Liam Rosenior's side looking so vulnerable defensively, opposition clean sheets feel more likely than Chelsea goals. Over twenty-two thousand transfers out this week already. Verdict: Sell. Reinvest elsewhere.
Number two — Rogers from Aston Villa. Seven point four million pounds. Twenty-two point six percent ownership. Rogers picked up just five points in Gameweek thirty-two and is seeing nearly thirty thousand transfers out this week. His form has dipped with a rating of just four point three, and there are injury concerns around the Villa squad with both Konsa benched and Martinez's situation unclear. Aston Villa face Sunderland at home in Gameweek thirty-three, and Sunderland have been in brilliant form — they beat Spurs one-nil and Newcastle two-one in recent weeks. Expected points of just four point three don't justify the seven point four million pound price tag right now. Verdict: Sell. Rotate the funds into Guéhi or Kroupi.Jr.
Number three — Gyökeres from Arsenal. Eight point eight million pounds. Eleven point eight percent ownership. Arsenal lost one-two to Bournemouth in Gameweek thirty-two and are being transferred out by nearly fourteen thousand managers. Gyökeres scored but Arsenal looked vulnerable defensively. Now they face Man City at home in Gameweek thirty-three — that is a brutal fixture. City are in terrific form and Mikel Arteta's side may struggle to create enough for the Swedish striker to haul. At eight point eight million pounds with a form rating of six point zero, you can find better options. Verdict: Sell. Or at minimum, don't captain.
Now for our differential picks — all under ten percent ownership.
First up, Mateta from Crystal Palace. Seven point five million pounds. Six point five percent ownership. He came off the bench in Gameweek thirty-two and still smashed in two goals for twelve points. Twelve points as a substitute — imagine if he starts. Crystal Palace face West Ham away on Monday the twentieth of April and West Ham just shipped four goals against Wolves. Mateta has ten goals this season and is in brilliant form with a six point five form rating. Seriously underowned at just six point five percent.
Second differential — Beto from Everton. Five point zero million pounds. Two point nine percent ownership. Scored again in Gameweek thirty-two — seven goals this season from just two point nine percent ownership. Everton host Liverpool in Gameweek thirty-three, which is a tough ask, but Beto's expected points of seven point eight show the algorithm believes in him. At five million, the budget appeal is massive. His form rating of eight point three is one of the best in the game right now.
Captaincy pick for Gameweek thirty-three — Thiago from Brentford. Twenty-one goals, two braces in recent weeks, hosting Fulham, and in the form of his life. The Golden Boot race is real and every gameweek feels like a potential haul for him. Our one key tip — if you're not tripling down on Man City assets for their double gameweek, at the very minimum get Guéhi in. Fifteen points in Gameweek thirty-two, seventeen point five expected points next week. He's the standout value play across the entire game right now.
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That's your Gameweek thirty-three prep done. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com and we'll see you tomorrow.