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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Welcome to Who Got The Points? I'm Archer, and here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes. Gameweek twenty-one is wrapped, Gameweek twenty-two kicks off tomorrow at half-past twelve, and we've got transfer targets, captaincy calls, and differentials that could make or break your weekend. Let's go.
Quick news bulletin. Liverpool's injury situation is looking better. Manager Arne Slot confirmed that Salah and Bradley are both in contention for the Burnley match. No guarantees on starting, but the omens are good. Over at Arsenal, Mikel Arteta hinted that one of his injured players will return on Saturday against Nottingham Forest. That's likely either Hincapie or Calafiori, with Hincapie the more probable starter. At Everton, David Moyes confirmed Dewsbury-Hall and Keane remain unavailable, while Grealish is a doubt. Crystal Palace dropped a bombshell. Oliver Glasner will leave in the summer, and Marc Guehi is heading to Manchester City. That's long-term planning chaos at Selhurst Park. Finally, the new signing everyone's buzzing about: Conor Gallagher arrives at five point five million pounds. We'll see if he slots into the lineup quickly enough to matter.
Right, transfers in. Who should you be buying for Gameweek twenty-two?
Number one: Thiago from Brentford. Seven point one million pounds, ownership at thirty-five point four percent. This man bagged a brace against Sunderland in Gameweek twenty-one, playing eighty-one minutes, picking up maximum bonus, and delivering twelve points. That's sixteen goals in twenty-one appearances this season. He's now risen eleven times in price, and with Chelsea at home on Saturday, the fixture looks brilliant. Brentford are flying under Keith Andrews, and Thiago is the focal point of everything they do. Verdict: Essential. If you don't own him, fix that today.
Number two: Gabriel from Arsenal. Six point eight million pounds, ownership thirty-four point one percent. The Brazilian defender is a defensive rock and an aerial threat. Nine clean sheets this season, three goals, two assists. He kept another clean sheet against Liverpool in Gameweek twenty-one, and Arsenal travel to Nottingham Forest on Saturday. Forest's defence has been leaky at home, and Gabriel offers both clean sheet potential and set-piece threat. He's risen eight times in price and has seven point two expected points for the Forest fixture. Verdict: Essential. Arsenal's fixtures are strong, and Gabriel is a set-and-forget defender.
Number three: Bruno Guimaraes from Newcastle. Seven point two million pounds, ownership twenty-three point three percent. Bruno was magnificent in the four-three thriller against Leeds in Gameweek twenty-one. He scored, assisted, and picked up bonus for eleven points total. That's eight goals and five assists this season from a midfielder priced under eight million. Newcastle face Wolves away on Sunday, and Bruno has seven expected points. He's risen seven times already, so the market recognizes his value. Verdict: Good. Not essential like the first two, but absolutely worth considering if you need a Newcastle asset.
Now, who should you be selling?
Number one: Saka from Arsenal. Ten point two million pounds, ownership nineteen point six percent. Saka managed just three points against Liverpool, playing seventy-seven minutes with no attacking returns. That's four goals and seven assists this season, which is solid but not elite for his price tag. One hundred and sixty-seven thousand managers sold him this week, and at ten point two million, he's tying up serious funds. Arsenal have good fixtures, but Saka's underlying numbers aren't justifying his premium price right now. Verdict: Sell. Downgrade to a mid-price midfielder and upgrade elsewhere.
Number two: Woltemade from Newcastle. Seven point three million pounds, ownership fifteen point five percent. The German forward picked up five points against Leeds with an assist, but he's not delivering consistently. Seven goals and three assists in eighteen games isn't bad, but it's not enough for a seven point three million forward. One hundred and ninety-two thousand managers shipped him out this week. With Thiago and other forwards offering better value, Woltemade feels like a luxury you can't afford. Verdict: Sell. Move the funds into Thiago or bank them for defence.
Number three: Stach from Leeds. Four point nine million pounds, ownership three point two percent. This is for those looking at budget enablers. Stach managed just two points in seventy-nine minutes against Newcastle. Three goals and five assists this season isn't terrible for his price, but Leeds have been inconsistent, and he's being sold by over thirty-one thousand managers. If you need a cheap midfielder, there are better options with stronger fixtures. Verdict: Sell. Upgrade if you can, or pivot to a midfielder with better short-term fixtures.
Differentials time. Three players under ten percent ownership who could explode.
First: Wilson from Fulham. Five point nine million pounds, ownership twenty-one point nine percent. Okay, he's over ten percent, but he's still under-owned for his output. Wilson bagged nine points against Chelsea in Gameweek twenty-one with a goal and bonus. That's seven goals and six assists this season, incredible value at his price. Fulham face Leeds away on Saturday, and Wilson has four point eight expected points. Fixture is decent, form is hot.
Second: Garner from Everton. Five point two million pounds, ownership three point six percent. The midfielder picked up six points against Wolves with ninety minutes and bonus. Two goals, three assists this season, and eight clean sheets show he's involved defensively. Everton face Aston Villa away on Sunday. Not the easiest fixture, but at his price and ownership, Garner offers a unique route into Everton's midfield. If David Moyes gets them firing, Garner could be gold.
Third: Semenyo from Manchester City. Seven point six million pounds, ownership forty-four point eight percent. Wait, that's way over ten percent. But he's worth mentioning because of the Manchester derby tomorrow. Semenyo scored in the one-one draw against Brighton, playing ninety minutes. Ten goals and five assists this season make him Pep Guardiola's most consistent attacker. Manchester United away is tough, but City need to respond after dropping points. Semenyo has six point seven expected points.
Captaincy. The obvious choice is Thiago at home to Chelsea. Sixteen goals this season, home fixture, red-hot form. But if you want the differential, Gabriel against Nottingham Forest offers clean sheet upside plus set-piece threat. Arsenal's defence is elite, and Forest have conceded regularly at home.
One key tip: Don't overthink your defence. Arsenal and Brentford have the best fixtures over the next four gameweeks. Double up on both defences if you can. Clean sheets win gameweeks.
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That's it for today. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com, and we'll see you tomorrow. Good luck in Gameweek twenty-two.