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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Welcome to Who Got The Points, your daily Fantasy Premier League briefing. I'm Archer, and here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to navigate Gameweek thirteen. We're unpacking the weekend's chaos, identifying must-have transfers, and giving you clear captain picks before Saturday's deadline. Let's dive in. First up, your rapid-fire news bulletin. Gameweek twelve threw up some major talking points. Crystal Palace forward Jean-Philippe Mateta was substituted early at just fifty-nine minutes despite owners hoping for returns. He managed just one point, and with thirty percent ownership, that's a concern. More worrying is the threat to Daniel Munoz, who's on four yellow cards and one booking away from a suspension. Liverpool suffered a shock three-nil defeat to Nottingham Forest, with Dominik Szoboszlai deployed at right-back, severely limiting his attacking potential. That's a tactical shift to monitor. Arsenal played without Gabriel in the north London derby, with Jurrien Timber and Riccardo Calafiori stepping in. They conceded but avoided defensive collapse. However, Cristian Romero picked up a ban for Tottenham after his red card. On the injury front, Chris Richards left the Wolves game early, while Jordan Mateta's early substitution suggests either tactical changes or fitness concerns. Reece James was withdrawn at half-time for Chelsea, and Moises Caicedo was surprisingly benched. Finally, Erling Haaland has now blanked in six consecutive league and cup matches, including Gameweek twelve against Newcastle. The drought continues. Now, your top three transfers in for Gameweek thirteen. First, Callum Wilson at five point eight million pounds. Ownership sits at just zero point five percent but he gained over nine thousand transfers in after a stellar Gameweek twelve. Wilson started and played fifty-one minutes, scoring twice and collecting three bonus points for a twelve-point haul against Wolves. That's four goals this season in limited game time. His expected points for Gameweek thirteen are six point five, suggesting another potential return. At under six million, he offers explosive upside. Verdict: Good option if you need forward depth with differential potential, but minutes remain a rotation risk. Second, Bryan Mbeumo at eight point six million pounds. Currently sitting at thirty-six point four percent ownership, he's gained nearly sixty thousand transfers in. Mbeumo has sixty total points this season with five goals and one assist. His form rating is six point zero, and Manchester United's team hasn't played their Gameweek twelve fixture yet, so expect him fresh. Expected points for Gameweek thirteen are six point zero. Two clean sheets and consistent attacking returns make him reliable. At eight point six million, he's premium midfield value. Verdict: Essential. He's the most transferred-in player this week for good reason. Mbeumo delivers consistently. Third, Declan Rice at six point nine million pounds. Twenty-two percent owned and gaining over forty-seven thousand transfers in. Rice has seventy-one total points this season with two goals and five assists. He played the full ninety minutes in Gameweek twelve, providing one assist for six points. His expected points for the next match are eight point zero, the highest among midfielders at his price. Six clean sheets show Arsenal's defensive stability. At six point nine million, he offers both attacking and defensive returns. Verdict: Essential. Rice is underpriced for his output, and with Arsenal's fixtures improving, he's a set-and-forget midfielder. Now, your top three transfers out. First, Jean-Philippe Mateta at eight point one million pounds. Thirty percent owned but losing nearly forty-eight thousand managers this week. Mateta scored just one point in Gameweek twelve, playing only fifty-nine minutes before being substituted. His form rating has dropped to three point five, and expected points for Gameweek thirteen are equally low at three point five. Six goals this season sound decent, but recent returns have dried up. At eight point one million, that's expensive for a forward averaging four point two points per game who's not completing full matches. Verdict: Sell. His price is falling, minutes are uncertain, and better options exist at lower prices. Second, Bukayo Saka at ten point one million pounds. Seventeen point nine percent owned and shedding transfers almost equally in and out. Saka managed just four points in Gameweek twelve, playing ninety minutes without attacking returns. Three goals this season is underwhelming for a ten point one million midfielder. His form is five point five, and expected points for Gameweek thirteen are six point five. Five clean sheets help, but at that price, you need goals and assists. Owners are clearly losing patience. Verdict: Hold for now. Arsenal's fixtures are decent, but if he blanks again, consider downgrading to fund premium attackers. Third, Micky Van de Ven at four point eight million pounds. Despite thirty-three point seven percent ownership, he blanked completely in Gameweek twelve, playing ninety minutes without returns. The Tottenham defender scored zero points as Spurs failed to keep a clean sheet in the derby. Four clean sheets this season plus three goals make him attractive, but Tottenham's defensive fragility is concerning. Expected points for Gameweek thirteen are six point five, but can you trust Spurs' backline? At four point eight million, he's cheap, but the risk is rising. Verdict: Hold. His price and attacking threat justify keeping, but if you need funds elsewhere, he's an easy downgrade. Time for differential picks under ten percent ownership. First, Danny Welbeck at six point six million pounds with nine point nine percent ownership. The Brighton forward scored eight points in Gameweek twelve, playing ninety minutes with one goal and two bonus points. Seven goals this season shows he's clinical when fit. Expected points for Gameweek thirteen are five point five. At six point six million, he's cheaper than premium forwards but delivers similar output. Brighton's fixtures are favorable. Second, Lukas Nmecha at just five point zero million pounds with zero point six percent owned. The Leeds forward scored eight points in Gameweek twelve, playing seventy minutes with one goal and two bonus points. Three goals this season in limited starts. Expected points for Gameweek thirteen are five point two. At five million, he's the ultimate enabler who can actually return points. Third, Thiago at six point five million pounds with fifteen point two percent ownership, but still differential territory. The Brentford forward has sixty-four total points with nine goals. He played ninety minutes in Gameweek twelve, scoring once for four points. Expected points are six point zero for Gameweek thirteen. Nine goals from twelve appearances is elite. Your captaincy pick for Gameweek thirteen: Bryan Mbeumo. With Manchester United's fixtures and his consistent returns, he's the safe captain choice. If you want a differential, consider Declan Rice with eight point zero expected points against a favorable opponent. One key tip: Monitor Erling Haaland closely. Six blanks is concerning, but class is permanent. If you don't own him and he returns in Gameweek thirteen, his price will rocket. Consider bringing him back if Manchester City's attack clicks again. Want to win your Fantasy Premier League mini leagues? Join Fantasy Football Hub today with thirty percent off using our link in the show notes. That's it for today's Who Got The Points. Make those transfers count, trust your gut on differentials, and remember, in Fantasy Premier League, it's not about who should get the points, it's about who actually got them. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com. See you tomorrow.