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David Audio Episode
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Edward: [00:00:00] [00:00:01] [00:00:02] I'm Edward [00:00:03] Cohen, and this is [00:00:04] Tangent, a Commercial [00:00:05] Observer [00:00:06] podcast. [00:00:07] [00:00:08] [00:00:09] [00:00:10] [00:00:11] Accounts payable in [00:00:12] commercial real estate is [00:00:13] one of the most [00:00:14] complex, highest [00:00:15] volume, and most [00:00:16] consequential [00:00:17] back-office functions [00:00:18] in the business. [00:00:19] It is also one of the [00:00:20] least automated. [00:00:21] A single [00:00:22] invoice at a large [00:00:23] real estate firm can [00:00:24] split dozens of [00:00:25] ways across [00:00:26] entities, asset classes, [00:00:27] and jurisdictions[00:00:28]
[00:00:29] Common area maintenance [00:00:30] allocations, triple net [00:00:31] leases, related [00:00:32] party transactions, [00:00:33] SPV [00:00:34] structures, all of it [00:00:35] hitting an accounting [00:00:36] team that is [00:00:37] usually [00:00:38] understaffed and running on [00:00:39] institutional knowledge [00:00:40] that nobody has written [00:00:41] down. When that [00:00:42] knowledge walks out the [00:00:43] door, the whole system [00:00:44] breaks. [00:00:45] We do have the perfect [00:00:46] guest to talk about [00:00:47] this.
Our guest today [00:00:48] is David [00:00:49] Stifter, co-founder [00:00:50] and CEO of [00:00:51] PredictAP. [00:00:52] [00:00:53] David, where does this podcast [00:00:54] find [00:00:55] you?
David: today I'm, [00:00:56] uh, it's, it's actually where I [00:00:57] met you the first time. [00:00:58] I'm in Las Vegas, [00:00:59] so, uh, this is not [00:01:00] for work though. I, I, [00:01:01] I do, I have a [00:01:02] hobby called Brazilian jujitsu, [00:01:03] and there's a big tournament, [00:01:04] World Masters, this week, and I'm [00:01:05] here for that. [00:01:06] But normally I'm here [00:01:07] the PropTech conference [00:01:08] circuit.
So, I'll be [00:01:09] back here in a few weeks for [00:01:10] Blueprints, can't get away from [00:01:11] Vegas
Edward: that's [00:01:12] fascinating. [00:01:13] Vegas can't get enough of you [00:01:14] either, [00:01:15] So David, you [00:01:16] spent 17 [00:01:17] years at Colony [00:01:18] Capital, which [00:01:19] became Digital [00:01:20] Bridge. What [00:01:21] made you [00:01:22] leave to [00:01:23] start a company that [00:01:24] automates invoice [00:01:25] coding?
what [00:01:26] did you see [00:01:27] that [00:01:28] inspired you to [00:01:29] start [00:01:30] PredictAP?
David: you [00:01:31] know, there's a, there's a [00:01:32] period of my life where I [00:01:33] questioned that, almost [00:01:34] daily 'cause it's... You know, [00:01:35] I was at Colony for, for [00:01:36] almost all my career, and it's a great, [00:01:37] it was, you know, a really [00:01:38] great firm and I grew up [00:01:39] there. And, I started [00:01:40] off my career in [00:01:41] accounting, and I [00:01:42] got my MBA and I did really [00:01:43] well there.
And I, [00:01:44] I ended up starting as an [00:01:45] a- acquisition analyst [00:01:46] in, in, uh, [00:01:47] Colony. And [00:01:48] I've always been a geek at heart, [00:01:49] so I've always been [00:01:50] asking questions. [00:01:51] So when I was trying to find [00:01:52] data for acquisitions, I was [00:01:53] like, "Well, why can't we get this [00:01:54] data or that data?" And, [00:01:55] you know, they're like, "Well, it's in [00:01:56] Yardi," right?
And so [00:01:57] I started digging [00:01:58] more and more into [00:01:59] where the data is, where [00:02:00] the data lives, [00:02:01] and seeing how [00:02:02] data connects across [00:02:03] the firm, right? What asset [00:02:04] management's doing and the [00:02:05] property managers and [00:02:06] the fund [00:02:07] administrators and the corporate [00:02:08] FP&A. [00:02:09] And as I asked more [00:02:10] questions, they're like, "Well, why don't you [00:02:11] figure it out?"
And [00:02:12] so over my [00:02:13] career, I transitioned [00:02:14] from that [00:02:15] acquisition side to more [00:02:16] back office [00:02:17] operations, which I find [00:02:18] fascinating. I love solving [00:02:19] problems. I love [00:02:20] getting into the weeds of [00:02:21] how should this [00:02:22] work. my first boss [00:02:23] said my, superpower is my [00:02:24] na-naive [00:02:25] optimism, right? Like, on how things should [00:02:26] work.
And so [00:02:27] over my career, I [00:02:28] transitioned to [00:02:29] be managing director at, [00:02:30] eventually [00:02:31] leading technology on [00:02:32] the, on the accounting and [00:02:33] finance side of the [00:02:34] business, which is how [00:02:35] to make this back o-o-office [00:02:36] operations work [00:02:37] well. And [00:02:38] Colony's a very large global [00:02:39] firm. I think at [00:02:40] that time we had about 60, [00:02:41] 70 billion of [00:02:42] asset center management [00:02:43] globally and [00:02:44] buying everything you can [00:02:45] imagine, office, [00:02:46] industrial, multifamily.
[00:02:47] Heck, we bought [00:02:48] Paris Saint-Germain [00:02:49] soccer at one team, Miramax [00:02:50] Films. Like, they bought some [00:02:51] crazy stuff. Um, but [00:02:52] you gotta figure out how to make them [00:02:53] actually work. Like, when you go buy a [00:02:54] soccer team, well, how is [00:02:55] that actually gonna work? How's [00:02:56] it gonna consolidate? How are you [00:02:57] gonna move money [00:02:58] to them? [00:02:59] and Colony [00:03:00] had a lot of [00:03:01] complexity.
private equity [00:03:02] [00:03:03] f-funds that were run by the [00:03:04] firm with the general [00:03:05] partner, but also public [00:03:06] companies. So they had merged with [00:03:07] other public companies. They had [00:03:08] a number of public [00:03:09] companies and, you know, [00:03:10] complicated SOC [00:03:11] reporting around that. [00:03:12] And then just a [00:03:13] lot of complicated [00:03:14] structures around private equity.
And [00:03:15] so, I led a, one of [00:03:16] those once in a lifetime [00:03:17] projects of [00:03:18] let's, we're bursting at the [00:03:19] seams. We can [00:03:20] barely close the books. We can [00:03:21] barely [00:03:22] consolidate. let's [00:03:23] really [00:03:24] reinvest in technology and [00:03:25] make, make our [00:03:26] systems match to where the [00:03:27] company is today, not [00:03:28] where it was 15 years [00:03:29] ago.
And so [00:03:30] that was a project [00:03:31] that took, three [00:03:32] or four years to... We [00:03:33] went from [00:03:34] 12 ERPs around the world [00:03:35] to one. Uh, we [00:03:36] consolidated it all on Yardi. [00:03:37] For us, the, the [00:03:38] biggest problem was this [00:03:39] global [00:03:40] consolidation. We had 12,000 [00:03:41] entities around the world, like [00:03:42] incredible complexity, and [00:03:43] making that all [00:03:44] work when you close the books was [00:03:45] hard.
And so [00:03:46] in there I started digging [00:03:47] into, well, where else are we [00:03:48] spending time? [00:03:49] And [00:03:50] turns [00:03:51] out, real estate [00:03:52] companies pay a lot of [00:03:53] invoices. You know, we paid about a [00:03:54] half million invoices a [00:03:55] year, and that's both on the [00:03:56] corporate and funds [00:03:57] side, [00:03:58] um, but also on the property [00:03:59] side. I we managed things [00:04:00] down to the property, and [00:04:01] so [00:04:02] spent a lot of time.
[00:04:03] We had a pretty antiquated [00:04:04] AP process, [00:04:05] even, you know, [00:04:06] printing local checks [00:04:07] and having wire [00:04:08] packets where people would get [00:04:09] physical signatures. [00:04:10] So we started [00:04:11] automating that [00:04:12] flow, We [00:04:13] automated the payments [00:04:14] really well. We [00:04:15] automated the workflow really [00:04:16] well.
And this [00:04:17] upfront part [00:04:18] around, how do you [00:04:19] code it? Which, [00:04:20] which at first I didn't [00:04:21] really appreciate how [00:04:22] difficult this was 'cause you're [00:04:23] like, "Oh, Colony gets a bill, [00:04:24] Colony pays the bill." Well, [00:04:25] that's not actually the [00:04:26] situation because [00:04:27] Colony's [00:04:28] not paying much. [00:04:29] Often you're [00:04:30] allocating or pushing it down, [00:04:31] right?
Oh, this is [00:04:32] for, you know, you have a, a [00:04:33] contract with a maintenance [00:04:34] company who's doing a [00:04:35] bunch of different things on [00:04:36] 100 of your [00:04:37] properties. Okay, that bill comes into [00:04:38] Colony, they [00:04:39] address to Colony, [00:04:40] but somebody there [00:04:41] knows it's split, you [00:04:42] know, 120 different [00:04:43] ways, and you capitalize [00:04:44] this portion, you expense [00:04:45] this portion.[00:04:46]
And the [00:04:47] way we were doing [00:04:48] that, really what I [00:04:49] found out later, was we had this [00:04:50] team that had been [00:04:51] there for a long time. [00:04:52] They had [00:04:53] deep knowledge they [00:04:54] built up over years, and we had this [00:04:55] woman, Chrissa, who led the [00:04:56] team. She was there for [00:04:57] 30 years and knew [00:04:58] everything, The CFO would [00:04:59] ask Chrissa, "Well, how do we-- [00:05:00] what are we doing here?
What's this [00:05:01] deal? What's this [00:05:02] project?" and that's [00:05:03] where, we [00:05:04] realized that, this [00:05:05] is difficult. And, and [00:05:06] Chrissa actually [00:05:07] left. She, she [00:05:08] retired, and it was [00:05:09] difficult to pay [00:05:10] bills. So you have this $60 [00:05:11] billion organization [00:05:12] that [00:05:13] can't pay a bill because one [00:05:14] person with critical knowledge [00:05:15] left, and that's really [00:05:16] got me obsessed [00:05:17] with, "That's [00:05:18] crazy.
Let's, let's dig [00:05:19] into this." [00:05:20] And so I did [00:05:21] not go out to go start a [00:05:22] company, so I was, you know, [00:05:23] happy with my position, and my [00:05:24] position was changing. It [00:05:25] was, this was [00:05:26] more, the cherry on [00:05:27] top of this. We had finished the [00:05:28] main consolidation [00:05:29] work, so it was more maintaining and [00:05:30] tinkering than, than, than [00:05:31] fundamental building.[00:05:32]
And spent about [00:05:33] a year looking what was [00:05:34] in the market, [00:05:35] so talking to Yardi and [00:05:36] Nexus and, you know, you [00:05:37] name it, we talked to [00:05:38] them. And, [00:05:39] looking at robotic [00:05:40] process automation, that was the, [00:05:41] the rage, you [00:05:42] know, eight, nine years [00:05:43] ago with [00:05:44] UiPath and all that. [00:05:45] template approaching it. And [00:05:46] it turns out there's a [00:05:47] lot of-- If you think [00:05:48] about an invoice, there's [00:05:49] what I'll call the header, [00:05:50] which is the stuff on the [00:05:51] paper, invoice number, [00:05:52] total due date.
[00:05:53] And a lot of firms [00:05:54] thought that was the problem and [00:05:55] solved that problem. [00:05:56] That's not the problem. The [00:05:57] problem was back to that, [00:05:58] hey, where does it actually end up [00:05:59] on the accounting side? [00:06:00] And so what I [00:06:01] found was everyone had [00:06:02] solved that with you can do [00:06:03] OCR or [00:06:04] templates or something like [00:06:05] that, or [00:06:06] outsourcing.
but the coding [00:06:07] was really left [00:06:08] to the, the [00:06:09] companies to run, and that's where I [00:06:10] did not find a solution. [00:06:11]
Edward: The [00:06:12] coding
David: being the geek that I [00:06:13] am, about, again, eight [00:06:14] years ago, [00:06:15] I thought, [00:06:16] "Yeah, the coding." I was like, "This [00:06:17] is the gold." [00:06:18] And that's where I thought, [00:06:19] "Hey, this new ML [00:06:20] AI stuff might [00:06:21] be the answer to it." [00:06:22] And turns out it's actually the [00:06:23] perfect use [00:06:24] case.
so that got me [00:06:25] started on solving this problem [00:06:26] within Colony. [00:06:27] And, you know, you have nice [00:06:28] structured data, you have [00:06:29] a pattern to pick up on. [00:06:30] And then one thing that will, be a [00:06:31] recurring theme on here is [00:06:32] still having a person in the loop [00:06:33] to give a feedback [00:06:34] mechanism. It turns out that's really [00:06:35] important for a good ML [00:06:36] process.
And so [00:06:37] we did it at Colony, [00:06:38] worked really well. And [00:06:39] when, um, I had been [00:06:40] looking for solutions and talked to [00:06:41] CTOs and said, [00:06:42] "What are you doing?" Some of them [00:06:43] said, "Show me what you did." And I [00:06:44] showed them, they're like, "Oh my God, I [00:06:45] want this." And that, [00:06:46] that gave me the thought of like, [00:06:47] ooh, I've always wanted [00:06:48] to, like, do [00:06:49] something on my own, and I was [00:06:50] more maintaining than [00:06:51] building now.
And so I was like, maybe it's [00:06:52] a good idea and a [00:06:53] good problem to go to [00:06:54] take that [00:06:55] leap.
Edward: Yep, yep. [00:06:56] so much to unpack [00:06:57] from there, but the one [00:06:58] thing that I [00:06:59] highlight is how [00:07:00] you describe your [00:07:01] naive optimism. I [00:07:02] think that's such [00:07:03] a [00:07:04] critical [00:07:05] founder, [00:07:06] innate in many [00:07:07] cases, a [00:07:08] quality. when you spend so [00:07:09] much time at a, at the [00:07:10] same company or in the [00:07:11] same teams, that's how [00:07:12] things are done.
That's how things [00:07:13] have always been done. [00:07:14] why would you naively [00:07:15] think that things can [00:07:16] be [00:07:17] drastically better or [00:07:18] different when, the [00:07:19] company's [00:07:20] working? Like nothing's falling [00:07:21] apart, uh, [00:07:22] yet
David: But [00:07:23] you're totally right on that [00:07:24] point, and I think it's important [00:07:25] 'cause people do-- [00:07:26] You get frustrated, [00:07:27] right? You get [00:07:28] frustrated because sometimes [00:07:29] people try change and it doesn't [00:07:30] work, and I [00:07:31] think one of the hardest things [00:07:32] is to keep that, [00:07:33] Everyone, I think, comes [00:07:34] into their career with that [00:07:35] skill, But it [00:07:36] gets, ground out of [00:07:37] you every day, as [00:07:38] the burdens come in. And we can [00:07:39] talk about this a little bit later [00:07:40] on, on build versus [00:07:41] buy, 'cause I think this is, [00:07:42] is gonna come up again. But I [00:07:43] think if I was to say one [00:07:44] thing, like, keep that [00:07:45] desire to make [00:07:46] things better. Like, that's [00:07:47] what's gonna let your career [00:07:48] continue to grow.
Edward: [00:07:49] Yeah, I mean, I think Jeff [00:07:50] Bezos framed it [00:07:51] as, , always day [00:07:52] one, there's also, like, the, [00:07:53] the [00:07:54] social, - even [00:07:55] within your team, you don't wanna be the [00:07:56] person that is, [00:07:57] like, annoying [00:07:58] and, like, saying that things [00:07:59] aren't working or that things [00:08:00] could be better, [00:08:01] especially when you're, like, [00:08:02] new at a team or [00:08:03] working with a new [00:08:04] person or, you, you [00:08:05] always wanna be [00:08:06] a cheerleader, you [00:08:07] wanna be a [00:08:08] teammate and, be [00:08:09] optimistic. [00:08:10] But [00:08:11] at the same time, you can't [00:08:12] unsee [00:08:13] [00:08:14] issues that you see are, [00:08:15] are [00:08:16] critical.
David: And
that, that [00:08:17] actually, [00:08:18] I know we're going [00:08:19] off on a tangent here, but [00:08:20] I, uh, that's the [00:08:21] podcast, right?
[00:08:22] Um, is, [00:08:23] that's what we're here [00:08:24] for. I, I think [00:08:25] that, [00:08:26] that is actually the [00:08:27] second hard [00:08:28] skill because, you know, keeping [00:08:29] that, desire to [00:08:30] change. [00:08:31] But then you need to know [00:08:32] how to actually [00:08:33] effect change, which actually takes [00:08:34] very high emotional [00:08:35] intelligence in big organizations.
You're right, [00:08:36] you can't come in there [00:08:37] and point out all the flaws. [00:08:38] Even if you're right, you're gonna, [00:08:39] you're gonna fail. [00:08:40] Guarantee you're gonna fail, [00:08:41] and people aren't gonna like [00:08:42] you. So [00:08:43] how you build up [00:08:44] credibility, how you take [00:08:45] small incremental wins, and [00:08:46] how you get people on [00:08:47] board [00:08:48] turns that into, like, you [00:08:49] can start to get, [00:08:50] buy-in and, and, and that's what [00:08:51] actually enables change is [00:08:52] that buy-in and, and getting [00:08:53] people to follow [00:08:54] you.
and there [00:08:55] is a skill to that as [00:08:56] well, and you need to do [00:08:57] it in a, in a true [00:08:58] place of, "I wanna make things [00:08:59] better," not, "I wanna [00:09:00] make people look bad," [00:09:01] or anything like that. And that's [00:09:02] another thing is [00:09:03] that emotional intelligence around [00:09:04] how to [00:09:05] understand your [00:09:06] organization to be able to [00:09:07] get buy-in. That's [00:09:08] a hard thing, I think, [00:09:09] especially at big [00:09:10] organizations that are, you know, [00:09:11] tend to be a little [00:09:12] stuck in their own [00:09:13] ways.
Edward: Oh, yeah. [00:09:14] Oh, yeah. [00:09:15] And, it takes a village. [00:09:16] But yeah, one, I like the [00:09:17] incremental, [00:09:18] changes, incremental [00:09:19] improvements. and [00:09:20] then it happens all, all [00:09:21] at once. tell [00:09:22] us, you know, an, an invoice [00:09:23] at a large real estate [00:09:24] firm, can split [00:09:25] dozens of ways across [00:09:26] entities, asset [00:09:27] classes, and, and [00:09:28] jurisdictions.
So [00:09:29] how does a finance team [00:09:30] even manage [00:09:31] that without it [00:09:32] becoming a [00:09:33] person-dependent [00:09:34] process?
David: Well, I think [00:09:35] it has, [00:09:36] primarily been a [00:09:37] person-dependent process [00:09:38] at, at a lot of these [00:09:39] organizations because that [00:09:40] was the, the [00:09:41] only way. it's a [00:09:42] difficult problem, [00:09:43] and Not [00:09:44] every industry faces this [00:09:45] problem. This is where I think a [00:09:46] lot of the industry [00:09:47] agnostic solutions [00:09:48] that, that come into real [00:09:49] estate, they quickly [00:09:50] find out that [00:09:51] there's a lot of [00:09:52] subtlety and nuance, a lot [00:09:53] of...
You know, real estate, [00:09:54] the way these f- [00:09:55] or organizations [00:09:56] form, it's [00:09:57] very entrepreneurial. [00:09:58] I've yet to find an, a [00:09:59] real estate firm where it's [00:10:00] not led by someone who [00:10:01] loves talking about [00:10:02] deals, right? What the market is, [00:10:03] the cap rate. It's a [00:10:04] local business. [00:10:05] And if you think [00:10:06] about accounting, accounting is [00:10:07] also [00:10:08] local.
It's, GAAP [00:10:09] is principles. It's not [00:10:10] a red line [00:10:11] rule book of how things [00:10:12] are. And [00:10:13] so how f- [00:10:14] firms have evolved and [00:10:15] formed over [00:10:16] time leads [00:10:17] them to have different [00:10:18] accounting policies and [00:10:19] procedures, right? Different [00:10:20] chart of accounts, different [00:10:21] ways they capitalize or [00:10:22] expense. [00:10:23] And then the tenants are [00:10:24] involved, and they have their own [00:10:25] own, uh, whole [00:10:26] level of it.
And so in real [00:10:27] estate, every [00:10:28] ac- asset class could [00:10:29] have different accounting [00:10:30] coding, right? First off, the [00:10:31] structure of real estate [00:10:32] tends to have a lot of entities, [00:10:33] so it's a lot of complication [00:10:34] around that, thousands of [00:10:35] entities and What bank [00:10:36] account is actually paying? [00:10:37] But then on the [00:10:38] property level, you can think about [00:10:39] an office building.[00:10:40]
You have a big tower, [00:10:41] 100 [00:10:42] tenants. Well, [00:10:43] someone's out there cleaning the [00:10:44] lobby. Okay, well, [00:10:45] the owner is not gonna [00:10:46] pay that. The owner is gonna [00:10:47] put that in the CAM pool, [00:10:48] the common area maintenance [00:10:49] pool, [00:10:50] and it's gonna get passed [00:10:51] back to the tenants [00:10:52] or recoveries. [00:10:53] Okay, [00:10:54] well, some tenants may have [00:10:55] caps. "I only wanna pay up to [00:10:56] X."
Well, some [00:10:57] tenants say, "I don't wanna pay [00:10:58] for the lobby cleaning. I [00:10:59] don't, I'll pay five cents [00:11:00] more rent." It's like, okay. [00:11:01] So that [00:11:02] tenant isn't [00:11:03] in the CAM pool. [00:11:04] These other ones are, but these [00:11:05] ones are in the cap, [00:11:06] and [00:11:07] you could imagine so [00:11:08] on and so forth. So you get all [00:11:09] these exception and [00:11:10] rules. And so [00:11:11] for that one, cleaning [00:11:12] bill, okay, well now [00:11:13] I have some portion [00:11:14] going in this one [00:11:15] building to [00:11:16] this portion of the tenants [00:11:17] that's recoverable, [00:11:18] this portion that's [00:11:19] not.
[00:11:20] Um, maybe they also fix [00:11:21] some windows. Okay, [00:11:22] well that's an ex- That's [00:11:23] capitalized, Oh, they're [00:11:24] gonna, [00:11:25] uh, clean the carpets. [00:11:26] Okay, that's actually back on [00:11:27] cleaning. That's, that's in the [00:11:28] CAM pool. And so [00:11:29] everything they're [00:11:30] doing has a [00:11:31] decision on is [00:11:32] it, it capitalized, is [00:11:33] it not?
Is it expense? [00:11:34] Is it [00:11:35] capitalized? who's bearing the cost [00:11:36] and where should it be borne? [00:11:37] And as [00:11:38] you can imagine with [00:11:39] lots of building, that's [00:11:40] just office, right? [00:11:41] Industrial's different. Maybe it's triple [00:11:42] net, gets passed through. [00:11:43] Maybe, you know, [00:11:44] multifamily you're covering some, [00:11:45] but maybe some you're [00:11:46] charging through, right?
Or, [00:11:47] medical office [00:11:48] or, you know, data centers. [00:11:49] Electricity's very [00:11:50] complicated. So [00:11:51] each type of [00:11:52] asset [00:11:53] has its own kind [00:11:54] of general rules. Each [00:11:55] firm interprets [00:11:56] those their own way , And [00:11:57] then each building down [00:11:58] to the tenant could have its [00:11:59] own way. So you can imagine, [00:12:00] multiply those together and [00:12:01] you, you end up with, [00:12:02] with, an unbelievable number of [00:12:03] [00:12:04] permutations.
and really that's [00:12:05] hard to, to [00:12:06] put on paper. It's [00:12:07] hard enough to put a [00:12:08] basic policy on, like if [00:12:09] you see this, do [00:12:10] this. that what if tree [00:12:11] would be, miles [00:12:12] long. And so [00:12:13] that's where I think prior [00:12:14] to machine [00:12:15] learning, you really [00:12:16] just had to rely [00:12:17] on really smart [00:12:18] [00:12:19] folks that, you know, [00:12:20] frankly have a very [00:12:21] difficult job, [00:12:22] aren't necessarily [00:12:23] paid the most.
So you have [00:12:24] this high knowledge, low [00:12:25] pay job, Which [00:12:26] tends to lead to turnover, [00:12:27] which tends to lead to [00:12:28] loss [00:12:29] of knowledge, And then in, [00:12:30] you know, in multifamily, this [00:12:31] is typically done [00:12:32] in senior living [00:12:33] onsite because the knowledge is [00:12:34] onsite of what's going on, [00:12:35] and [00:12:36] that's another whole other [00:12:37] problem 'cause you don't want the people [00:12:38] onsite in [00:12:39] the backroom coding.
You [00:12:40] want them [00:12:41] talking to tenants, [00:12:42] leasing, building [00:12:43] community. And so [00:12:44] the problem shows up in different [00:12:45] ways, but really it's, [00:12:46] it's, a fundamental, [00:12:47] uh, just [00:12:48] lots of va- [00:12:49] variables [00:12:50] which lead to lots of [00:12:51] complications, which leads to this [00:12:52] being a hard problem for the [00:12:53] back [00:12:54] office.
Edward: it sounds like [00:12:55] that role, that you [00:12:56] described sounds like [00:12:57] the [00:12:58] equivalent to [00:12:59] a [00:13:00] pre-GPS [00:13:01] London cab [00:13:02] driver [00:13:03] that had mapped [00:13:04] every [00:13:05] single block [00:13:06] in London. [00:13:07] And I don't know how they did [00:13:08] that, but I think they did [00:13:09] studies on their [00:13:10] brains that were [00:13:11] like their brains [00:13:12] just are [00:13:13] better, faster, [00:13:14] stronger [00:13:15] because they [00:13:16] memorized, [00:13:17] mapped an entire [00:13:18] city, in their [00:13:19] brains.
David: that's a [00:13:20] great analogy. Tot- Totally [00:13:21] true. Like, you [00:13:22] build this knowledge in [00:13:23] a certain way and you have [00:13:24] this expertise, and that's [00:13:25] very, very [00:13:26] difficult for [00:13:27] somebody new to come in and learn [00:13:28] that
Edward: Yeah. [00:13:29] Yeah. [00:13:30] fascinating. A lot of, a lot of [00:13:31] respect, and now we can help them [00:13:32] with, uh, better [00:13:33] technology. [00:13:34] so talk [00:13:35] about, like, when [00:13:36] institutional knowledge [00:13:37] about how invoices [00:13:38] get coded lives on, [00:13:39] on one person's head and [00:13:40] then what happens to the [00:13:41] organization when that [00:13:42] person leaves
David: [00:13:43] Yeah. [00:13:44] So, most of the [00:13:45] time, this is [00:13:46] also, it's not [00:13:47] really appreciated [00:13:48] until the person leaves, right? [00:13:49] That's another-- That's a whole another [00:13:50] problem, is you don't really [00:13:51] understand or [00:13:52] appreciate it, and [00:13:53] I, I lived that same [00:13:54] thing. And [00:13:55] so the ways this [00:13:56] can show up can be [00:13:57] pretty dramatic.
[00:13:58] About - more [00:13:59] than half of what's [00:14:00] hitting the ledger [00:14:01] in real estate firms is [00:14:02] driven from expenses. [00:14:03] Uh, you can think about the [00:14:04] volume of journal entries and [00:14:05] all that. [00:14:06] And so the [00:14:07] impact of, of doing [00:14:08] this incorrectly [00:14:09] can be, [00:14:10] at the least your, your [00:14:11] financials could be incorrect, [00:14:12] right?
but it can [00:14:13] lead to more [00:14:14] substantial problems around, [00:14:15] uh, tenant [00:14:16] relationships. So say that firm that [00:14:17] didn't wanna pay [00:14:18] for the [00:14:19] cleaning of the lobby is being [00:14:20] charged for the lobby. [00:14:21] How, how do you think they're gonna [00:14:22] feel at the end of the [00:14:23] year when you go [00:14:24] say, "Well, actually, You owe us more [00:14:25] money for the lobby [00:14:26] cleaning."
They're like, [00:14:27] "Well, actually, we don't [00:14:28] pay for any of that. Why don't [00:14:29] you give us a check back [00:14:30] for the stuff You've [00:14:31] been, uh, [00:14:32] accruing?" and so [00:14:33] that CAM [00:14:34] recoveries, you know, in office [00:14:35] and retail, can [00:14:36] be a, a pretty [00:14:37] difficult year-end [00:14:38] discussion, with, [00:14:39] uh, consequences on, on [00:14:40] tenant [00:14:41] relationships.
if you're doing it the, [00:14:42] to the benefit of the [00:14:43] tenant, well, then the, [00:14:44] manager or the owner of the real [00:14:45] estate is they're [00:14:46] losing just straight profit, [00:14:47] they're paying expenses they [00:14:48] shouldn't, they're also [00:14:49] gonna have implications [00:14:50] around, budgeting and [00:14:51] how, a-asset management [00:14:52] works, how if you're not [00:14:53] allocating correctly [00:14:54] across buildings and things like [00:14:55] that, the NOI [00:14:56] you're capping on that building [00:14:57] may be in- [00:14:58] inaccurate.
so it's gonna [00:14:59] have a lot of implications [00:15:00] on tenant relationships, [00:15:01] on the [00:15:02] financials, on the, you know, on [00:15:03] what's happening in the building. [00:15:04] And then there's [00:15:05] issues around just [00:15:06] spend efficiency , and, [00:15:07] timeliness, relationship with [00:15:08] vendors and things like [00:15:09] that. And so [00:15:10] it starts to impact a [00:15:11] lot of the parts of the [00:15:12] organization.
and then if [00:15:13] you have things like, oh, [00:15:14] maybe you didn't pay that electric [00:15:15] bill on time, like the electric [00:15:16] company will shut you off [00:15:17] without mercy, [00:15:18] and then you have a whole nother [00:15:19] problem. you don't want tenants [00:15:20] to be calling about the [00:15:21] lights off or the, the [00:15:22] tr- trash not being [00:15:23] picked up or your [00:15:24] insurance, lapses.
or [00:15:25] the, the sidewalks aren't [00:15:26] being shoveled. all [00:15:27] of that is really [00:15:28] impactful. And then, [00:15:29] you know, I think the other part of it [00:15:30] is on if you're not doing [00:15:31] it accurately, [00:15:32] the CFO or [00:15:33] the chief accounting [00:15:34] officer who's looking at [00:15:35] variance analysis and [00:15:36] understanding things [00:15:37] may not have a really [00:15:38] true picture of [00:15:39] what's going on.
[00:15:40] 'Cause accurate coding gives [00:15:41] you, you know, for better or for worse, [00:15:42] will show you opportunities and [00:15:43] problems. [00:15:44] And if you're just [00:15:45] trying to find the first [00:15:46] open bucket of budget, well [00:15:47] you're hiding, what's [00:15:48] actually impactful [00:15:49] there and, and, and that knowledge would [00:15:50] be important to [00:15:51] be able to, address [00:15:52] problems that might be [00:15:53] occurring.
it's the [00:15:54] entry door [00:15:55] to a lot of [00:15:56] different downstream parts of a [00:15:57] company. as you [00:15:58] said at the start, [00:15:59] oftentimes you don't really [00:16:00] appreciate that until [00:16:01] a critical person [00:16:02] [00:16:03] leaves
Edward: I mean, I, I [00:16:04] hope we're not [00:16:05] making any, [00:16:06] legal professional [00:16:07] listening to this [00:16:08] sweat [00:16:09] by you [00:16:10] listing everything that [00:16:11] c- that can [00:16:12] snowball, if [00:16:13] one critical [00:16:14] person leaves an [00:16:15] organization, and then, [00:16:16] all chaos [00:16:17] ensues. [00:16:18] something that you've [00:16:19] been, outspoken [00:16:20] about is [00:16:21] how every [00:16:22] vendor looks [00:16:23] good in a demo, [00:16:24] right?
[00:16:25] But how can a [00:16:26] commercial real estate finance [00:16:27] leader [00:16:28] listening to this right [00:16:29] now tell the [00:16:30] difference between software [00:16:31] that works in a [00:16:32] controlled environment [00:16:33] for [00:16:34] coding, accounts [00:16:35] payable and [00:16:36] software that survives [00:16:37] production?
David: [00:16:38] Yeah. And it's not just [00:16:39] true of accounts payable. [00:16:40] This is a, a [00:16:41] universal issue right now, [00:16:42] for better or for worse. There's an [00:16:43] explosion of firms. Like, the, [00:16:44] the bar [00:16:45] to get a, a pretty [00:16:46] looking MVP demo [00:16:47] is, you know, with cloud [00:16:48] code and everything else, is [00:16:49] very low. [00:16:50] and there is [00:16:51] a lot of slop [00:16:52] being built.
[00:16:53] and a lot of firms [00:16:54] that [00:16:55] are maybe [00:16:56] industry agnostic or [00:16:57] maybe addressing different [00:16:58] problems are, are [00:16:59] looking to expand their [00:17:00] market and, you [00:17:01] know, throw together some things and [00:17:02] say, "Oh, we're, you know, real [00:17:03] estate experts." And [00:17:04] so, you need to have a [00:17:05] high level of [00:17:06] skepticism, particularly today.[00:17:07]
So [00:17:08] what separates a, a [00:17:09] pretty demo from [00:17:10] something that's actually going to [00:17:11] work? And so I think I like [00:17:12] to separate this [00:17:13] into, a couple [00:17:14] buckets. So first [00:17:15] off is the core problem. [00:17:16] And [00:17:17] for simplicity here, [00:17:18] let's talk about coding an [00:17:19] invoice. And so, [00:17:20] um, even [00:17:21] back before [00:17:22] machine learning and AI and [00:17:23] all of that, back in the [00:17:24] day, people [00:17:25] said, "This is a solved [00:17:26] problem.
I got you the invoice [00:17:27] number, the total, and the due date. What [00:17:28] more do you need?"[00:17:29]
Edward: Right. [00:17:30] Not, not broken, why [00:17:31] fix it?
David: [00:17:32] yeah, turns out you do. [00:17:33] That's not the hard [00:17:34] part. That's the easy part. [00:17:35] And so, [00:17:36] what you need [00:17:37] with, with any [00:17:38] problem is-- [00:17:39] forget about technology, forget [00:17:40] about the method to [00:17:41] solve the problem. What you [00:17:42] need is [00:17:43] a thorough [00:17:44] understanding of the [00:17:45] problem.
And so [00:17:46] the problem here is I [00:17:47] need to properly [00:17:48] allocate [00:17:49] down to the, you know, [00:17:50] GL line item or [00:17:51] segment or whatever level [00:17:52] of detail you want, [00:17:53] this invoice [00:17:54] a-across a [00:17:55] portfolio. [00:17:56] And [00:17:57] invoice number, total, due date [00:17:58] are parts of that, but [00:17:59] it's the easy part [00:18:00] of that. [00:18:01] And so a, a [00:18:02] thorough understanding of your [00:18:03] problem will let [00:18:04] you evaluate [00:18:05] a potential solution.
Does it, does [00:18:06] it meet all of those [00:18:07] needs, right? And [00:18:08] so , what you [00:18:09] always wanna avoid is the [00:18:10] obscure edge case, [00:18:11] which is like, oh, this, [00:18:12] crazy situation on that. [00:18:13] But, the 80% to [00:18:14] 90% [00:18:15] of the typical [00:18:16] activity, is the [00:18:17] product going to do [00:18:18] that? so for [00:18:19] example, you might have, [00:18:20] another kind of older [00:18:21] technique was let's [00:18:22] preset a [00:18:23] GL code for a [00:18:24] specific vendor [00:18:25] Or let's [00:18:26] guess this is the last [00:18:27] GL code you used for that [00:18:28] vendor.
In [00:18:29] theory, that kind of works as [00:18:30] well. Okay, a vendor [00:18:31] does cleaning [00:18:32] like they're [00:18:33] cleaning, let's put it in [00:18:34] maintenance cleaning, [00:18:35] right? But [00:18:36] while that vendor also [00:18:37] maybe does snow removal, then [00:18:38] maybe they do [00:18:39] repairs, maybe [00:18:40] they, clean the carpets, [00:18:41] maybe they wash the windows, [00:18:42] maybe they, fix the [00:18:43] toilet.
Like, maybe [00:18:44] there's a bunch of things they [00:18:45] do and you [00:18:46] wanna track that to [00:18:47] understand where, you know, what [00:18:48] you're spending money on. [00:18:49] And [00:18:50] so the reality is [00:18:51] vendors do lots of things. [00:18:52] We looked across our [00:18:53] portfolio and about [00:18:54] a, a pretty [00:18:55] small subset, you know, kind of [00:18:56] sub 10%, do [00:18:57] you have single [00:18:58] vendor, single line, single [00:18:59] property?
Like that very [00:19:00] simple situation [00:19:01] is actually the minority. [00:19:02] What's [00:19:03] more typical in [00:19:04] 90-plus percent of the [00:19:05] situations is [00:19:06] multi-entity property, [00:19:07] multi [00:19:08] GL. a solution [00:19:09] needs to [00:19:10] understand nuance of [00:19:11] what vendors do, [00:19:12] where they do it, [00:19:13] and be able to [00:19:14] respect that [00:19:15] at that property [00:19:16] level. so that's the technical [00:19:17] thing, solving the [00:19:18] coding well.[00:19:19]
Also without you [00:19:20] explaining, I think that's another [00:19:21] part is like you, you don't have [00:19:22] time to spend nine months [00:19:23] building rules and templates, [00:19:24] so is this actually gonna [00:19:25] learn from my history? [00:19:26] is it built for real [00:19:27] estate? I think is another one, [00:19:28] 'cause real estate has [00:19:29] nuance. The other part [00:19:30] is, assuming that [00:19:31] they are perfect [00:19:32] for the core [00:19:33] task of understanding [00:19:34] coding, can they do [00:19:35] it with our [00:19:36] workflow?
'Cause I think the other [00:19:37] aspect here is, you [00:19:38] need to think about [00:19:39] how tech [00:19:40] fits into your [00:19:41] existing workflow, and I think this is where [00:19:42] a lot of demos blow [00:19:43] up, [00:19:44] is that maybe it does a good [00:19:45] job of, of a [00:19:46] task, [00:19:47] but there are [00:19:48] downstream [00:19:49] implications and [00:19:50] upstream implications of how [00:19:51] this thing flows [00:19:52] and moves.[00:19:53]
And so [00:19:54] if you're not able [00:19:55] to incorporate [00:19:56] it into your current [00:19:57] workflow, it's gonna be a, a, [00:19:58] you know, something sitting [00:19:59] on, uh, to the side not [00:20:00] being utilized, right? [00:20:01] If you're using some, [00:20:02] you clunky nightly [00:20:03] FTP load [00:20:04] that is, you know, it's gonna [00:20:05] break. It's gonna break down. [00:20:06] It's not gonna work, [00:20:07] at scale over [00:20:08] time.
And [00:20:09] so is it integrating [00:20:10] with our ERP? Are [00:20:11] we able to use that? And so [00:20:12] that's another part, [00:20:13] integration, core [00:20:14] integration. is it help the [00:20:15] workflow, and is it [00:20:16] considering kind of the [00:20:17] data implications [00:20:18] before it and [00:20:19] the data im- [00:20:20] implications after it? [00:20:21] And so those are the [00:20:22] key terms.
[00:20:23] total detail on, on the, [00:20:24] on the solution, [00:20:25] integration with the [00:20:26] workflow, and be able to work [00:20:27] at scale. I think those are [00:20:28] the keys[00:20:29]
Edward: Those are some great [00:20:30] key [00:20:31] questions [00:20:32] hopefully a vendor can [00:20:33] answer when any [00:20:34] commercial real estate finance [00:20:35] leader is, uh, [00:20:36] vetting a [00:20:37] vendor. [00:20:38] and we're certainly gonna talk [00:20:39] about integrations in a [00:20:40] minute, but, [00:20:41] David, walk us through [00:20:42] what PredictablyBe [00:20:43] does from the [00:20:44] moment an invoice [00:20:45] arrives to the moment [00:20:46] it's coded and [00:20:47] processed
David: [00:20:48] Yeah. So we want to [00:20:49] be invisible. We don't [00:20:50] want to be, uh, uh, uh, [00:20:51] noticeable in it. [00:20:52] So the [00:20:53] typical process for [00:20:54] us, the [00:20:55] workflow, we want to be [00:20:56] minimally disruptive. This is the [00:20:57] other thing, back to the, [00:20:58] the, our original start of how [00:20:59] do you affect change in an [00:21:00] organization.
I [00:21:01] think the more a [00:21:02] change [00:21:03] disrupts, the more [00:21:04] difficult it is to get [00:21:05] buy-in. And so from the [00:21:06] start, I wanted this to be as [00:21:07] turnkey as possible. I had [00:21:08] 20 years [00:21:09] of, of like seeing people saying, [00:21:10] "Oh, we work with Yardi. Just like [00:21:11] give us nine months to make it [00:21:12] work." And it's like, ugh, [00:21:13] it's a painful nine [00:21:14] months.
and [00:21:15] so
you check a [00:21:16] box to create an interface [00:21:17] user, you know, half an hour [00:21:18] technical time. Don't [00:21:19] explain anything to us. We [00:21:20] pull your history. There's so much [00:21:21] value in the work you've been [00:21:22] doing for years, right? [00:21:23] We pull that history, [00:21:24] and we have a model that, [00:21:25] that then builds, uh, [00:21:26] a model [00:21:27] specifically your, for your [00:21:28] firm.
and this [00:21:29] is kind of the, the gold [00:21:30] of what we do. We don't [00:21:31] look at things [00:21:32] generally and apply [00:21:33] general things. We build something [00:21:34] for you [00:21:35] specifically.
. [00:21:36] So, , the [00:21:37] workflow for an invoice [00:21:38] coming in will-- we [00:21:39] want, the client [00:21:40] to own their inbox. [00:21:41] I think a lot of, [00:21:42] firms in the AP [00:21:43] space, they want to [00:21:44] own your inbox. [00:21:45] It's a barrier to [00:21:46] exit. So if you're sending [00:21:47] it to, an [00:21:48] outsourced firm [00:21:49] and they own your [00:21:50] inbox, if you wanna switch, well, you [00:21:51] now have to tell all your [00:21:52] vendors, "Send it [00:21:53] somewhere else."
That's difficult. [00:21:54] You own your inbox. [00:21:55] If you use Predict or [00:21:56] not, that's best practice. [00:21:57] So anyone out there [00:21:58] who doesn't own your [00:21:59] AP inbox, own your [00:22:00] AP inbox and have an [00:22:01] invoices inbox [00:22:02] different than correspondence. So [00:22:03] just invoices go to this [00:22:04] inbox. So that's my [00:22:05] best practice [00:22:06] tip number one. [00:22:07] hits the inbox, [00:22:08] auto-forwards to us, and [00:22:09] we do have some electronic feeds.
So [00:22:10] in Europe, we have a, , [00:22:11] e-invoice integration, [00:22:12] and with some big [00:22:13] procurement firms, we do [00:22:14] electronic, uh, ingestion [00:22:15] like [00:22:16] DSSI and others. [00:22:17] But hits your [00:22:18] inbox, auto-forwards to [00:22:19] us. [00:22:20] 30 seconds to a [00:22:21] minute later, [00:22:22] it'll end up in [00:22:23] your Yardi, your [00:22:24] Nexus, or your, your downstream [00:22:25] AP system fully [00:22:26] coded. So what happens [00:22:27] is, is the invoice [00:22:28] comes in, we look at it, we [00:22:29] understand is it an [00:22:30] invoice or not?
[00:22:31] it's an invoice, what [00:22:32] type? what models should we [00:22:33] apply? figuring out all these [00:22:34] rules. [00:22:35] We can layer on [00:22:36] a certain, uh, levels [00:22:37] of tolerance, and [00:22:38] exception management, [00:22:39] like low confidence and things like [00:22:40] that. If it meets all the [00:22:41] criteria that this client [00:22:42] wants, and we do set [00:22:43] bunch of criteria on how [00:22:44] clients want, [00:22:45] want these things.
As some [00:22:46] clients say, "Hey, if [00:22:47] you're not absolutely sure of [00:22:48] the property, don't put [00:22:49] it in." Right? "If you're not [00:22:50] absolutely sure of the vendor, [00:22:51] don't put it in." Some people [00:22:52] say, "Put [00:22:53] everything in Yardi, we'll figure it [00:22:54] out." so [00:22:55] goes through those levels [00:22:56] of tolerance check. [00:22:57] It does the full [00:22:58] validation on the [00:22:59] ERP side.
So, you know, [00:23:00] Yardi is like, you know, [00:23:01] vendor prop security, [00:23:02] account prop security. Is [00:23:03] the vendor still a- [00:23:04] active? Was it inactivated? [00:23:05] Things like that. [00:23:06] ends up in Yardi [00:23:07] fully coded and, [00:23:08] really from the [00:23:09] perspective of the user in Yardi, it's [00:23:10] just magic, right? [00:23:11] Invoice hit the [00:23:12] inbox, it just shows up [00:23:13] in their Yardi queue ready to [00:23:14] be reviewed and [00:23:15] approved.
And the last [00:23:16] part of that is, so then [00:23:17] that workflow process in [00:23:18] Yardi is fully the [00:23:19] same. They review, they [00:23:20] approve, and [00:23:21] when that, when that final [00:23:22] approved invoice, uh, that [00:23:23] IR becomes a payable [00:23:24] and hits the trial balance in [00:23:25] Yardi, we take that [00:23:26] every night and retrain the [00:23:27] model. So every [00:23:28] single invoice, every single [00:23:29] day, we [00:23:30] are, [00:23:31] uh, learning from.
[00:23:32] And so it's really an invisible [00:23:33] feedback cycle, which is [00:23:34] why this is such a great [00:23:35] problem. Comes back [00:23:36] to us and we learn and get [00:23:37] smarter and smarter, [00:23:38] We, we found that [00:23:39] helps with accuracy [00:23:40] in a couple ways but that's the [00:23:41] general workflow. Inbox, code [00:23:42] in [00:23:43] [00:23:44] Yardi.
we do have an [00:23:45] app that's used [00:23:46] primarily [00:23:47] for exception management. [00:23:48] So our app is [00:23:49] very good at very granular [00:23:50] exception management, [00:23:51] because inevitably there are [00:23:52] exceptions, and that's [00:23:53] another, [00:23:54] uh, issue with, with some [00:23:55] of these, um, other [00:23:56] solutions, that they just have a [00:23:57] general [00:23:58] exception bucket and you end up with [00:23:59] 400 items [00:24:00] in there, and it's like, you know, [00:24:01] go find your five [00:24:02] items.
As opposed to [00:24:03] we say, "Oh, [00:24:04] I know it's in [00:24:05] Ohio in [00:24:06] this office building. [00:24:07] That this is the property [00:24:08] manager. Like, [00:24:09] but, we haven't seen this vendor [00:24:10] before, so, you [00:24:11] know, I think you need to make a new [00:24:12] vendor record." [00:24:13] And so on our side, we're looking [00:24:14] to make very granular [00:24:15] exception management
And I [00:24:16] think that's the big time [00:24:17] saver is that when there are [00:24:18] exceptions, [00:24:19] it's not finding that needle in [00:24:20] a haystack.
It's here [00:24:21] are your specific [00:24:22] items, and that saves a ton of [00:24:23] time,, with exception [00:24:24] [00:24:25] management.
Edward: Fascinating. I mean, [00:24:26] and you [00:24:27] already partnered with [00:24:28] some [00:24:29] large enterprise [00:24:30] firms leading [00:24:31] across commercial real estate, [00:24:32] including Related [00:24:33] Group and Bridge [00:24:34] Investment, [00:24:35] Whitestone. [00:24:36] so [00:24:37] talk about how does [00:24:38] cutting invoice [00:24:39] processing time from, [00:24:40] say, four to five [00:24:41] days down to [00:24:42] one or two [00:24:43] days change the [00:24:44] day-to-day of a [00:24:45] real estate finance [00:24:46] [00:24:47] team?
David: There's this, always [00:24:48] this push [00:24:49] to close [00:24:50] faster. [00:24:51] And, one of [00:24:52] the big, barriers to [00:24:53] that is making sure [00:24:54] your expenses are all... You know, [00:24:55] most real estate firms [00:24:56] are accrual-based, [00:24:57] and, the [00:24:58] processing time to [00:24:59] do this and do it [00:25:00] correctly and then audit [00:25:01] that it was done [00:25:02] correctly, can take a, a [00:25:03] ton of time.
And [00:25:04] so doing it, doing [00:25:05] it with much higher [00:25:06] accuracy. [00:25:07] And just to touch quickly [00:25:08] on accuracy, we, [00:25:09] we do find that [00:25:10] for [00:25:11] whatever reason, we have, uh, you know, [00:25:12] over 130 [00:25:13] clients now [00:25:14] and processing about seven [00:25:15] million invoices and, [00:25:16] and, and even some bigger [00:25:17] firms than the ones you [00:25:18] mentioned, like, like we have [00:25:19] Cushman and, and, you know, the CB [00:25:20] Fund Admin Group, [00:25:21] which are processing [00:25:22] massive amounts of, of [00:25:23] volume.
we [00:25:24] find that in those big orgs, [00:25:25] maybe you have [00:25:26] 40 people working on [00:25:27] this, and maybe 30 are [00:25:28] experienced and doing [00:25:29] really well, [00:25:30] and 10 are new, and they're [00:25:31] trying their best, right? And [00:25:32] they're, they're trying to, you [00:25:33] know, be that London [00:25:34] cab driver learning the [00:25:35] map, and it's [00:25:36] hard. so it's kinda [00:25:37] like giving that new [00:25:38] driver the [00:25:39] GPS a little bit,
[00:25:40] where we're gonna [00:25:41] pull up the newer members [00:25:42] of the team.
And that's what we [00:25:43] see with accuracy, is [00:25:44] that [00:25:45] the, the folks that [00:25:46] are learning get a [00:25:47] huge, huge [00:25:48] lift, and that [00:25:49] pushes the overall [00:25:50] accuracy much higher, and they [00:25:51] learn much quicker, [00:25:52] getting to kinda 85, [00:25:53] 90%. And [00:25:54] then what we [00:25:55] find is that [00:25:56] there's [00:25:57] usually someone at the end who [00:25:58] really knows it, like the, [00:25:59] you know, the old-timer, [00:26:00] who's tired of [00:26:01] telling the people, like, what they're [00:26:02] doing wrong and just [00:26:03] fixes it with a, with a [00:26:04] reclass or something, which [00:26:05] slows down this month-end [00:26:06] process a lot 'cause they're [00:26:07] reviewing all this stuff.
[00:26:08] And when we talk to them and [00:26:09] say, "Hey, if you change it [00:26:10] in the workflow, it [00:26:11] will learn, and you [00:26:12] won't have to do that [00:26:13] anymore." And they [00:26:14] do. And then they see, [00:26:15] wow, it actually works. And [00:26:16] so that pushes [00:26:17] that final bump to [00:26:18] kinda 90, [00:26:19] 95%. so, hey, you're [00:26:20] closing the books faster. You're [00:26:21] closing it more [00:26:22] accurately.
So every [00:26:23] month, every quarter, [00:26:24] that's gonna allow you to do your [00:26:25] closes more quickly, which [00:26:26] has big [00:26:27] downstream impacts. [00:26:28] it's allowing [00:26:29] you to, [00:26:30] you know, year-end when you're [00:26:31] doing, CAM [00:26:32] reconciliation with your [00:26:33] tenants or in, in, you know, [00:26:34] retail [00:26:35] recoveries, much, much [00:26:36] easier process, much [00:26:37] fewer arguments with your [00:26:38] tenants, um, all of [00:26:39] that.
So you're [00:26:40] recovering the minor amount, you're doing [00:26:41] it more [00:26:42] quickly, that's gonna enable [00:26:43] you, uh, to, [00:26:44] to focus on other things. [00:26:45] And then other, [00:26:46] um, say [00:26:47] multifamily, if you're thinking [00:26:48] about, [00:26:49] hey, you can have more [00:26:50] dramatic changes where [00:26:51] if I'm spending six, [00:26:52] seven hours a week [00:26:53] as a multifamily [00:26:54] onsite manager [00:26:55] and this is an [00:26:56] example of, um, uh, [00:26:57] one of our big, uh, [00:26:58] third-party service providers.
[00:26:59] They wanted to centralize [00:27:00] that. They saw, "Hey, we [00:27:01] want them just doing [00:27:02] tenant-facing [00:27:03] leasing." [00:27:04] And they tried and [00:27:05] they failed because the knowledge [00:27:06] was there a few, a few [00:27:07] times. But then they [00:27:08] said, "Well, this [00:27:09] actually worked. This, this p- [00:27:10] proof of concept [00:27:11] worked, where I can [00:27:12] centralize." And they built a shared services [00:27:13] team around that.
and [00:27:14] then they took all that [00:27:15] time away from [00:27:16] the onsite person [00:27:17] doing back office work, and [00:27:18] now they're doing tenant-facing [00:27:19] work. Dramatic change, [00:27:20] right? 'Cause then you're driving [00:27:21] leasing, [00:27:22] revenue, [00:27:23] community building, which is [00:27:24] what you really want. That's where [00:27:25] AI will never be able [00:27:26] to [00:27:27] replace that human [00:27:28] interaction onsite.
It's a [00:27:29] little harder to [00:27:30] quantify the actual dollar figure [00:27:31] there, but you can look at leases, [00:27:32] lease rates and [00:27:33] occupancy. But so you [00:27:34] have immediate [00:27:35] efficiency on back [00:27:36] office. You have, you [00:27:37] know, better re- [00:27:38] recovery retention, [00:27:39] better, uh, [00:27:40] tenant relations with that, and then [00:27:41] you have, uh, ability [00:27:42] to kind of drive revenue [00:27:43] with, tenant interactions and [00:27:44] leasing with the time freed [00:27:45] up.
Edward: [00:27:46] Certainly, uh, we're all, [00:27:47] uh, learning as we go [00:27:48] where the human stays in [00:27:49] the loop and what, how [00:27:50] does the human role [00:27:51] evolve, to be [00:27:52] even more valuable [00:27:53] and satisfying [00:27:54] for everyone. [00:27:55] you [00:27:56] touched on this earlier, [00:27:57] but [00:27:58] integration. So [00:27:59] PredictAP plugs into [00:28:00] Yardi and Nexus [00:28:01] without disrupting [00:28:02] existing workflows.[00:28:03]
Why does that [00:28:04] integration path [00:28:05] matter so much for [00:28:06] adoption, [00:28:07] especially across the large [00:28:08] enterprises?[00:28:09]
David: Yeah, and actually [00:28:10] one to add to there, we're, [00:28:11] we're, now partnered with [00:28:12] ResMed as well. [00:28:13] Integration I think is [00:28:14] actually [00:28:15] one of the most critical [00:28:16] parts.
And it, it's what [00:28:17] separates something that [00:28:18] [00:28:19] is a novel [00:28:20] science [00:28:21] experiment versus something [00:28:22] that's directly [00:28:23] impacting your [00:28:24] day-to-day operations. [00:28:25] And I think the more [00:28:26] friction between [00:28:27] [00:28:28] applications, the more, [00:28:29] uh, [00:28:30] difficult it is to actually be [00:28:31] adopted. [00:28:32] And so having a [00:28:33] proper integration [00:28:34] that's reliable, that [00:28:35] doesn't break down, [00:28:36] right?
If there's an issue, it [00:28:37] doesn't stop the whole [00:28:38] process and now your [00:28:39] AP's done when someone says, [00:28:40] "Oh, the ETL load [00:28:41] stopped at row 13 [00:28:42] 'cause it was invalid," and [00:28:43] the whole train has [00:28:44] come to a halt, right?[00:28:45]
And someone's gotta go to [00:28:46] diagnose it and figure it [00:28:47] out and then, you know, [00:28:48] row 57 has an [00:28:49] issue. and then are [00:28:50] you learning, right? Are you [00:28:51] keeping up to date [00:28:52] with the Yardi [00:28:53] side or the Nexus side [00:28:54] changes every day. You add [00:28:55] vendors, you [00:28:56] sell properties, [00:28:57] users come and [00:28:58] go. So you [00:28:59] wanna make sure that's all [00:29:00] as seamless as [00:29:01] possible without becoming [00:29:02] another job.
[00:29:03] so I think it's one of the critical [00:29:04] parts of, of [00:29:05] doing that. And it, and it's [00:29:06] not, from a, [00:29:07] a software vendor's [00:29:08] perspective, [00:29:09] it's not [00:29:10] as easy as just [00:29:11] plugging [00:29:12] into an API, right? [00:29:13] You have to think, [00:29:14] consider [00:29:15] what errors happen, [00:29:16] right? What do you wanna do if the [00:29:17] insurance certificate is [00:29:18] expired or, you [00:29:19] know, something gets [00:29:20] timed out or is invalid?
And [00:29:21] we spend a lot of our [00:29:22] engineering to make all [00:29:23] these things that [00:29:24] happen [00:29:25] in this [00:29:26] API world to [00:29:27] seem invisible, and [00:29:28] not every firm does [00:29:29] that. I think they look at [00:29:30] it as an afterthought, say, "Oh, [00:29:31] go complain to the, you [00:29:32] know, go complain to the [00:29:33] ERP." but for us, [00:29:34] we wanna, make [00:29:35] it just as, [00:29:36] the client does not [00:29:37] need to worry [00:29:38] about Um, and that takes [00:29:39] effort and engineering and [00:29:40] intention. And I think [00:29:41] a lot of firms focus [00:29:42] so much on the core [00:29:43] problem, they fail to recognize [00:29:44] the impacts of a [00:29:45] [00:29:46] suboptimal, uh, integration [00:29:47] experience, and I think that [00:29:48] is where a lot of things [00:29:49] actually break down and [00:29:50] die.
Edward: [00:29:51] Let's move on to a topic [00:29:52] that is top of mind [00:29:53] for everyone right [00:29:54] now across commercial [00:29:55] real estate and beyond.
[00:29:56] So commercial [00:29:57] real estate firms are [00:29:58] experimenting with AI [00:29:59] everywhere right [00:30:00] now. AI has [00:30:01] certainly lowered the cost of [00:30:02] building software [00:30:03] dramatically. [00:30:04] so in terms [00:30:05] of the conversation of [00:30:06] buy versus [00:30:07] build, [00:30:08] how should a [00:30:09] [00:30:10] CFO or COO be thinking [00:30:11] through the build [00:30:12] versus buy decision [00:30:13] right now, especially [00:30:14] when it comes to [00:30:15] accounts payable, but also [00:30:16] in general?[00:30:17]
David: Yeah, [00:30:18] no, this is, this is the [00:30:19] hot topic. [00:30:20] and I, I'm a [00:30:21] builder, right? And [00:30:22] so, I think there's a [00:30:23] couple aspects we [00:30:24] can touch on [00:30:25] here. the, the first [00:30:26] one [00:30:27] is [00:30:28] I do think [00:30:29] you want [00:30:30] to have-- make sure [00:30:31] everyone [00:30:32] is adding [00:30:33] to their tool [00:30:34] set, these new [00:30:35] tools, right? Personal [00:30:36] enablement. it's like, [00:30:37] say Excel came to [00:30:38] the office and someone's [00:30:39] like, "Oh, I'm gonna use my, you [00:30:40] know, calculator."
It's like, [00:30:41] no, you need to learn [00:30:42] Excel. So [00:30:43] we all need to learn. If you [00:30:44] wanna stay competitive, you wanna [00:30:45] stay, progressing in [00:30:46] your career, [00:30:47] you need to learn how to [00:30:48] use these tools, [00:30:49] to enhance your day-to-day.
[00:30:50] Then when it comes [00:30:51] to, actual [00:30:52] applications,
I talked to a bunch of [00:30:53] CTOs and, and we did an [00:30:54] e-book, which talked [00:30:55] about a lot of these [00:30:56] considerations. [00:30:57] But, really you wanna [00:30:58] think about [00:30:59] [00:31:00] what's the business [00:31:01] problem. So I think that's first and [00:31:02] foremost, You don't wanna [00:31:03] have [00:31:04] AI and go look for a problem. You [00:31:05] wanna have a [00:31:06] problem [00:31:07] and realize, oh, [00:31:08] AI could be a solution for [00:31:09] this one, right?
But [00:31:10] y- [00:31:11] if you're building [00:31:12] something, there needs to be a [00:31:13] very good reason, [00:31:14] [00:31:15] and it should be [00:31:16] something that's really [00:31:17] unique to your business, [00:31:18] really a competitive edge to [00:31:19] your business, [00:31:20] and something where there [00:31:21] isn't a good solution in [00:31:22] market. I've seen it [00:31:23] a lot of times with Predict [00:31:24] where someone says, "Oh, we're gonna go [00:31:25] build what you build."
I [00:31:26] s- I'm like, "Great. [00:31:27] Go, go for it." I had a [00:31:28] client that, uh, a [00:31:29] potential client, they're a client now, [00:31:30] that said, "We're gonna go build [00:31:31] this, and we'll, you know, if it doesn't [00:31:32] work, we'll be back in six months." [00:31:33] Well, If they can [00:31:34] build something better than me, then I [00:31:35] shouldn't exist. You know, [00:31:36] that's the way I look at it, [00:31:37] in certain [00:31:38] problems, I think the [00:31:39] more, a problem [00:31:40] requires [00:31:41] critical judgment and nuance [00:31:42] and all that, it becomes harder [00:31:43] and harder to build [00:31:44] as, we've seen with our [00:31:45] own difficulties [00:31:46] around how to get [00:31:47] really smart intelligence around [00:31:48] very [00:31:49] customer-specific nuanced [00:31:50] logical [00:31:51] outcomes, especially [00:31:52] because most of the people are [00:31:53] building with LLMs, [00:31:54] which [00:31:55] I think are [00:31:56] excellent at building.
[00:31:57] They're great [00:31:58] at, brainstorming and [00:31:59] refining and all that, [00:32:00] but they're at their [00:32:01] core [00:32:02] non-deterministic, which means they will [00:32:03] give you different [00:32:04] outputs for [00:32:05] the same input [00:32:06] based on [00:32:07] many, many, many [00:32:08] things. And so [00:32:09] with a lot of [00:32:10] these back [00:32:11] office finance and accounting [00:32:12] tasks, [00:32:13] you need a [00:32:14] d-deterministic method.
You need to have [00:32:15] certainty and [00:32:16] repeatability [00:32:17] to the outcome. [00:32:18] And [00:32:19] so I think [00:32:20] that [00:32:21] building with an [00:32:22] LLM, [00:32:23] much better than building [00:32:24] on an LLM [00:32:25] to execute with, these types [00:32:26] of tasks. and [00:32:27] then you need [00:32:28] to, really [00:32:29] have [00:32:30] intention, [00:32:31] understand the problem, and [00:32:32] then realize that there [00:32:33] isn't a good solution in the [00:32:34] market.
[00:32:35] because a- again, we're, [00:32:36] $15 million [00:32:37] into doing this [00:32:38] well and learning from [00:32:39] best practices [00:32:40] from 130 real estate [00:32:41] companies. we [00:32:42] should be s- [00:32:43] dramatically better than, [00:32:44] what, the b- best of intention [00:32:45] firm is. [00:32:46] but there could be cases [00:32:47] again, where it's [00:32:48] very specific, [00:32:49] nuanced and, and, [00:32:50] only for your firm.[00:32:51]
And I love [00:32:52] how this gap [00:32:53] between [00:32:54] business [00:32:55] knowledge and [00:32:56] understanding and [00:32:57] technical capabilities to [00:32:58] do something about it is [00:32:59] close. We're gonna see, you [00:33:00] know, amazing things [00:33:01] come out. it's like [00:33:02] back when Excel [00:33:03] days when the Excel macro [00:33:04] recorder came out. It's [00:33:05] like, "Oh, I can do [00:33:06] everything." Um, [00:33:07] so I'm excited to see [00:33:08] that.
the last, [00:33:09] part on this, so again, [00:33:10] kind of [00:33:11] buy what's out there and [00:33:12] working well that's [00:33:13] not [00:33:14] core, like [00:33:15] alpha for your business [00:33:16] that's providing advantage [00:33:17] and build, you [00:33:18] know, either discrete [00:33:19] tasks that, just [00:33:20] help with [00:33:21] productivity or [00:33:22] things that are really [00:33:23] unique to your business [00:33:24] that someone's not addressing.[00:33:25]
The other aspect of [00:33:26] this, which I think is actually the [00:33:27] goldmine, [00:33:28] is back to [00:33:29] our original comment [00:33:30] around the naive [00:33:31] optimist in your firm. [00:33:32] I think this is a great time [00:33:33] to find those [00:33:34] people, ? Find the people [00:33:35] who [00:33:36] know enough [00:33:37] about their job [00:33:38] and care [00:33:39] enough. Folks who are [00:33:40] like, "I wanna continue to [00:33:41] push the boundaries and make [00:33:42] things better."[00:33:43]
And when it [00:33:44] comes to build versus [00:33:45] buy, first [00:33:46] off, I think it [00:33:47] enables you to find those [00:33:48] people. [00:33:49] And [00:33:50] firms are gonna take either a [00:33:51] sheriff approach, where [00:33:52] it's gonna like be like, [00:33:53] "We're locking down this [00:33:54] stuff. we're very [00:33:55] concerned about shadow IT. [00:33:56] We're very concerned [00:33:57] about people going off the [00:33:58] rails, all that.
So we're gonna [00:33:59] come be a sheriff and [00:34:00] just, you know, come down with [00:34:01] an iron fist on [00:34:02] it." I am fearful [00:34:03] of That approach [00:34:04] because I [00:34:05] think at [00:34:06] best you're gonna take those [00:34:07] encouraged people and [00:34:08] discourage them. You're gonna [00:34:09] make them into [00:34:10] nine-to-five people, right? You're [00:34:11] gonna say, "Well, why am I [00:34:12] trying then?"
[00:34:13] Right? Congratulations, you [00:34:14] just took a high [00:34:15] performer and made them an average [00:34:16] performer. Or [00:34:17] you're not gonna [00:34:18] discourage them and they're gonna get really good [00:34:19] at hiding it, and then you have a a [00:34:20] bigger problem of this, [00:34:21] this stuff.
And so I [00:34:22] actually [00:34:23] look at it more as a... [00:34:24] the, the shepherd, [00:34:25] right? [00:34:26] Setting boundaries, setting [00:34:27] security, but [00:34:28] encouraging folks, , [00:34:29] to make change. [00:34:30] And if you do that [00:34:31] well, um, and it may [00:34:32] not be the change may not be [00:34:33] building something, right?
The change [00:34:34] may be finding a [00:34:35] solution, but someone's gonna say, [00:34:36] "Hey, this is the problem I thought [00:34:37] about building [00:34:38] something for." Then you have a [00:34:39] discussion. Maybe you do [00:34:40] or maybe you don't, or maybe you go [00:34:41] find a solution that does it. [00:34:42] But I think it's gonna at [00:34:43] least create these [00:34:44] conversations. If you do it [00:34:45] well, your firm can be [00:34:46] dramatically changed over time [00:34:47] because you're having the actual [00:34:48] users build that, which [00:34:49] is gonna create [00:34:50] momentum and buy-in that [00:34:51] bottoms up, change [00:34:52] always is much [00:34:53] easier to implement than the [00:34:54] top-down kind of mandate.[00:34:55]
Edward: [00:34:56] Mm-hmm. Mm-hmm. I [00:34:57] think to your point [00:34:58] about the, [00:34:59] employees that wanna [00:35:00] push the boundaries, you [00:35:01] know, nowadays they [00:35:02] can be the, the [00:35:03] tinkerers as well. [00:35:04] their, their naive optimism [00:35:05] maybe end up [00:35:06] being killed or they [00:35:07] may end up leaving the [00:35:08] firm, which, you know, it's [00:35:09] the, the brain drain [00:35:10] that can happen [00:35:11] when, when you're not, [00:35:12] encouraging [00:35:13] But [00:35:14] why would you want [00:35:15] to [00:35:16] discourage or [00:35:17] push away [00:35:18] the folks [00:35:19] that can [00:35:20] really take [00:35:21] your firm to the [00:35:22] next level?[00:35:23]
David: Yeah, [00:35:24] absolutely
Edward: [00:35:25] so [00:35:26] certainly there can be a lot of risks [00:35:27] from, uh, just [00:35:28] vibe coding. [00:35:29] but, something that you've said in [00:35:30] the past is [00:35:31] how [00:35:32] the [00:35:33] accounts [00:35:34] payable are the [00:35:35] highest volume [00:35:36] entry point for a [00:35:37] financial [00:35:38] misstatement in commercial [00:35:39] real estate, , [00:35:40] which leads to [00:35:41] audit risk, [00:35:42] right?
So how [00:35:43] does [00:35:44] automating accounts [00:35:45] payable coding [00:35:46] change the - audit risk [00:35:47] profile for a real [00:35:48] estate firm?[00:35:49]
David: [00:35:50] Yeah, I think it goes, [00:35:51] back to [00:35:52] volume. It's a volume [00:35:53] issue and a [00:35:54] nuance issue. , [00:35:55] And, , if [00:35:56] you have [00:35:57] tools that [00:35:58] enable your team to [00:35:59] focus on the [00:36:00] exceptions [00:36:01] and you [00:36:02] have a, [00:36:03] technical safety [00:36:04] net of like understanding [00:36:05] where things should end [00:36:06] up, you not only are you gonna [00:36:07] do more, you're gonna do it [00:36:08] quicker, but you're gonna have [00:36:09] much more [00:36:10] consistency.
And the [00:36:11] issues are gonna be,, [00:36:12] brought to the attention [00:36:13] of folks, that [00:36:14] have that higher level [00:36:15] knowledge to, to deal [00:36:16] with kind of one-off and [00:36:17] exceptions, uh, [00:36:18] much, much more [00:36:19] consistently. The old [00:36:20] ways of, of [00:36:21] having an auditor, you [00:36:22] know, take a random sample [00:36:23] of 100 invoices [00:36:24] and, compare [00:36:25] it, the, the auditors are [00:36:26] gonna be doing [00:36:27] a much more holistic [00:36:28] view of how these things are [00:36:29] done and [00:36:30] look for [00:36:31] inconsistencies.
and [00:36:32] so It's [00:36:33] up to [00:36:34] firms [00:36:35] to, I think, adopt [00:36:36] policies and [00:36:37] technology [00:36:38] that enable that to be [00:36:39] much more, , [00:36:40] consistent and [00:36:41] accurate, and to be able to [00:36:42] demonstrate to the [00:36:43] auditors that they are [00:36:44] continuing to improve their, , [00:36:45] their controls, , [00:36:46] augmenting people with [00:36:47] technology and, [00:36:48] process controls.
[00:36:49] another aspect of what [00:36:50] we're getting [00:36:51] into, beyond [00:36:52] just doing [00:36:53] coding, 'cause our-- Our coding [00:36:54] always attempts to match the [00:36:55] historical pattern, for better [00:36:56] or for worse. an [00:36:57] example of for [00:36:58] worse might be something where, [00:36:59] hey, electric [00:37:00] bill comes in for [00:37:01] $20,000, and there's a [00:37:02] late fee [00:37:03] for 500 bucks, [00:37:04] and so it's hitting the ledger [00:37:05] as [00:37:06] 20,500 electricity.[00:37:07]
Well, that's not [00:37:08] accurate, right? There's [00:37:09] $500 of [00:37:10] late fees, that are [00:37:11] really [00:37:12] being shown as [00:37:13] electricity. [00:37:14] The CFO might wanna know [00:37:15] that there's, [00:37:16] $20,000 of late fees in [00:37:17] aggregate in, [00:37:18] in, in, in the ledger and [00:37:19] do something about that. It's [00:37:20] controllable. [00:37:21] but oftentimes [00:37:22] people maybe take a [00:37:23] shortcut and say, [00:37:24] you know, "I have some open budget [00:37:25] here.
I don't wanna make a budget [00:37:26] variance [00:37:27] explanation. Let me put the, [00:37:28] marketing stuff into [00:37:29] snow removal 'cause it didn't [00:37:30] snow." that's a [00:37:31] problem. It's not [00:37:32] right, and it, and it can be [00:37:33] very difficult [00:37:34] to spot at [00:37:35] scale, with tools [00:37:36] like ourselves, and we're [00:37:37] getting more [00:37:38] into, [00:37:39] highlighting for the customer where [00:37:40] we think there's [00:37:41] potentially [00:37:42] [00:37:43] inconsistencies or lack of [00:37:44] granularity [00:37:45] about coding.
[00:37:46] Another example might be of a, [00:37:47] a big list of [00:37:48] IT things, and the first thing [00:37:49] was a laptop [00:37:50] and, but then you had, [00:37:51] Microsoft Dynamics [00:37:52] or Office [00:37:53] 365 or Teams or whatever it [00:37:54] was, and they just put everything [00:37:55] under laptops because [00:37:56] that was the first thing on the [00:37:57] line. Well, that's a loss of [00:37:58] granularity.
[00:37:59] able to highlight those things [00:38:00] and, and, and make a [00:38:01] proactive decision about [00:38:02] doing something about that, [00:38:03] that's a thing [00:38:04] we do with, with our Read [00:38:05] product, where we're telling [00:38:06] you, "Hey, these, these are [00:38:07] areas you should look at. [00:38:08] Even though the [00:38:09] coding's matching a [00:38:10] pattern, you should look at that 'cause [00:38:11] we think the pattern [00:38:12] maybe, needs to be looked [00:38:13] at."
and so these tools [00:38:14] should, be enabling you, all [00:38:15] of tech should be enabling you [00:38:16] to do more, [00:38:17] more consistently, [00:38:18] and [00:38:19] having humans [00:38:20] focus [00:38:21] on either human [00:38:22] interactions or [00:38:23] focus on [00:38:24] exceptions or things that don't [00:38:25] look right. and so I [00:38:26] think from an audit perspective [00:38:27] that... And then there's [00:38:28] just downright pure [00:38:29] fraud, where we're able to look [00:38:30] at things like, are these [00:38:31] wire [00:38:32] instructions normal, right?
[00:38:33] Has this document been [00:38:34] edited? I think [00:38:35] the, bad guys of the world [00:38:36] are the first to adopt [00:38:37] AI and [00:38:38] so the attempts [00:38:39] to defraud are, are [00:38:40] getting much more [00:38:41] sophisticated and much more [00:38:42] widespread. The scale of fraud [00:38:43] is much bigger.
Edward: [00:38:44] Yep, yep. [00:38:45] last but not [00:38:46] least, David, [00:38:47] collaboration [00:38:48] superpower. If you could partner [00:38:49] with one person, [00:38:50] historic or [00:38:51] living, real or [00:38:52] fictional, who would it be?[00:38:53]
David: Oh, [00:38:54] wow. So [00:38:55] the first thing that popped in [00:38:56] my f- my mind was [00:38:57] Richard Feynman, the, [00:38:58] the [00:38:59] physicist. he was just a [00:39:00] tinkerer and a [00:39:01] problem-solver. I just [00:39:02] love that [00:39:03] [00:39:04] desire to dig into [00:39:05] problems. He's a really interesting [00:39:06] guy. I recommend he's got some [00:39:07] really a- [00:39:08] approachable books about [00:39:09] his time.
A fascinating [00:39:10] character. He worked on [00:39:11] the Manhattan Project. [00:39:12] He, uh, really [00:39:13] drove a lot of, [00:39:14] uh, interesting, [00:39:15] advances in physics. And [00:39:16] also, and actually, he, [00:39:17] he had an [00:39:18] obsession with, uh, [00:39:19] correcting errors in, [00:39:20] uh, in school [00:39:21] textbooks, which is [00:39:22] interesting.
There's a story [00:39:23] about how when he [00:39:24] was at the [00:39:25] Manhattan, you know, the US [00:39:26] in World War [00:39:27] II trying to build the bomb, [00:39:28] he got into [00:39:29] safe cracking, and he, like, [00:39:30] cracked the safe there, and they were like, [00:39:31] "What the heck is going [00:39:32] on?" They didn't know if he was a [00:39:33] Russian spy or not. [00:39:34] But he was like, "I wanna figure out how [00:39:35] to crack safes."
[00:39:36] And, I find that [00:39:37] fascinating. I love talking to people [00:39:38] who, like to [00:39:39] understand what, what [00:39:40] problems are , and think [00:39:41] of creative solutions. [00:39:42] So that was my [00:39:43] instant reaction when you [00:39:44] p- top- popped it out there. [00:39:45] If I thought longer, I'd probably have to [00:39:46] figure someone who could, uh, [00:39:47] help predict [00:39:48] APMR from a [00:39:49] technical level.
But, [00:39:50] you know,
Edward: I mean, [00:39:51] Mr. Richard [00:39:52] Feynman, [00:39:53] Nobel Prize in [00:39:54] Physics in [00:39:55] 1965, [00:39:56] I think he's, he's [00:39:57] qualified for, [00:39:58] uh, AP. almost [00:39:59] qualified for [00:40:00] commercial real estate[00:40:01]
David: I'm sure-- You know what? I'm [00:40:02] sure he'd get into it. Yeah, he'd [00:40:03] get into it and he'd, he'd [00:40:04] think of, uh, some
pretty [00:40:05] cool [00:40:06] solutions. [00:40:07] Yeah, exactly.[00:40:08]
Edward: David [00:40:09] Workin, Tangent [00:40:10] listeners, and [00:40:11] commercial real estate finance [00:40:12] leaders learn [00:40:13] more about [00:40:14] PredictAP and [00:40:15] connect with [00:40:16] you
David: I'm very active on [00:40:17] LinkedIn and I, [00:40:18] don't write about [00:40:19] PredictAP on LinkedIn. I always try to [00:40:20] put articles, , [00:40:21] that are interesting, [00:40:22] best practices. I [00:40:23] actually just did one [00:40:24] on, on actually [00:40:25] the monetization of [00:40:26] LLMs and you [00:40:27] you're building a [00:40:28] infinite subscription [00:40:29] every time you hit enter [00:40:30] and things like that.
so [00:40:31] check me out on [00:40:32] LinkedIn. and then [00:40:33] predictap.com obviously [00:40:34] we have a blog, , that's a [00:40:35] little more PredictAP [00:40:36] heavy but also has some good [00:40:37] content in there. [00:40:38] And then I'm, , at [00:40:39] every conference I feel like, [00:40:40] so, you know, feel free [00:40:41] to, uh, connect with me [00:40:42] and if you're at Blueprint [00:40:43] coming up or [00:40:44] AFP or [00:40:45] Optech or [00:40:46] Realcomm or Redcon or any of the [00:40:47] cons, , I'll be [00:40:48] there.
So, uh, you know, feel [00:40:49] free to, reach out. I always love [00:40:50] talking tech. [00:40:51]
Edward: David, [00:40:52] thank you so much for [00:40:53] coming to Tanium today.[00:40:54]
David: Yeah. [00:40:55] Thank you. Appreciate the [00:40:56] time
Edward: [00:40:57] [00:40:58] [00:40:59] [00:41:00] [00:41:01] Muchas [00:41:02] gracias. If you learn [00:41:03] something new or [00:41:04] enjoy the [00:41:05] conversation. Text a [00:41:06] friend the link to this [00:41:07] episode right now.
[00:41:08] [00:41:09] You can [00:41:10] find links, [00:41:11] resources, and ways to [00:41:12] connect with us in the show [00:41:13] notes [00:41:14] [00:41:15] [00:41:16]