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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to nail Gameweek 30. Transfers, differentials, and your captaincy pick — let's get into it.
First, the rapid-fire news. Alisson is a concern for Liverpool after picking up a knock, so keep a close eye on his fitness ahead of the Gameweek 30 deadline on Saturday the fourteenth of March at one thirty in the afternoon. Gordon is also in the injury conversation for Newcastle, which could affect their clash with Chelsea. And Spence is another doubt, worth monitoring if you're holding him. Meanwhile, Chelsea rested some of their big guns in the FA Cup, which is actually good news heading into Gameweek 30 — their key players should be fresh. And a big one for the season — the FA Cup semi-finals are set to clash with Gameweek 34, so a blank gameweek is coming. Plan your free transfers wisely over the next few weeks with that in mind.
Now let's talk transfers in. First up — Saka. Nine point eight million pounds, eight point one percent ownership, and being transferred in by over thirty-three thousand managers this gameweek. He scored in Gameweek 29 against Brighton, took the clean sheet bonus, and finished with nine points. He now has six goals and eight assists this season, with nine clean sheets. His expected points for Gameweek 30 sit at six point eight against Everton at home. Arsenal are one of the tightest defences around, conceding just sixteen times all season. With that fixture and his ability to contribute at both ends, this is an essential pick. Verdict: Essential.
Next in — Casemiro. Five point six million pounds, two point six percent ownership. He scored in Gameweek 29 against Newcastle and picked up a bonus point, banking eight points on the day. Six goals and four assists this season, with eight clean sheets. His expected points for Gameweek 30 are five point three, with Man Utd hosting Aston Villa at home. At under six million pounds he is exceptional value, and over twenty-four thousand managers are already making the move. Michael Carrick's side have quietly been decent defensively this season with twenty-two goals conceded. Verdict: Good.
Third transfer in — M.Salah. Fourteen million pounds, fourteen point four percent ownership. He scored in Gameweek 29 despite Liverpool losing to Wolves, picking up nine points with a goal and two bonus points. Five goals and six assists this season. Liverpool face Spurs at home in Gameweek 30, and his expected points are four point nine. Liverpool's home record is strong and Spurs have been dreadful — they just lost three-one to Crystal Palace at home. The ownership is high but he is the armband conversation we'll get to shortly. Verdict: Good.
Now transfers out. First — Mac Allister. Six point three million pounds, two point one percent ownership. He played ninety minutes as Liverpool lost to Wolves in Gameweek 29 and blanked with just two points. Two goals and two assists all season is underwhelming for this price. Thirteen thousand managers are moving him in this week, but the output simply does not justify his spot when better midfield options exist at similar prices. Verdict: Sell.
Second out — Iwobi. Six point four million pounds, two point two percent ownership. Fulham lost to West Ham in Gameweek 29 and Iwobi blanked again, picking up just two points. Four goals and three assists this season is decent but his fixtures are going tricky — Nott'm Forest away in Gameweek 30. His form of six point eight looks inflated and the underlying numbers do not scream haul incoming. Twenty-eight thousand managers are buying, which seems like a bold move. Verdict: Hold for now, but don't over-invest.
Third out — Donnarumma. Five point six million pounds, nine point six percent ownership. Man City drew two-two with Nott'm Forest in Gameweek 29 and Donnarumma picked up just one point. Eleven clean sheets this season is brilliant, but City face West Ham away in Gameweek 30 — a tricky fixture. Nearly fifteen thousand managers are selling. His expected points of four point seven do not inspire confidence this week specifically. If you have a cleaner option in goal, it might be worth the switch. Verdict: Hold if no better option, but understandable to sell.
Now the differentials — these are all under ten percent ownership. First — E.Le Fée from Sunderland. Five million pounds, one point four percent ownership. He kept a clean sheet in Gameweek 29 and picked up five points. Eight clean sheets and four goals this season is quietly brilliant for five million. Sunderland face Brighton at home in Gameweek 30, and Regis Le Bris's side have been solid defensively. He is criminally low-owned and offers a double-digit haul every time things click. One to watch.
Second differential — Souček at West Ham. Five point seven million pounds, just zero point three percent ownership. He kept a clean sheet in Gameweek 29 and registered three points. Four goals and two assists this season, and West Ham host Man City in Gameweek 30 — not the easiest on paper but Nuno Espirito Santo's side have been better recently. If City wobble, Souček is in prime position to capitalise in a defensive midfield role that still carries goal threat. A genuine punt for those looking to separate from the pack.
Third differential — Casemiro already covered as a buy, so let's pivot to Eze at Arsenal. Seven point two million pounds, eight point one percent ownership — just scraping under that ten percent threshold. He blanked in Gameweek 29 but Arsenal kept a clean sheet against Brighton. Six goals and three assists this season, with Arsenal's defensive record of just sixteen goals conceded being elite. Arsenal host Everton in Gameweek 30. His expected points are five point two. With the likes of Gyökeres also pushing through Arsenal's attack, Eze benefits from the chaos around him. He's worth holding or picking up if you need a creative spark at a manageable price.
Captaincy pick — it has to be Saka. Arsenal at home against Everton. Nine clean sheets, six goals, eight assists. Nine points last gameweek. He is in the form of his life and Mikel Arteta's side are defensively and offensively one of the best in the league. If you want an alternative, M.Salah at home to Spurs is a very valid shout given Liverpool's firepower. But Saka is the armband this week. Simple.
One key tip — the Gameweek 34 blank is coming. FA Cup semi-finals will hit hard. Start thinking about which players from clubs likely involved — keep an eye on who progresses — and factor that into your next few free transfers. Don't panic sell good assets now, but plan one move ahead.
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That's your Gameweek 30 prep done. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com and we'll see you tomorrow.