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Your daily dose of Premier League insights - powered by data, driven by AI. From top transfer tips to captain picks, we break it all down in under 10 minutes.
Here's what you need to know in the next seven minutes to nail Gameweek thirty-eight. It's the final day of the season, the deadline is Sunday the twenty-fourth of May at one thirty in the afternoon, and every decision counts. Let's get into it.
Right, rapid-fire news time. Big story first — Aston Villa absolutely demolished Liverpool four goals to two in the Gameweek thirty-seven curtain-raiser. Villa were brilliant, and Liverpool's FPL assets are under the microscope. Salah and Wirtz were both named as substitutes for that match, which is a significant rotation flag heading into the final gameweek. Keep that in mind before you captain anyone from Liverpool. On the injury front, Gibbs-White is listed as doubtful with a facial injury, but there's a seventy-five percent chance of playing — so hold if you have him, but don't panic buy. And the big question everyone's asking heading into Gameweek thirty-eight — is the final day historically a goal-fest? The data suggests yes, so attack-minded picks could be the way to go this Sunday.
Now let's talk transfers in. Who should you be bringing in for the final gameweek?
First up — Szoboszlai from Liverpool. He's seven point zero million pounds and owned by thirteen point one percent of managers. In Gameweek thirty-seven against Aston Villa, he played the full ninety minutes, grabbed two assists, and banged up nine points. That's six goals and seven assists on the season — this man is Liverpool's creative engine. Liverpool host Brentford in Gameweek thirty-eight with a fixture difficulty rating of three. With a form score of six point zero and expected points of six point five, he's got genuine haul potential on the final day. Verdict — Good. Get him in if you have the funds.
Second transfer in — Senesi from Bournemouth. Five point two million pounds, owned by twenty point nine percent. Bournemouth face Nott'm Forest at home in Gameweek thirty-eight — fixture difficulty of three, and Forest's attacking threat should be manageable. Senesi has racked up eleven clean sheets this season alongside six assists — outstanding numbers for a defender. Form of five point six and expected points of five point six. We recommended Bournemouth assets earlier in the week and this one still holds. Verdict — Good. Brilliant budget option with clean sheet and bonus upside.
Third transfer in — Truffert from Bournemouth. Only four point seven million pounds and just four point seven percent owned. Eleven clean sheets this season, four assists, and a form score of five point eight. For under five million pounds, this is extraordinary value. With Bournemouth having that home fixture against Forest, the clean sheet potential is real. Expected points of five point eight. Verdict — Essential if you need a budget defender. Don't sleep on this.
Now transfers out. Who needs to go before the deadline?
First sell — Thiago from Brentford. Seven point three million pounds, owned by thirty-two point four percent, and a whopping seven thousand nine hundred and fifteen transfers out this week. The reason is clear — his expected points for Gameweek thirty-eight sit at just one point seven. Form has collapsed to two point two. Yes, he's scored twenty-two goals this season which is incredible, but Brentford travel to Liverpool in Gameweek thirty-eight with a fixture difficulty of four for the away side. His season is done. Verdict — Sell. Use those funds on someone with a genuine chance of hauling.
Second sell — Bowen from West Ham. Seven point seven million pounds, twelve point five percent owned, and over eight thousand transfers out this week. Despite an impressive total of eight goals and twelve assists this season, his form has dropped to three point two and his expected points for Gameweek thirty-eight are just three point two. West Ham face Leeds at home — difficulty rating of two for the home side, so there's an argument to hold, but the price tag and poor form make him hard to justify in a final gameweek punt. Verdict — Sell if you need the funds for a better option.
Third sell — Mac Allister from Liverpool. Six point one million pounds, just one point eight percent owned. He played the full ninety against Villa but only registered four points with no goals or assists. Seven goals conceded in recent matches for Liverpool is not ideal for any asset. His expected points are four point seven — decent but not exciting enough for a final gameweek spot if you're chasing the money. Verdict — Hold if you have him, but don't buy him in.
Differential picks now — under ten percent ownership, big potential.
First differential — Virgil from Liverpool. Six point zero million pounds, thirty percent — wait, that's over ten percent, so let me pivot. Guéhi from Man City. Five point one million pounds, thirty-two point eight percent — also above ten percent. Let's go with Bijol from Leeds then. Three point nine million pounds, just one point one percent owned. Leeds face West Ham away in Gameweek thirty-eight — difficulty of three for the away side, but at under four million pounds, Bijol offers four clean sheets this season and three assists. If Leeds nick a result, the bonus and clean sheet potential is there. Dirt cheap enabler option.
Second differential — Awoniyi from Nott'm Forest. Five point two million pounds, just zero point four percent owned. Forest face Bournemouth at home in Gameweek thirty-eight with expected points of four point four. Four goals and two assists this season. If Gibbs-White misses out or is restricted, Awoniyi could be the focal point. Ultra-low ownership means even a six-pointer separates you from the pack on the final day.
Third differential — Osula from Newcastle. Five point four million pounds, one point one percent owned, expected points of four point four. Newcastle host West Ham — wait, sorry, Fulham travel to Newcastle in Gameweek thirty-eight. With five goals this season and Newcastle's attacking intent, Osula is a wildcard pick for those looking to be bold in the final gameweek.
Captaincy and one key tip. Szoboszlai is your captain pick this week. Liverpool at home against Brentford, six point five expected points, nine points in Gameweek thirty-seven already in the bag — he's the form midfielder with a solid fixture. If you want a differential captain, Senesi at Bournemouth in a home clean sheet spot is the punt of the week. One key tip — with Gameweek thirty-eight historically producing more goals, lean toward attacking assets and don't be afraid to be bold. This is the last chance to climb your mini-leagues. Take calculated risks.
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That's your Gameweek thirty-eight prep done. Good luck, and subscribe at whogotthepoints.com.