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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to nail Gameweek thirty-eight. The final gameweek. Last chance to climb your mini league. Let's go.
Right, quick news round-up before we get into the transfers. Pedro has an injury concern coming out of Chelsea's Gameweek thirty-seven win over Spurs, so keep an eye on that before the deadline on Sunday the twenty-fourth of May at one thirty in the afternoon. Enzo looks in brilliant form after bagging a goal and an assist in that two-one victory, and his fitness looks fine. Over at Bournemouth, Kroupi dot Jr scored in Gameweek thirty-seven and has thirteen league goals this season at just four point seven million pounds — that budget forward spot might be your best value play this week. Cherki came on as a substitute in the Bournemouth versus Man City match, so his minutes might be a concern if you're considering him. And Maddison's fitness is something to track ahead of Spurs hosting Everton on the final day. Get those team news updates locked in before that Sunday deadline.
Now let's get into the top three transfers in for Gameweek thirty-eight.
First up — Anderson from Nott'm Forest. Five point six million pounds, eight point one percent ownership. He bagged two assists in Gameweek thirty-seven against Man Utd, finishing with twelve points and earning maximum bonus. His form rating is eight point five, the highest in our data today, and he has an expected points of eight point five for Gameweek thirty-eight against Bournemouth. We recommended him as a buy two days ago and he's already delivered. Ninety-three thousand transfers in this week. With Bournemouth visiting Forest, this could be another big haul. Verdict: Essential.
Second — Enzo from Chelsea. Six point four million pounds, eleven point one percent ownership. He went goal and assist in Gameweek thirty-seven against Spurs, picking up three bonus points and thirteen total. Ten goals and five assists this season is elite output for that price bracket. Chelsea face Sunderland in Gameweek thirty-eight, which looks like a solid fixture. Forty-four thousand transfers in already. At six point two expected points, he's a must-consider. Verdict: Essential.
Third — Gibbs-White from Nott'm Forest. Seven point five million pounds, seven point six percent ownership. He scored in Gameweek thirty-seven and has fourteen goals this season — that is seriously prolific for a midfielder. He's generating a form rating of six point zero and has eighty-three thousand transfers in this week. Forest versus Bournemouth is a decent fixture, and having both Anderson and Gibbs-White in your midfield could pay dividends. At five point zero points per game this season, he's consistent. Verdict: Good.
Now the top three transfers out.
First — Bowen from West Ham. Seven point seven million pounds, thirteen point two percent ownership. One hundred and nineteen thousand transfers in this week — that's huge, but hear me out. West Ham face Leeds in Gameweek thirty-eight, and while Leeds are away, Bowen only managed two points in Gameweek thirty-seven despite playing ninety minutes. His form is four point zero and his expected points for Gameweek thirty-eight are also just four point zero. With better options available at this price range, the opportunity cost is real. Verdict: Sell and reinvest.
Second — Trossard from Arsenal. Six point six million pounds, two percent ownership. Arsenal face Crystal Palace in Gameweek thirty-eight, which on paper looks okay. But Trossard only scored three points in Gameweek thirty-seven after playing the full ninety minutes, and his form is down at four point five. The price has already dropped four points this season. With just five point five expected points, there are better value options in that price range. Verdict: Sell.
Third — B.Fernandes from Man Utd. Ten point four million pounds, forty-seven point eight percent ownership. Yes, he bagged two assists and nine points in Gameweek thirty-seven, but Brighton away is a tough final day fixture for Man Utd. His form is five point five and expected points just five point five. At nearly half the game owned and over ten million pounds, freeing up that budget gives you flexibility to bring in two elite mid-priced options. If you need the funds, this is the moment. Verdict: Hold if comfortable, consider selling for budget elsewhere.
Now the differentials — under ten percent ownership, big upside for Gameweek thirty-eight.
Kroupi dot Jr from Bournemouth. Four point seven million pounds, six point six percent ownership. Thirteen goals this season. Thirteen. At four point seven million pounds. He scored in Gameweek thirty-seven and his price has risen two points this week. Bournemouth face Nott'm Forest in the final gameweek — a winnable fixture. Six point zero expected points and nearly fifty thousand transfers in. The value here is almost unreal.
Next — Doku from Man City. Six point five million pounds, six point five percent ownership. Man City face Aston Villa in Gameweek thirty-eight and the fixture difficulty rating for Villa is five out of five — City will need to attack. Doku has five goals and eight assists this season and is showing a form rating of seven point zero. His expected points are seven point five — the highest attacking return in our data this week. Twenty-five thousand transfers in. If Man City come out firing, Doku could be the match-winner.
F.Kadıoğlu from Brighton. Four point five million pounds, just one point four percent ownership. Brighton host Man Utd in Gameweek thirty-eight. Ten clean sheets this season for the Brighton defender. At four point five million pounds with a form of six point zero and six expected points next, this is a sneaky differential defensive pick. Barely anyone owns him. A clean sheet here bags you serious rank gains.
Captaincy pick for Gameweek thirty-eight — Doku. Man City versus Aston Villa, expected points of seven point five, form of seven point zero, and a fixture that demands City attack. If you want a differential captain to climb your mini league on the final day, Doku is your man. One key tip — get your team sorted before Sunday the twenty-fourth of May at one thirty. This is a simultaneous kick-off gameweek, so all ten games go at three o'clock. There are no second chances once that deadline passes. Final day, final push. Make it count.
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Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com and we'll see you on the other side of Gameweek thirty-eight. Good luck everyone.