Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Welcome to Who Got The Points, your daily FPL fix. I'm Archer, and in the next seven minutes, you'll get everything you need to dominate Gameweek twenty-three. We're talking transfers, differentials, and captaincy calls. Let's get into it.
Quick news bulletin. First up, Morgan Rogers is frustrating Villa owners. Despite playing ninety minutes against Everton, he blanked again and saw over sixty thousand transfers out this week. The underlying numbers remain strong, but conversion has been wasteful. John McGinn's injury status is one to monitor for Villa's fixtures ahead. Second, Sunderland's home form is electric. They've now won at the Stadium of Light again, with Brobbey scoring and collecting three bonus points. The Black Cats face West Ham at home in Gameweek twenty-three, making their attackers interesting options. Third, goalkeeper news. There's a three point nine million pound keeper floating around if you need budget enabler options. Finally, Wolves are showing defensive improvement under Vitor Pereira. They kept another clean sheet against Newcastle, making their four point five million pound forward Mané an intriguing budget pick with a clean sheet and ninety minutes played.
Top three transfers in. First, João Pedro at seven point one million pounds. Over twenty-six percent ownership now. He scored and earned eight points against Brentford, playing seventy-three minutes before being subbed. That's his seventh goal of the season with three assists. Chelsea face Crystal Palace away on Sunday, and the Blues have been solid under Enzo Maresca. João Pedro is on penalties and central to everything Chelsea create. Verdict: good option if you don't have him, but maybe not essential with the ownership already high.
Second, Declan Rice at seven point four million pounds. Nearly thirty percent owned and surging in popularity with almost seventy thousand transfers in. He's banked one hundred and twenty-five points already, averaging six points per game. Four goals and seven assists show his attacking threat from midfield. Arsenal drew with Forest but have Manchester United at home in Gameweek twenty-three. Rice is on some set pieces and offers both attacking returns and clean sheet potential. The Gunners' fixture swing is coming. Verdict: essential for the next run. Get him in if funds allow.
Third, Jurrien Timber at six point three million pounds. Twenty-eight percent owned and ticking up. One hundred and nine points from twenty-one games with ten clean sheets, two goals, and four assists. He's playing as an inverted full-back, getting forward constantly. Sixty minutes or more in almost every match. Arsenal's defence is the best in the league, and Timber at this price with attacking potential is gold. Verdict: essential Arsenal defensive coverage. He's the pick of their backline for value.
Top three transfers out. First, Morgan Rogers at seven point seven million pounds. Thirty-two percent owned but hemorrhaging managers. Over sixty thousand shipped him out after another blank against Everton. He's got one hundred and three points, so it's not all bad, but recent form shows four point five per game. Seven goals and four assists are decent, but he's had chances and not taken them. Villa's fixtures include Newcastle away and then Bournemouth. The worry is he's not converting despite good positions. Verdict: hold if you have other fires to put out. Sell if you need funds elsewhere, but don't rush.
Second, Ollie Watkins at eight point eight million pounds. Expensive at this point with thirteen point six percent still holding. Eighty-three points from twenty-two games, averaging three point eight per match. That's not premium striker output at nearly nine million. He blanked against Everton, playing ninety minutes but offering little. Seven goals and two assists isn't cutting it for that price. Villa's attack runs through Rogers and other channels now. Verdict: sell. Too expensive for the returns. Downgrade to a budget striker and upgrade elsewhere.
Third, Bruno Guimarães at seven point two million pounds. Wait, hold on. Bruno actually has one hundred and twenty points and is averaging five point seven per game with eight goals and five assists. He kept a clean sheet against Wolves for three points. Nearly twenty-four percent owned with net transfers positive. I'm reversing this one. Verdict: keep. Newcastle have Aston Villa at home in Gameweek twenty-three. Bruno is their talisman. Don't sell.
Differential picks under ten percent ownership. First, Brobbey at five point five million pounds. Just point five percent owned. He scored against Crystal Palace, earning nine points with three bonus. Four goals and one assist in seventeen appearances for Sunderland. They're at home to West Ham in Gameweek twenty-three where the Black Cats have been exceptional. At five and a half million, he's a budget striker who could return.
Second, Calvert-Lewin at six million pounds. Moved to Leeds and now nearly fourteen percent owned, so just outside differential territory, but worth mentioning. Ninety-one points with nine goals and two assists. He played ninety minutes and kept a clean sheet against Fulham for two points. Leeds face Everton at Goodison in Gameweek twenty-three. Not the easiest fixture, but he's in form with five point seven expected points next.
Third, Nathan Barry from Everton at five point seven million pounds. Point six percent owned. Scored against Villa, earning eight points with two bonus. Four goals this season. Everton face Leeds on Monday night. Under the radar and could sneak a return against Daniel Farke's side.
Captaincy pick: Declan Rice against Manchester United at the Emirates. Arsenal at home are formidable, and Rice is involved in everything. Seven point five expected points for Gameweek twenty-three. If you're feeling brave, João Pedro against Palace is another shout.
One key tip for this week: don't panic sell players after one blank. Look at fixtures and underlying numbers, not just last week's score. Rogers might frustrate, but his data suggests returns are coming. Watkins is different because of price versus output.
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That's your lot. Gameweek twenty-three deadline is Saturday at eleven a.m. Plan your transfers wisely and back yourself. Subscribe at whogotthepoints dot com. We'll see you tomorrow.