Cedric: Welcome to the Geopolitical
Report Daily for March 14, 2025.
Complete reports with casualty
information, interactive web maps, and
our IntelHub dashboard are available with
a Geopolitical Report Pro subscription.
Thursday, we collected 65 events,
including Putin responding to the
ceasefire deal, so let's get started.
"Russia
Russia has presented a list of
demands to the US for a deal
to end the war in Ukraine and
reset relations with Washington.
The demands, similar to those presented
in the past, include no NATO membership
for Ukraine, no foreign troops in Ukraine,
and international recognition of Crimea
and four provinces as part of Russia."
"Russia
The US and Ukraine have proposed a
30-day ceasefire, but Putin's foreign
policy advisor stated he sees it
as a chance for Ukraine to regroup.
The Kremlin believes it has the
upper hand in the war and wants
Ukraine to withdraw from occupied
regions, promise not to join NATO, and
protect Russian culture and language.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has
urged his soldiers to secure a quick
victory and has suggested creating
a ""security zone"" on the border."
"Iran
Iran's foreign minister, Abbas
Araghchi, has stated that talks
with the US can only occur if both
countries are on ""equal terms.""
This comes after US President
Donald Trump sent a letter to Iran's
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
proposing nuclear talks while also
warning that Iran can be handled
either militarily or through a deal.
Araghchi emphasized that Iran will
not negotiate from a weak position and
requires the US to abandon its ""maximum
pressure"" campaign to consider talks."
"Iran
The US Treasury Department has
issued sanctions against Iran's
oil minister, Mohsen Paknejad, as
part of President Donald Trump's
""maximum pressure"" policy on Tehran.
The sanctions aim to restrict Iran's
ability to disguise its illicit oil
trade, targeting three entities in
China and three shipping vessels.
This move comes after the Trump
administration sent a letter
to Iran's supreme leader urging
negotiations and warning of possible
military action if Iran refused."
"Armenia
Armenia's Foreign Ministry has finalized a
draft peace agreement with Azerbaijan and
is ready to discuss signing a final deal.
The agreement aims to end the
long-running conflict between the
two countries, which has its roots in
the late 1980s when Nagorno-Karabakh
broke away from Azerbaijan."
"China
On Thursday, the Department of Foreign
Affairs (DFA) confirmed the arrest of
three Filipinos in Hainan Province,
China, over allegations of espionage.
Two Filipino students were
awarded scholarships through an
agreement established between the
Chinese province of Hainan and the
Philippine province of Palawan."
"Democratic Republic of Congo
Direct peace talks between the
DRC and M23 rebels are scheduled
to begin in Angola on March 18.
The talks aim to mediate a lasting
ceasefire and de-escalate tensions
between the DRC and neighboring
Rwanda, which is accused of
backing the Tutsi-led rebel group.
The conflict has resulted in at
least 7,000 deaths and 600,000
displaced people since November, with
fears of an all-out regional war."
"Ethiopia
The Tigray region in Ethiopia is on
the brink of another crisis after a
faction of the Tigray People's Liberation
Front (TPLF) seized control of two
major towns, Adigrat and Adi-Gudem.
This move has raised fears of a
return to civil war and has been
described by the interim government
as a ""potential coup attempt."""
"Lebanon
The Lebanese army has received a soldier
who was detained by Israel, marking the
fifth and final soldier to be released in
a ""gesture to the Lebanese president.""
The soldier was transferred to
Lebanon by the Red Cross and
taken to a hospital for treatment.
This release comes amid ongoing
talks between Lebanon and Israel."
"Myanmar
The Arakan Army (AA) has reportedly seized
assets worth $6 million from Kyauk Taung,
a prominent businessperson in Taungup
in Rakhine State, on allegations of
collaborating with the military regime.
Kyauk Taung owns properties
and businesses in Arakan.
The AA now controls 14 towns in
the state, including Taungup."
"South Sudan
South Sudanese authorities have arrested
at least 22 opposition leaders and
military personnel in connection with
violent clashes between government
forces and armed groups in Upper Nile.
The arrests, which began on March
4, have sparked concerns about
enforced disappearances and the
disregard for due process rights.
The individuals detained since March 4 are
affiliated with First Vice President Riek
Machar, the leader of the Sudan People's
Liberation Army in Opposition (SPLA-IO).
The arrests occurred amidst a political
crisis in Nasir, Upper Nile, where clashes
between government forces and armed
youth militia, known as the White Army,
have displaced thousands of civilians."
"Syria
Syrian interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa
has issued a decree to establish a
national security council, which will
be responsible for making decisions
on national security and addressing
challenges facing the country."
"Syria
Syria's interim president, Ahmad
Al-Sharaa, has signed a temporary
constitution that will govern
the country for five years.
The constitution maintains some provisions
from the previous one, including the
stipulation that the head of state
must be a Muslim, but also includes
freedoms of expression and the press.
A new committee will be formed to
draft a permanent constitution,
but its inclusivity is uncertain.
The temporary constitution
aims to provide a timeline for
Syria's political transition"
"Taiwan
Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te warned
on Thursday that China has intensified
its influence campaigns and infiltration
efforts against Taiwan, aiming to
""absorb"" the democratic island.
Lai said Beijing is using Taiwan's
democracy to infiltrate various sectors
of society, including organized crime
groups, media personalities, and current
and former military and police officers.
President Lai proposed 17 legal
and economic countermeasures
in response to these threats,
including stricter reviews of"
"India
A joint operation by paramilitary
forces and Manipur police in the
Churachandpur and Kakching districts
resulted in the seizure of a large
cache of firearms and explosives.
The security personnel recovered 3
Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs),
11 high explosive hand grenades,
various firearms, and ammunition,
including live rounds and empty cases.
The operation averted potential terror
incidents by destroying the IEDs
at strategic locations in Manipur,
and the retrieved items have been
handed over to the concerned police
station for further investigation."
"Afghanistan
On Wednesday, a clash occurred
between Taliban forces and
unidentified gunmen on the
Kunduz-Khanabad highway in Afghanistan.
The fighting took place at a Taliban
base in the Khwaja Pesta area,
resulting in several casualties, but
the exact number remains unknown.
No group claimed
responsibility for the attack."
"Colombia
A grenade attack by a local gang in
Colombia's capital, Bogota, killed
three people and wounded nine others.
The attack is believed to be a
response to a conflict between two
local gangs fighting over turf, with
the police intensifying pressure
on the gangs and their leaders.
The incident is the second grenade attack
in the same neighborhood in three weeks."
"Democratic Republic of Congo
On Saturday, March 8, Allied Democratic
Forces (ADF) rebels attacked the village
of Ngite in the Democratic Republic of
Congo, killing four people and leaving
the community in mourning and fear.
The attack involved machete killings
and the setting of three houses on fire.
The terrorists also
abducted several people."
"India
Security forces in Bandipora
district, Jammu and Kashmir, have
arrested two terror associates.
The arrest was made during a search
operation based on specific intelligence
input, resulting in the recovery of a
pistol, hand grenades, and ammunition."
"Nigeria
On Sunday, Islamic State West African
Province (ISWAP) terrorists attacked
a military base in the remote village
of Warja, Damboa Local Government
Area (LGA) of Borno State, killing
at least four soldiers and wounding
an unspecified number of others.
During the attack, the rebels
set the base on fire and looted
and carried away ammunition."
"Nigeria
On Wednesday, operatives of the Katsina
State Police Command repelled a kidnap
attempt and rescued 30 kidnapped victims
in Faskari Local Government Area.
The police also recovered 92
rustled sheep and goats, along
with two cows, after engaging the
suspected kidnappers in a gun duel.
The investigation is ongoing,
and efforts are being made to
arrest the fleeing suspects."
"Nigeria
On Tuesday, Nigerian forces arrested
a 21-year-old gunrunner, Sengi
David, and recovered arms along the
Bokkos-Bot Mangu road in the Bokkos
Local Government Area of Plateau State.
Troops recovered one AK-47
magazine with civil police
markings and 48 rounds of 7.62mm
special ammunition."
"Nigeria
On Tuesday, Nigerian forces operating
under Sector 4 of Operation Fasan Yamma
neutralized three Violent Extremists
and Insurgents (VEIs) in an ambush near
Ngwagi Hill, in the Gwagwada Community
off the Kaduna-Abuja highway, in Chikun
Local Government Area of Kaduna State.
Troops recovered a cache of arms
and ammunition, including two
AK-47 rifles, eight AK-47 rifle
magazines, 374 rounds of 7.62mm
by 39 special ammunition,
and 88 rounds of 7.62mm
by 54 NATO ammunition."
"Nigeria
On Wednesday, Boko Haram terrorists
ambushed Governor Babagana
Zulumâs convoy along the Buni
Gari-Buni Yadi road in Borno State.
The attack occurred as the convoy,
including troops from Operation
Hadin Kai and high-ranking
government officials, returned
from the Biu Local Government Area.
Despite the ambush, the governor
was not present in the convoy
as he had flown by helicopter.
During the ensuing clash, an
unverified number of militants
were killed, and seven kidnapped
travelers were successfully rescued.
Troops also managed to seize weapons
and motorcycles following the
repulsion of the militantsâ assault."
"Pakistan
On Thursday, Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan
(TTP) terrorists launched a massive
suicide and gun attack on the Jandola
military base in the Tank District.
Pakistani forces reportedly repelled the
attack, killing at least nine terrorists.
Initial reports indicated that
dozens of Pakistani soldiers
were killed in the attack."
"Philippines
Government forces killed two high-ranking
officials of the New People's Army
(NPA) during a clash at least 20
rebels in Sito Kalubog, Barangay Iba,
Cabanglasan, Bukidnon, on Monday.
Troops recovered four assault rifles,
improvised explosive devices, and
seven mobile phones scattered at the
scene of the deadly Army-NPA clash."
"Syria
A member of the Internal Security
Forces was killed, and two others were
injured in an attack by ISIS cells on a
patrol in the Al-Hazima area, Al-Raqqa."
"Syria
The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) have
arrested an ISIS leader, identified as
Salah Abdullah al-Abd or Abu Azawi, in the
al-Hol Camp, southeast of Hasakah city.
The arrested individual, an Iraqi
national, was an active member of the ISIS
terrorist organization and was involved in
financial transfers to the group in Iraq.
The SDF has stated that they will continue
to dismantle ISIS cells and disrupt
their financial sources to maintain
regional security and stability."
"Syria
In Deir Ezzor City, a landmine explosion
in the Al-Bushra Desert resulted in
the deaths of two civilians and a
child from the Al-Boazzam Tribe."
"Ukraine
The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU)
thwarted a planned terrorist attack
in Mykolaiv by arresting a 33-year-old
Russian agent, a woman from the
Dnipropetrovsk region, who the FSB
recruited via a Telegram channel.
The agent intended to detonate two
homemade explosive devices, one under
a parked car and another disguised in
a tree, to kill or injure people and
provoke panic in the regional center.
The suspect faces up to 10 years in
prison and confiscation of property."
"West Bank
Israeli police have arrested a
21-year-old man from the Arab town
of Taybeh, identified as Kamel
Nashef, on suspicion of supporting
the Islamic State group (ISIS).
Nashef allegedly swore allegiance to
ISIS, tipped off operatives in the
West Bank, and possessed materials
and flags linked to the group.
He is set to be indicted today."
"Gaza Strip
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
conducted a drone strike in the
central Gaza Strip after spotting a
group of terror operatives attempting
to plant a bomb in the ground.
The operation aimed to prevent
a potential security threat."
"Iraq
Turkish artillery has been shelling
PKK positions in the Duhok region of
Kurdistan, resulting in the burning
of farmland and ongoing forest fires.
The shelling has created a
tense security situation, making
it difficult for firefighting
teams to extinguish the fires."
"Lebanon
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
have conducted an airstrike against
a Hezbollah facility in Lebanon's
Beqaa Valley, targeting a strategic
weapons manufacturing and storage site.
The IDF states that this action
is part of its efforts to
remove any threats to Israel."
"Myanmar
On Tuesday, junta forces conducted
airstrikes and rocket attacks on the
villages of Kuin Taung and Ponnagyun.
The attack destroyed numerous homes,
but no casualties were reported.
Ponnagyun is currently under
the control of the Arakan Army."
"Myanmar
A bombing raid by the Myanmar
junta killed a 10-year-old girl
and four other civilians in
Mandalay Region's Madaya Township.
The incident occurred in the villages
of Wa Thon Da Ra and Mya Kan Thar,
on the line between Madaya and
Patheingyi townships, where the
airstrikes hit a family's home."
"Myanmar
On Sunday, March 9, 2025, the Myanmar
junta arrested 20 Rakhine internally
displaced persons (IDPs) in Mayancho and
Hpayargyi villages in Thabaung Township,
Ayeyarwady Region, accusing them of being
informants for the Arakan Army (AA).
The arrests involved 16 men and four
women, who were initially displaced
from Gwa and Thandwe townships
in Rakhine State due to fighting.
The individuals are now being held at
the Yegyi Township Police Station."
"Myanmar
Since last Friday, March 7, the Myanmar
junta launched an assault in Magway
Regionâs Salin Township, leading to the
displacement of at least 17,000 civilians.
The assault took place as the regime
attempted to seize control of a
strategic route connecting Salin and
Seikphyu townships in the Magway Region.
The regime has blocked the road, planted
landmines, and launched drone attacks
on insurgent positions in the area."
"Nigeria
On Wednesday, the National Intelligence
and Security Agency (NISA) conducted an
airstrike in Jambaluul, Lower Shabelle,
killing two senior Al-Shabaab leaders:
Farhan Osman Hassan and Ahmed Gumaar.
The operation targeted the group's
explosive and financial operations
in Banadir and Lower Shebelle."
"Russia
Russian Defense Ministry announced
that its troops have taken over
Sudzha, the largest town in the western
Kursk region, which was overrun by
Ukrainian forces in August 2024.
Russian President Vladimir Putin
visited military headquarters in the
region, speaking to commanders as
troops are nearing the end of their
operation to drive out Ukrainian
forces from the Kursk region."
"Somalia
Puntland security forces have
killed a senior Islamic State (ISIS)
commander responsible for directing
drone attacks using explosive-laden
unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).
The operation, which took place in the
Al Miskaad mountains, comes after the
recovery of a fixed-wing drone suspected
to have been used by ISIS militants."
"Sudan
According to Sudanese forces,
Rapid Support Forces (RSF)
indiscriminately fired on several
areas of El-Fasher, killing five
children and wounding four women.
Furthermore, Sudanese forces said they
launched a sweep operation in the city
and seized two RSF combat vehicles."
"Sudan
On Wednesday, Rapid Support Forces (RSF)
shelled shelters in El-Fasher, killing
10 civilians and injuring 23 others."
"Syria
Israeli aircraft reportedly carried
out a strike in the Syrian capital of
Damascus, according to local reports.
However, there is no immediate
comment from the Israeli Defense
Forces (IDF) regarding the incident."
"Syria
The Syrian Democratic Forces
(SDF) shot down three Turkish
drones attempting to attack SDF
positions in the Aleppo countryside.
Additionally, Turkish forces have
launched heavy artillery fire on
Kharous village and the surrounding
areas of Qarrah Quzaq bridge, causing
material damage and civilian panic."
"Syria
Turkish fighter jets conducted
airstrikes on multiple locations,
including Sarin City and Al-Qask
Mountains, with no reported casualties.
In retaliation, SDF drones attacked
Turkish forces' bases near Qorah Qozak,
causing damage to military equipment
and injuring four Turkish soldiers."
"Taiwan
Taiwan tracked 20 Chinese
military aircraft, seven naval
vessels, and one official ship
around its country between 6 a.m.
on Wednesday and 6 a.m.
on Thursday.
Eleven aircraft crossed the Taiwan
Strait median line in the nationâs
northern and southwestern Air
Defense Identification Zone."
"Ukraine
A 60-year-old man was injured
in a drone attack by Russian
troops in Kherson, Ukraine.
The victim suffered shrapnel wounds to
his back and lower extremities while
in a car and is currently under medical
supervision, according to a report by
Roman Mrochko, head of the Kherson CMA."
"Ukraine
Russian drones attacked railroad
power facilities in the Dnipro region,
causing delays in train movements.
Train No.
86 Lviv-Zaporizhzhia departed
with a delay, while Train No.
72 Lviv-Pavlohrad will
follow a changed route.
Reserve diesel locomotives are preparing
to pick up trains if necessary."
"Ukraine
On March 12, Russian attacks
in the Kherson region resulted
in one death and six injuries.
The attacks targeted multiple
settlements with artillery fire and
airstrikes, damaging two apartment
buildings, 20 private houses, a gas
pipeline, and several private vehicles."
"Ukraine
Ukrainian forces claimed to have
killed or wounded 1,200 Russian
soldiers over the past day.
Over 160 pieces of military equipment
were destroyed in the fighting."
"Ukraine
Russian forces attacked Beryslav in the
Kherson region with a drone on March
13, 2025, killing a 68-year-old civilian
and injuring an 85-year-old civilian.
The attack also damaged civilian
homes and sparked fires in the
Dniprovskyi district of Kherson."
"Ukraine
Russian shelling in the Dnipro
region has resulted in significant
damage to high-rise buildings,
infrastructure, and private property.
According to reports, a 52-year-old woman
and a 64-year-old woman were injured
due to shrapnel wounds from the attacks.
The Russians used a combination of
drones, kamikaze drones, and heavy
artillery to attack multiple districts
in the region, including Dnipro, Nikopol,
and Sinelnyk, causing fires, damaged
buildings, and destroyed vehicles.
Fortunately, air defense forces
were able to destroy 11 Russian
UAVs in the Dnipro region.
"
"Ukraine
Ukraine's air defense forces
shot down 74 Russian drones and
38 decoy UAVs on March 13, 2025.
Russian attacks caused damage
in several regions, including
Sumy, Kharkiv, and Kyiv."
"Ukraine
The city of Zaporizhzhia was attacked by
Russian Shahed drones, causing damage to
a house and an administrative building
of a critical infrastructure facility.
Fortunately, no people
were injured in the attack.
Emergency services are currently
working at the sites of the strikes."
"Argentina
A peaceful protest by Argentine retirees
and soccer fans against the government's
economic policies turned violent
on Wednesday, with police deploying
water cannons, tear gas, and pellets
against stone-throwing protesters.
The protest, which started as a demand
for higher pensions, involved fans from
several soccer teams, including Boca
Juniors and River Plate, and resulted
in unprecedented clashes with police.
The government has warned that fans
involved in the violence will be barred
from attending their team's games.
"
"Myanmar
Residents of Mogok Township in the
northern Mandalay Region are facing
forced recruitment of men aged 18-45
by the Ta'ang National Liberation
Army (TNLA) in villages home to the
ethnic Palaung (Ta'ang) nationality.
According to reports, one person per
household must join as a recruit or
face action, and homes of those who
evade service have been boarded up.
The TNLA reportedly are
abducting men in the streets.
Mogoke residents protested the
conscriptions of its residents."
"Canada
A train derailment occurred south
of Barriere on Wednesday, March
12, around 5:40 pm local time.
Preliminary reports indicate that
five cars on the mainline derailed.
CN crews and local first responders
are attending to the scene, and
the cause is under investigation."
"Syria
A civilian from the Al-Kharashin Tribe
was killed in a landmine explosion
while driving in their car in the
Kabajeb Desert, located in the Deir
Ezzor countryside, an area under
the control of the new government."
"Syria
An explosion occurred in Haj Hussein
village, controlled by the National Army
in eastern Aleppo, injuring two civilians.
They were taken to the
hospital for treatment."
"United Kingdom
A microlight aircraft crashed at
Westonzoyland Airfield in Bridgwater,
Somerset, injuring two people.
They were taken to hospital with
minor injuries and were reported
to be ""free and clear"" by the
time emergency services arrived.
The Air Accidents Investigation
Branch has started a safety
investigation into the incident."
"United States
A small plane crashed in Mesquite
on Thursday morning, resulting
in the death of one person.
The incident occurred in a wooded
area near the intersection of East
Cartwright Road and Lawson Road.
Thankfully, there were no reports of
damage to nearby residences or structures.
The Mesquite Fire Department confirmed
that only one person was on board
the plane at the time of the crash."
"United States
A small plane made an emergency
landing in a field near Coconut
Palm Elementary School in Florida.
Fortunately, no injuries
have been reported."
"United States
A small plane made an emergency
landing in a field near Girsch
Road and E Washburn Road in Black
Hawk County on Wednesday afternoon.
The pilot reported running out of
fuel but was later able to take off
after receiving additional fuel.
No injuries or damage were reported."
"United States
A Cessna single-engine aircraft owned by
GPI Geospatial made an emergency landing
in Orange County on Wednesday afternoon.
The pilot and sensor operator
on board were not injured.
The plane, which was collecting
data, experienced a fuel spill,
prompting a notification to the
Environmental Protection Department."
Thanks for joining us for the March
14, 2025 Geopolitical Report Daily.
As a reminder, complete reports with
casualty information, interactive
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